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S T O C K V A L U AT I O N
STOCK VALUATION USING MULTIPLES
Obvious problem with dividend-based approach to stock valuation is that many
companies don’t pay dividends.
If the company is profitable (That is, has positive earnings), use the PE ratio,
calculated as the ratio of a stock’s price per share to its earnings per share (EPS) over
the previous year .
• Idea is to have some sort of benchmark PE ratio, which we then multiply by
earnings to come up with a price:
Price at Time 𝑡 = 𝑃𝑡 = Benchmark PE ratio × EPS𝑡
• Benchmark PE ratio could come from a variety of sources (For Example, based on
similar companies, based on a company’s own historical values).
• PE ratio based on estimated future earnings is a forward PE ratio.
Some companies do not pay dividends nor are they profitable.
• In this case, use the price-sales ratio, calculated as the price per share on the stock
divided by sales per share, or the EV/EBITDA ratio,
• EV = enterprise value = Total market value of equity + book value of all liabilities -
© cash
McGraw Hill 8-2
PE, PS, AND EV/EBITDA RATIOS FOR
VARIOUS INDUSTRIES
PE PS EV/EBITDA
Aerospace/Defense 21.31 1.54 10.78
Beverage (Soft) 24.71 3.84 18.48
Cable TV 23.55 1.79 9.12
Drugs (Biotechnology) 43.88 5.87 10.00
Entertainment 87.08 3.02 14.23
Farming/Agriculture 15.88 0.58 11.03
Food wholesalers 16.73 0.37 12.29
Furniture/Home 13.89 0.68 7.18
furnishings
Green & renewable energy 28.64 3.73 18.64
Power 18.21 1.99 10.93
Restaurant/Dining 24.88 2.66 16.97
Financing Costs:
• In analyzing a proposed investment, we will not include interest paid or
any other financing costs (For Example, dividends or principal repaid)
because we are interested in the cash flow generated by the assets of the
project.
• Goal in project evaluation is to compare cash flow from a project to the
cost of acquiring that project in order to estimate NPV .
Other Issues:
• We are interested only in measuring cash flow at the time when it actually
occurs, not when it accrues in an accounting sense
• We are always interested in after-tax cash flow because taxes are definitely
a cash outflow
D1
P0 =
R−g
Where:
Dt (1 + g )
Pt =
(R − g)
IV. Two-Stage Growth:
If the dividend grows at rate g1 for t periods and then grows at rate g2 thereafter, then
the price can be written as:
D1 1 + g1 t Pt Where:
P0 = 1 − +
R − g1 1 + R (1 + R )t D (1 + g1 ) (1 + g 2 )
t
Dt +1
Pt = = 0
© McGraw Hill R − g2 R − g2 8-6
SUMMARY OF STOCK VALUATION 3
Many companies have staggered elections for directors (That is, classified boards), but
several have been pressured to declassify.
Staggering has two basic effects:
Good case can be made that preferred stock is really debt in disguise, a kind of equity
bond, for the following reasons:
• Preferred shareholders receive a stated dividend only.
• If corporation is liquidated, preferred shareholders get a stated value .
• Preferred stocks often carry credit ratings much like those of bonds.
• Preferred stock is sometimes convertible into common stock.
• Preferred stocks are often callable .
• Many issues of preferred stock have obligatory sinking funds, effectively creating a
final maturity.