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(A Project of Al-Bahria CSS Institute)
DAWN Editorials: 21 October 2023, Saturday
Homecoming
The prodigal son returns. With his party`s goodwill all but squandered by the disastrous
mismanagement that defined the PDM-led government, Nawaz Sharif is scheduled to return to
Pakistan today, hoping to revive his political fortunes. The state awaits him with open arms, and
his own party has left no stone unturned in preparing a grand welcome. He is to fly to Islamabad
on a chartered flight and proceed from there to Lahore, where he will be feted with songs,
flowers and celebration. The party has commissioned a new anthem for the occasion and hired
two planes to shower him with rose petals. In his hometown, Mr Sharif will address supporters at
the Minar-i-Pakistan, where attendees have been promised free motorbikes, roti, and even
absolution if they honour their quaid with a rousing welcome. A lot seems to be riding on the
occasion for the PML-N. Afraid of jinxing the Oct 21 festivities, the party had cancelled all
political engagements with constituents in the lead-up to the big day. It believes that a large
crowd will greatly help its efforts to renew its claim of being Punjab`s most popular party.
To ensure that Mr Sharif`s return is a comfortable one, all legal hurdles have been removed from
his path. The PML-N chief, who was declared a `proclaimed offender` by the Pakistani judicial
system for fleeing from the law, has been given some extraordinary relief. On Thursday, Mr
Sharif secured protective bail in the Al Azizia and Avenfield references, in which he currently
stands convicted, from the Islamabad High Court. The National Accountability Bureau, which
had once relentlessly hounded the Sharif family over their alleged corruption, suddenly found no
objections to Mr Sharif returning to the country and proceeding directly to a falsa instead of a
courthouse. Likewise, an Islamabad accountability court came to the timely conclusion that it
ought to suspend a perpetual arrest warrant outstanding against Mr Sharif in a graft case
involving vehicles taken from the Toshakhana. It has never seemed more obvious that neither Mr
Sharif`s past conviction nor this sudden relief has much to do with the law. Instead, his legal
fortunes seem to be dictated by his party`s willingness or unwillingness to play second fiddle to
the deep state. Indeed, this seems to be the only `law` that prevails over our political class. Toe
the line, and you can be prime minister; overstep, and you end up in jail. Mr Sharif should know:
he has tried and been made to suffer three times already. It is most unfortunate, however, to see
him standing on the wrong side of history once again. Clearly, his principles are not worth more
to him than another shot at power. Will he rue the choice he has made? Time will tell.
Many might link the present market surge with the homecoming of Mr Sharif after four years of
self-exile. But that is just a coincidence even if his return brings a semblance of political stability
to the country. The present spike in the market is driven mainly by growing expectations of a cut
in the interest rates going forward, an improving exchange rate due to action against illegal forex
trade and dollar smugglers, falling petrol prices, and, last but not the least, the agreements
signed by Pakistan with China for enhancing the bilateral economic cooperation on the sidelines
of the Third Belt and Road Forum in Beijing earlier this week. A balanced current account for the
last month and hopes of a successful review of the IMF programme must also have played a part
in uplifting investor sentiments. But concerns remain that the present spike might be temporary
and that some big investors could be manipulating the system. Such worries stem from the very
low public participation in the retail stock trade as only 0.1pc Pakistanis have invested in shares
compared with 61pc Americans, 13pc Chinese and 8pc Indians. Unless the number of retail
investors increases, the stock market will remain unhinged and at the mercy of large brokers and
investors.
AGEGA`s demands are neither novel, nor unreasonable. They echo the concerns of
public-sector workers throughout the country. It is the right of citizens to speak up
about policies they believe could adversely affect their livelihoods. The fact that these
concerns were met with batons instead of dialogue is a matter of concern. Education and
healthcare stand at the forefront of any progressive nation and to penalise the cogs
keeping these sectors running is a grave miscalculation. While the preservation of public
order is indeed a priority, it must not come at the expense of fundamental rights.
Suppressing peaceful protests not only alienates the public, it also diminishes the state`s
legitimacy. The government, as representatives of the people, must remember it exists
to serve, not subdue. The immediate release if all those arrested and a constructive
dialogue with AGEGA is the need of the hour. Anything less will only deepen the chasm of
discontent and mistrust.