Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Learning Objectives
1. Learn how to formulate and test hypotheses about a population mean and/or a population proportion.
6. Be able to determine the size of a simple random sample necessary to keep the probability of
hypothesis testing errors within acceptable limits.
Solutions:
9-1
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Chapter 9
c. The manager’s claim can be rejected. We can conclude that > 600.
2. a. H0: 14
b. There is no statistical evidence that the new bonus plan increases sales volume.
c. The research hypothesis that > 14 is supported. We can conclude that the new bonus plan
increases the mean sales volume.
b. There is no evidence that the production line is not operating properly. Allow the production
process to continue.
c. Conclude 32 and that overfilling or underfilling exists. Shut down and adjust the production
line.
4. a. H0: 220
Ha: < 220 Research hypothesis to see if mean cost is less than $220.
c. Conclude < 220. Consider implementing the new method based on the conclusion that it lowers
the mean cost per hour.
5. a. The Type I error is rejecting H0 when it is true. This error occurs if the researcher concludes that
young men in Germany spend more than 56.2 minutes per day watching prime-time TV when the
national average for Germans is not greater than 56.2 minutes.
b. The Type II error is accepting H0 when it is false. This error occurs if the researcher concludes that
the national average for German young men is 56.2 minutes when in fact it is greater than 56.2
minutes.
H a: > 1
b. Claiming > 1 when it is not. This is the error of rejecting the product’s claim when the claim is
true.
c. Concluding 1 when it is not. In this case, we miss the fact that the product is not meeting its
label specification.
9-2
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Hypothesis Testing
7. a. H0: 8000
Ha: > 8000 Research hypothesis to see if the plan increases average sales.
b. Claiming > 8000 when the plan does not increase sales. A mistake could be implementing the
plan when it does not help.
c. Concluding 8000 when the plan really would increase sales. This could lead to not
implementing a plan that would increase sales.
8. a. H0: 220
b. Claiming < 220 when the new method does not lower costs. A mistake could be implementing
the method when it does not help.
c. Concluding 220 when the method really would lower costs. This could lead to not
implementing a method that would lower costs.
x − 0 19.4 − 20
9. a. z= = = −2.12
/ n 2 / 50
b. Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
d. Reject H0 if z -1.645
x − 0 26.4 − 25
10. a. z= = = 1.48
/ n 6 / 40
b. Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
d. Reject H0 if z 2.33
x − 0 14.15 − 15
11. a. z= = = −2.00
/ n 3 / 50
9-3
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 9
x − 0 78.5 − 80
12. a. z= = = −1.25
/ n 12 / 100
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 77 − 80
b. z= = = −2.50
/ n 12 / 100
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 75.5 − 80
c. z= = = −3.75
/ n 12 / 100
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 81 − 80
d. z= = = .83
/ n 12 / 100
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 52.5 − 50
a. z= = = 2.42
/ n 8 / 60
9-4
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Hypothesis Testing
x − 0 51.8 − 50
c. z= = = 1.74
/ n 8 / 60
x − 0 23 − 22
14. a. z= = = .87
/ n 10 / 75
x − 0 25.1 − 22
b. z= = = 2.68
/ n 10 / 75
x − 0 20 − 22
c. z= = = −1.73
/ n 10 / 75
x − 0 910 − 1056
b. z= = = −1.83
/ n 1600 / 400
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
c. p-value .05, reject H0. Conclude the mean refund of “last minute” filers is less than $1056.
d. Reject H0 if z -1.645
9-5
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 9
x − 0 3325 − 3173
b. z= = = 2.04
/ n 1000 / 180
c. p-value < .05. Reject H0. The current population mean credit card balance for undergraduate
students has increased compared to the previous all-time high of $3173 reported in April 2009.
Ha: 125,500
c. p-value > .05, do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that the year-end bonuses paid by Jones & Ryan
Ha: 4.1
x − 0 3.4 − 4.1
b. z= = = −2.21
/ n 2 / 40
Reject H0 and conclude that the return for Mid-Cap Growth Funds differs significantly from that for
U.S. Diversified funds.
x − 0 14.68 − 14.32
z= = = 2.15
/ n 1.47 75
9-6
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Hypothesis Testing
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
p-value .05, reject H0. Conclude that there has been an increase in the mean hourly wage of
production workers.
x − 0 30.63 − 32.79
b. z= = = −2.73
/ n 5.6 50
d. p-value .01; reject H 0 . Conclude that the mean monthly internet bill is less in the southern state.
21. a. H0: 15
Ha: > 15
x − 17 − 15
b. z= = = 2.96
/ n 4 / 35
c. Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
22. a. H0: = 8
H a: 8
c. Do not reject H0. Cannot conclude that the population mean waiting time differs from 8 minutes.
d. x z.025 ( / n )
9-7
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Chapter 9
x − 0 14 − 12
23. a. t= = = 2.31
s/ n 4.32 / 25
b. Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 24
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
Reject H0 if t 1.711
x − 0 17 − 18
24. a. t= = = −1.54
s/ n 4.5 / 48
b. Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 47
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .05 and .10; therefore, p-value is between .10 and .20.
x − 0 44 − 45
25. a. t= = = −1.15
s/ n 5.2 / 36
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 35
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 43 − 45
b. t= = = −2.61
s/ n 4.6 / 36
9-8
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Hypothesis Testing
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 46 − 45
c. t= = = 1.20
s/ n 5 / 36
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
x − 0 103 − 100
26. a. t= = = 2.10
s/ n 11.5 / 65
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 64
Using t table; area in upper tail is between .01 and .025; therefore, p-value is between .02 and .05.
x − 0 96.5 − 100
b. t= = = −2.57
s/ n 11/ 65
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .005 and .01; therefore, p-value is between .01 and .02.
x − 0 102 − 100
c. t= = = 1.54
s/ n 10.5 / 65
Using t table: area in upper tail is between .05 and .10; therefore, p-value is between .10 and .20.
9-9
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 9
x − 0 231 − 238
b. t= = = −.88
s/ n 80 / 100
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 99
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. Cannot conclude mean weekly benefit in Virginia is less than the
national mean.
d. df = 99 t.05 = -1.66
Reject H0 if t -1.66
28. a. H0: 9
H a: < 9
x − 0 7.27 − 9
b. t= = = −2.50
s/ n 6.38 / 85
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 84
c. p-value .01; reject H0. The mean tenure of a CEO is significantly lower than 9 years. The claim of
the shareholders group is not valid.
Ha: 5600
x − 0 5835 − 5600
b. t= = = 2.26
s/ n 520 / 25
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 24
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .01 and .025; therefore, p-value is between .02 and .05.
9 - 10
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Hypothesis Testing
c. p-value .05; reject H0. The mean diamond price in New York City differs.
d. df = 24 t.025 = 2.064
Ha: 600
x − 0 612 − 600
b. t= = = 1.17
s/ n 65 / 40
df = n - 1 = 39
Using t table: area in upper tail is between .10 and .20; therefore, p-value is between .20 and .40.
c. With = .10 or less, we cannot reject H0. We are unable to conclude there has been a change in the
mean CNN viewing audience.
d. The sample mean of 612 thousand viewers is encouraging but not conclusive for the sample of 40
days. Recommend additional viewer audience data. A larger sample should help clarify the situation
for CNN.
x − 0 460.4 − 423.0
t= = = 2.20
s/ n 101.9 / 36
Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 35
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
Because p-value = .0173 < α, reject H0; Atlanta customers have a higher annual rate of consumption
of Coca Cola beverages.
Ha: 10,192
9 - 11
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Chapter 9
x − 0 9750 − 10,192
b. t= = = −2.23
s/ n 1400 / 50
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 49
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .01 and .025; therefore, p-value is between .02 and .05.
c. p-value .05; reject H0. The population mean price at this dealership differs from the national mean
price $10,192.
x − 0 24.1 − 21.6
c. t= = = 2.08
s/ n 4.8 / 16
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 15
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
d. p-value .05; reject H0. The population mean consumption of milk in Webster City is greater than
the National mean.
34. a. H0: = 2
H a: 2
xi 22
b. x= = = 2.2
n 10
( xi − x )
2
c. s= = .516
n −1
x − 0 2.2 − 2
d. t= = = 1.22
s/ n .516 / 10
Degrees of freedom = n - 1 = 9
Using t table: area in upper tail is between .10 and .20; therefore, p-value is between .20 and .40.
9 - 12
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Hypothesis Testing
e. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. No reason to change from the 2 hours for cost estimating purposes.
p − p0 .175 − .20
35. a. z= = = −1.25
p0 (1 − p0 ) .20(1 − .20)
n 400
d. z.025 = 1.96
p − p0 .68 − .75
36. a. z= = = −2.80
p0 (1 − p0 ) .75(1 − .75)
n 300
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
.72 − .75
b. z= = −1.20
.75(1 − .75)
300
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
.77 − .75
d. z= = .80
.75(1 − .75)
300
9 - 13
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Chapter 9
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
52
b. p= = .13
400
p − p0 .13 − .125
z= = = .30
p0 (1 − p0 ) .125(1 − .125)
n 400
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. We cannot conclude that there has been an increase in union
membership.
Ha: p .64
52
b. p= = .52
100
p − p0 .52 − .64
z= = = −2.50
p0 (1 − p0 ) .64(1 − .64)
n 100
d. Yes. Since p = .52, it indicates that fewer than 64% of the shoppers believe the supermarket brand is
as good as the name brand.
Ha: p .75
85
b. 30 – 49 Age Group p = = .85
100
9 - 14
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Hypothesis Testing
p − p0 .85 − .75
z= = = 2.80
p0 (1 − p0 ) .85(1 − .85)
n 100
Reject H0. Conclude that the proportion of users in the 30 – 49 age group is higher than the overall
proportion of .75.
144
c. 50 – 64 Age Group p = = .72
200
.72 − .75
z= = −.94
.72(1 − .72)
200
Do not reject H0. The proportion for the 50 – 64 age group does not differ significantly from the
overall proportion.
d. The proportion of internet users increases from .72 to .85 as we go from the 50 – 64 age group to the
younger 30 – 49 age group. So we might expect the proportion to increase further for the even
younger 18 – 29 age group. Indeed, the Pew project found the proportion of users in the 18 – 29 age
group to be .92.
414
40. a. p= = .2702 (27%)
1532
b. H0: p .22
p − p0 .2702 − .22
z= = = 4.75
p0 (1 − p0 ) .22(1 − .22)
n 1532
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
c. These studies help companies and advertising firms evaluate the impact and benefit of commercials.
9 - 15
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 9
p − p0 .67 − .70
b. z= = = −1.13
p0 (1 − p0 ) .70(1 − .70)
n 300
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
c. p-value > .05; do not reject H0. The executive's claim cannot be rejected.
p (1 − p ) .15(.85)
b. = = .0399
n 80
p (1 − p )
p z.025
n
c. H0: p = .06
Ha: p .06
p = .15
p − p0 .15 − .06
z= = = 3.38
p0 (1 − p0 ) .06(.94)
n 80
p-value ≈ 0
We conclude that the return rate for the Houston store is different than the U.S. national return rate.
43. a. H0: p ≤ .10
13
p= = .13
100
p − p0 .13 − .10
c. z= = = 1.00
p0 (1 − p0 ) .10(1 − .10)
n 100
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
9 - 16
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Hypothesis Testing
On the basis of the test results, Eagle should not go national. But, since p > .13, it may be worth
expanding the sample size for a larger test.
232
b. p= = .58
400
p − p0 .58 − .51
z= = = 2.80
p0 (1 − p0 ) (.51)(.49)
n 400
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
c. Since p-value = .0026 .01, we reject H0 and conclude that people working the night shift get
drowsy while driving more often than the average for the entire population.
Ha: p .30
24
b. p= = .48
50
p − p0 .48 − .30
c. z= = = 2.78
p0 (1 − p0 ) .30(1 − .30)
n 50
We would conclude that the proportion of stocks going up on the NYSE is not 30%. This would
suggest not using the proportion of DJIA stocks going up on a daily basis as a predictor of the
proportion of NYSE stocks going up on that day.
5
46. x = = = .46
n 120
9 - 17
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Chapter 9
Reject H0 if x 9.25
a. When = 9,
9.25 − 9
z= = .55
5 / 120
b. Type II error
c. When = 8,
9.25 − 8
z= = 2.74
5 / 120
10
x = = = .71
n 200
9 - 18
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Hypothesis Testing
a. = 18
18.61 − 18
z= = .86
10 / 200
b. = 22.5
21.39 − 22.5
z= = −1.57
10 / 200
c. = 21
21.39 − 21
z= = .55
10 / 200
= .7088
48. a. H0: 15
Ha: > 15
Concluding 15 when this is not true. Fowle would not charge the premium rate even though
the rate should be charged.
b. Reject H0 if z 2.33
9 - 19
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Chapter 9
x − 0 x − 15
z= = = 2.33
/ n 4 / 35
Decision Rule:
Reject H0 if x 16.58
For = 17,
16.58 − 17
z= = −.62
4 / 35
= .2676
c. For = 18,
16.58 − 18
z= = −2.10
4 / 35
= .0179
49. a. H0: 25
Ha: < 25
Reject H0 if z -2.05
x − 0 x − 25
z= = = −2.05
/ n 3 / 30
Decision Rule:
Reject H0 if x 23.88
b. For = 23,
23.88 − 23
z= = 1.61
3 / 30
c. For = 24,
9 - 20
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Hypothesis Testing
23.88 − 24
z= = −.22
3 / 30
d. The Type II error cannot be made in this case. Note that when = 25.5, H0 is true. The Type II
error can only be made when H0 is false.
50. a. Accepting H0 and concluding the mean average age was 28 years when it was not.
x − 0 x − 28
z= =
/ n 6 / 100
at z = -1.96, x = 26.82
at z = +1.96, x = 29.18
Decision Rule:
At = 26,
26.82 − 26
z= = 1.37
6 / 100
At = 27,
26.82 − 27
z= = −.30
6 / 100
At = 29,
29.18 − 29
z= = .30
6 / 100
= .6179
At = 30,
29.18 − 30
z= = −1.37
6 / 100
9 - 21
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Chapter 9
= .0853
c. Power = 1 -
When = 26, there is a .9147 probability that the test will correctly reject the null hypothesis that
= 28.
51. a. Accepting H0 and letting the process continue to run when actually over - filling or under - filling
exists.
For = 16.5
16.29 − 16.5
z= = −1.44
.8 / 30
= .0749
d. The power curve shows the probability of rejecting H0 for various possible values of . In
particular, it shows the probability of stopping and adjusting the machine under a variety of
underfilling and overfilling situations. The general shape of the power curve for this case is
9 - 22
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Hypothesis Testing
1.00
.75
Power .50
.25
.00
15.6 15.8 16.0 16.2 16.4
Possible Values of u
4
52. c = 0 + z.01 = 15 + 2.33 = 16.32
n 50
16.32 − 17
At = z = = −1.20
4 / 50
= .1151
16.32 − 18
At = z = = −2.97
4 / 50
= .0015
Increasing the sample size reduces the probability of making a Type II error.
75
c = 0 + z.05 = 100 + 1.645 = 119.51
n 40
119.51 − 120
At = 120 z = = −.04
75 / 40
= .4840
119.51 − 130
c. At = 130 z = = −.88
75 / 40
= .1894
9 - 23
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Chapter 9
75
c = 0 + z.05 = 100 + 1.645 = 113.79
n 80
113.79 − 120
At = z = = −.74
75 / 80
= .2296
113.79 − 130
At = z = = −1.93
75 / 80
= .0268
Increasing the sample size from 40 to 80 reduces the probability of making a Type II error.
= .18
= 30
58. At 0 = 28, = .05. Note however for this two - tailed test, z / 2 = z.025 = 1.96
=6
=3
60. a. H0: = 16
Ha: 16
x − 0 16.32 − 16
b. z= = = 2.19
/ n .8 / 30
x − 0 15.82 − 16
c. z= = = −1.23
/ n .8 / 30
p-value > .05; do not reject H0. Continue the production line.
Ha: 900
b. x z.025
n
180
935 1.96
200
x − 0 935 − 900
d. z= = = 2.75
/ n 180 / 200
9 - 25
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Chapter 9
x − 0 126,100 − 119,155
b. z= = = 2.60
/ n 20, 700 / 60
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
c. p-value .01, reject H0. We can conclude that the mean annual household income for theater goers
in the San Francisco Bay area is higher than the mean for all Playbill readers.
63. The hypothesis test that will allow us to conclude that the consensus estimate has increased is given
below.
H0: 250,000
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 19
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
64. H0: = 25
Ha: 25
x − 0 24.0476 − 25.0
t= = = −1.05
s/ n 5.8849 / 42
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 41
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .10 and .20; therefore, p-value is between
9 - 26
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Hypothesis Testing
Because p-value > α = .05, do not reject H0. There is no evidence to conclude that the mean age at
which women had their first child has changed.
x − 0 6130 − 6883
b. t= = = −1.89
s/ n 2518 / 40
Degrees of freedom = n – 1 = 39
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
c. We should conclude that Medicare spending per enrollee in Indianapolis is less than the national
average.
Degrees of freedom = 32 – 1 = 31
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
p-value .05; reject H0. Conclude that the mean cost is greater than $125,000 per lot.
Ha: 2.357
xi
x= = 2.3496
n
9 - 27
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Chapter 9
( xi − x )
2
s= = .0444
n −1
x − 0 2.3496 − 2.3570
t= = = −1.18
s/ n .0444 / 50
Degrees of freedom = 50 - 1 = 49
Using t table: area in lower tail is between .10 and .20; therefore, p-value is between .20 and .40.
There is not a statistically significant difference between the National mean price per gallon and the
mean price per gallon in the Lower Atlantic states.
Ha: p .50
64
b. p= = .64
100
p − p0 .64 − .50
c. z= = = 2.80
p0 (1 − p0 ) .50(1 − .50)
n 100
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
p-value .01; reject H0. College graduates have a greater stop-smoking success rate.
Ha: p .6667
355
b. p= = .6502
546
p − p0 .6502 − .6667
c. z= = = −.82
p0 (1 − p0 ) .6667(1 − .6667)
n 546
p-value > .05; do not reject H0; Cannot conclude that the population proportion differs from 2/3.
9 - 28
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Hypothesis Testing
252
b. p= = .84 (84%)
300
p − p0 .84 − .80
c. z= = = 1.73
p0 (1 − p0 ) .80(1 − .80)
n 300
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
d. p-value .05; reject H0. Conclude that more than 80% of the customers are satisfied with the
service provided by the home agents. Regional Airways should consider implementing the home
agent system.
503
71. a. p= = .553
910
b. H0: p .50
p − p0 .553 − .500
c. z= = = 3.19
p0 (1 − p0 ) (.5)(.5)
n 910
Upper tail p-value is the area to the right of the test statistic
You can tell the manager that the observed level of significance is very close to zero and that this
means the results are highly significant. Any reasonable person would reject the null hypotheses and
conclude that the proportion of adults who are optimistic about the national outlook is greater than
.50
49
p= = .8448
58
p − p0 .8448 − .90
z= = = −1.40
p0 (1 − p0 ) .90(1 − .90)
n 58
9 - 29
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May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Chapter 9
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
p-value > .05; do not reject H0. Claim of at least 90% cannot be rejected.
81
b. p= = .2025
400
p − p0 .2025 − .24
c. z= = = −1.76
p0 (1 − p0 ) .24(1 − .24)
n 400
Lower tail p-value is the area to the left of the test statistic
The proportion of workers not required to contribute to their company sponsored health care plan
has declined. There seems to be a trend toward companies requiring employees to share the cost of
health care benefits.
74. a. H0: 72
Ha: > 72
Reject H0 if z 1.645
x − 0 x − 72
z= = = 1.645
/ n 20 / 30
Solve for x = 78
Decision Rule:
Accept H0 if x < 78
Reject H0 if x 78
b. For = 80
78 − 80
z= = −.55
20 / 30
9 - 30
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.
Hypothesis Testing
= .2912
c. For = 75,
78 − 75
z= = .82
20 / 30
= .7939
d. For = 70, H0 is true. In this case the Type II error cannot be made.
e. Power = 1 -
1.0
.8
P
o
.6
w
e
r .4
.2
72 74 76 78 80 82 84
Possible Values of
Ho False
Ha: 120
x − 0 x − 120
z= =
/ n 5 / 45
At z = +1.96, x = 121.46
Decision Rule:
For = 118,
118.54 − 118
z= = .72
5 / 45
= .2358
Other Results:
If is z
117 2.07 .0192
118 .72 .2358
119 -.62 .7291
121 +.62 .7291
122 +.72 .2358
123 -2.07 .0192
9 - 32
© 2010 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
May not be scanned, copied or duplicated, or posted to a publicly accessible website, in whole or in part.