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TED
~§: What frogs in hot water can teach us
8 about thinking again
i1=• : Adam Grant
C You might have heard that if you drop a frog in a pot of boiling boiling
water, it will jump out right away, but if you put it in lukewarm adj.ml1'~
water, and then slowly heat it up, the frog won't survive. The
frog's big problem is that it lacks the ability to rethink the lukewarm
situation. It doesn't realize that the warm bath is becoming a adj.f;&i.i\~
death trap -- until it's too late.
pandemic
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Humans might be smarter than frogs, but our world is full of n.~~.
slow-boiling pots. Think about how slow people were to react to
warnings about a pandemic, climate change or a democracy in
peril. We fail to recognize the danger because we're reluctant to peril
rethink the situation. nJ&XfB~
reluctant
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We struggle with rethinking in all kinds of situations. We expect squeaky
our w eaky brakes to keep working, until they finally fail on the adj.lll~fl:D[iiJ
freeway . We believe the stock market will keep going up, even
0 after we hear about a real-estate bubble.And we keep watching " real-estate
Game of Thrones" even after the show jumps the shark. ~itgf1=
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Rethinking isn't a hurdle in every part of our lives. We're happy wardrobes
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to refresh our wardrobes and renovate our kitchens. But when it n.:&ffi
comes to our goals, identities and habits, we tend to stick to our
guns. And in a rapidly changing world, that's a huge problem . renovate 0
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I'm an organizational psychologist. It's my job to rethink how we psychologist
work, lead and live. But that hasn't stopped me from getting @R,C,,JI~
stuck in slow-boiling pots, so I started studying why. I learned
that intelligence doesn't help us escape; sometimes, it traps us
longer. Being good at thinking can make you worse at rethinking.
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There's evidence that the smarter you are, the more likely you are
to fall victim to the "I'm not biased" bias. You can always find
reasons to convince yourself you're on the right path, which is
exactly what my friends and I did on a trip to Panama.
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I worked my way through college, and by my junior year, I'd mw
finally saved enough money to travel. It was my first time
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I set a goal to reach the(summit,and look into the crater. summit 0
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e So, we're in Panama, we get off to a late start, but it's only
supposed to take about two hours to get to the top. After four
hours, we still haven't reached the top. It's a Iittle strange that it's
0 taking so long, but we don't stop to rethink whether we should
tum around . We've already come so far. We have to make it to
the top. Do not stand between me and my goal . We don't realize
we've read the wrong map. We're on Panama's highest mountain,
it actually takes six to eight hours to hike to the top. By the time
we finally reach the summit, the sun is setting. We're stranded,
with no food , no water, no cell phones, and no energy for the
hike down.
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There's a name for this kind of mistake, it's called "escalation of escalation
0 commitment to a losing course of action." It happens when you n.ffifl:!m
make an initial investment of time or money, and then you find
out it might have been a bad choice, but instead of rethinking it,
you double down and invest more. You want to prove to double down
yourself and everyone else that you made a good decision. x5li~
Escalation of commitment explains so many familiar examples
of businesses plummeting. plummet
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It's hard to admit that we were wrong and that we might have
even wasted years of our lives. So we tell ourselves, "If I just try
harder, I can turn this around."
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We live in a culture that worships at the altar of hustle and prays hustle
to the high priest of grit. But sometimes, that leads us to keep n.~jJ;
going when we should stop to think again. Experiments show tt~ 0
that gritty people are more likely to overplay their hands in
casino games and more likely to keep trying to solve impossible overplay
puzzles. My colleagues and I have found that NBAbasketball v}~~;
coaches who are determined to develop the potential in rookies
keep them around much longer than their performance justifies.
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e And researchers have even suggested that the most tenacious tenacious
mountaineers are more likely to die on expeditions} because adj.fl"fit.J8(]
they're determined to do whatever it takes to reach the summit.
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I spent a decade playing soccer, but I didn't make the high school
team. At that point, I shifted my focus to a new sport, diving. I
was bad, I walked like Frankenstein, I couldn't jump, I could Frankenstein ( ;
hardly touch my toes without bending my knees, and I was ~.>.L~Wifil
afraid of heights.
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But I was detennined. I stayed at the pool until it was dark, and
my coach kicked me out of practice. I knew that the seeds of
greatness are planted in the daily grind, and eventually, my hard
work paid off By my senior year, I made the All-American list, pay off
and I qualified for the Junior Olympic Nationals. I was obsessed JNffl,mJJ,
with diving. It was more than something I did, it became who I ~Ji.fr@!&
was. Diving gave me a way to fit in and to stand out. I had a 0
team where I belonged and a rare skill to share. I had people
rooting for me and control over my own progress.
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But when I got to college, the sport that I loved became
something I started to dread. At that level, I could not beat more dread
talented divers by outworking them. I was supposed to be doing v.if!m
higher dives, but I was still afraid of heights, and 6am practice
outwork
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was brutal.
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You've probably experienced identity foreclosure. Maybe you
were too attached to an early idea of what school you'd go to,
what kind of person you'd marry, or what career you'd choose.
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See, I'm an introvert, and when I first started teaching, I was
afraid of public speaking. I had a mentor, Jane Dutton, who gave
unleash
me some(mvaluable advice. She said, "You have to unleash your
v.fft&lli
inner magician." So I turned my class into a live show.
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G Before the first day, I memorized my students' names and
6ackgrounas, and then, I mastered my routine. Those habits background
served me wet I. I started to relax more and I started to get good n.~tt
ratings . But just like with goals and identities, the routines that
help us today can become the ruts we get trapped in tomorrow. get trapped in
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One day, I taught a class on the importance of rethinking, and
afterward, a student came up and said, "You know, you're not
following your own principles." They say feedback is a gift, but feedback
right then, I wondered, "How do I return this?" (Takes a breath) n.&ffi
I was teaching the same material, the same way, year after year.
I didn't want to give up on a performance that was working. I
had my act down.
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Even good habits can stand in the way of rethinking. There's a cognitive
name for that too . It's called "cognitive entrenchment," where entrenchment
you get stuck in the way you've always done things. Just i.Ml]I§)~
thinking about rethinking made me aefensive. And then, I went
through the stages of grief. I happened to be doing some defensive
research on emotion regulation at the time, and it came in adj.ffiffi!~;
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Although you don't always get to choose the emotions you feel ,
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you do get to pick which ones you internalize and which ones internal ize
you express. I started to see emotions as works in progress, kind v.Jj;Ji,t
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your first sketch . Your initial feelings are just a rough draft. As
you gain perspective, you can rethink and revise what you feel. perspective
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So that's what I did. Instead of defensiveness, I tried curiosity. I defensiveness
wondered, "What would happen if I became the student?" I n.®@.
threw out my plan for one day of class, and I invited the
students to design their own session. The first year, they wrote freshman G
letters to their freshman selves, about what they wish they'd n.:k-M
rethought or known sooner. The next year, they gave passion
talks. They each had one minute to share something they loved
selves
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I've ever taken ... one of which the professor was let go after the
semester."
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Mohamed EI-Erian: "The number of stories you tell give
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Acouple of years ago, I was working on a project for the Gates Gates
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Foundation, and I suggested that leaders could record their own Foundation
version of Mean Tweets. Melinda Gates volunteered to go first, Mi~-~~ 0
and one of the points of feedback that she read said "Melinda is
like Mary effing Poppins. Practically perfect in every way ."
And then, she started Iisting her imperfections. People at the imperfection
Gates Foundation who saw that video ended up becoming more n.::f:.fE 0
willing to recognize and overcome their own limitations. They
were also more likely to speak up about problems and
solutions. What Melinda was modeling was confident humility.
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Confident humility is being secure enough in your strengths to
acknowledge your weaknesses. Believing that the best way to
prove yourself is to improve yourself, knowing that weak 0
leaders silence their critics and make themselves weaker, while
strong leaders engage their critics and make themselves
stronger. Confident(hµmili~ gives you the courage to say "I humility
don't know," instead oD pretendi~ to have all the answers. n.i,i~
pretend
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e To say "I was wrong," instead of insisting you were right. It
encourages you to listen to ideas that make you think hard, not
just the ones that make you feel good, and to surround yourself
with people who challenge your thought process, not just the
ones who agree with your conclusions. And sometimes, it even
leads you to challenge your own conclusions, like with the story
C about the frog that can't survive the slow-boiling pot.
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I found out recently that's a myth. If you heat up the water, the
C frog will jump out as soon as it gets uncomfortably warm. Of
course it jumps out, it's not an idiot. The problem is not the frog, idiot
it's us. Once we accept the story as true, we don't bother to think n.Sffii
E again. What ifwe were more like the frog, ready to jump out if
the water gets too warm? We need to be quick to rethink.
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