Names: AMAT 19 Section G

Student Numbers: Date:

Exercise 4. Basic Probability, Conditional Probability

Instructions:
1. Work this exercise in pairs.
2. Print one copy of the exercise (back-to-back) and answer the following neatly, com-
pletely, and orderly on the space provided below. Submit the exercise on or before
April 20, 2023 (5 pm) at MBLH.
3. Do not cheat. You are not allowed to work the exercise with any other pairs. Any suspected
and proven misconduct on the given exercise will be reported to the appropriate office and
if established, will result in disciplinary action in accordance with University rules, policies,
and procedures.

Do as indicated.

1. For the given items below, descibe and specify/determine the outcomes in the sample space and
the event favorable to the problem: (3 points each)

a. A school administrator codes incoming students who have undergone a special exam accord-
ing to whether they have pass it (coding 1 if they do and 0 if they do not) and according to
their rating, which is rated as good (g), fair (f), or bad (b). You are interested to randomly
sample one student and determine the probability that the student has either passed the
exam or has no fair rating.
Answer/Solution:

b. A jeepney departs from Loading Area 16 with 20 passengers. The jeepney’s journey will end
at Loading Area 20. Passengers can leave the jeepney at any stop, but no passengers can
board. You are interested to calculate the probability that no passenger leaves at Loading
Areas 16 or 18.
Answer/Solution:

(more problems next page)

2. Solve the following probability problems. Show necessary solutions/justifications.(5 points each)

a. A forest contains 100 different snakes, of which 29 are captured, tagged, and then released.
A certain time later (assuming that the population of the snakes remains the same), 45 of
the 100 snakes are captured. What is the probability that 12 of these 45 have been tagged?
Answer/Solution:

b. Prof. Gello gives his class a set of 50 problems with the information that the midterm exam
will consist of a random selection of 25 of them. If a student has figured out how to do
30 of the problems, what is the probability that he or she will answer correctly at least 24
problems?
Answer/Solution:

c. Consider 3 student organizations (ORG): ORG 1 contains 15 sophomore and 20 junior level
students, ORG 2 contains 13 sophomore and 18 junior level students, and ORG 3 contains
19 sophomore and 10 junior level students. If 1 student is selected from each organization,
what is the probability that the student chosen from ORG 1 was a sophomore given that
exactly 2 sophomores were selected?
Answer/Solution:

END
Total Points: 20