No.

CF/FRAU(ID)/DAILY REPORT/ Dated: 13/07/2023

FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT UNIT
Observed Stream Flows at 0600 HRS
Three Days Rainfall Forecast
Flood situation (Normal.Low,High) is related to downstream

River Indus Flows (Cusecs) River Indus Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

216,287
199,789

196,383
195,089
300000

167,241

159,741
20
139,000

127,100

16
200000
15
37,800

100000
10
0
KABUL at Tarbela Dam KALABAGH CHASHMA TAUNSA 5 3
NOWSHEHRA 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Flood Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal 0
Situation KARGIL SKARDU HUNZA GUPIS GILGIT BUNJI ASTORE BESHAM

Up Stream Down Stream 13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

River Jhelum Flows (Cusecs) River Jhelum Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

80000 20
60,000
60000 16
15
40000
10
20000 10,000
3,355 0 5
0 5 3
2 2
Mangla Dam NEW RASUL 0
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Flood Normal Normal 0
Situation SRINAGAR BANDI PURA PULWAMA BADGAM KUPWARA KOTLI MANGLA
Up Stream Down Stream 13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

River Chenab Flows (Cusecs) River Chenab Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

103,674

12 10 10 10
90,174

120000 10
71,780

8
57,220

53,184

8
49,878

90000 6
43,630

43,184

6 6
29,509

60000 6 5 5
15,159

4 3 3
30000 2 1 2 2 2 2
2 1 1 1 1 1 1
0 1 0 0
0
MARALA KHANKI QADIRABAD TRIMMU PUNJNAD 0
MATSEL KISHTWAR RAMBAN REASI RAJOURI BANIHAL KATRA JAMMU HEAD
Flood Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal MARALA
Situation

Up Stream Down Stream 13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

River Ravi Flows (Cusecs) River Ravi Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

50000 45,250 14
12
40000 12
27,750 10
30000
20,073 8
20000 6
6 5 5 5
10000 4,923
4 3 3 3
0
2 1 1
BALLOKI SIDHNAI 0 0
Flood Normal Normal 0
Situation CHAMBA KATHUA JASSAR LAHORE
13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023
Up Stream Down Stream
 River Sutlej Flows (Cusecs) River Sutlej Forecasted Rainfall (mm)
12
70000 62,118 62,118 10
60000 10 9
8
50000 8
8
40000
30000 6
20000 9,278 3
8,329 4 3
10000 2 2
0 2 1 1 1
0 0 0 0
SULEMANKI ISLAM
0
Flood Low Normal KANGRA MANDI BHAKRA DAM AMRITSUR GANDASINGHWALA
Situation
13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

Up Stream Down Stream

Nullah Flows (Cusecs) Aik & Palku Nullah Forecasted Rainfall (mm)
450 410 25
400 20
350 300
300 264 20
220
250
200 15
150 13 13
100 41 11
50 9
0 10
6
BEIN at SHAKAR DEG at KINGRA AIK at URA BASANTER at PALKHU at 5
GARGH BRIDGE NAROWAL WAZIRABAD 5 3
1 0 0 1 1 0 1
0
Flood Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal RAM Garh UDHAMPUR ARNIA JAKH SODHRA
Situation
13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

Hill Torrent Flows (Cusecs) Deg Nullah Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

12
23900

30000 10
10
25000
8
20000 8
6 6 6 6
15000 6
10000 4
4 3
5000
0

0 2
0 0 0 0
KAURA VEHOVA SANGHAR KAHA pitok CHACHAR
0
Flood Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal Normal SAMBA CHAWINDA ZAFARWAL NAROWAL
Situation
13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

PAKISTAN DAMS SITUATION Hill Torrents Forecasted Rainfall (mm)

Observed
Critical Level 6 6
Site Name Reservoir Level Inflow (CS) Outflow (CS) River Situation
(ft)
(ft) 5
Tarbela Dam on 4 4
1,550.00 1,517.31 139,000.00 127,100.00 NORMAL
Indus
3
Mangla Dam on 2 2
1,242.00 1,200.10 60,000.00 10,000.0 NORMAL 2 2
Jehlum 2 1
1 1
Current storage (MAF) Maximum storage capacity (MAF) 1 1 1 0 1
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Tarbela Dam on 0 0 0 0 0 0
4.019 5.827 0
Indus KAURA VEHOVA SANGHAR SORI LUND VIDOR KAHA 1 KAHA 2 MITHAWAN CHACHAR

Mangla Dam on 13.07.2023 14.07.2023 15.07.2023

4.335 7.335
Jehlum

INDIAN DAMS SITUATION Indian Dams Current Storage

Maximum 100.00%
Observed
Critical Level Current live storage Current
Site Name Reservoir Level 80.00%
(ft) storage (MAF) capacity at FRL storage %
(ft)
(MAF) 60.00%
Thein Dam on 40.00%
1731.99 1681.92 1.00 1.90 52.60
Ravi 52.60% 53.46% 58.47%
Bhakra Dam On 20.00%
1679.99 1624.14 2.70 5.05 53.46
Sutlej 0.00%
Pong Dam On Thein Dam Bhakra Dam Pong Dam
1389.99 1360.04 2.92 4.99 58.47
Beas
 GOVERNMENT OF THE PUNJAB
IRRIGATION DEPARTMENT
FLOOD RISK ASSESSMENT UNIT (FRAU)

Flood Outlook for 13th to 15th July 2023

Weather Condition:

As per the recent run (00:00Z) of forecasted models, next three days there is light to
moderate rain fall expected over the catchment of Western rivers.

River Flows:

Based on the forecasted weather conditions during this period, the expected daily
maximum flows at the rim stations of western rivers and nullah, could be as follows

Rim Station Daily Maximum Flow Condition

(Thousand Cfs)
Rivers

Indus @ Tarbela 130 to 150 Normal

Kabul @ Nowshera 40 to 50 Normal
Jhelum @ Mangla 65 to 75 Normal
Chenab @ Marala 80 to 90 Normal
Basentar @ Narrowal Normal
Bhien @ Shakergarh Normal
Nullah

Deg @ Kingra Normal

AIK @ Ura Normal
Palku @ Sialkot Normal
Palku @ Waziraba Normal
*The forecasted flows may be changed, depending upon the changing weather condition. The concerned authorities
will be updated if any changes are observed in the forecasted weather conditions. The flows of Nullahs only display in
the case flood conditions.

There is Low to Medium flood condition is prevailing across the River Sutlej and will
sustain till 15th July.

DEPUTY DIRECTOR(MET)
FRAU