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Epidemiology of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder across

the lifespan
Guilherme Polanczyk and Luis Augusto Rohde

Purpose of review Introduction


Prevalence estimates of the attention-deficit hyperactivity Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is one of
disorder (ADHD) and the rate of persistence of symptoms the most common mental disorders affecting children and
across the lifespan are heterogeneous, raising questions adolescents. The core ADHD symptoms are pervasive and
about the validity of the diagnosis. This review aims to impairing inattention, hyperactivity, or impulsivity [1,2].
discuss potential reasons for variability in ADHD prevalence Due to its significant prevalence during the lifespan and
estimates and rates of symptom persistence, as well as to associated impairments, the disorder is considered a major
present ADHD prevalence rates during the lifespan. health problem [1].
Recent findings
The best available estimates of ADHD prevalence are Epidemiological studies have contributed to the under-
around 5.29% for children and adolescents and 4.4% in standing of the distribution and etiology of ADHD and to
adulthood. Estimates of ADHD prevalence and rate of an accurate planning of services for affected children.
symptom persistence over time seem to be highly affected Disparate prevalence rates can be found around the world,
by methodological characteristics of the studies. however, raising questions about the consistency of esti-
Summary mates and a discussion about the validity of the diagnosis.
The review of ADHD epidemiology highlights the need for Moreover, only recently, attention of investigators shifted
standardizing study methodologies to make findings to the recognition of the disorder during adulthood. In
comparable. Even so, epidemiological cross-national data addition, there are scarce data from longitudinal nonre-
seem to support the validity of ADHD. ferred samples on the persistence rate of ADHD over time.

Keywords We reviewed the literature about the epidemiology of


ADHD, adults, children, course of symptoms, prevalence ADHD aiming to answer four questions: Are the ADHD
prevalence estimates in children and adolescents diverse
Curr Opin Psychiatry 20:386–392. ß 2007 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins. around the world? What is the persistence rate of ADHD
from childhood to adulthood? What is the best available
ADHD Outpatient Program, Child and Adolescent Psychiatric Division, Hospital de
Clinicas de Porto Alegre, Federal University of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil
ADHD prevalence estimate for adults? Are male to
female ratio, ethnic and socioeconomic issues relevant
Correspondence to Professor Luis Augusto Rohde, Child and Adolescent
Psychiatric Division, Hospital de Clinicas de Porto Alegre, Rua Ramiro Barcelos, for the epidemiology of ADHD?
2350 Porto Alegre, RS, Brazil
Tel: +5590035 003; fax: +55 51 3321 3946; e-mail: lrohde@terra.com.br

Current Opinion in Psychiatry 2007, 20:386–392 Attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder


Abbreviations
prevalence in childhood and adolescence
Wide variations in ADHD prevalence estimates during
ADHD attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder
DSM Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders childhood and adolescence can be found around the world
ICD International Classification of Diseases [3–5], from as low as 0.9% [6] to as high as 20% [7]. Similar
estimates from 5.2% [8] to 7.5% [9] are detected, however,
ß 2007 Lippincott Williams & Wilkins even in different sociocultural settings, such as Switzerland
0951-7367
[8], Brazil [10], Italy [11], Taiwan [9], and Congo [12].

Three systematic reviews on this subject have been pub-


lished to date [13,14,15]. A number of papers attempted to
provide a ‘true’ prevalence rate, and to explain the reasons
for the variability in results across studies [13,14,16,17].
The prevalence rate estimated by these reviews is com-
monly between 5 and 10% [13,14,16,17].

Some authors speculated that differences of estimates


would be secondary to demographic issues – with higher
rates in North America [18] – nurturing the idea that
386
Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder Polanczyk and Rohde 387

ADHD is a product of the western culture [19]. Others differences are more related to the way the diagnosis is
stated that differences are secondary to methodological constructed. The ICD-10 requires both a minimum
issues in the studies and have hypothesized that applying number of symptoms in all three dimensions (inattention,
similar methodologies in different countries, would result overactivity, and impulsivity), and presence of each
in equivalent findings [2,13]. symptom in at least two different settings. Furthermore,
the ICD-10 has mood, anxiety and developmental dis-
The individual and combined statistical significance of orders as exclusion diagnoses. DSM-IV and DSM-III-R
each methodological characteristic of the studies on the allow the establishment of ADHD diagnosis in the pre-
variability of results, however, had not been evaluated sence of mood and anxiety disorders, but not of pervasive
until a recent study by our group [15]. We conducted a developmental disorders. Thus, when ADHD is evalu-
comprehensive systematic review on ADHD prevalence ated through the same diagnostic interview and the
during childhood and adolescence providing an esti- diagnosis is generated according to both DSM-IV and
mated pooled prevalence for the disorder. In addition, ICD-10, higher rates are found with the DSM-IV diag-
we applied meta-regression analyses to evaluate the nostic criteria in community and clinical samples [25].
role of methodological characteristics on the variability
of results. After a broad review and a rigorous analysis of In epidemiological studies, the judgment of the abnormal
papers, we included 102 studies comprising 171 756 nature of the behavior is frequently based on an inde-
subjects from all world regions. The aggregated preva- pendent informant rather than on a clinical evaluation
lence of ADHD based on all studies was 5.29% (95% CI, [26]. The more appropriate way to define a diagnosis
5.01–5.56). The pooled prevalence for children and seems to be collecting information from different sources,
adolescents were respectively 6.48% (4.62–8.35) and evaluating the information and judging it according to the
2.74% (2.04–3.45) [15]. clinical expertise [27,28]. Other possibilities are the
requirement of positive information about a symptom
Furthermore, adjusting for methodological issues, esti- from more than one source (‘and rule’) [29] or from just
mates from North America and Europe were not signifi- one among different sources (‘or rule’) [30]. The estab-
cantly different. Differences between studies regarding lishment of the diagnosis based on only one informant has
the diagnostic criteria used [Diagnostic and Statistical some caveats. Children and adolescents have poor abil-
Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM)-III, DSM-III-R, ities to provide reliable information about their behavior
DSM-IV or International Classification of Diseases [16]. Parents and teacher are the most common sources,
(ICD)-10], source of information (best-estimate pro- but they are not always congruent [29]. This may happen
cedure, parents, ‘and rule’, ‘or rule’, teachers, or subjects), because the occurrence of each symptom is dependent
and requirement or not of impairment for the diagnosis on the setting or because parents and teacher have
were associated with significant variability of results [15]. tendencies to value or to overlook different symptoms.
In this way, it is fundamental to understand the evolved Parents have the advantage to have a good knowledge
aspects of ADHD diagnosis in epidemiological studies about their child’s behavior and to have followed his/her
and its impact on results [20]. development over time. Teachers are expected to observe
children more objectively and they are in a position where
The ADHD was operationally described in DSM-III [21] it is possible to compare children in the same develop-
in 1980. After that, two other versions of the DSM have mental stage [16,26]. For instance, in a representative
been published, with different conceptualization of the sample of 2400 Canadian children, the DSM-III-R ADHD
disorder. In the first classification, inattention and hyper- diagnosis was estimated as 3.3% according to children’s
activity were represented in two separated domains and it report, 8.9% according to teachers’ and 5% according to
was possible to derive an ADHD diagnosis based on the parents’ report.
presence of enough symptoms in only one dimension.
DSM-III-R [22] grouped these symptoms in a unique Considering that motor activity and attention span are
domain, along with impulsivity. DSM-IV [23] listed expressed in a continuum in the population and there
inattentive and hyperactivity–impulsivity symptoms is no clear cutoff point to categorize behavior into normal
in separate domains. It is possible to derive a diagnosis or abnormal [31], some adjunctive criteria are used.
of ADHD according to DSM-IV based on the presence DSM-IV [23] requires that symptoms must be devel-
of symptoms in one or both domains, resulting in three opmentally inappropriate and occur frequently, but does
possible subtypes. The symptoms must be associated not define this term objectively. Clinical impairment is
with functional impairment in at least two settings, another frequent indicator of abnormality, but this is also
and some symptoms associated with functional impair- dependent of environmental demands and life circum-
ment must have been present before the age of 7 years. stances of the individual. Some investigations report
The list of symptoms and the evaluated constructs are ADHD estimates using a definition of impairment
very similar between DSM-IV [23] and ICD-10 [24]; (although not always the same across studies) while
388 Services research and outcomes

others report on ADHD symptoms without any defi- by a mean age of 21 years. At this time interval, 58%
nition of impairment. Canino et al. [32] evaluated the presented a full or subthreshold (four or five symptoms)
DSM-IV ADHD prevalence without the requirement of current ADHD diagnosis. Individuals with initial diag-
impairment for the diagnosis and according to three nosis of ADHD presented a significant higher lifetime
different definitions of impairment. The proportion of risk of major depression, bipolar disorder, separation
children meeting ADHD criteria varied from 3.7 to 8.9%, anxiety, oppositional-defiant disorder, conduct disorder,
with lower rates associated with more rigorous impairment antisocial personality disorder, tics/Tourette disorder,
criterion. and nicotine dependence than controls.

Course of symptoms Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder


The ADHD was first conceptualized as a disorder prevalence in adults
restricted to childhood and adolescence. Longitudinal Considering that longitudinal community-based studies
studies showed that although there is a clear decline of are scarce, prevalence studies provide an indirect data
symptoms with age, they tend to persist in a variable about the course of ADHD symptoms across lifespan.
proportion of people [33] who are more frequently The World Mental Health (WMH) Survey Initiative
impaired than controls in several major life activities [41] studied the prevalence of DSM-IV mental disorders
[34]. Longitudinal studies available are limited by the in 60 463 adults from 14 countries. ADHD was included
relatively short period of follow-up (only one study eval- into the category of impulse-control disorders (bulimia,
uated subjects in their early thirties) and by the historical intermittent explosive disorder, and reported persist-
changes in classificatory systems [35]. Similarly to ence in the past 12 months of symptoms of three
prevalence estimates of the disorder in childhood, the child–adolescent disorders, ADHD, conduct disorder,
estimation of persistence of the diagnosis vary substan- and oppositional-defiant disorder). In the nine countries
tially across studies, from 4 to 80% [36]. This is probably where ADHD was evaluated, the prevalence of the
due to methodological artifacts, such as the definition impulse-control disorders ranged from 0.3% in Italy
chosen for persistence in adult life (syndromatic versus and Germany to 6.8% in the United States. Unfortu-
symptomatic), and age of individuals at follow-up [35]. nately, the individual prevalence of ADHD is not
available.
In this regard, Biederman et al. [37] demonstrated the
influence of the definition of remission used on persist- Kessler et al. [42] included the evaluation of ADHD in a
ence rates. In a clinical sample of 128 boys followed sub-sample of the National Comorbidity Survey Replica-
during 4 years, the rate of full diagnosis persistence at tion (NCS-R), a nationally representative survey of adults
18–20 years was 40%, while 90% of the subjects remained in the USA. From the initial screening sample of 9282
functionally impaired. Faraone et al. [35] conducted a individuals, 5692 were selected either because they met
systematic review and a meta-analysis of longitudinal the required criteria for at least one disorder or because
studies of ADHD. They found a 15% persistence rate they were part of a random selected sub-sample. Since
when full diagnosis was defined and 40–60% when cases only respondents between 18 and 44 years of age
of ADHD in partial remission were included. These were selected, ADHD was assessed in 3199 subjects.
findings fuelled the debate over whether the symptom The respondents were divided into four groups based
threshold should be lower in adults. Thus, individuals on the presence of symptoms during childhood and
whose symptoms have partially remitted but who are adulthood: those who denied ever having symptoms of
clinically impaired would be identified [38]. Focusing on ADHD, those who reported symptoms during childhood
this issue, Faraone et al. [39] compared adults with full but did not meet full criteria, those with childhood
ADHD diagnosis, late-onset ADHD (all criteria meet ADHD who denied adult symptoms, and those with
except the age-of-onset criterion), subthreshold ADHD childhood ADHD who reported adult symptoms. Finally,
(three or more but less than six inattentive or hyperactive- 30 subjects from each of the first three groups and 60 from
impulsive symptoms), and controls regarding psycho- the fourth group were contacted, and 154 subjects
pathology, several measures of impairment and familial were clinically evaluated for adult ADHD. Based on
risk of ADHD. Subjects with subthreshold ADHD pre- the prevalence of the disorder on each of the four groups
sented less psychopathology and impairment than subjects and on multiple imputation to assign predicted diagnoses
with late-onset and full ADHD diagnosis. Although the to respondents who did not participate in the reappraisal
subthreshold group was significantly impaired, results interviews, the estimated prevalence of current adult
provided weak support for the validity of subthreshold (18–44 years) ADHD was 4.4%. It is important to note
ADHD diagnosis. that only a small portion of the sample (154 subjects)
was clinically evaluated and the prevalence rate is the
Biederman et al. [40] assessed a clinical sample of estimation of the disorder in the sample. The authors
individuals 10 years after the initial diagnosis of ADHD, made it clear that the sample study was weighted to
Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder Polanczyk and Rohde 389

be nationally representative and the imputation equation The impact of ethnic and socio-economic issues on
was statistically strong. Considering this peculiarity, this the prevalence rates of ADHD has been much less
is the best available estimate of adult ADHD prevalence investigated. In our study [15], significantly different
to date. In subsequent analyses of the NCS-R sample, the pooled ADHD prevalence estimate was detected for
persistence rate of ADHD from childhood to adulthood both African and Middle-Eastern studies when com-
was estimated in 36.3% [43]. pared to either North-American or European estimates.
This finding, however, might be related to the small
Kooij et al. [44] evaluated the presence of ADHD symp- number of studies conducted in the first two world
toms in a sample of 1813 primary care adult patients regions making their estimates less reliable. In the study
from The Netherlands. Inattentive and hyperactivity by Angold et al. [30] mentioned above, authors did not
symptoms were significantly associated with psychosocial detected significantly different ADHD prevalence rates
impairment. Subjects with four or more inattentive or in African–American (2.1%) and white (3.2%) youths.
hyperactive–impulsive symptoms were significantly Regarding the impact of poverty on the prevalence of
more impaired than subjects with two, one and without ADHD in this sample, no significant difference was
symptoms. The prevalence of ADHD was 1.0% (95% found between African–Americans and white rural chil-
confidence interval (CI), 0.6–1.6) for a cutoff of six dren categorized by income [47]. Mullick and Goodman
symptoms and 2.5% (95% CI, 1.9–3.4) for a cutoff of [48] compared the prevalence of psychiatric disorders in
four symptoms, with the requirement of the presence of a sample of 922 5–10-year-old children from rural, urban
all three core symptoms during childhood. and slum areas in Bangladesh. No significant difference
between these three areas was found regarding the
Faraone and Biederman [45] evaluated the presence of prevalence of ADHD. In southeast of Brazil, Fleitlich-
ADHD symptoms during childhood and adulthood in a Bilyk [49] did not find significant different prevalence
telephone screening survey with 966 adults from the rates of ADHD in groups of children ascertained from
community. Two criteria were used: a broad diagnosis, private, rural, and urban schools. We understand that the
symptom was considered positive if occurred sometimes influence of social, ethnic and economic factors on
or often; and a narrow one, symptom was only counted as the prevalence of ADHD should be further evaluated
positive if the participant reported that it occurred often. by studies designed to assess these factors.
Results revealed a prevalence rate of 16.4 and 2.9% for
the broad and narrow diagnoses. Two main methodologi- Regarding adult samples, Kessler et al. [42] found a
cal issues were key limitations for this study: diagnoses higher prevalence in males (1.6 male–female ratio),
were obtained only based on rating scales, and the and in non-Hispanic white subjects in comparison to
attrition rate was 80%, which raises important question Hispanics and non-Hispanic blacks. Kessler et al. [43]
about the generalizability of data, as discussed by retrospectively assessed sociodemographic and childhood
the authors. clinical factors evaluating their association with persist-
ence of ADHD in adulthood. Subjects with childhood
Attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder combined symptoms of inattention and hyperactivity-
prevalence and socio-demographic impulsivity had significantly elevated odds ratios of
characteristics persistence in comparison to those with pure symptoms
Studies in children consistently suggest that the ADHD in either domain. Similar findings were detected for
prevalence is higher in boys than in girls. The male retrospectively assessed pervasiveness of childhood role
to female ratio varies from 3 : 1 to 9 : 1, depending on impairment and childhood treatment of ADHD. Gender,
the origin of the sample ascertainment [46]. In our race-ethnicity, comorbidity profile, childhood adversities,
systematic review and meta-regression [15], the pooled and childhood trauma exposure were not associated
ADHD prevalence for boys was 2.45 times higher with persistence into adulthood [43]. It is important
than the one detected for girls (only nonreferred to note that the understanding of risk factors for per-
samples were included). The prevalence among girls sistence of symptoms has an important role on patient
seems to be higher in community samples than in and family education, as well as on treatment strategies.
clinical samples, probably because there is a barrier Nevertheless, these results are limited by the retrospective
to diagnosis and treatment referral for females [46]. nature of reports.
A school-based study conducted by Angold et al. [30]
evidenced that the impact of the child’s problem on Conclusion
the family was strongly associated with the probability As summarized in Table 1, recent findings on the epi-
of receiving care. This might be related to the lower demiology of ADHD have better elicited the disorder.
prevalence of girls in clinical samples, since there The understanding of distinctive features involved in
are evidences that they have less behavioral symptoms ADHD diagnosis is fundamental to a critical appraisal
than boys [46]. of epidemiological studies. Different methodological
390 Services research and outcomes

Table 1 Recent original studies that evaluated epidemiological issues of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder
First author, year Site Design Age Sample size Main result

Bener, 2006 [3] Qatar Prevalence study 6–12 years 1541 subjects ADHD prevalence: 9.4%
Cardo, 2007 [4] Island of Prevalence study 6–11 years 1509 subjects ADHD prevalence: 4.6%
Majorca
Skounti, 2006 [5] Greece Prevalence study 7 years 1285 subjects ADHD prevalence: 6.5%
Mugnaini, Italy Prevalence study 6–7 years 1891 subjects ADHD prevalence: 7.1%
2006 [11]
Polanczyk, in Systematic review of Up to 18-years 102 studies The ADHD worldwide pooled
press [15] prevalence studies old prevalence: 5.29%
and meta-regression (95% CI 5.01–5.56)
analyses of results Geographic location plays a
limited role in the explanation
of the large variability of
ADHD/HD prevalence
estimates worldwide
which seems to be explained
primarily by methodological
characteristics of studies
Kessler, USA Prevalence study 18–44 years 3199 screens ADHD prevalence: 4.4%
2006 [42] 154 diagnostic
assessment
Zuddas, Italy Evaluation of the validity 6–12 years 1575 subjects DSM-IV constructs of ADHD,
2006 [29] of the DSM-IV constructs ODD, and CD were validated
of disruptive behaviors
disorders
Barkley, USA Follow-up study of 19–25 years 149 cases Adults with hyperactivity in
2006 [34] hyperactive children 72 controls childhood had significantly
lower educational performance
and attainment, had fewer close
friends, more trouble keeping
friends, had become parents
and had been treated for
sexually transmitted disease
more frequently than controls
Biederman, USA Follow-up study of mean 22 112 cases The lifetime prevalence for all
2006 [40] ADHD children 105 controls categories of psychopathology
was significantly greater in
ADHD young adults in
comparison to controls
Faraone, USA Clinical and demographic 18–55 years 41 subthreshold Adults with late-onset and full
2006 [39] comparison of three 79 late-onset ADHD had similar patterns
clinical groups of adult 127 full of psychiatric comorbidity,
ADHD patients (divided ADHD functional impairment, and
according to age of onset 123 controls familial transmission
and number of symptoms) Subthreshold ADHD was milder
and controls and showed a different pattern
of familial transmission than
the other forms of ADHD
Faraone, 2006 [35] Systematic review of 10–30 years 32 studies When persistent ADHD is defined
follow-up studies and as meeting full criteria for ADHD,
meta-analysis of the rate of persistence is 15%
results at age 25 years; when cases
consistent with the DSM-IV
definition of ADHD in partial
remission are included, the rate
of persistence is 65%
Estimates of ADHD persistence
rely heavily on how one defines
persistence
Analyses show evidence that
ADHD lessens with age
ADHD, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder; CD, conduct disorder; CI, confidence interval; HD, hyperkinetic disorder; ODD, oppositional-defiant
disorder.

strategies adopted in studies explain the huge variability of ADHD prevalence across continents, especially
in prevalence estimates found. Cross-national data on between North America and Europe.
ADHD prevalence estimates do not significantly differ
when findings were adjusted for methodological vari- Studies conducted up to now report a variable proportion
ables. The data discussed above support the consistency of individuals who remain with ADHD symptoms across
Attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder Polanczyk and Rohde 391

14 Skounti M, Philalithis A, Galanakis E. Variations in prevalence of attention


the lifespan. Moreover, older subjects have not been  deficit hyperactivity disorder worldwide. Eur J Pediatr 2007; 166:117–
systematically included in the samples. In order to define 123.
This is a systematic review of ADHD prevalence studies.
the rate of ADHD persistence over time and to estimate
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Potential conflict of interests: The ADHD Outpatient Program receives
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