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0.05
5000
diff(log(CAC))
CAC
0.00
4000
−0.05
3000
−0.10
2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
Index Index
Figure 3 – Autocorrelation and partical Au- Figure 4 – Autocorrelation and partical Au-
tocorrelation tocorrelation
1.0
1.0
0.8
0.8
Stationnary Non-Stationnary
0.6
0.6
ACF
ACF
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1.0
Lag Lag
0.05
0.8
Partial ACF
Partial ACF
0.6
0.00
0.4
0.2
−0.05
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1
Questions - Stationnarity of DLCAC
1. Explain why to transform prices with their logarithm ? And why to calculate first
differences of the series ?
2. Based on Figures 1 and 2, do you think theses series are stationnary ?
3. What can you say about the significance of autocorrelations and partial autocorrélation
for the series LCAC on Figure 3 ?
4. What are the indications given by these tests ?
5. What do you think about the significance of the autocorrelations and partial auto-
correlation of serie DLCAC on Figure 4 ?
6. What is your conclusion after analysing these figures ?