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Asign For G1 2016
Asign For G1 2016
12. The table below shows the demand for a particular brand of razor in a shop for each of the last nine
months.
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Demand 9 11 15 18 16 17 20 21 22
a). Calculate a three month moving average for months three to nine. What would be your
forecast for the demand in month ten?
b). Apply exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.3 to derive a forecast for the
demand in month ten.
c). Which of the two forecasts for month ten do you prefer and why?
Part -1 :
1. Explain of the Matrix Structure organizational structure?
2. What is demand forecasting and what are the factors affecting the demand?
3. What are the various forecasting methods and write about Historical Analogy method.
Part -2 :
1. Find the partial productivity and total productivity for a company for which the following data is
available.
Output = ETB 19,000, Labour input =ETB 4800, Material input ETB 4000, Capital input = 8100 ETB,
Energy input = 3000 ETB, Other input expenses = 2000 ETB.
2. Given the following data in table 1, calculate the three-month moving average forecasts for months 4,
5, 6, and 7.
Table:1
Month Actual Fore
Demand cast
1 64
2 74
3 45
4 56
5 70
6 51
7
3. In the above problem, Calculate the three-month moving weighted average forecasts for
months 4, 5, 6, and 7. The three periods having the following weight: 0.57 for the immediate
past, 0.42 for two periods before and 0.37 for three periods before.
4. Table 2 shows the actual demand for a product. Using this exponential smoothing method calculate the
forecasts for all the months. Take α = 0.3