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Renewable Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/renene
Technical note
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: This paper introduces an accurate procedure to choose the best site from many sites and suitable wind
Received 9 November 2012 turbines for these sites depending on the minimum price of kWh generated (Energy Cost Figure (ECF))
Accepted 7 April 2013 from wind energy system. In this paper a new proposed computer program has been introduced to
Available online
perform all the calculations and optimization required to accurately design the wind energy system and
matching between sites and wind turbines. Some of cost calculations of energy methods have been
Keywords:
introduced and compared to choose the most suitable method. The data for five sites in Saudi Arabia and
Wind energy system design
hundred wind turbines have been used to choose the best site and the optimum wind turbine for each
Matching between site and wind turbine
Cost of energy
site. These sites are Yanbo, Dhahran, Dhulom, Riyadh, and Qaisumah. One hundred wind turbines have
Price minimization of the generated kWh been used to choose the best one for each site. This program is built in a generic form which allows it to
be used with unlimited number of sites and wind turbines in all over the world. The program is written
by using Visual Fortran and it is verified with simple calculation in Excel. The paper showed that the best
site is Dhahran and the suitable wind turbine for this site is KMW-ERNO with 5.85 Cents/kWh. The worst
site to install wind energy system is Riyadh with minimum price of kWh of 12.81 Cents/kWh in case of
using GE Energy 2 wind turbine.
Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
0960-1481/$ e see front matter Ó 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2013.04.006
Author's personal copy
is to collect the data of available wind turbines in the market. This 1. Hourly wind speed data for Yanbo, Dhahran, Dhulom, Riyadh,
leads to the question ‘What is the most appropriate wind turbine and Qaisumahsites of Saudi Arabia will be used. The hourly
for a particular site?’. The aim of this research is to provide an ac- wind speed data of these sites will be processed using sta-
curate answer to this question. A new proposed computer program tistical procedures. The computer program can perform the
is designed in this paper to answer this question and many other optimization for unlimited number of the available data sites.
questions. The function of the proposed program is to decide which Wind data is collected from many sources as metrological
the best site from many available sites is, and which the suitable authority and over the internet. Wind speeds can be collected
wind turbine for each site and the minimum price for generated for many sites for different period of times. Meteorologists
kWh. This decision requires very accurate statistical calculations. generally conclude that it takes at least 5 years of wind data
Another information can be extracted from this computer program to determine a reliable average and variance of the wind
such as the Weibull parameters, capacity factor and other infor- speed. Some researchers claim that shorter period of time
mation that may be helpful for researchers. The steps of these may be acceptable for designing renewable energy system
processes are very long and require long time and great efforts for with acceptable confidence [12]. It is better to have a small
calculations and optimizations. The new proposed computer pro- interval between each reading of the wind speed data. Thirty
gram will solve this problem in a very short time and gives accurate minutes are recommended interval between each two points
results in a flexible fashion. This computer program can be applied of data. But, this may not available for all sites under study
in any region in the world because it has the flexibility to change because some of these sites have one-hour interval. So, the
the economic calculation to suit any country and it is able to handle interval used in this research paper is one-hour to fit all
unlimited numbers of sites and wind turbines. available data.
2. Performance data for market available wind turbines are
2. Design of the proposed computer program introduced, such as rated power, hub height, diameter of swept
area, cut-in speed, rated speed, cut-out speed, price of wind
The flowchart of the computer program is shown in Fig. 1. The turbine, and efficiency of the mechanical and electrical system.
program has a main part and five subroutines. Each subroutine will In this step hundred market available wind turbines are
perform a certain function as shown in the following sections. This introduced to the computer program. The computer program
program has been applied to the five sites in Saudi Arabia. The can perform the optimization for unlimited number of wind
performance data of hundred of market available wind turbines turbines.
were used to select the most suitable one for each site. 3. Hourly loads required to be supplied from the wind energy
system. The load data used in this program is actual data for
3. Program input data small city in Saudi Arabia. The average power required for this
load is 22.5 MW.
Wind speed variation of the site and the performance charac-
teristics of wind turbines are the main factors that affect the per-
formance of wind energy system and affect the cost of kWh 4. Steps of the proposed computer program
generated from it. The data required for the program are:
The main computer program reads all the data mentioned in
previous section. After that, the flow will go to subroutines to make
Reading the data the calculations, comparisons, and optimizations. Each subroutine
Wind turbine parameters makes a certain function and then sends its results to the next
Hourly wind speed
subroutines. The function of each subroutine is illustrated in the
Hourly load power
following:
U ho ¼ Cp hm hg (13)
c ¼ (4)
Gð1 þ 1=kÞ
A relation between c and k and other parameters such as If Pe > PL ; Then PT ¼ Pe PL and Pf ¼ 0 (14)
average wind speed and hub height is extracted from the results of
this subroutine. If Pe > PL ; Then PF ¼ PL Pe and PT ¼ 0 (15)
Another method depends on the accurate statistical analysis for
For energy balance the following conditions must be satisfied:
obtaining Weibull parameters has been used in this computer
program [14]. The final results for the Weibull parameters are:
X
8760 X
8760 X
8760 X
8760
Pe ðiÞ PL ðiÞ ¼ 0; PT ðiÞ ¼ PF ðiÞ ¼ 0 (16)
k ¼ a i¼1 i¼1 i¼1 i¼1
(5)
c ¼ expðb=kÞ
where
Pw Pw 4.4. Energy price calculation
Pw i ¼ 1 xi i¼1 yi Pw Pw
i ¼ 1 xi yi
w i ¼ 1 ðxi
xÞ i ¼ 1 ðyi yÞ
a ¼ !2 ¼ Pw 2
This subroutine is used to compute the ECF for each site and
Pw i ¼ 1 ðxi xÞ each type of wind turbine.
i ¼ 1 xi
Pw 2
i ¼ 1 xi 4.5. ECF optimization subroutine
w
(6)
The purpose of this subroutine is to select the minimum value of
ECF and then determine the corresponding site and wind turbine
1 Xw
a X
w
b ¼ yi axi ¼ y x (7) type.
w i¼1 i w i¼1 i
yi ¼ lnð lnð1 Fðui ÞÞÞ; The economic analysis proposed in this section is used to
(8)
xi ¼ lnðui Þ estimate the price of the generated unit energy from wind en-
ergy system. The estimation of the price of the generated kWh
depends on the accurate estimation of the wind speed data and
the costs of the components and the operating and maintenance
4.2. Capacity factor and average number of wind turbines
costs. The general purpose of such methods is not only to
calculation
determine the economic performance of a given design of wind
energy system, but also to compare it with conventional and
The purpose of this subroutine is to determine the Capacity
other renewable energy based systems and to match between
Factor, CF, and the average number of wind turbine generators,
the site and wind turbine depending on the minimum energy
ANWTG. The capacity factor can be obtained from the following
price. The following are different methods of overall economic
equation [13]:
analysis:
h i h i
exp ðuc =cÞk exp ður =cÞk h k i
CF ¼ exp uf =c 5.1. Simplified economic analysis methods
k k
ður =cÞ ðuc =cÞ
(9) There are two simplified methods are discussed in the following
The average power of wind turbine can be calculated as: sections. These methods provide fast feasibility study for installing
wind energy system and it can be used to make matching between
Peave ¼ CF $Per (10) site and wind turbines depending on the lowest price of the
generated kWh. These methods are representing simple but not
The average number of wind turbine generator can be calculated accurate techniques to calculate the price of the kWh generated
as: from wind energy system.
h i
The cost of energy (COE) is defined as the cost of the kWh r= 1 ð1 þ rÞN ; if rs0
generated from wind energy system. That is: CRF ¼ (26)
1=N if r ¼ 0
Operating costs
Cost of energy ¼ (20)
Energy produced
4) Net present value
The simplest calculation of COE is given by Ref. [15]:
The net present value (NPV) is defined as the sum of all relevant
COE ¼ ½ðCC *FCRÞ þ CO&M =Ea (21) present values. From Equation (22), the present value of a future
The fixed charge rate, FCR will generally reflect the interest on cost, C, evaluated at year j is [15]:
pays or the value of interest received if money were displaced from
savings. PV ¼ C=ð1 þ rÞj (27)
Thus, the NPV of a cost C to be paid each year for N years is [15]:
5.2. Life-cycle costing methods
X
N X
N
C
Life-cycle costing (LCC) is a commonly used method for the NPV ¼ PVi ¼ (28)
economic evaluation of energy producing systems based on the j¼1 j ¼ 1 ð1 þ rÞj
principles of the ‘time value’ of money. The following parameters
If the cost C is inflated at an annual rate i, the cost Cj in year j
are included in the LCC analysis:
becomes [15]:
1) Time value of money and present worth factor
Cj ¼ Cð1 þ iÞj (29)
A unit of currency that is to be paid (or spent) in the future will Thus, the net present value, NPV, becomes:
not have the same value as one available today. This is true even if
there is no inflation, since a unit of currency can be invested and N
X
bare interest. Thus its value is increased by the interest. The future
1þi j
NPV ¼ C (30)
value, FV, after N years is [15]: j¼1
1þr
The cash flow method is based on the use of an accounting type The relation between the annual utilized energy (AUEt) and the
spreadsheet that requires an annual input of estimated income and annual net energy (ANEt) is described as [26]:
expenses over the lifetime of the project [23,24]. The cash flow
method allows for the real variations that can be expected in cost,
AUEt ¼ ANEt $Klost; t $Kutil; t (40)
operational, and economic data, such as price increases, inflation,
and changing interest rates. AUEt ¼ ANEt $Klost; t $Kutil; t
¼ Epot $Kper; t $Ksite; t $Kava; t $Klost; t $Kutil; t (41)
5.4. Levelized production cost (LPC) The annual potential energy output (Epot) of a wind turbine
experiencing specific meteorological conditions is given by Ref.
In this method the cost components are assumed to be the [25]:
investment cost, operation and maintenance cost, repair
cost, salvage value and social cost. The following sections
ZN
introduce two approaches to calculate the levelized production Epot ¼ 8760$ pðuÞ$f u du (42)
cost: 0
energy output from the wind turbine. In such cases, the reduction
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
in annual energy output, DEsite, t,due to the changed surroundings
8%
should take into account. The annual reduction may be expressed
7%
by means of the site factor Ksite, t as [30]:
DEsite; t
5%
Ksite; t ¼ 1 (45)
Epot $Kper; t
70%
The technical availability factor Kava, t is defined by the energy
loss DEava, t due to the wind turbine availability as:
Wind Turbines Electrical Installations Grid Connections
DEava;t
Kava;t ¼ 1 (46) Civil Work Land Rent Project Management
Epot $Kper;t $Ksite;t Insurance Consultancy Financial Cost
The annual electrical transmission losses factor Klos, t can be Fig. 2. Fair range of the cost share of different components of the wind energy system
calculated as [25]: for commercial size wind turbine.
DElos; t
Klos; t ¼ 1 (47) wind energy system components, but an approximate cost analysis
ANEt
methodology can be used in this paper. This methodology was
Kutil is the utilization factor and defined as [25]: applied to determine the cost per kWh in each type of wind turbine
and each site. This method is simple, efficiently and used to
DEutil; t
Kutil; t ¼ 1 (48) compare the cost of energy from alternative generating devices.
ANEt $Klos; t From the fourth subroutine the total price of kW generated by
wind turbine approximately equal to $700 per kW (based on year of
2010). The total price of microprocessor is $2.3 per kW, the total
price of main substation is $10.4 per kW, the total price of modem
2) Second approach for remote control in central control station is about $4.16 per kW
and the total price of transmission line is about $1.3 per kW. Then:
This approach assumes that the annual utilized energy to be
constant from year to year (i.e. AUEt ¼ AUE for t ¼ 1 to n). In such TPWTG ¼ $700*NWTG*Pr (52)
case, the LPC can be calculated as [25]:
TOM is the total levelized annual “down line costs” and is TPTL ¼ $1:3*NWTG*Pr (56)
defined as [25]:
The cost of the operation and maintenance is about 10% of the
X
n total cost. Then:
TOM ¼ a1 $ ðOMt þ SCt þ RCt Þð1 þ rÞt SVð1 þ rÞn
t ¼1
Total Price ¼ 1:1*ðTPWTG þ TPMIC þ TPMS þ TPRC þ TPCCS
(51)
þ TPTLÞ
(57)
16 3.5
data 2
linear
15
Rated wind speed, ur
Shape Parameter, k
Yanbou
14 3 Yanbou
Dohloum
Dohloum
13 Dahhran
Dahhran
12 Riyadh
2.5 Riyadh
Qaysoma
11 Qaysoma
10 2
2 2.5 3 3.5 4 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
Cut-in wind speed Hub Height
Fig. 3. The relation between the rated and cut-in wind speeds. Fig. 5. A relation between the shape parameter, k along with the hub height, h of wind
turbines for five sites under study.
1) From the data of one hundred wind turbines, the relation be-
get the scale parameter for any site from its average wind speed
tween the rated and cut-in wind speed is shown in Fig. 3. The
from the following relation:
relation between the rated wind speed and cut-in wind speed
is obtained by linear interpolation and the equation is shown in
c ¼ 1:1064*Uav 0:49812 (61)
(60). This curve shows design constraints for the rated and cut
in wind speed. Many references have introduces a relation between scale pa-
rameters and average wind speed. O.A. Jaramillo [33] uses Gamma
function to predict this relation as shown in (62). The results ob-
Vr ¼ 1:2679 Vc þ 8:5227 (60) tained from Ref. [33] are typically aligned on the curve shown in
It is clear from Fig. 3 that the rated wind speed is directly pro- Fig. 11. G. L. Johnson [34],E. L. Skidmore [35] gives another linear
portional to cut-in wind speed. Also, the minimum cut-in and rated relation between scale parameters and average wind speed as
wind speed is 2.5 m/s and 10 m/s respectively. The maximum cut-in shown in (63).
and rated wind speed is 4 m/s and 15 m/s respectively.
Uav 1
Relations between scale and shape parameters along with the ¼ G 1þ (62)
hub height, h of wind turbine are shown in Fig. 4 and Fig. 5 c k
respectively. Fig. 4 shows that the value of scale parameter, c is
directly proportional to the hub height, h. This relation is very c ¼ 1:12*Uav (63)
useful in case of it is required to obtain the value of scale parameter,
The relation between the shape parameter and average wind
c at any height. It is also clear from Fig. 5 that the shape parameter, k
is almost constant for different hub heights. Also it is clear that the speed for five-sites under study is shown in Fig. 7. It is clear from
this figure that the shape parameter, k is directly proportional to the
value of shape parameter, k is directly proportional to the hub
average wind speed of the site, Uav but the change in shape
height with very low slope where the change in value of k is less
parameter; k is very limited with change in average wind speed.
than 5% in the range of hub height.
The relation between shape and scale parameters for five sites
The relation between the scale parameter and average wind
and one hundred wind turbines under study is shown in Fig. 8.
speed for three-sites under study is shown in the following Fig. 6. It
From this figure it is clear that, the relation is linear but differs from
is clear from this figure that the scale parameter, c is directly pro-
site to site. This relation is shown in many references [35] as a single
portional to the average wind speed of the site, V for all sites. Also, it
is clear that the linear relation between scale and average wind
speed lie on a linear relation in ideal way for all sites. So it is easy to 10
C=1.1064*uav-0.49812
9
8.5
8
Scale Parameter, C
8
7.5
Scale Parame te r,C
7 7
Yanbou
Yanbou
6.5
Dohloum
Dohloum 6
6 Dahhran
Dahhran
5.5 Riyadh
Riyadh
5
5 Qaysoma
Qaysoma
4.5 4
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hub Height Average wind speed
Fig. 4. A relation between the scale parameter, c along with the hub height, h of wind Fig. 6. The relation between scale parameter and average wind speed for five-sites and
turbines for five sites under study. one hundred wind turbines under study.
Author's personal copy
3.5
Yanbo
Yanbo
Douhlom
Douhlom
Shape Parameter, k
3 Dahhran
Dahhran
Riyadh
Riyadh
Qayssuma
Qayssuma
2.5
2
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9
Average wind Speed
Fig. 7. The relation between shape parameter, k and the average wind speed for five
sites and one hundred wind turbines. Fig. 9. The relation between average wind speed of site, rated wind speed of wind
turbine and the capacity factor, CF.
3.5
0.8 Simulation Results
Yanbou Curve fitting
Yanbou
Capacity factor, CF
Dohloum
0.6
shape Parameter,k
3 Dohloum
Dahhran
Dahhran
Riyadh
Riyadh 0.4
Qaysoma
Qaysoma
2.5
0.2
0
2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5
Scale Parameter , c Uav/Ur
Fig. 8. The relation between shape parameter and scale parameters for five sites and Fig. 10. The relation between Uav/ur and capacity factor for five sites and one hundred
one hundred wind turbines. wind turbines under study.
Author's personal copy
35 Table 1
Yanbou The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites and best five out of one hundred wind
Douhlom turbines.
30 Dahhran
Riyadh ECF Dhahran Yanbo Qaisumah Dhulom Riyadh
Energy Price (Cents/kWh)
15
10
5
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4
Capacity Factor, CF
Fig. 11. The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites along with the capacity factor for
one hundred wind turbines under study.
30
Simulation Results
Energy Price (Cents/kWh)
25 Curve Fitting
20
15
10 Fig. 14. The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites and best five out of one hundred
wind turbines.
5
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 Table 2
Average Wind Speed The best WTG and ECF value for each site.
turbine for Qaisumah and Dhulom sites with 6.06 and 7.06 (Cents/ PV the present value.
kWh) respectively. This wind turbine (KMW-ERNO) does not give PWF the present worth factor.
the minimum ECF for the other two sites (Yanbo and Riyadh), r the discount rate.
where the minimum ECF for these two sites are in using of Acciona- SP the simple payback period.
6 and GE Energy 2 wind turbines with 5.97 and 12.81 (Cents/kWh) TC the total cost.
respectively. So, it is recommended to use KMW-ERNO wind tur- ti the years before the start of commercial operation of the
bines in Dhahran, Qaisumah, and Dhulom sites and to use Acciona-6 wind power installation.
and GE Energy 2 wind turbines in Yanbo and Riyadh respectively. TOM the total levelized annual “down line cost”.
TPCCS the total price of remote control in central control station.
Acknowledgments TPMIC the total price of controllers.
TPMS the total price of main substation.
The authors acknowledge the National Plan for Sciences and TPTL the total price of transmission line.
Technology program (Project No.08-ENE226-02) by King Saud TPWTG the total price of wind turbines.
University for the financial support to carry out the research work Uav the mean wind speed m/s.
reported in this paper. Uav/ur The ratio of average and rated wind speed.
uc the cut-in speed.
Lists of symbols and Abbreviations uf the cutoff speed.
ur the rated speed.
WTG wind turbine generator.
DElos, t the annual electrical transmission loss. r the corrected monthly air density Kg/m3.
CO&M the cost of operation and maintenance normalized per
unit of energy $ per kWh. References
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