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Technical note
A R T I C L E I N F O
A B S T R A C T
Article history: This paper introduces an accurate procedure to choose the best site from many sites and suitable wind
Received 9 November 2012
turbines for these sites depending on the minimum price of kWh generated (Energy Cost Figure (ECF))
Accepted 7 April 2013
from wind energy system. In this paper a new proposed computer program has been introduced to
Available online
perform all the calculations and optimization required to accurately design the wind energy system and
matching between sites and wind turbines. Some of cost calculations of energy methods have been
Keywords:
introduced and compared to choose the most suitable method. The data for five sites in Saudi Arabia
Wind energy system design
Matching between site and wind turbine
and hundred wind turbines have been used to choose the best site and the optimum wind turbine for
Cost of energy each site. These sites are Yanbo, Dhahran, Dhulom, Riyadh, and Qaisumah. One hundred wind turbines
Price minimization of the generated kWh have been used to choose the best one for each site. This program is built in a generic form which
allows it to be used with unlimited number of sites and wind turbines in all over the world. The
program is written by using Visual Fortran and it is verified with simple calculation in Excel. The paper
showed that the best site is Dhahran and the suitable wind turbine for this site is KMW-ERNO with 5.85
Cents/kWh. The worst site to install wind energy system is Riyadh with minimum price of kWh of 12.81
Cents/kWh in case of using GE Energy 2 wind turbine.
© 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
0960-1481/$ e see front matter © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2013.04.006
Author's personal
is to collect the data of available wind turbines in the market. This 1. Hourly wind speed data for Yanbo, Dhahran, Dhulom, Riyadh,
leads to the question ‘What is the most appropriate wind turbine and Qaisumahsites of Saudi Arabia will be used. The hourly
for a particular site?’. The aim of this research is to provide an ac- wind speed data of these sites will be processed using sta-
curate answer to this question. A new proposed computer tistical procedures. The computer program can perform the
program is designed in this paper to answer this question and optimization for unlimited number of the available data sites.
many other questions. The function of the proposed program is to Wind data is collected from many sources as metrological
decide which the best site from many available sites is, and which authority and over the internet. Wind speeds can be collected
the suitable wind turbine for each site and the minimum price for for many sites for different period of times. Meteorologists
generated kWh. This decision requires very accurate statistical generally conclude that it takes at least 5 years of wind data
calculations. Another information can be extracted from this to determine a reliable average and variance of the wind
computer program such as the Weibull parameters, capacity factor speed. Some researchers claim that shorter period of time
and other infor- mation that may be helpful for researchers. The may be acceptable for designing renewable energy system
steps of these processes are very long and require long time and with acceptable confidence [12]. It is better to have a small
great efforts for calculations and optimizations. The new proposed interval between each reading of the wind speed data. Thirty
computer pro- gram will solve this problem in a very short time minutes are recommended interval between each two points
and gives accurate results in a flexible fashion. This computer of data. But, this may not available for all sites under study
program can be applied in any region in the world because it has because some of these sites have one-hour interval. So, the
the flexibility to change the economic calculation to suit any interval used in this research paper is one-hour to fit all
country and it is able to handle unlimited numbers of sites and available data.
wind turbines. 2. Performance data for market available wind turbines are
introduced, such as rated power, hub height, diameter of
2. Design of the proposed computer program swept area, cut-in speed, rated speed, cut-out speed, price of
wind turbine, and efficiency of the mechanical and electrical
The flowchart of the computer program is shown in Fig. 1. The system. In this step hundred market available wind turbines
program has a main part and five subroutines. Each subroutine are introduced to the computer program. The computer
will perform a certain function as shown in the following sections. program can perform the optimization for unlimited number
This program has been applied to the five sites in Saudi Arabia. of wind turbines.
The performance data of hundred of market available wind 3. Hourly loads required to be supplied from the wind energy
turbines were used to select the most suitable one for each site. system. The load data used in this program is actual data for
small city in Saudi Arabia. The average power required for this
3. Program input data load is 22.5 MW.
Weibull Parameters Calculation, (c and k) The purpose of this subroutine is to determine the Weibull,
scale and shape parameters, c and k. A good estimation for c and k
can be obtained quickly as the following [13]:
Calculating CF, Pav, and ANWTG
c ¼ 1:12U ð1:5 ≤ k ≤ 3:0Þ (1)
U
c
Gð1 þ 1=kÞ h o ¼ Cp h m h g (13)
(4)
¼
A relation between c and k and other parameters such as If Pe > PL; Then PT ¼ Pe — PL and Pf ¼ 0 (14)
average wind speed and hub height is extracted from the results of
this subroutine.
If Pe > PL; Then PF ¼ PL — Pe and PT ¼ 0 (15)
Another method depends on the accurate statistical analysis for
obtaining Weibull parameters has been used in this computer For energy balance the following conditions must be satisfied:
program [14]. The final results for the Weibull parameters are: 8760 8760 8760 8760
k ¼ a X X X X
Pe ðiÞ — PL ðiÞ ¼ 0; PT ðiÞ ¼ PF ðiÞ ¼ 0 (16)
(5) i¼ 1 i¼ 1 i¼ 1 i¼ 1
c ¼ expð—b=kÞ
where
P
Pw w 4.4. Energy price calculation
Pw xi yi P P
i¼ 1 i¼ w
xiyi — w This subroutine is used to compute the ECF for each site and
a ¼ i¼ 1
i¼ i w
2
ðxw i¼ 1 i each type of wind turbine.
Pw ¼
1 i ¼— ðy —
x ! P 1 ðx i — xÞ 2
P
i
x2 — 4.5. ECF optimization subroutine
w
i¼
1 i¼ 1
w
i (6)
The purpose of this subroutine is to select the minimum value of
w w
X X ECF and then determine the corresponding site and wind turbine
1 a type.
b ¼ yi — axi ¼ yi — xi (7)
w w
i¼ 1 i¼ 1
The purpose of this subroutine is to determine the Capacity energy system, but also to compare it with conventional and
Factor, CF, and the average number of wind turbine generators, other renewable energy based systems and to match between
ANWTG. The capacity factor can be obtained from the following the site and wind turbine depending on the minimum energy
equation [13]: price. The following are different methods of overall economic
h i h i analysis:
k k
exp — ðuc =cÞ — exp — ður =cÞ ki
SP ¼ CC=AAR (17)
AAR ¼ Ea PE (18)
SP ¼ CC =ðEa Pe Þ (19)
It should be pointed out that the calculation of simple
payback period omits many factors that may have a significant
effect on the
Author's personal
—N
XN 1þ i
j
PWF ¼ PV=FV ¼ ð1 þ rÞ NPVs ðS — CÞ
j 1
If only cost factors are considered, then a cost version of net
present value, NPVC, may be used. NPVC may be found from the
2) Levelizing following equation [15]:
1 1þ i
Levelizing is a method for expressing costs or revenues that NPVC ¼ pd þ paY ;N þ CCfOMY ;L (32)
occur once or in irregular intervals as equivalent equal payments 1þ r 1þ r
at regular intervals. Considering a loan of value PV N is to be repaid
Levelized cost of energy (COEL) for the utility-based calculation
with a single payment FN at the end of N years. The payment is
of cost of energy can be given by Ref. [15]:
[21]:
N
FN ¼ PVN$ð1 þ rÞ (24) P ðLevelized annual costsÞ
COE (33)
Annual energy production
L ¼
A loan that is to be repaid in N equal installments can be
Using CRF and NPVC the COEL can be calculated by Ref. [5]:
considered as the sum of N loans, one for each year, the jth loan
Author's personal
being repaid in a single installment A at the end of the jth year. ðNPVC CRF
COE (34)
Thus, the value, PV, of the loan equals [21]: Annual energy production
¼L
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5.4. Levelized production cost (LPC) The annual potential energy output (Epot) of a wind turbine
experiencing specific meteorological conditions is given by Ref.
In this method the cost components are assumed to be the [25]:
investment cost, operation and maintenance cost, repair
N
cost, salvage value and social cost. The following sections Z
introduce two approaches to calculate the levelized production Epot ¼ 8760$
pðuÞ$f u du (42)
cost: 0
The total investment can be calculated by Ref. [25]: In some cases the site surroundings may change with time due
to erection of new wind turbines, tree planting, construction of
new houses, etc. thus influencing the wind speed distribution
and the
Author's personal
energy output from the wind turbine. In such cases, the reduction
%
2
%
2
2
in annual energy output, DEsite, t,due to the changed surroundings
8
should take into account. The annual reduction may be expressed
by means of the site factor Ksite, t as [30]:
7
Ksite; t DEsite; t
¼ 1—
(45)
Epot$Kper t
5
;
The technical availability factor Kava, t is defined by the energy
7
loss DEava, t due to the wind turbine availability as:
DEava;t Wind Turbines Civil Work Electrical Installations Land Rent Grid Connections Project Management
Ka a t ¼ 1 — Insurance Consultancy Financial Cost
(46)
v Epot $Kper;t $Ksite;t
Klos; t DElos; t
(47) wind energy system components, but an approximate cost analysis
¼ 1—
ANEt methodology can be used in this paper. This methodology was
Kutil is the utilization factor and defined as [25]: applied to determine the cost per kWh in each type of wind turbine
DEutil; t and each site. This method is simple, efficiently and used to
util ; t (48) compare the cost of energy from alternative generating devices.
K ¼ 1 ANEt $Klos; t From the fourth subroutine the total price of kW generated by
wind turbine approximately equal to $700 per kW (based on year
of 2010). The total price of microprocessor is $2.3 per kW, the
total price of main substation is $10.4 per kW, the total price of
2) Second approach modem for remote control in central control station is about $4.16
per kW and the total price of transmission line is about $1.3 per
This approach assumes that the annual utilized energy to be kW. Then:
constant from year to year (i.e. AUE t AUE for t 1 to n). In such
¼ ¼
case, the LPC can be calculated as [25]: TPWTG ¼ $700*NWTG*Pr (52)
LPC ¼ I=ða$AUEÞþ TOM=AUE (49)
TPMIC ¼ $2:3*NWTG*Pr (53)
a is the annuity factor and is defined as [25]:
TPMS ¼ $10:4*NWTG*Pr (54)
n
a ¼ 1= t .
X ð1 þ rÞ—t ¼ 1 — ð1 þ rÞ—n TPCCS ¼ $4:16*NWTG*Pr (55)
r (50)
¼1
due to the variation of wind speed and changing in the price of Many results have been extracted from the proposed computer
program. Each part in the computer program can provide the re-
searchers with a lot of helpful information due to the wide input.
The results of this computer program have been checked with the
results obtained from software packages used in this application
such as Homer and Retscreen. The following is the summary of the
output results:
Author's personal
16 3.5
data 2 linear
15
14 3
Rated wind speed,
13
Shape
Yanbou
12 2.5
Yanbou Dohloum
Dohloum
Dahhran Dahhran
Riyadh
11 Riyadh Qaysoma Qaysoma
10 2
2 2.5 3 3.5 4 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
Cut-in wind speed Hub Height
Fig. 3. The relation between the rated and cut-in wind speeds. Fig. 5. A relation between the shape parameter, k along with the hub height, h of wind
turbines for five sites under study.
1) From the data of one hundred wind turbines, the relation be-
tween the rated and cut-in wind speed is shown in Fig. 3. The get the scale parameter for any site from its average wind speed
relation between the rated wind speed and cut-in wind speed from the following relation:
is obtained by linear interpolation and the equation is shown
c ¼ 1:1064*Uav — 0:49812 (61)
in (60). This curve shows design constraints for the rated and
cut in wind speed. Many references have introduces a relation between scale pa-
rameters and average wind speed. O.A. Jaramillo [33] uses Gamma
function to predict this relation as shown in (62). The results ob-
Vr ¼ 1:2679 Vc þ 8:5227 (60)
tained from Ref. [33] are typically aligned on the curve shown in
It is clear from Fig. 3 that the rated wind speed is directly pro- Fig. 11. G. L. Johnson [34],E. L. Skidmore [35] gives another linear
portional to cut-in wind speed. Also, the minimum cut-in and rated relation between scale parameters and average wind speed as
wind speed is 2.5 m/s and 10 m/s respectively. The maximum cut-in shown in (63).
and rated wind speed is 4 m/s and 15 m/s respectively. Uav 1
Relations between scale and shape parameters along with the ¼ G 1þ (62)
hub height, h of wind turbine are shown in Fig. 4 and Fig. 5 c k
respectively. Fig. 4 shows that the value of scale parameter, c is
directly proportional to the hub height, h. This relation is very c ¼ 1:12*Uav (63)
useful in case of it is required to obtain the value of scale
parameter, c at any height. It is also clear from Fig. 5 that the shape The relation between the shape parameter and average wind
parameter, k is almost constant for different hub heights. Also it is speed for five-sites under study is shown in Fig. 7. It is clear from
clear that the value of shape parameter, k is directly proportional this figure that the shape parameter, k is directly proportional to
to the hub height with very low slope where the change in value of the average wind speed of the site, Uav but the change in shape
k is less than 5% in the range of hub height. parameter; k is very limited with change in average wind speed.
The relation between the scale parameter and average wind The relation between shape and scale parameters for five sites
speed for three-sites under study is shown in the following Fig. 6. and one hundred wind turbines under study is shown in Fig. 8.
It is clear from this figure that the scale parameter, c is directly From this figure it is clear that, the relation is linear but differs
pro- portional to the average wind speed of the site, V for all sites. from site to site. This relation is shown in many references [35] as a
Also, it is clear that the linear relation between scale and average single
wind speed lie on a linear relation in ideal way for all sites. So it is
easy to 10 C=1.1064*uav-0.49812
9
8.5
8
8
Scale Parameter,
7.5
7
Parame te
6.5
6
6
Sc
4.5 4
40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Hub Height Average wind speed
Fig. 4. A relation between the scale parameter, c along with the hub height, h of wind Fig. 6. The relation between scale parameter and average wind speed for five-sites and
turbines for five sites under study. one hundred wind turbines under study.
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3.5
Yanbo Yanbo Douhlom Douhlom Dahhran Dahhran Riyadh Riyadh Qayssuma Qayssuma
3
Shape
2.5
2
4.5 5 5.5 6 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 9
Average wind Speed
Fig. 7. The relation between shape parameter, k and the average wind speed for five
sites and one hundred wind turbines. Fig. 9. The relation between average wind speed of site, rated wind speed of wind
turbine and the capacity factor, CF.
Yanbou 0.6
Capacity factor,
0.4
shape
2.5
0.2
0
2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
4.5 5 5.5 6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5
6
Scale Parameter , c Uav/Ur
Fig. 8. The relation between shape parameter and scale parameters for five sites and Fig. 10. The relation between Uav/ur and capacity factor for five sites and one hundred
one hundred wind turbines. wind turbines under study.
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35
Table 1
Yanbou Douhlom Dahhran Riyadh Qaysoma
The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites and best five out of one hundred wind
30 turbines.
25
Energy Price
20
15
10
5
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4
Capacity Factor, CF
Fig. 11. The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites along with the capacity factor for
one hundred wind turbines under study.
30
Simulation Results Curve Fitting
25
20
Energy Price
15
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10
Fig. 14. The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites and best five out of one hundred
wind turbines.
5
4.5 5 5.5
6.5 7 7.5 8 8.5 Table 2
6
Average Wind Speed The best WTG and ECF value for each site.
paper to handle the whole steps of the design of the wind energy
15
system in very short time. Unlimited numbers of sites and wind
turbines can be used with this computer program. The salient
10 results from this paper show that the best site from the five sites
under study is Dhahran and the suitable wind turbine for this site
is KMW-ERNO with 5.85 Cents/kWh. The worst site to install wind
5
0.3 0.35 0.4 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 energy system is Riyadh with minimum price of kWh of 12.81
Uav/Ur Cents/kWh in case of using GE Energy 2 wind turbine. This shows
clearly that the price of kWh generated in Riyadh is twice its value
Fig. 13. The energy price in Cents/kWh for five sites along with (Uav/ur) for one hun- if we install the wind energy system in Dhahran. So it is not
dred wind turbines under study.
recommended to install wind energy system in Riyadh. KMW-
ERNO wind turbine is the best wind
Author's personal
turbine for Qaisumah and Dhulom sites with 6.06 and 7.06 (Cents/ PV the present value.
kWh) respectively. This wind turbine (KMW-ERNO) does not give PWF the present worth factor.
the minimum ECF for the other two sites (Yanbo and Riyadh), r the discount rate.
where the minimum ECF for these two sites are in using of SP the simple payback period.
Acciona- 6 and GE Energy 2 wind turbines with 5.97 and 12.81 TC the total cost.
(Cents/kWh) respectively. So, it is recommended to use KMW- ti the years before the start of commercial operation of the
ERNO wind tur- bines in Dhahran, Qaisumah, and Dhulom sites wind power installation.
and to use Acciona-6 and GE Energy 2 wind turbines in Yanbo and TOM the total levelized annual “down line cost”.
Riyadh respectively. TPCCS the total price of remote control in central control
station. TPMIC the total price of controllers.
Acknowledgments TPMS the total price of main substation.
TPTL the total price of transmission line.
The authors acknowledge the National Plan for Sciences and TPWTG the total price of wind turbines.
Technology program (Project No.08-ENE226-02) by King Saud Uav the mean wind speed m/s.
University for the financial support to carry out the research work Uav/ur The ratio of average and rated wind speed.
reported in this paper. uc the cut-in speed.
uf the cutoff speed.
Lists of symbols and Abbreviations ur the rated speed.
WTG wind turbine generator.
r the corrected monthly air density Kg/m3.
DE
—los, t the annual electrical transmission loss.
C the cost of operation and maintenance normalized per
O
unit of energy $ per kWh. References
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