Professional Documents
Culture Documents
RAYA UNIVERSITY
DEPARTMENT OF MANUFACTURING
Maichew, Ethiopia
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Contents
2I Executive summery.................................................................................................................................3
1. IROUDUCTION.........................................................................................................................................4
2. Objective of the project...........................................................................................................................5
2.1 Short term objectives........................................................................................................................5
2.2Long term objectives..........................................................................................................................5
3. Project Location.......................................................................................................................................5
4. Scope of the project................................................................................................................................6
5. Significance of the project.......................................................................................................................6
6. Market analysis........................................................................................................................................6
6. 1 Overall market..................................................................................................................................6
6.2 specific markets.................................................................................................................................7
6.3 competitors analysis..........................................................................................................................7
7. Demand analysis......................................................................................................................................7
7.1 Past Supply and Present Demand......................................................................................................7
7.2 Demand projection............................................................................................................................8
8. Supply analysis.........................................................................................................................................9
8.1 Over all concept and orientation.....................................................................................................10
8.2 marketing strategy...........................................................................................................................10
8.2.1 Distribution:..............................................................................................................................10
8.2.2 Promotion:................................................................................................................................10
8.2.3 Pricing strategy:........................................................................................................................10
8.3 sales forecast....................................................................................................................................10
9. SWOT Analysis.......................................................................................................................................11
10.Technical aspect of the project.............................................................................................................12
10.1 Production Process............................................................................................................................12
11.Plant capacity and production program.............................................................................................13
11.1 Plant Capacity................................................................................................................................14
12. Man power requirement...................................................................................................................14
14. Forms of ownership.............................................................................................................................15
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15. Total investment..................................................................................................................................16
16. Total fixed cost....................................................................................................................................16
17 Cost summery of investment................................................................................................................16
18. Financial plan......................................................................................................................................18
18.1 Financial statement........................................................................................................................18
18.2 Financial resources........................................................................................................................21
18.3 Financial strategies....................................................................................................................21
1.9 Appraisal criteria..................................................................................................................................21
19.1 Financial criteria................................................................................................................................21
20. Implementation schedule....................................................................................................................23
21. Source of finance and bank loan repayment schedule of the firm......................................................23
22. Conclusion...........................................................................................................................................24
Appendixes:...............................................................................................................................................24
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Executive summery
MELES ZENAWI COFFEE ENTERPRISE is a partnership type of business enterprise which is going
to supply two types of product to its targeted customers. The first type of product is roared and
packed coffee and the second one is grinded and packed coffee. The business is located in
Bonga Town (The administrative center of Kafa Zone.
The main objective of our business in the short run is to obtain acceptance from customers (have
a public image to our product) and penetrate to the market by providing the product with
relatively low price compared to our competitors that only cover the cost of production. But as
time goes on or in the long run the venture has the objective of maximizing profit especially
through service quality and mass production for both high income and low income group of the
society. The venture will require skilled and experienced labor who had worked in similar
business activity for a long period of time. Our primary target customer will be those who are
busy of work and unable to roar and grind coffee at their home.
The business requires 300,000ETB, out of which 70% will be covered by the partners of the
venture and the rest of 30% will be financed through borrowing from microfinance institutions.
Additionally, we planned to reinvest some proportion of the earnings initial period in order to
expand our business. At the first phase of operation (2011 E.C.), the business will have an annual
sales forecast of 664,300ETB and a net income of 82670ETB. By the end of 2013E.C,the
business will have sales forecast 148250ETB and a net income of 94570ETB. This estimation is
based on considering the three scenarios, best case, likely case, worst case of sales forecast.
The business also expects risks and makes a necessary preparation to cope with such unforeseen
event.
The owners of the venture expect that there will be challenges of paid up capital scarcity,
difficulties of having significant market share and expansion of the firm. Taking the above
challenges under consideration, we will try to regulate these futures by delegation of
responsibilities, producing quality coffee and through fair pricing and other mechanisms.
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1. IROUDUCTION
Ethiopia is the birth place of the Arabica coffee tree, coffee Arabica, which is vital to the cultural
and socio-economic life of around 20 million peoples of Ethiopia. The green Coffee contributes
more than 25% of the country’s foreign exchange earnings. Ethiopia is the only country in the
world which has an estimated treasure of more than 10,000 genetically differentiated varieties of
coffee. These untapped resources of varieties of green coffee is processed can produce different
tastes, aromas and flavors popular with foreign and domestic consumers.
Ethiopia is the world's seventh largest producer of coffee, and Africa's top producer, with
260,000 metric tons in 2006. Half of the coffee is consumed by Ethiopians, and the country leads
the continent in domestic consumption. The major markets for Ethiopian coffee are the EU
(about half of exports), East Asia (about a quarter) and North America. The total area used for
coffee cultivation is estimated to be about 4,000 km2 (1,500 sq mi), the size is unknown due to
the fragmented nature of the coffee farms. The way of production has not changed much, with
nearly all work, cultivating and drying, still done by hand.
The revenues from coffee exports account for 10% of the annual government revenue, because
of the large share the industry is given very high priority, but there are conscious efforts by the
government to reduce the coffee industry's share of the GDP by increasing the manufacturing
sector.
The Coffee and Tea Authority, part of the federal government, handles anything related to coffee
and tea such as fixing the price at which the washing stations buy coffee from the farmers. This
is a legacy from a nationalization scheme set in action by the previous regime that turned over all
the washing stations to farmers’ cooperatives. The domestic market is heavily regulated through
licenses, with the goal of avoiding market concentration
In addition to its origin of the worldly known famous Arabica Coffee, it is also the home of
diversified coffee trees with mosaic cups and joyful coffee ceremony. Approximately coffee
trees cover about 320,000 hectares of land and produce about 250,000 metric tons. (3.8 million
Bags, 1 bag is 60kg) of wonderful coffee annually (USAID, GEM Report).
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Various studies and reports indicate that there are three ways of coffee grow under: semi forest/
forest system (35%), cottage coffee (60%) and large Estate plantation (5%). Ethiopia shares 3%
of the world production, third in Africa and 8-10 th in global coffee export, washed by high land
spring water and dried steadily under tropical sun. The Ethiopian coffee about 30% is dry and
close to 5% under the 3rd window as certified organic coffee. About 109,000 metric tons of
Ethiopian coffee is exported per year to different countries of the world. Out of total coverage of
coffee tree in Ethiopia, southern region takes its share about 58% and annual average export of
washed and unwashed clean coffee 67% & 29 % respectively is from the southern region.
3. Project Location
Raw material and infrastructure access, availability of labor and potential market are major
factors in selection of a location for a certain project. Taking in to account these main factors for
its success Bonga Town (The administrative center of Keffa zone) is the ideal location proposed
for under taking the project in the region.
Bonga town has all infrastructure facilities vital for the implementation and operation of
industrial activities. Presently the town receives an electric supply from hydroelectric power
source. It has a pipe water supply, banking and digital telecommunication facilities. The main
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Asphalt high road that stretches from Jima, to Mizan town passes via Bonga town. Bonga town is
located at the south western part of Addis Ababa which’s a distance of 446 km.
Kaffa zone has a total area of 1060.27 square Kilometers & it lies at an altitude ranging from
500-3500 meters above sea level. The total population of the zone is 789818 (1996) with a
population density of 74 persons per kilometers square the zone is sub divided in to ten woredas
namely. Gesha , Chena, Gimbo, Menjieo, Tello, Cheta, Bita, Gewata, Saylem&Dechaworeda.
As regards the Agro climatic condition, out of the total area that the zone has, Dega sheres
3.24%. The mean annual temperature of the zone ranges from 12 to 26 c0 aand the mean annual
rein fall of the zone ranges, from 1400 to 2200 mm.
6. Market analysis
6. 1 Overall market
As we allays the coffee market, business who engaged in setting roared and packed as well as
grinded packed coffee are profitable. This profit is mainly generated from mass selling wider
area coverage. However they do not consider people having less purchasing power as they
packed a half or a kilo of coffee as a minimum amount which may not be affordable by less
income earners.
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Therefore this venture will pack and sell from 1/4th kilo of coffee and below this to take under
consideration of people with low purchasing power.
7. Demand analysis
7.1 Past Supply and Present Demand
A coffee bean (green coffee) has very high domestic and export demand. Coffee consumption in
Ethiopian society is not only used for personal satisfaction but also includes some traditional
ceremonies and group enjoyments with family members and neighbors.
Supply of roasted coffee has been both from local and imports of different origins. There is also
some amount of export. For domestic production see tables 7.1, while for import & export see
table 7.1.
Year production
2001 300
2002 115
2003 259
2004 563
2005 16317
2006 1544
2007 2767
2008 1984
2009 1708
Source: - CSA, Large and Medium Scale Manufacturing and Electricity Industries Survey,
Various Issues. As can be seen from Table 7.1, domestic production of roasted coffee which was
300 tons at the beginning of the period (2001) has grown to 1,708 tons at the close of the period
(2009). It can also be observed that exports amounted in the hundredth’s (309 tons on average) in
2001- 2005 interval while starting 2005 it amounted in thousands (2000 tons on average after
excluding the outlier value of 2005). There were also fluctuations within these intervals. So, it
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will be more appropriate to take the average of last three years in estimating the year 2012
production level. Accordingly, the year 2011 domestic production of roasted coffee is estimated
at 2,153 tons.
It can be seen from Table 7.2 that import and export have been small in amount as compared to
domestic production. The pattern with imports and exports has shown more or less similar
situations to that of domestic production. In estimating the 2011 import and export levels the
average of last three years has been taken. Accordingly, import and export of roasted coffee for
2012 has been estimated at 44 tons and 5 tons, respectively.
Thus, adding domestic production and that of import, the present effective demand of roasted
coffee for 2011 is estimated at 2,197 tons.
type, major consumers are expected to be urban dwellers and those prosperous among the rural
society. However, it has been assumed for this purpose that the urban residents will be major
target consumers of the product. According to CSA (2007) the urban population is growing at
more than 4% per annum. The country’s economy is growing at 11%, the population and income
effects are also similar. With such understanding 4% is used to project demand growth. Domestic
production is expected to remain at year 2011 level (2,153 tons). Export is forecasted to grow by
its average growth rate of the last four years i.e., 55%. The demand projection for roasted coffee
is depicted in Table 7.3
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Table 7.3 Demand projection for roasted coffee (tones)
8. Supply analysis
The decision of the price of the product is based on the current market price. However, as a new
firm, we will primarily focus penetrating into the market by selling at lowest price which can
cover only our costs of production (having zero economic profit at the beginning).
The current market price of roared coffee is ETB 120 per kilo and the price of grinned coffee is
ETB 130 per kilo. We will make a 25%-30% deduction on the current market price by assuming
that we can cover our costs on production at this low price.
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8.2 marketing strategy
The marketing strategy of this venture is going to be achieved through the following
mechanisms.
8.2.1 Distribution:
This coffee firm will distributes product in Addis Ababa from its main location around Bonga to
other region and cities where the demand for roared and grinned coffee is high.
8.2.2 Promotion:
Promotion plays an important role in attracting new customers since our business is new to the
market. So we will use different advertising mechanisms such as radio transmission, newspapers,
creating internet address, personal visits and exhibitions. Additionally we will use informal
means of advertisement like asking customers who use our product about the quality of the
product and as how much they are satisfied by our product’s quality.
9. SWOT Analysis
Strength
The production and supply of roasted, grinded and packed coffee in this company will be
performed more efficiently and effectively than our rivals by using technological economies of
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production with skillful and experienced manpower. This increase the quality and quantity of our
product. We attach ourselves to this work and arrange good condition for increasing the output of
the business. Moreover we are highly interested to make favorable condition to our customers to
purchase our product.
Weakness
As a business work, our company begins with a limited capital due to this, it is difficult to
produce a mass and we cannot able to satisfy our customer at a time.
Opportunity
The opportunity of our business is that the input we required can get at a lower cost and easily.
So we can start our production without any input constraints. The business is managed by the
owners of the company to avoid carelessness in the working time. For the future if we increase
our capital we will diversify our business in the production and supply not only for domestic
market but also supply to international market. This is a great opportunity for us.
Threat
The major threat of our business is that there is a competitor that produces similar products with
us in our destination and this may shift the consumers’ preference from our product to the
competitors’ product.
This can be solved by reducing the price and making with unique incentives for the customers.
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10.Technical aspect of the project
Washing coffee
Roaring and
packing coffee
Selling
coffee
The main processing steps in the manufacture of roasted ground coffee are blending, roasting,
grinding and packing. Green coffee is cleaned of string, lint, dust, hulls and other foreign matter.
The post – cleaning operations of the production process are stated briefly hereunder.
Roasting: Coffee from different varieties or sources is usually blended before or after roasting in
order to achieve good taste coffee as well as low cost production.
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Roasting by hot combustion gases in roasting cylinders requires 8-15 minutes. The bean charge
absorbs heat at a fairly uniform rate and most moisture is removed during the first two-thirds of
this period. As the temperature of the coffee increases rapidly during the last few minutes, the
beans swell and unfold with a noticeable cracking sound, like that of popping corn, indicating a
reaction change from endothermic to exothermic. This stage is known as development of the
roast. The final bean temperature, 200-220ºc, is determined by the blend, variety, and flavor
development desire. A water or air quench terminates the roasting reaction. Most, but not all, of
any added water is then evaporated.
The bean temperature, correlated to the color of ground coffee measured by a photometric
reflectance instrument, determines the quench end point of a roast. At the final bean temperature,
the firing shuts down automatically, followed by water spraying for a timed period and finally,
discharge of the coffee.
Air must be circulated through the beans to remove excess heat before the finished and quenched
roasted coffee is conveyed to storage bins. Residual foreign matter such as stones and tramp
iron, which may have passed through the initial green coffee cleaning operation, must be
removed before grinding. This is accomplished by an air lift adjusted to such a high velocity that
the roasted coffee beans are carried over into bins above the grinders, and heavier impurities left
behind. The coffee beans flow by gravity to mills where they are ground to the desired particle
size.
Grinding: Roasted coffee beans are ground to improve the extraction efficiency in the
preparation of the beverage. Particle size distributions ranging from about 1100µm average (very
coarse) to about 500µm average (very fine) are tailored by the manufacturer to the various kinds
of coffee makers used in households, hotels, restaurants and institutions. Coffee is ground in
mills that use multiple steel cutting rolls to produce the most desirable uniform particle size
distribution. After passing through cracking rolls, the broken beans are fed between two or more
rolls, one of which is cut or scored longitudinally, the other, circumferentially. The paired rolls
operate at differential speeds to cut, rather than crush, the coffee particles. A second pair of more
finely scored rolls, installed below the main grinding rolls and running at higher speeds, is used
for finer grinds.
Packaging: - After roasting and grinding, the coffee is conveyed, usually by gravity, to weighing
and filling machines that achieve the proper fill by tapping or vibrating. The ground coffee is
vacuum packed in flexible paper bag and placed in a paperboard carton that helps shape the bag
into a hard brick form during the vacuum process. The carton also protects the package from
physical damage during handling and transportation. This type of package provides a barrier to
moisture and oxygen.
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11.1 Plant Capacity
Meles zenawi coffee venture production plan is based on the size of the firm. The enterprise’s
assumption is to start by having 500 KGs of raw coffee and 85,000 ETB cost roared and grinner
of coffee machines. In such away the firm plans to produce 6 KGs of roared and packed coffee,
8KGs of grinned and packed coffee per day on average for the first year of operating period
which is 2011 E.C.
The Meles zenawi firm will hire four persons initially. Additionally some of the parents and
others also be hired in the business.
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13. The organizational structure
Partners
Sales person
Purchasing department
Equipments
technician
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economics
5 Tamrie Mulu F 20 60000 BA degree in
economics
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3 Building and Civil 18000
Work
4 Office Furniture 11000
and Equipment
5 Pre-production 23000
Expenditure
6 Working Capital 166972
Total investment 300000
N.B Pre-production expenditure includes costs of interest, costs of registration, licensing and formation of
the company including legal fees, commissioning expenses, etc.
C. Raw materials and input costs
The principal raw material for coffee roast, grind and pack production is coffee bean. The raw coffee is
available within short distance. The required amount is described in the following table
D. Utilities
The major utilities required by the plant are electricity and water. The estimated annual
requirement at full production capacity of the plant and the corresponding cost are given in
Table below. The total annual cost of utilities is estimated as Birr 600.
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no Description Quantity
1 Coffee roared and 1
grinder
2 Laminator/packaging 2
machine
3 Plastics and hard 14
papers
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PROJECT CASH FLOW:
Cash inflow
Cash outflow
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PROJECT BALANCE SHEET:
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18.3Financial strategies
The financial resource available for the business at the beginning, which will be contributed by
partners and loan from micro finance institutions, will be used as a financial start up cost and will
be, monitored by the general manager of the firm. The operation profit of the firm will be
reinvested to the expansion of the business.
Break-even Analysis
The break-even analysis establishes a relationship between operation costs and revenues. It
indicated the level at which costs and revenues are at equilibrium. To this end, the break even
analysis point of the project including cost of finance when it starts to operate at full capacity is
estimated by using income statement projection.
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Internal Rate of Return (IRR)
The IRR is the annualized effective compounded return rate that can be earned on the invested
capital i.e. the yield on investment. Put another way, the IRR for an investment is the discount
rate that makes the NPV of investment income stream total to zero. A project is a good
investment proposition if its IRR is greater than the rate of return that could be earned by
alternative investments or putting the money in a bank account. Based on the cash flow
statement, the calculated IRR of the project is between 11%>10% (which makes NPV=0),
indicating the viability of the project.
Net present value (NPV)
NPV is defined as the total present (discounted) value of a time series of cash flows. NPV
aggregates cash flows that occur during different periods of time during the life of a project into
a common measuring unit i.e. present value. It is a standard method for using the time value of
money to appraise long term projects. NPV is an indicator of how much value an investment or
project adds to the capital invested. In principal a project is accepted if the NPV is positive.
Accordingly, the NPV of the project at 10% discount rate is found to be birr 7363.63 for the first
year. Look the following illustrations:
Cash inflow for the 1st year =664300 = NPV = Present cash inflow / (1+r) t
=
/
664300 (1+0.1)=603909.09
/
Cash outflow for the 1st year=656200=NPV=656200 (1+0.1)=596545.45
Net NPV = 603909.09-596545.45= 7363, which is positive, the same for all the rest years, and
this shows that the project is viable.
Benefit cost ratio
It refers the ratio of the present value of cash inflow and cash out flow during the planned period
which means: BCR= PresentCash inflow/PresentCash outflow=603909.09/596545.45=1.01, it is
greater than one so we can accept the project.
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20. Implementation schedule
By using network manner interdependence of different activities we plan our products on
launching, process, and implementation. The following activities that are undertake by our
project.
21. Source of finance and bank loan repayment schedule of the firm
The source the income left for the operation of M/Z coffee Company is from partner contribution
and bank loan at 10% rate loan interest payment and the principal will be started to pay after the
production started. According to its sale forecast, total revenue and estimated net income of this
coffee company can repay its loan within its schedule.
22. Conclusion
The realization of this project helps to produce and supply roasted, grinded and packed coffee for the
domestic consumer. This project highly depends on agricultural input, and it has high benefit to the
farmers who engaged in the production of coffee.
To sum up, the project starts with production capacity of 500 kilo of coffee bean at the introduction
period and increasing its supply depending on the demand. The projected demand also shows increase
demand for the proposed project.
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Appendixes:
“Quality product with a time saving machine.”
Price list:
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