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Journal of South Asian and Middle Eastern Studies
Pakistan—From Hybrid-Democracy
to Hybrid-Martial Law
Ayesha Siddiqa*
Introduction
Pakistan held its eleventh general elections in July 2018 and the second
in a row in which the baton of government was passed from one civilian
government to the other without any interference from the military. The
smooth transition took place despite allegations of election rigging by the
army. However, can the peaceful shift be deemed as a sign of democracy
strengthened in the country? The argument is that electoral democracy
alone does not guarantee the consolidation of democracy. For civil-military
relations to improve in favor of the former depends on the relative power
of the political class and civil society to negotiate from a position of strength
with their armed forces. In Pakistan’s case, it will be argued that, the power
was reduced to a degree as the polity seems to be a case of a hybrid martial
law where all real power is vested in the army, and civilian government is
relegated to the position of a junior partner.
In the seventy-one years after independence from the British rule,
Pakistan’s armed forces have evolved into a political hegemony that now
exercises greater power than any other competing institution. It is not only
the key player in power politics but it is also a prominent economic and
societal player. An added feather in the military’s cap is the ability to hide
*Ayesha Siddiqa, earned her Ph.D. in War Studies from King's College, London. She is a
research associate with the Centre for International Studies & Diplomacy (CISD) at the
School of Oriental & African Studies (SOAS), University of London. She is the author of “
Pakistan’s Arms Procurement and Military Buildup, 1979-99” (Palgrave Press, 2001), and”
Military Inc, Inside Pakistan’s Military Economy” (Pluto Press 2007 & updated edition
2016).. She is a Charles Wallace fellow at St. Antony's College, Oxford; the inaugural
Pakistan fellow at the Woodrow Wilson International Centre for Scholars; a research fellow
at the University of Pennsylvania Institute for Advanced Studies of India (UPIASI); a Ford
Fellow at the Bonn International Centre for Conversion, and Senior Research Fellow at
Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico. She has taught at the University of
Pennsylvania, Johns Hopkins University, Lahore University of Management Sciences
(LUMS) and Quaide Azam University, Islamabad. She is currently working on her book on
the exchange of religious narratives between the Middle East and South Asia.
52
1
S. Akbar Zaidi, “The End of Democracy or a New Resurgence in Pakistan?” In Economic
and Political Weekly, Vol. 53, Issue no. 24, 16/06/2018. Pp. 18-20.
2
Pervez Iqbal Cheema, The Armed Forces of Pakistan. (Karachi: Oxford University Press,
2002). P. 182.
53
3
Juan J. Linz and Alfred Stepan, Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation: Southern
Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe. ( Johns Hopkins University Press, 1996
(Kindle Edition, Locations 375-377).
4
Amos Perlmutter, Political Roles and Military Rulers. (London: Frank Cass Ltd, 1981). P. 13.
5
Ayesha Jalal, Pakistan State of Martial Rule. (Lahore: Vanguard Books. Pakistan Edition,
1991). Pp. 63-64.
6
Interview with military historian Hamid Hussain (November 13, 2018).
7
Ibid.,
8
Aqil Shah, The Army and Democracy: Military Politics in Pakistan. (Massachusetts: Harvard
University Press, 2014.
54
The institutional ethos not only set these men apart from the grizzly reality
of chaotic state politics, but it also infested the officer cadre with a sense of
their own cultural and social superiority versus the political class. The
assassination of the first Prime Minister Liaquat Ali Khan in 1951 added to
the confusion between the western wing of the country which was histor-
ically ingrained in a military tradition and was dominantly Muslim versus
the eastern side that was culturally rich and communally more diverse. The
significant number of Hindus in the east part could not be ignored. Though
the population of East Pakistan was more significant than in the western
wing, the leadership was reluctant to give Bengalis a larger role in state
rule. From 1947-58, Pakistan had seven Prime Ministers and eight cabinets.9
These conditions coincided with indigenization of the officer cadre that
was rapidly promoted to replace British officers vacating senior positions.
These officers were part of a generation trained by the British at the
9
Hasan-Askari Rizvi, Military, State and Society in Pakistan. (Lahore: Sang-e-Meel
Publication, 2003 – 2nd Pakistan Edition). P. 80.
55
10
Ayesha Siddiqa, Military Inc. Inside Pakistan’s Military Economy. (London: Pluto Press,
Second Edition, 2016). P. 87.
11
Hamida Khuhro, Mohammad Ayub Khuhro A Life of Courage in Politics. (Lahore, 1998). Pp.
439-440.
12
Hasan-Askari Rizvi, Military, State and Society in Pakistan. (Lahore, 2003). P. 80.
13
Hassan Abbas, Pakistan’s Drift into Extremism. (New York, M. E. Sharpe, 2005). P. 35.
14
Ayesha Siddiqa, Military Inc. Inside Pakistan’s Military Economy. (London,
2016). P. 67.
56
15
Edward Feit, The Armed Bureaucrats. (Boston: Houghton Mifflin, 1973). P. 6.
16
Wayne Wilcox, "Pakistan: A Decade of Ayub." In Asian Survey, Vol. 9, No.2, A survey
of Asia in 1968 part II, February 1969. Pp. 90-91
17
Ayesha Siddiqa-Agha, Pakistan’s Arms Procurement, and Military Buildup, 1979-99 In Search
of a Policy. (Palgrave Press, 2001). Pp. 37-40.
57
58
Jon Boone, “Former ISI chief says army money used to influence 1990 Pakistan”. The
18
59
20
Interview with Admiral Fasih Bokhari (Islamabad: September 10, 2001)
21
Aqil Shah, The Army and Democracy: Military Politics in Pakistan. (Massachusetts, 2014).
60
22
Salman Masood and Amy Waldman, “Pakistan Premier Resigns, Replaced by General’s
Ally.” In New York Times, June 27, 2004.
23
Stanley Kochanek, Interest Groups and Development Business and Politics in Pakistan
(Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1983).
24
Interview with Asma Jahangir (Islamabad: August 12, 2016).
61
25
Juan J. Linz and Alfred Stepan, Problems of Democratic Transition and Consolidation:
Southern Europe, South America, and Post-Communist Europe. ( Johns Hopkins University Press,
1996 (Kindle Edition, Locations 375-377).
26
Malik Asad, “IHC judge sacked for accusing ISI of interference." In Dawn, October 12, 2018.
27
M. Ziauddin, “The devil is in the details.” The Express Tribune, July 05, 2018.
28
“EU monitors team says Pakistan election not a level playing field.” Reuters, July 27,
2018, 12:53 PM.
62
63
34
Saadat Ali Khan, “Elections in an uneducated Pakistan.” The Express Tribune, April 17, 2013.
35
Excerpt from Chaudhry Fawad Hussain’s lecture at IISS (London: 11. 2018).
64
36
Frank James, “Pakistan's Supreme Court: Musharraf Broke Constitution." NPR, July 31,
2009, 12:47 PM ET.
37
Adnan Rasool, “Pakistan’s activist Supreme Court endangers a fragile democracy." The
Conversation, March 28, 2018.11: 41 AM BST.
38
https://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/pakistan/pm-imran-orders-to-remove-mohsin-dawar-
ali-wazirs-names-from-ecl/
39
https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/ptm-a-practical-manifestation-of-5th-generation-war-
fare-against-pakistan.587074/
40
Baqir Sajjad Syed, “‘Hybrid war imposed on the country to internally weaken it, says
Bajwa.” Dawn, April 15, 2018.
65
41
Aqil Shah, The Army and Democracy: Military Politics in Pakistan. (Massachusetts, 2014).
42
Although the defense budget is reportedly 21 percent of the CGE (2018-2019), this does
not include military pensions, monies extracted from civilian heads of account, off-budget
financing, etc.
43
“Pakistani army's '$20bn' business.” Al-Jazeera, February 17, 2008.
44
Imran Ali, Punjab under Imperialism, 1885-1947. (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1988).
66
45
Zeinab Abul-magd, Militarizing the Nation: The Army, Business, and Revolution in Egypt.
(Columbia University Press, 2018).
67
46
“Serving general appointed on civilian post.” The News, July 24, 2013.
47
Farhatullah Babur, “When foundations are shaken,” The News, 23 May 2005.
48
https://twitter.com/sshinwari99/status/1057252191902281734?s=12, See also,
https://twitter.com/mashalpti/status/1060429256482791424?s=12, and
https://twitter.com/shahids97337034/status/1054312486520926208?s=12.
49
Sehrish Wasif, “Islamabad-Lahore motorway: NHA, FWO trade blame for toll tax
increase.” The Express Tribune, September 25, 2016.
68
50
https://www.fwo.com.pk/extensions/business-units/dew-medo. See also, https://www.
fwo.com.pk/extensions/business-units/lafco, https://www.fwo.com.pk/extensions/business-
units/score, https://www.fwo.com.pk/extensions/business-units/ibex-telecom, https://www.
fwo.com.pk/extensions/business-units/ibex-construction, & https://www.fwo.com.pk/ exten-
sions/business-units/lsmim
51
Ayesha Siddiqa, Military Inc. Inside Pakistan’s Military Economy. (London, 2016). P. 259.
52
Askari Bank Lt, Annual Statement, 2017-2018.
69
53
Interview with project secretary FFBL (Rawalpindi: October 03, 2018).
54
https://www.fwo.com.pk/fwo-overseas/about-us
55
https://www.fwo.com.pk/fwo-overseas/projects
56
Sajjad Haider, “CPEC: The Game Changer for Pakistan.” In The Nation, July 31, 2018.
57
Interview with Taha Siddiqui (on phone: December 18, 2018 14:45). There was a case of
an attempted abduction of the journalist that Siddiqui escapade and later sought refuge in
France. See, https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/av/world-asia-42640242/pakistani-journalist-
taha-siddiqui-recounts-abduction-attempt
70
Conclusion
Does the continuation of the electoral process guarantee consolidation of
democracy and shift in civil-military relations? Pakistan’s case indicates
that the civil-military relations will remain skewed in favor of the latter
unless there is a strong effort at liberalization of the state and society. What
Pakistan has today at the end of the third un-interrupted election is a
controlled form of democracy that trains people in the process of giving
votes but also accepts the military as a permanent guardian.
The post-2018 period is one of the lowest for civil liberties in Pakistan. In
people's imagination, General Ziaul Haq’s martial law was the worst period
in the country's history. However, the decade of the 2010s is challenging as
the military has embarked upon an exercise of subtle and managed
coercion. There are hundreds of cases of missing people in different parts
of the country that are hidden carefully through the management of media
and politics. There is even an effort to subvert organic political movements
through the massive use of propaganda. The military is keen to generate a
new national discourse in which the army’s position is considered
synonymous to the state. Anyone questioning the army or its generals, or
even politicians like Imran Khan selected by the GHQ to lead the country,
is perceived as an act of challenging the armed forces, hence, an act of
treason. While the military has allowed governments to complete their
Jane Perlez and David Rhode, “Pakistan Attempt to Crush Protest by Lawyers.” In the
58
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