Three Point Estimate

Instructions:
Enter the a,m, and b values for each Task into columns C,D and E. The E and SD values for each task will be calculated and displayed in
columns F and G. A task estimate with at least 95% confidence and the required task booking value is calculated and displayed in columns
H and J.
Based on the individual task estimates the E value and SD for the project will be calculated and displayed as will the overall work estimate
for the project with at least 95% confidence levels.

Project Code/Name:

Project Manager

Estimate Date

Project Stage

Estimate Reference

Notes and Assumptions

Please record any notes and assumptions on which the estimate is based.

Estmate Contributors
Role Name Signature

Include all contributors here. Remember

to include key IS and business
stakeholders such as Unix FM,
Architecture, Finance and Procurement
where appropriate. Without this
information the estimate cannot be
approved!
Project: xxxxxx
Three Point Estimate - Software Development Project Date:DD/MM/YYYY
Project Stage: Planning
Task
Estimate
Team(s), Role(s) or Individual(s) Responsible Best Case Most Likely Worst Case 95%
Project Stage Task for Execution of Task Estimate a Estimate m Estimate b E Value SD Value Confidence
Planning Project Management Project Services 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Planning for Projects Project Services 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Programme Manager Project Services 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 2.0
Planning Portfolio Manager Project Services 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Planning Project's share of monthly team meeting Project Services 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Major Project Governance Assessment (if required) Project Services 3.0 3.5 5.0 3.7 0.4 4.5
Planning Quality Assurance Directors Office/PMO 2.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 0.4 3.8
Planning Senior Supplier All teams 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Regular project team meetings All teams 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Effort spent to date (up to XX/XX/XX) All teams 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Development Lead Software Development 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning EqIA/DPiA Project Sponsor 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Planning Communications strategy/team (if required) Project Sponsor 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
###
Business Analysis Business analysis & completion of Business Requirements Document (BRD) & draft UAT plan Project Services 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Business Analysis Support business analysis Software Development 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.3
Business Analysis Support business analysis Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.3
Business Analysis Non-functional requirements Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.1 1.3
Business Analysis Analysis Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Systems Design Systems Design Specification (SDS) Software Development 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Systems Design Technical Architecture Document (TAD) Development Technology 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.1 0.1 2.3
Systems Design Technical Build Document Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Systems Design Technical Build Record (wiki) Development Technology 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5
Systems Design Design Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Build Create DEV environment Development Technology 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Build Update Build Doc and Build record Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Build Build DEV environment Software Development 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Build Implementation plan Software Development 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Build Build Test Document Software Development 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Build Peer Testing Software Development 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Build Build Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Integration Create TEST env & implement Development Technology 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Integration Support for testing/re-work Development Technology 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 2.8
Integration Update Build Doc and Build record Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Integration Handover to Technology Management (if required) Technology Management 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Integration Integration testing (incl handover) Applications Management 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Integration Integration Test Document Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Integration Support for testing/re-work Software Development 2.0 3.0 5.0 3.2 0.5 4.2
Integration Integration Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Acceptance Support for UAT Software Development 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 2.8
Acceptance Peer testing support for UAT Software Development 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 2.8
Acceptance Update System Description Document Software Development 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.2 1.4
Acceptance Support for UAT Applications Management 1.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 2.8
Acceptance Deployment Checklist Applications Management 1.0 2.0 2.5 2.0 0.3 2.6
Acceptance Operational Level Agreement (OLA) Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Acceptance Service Level Agreement (SLA) Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Acceptance Technical Operations Document (OPD) Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Acceptance Update Build doc and Build record Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Acceptance UAT support (BA with Business) Project Services 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Acceptance Acceptance Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Deployment Create LIVE environment & deploy Technology Management 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Deployment Post deployment support - pre closure Technology Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Support for deployment Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Support for deployment Software Development 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Update Build doc and Build record Development Technology 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Support for deployment Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Post deployment support - pre closure Applications Management 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
Deployment Deployment Review All teams 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0
###
Closure Closure All teams 2.0 2.0 3.0 2.2 0.2 2.6
###

Totals 47.0 55.0 67.5 56 64

E (Project Work) 56
SD (Project Work) 2
Project Estimate > 95% Confidence 64

Business Area Effort Business Area 1 0.0 0.0 0.0

Business Area Effort Business Area 2 0.0 0.0 0.0

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Project: xxxnnn
Three Point Estimate Date:dd/mm/yyyy
Project Stage: xxxxxx
Cells with green fill - manually
Key: Cells with no fill - calculated - do not change amend

Estimate Manual split depending on Breakdown by Team

IS Apps Section Team (Days) Allocate 'All teams' effort to specific teams teams for project Values for ASTA Summary for Brief

Project Services Project Services 8.5 Project Services 2.3 10.8 11

Development Services Software Development 16.5 Software Development 2.3 18.8 19
SSP Configuration Team 0.0 0.0 0
Development Technology 13.9 Development Technology 2 15.9 16
Production Management Applications Management 11.7 Applications Management 2 13.7 14
Technology Management 1.0 1.0 1
Service Management Delivery and Integration 0.0 0.0 0
Technology Enhanced Learning 0.0 0.0 0
Multimedia 0.0 0.0 0
Directors Office Directors Office 0.0 0.0 0
0.0 0
All teams 8.6 All teams -8.6 0.0 0

Total Days 60.2 0 60.2 61.0

Total Days Rounded Up 61

Contingency by team and phase

Sum total of Most Likely by team and stage for ASTA
Systems Integrat
Planning Business Analysis Design ion Acceptance Deployment Closure

Count of Most Likely Estimate m Project Stage

Team(s), Role(s) or Individual(s) Responsible for Ex Acceptance Build Closure Deployment Integration Planning Systems Design (empty) Total Result
All teams 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 10
Applications Management 4 2 2 9
Business Area 1 1 1
Business Area 2 1 1
Development Technology 2 2 2 3 3 13
Project Services 1 6 8
Project Sponsor 2 2
Software Development 3 4 1 1 1 1 12
Technology Management 2 1 3
(empty) 1 1
Directors Office/PMO 1 1
Total Result 11 7 1 8 8 13 5 3 61

Contingency (difference between 95% and Most Likely) by team and stage for ASTA

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