Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1. If investors _______ a company's shares, the _______ supply is likely to lead to a _______ in the share
price.
2. If a company's shares are expected to perform better than other companies in the same industry, there will
be _______ for the company shares and a ____ in the share price.
3. The approach that seeks to identify factors that are likely to influence the growth rate and future profits of a
company is called:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
4. When an investor makes their investment decision based on a company's accounting ratios, they are using:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
5. The investment approach that focuses on the underlying determinants of future profitability rather than on
past price movements of a company's stock is:
A. credit analysis.
B. fundamental analysis.
C. systems analysis.
D. technical analysis.
6. The investment approach that evaluates and interprets past share price movements is:
A. credit analysis.
B. technical analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. systematic analysis.
7. In relation to fundamental analysis, which of the following is NOT a problem associated with rapid,
unsustainable economic growth?
8. The portion of the overall economy defined by the nature of a company's operations is called the:
A. economic component.
B. company component.
C. industry sector.
D. country sector.
9. The net record of a country's international earnings less its international payments is its:
A. capital account.
B. current account.
C. Gross Domestic Product.
D. gross national income.
10. In relation to a country's economy, the more a country imports and the worse the current account becomes,
the:
11. In relation to a country's economy, if a country's current account deteriorates, the government is likely to:
13. Writing down the value of a capital asset, reported as an expense, is called:
A. downgrading.
B. depreciation.
C. documentation.
D. reduction.
14. If there were an appreciation of the exchange rate of a local currency against the USD, then _____ from
_____ sales would be _____ than if the exchange rate had remained constant.
15. Investment analysts use a number of approaches in the analysis of fundamentals that may affect share
prices. Which of the following statements in relation to the bottom-up approach to share price analysis is
MOST correct? The bottom-up approach:
16. Investment analysts use a number of approaches in the analysis of fundamentals that may affect share
prices. Which of the following statements in relation to the top-down approach to share price analysis is
MOST correct? The top-down approach:
A. exchange rates.
B. interest rates.
C. rate of growth in international economies.
D. all of the given answers.
18. Firm-specific financial indicators used in fundamental analysis top-down approach are:
A. interest rates.
B. consumer confidence.
C. return on assets.
D. business cycle.
19. Which of the following is NOT a problem that may be associated with rapid, unsustainable growth in an
economy?
20 An investor seeks to compare the financial characteristics of four companies that are investment possibilities.
. Based solely on the data provided in the following ratios, which company would provide the lowest
investment risk?
A. Company A
B. Company B
C. Company C
D. Company D
21. The greater the degree of systematic risk, the:
23. An investor who buys a large number of shares from different companies and from many different
industries will:
24. According to modern portfolio theory, the _______ the degree of systematic risk, the _______ should be
the expected return.
A. smaller; greater.
B. greater; greater.
C. smaller; smaller.
D. greater; smaller.
25. The investment approach that focuses more on past price movements of a company's stock than on the
underlying determinants of future profitability is:
A. credit analysis.
B. fundamental analysis.
C. systems analysis.
D. technical analysis.
26. When investors use past share price movements to make their investment decisions, they are using:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
27. Compared with technical analysis, fundamental analysis considers the:
A. accounting ratios.
B. forecasting a company's future profitability.
C. forecasting a company's technical ratios.
D. share price movements.
29. An important belief underlying the use of technical analysis techniques is that:
A. react rapidly to new information, and share market prices are determined by the interaction of demand
and supply.
B. react rapidly to new information, and security dealers provide liquidity.
C. react gradually to new information, and market prices are determined by the interaction of supply and
demand.
D. react gradually to new information, and security dealers provide liquidity.
31. An alternative approach to forecasting the behaviour of share prices is technical analysis. Which of the
following statements in relation to the approach taken by technical analysts is incorrect?
A. As a price pattern emerges, it is assumed that the historical pattern will re-emerge in full.
B. The stock markets are, at times, dominated by mass psychology.
C. Historical price patterns are of little use in forecasting future price movements.
D. Analysts typically adopt either a ‘technical' or a ‘fundamental' approach.
32. _______ is a mathematical technique used by technical analysts to clearly reveal all the trends in a price
series.
A. Averaging
B. Moving average
C. Price averaging
D. Series averaging
A. chart.
B. average time series.
C. moving average.
D. technical line.
34. In technical analysis, when the lower points of a rising price series are connected this is a:
35. Daily share-price data is given over a seven-day period for a company. Calculate the five-day moving
average over the period.
14 June: $6.75
15 June: $6.80
16 June: $6.94
17 June: $6.58
18 June: $6.23
21 June: $5.95
22 June: $5.80
36. When the share price series breaks through the moving average line from below, a technical analyst would
probably suggest it is a good time to:
38. When the share price series breaks through a flattening moving average line from above, a technical analyst
would probably suggest it is a good time to:
39. Once the actual price and moving average (MA) series are plotted on the same graph, buy and sell signals
are generated. So:
A. buy when the actual price series cuts the MA from below, especially if the MA has been flat or in a
gentle decline.
B. sell when the MA series is rising strongly and the price series cuts or touches the MA from above, but
then moves back above the MA after only a few observations.
C. sell when the MA flattens or declines after a steady rise, and the price series cuts the MA from above.
D. buy when the MA series is rising strongly and the price series cuts or touches the MA from above, but
then moves back above the MA after only a few observations.
41. In relation to technical analysis, what is the level above which the market finds it difficult to rise?
A. Trend channel
B. Resistance level
C. Support level
D. None of the given answers are correct
42. In technical analysis, a price level below which the market price is temporarily unlikely to fall is a:
A. trend channel.
B. resistance line.
C. support line.
D. trend line.
43. In technical analysis, a price level below which the market price is temporarily unlikely to rise is a:
A. trend channel.
B. resistance line.
C. support line.
D. trend line.
44. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by a series of price fluctuations characterised by rising bottoms
and horizontal tops is a/an:
A. ascending triangle.
B. symmetrical triangle.
C. descending triangle.
D. a pennant.
45. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by a series of price fluctuations composed with each top and
bottom smaller than its predecessor and with transaction volumes usually diminishing is a/an:
A. ascending triangle.
B. symmetrical triangle.
C. descending triangle.
D. pole.
46. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by three successive rallies with the second rally being greater
than the first or third, is called a:
A. symmetrical triangle.
B. head and shoulder pattern.
C. breakout.
D. triple top.
47. A support/resistance pattern plotted by chartists in the stock markets is the rectangle, which consists of
sideways price fluctuations contained within horizontal support and resistance levels. Which of the
following statements in relation to indicators given by support and resistance rectangles is incorrect?
A. Rectangles tend to be characterised by increasing volumes, except for a few days before the breakout
when there are strong decreases in volumes of trade in the share(s).
B. If the last bottom does not touch the support level (beginning the formation of an ascending triangle) and
if prices then rise rapidly on increasing volume, it is likely that there will be a topside breakout.
C. If the tops fail to reach resistance levels, beginning the formation of a descending triangle, a downside
breakout is likely.
D. When a break occurs from a rectangle, the extent of the breakout is likely to equal the height of the price
rectangle.
48. In relation to charting, an upward trend line connects the _______ points of a _______ price series, while a
downward trend connects the _______ points of a _______ price series.
49. The Elliot wave theory maintains that the bullish behaviour of the share market can be explained as:
50. In relation to share trading, buy and sell orders automatically triggered by rules entered into a computer
program are called:
51. In relation to share trading, a dedicated system that operates within an exchange allowing some institutional
investors to place large buy or sell orders without having to disclose the whole trade to the exchange are:
A. applications of high-speed supercomputers that can place thousands of orders in seconds and then
immediately cancel them.
B. some institutional investors being able to place large buy orders without having to disclose the whole
trade to the exchange.
C. pennants and flags patterns in very fast moving markets.
D. the trades of certain institutional investors that receive information from a stock exchange of incoming
orders before other traders.
A. is the most likely reason there was a stock market crash in October 1987.
B. occurs only in over-the-counter markets.
C. refers to computer-generated orders to buy or sell many shares at the same time.
D. has been abolished by order of the ASX.
54. One of the theories on the determination of, and change in the value of, shares and other securities is the
random walk hypothesis. Which of the following statements in relation to the random walk hypothesis is
correct?
A. The trend of new information into the market may be consistently good or consistently bad over time.
B. If the price of a share rose in one period, there is a higher probability that it will rise again in the next
period.
C. Share price reflects the share's intrinsic value, based on the latest information set relevant to current and
future prospects.
D. The history of previous price movements contains valuable information on likely future price
movements.
55. If a share price falls on four consecutive days of trading, share prices:
56. Which of the following statements regarding an efficient capital market is correct?
A. security prices are seldom far above or below their justified level.
B. share prices react quickly to new information.
C. investors will not make superior returns consistently.
D. All of the given answers are correct.
58. The weak form of the efficient market hypothesis asserts that:
A. the change in future share prices cannot be predicted from past share prices.
B. share prices adjust rapidly to new information contained in past prices or past data.
C. technical analysts cannot be expected to outperform the market.
D. all of the given answers are correct.
60. Strategies based on technical analysis are most likely to be profitable in a market that is regarded as:
61. The weak form of the efficient market hypothesis denies the use of:
62. At which level of market efficiency does the efficient market hypothesis support the technical analysis
approach to future share price determination?
A. Weak-form efficiency
B. Semi-strong form efficiency
C. Strong-form efficiency
D. None of the given answers
63. The semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states that:
64. When investors cannot make superior profits on a continual basis based on past prices, public or private
information, the market is said to be:
A. weak-form efficient.
B. semi-strong form efficient.
C. strong-form efficient.
D. fundamentally efficient.
65. The strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states that:
66. Which group of investors is able to earn consistent superior profits if the financial markets are strong-form
efficient?
67. An investor finds that for a particular group of shares, large positive price changes are always followed by
large negative price changes. This finding violates:
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
69. If you believe that share prices reflect all relevant information, including publicly available information,
which form of the efficient market hypothesis do you believe in?
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
70. If you believe that share prices reflect all relevant information including information that is available only
to insiders, which form of the efficient market hypothesis do you believe in?
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
71. Proponents of the efficient market hypothesis assert that technical analysts:
72. When new information becomes public in the market, evidence suggests that:
A. transaction costs will erase any benefit of trading on the new information.
B. insiders will be the only investors to gain.
C. it takes at least three trading days for share prices to adjust.
D. share prices adjust rapidly to the new information.
73. It may be argued that share prices on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) reflect all publicly
available, relevant information regarding listed companies, and therefore superior profits cannot be made
by an investor using publicly available information. Based on the above contention, which of the following
statements best describes the informational efficiency of the ASX?
A. Strong-form efficiency.
B. Semi-strong form efficiency.
C. Weak-form efficiency.
D. Random walk efficiency.
74. Research indicates that the correlation coefficient between successive days' share price changes is:
A. indicates that one should not randomly select managed portfolios managed by professional portfolio
managers.
B. indicates that historical performance is a good indicator of future performance.
C. indicates that professional management provides investors with superior market returns.
D. indicates the majority of professional portfolio managers outperform the market.
A. If the share market follows a random walk, price changes should be highly correlated.
B. A random walk for share price changes is inconsistent with observed patterns in price changes.
C. If the share market is weak-form efficient, the share prices follow a random walk
D. All of the given answers are correct.
78. In relation to behavioural finance, if an investor is influenced to follow other investors into certain
investment opportunities, this is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. disposition effect.
79. In relation to behavioural finance, if an investor is influenced by the manner in which an investment
opportunity is presented this is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. disposition effect.
80. In relation to behavioural finance, if investors do not seek to maximise returns on investments but are quite
willing to accept a lesser outcome or return, it is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. heuristic behaviour.
True False
83. Fundamental analysis top-down approach considers how the directors of the company affect its share
performance.
True False
84. The bottom-up approach to fundamental analysis considers the impact of forecast changes in systematic
market variables.
True False
85. The rate of growth in major international economies can have a strong impact on expected performance of
local companies within a domestic economy.
True False
86. Historical growth trends in developed countries suggest sustainable long-term growth is in the range of 3
and 4% per annum.
True False
87. High levels of economic growth in developing countries may not be sustainable in the long term and may
lead to depreciation of those countries' exchange rates and rises in interest rates.
True False
88. With the top-down approach to fundamental analysis, the balance of payments current account deficit is not
considered because it is a country factor.
True False
89. Firms that conduct business in a country's domestic market may be affected by a fall in the local exchange
rate that leads to an increase in the rate of inflation.
True False
90. A limitation of fundamental analysis is that forecasting using fundamentals can suggest the market is
overvalued but does not forecast the timing of the downturn.
True False
91. When the moving average (MA) series is rising strongly and the share price series cuts or touches the MA
from below, this represents a sell signal for technical analysts.
True False
93. Compare the two main approaches to fundamental analysis: top-down and bottom-up.
94. What is a moving average model? Explain how it is used in technical analysis.
95. Charting is a type of technical analysis. Explain the process in relation to forecasting share price
movements.
96. What is program trading in relation to the share market? Discuss any impact on share price movements.
Chapter 07 - Test Bank Key
1. If investors _______ a company's shares, the _______ supply is likely to lead to a _______ in the share
price.
2. If a company's shares are expected to perform better than other companies in the same industry, there
will be _______ for the company shares and a ____ in the share price.
3. The approach that seeks to identify factors that are likely to influence the growth rate and future profits
of a company is called:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: Introduction
4. When an investor makes their investment decision based on a company's accounting ratios, they are
using:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: Introduction
5. The investment approach that focuses on the underlying determinants of future profitability rather than
on past price movements of a company's stock is:
A. credit analysis.
B. fundamental analysis.
C. systems analysis.
D. technical analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: Introduction
6. The investment approach that evaluates and interprets past share price movements is:
A. credit analysis.
B. technical analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. systematic analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
7. In relation to fundamental analysis, which of the following is NOT a problem associated with rapid,
unsustainable economic growth?
A. economic component.
B. company component.
C. industry sector.
D. country sector.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
9. The net record of a country's international earnings less its international payments is its:
A. capital account.
B. current account.
C. Gross Domestic Product.
D. gross national income.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
10. In relation to a country's economy, the more a country imports and the worse the current account
becomes, the:
11. In relation to a country's economy, if a country's current account deteriorates, the government is likely
to:
13. Writing down the value of a capital asset, reported as an expense, is called:
A. downgrading.
B. depreciation.
C. documentation.
D. reduction.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
14. If there were an appreciation of the exchange rate of a local currency against the USD, then _____ from
_____ sales would be _____ than if the exchange rate had remained constant.
15. Investment analysts use a number of approaches in the analysis of fundamentals that may affect share
prices. Which of the following statements in relation to the bottom-up approach to share price analysis
is MOST correct? The bottom-up approach:
17. Some of the factors that are used by analysts using the top-down approach in the analysis of
fundamentals affecting share prices are:
A. exchange rates.
B. interest rates.
C. rate of growth in international economies.
D. all of the given answers.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
18. Firm-specific financial indicators used in fundamental analysis top-down approach are:
A. interest rates.
B. consumer confidence.
C. return on assets.
D. business cycle.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
19. Which of the following is NOT a problem that may be associated with rapid, unsustainable growth in an
economy?
A. Company A
B. Company B
C. Company C
D. Company D
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-02 Evaluate and apply the principles of the bottom-up approach to fundamental analysis, in particular the analysis of the financial and
operational performance of a corporation.
Section: 7.2 Fundamental analysis: the bottom-up approach
24. According to modern portfolio theory, the _______ the degree of systematic risk, the _______ should
be the expected return.
A. smaller; greater.
B. greater; greater.
C. smaller; smaller.
D. greater; smaller.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-02 Evaluate and apply the principles of the bottom-up approach to fundamental analysis, in particular the analysis of the financial and
operational performance of a corporation.
Section: 7.2 Fundamental analysis: the bottom-up approach
25. The investment approach that focuses more on past price movements of a company's stock than on the
underlying determinants of future profitability is:
A. credit analysis.
B. fundamental analysis.
C. systems analysis.
D. technical analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
26. When investors use past share price movements to make their investment decisions, they are using:
A. economic analysis.
B. factor analysis.
C. fundamental analysis.
D. technical analysis.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
27. Compared with technical analysis, fundamental analysis considers the:
A. accounting ratios.
B. forecasting a company's future profitability.
C. forecasting a company's technical ratios.
D. share price movements.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
29. An important belief underlying the use of technical analysis techniques is that:
A. react rapidly to new information, and share market prices are determined by the interaction of
demand and supply.
B. react rapidly to new information, and security dealers provide liquidity.
C. react gradually to new information, and market prices are determined by the interaction of supply
and demand.
D. react gradually to new information, and security dealers provide liquidity.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
31. An alternative approach to forecasting the behaviour of share prices is technical analysis. Which of the
following statements in relation to the approach taken by technical analysts is incorrect?
A. As a price pattern emerges, it is assumed that the historical pattern will re-emerge in full.
B. The stock markets are, at times, dominated by mass psychology.
C. Historical price patterns are of little use in forecasting future price movements.
D. Analysts typically adopt either a ‘technical' or a ‘fundamental' approach.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
32. _______ is a mathematical technique used by technical analysts to clearly reveal all the trends in a price
series.
A. Averaging
B. Moving average
C. Price averaging
D. Series averaging
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
A. chart.
B. average time series.
C. moving average.
D. technical line.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
34. In technical analysis, when the lower points of a rising price series are connected this is a:
36. When the share price series breaks through the moving average line from below, a technical analyst
would probably suggest it is a good time to:
39. Once the actual price and moving average (MA) series are plotted on the same graph, buy and sell
signals are generated. So:
A. buy when the actual price series cuts the MA from below, especially if the MA has been flat or in a
gentle decline.
B. sell when the MA series is rising strongly and the price series cuts or touches the MA from above,
but then moves back above the MA after only a few observations.
C. sell when the MA flattens or declines after a steady rise, and the price series cuts the MA from
above.
D. buy when the MA series is rising strongly and the price series cuts or touches the MA from above,
but then moves back above the MA after only a few observations.
Difficulty: Hard
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
41. In relation to technical analysis, what is the level above which the market finds it difficult to rise?
A. Trend channel
B. Resistance level
C. Support level
D. None of the given answers are correct
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
42. In technical analysis, a price level below which the market price is temporarily unlikely to fall is a:
A. trend channel.
B. resistance line.
C. support line.
D. trend line.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
43. In technical analysis, a price level below which the market price is temporarily unlikely to rise is a:
A. trend channel.
B. resistance line.
C. support line.
D. trend line.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
44. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by a series of price fluctuations characterised by rising
bottoms and horizontal tops is a/an:
A. ascending triangle.
B. symmetrical triangle.
C. descending triangle.
D. a pennant.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
45. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by a series of price fluctuations composed with each top and
bottom smaller than its predecessor and with transaction volumes usually diminishing is a/an:
A. ascending triangle.
B. symmetrical triangle.
C. descending triangle.
D. pole.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
46. For technical analysts, the pattern formed by three successive rallies with the second rally being greater
than the first or third, is called a:
A. symmetrical triangle.
B. head and shoulder pattern.
C. breakout.
D. triple top.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
47. A support/resistance pattern plotted by chartists in the stock markets is the rectangle, which consists of
sideways price fluctuations contained within horizontal support and resistance levels. Which of the
following statements in relation to indicators given by support and resistance rectangles is incorrect?
A. Rectangles tend to be characterised by increasing volumes, except for a few days before the breakout
when there are strong decreases in volumes of trade in the share(s).
B. If the last bottom does not touch the support level (beginning the formation of an ascending triangle)
and if prices then rise rapidly on increasing volume, it is likely that there will be a topside breakout.
C. If the tops fail to reach resistance levels, beginning the formation of a descending triangle, a
downside breakout is likely.
D. When a break occurs from a rectangle, the extent of the breakout is likely to equal the height of the
price rectangle.
Difficulty: Hard
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
48. In relation to charting, an upward trend line connects the _______ points of a _______ price series,
while a downward trend connects the _______ points of a _______ price series.
49. The Elliot wave theory maintains that the bullish behaviour of the share market can be explained as:
50. In relation to share trading, buy and sell orders automatically triggered by rules entered into a computer
program are called:
51. In relation to share trading, a dedicated system that operates within an exchange allowing some
institutional investors to place large buy or sell orders without having to disclose the whole trade to the
exchange are:
52. In relation to stock exchanges, the term ‘flash trading' refers to:
A. applications of high-speed supercomputers that can place thousands of orders in seconds and then
immediately cancel them.
B. some institutional investors being able to place large buy orders without having to disclose the whole
trade to the exchange.
C. pennants and flags patterns in very fast moving markets.
D. the trades of certain institutional investors that receive information from a stock exchange of
incoming orders before other traders.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-04 Examine the role of electronic trading in influencing share price movements.
Section: 7.4 Electronic trading
A. is the most likely reason there was a stock market crash in October 1987.
B. occurs only in over-the-counter markets.
C. refers to computer-generated orders to buy or sell many shares at the same time.
D. has been abolished by order of the ASX.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-04 Examine the role of electronic trading in influencing share price movements.
Section: 7.4 Electronic trading
54. One of the theories on the determination of, and change in the value of, shares and other securities is the
random walk hypothesis. Which of the following statements in relation to the random walk hypothesis
is correct?
A. The trend of new information into the market may be consistently good or consistently bad over
time.
B. If the price of a share rose in one period, there is a higher probability that it will rise again in the next
period.
C. Share price reflects the share's intrinsic value, based on the latest information set relevant to current
and future prospects.
D. The history of previous price movements contains valuable information on likely future price
movements.
Difficulty: Hard
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
55. If a share price falls on four consecutive days of trading, share prices:
56. Which of the following statements regarding an efficient capital market is correct?
A. security prices are seldom far above or below their justified level.
B. share prices react quickly to new information.
C. investors will not make superior returns consistently.
D. All of the given answers are correct.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
58. The weak form of the efficient market hypothesis asserts that:
A. the change in future share prices cannot be predicted from past share prices.
B. share prices adjust rapidly to new information contained in past prices or past data.
C. technical analysts cannot be expected to outperform the market.
D. all of the given answers are correct.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
60. Strategies based on technical analysis are most likely to be profitable in a market that is regarded as:
61. The weak form of the efficient market hypothesis denies the use of:
A. Weak-form efficiency
B. Semi-strong form efficiency
C. Strong-form efficiency
D. None of the given answers
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
63. The semi-strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states that:
64. When investors cannot make superior profits on a continual basis based on past prices, public or private
information, the market is said to be:
A. weak-form efficient.
B. semi-strong form efficient.
C. strong-form efficient.
D. fundamentally efficient.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
65. The strong form of the efficient market hypothesis states that:
67. An investor finds that for a particular group of shares, large positive price changes are always followed
by large negative price changes. This finding violates:
68. If you believe that share prices reflect all information that can be derived from examining the market
trading data such as the history of past share prices, which form of efficient market hypothesis do you
believe in?
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
69. If you believe that share prices reflect all relevant information, including publicly available information,
which form of the efficient market hypothesis do you believe in?
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
70. If you believe that share prices reflect all relevant information including information that is available
only to insiders, which form of the efficient market hypothesis do you believe in?
A. Weak.
B. Semi-strong.
C. Strong.
D. Informational.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
71. Proponents of the efficient market hypothesis assert that technical analysts:
72. When new information becomes public in the market, evidence suggests that:
A. transaction costs will erase any benefit of trading on the new information.
B. insiders will be the only investors to gain.
C. it takes at least three trading days for share prices to adjust.
D. share prices adjust rapidly to the new information.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
73. It may be argued that share prices on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) reflect all publicly
available, relevant information regarding listed companies, and therefore superior profits cannot be
made by an investor using publicly available information. Based on the above contention, which of the
following statements best describes the informational efficiency of the ASX?
A. Strong-form efficiency.
B. Semi-strong form efficiency.
C. Weak-form efficiency.
D. Random walk efficiency.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
74. Research indicates that the correlation coefficient between successive days' share price changes is:
A. indicates that one should not randomly select managed portfolios managed by professional portfolio
managers.
B. indicates that historical performance is a good indicator of future performance.
C. indicates that professional management provides investors with superior market returns.
D. indicates the majority of professional portfolio managers outperform the market.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
A. If the share market follows a random walk, price changes should be highly correlated.
B. A random walk for share price changes is inconsistent with observed patterns in price changes.
C. If the share market is weak-form efficient, the share prices follow a random walk
D. All of the given answers are correct.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
78. In relation to behavioural finance, if an investor is influenced to follow other investors into certain
investment opportunities, this is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. disposition effect.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
79. In relation to behavioural finance, if an investor is influenced by the manner in which an investment
opportunity is presented this is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. disposition effect.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
80. In relation to behavioural finance, if investors do not seek to maximise returns on investments but are
quite willing to accept a lesser outcome or return, it is called:
A. trading noise.
B. herding instinct.
C. framing behaviour.
D. heuristic behaviour.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-05 Explain the theoretical concepts that form the basis of the random walk hypothesis, and consider the implications of the efficient market
hypothesis and the behavioural finance hypothesis when analysing and forecasting share price movements.
Section: 7.5 The random walk, efficient market and behavioural finance hypotheses
81. Consider the following five statements:
i. Technical analysts rely on very sophisticated technical models of the macroeconomic environment.
ii. Since all chartists are confronted with identical share price data, they should identify very similar
patterns and generate identical buy and sell signals from the data.
iii. A chartist will draw resistance levels at higher share price levels where an increase in supply halts
price increases.
iv. Chartists will draw support lines at lower price levels where an increase in demand halts a price fall.
v. The random walk hypothesis, as applied to share price movements, implies that the examination of
past price movements yields no useful information on the course of future price movements.
How many of these statements are true and how many are false?
82. When investors become dissatisfied with a company share and sell their shares, the increased supply of
that company's shares is likely to result in a drop of its share price.
TRUE
Share prices are determined by the forces of supply and demand for them.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: Introduction
83. Fundamental analysis top-down approach considers how the directors of the company affect its share
performance.
FALSE
Fundamental analysis considers macro and micro fundamentals that impact on future share price
changes.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
84. The bottom-up approach to fundamental analysis considers the impact of forecast changes in systematic
market variables.
FALSE
The bottom-up approach considers the historical and forecast performance of individual company shares
in a selected sector.
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
85. The rate of growth in major international economies can have a strong impact on expected performance
of local companies within a domestic economy.
TRUE
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
86. Historical growth trends in developed countries suggest sustainable long-term growth is in the range of
3 and 4% per annum.
TRUE
Difficulty: Easy
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
87. High levels of economic growth in developing countries may not be sustainable in the long term and
may lead to depreciation of those countries' exchange rates and rises in interest rates.
TRUE
Historically, places such as Asian countries have had high levels of growth, resulting in some cases in
high levels of inflation and wage growth and so have experienced depreciating exchange rates.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
88. With the top-down approach to fundamental analysis, the balance of payments current account deficit is
not considered because it is a country factor.
FALSE
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
89. Firms that conduct business in a country's domestic market may be affected by a fall in the local
exchange rate that leads to an increase in the rate of inflation.
TRUE
If there is a fall in the exchange rate a firm's profits when translated to the overseas parent company
could be affected unless hedged in some way.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
90. A limitation of fundamental analysis is that forecasting using fundamentals can suggest the market is
overvalued but does not forecast the timing of the downturn.
TRUE
A drawback of fundamental analysis is calculating performance ratios with historical data. It is possible
that future performance will be different.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-01 Identify and interpret economic variables that impact on share price movements within the context of the top-down approach to fundamental
analysis.
Section: 7.1 Fundamental analysis: the top-down approach
91. When the moving average (MA) series is rising strongly and the share price series cuts or touches the
MA from below, this represents a sell signal for technical analysts.
FALSE
For analysts that use technical analysis it is a buy signal when it cuts or touches the MA from above and
moves back above.
Difficulty: Medium
Est time: <1 minute
Learning Objective: 07-03 Describe and apply technical analysis to forecasting movements in share prices.
Section: 7.3 Technical analysis
Short Answer Questions
92. Why should an investor consider the issue of interest rates when analysing share investments? Explain
the impact a change in interest rates might have on the performance of a corporation and its share price.
The majority of companies are exposed to interest rate risk because they will have some degree of debt
in their capital structure and the interest must be paid to the provider. If interest rates are predicted to
increase it is expected that the cost of doing business will increase, with a decrease in profitability. This
will have a downward pressure on the share price, especially if the company has a large degree of debt.
93. Compare the two main approaches to fundamental analysis: top-down and bottom-up.
Fundamental analysis considers the macro and micro variables that will impact on future share price
changes. A top-down approach first considers the overall economic environment and how changes in
the economic environment will impact on the various firms and industry sectors. A bottom-up approach
analyses individual firms within industry sectors, looking at such variables as a company's capital
structure, liquidity, debt servicing, and profitability.
94. What is a moving average model? Explain how it is used in technical analysis.
A moving average model is when a series of numbers are averaged to smooth out more erratic
movements. By calculating moving averages on prices, a technical analyst looks at trends in the series
to generate buy and sell signals; for example, when an actual price series cuts the moving average series
from below this is a buy rule.
Charting procedures involve using patterns to forecast future share price movements. Trend lines,
support and resistance lines, continuation patterns and reversal patterns are some of the major tools used
by chartists; for example, if an upward trend line has been in force, the more times it has been tested the
greater is its validity of representing an upward trend in share prices.
96. What is program trading in relation to the share market? Discuss any impact on share price movements.
Program trading refers to the use of computer-based programs that carry out buy and sell orders
automatically triggered by rules entered into the program. Such programs may include relatively basic
programs that include the technical analysis buy/sell rules or more sophisticated programs that monitor
share market price movements and issue buy or sell orders on specific shares or futures contracts. Often
large amounts are involved and the effect of program trading may be to cause share prices to change
faster; for example, swamping the market with sell orders. Many stock exchanges do have rules in place
to suspend trading if the share market index moves by more than a specified percentage to reduce a
potential contagion effect.