Cbsnews 20240212 SC

CBS News Poll – February 5-10, 2024
Registered voters in South Carolina

Sample 1,483 Registered voters in South Carolina
Margin of Error ±3 points
1. How likely is it that you will vote in the Republican presidential primary in South Carolina on February 24,
2024?
Already voted (absentee ballot) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12%
May or may not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
2. If the 2024 Republican presidential primary in South Carolina were held today, which one of these candidates
would you vote for?
Among likely Republican primary voters
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
Nikki Haley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
3. Which best describes your vote right now?

Among likely Republican primary voters voting for Trump
I’ve firmly decided on Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 87%
I could still change to Haley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
4. Which best describes your vote right now?

Among likely Republican primary voters voting for Haley
I’ve firmly decided on Haley . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%
I could still change to Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
5. Are any of these reasons you might consider voting for Nikki Haley?
Yes No
Her record as governor 34% 66%
Concern about Trump’s legal fights 23% 77%
The party needs someone new 23% 77%
Prefer a woman as president 5% 95%
1
6. Are any of these reasons you might consider voting for Donald Trump?
Yes No
His record as president 46% 54%
To show support during his legal fights 16% 84%
Know what to expect from him 40% 60%
Prefer a man as president 8% 92%
7. Please check the box if you think each word below describes Nikki Haley well... CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Likable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
Honest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
Prepared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Reasonable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Role model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Strong leader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Tough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
8. Please check the box if you think each word below describes Donald Trump well... CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Likable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Honest . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41%
Prepared . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Reasonable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Role model . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 64%
Strong leader . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
Tough . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 78%
9. Looking back, do you approve or disapprove of the way Nikki Haley handled her job as Governor of South
Carolina from 2011 to 2017?
Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 60%
Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
10. Looking back, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job as U.S. president from
2017 to 2021?
Approve . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 82%
Disapprove . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
2
11. Whether or not you support her, do you consider Nikki Haley to be part of the MAGA movement, or not?
Yes, she is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
No, she is not . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 76%
12. Whether or not you support her, do you consider Nikki Haley to be part of the Republican establishment or
not?
Yes, she is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
No, she is not . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
13. Whether or not you support him, do you consider Donald Trump to be part of the Republican establishment
or not?
Yes, he is . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 58%
No, he is not . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
14. When you hear the term "Republican establishment", do you think of it as something positive or something
negative?
Positive . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
Negative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
15. Do you think Nikki Haley fights for people like you, or not?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44%
16. Do you think Donald Trump fights for people like you, or not?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 81%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
17. Does Nikki Haley being from South Carolina make you...
More likely to vote for her in the Republican primary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Less likely to vote for her in the Republican primary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Doesn’t make a difference either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 75%
3
18. Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Credit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Blame . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 59%
19. If Donald Trump were convicted of any of the crimes for which he is currently facing charges, would you
consider him fit for the presidency?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Depends on which charge . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 29%
20. Do you think Nikki Haley’s criticisms of Donald Trump on each of the following topics are fair or unfair, or have
you not heard about them? When Haley makes comments about...
Fair Unfair Haven’t

criticism criticism heard
Trump’s mental fitness 21% 61% 18%
Trump not debating 43% 38% 19%
"Chaos" following Trump 43% 45% 12%
21. Do you think Donald Trump’s criticisms of Nikki Haley on each of the following topics are fair or unfair, or have
you not heard about them? When Trump makes comments about...
Fair Unfair Haven’t

criticism criticism heard
Haley’s intelligence 18% 48% 33%
Haley’s clothing 8% 50% 42%
Haley’s name 11% 52% 37%
22. If Nikki Haley were to become the Republican nominee in 2024, how would you describe her chances against
Joe Biden?
She would be a long shot to beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
She might beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 42%
She would definitely beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
4
23. If Donald Trump were to become the Republican nominee in 2024, how would you describe his chances
against Joe Biden?
He would be a long shot to beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
He might beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34%
He would definitely beat Biden . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
24. Do you want abortion in South Carolina to be...

Legal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Legal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Illegal in most cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 55%
Illegal in all cases . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
25. When you think about your 2024 Republican primary vote, what’s more important to you? How the candidates
address...
State and local issues in South Carolina . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
National issues in the country . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 89%
26. If Nikki Haley wins the presidency in 2024, do you think her policies would make you...
Financially better off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32%
Financially worse off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47%
27. If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, do you think his policies would make you...
Financially better off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 73%
Financially worse off . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9%
Stay about the same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
28. If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley’s policies and approach would make the U.S.-Mexico
border...
More secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 53%
Less secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Not change things either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
29. If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump’s policies and approach would make the U.S.-Mexico
border...
More secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 88%
Less secure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Not change things either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
5
30. Would you prefer the Republican 2024 nominee...
Support U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 48%
Oppose U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 52%
31. If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley’s policies would...
Increase U.S. military involvement overseas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .41%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .15%
No change either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .44%
32. If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump’s policies would...
Increase U.S. military involvement overseas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .33%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%
No change either way . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .20%
33. If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley would...

Support a national abortion ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26%
Oppose a national abortion ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
34. If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump would...

Support a national abortion ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47%
Oppose a national abortion ban . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
Neither . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
6
1. Likely to Vote in SC Republican Primary

How likely is it that you will vote in the Republican presidential primary in South Carolina on February 24, 2024?
Gender Age White

Total Male Female Under 45 45-64 65+ Evangelical
Already voted (absentee ballot) 2% 3% 2% 3% 0% 3% 2%

Definitely will vote 52% 55% 48% 41% 57% 59% 72%
Probably will vote 12% 13% 11% 19% 9% 7% 11%
May or may not vote 7% 9% 7% 11% 7% 4% 5%
Probably will not vote 4% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 3%
Definitely will not vote 21% 16% 24% 19% 20% 23% 5%
Don’t know 2% 1% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,481) (668) (812) (550) (464) (467) (426)
Party ID Ideology
Total Ind Rep Moderate Conservative
Already voted (absentee ballot) 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%

Definitely will vote 52% 48% 77% 44% 74%
Probably will vote 12% 16% 11% 15% 11%
May or may not vote 7% 11% 3% 10% 4%
Probably will not vote 4% 3% 3% 4% 3%
Definitely will not vote 21% 17% 2% 23% 5%
Don’t know 2% 3% 1% 2% 1%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,481) (389) (609) (492) (636)
1
2. Republican Presidential Primary Vote

If the 2024 Republican presidential primary in South Carolina were held today, which one of these candidates would you vote for?
Gender Age White

Donald Trump 65% 65% 66% 59% 64% 69% 69%

Nikki Haley 30% 32% 28% 33% 32% 27% 27%
Someone else 4% 3% 6% 7% 4% 3% 4%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Donald Trump 65% 53% 74% 40% 75%

Nikki Haley 30% 42% 24% 55% 21%
Someone else 4% 5% 2% 5% 3%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
2
3. Decision on Trump
Which best describes your vote right now?
Gender Age White

I’ve firmly decided on Trump 87% 83% 91% 84% 88% 88% 87%
I could still change to Haley 13% 17% 9% 16% 12% 12% 13%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (656) (323) (334) (117) (243) (296) (465)
Party ID Ideology
I’ve firmly decided on Trump 87% 83% 88% 80% 88%

I could still change to Haley 13% 17% 12% 20% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (656) (130) (518) (79) (560)
3
4. Decision on Haley
Which best describes your vote right now?
Gender Age White

I’ve firmly decided on Haley 78% 82% 74% ∗ 80% 77% 74%
I could still change to Trump 22% 18% 26% ∗ 20% 23% 26%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (303) (161) (142) (66) (121) (117) (184)
Party ID Ideology
I’ve firmly decided on Haley 78% 89% 67% 89% 66%

I could still change to Trump 22% 11% 33% 11% 34%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (303) (104) (165) (110) (158)
4
5A. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — Her record as governor

Are any of these reasons you might consider voting for Nikki Haley?
Gender Age White

Yes 34% 40% 28% 40% 37% 29% 34%

No 66% 60% 72% 60% 63% 71% 66%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (624) (315) (310) (116) (236) (272) (437)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 34% 31% 35% 32% 35%

No 66% 69% 65% 68% 65%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (624) (125) (492) (78) (530)
5
5B. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — Concern about Trump’s legal fights
Gender Age White

Yes 23% 25% 21% 26% 25% 20% 25%

No 77% 75% 79% 74% 75% 80% 75%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (629) (314) (315) (115) (238) (275) (442)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 23% 25% 22% 29% 22%

No 77% 75% 78% 71% 78%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (629) (128) (493) (77) (534)
6
5C. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — The party needs someone new
Gender Age White

Yes 23% 21% 25% 28% 22% 22% 23%

No 77% 79% 75% 72% 78% 78% 77%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (629) (312) (317) (115) (239) (274) (443)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 23% 22% 23% 24% 23%

No 77% 78% 77% 76% 77%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (629) (126) (495) (77) (534)
7
5D. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — Prefer a woman as president

Gender Age White

Yes 5% 2% 8% 8% 6% 2% 5%
No 95% 98% 92% 92% 94% 98% 95%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (614) (305) (309) (115) (232) (267) (433)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 5% 5% 5% 12% 3%
No 95% 95% 95% 88% 97%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (614) (124) (483) (76) (520)
8
6A. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — His record as president

Are any of these reasons you might consider voting for Donald Trump?
Gender Age White

Yes 46% 50% 42% ∗ 43% 48% 51%

No 54% 50% 58% ∗ 57% 52% 49%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (302) (160) (142) (66) (120) (115) (182)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 46% 30% 64% 29% 65%

No 54% 70% 36% 71% 35%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (302) (104) (164) (109) (157)
9
6B. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — To show support during his legal fights
Gender Age White

Yes 16% 18% 14% ∗ 14% 11% 18%

No 84% 82% 86% ∗ 86% 89% 82%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (301) (160) (141) (66) (120) (115) (182)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 16% 9% 22% 3% 25%

No 84% 91% 78% 97% 75%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (301) (104) (164) (109) (157)
10
6C. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — Know what to expect from him
Gender Age White

Yes 40% 46% 33% ∗ 35% 41% 42%

No 60% 54% 67% ∗ 65% 59% 58%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (303) (161) (142) (66) (120) (117) (184)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 40% 24% 56% 28% 53%

No 60% 76% 44% 72% 47%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (303) (105) (165) (110) (158)
11
6D. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — Prefer a man as president

Gender Age White

Yes 8% 10% 5% ∗ 3% 3% 9%
No 92% 90% 95% ∗ 97% 97% 91%
Totals 100% 100% 100% ∗ 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (301) (160) (141) (66) (120) (115) (182)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 8% 5% 10% 3% 10%

No 92% 95% 90% 97% 90%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (301) (104) (164) (109) (157)
12
7. Describes Nikki Haley

Please check the box if you think each word below describes Nikki Haley well... CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age White

Likable 52% 61% 43% 48% 51% 55% 53%

Honest 34% 39% 29% 34% 27% 40% 34%
Prepared 42% 44% 39% 44% 38% 44% 42%
Reasonable 41% 48% 35% 34% 42% 44% 40%
Role model 31% 31% 31% 31% 30% 33% 32%
Conservative 49% 56% 43% 44% 49% 52% 51%
Strong leader 39% 44% 34% 37% 39% 41% 40%
Tough 35% 39% 31% 26% 31% 43% 35%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Likable 52% 50% 54% 50% 52%

Honest 34% 34% 35% 36% 33%
Prepared 42% 47% 41% 49% 40%
Reasonable 41% 48% 40% 51% 38%
Role model 31% 34% 31% 37% 30%
Conservative 49% 45% 51% 48% 50%
Strong leader 39% 43% 39% 47% 37%
Tough 35% 39% 35% 40% 35%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
13
8. Describes Donald Trump

Please check the box if you think each word below describes Donald Trump well... CHECK ALL THAT APPLY
Gender Age White

Likable 32% 30% 35% 33% 32% 33% 36%

Honest 41% 37% 44% 45% 37% 42% 44%
Prepared 56% 56% 56% 47% 51% 64% 60%
Reasonable 36% 35% 37% 36% 30% 42% 40%
Role model 23% 21% 25% 24% 19% 27% 26%
Conservative 64% 63% 64% 52% 59% 73% 66%
Strong leader 75% 77% 73% 70% 70% 82% 79%
Tough 78% 80% 77% 71% 75% 85% 82%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Likable 32% 20% 39% 16% 38%

Honest 41% 28% 48% 18% 49%
Prepared 56% 46% 63% 26% 66%
Reasonable 36% 26% 42% 18% 42%
Role model 23% 14% 29% 8% 28%
Conservative 64% 50% 72% 34% 73%
Strong leader 75% 62% 84% 53% 84%
Tough 78% 70% 86% 59% 87%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
14
9. Haley Job Approval

Looking back, do you approve or disapprove of the way Nikki Haley handled her job as Governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017?
Gender Age White

Approve 60% 67% 53% 56% 63% 60% 61%

Disapprove 22% 20% 25% 28% 19% 22% 22%
Not sure 17% 13% 22% 16% 18% 18% 17%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (498) (503) (198) (380) (423) (671)
Party ID Ideology
Approve 60% 63% 60% 70% 58%

Disapprove 22% 22% 22% 18% 23%
Not sure 17% 15% 18% 12% 19%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (247) (695) (199) (743)
15
10. Trump Job Approval

Looking back, do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump handled his job as U.S. president from 2017 to 2021?
Gender Age White

Approve 82% 85% 79% 76% 79% 86% 87%

Disapprove 15% 13% 17% 21% 17% 11% 10%
Not sure 3% 2% 4% 3% 4% 3% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Approve 82% 67% 92% 58% 92%

Disapprove 15% 29% 5% 36% 6%
Not sure 3% 4% 2% 6% 2%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
16
11. Haley MAGA or Not

Whether or not you support her, do you consider Nikki Haley to be part of the MAGA movement, or not?
Gender Age White

Yes, she is 24% 26% 22% 32% 21% 23% 24%

No, she is not 76% 74% 78% 68% 79% 77% 76%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (994) (498) (497) (197) (378) (420) (667)
Party ID Ideology
Yes, she is 24% 20% 24% 22% 23%

No, she is not 76% 80% 76% 78% 77%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (994) (246) (691) (199) (736)
17
12. Is Haley GOP Establishment

Whether or not you support her, do you consider Nikki Haley to be part of the Republican establishment or not?
Gender Age White

Yes, she is 75% 77% 72% 75% 77% 72% 74%

No, she is not 25% 23% 28% 25% 23% 28% 26%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (498) (503) (198) (380) (423) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Yes, she is 75% 78% 73% 78% 73%

No, she is not 25% 22% 27% 22% 27%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (247) (695) (200) (740)
18
13. Is Trump GOP Establishment

Whether or not you support him, do you consider Donald Trump to be part of the Republican establishment or not?
Gender Age White

Yes, he is 58% 54% 62% 72% 55% 54% 62%

No, he is not 42% 46% 38% 28% 45% 46% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (498) (505) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Yes, he is 58% 43% 65% 56% 58%

No, he is not 42% 57% 35% 44% 42%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (247) (698) (199) (742)
19
14. Think of GOP Establishment

When you hear the term "Republican establishment", do you think of it as something positive or something negative?
Gender Age White

Positive 42% 38% 45% 53% 39% 39% 46%

Negative 33% 33% 32% 23% 36% 34% 29%
Neither 25% 29% 23% 24% 25% 27% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Positive 42% 15% 53% 29% 46%

Negative 33% 46% 26% 29% 33%
Neither 25% 39% 21% 42% 21%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
20
15. Haley Fight for People Like You

Do you think Nikki Haley fights for people like you, or not?
Gender Age White

Yes 56% 61% 52% 56% 57% 56% 58%

No 44% 39% 48% 44% 43% 44% 42%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (496) (505) (197) (379) (425) (671)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 56% 57% 57% 67% 54%

No 44% 43% 43% 33% 46%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (247) (696) (200) (740)
21
16. Trump Fight for People Like You

Do you think Donald Trump fights for people like you, or not?
Gender Age White

Yes 81% 81% 81% 75% 78% 86% 87%

No 19% 19% 19% 25% 22% 14% 13%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (498) (505) (198) (379) (426) (672)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 81% 65% 93% 55% 92%

No 19% 35% 7% 45% 8%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (247) (698) (200) (742)
22
17. Haley Being from South Carolina

Does Nikki Haley being from South Carolina make you...
Gender Age White

More likely to vote for her in the Republican primary 20% 20% 21% 36% 19% 14% 21%
Less likely to vote for her in the Republican primary 5% 4% 5% 7% 4% 4% 4%
Doesn’t make a difference either way 75% 76% 74% 57% 77% 82% 75%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (672)
Party ID Ideology
More likely to vote for her in the Republican primary 20% 20% 20% 27% 18%
Less likely to vote for her in the Republican primary 5% 3% 5% 2% 5%
Doesn’t make a difference either way 75% 77% 75% 71% 77%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (247) (698) (200) (742)
23
18. Trump Get Credit or Blame for Overturning Roe v. Wade

Do you give Donald Trump credit, blame, or neither for the overturn of Roe v. Wade?
Gender Age White

Credit 33% 32% 33% 29% 34% 33% 37%

Blame 8% 8% 8% 13% 8% 6% 4%
Neither 59% 60% 59% 58% 58% 61% 59%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (497) (504) (198) (379) (425) (671)
Party ID Ideology
Credit 33% 22% 38% 13% 39%

Blame 8% 18% 2% 23% 1%
Neither 59% 60% 60% 64% 60%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (246) (697) (198) (742)
24
19. Trump Fit for Presidency if Convicted

If Donald Trump were convicted of any of the crimes for which he is currently facing charges, would you consider him fit for the presidency?
Gender Age White

Yes 49% 48% 50% 39% 47% 55% 51%

No 22% 22% 22% 26% 25% 18% 17%
Depends on which charge 29% 30% 28% 35% 28% 27% 32%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Yes 49% 36% 57% 24% 58%

No 22% 37% 12% 49% 11%
Depends on which charge 29% 27% 31% 27% 31%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
25
20A. Haley’s Criticisms of Trump — Trump’s mental fitness

Do you think Nikki Haley’s criticisms of Donald Trump on each of the following topics are fair or unfair, or have you not heard about them? When Haley
makes comments about...
Gender Age White

Fair criticism 21% 20% 21% 26% 21% 18% 18%

Unfair criticism 61% 66% 57% 48% 60% 68% 65%
Haven’t heard 18% 14% 22% 25% 18% 14% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (497) (503) (197) (379) (424) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 21% 32% 13% 42% 12%

Unfair criticism 61% 53% 69% 41% 70%
Haven’t heard 18% 15% 18% 17% 18%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (247) (695) (199) (742)
26
20B. Haley’s Criticisms of Trump — Trump not debating

Gender Age White

Fair criticism 43% 49% 38% 40% 51% 38% 40%

Haven’t heard 19% 13% 25% 27% 18% 16% 19%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (497) (503) (197) (379) (423) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 43% 53% 38% 63% 37%

Haven’t heard 19% 18% 18% 17% 19%
Totals 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (247) (694) (198) (742)
27
20C. Haley’s Criticisms of Trump — "Chaos" following Trump

Gender Age White

Fair criticism 43% 46% 39% 42% 49% 37% 39%

Haven’t heard 12% 9% 14% 21% 12% 7% 12%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (497) (503) (197) (379) (424) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 43% 54% 36% 67% 34%

Haven’t heard 12% 13% 11% 11% 12%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (247) (695) (199) (742)
28
21A. Trump’s Criticisms of Haley — Haley’s intelligence

Do you think Donald Trump’s criticisms of Nikki Haley on each of the following topics are fair or unfair, or have you not heard about them? When Trump
Gender Age White

Fair criticism 18% 19% 18% 27% 17% 15% 19%

Haven’t heard 33% 27% 39% 31% 33% 35% 36%
Totals 99% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (496) (505) (197) (379) (425) (672)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 18% 14% 20% 13% 20%

Haven’t heard 33% 30% 35% 26% 36%
Totals 99% 100% 99% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,001) (247) (697) (198) (742)
29
21B. Trump’s Criticisms of Haley — Haley’s clothing

Gender Age White

Fair criticism 8% 6% 10% 16% 5% 6% 9%

Haven’t heard 42% 39% 44% 38% 41% 44% 43%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (495) (504) (197) (377) (425) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 8% 4% 9% 6% 8%
Haven’t heard 42% 41% 43% 30% 45%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (246) (697) (198) (740)
30
21C. Trump’s Criticisms of Haley — Haley’s name

Gender Age White

Fair criticism 11% 12% 10% 16% 10% 9% 12%

Haven’t heard 37% 31% 43% 39% 35% 38% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (495) (505) (197) (378) (425) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Fair criticism 11% 8% 12% 8% 12%

Haven’t heard 37% 36% 38% 26% 40%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (246) (697) (198) (741)
31
22. Haley’s Chances of Beating Biden

If Nikki Haley were to become the Republican nominee in 2024, how would you describe her chances against Joe Biden?
Gender Age White

She would be a long shot to beat Biden 25% 21% 29% 25% 24% 27% 24%
She might beat Biden 42% 39% 45% 40% 47% 38% 43%
She would definitely beat Biden 33% 40% 26% 35% 29% 35% 33%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
She would be a long shot to beat Biden 25% 24% 25% 20% 26%
She might beat Biden 42% 40% 42% 44% 41%
She would definitely beat Biden 33% 36% 33% 36% 33%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (199) (743)
32
23. Trump’s Chances of Beating Biden

If Donald Trump were to become the Republican nominee in 2024, how would you describe his chances against Joe Biden?
Gender Age White

He would be a long shot to beat Biden 11% 11% 10% 10% 13% 8% 8%
He might beat Biden 34% 34% 34% 41% 38% 27% 33%
He would definitely beat Biden 55% 55% 56% 48% 49% 64% 59%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (506) (198) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
He would be a long shot to beat Biden 11% 22% 5% 27% 4%

He might beat Biden 34% 35% 32% 38% 32%
He would definitely beat Biden 55% 42% 63% 34% 64%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (200) (743)
33
24. Abortion Legal in South Carolina

Do you want abortion in South Carolina to be...
Gender Age White

Legal in all cases 7% 6% 8% 9% 7% 5% 4%

Legal in most cases 20% 20% 20% 25% 19% 19% 12%
Illegal in most cases 55% 59% 51% 43% 54% 62% 60%
Illegal in all cases 18% 15% 21% 23% 20% 13% 24%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (497) (503) (198) (379) (423) (671)
Party ID Ideology
Legal in all cases 7% 6% 5% 13% 4%

Legal in most cases 20% 28% 16% 39% 13%
Illegal in most cases 55% 56% 58% 42% 61%
Illegal in all cases 18% 10% 21% 6% 22%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (246) (695) (199) (741)
34
25. State vs. National Issues

When you think about your 2024 Republican primary vote, what’s more important to you? How the candidates address...
Gender Age White

State and local issues in South Carolina 11% 9% 13% 23% 8% 8% 11%
National issues in the country 89% 91% 87% 77% 92% 92% 89%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (498) (505) (197) (380) (426) (672)
Party ID Ideology
State and local issues in South Carolina 11% 9% 10% 20% 8%

National issues in the country 89% 91% 90% 80% 92%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (247) (697) (199) (742)
35
26. Financial Condition if Haley Wins

If Nikki Haley wins the presidency in 2024, do you think her policies would make you...
Gender Age White

Financially better off 32% 36% 28% 34% 34% 29% 34%
Financially worse off 21% 18% 24% 23% 20% 21% 20%
Stay about the same 47% 46% 48% 43% 46% 49% 46%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (497) (505) (197) (379) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Financially better off 32% 30% 34% 30% 34%

Financially worse off 21% 20% 21% 14% 22%
Stay about the same 47% 50% 45% 56% 44%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (246) (698) (199) (742)
36
27. Financial Condition if Trump Wins

If Donald Trump wins the presidency in 2024, do you think his policies would make you...
Gender Age White

Financially better off 73% 71% 74% 71% 71% 75% 78%
Financially worse off 9% 8% 10% 14% 11% 6% 6%
Stay about the same 18% 20% 15% 15% 18% 19% 16%
Totals 100% 99% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (498) (504) (197) (379) (426) (672)
Party ID Ideology
Financially better off 73% 57% 83% 45% 84%

Financially worse off 9% 20% 2% 26% 2%
Stay about the same 18% 22% 15% 29% 14%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (246) (697) (199) (742)
37
28. Haley Approach to Border Security

If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley’s policies and approach would make the U.S.-Mexico border...
Gender Age White

More secure 53% 59% 47% 42% 56% 55% 56%

Less secure 17% 16% 18% 20% 14% 18% 17%
Not change things either way 30% 25% 35% 38% 30% 27% 27%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,003) (498) (504) (197) (380) (425) (673)
Party ID Ideology
More secure 53% 52% 55% 53% 53%

Less secure 17% 13% 19% 10% 19%
Not change things either way 30% 35% 26% 37% 27%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
Weighted N (1,003) (247) (697) (199) (742)
38
29. Trump Approach to Border Security

If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump’s policies and approach would make the U.S.-Mexico border...
Gender Age White

More secure 88% 90% 86% 82% 87% 93% 92%

Less secure 4% 3% 4% 7% 4% 2% 2%
Not change things either way 8% 6% 10% 11% 9% 5% 6%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (505) (197) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
More secure 88% 79% 97% 70% 96%

Less secure 4% 4% 1% 8% 1%
Not change things either way 8% 16% 2% 22% 3%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (199) (743)
39
30. Republican Nominee - Ukraine

Would you prefer the Republican 2024 nominee...
Gender Age White

Support U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia 48% 52% 44% 42% 52% 48% 48%
Oppose U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia 52% 48% 56% 58% 48% 52% 52%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (495) (504) (197) (379) (423) (669)
Party ID Ideology
Support U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia 48% 51% 46% 59% 44%
Oppose U.S. aid to Ukraine in its fight against Russia 52% 49% 54% 41% 56%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (999) (244) (697) (200) (738)
40
31. Haley and Military Involvements Overseas

If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley’s policies would...
Gender Age White

Increase U.S. military involvement overseas 41% 45% 38% 40% 35% 47% 43%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas 15% 12% 18% 22% 20% 8% 13%
No change either way 44% 43% 44% 38% 45% 45% 44%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (998) (496) (502) (198) (378) (422) (667)
Party ID Ideology
Increase U.S. military involvement overseas 41% 45% 42% 33% 45%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas 15% 12% 16% 17% 14%
No change either way 44% 43% 42% 50% 41%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (998) (244) (696) (200) (740)
41
32. Trump and Military Involvements Overseas

If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump’s policies would...
Gender Age White

Increase U.S. military involvement overseas 33% 28% 38% 40% 34% 30% 38%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas 47% 47% 47% 43% 43% 52% 43%
No change either way 20% 24% 15% 17% 23% 18% 19%
Totals 100% 99% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (498) (505) (197) (380) (426) (673)
Party ID Ideology
Increase U.S. military involvement overseas 33% 26% 36% 31% 34%
Decrease U.S. military involvement overseas 47% 55% 45% 43% 49%
No change either way 20% 19% 19% 26% 17%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,004) (247) (698) (199) (743)
42
33. Haley and an Abortion Ban

If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley would...
Gender Age White

Support a national abortion ban 26% 23% 28% 36% 23% 23% 27%
Oppose a national abortion ban 37% 39% 35% 40% 41% 32% 36%
Neither 37% 38% 37% 24% 36% 44% 37%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (498) (504) (198) (380) (424) (671)
Party ID Ideology
Support a national abortion ban 26% 22% 26% 23% 25%

Oppose a national abortion ban 37% 41% 36% 39% 37%
Neither 37% 37% 38% 37% 38%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100%
Weighted N (1,002) (247) (696) (200) (743)
43
34. Trump and an Abortion Ban

If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump would...
Gender Age White

Support a national abortion ban 47% 43% 51% 59% 48% 40% 49%
Oppose a national abortion ban 18% 20% 17% 18% 19% 18% 18%
Neither 35% 37% 32% 22% 33% 42% 33%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 99% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (498) (502) (197) (379) (423) (670)
Party ID Ideology
Support a national abortion ban 47% 46% 46% 48% 45%

Oppose a national abortion ban 18% 18% 19% 20% 19%
Neither 35% 36% 35% 32% 36%
Totals 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Weighted N (1,000) (247) (694) (199) (739)
44
HOW THE POLL WAS CONDUCTED AND THE
MARGIN OF ERROR CALCULATED
The CBS News/YouGov survey of 1,483 registered voters in South Carolina was conducted be-
tween February 5-10, 2024.
This sample was weighted according to gender, age, race, and education based on the U.S.
Census American Community Survey, and the U.S. Census Current Population Survey, as well
as 2020 Presidential vote. “Likely voters” – respondents’ relative probabilities of voting – were
determined using a regression model that incorporates current, self-reported intentions to vote,
along with individual-level and aggregate data about voters, such as demographics and vote
history. Respondents were selected to be representative of registered voters in South Carolina.
Of the 1,483 respondents, 718 were selected from YouGov’s online panel, 406 were selected from
Quest Mindshare’s online panel, 182 were selected from Cint’s online panel, and 177 were selected
from Dynata’s online panel. The weights range from 0.2 to 5.9, with a mean of 1 and a standard
deviation of 0.6.
The margin of error (a 95% confidence interval) for a sample percentage p based upon the entire
sample is approximately ±3.0 points.. It is calculated using the formula
s
1 + CV2
p̂ ± 100 ×
n
where CV is the coefficient of variation of the sample weights and n is the sample size used
to compute the proportion. This is a measure of sampling error (the average of all estimates
obtained using the same sample selection and weighting procedures repeatedly). The sample
estimate should differ from its expected value by less than margin of error in 95 percent of
all samples. It does not reflect non-sampling errors, including potential selection bias in panel
participation or in response to a particular survey.

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CBS News Poll – February 5-10, 2024

Registered voters in South Carolina

3. Which best describes your vote right now?

4. Which best describes your vote right now?

Fair Unfair Haven’t

Fair Unfair Haven’t

24. Do you want abortion in South Carolina to be...

33. If elected president in 2024, do you think Nikki Haley would...

34. If elected president in 2024, do you think Donald Trump would...

1. Likely to Vote in SC Republican Primary

Gender Age White

Already voted (absentee ballot) 2% 3% 2% 3% 0% 3% 2%

Already voted (absentee ballot) 2% 2% 3% 2% 2%

2. Republican Presidential Primary Vote

Gender Age White

Donald Trump 65% 65% 66% 59% 64% 69% 69%

Donald Trump 65% 53% 74% 40% 75%

Gender Age White

I’ve firmly decided on Trump 87% 83% 88% 80% 88%

Gender Age White

I’ve firmly decided on Haley 78% 89% 67% 89% 66%

5A. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — Her record as governor

Gender Age White

Yes 34% 40% 28% 40% 37% 29% 34%

Yes 34% 31% 35% 32% 35%

Gender Age White

Yes 23% 25% 21% 26% 25% 20% 25%

Yes 23% 25% 22% 29% 22%

Gender Age White

Yes 23% 21% 25% 28% 22% 22% 23%

Yes 23% 22% 23% 24% 23%

5D. Reasons to Consider Voting for Haley — Prefer a woman as president

Gender Age White

6A. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — His record as president

Gender Age White

Yes 46% 50% 42% ∗ 43% 48% 51%

Yes 46% 30% 64% 29% 65%

Gender Age White

Yes 16% 18% 14% ∗ 14% 11% 18%

Yes 16% 9% 22% 3% 25%

Gender Age White

Yes 40% 46% 33% ∗ 35% 41% 42%

Yes 40% 24% 56% 28% 53%

6D. Reasons to Consider Voting for Trump — Prefer a man as president

Gender Age White

Yes 8% 5% 10% 3% 10%

7. Describes Nikki Haley

Gender Age White

Likable 52% 61% 43% 48% 51% 55% 53%

Likable 52% 50% 54% 50% 52%

8. Describes Donald Trump

Gender Age White

Likable 32% 30% 35% 33% 32% 33% 36%

Likable 32% 20% 39% 16% 38%

9. Haley Job Approval

Gender Age White

Approve 60% 67% 53% 56% 63% 60% 61%

Approve 60% 63% 60% 70% 58%

10. Trump Job Approval

Gender Age White

Approve 82% 85% 79% 76% 79% 86% 87%

Approve 82% 67% 92% 58% 92%