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An electric revolution:

The rise of Indonesia’s e-motorcycle


An Electric Vehicle White Paper
September 2023
Introduction
The automotive industry in Indonesia is undergoing a profound
transformation, with electric vehicles (EVs) at the forefront of change.
Among these, electric motorcycles are becoming the catalyst towards
adoption in renewable energy, with a 13.2x increase in the last 2 years.
Deloitte Indonesia and Foundry are excited to present this white paper to
explore the EV market, analyzing its potential, infrastructure, and
innovative business model that can boost adoptions in Indonesia.

With its unique motorcycle landscape, Indonesia is well-suited for the EV


revolution. This research aims to provide a comprehensive view of the
electric motorcycle landscape, covering market dynamics, technology
advancements, regulations, and consumer preferences. Deloitte Indonesia
and Foundry collaborated to provide insights to empower stakeholders to
make informed decisions, driving the transformation towards a sustainable,
electrified future for Indonesian transportation.

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About Deloitte
Deloitte Indonesia
Deloitte Indonesia are independent firms that provide auditing, consulting, Deloitte makes an impact that matters
financial advisory, risk advisory, tax, and related services to selected clients. Deloitte Indonesia’s desire to make a positive and enduring impact every
We are Members of the Deloitte Asia Pacific Network and of the Deloitte day for our organisation and its stakeholders require that:
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• We serve clients distinctively, bringing innovative insights, solving
Our Indonesia practice has grown rapidly over the years to its current size of complex challenges and unlocking sustainable growth.
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• Hermawan Juniarto & Partners, Lawyers

• PT Deloitte Consulting, Strategy, Technology Integration and


Management Consultant

• Each firm is its own separate legal entity and operate independently

An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s e-motorcycle 3


About Foundry

Foundry is a thriving ecosystem platform in Indonesia, seamlessly connecting champions of innovation,


including enterprises, visionary tech founders, government and regulatory bodies, and esteemed global
partners. Our primary mission is to cultivate a culture of collaboration and industry growth through the
exchange of ideas, educational initiatives, and strategic business partnerships.

At Foundry, we are passionately committed to accelerating the advancement of Indonesia's digital


economy, paving the way for emerging leaders who can catalyze transformative change on a grand scale.
Our network serves as a catalyst for several critical objectives, including nurturing valuable relationships
with influential leaders and corporates through engaging events and collaborations, providing insights and
resources to them, and empowering visionary founders to launch impactful ventures.

Foundry's mission is rooted in the idea of uniting champions from diverse industries, pooling resources,
and fostering innovation to drive progress within our beloved nation and society at large.

contact@foundry.id
www.foundry.id

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Contents
1 Indonesian electric motorcycle opportunity

2 E-motorcycle target

3 Barriers of adoption

4 Industry Landscape

5 Opportunities & challenges

6 Related regulations

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

The state of Indonesia’s


electric motorcycle opportunity
As the 3rd largest motorcycle country in the 13.5 Million e-motorcycle +264% CAGR
world, Indonesia’s e-motorcycle industry Indonesian government target by 2030 On Indonesia’s E-motorcycle market (2020-2022)
showcases a huge $19.2 Billion* opportunity
from both the manufacturers and energy
distribution standpoint

* Notes: assuming $1,300 avg. price of e-motorcycles


Number of E-motorcycle
Source(s): Ministry of Transportation Indonesia, Ministry on-the-road (total population) 2030 (Govt. Target)
of Energy and Mineral Resources) # E-motorcycles 13.5 million
Total # of EV 15.7 million

2022
# E-motorcycles 25,782 470x target
2021 increase
# E-motorcycles 5,486 Total # of EV 33,461
2020
# E-motorcycles 1,947 Total # of EV 7,498
Total # of EV 2,176
4.7x growth
2.8x growth
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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Indonesia’s $19.2 billion electric motorcycle opportunity


- cleaner consumption on the country’s largest CO2 emitter
USD 19.2 Billion 13.5 Million ~30% SOM
E-motorcycle market in Indonesia by Number of E-motorcycle in Indonesia by New motorcycle sales in 2030 are
2030 2030 electric

#3 Motorcycle Country 125.3 Million 5.2 Million


In the world. More motorcycle than Total motorcycle in Indonesia (2022) New motorcycle sales in 2022. A 43%
China (80.7 Million) & Thailand (21.8 increase from figure during pandemic
Million)

* Notes: assuming $1,300 avg. price of e-motorcycles

Source(s):Asosiasi Industri Sepeda Motor Indonesia


(AISI, 2022), Indonesia Statistics Bureau (BPS, 2022),
McKinsey

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Indonesia’s $19.2 billion electric motorcycle


opportunity - cleaner consumption on the
country’s largest CO2 emitter

High growth, driven 1 motorcycle for every 2 people


in Indonesia (2022)
by the middle class
85%
of Indonesian household owns at least 1
motorcycle (2022)

4.8% CAGR
2-wheelers market from 2016 - 2022.
The fastest growing 2 wheelers market in the
world
* Notes: assuming $1,300 avg. price of e-motorcycles

Source(s):Asosiasi Industri Sepeda Motor Indonesia


(AISI, 2022), Indonesia Statistics Bureau (BPS, 2022),
McKinsey

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Ambitious 13.5M e-motorcycle target


sees 13.2x increase in the last 2 years
E-motorcycle in numbers Number of EV in Indonesia
(2020-2022A & 2030 target)
4.7x Growth 25,782 E-motorcycles 524x target
increase
In numbers from 2021-2022 Total numbers in 2022

+264% CAGR 1,700+


2020 - 2022 Number of swapping station per Q2 2023

Catalyst needed for faster EV adoption

Energy Distribution Infrastructure Standardization of EV battery Government carbon tax & EV tax credits
plays an important role in EV adoption, as it that allows for increase in charging & swapping facilities Tax breaks will boost adoptions faster for price-
reduces consumer’s range anxiety. Most EVs as well as boosting manufacturing as producers don’t sensitive consumers to transition from conventional
today have lower driving/riding range compared need to worry about producing the batteries vehicles to electric.
to conventional vehicles.
67K 32K Source(s): Ministry of Transportation Indonesia(2022), Ministry
Target number of of Energy and Mineral Resources (2022)
Target number of
swapping station in charging station in
2030 2030 An
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Barriers of adoption for consumers


Key problems
Considerations for purchasing electric motorcycles
Inadequate energy distribution Reliability & performance of the
infrastructure current products

Such as charging station availability, range Motorcycles are the primary mode of
anxiety, and charging duration are hindering transportation and a source of income for low
consumers from shifting to e-motorcycles. to middle-income families. Performance factors
such as driving range, charging duration, and
speed result in hesitation towards trusting e-
Expensive price of the EV motorcycles.

Approximately 45.13% of electric motorcycles


are sold with upfront battery cost (charging
model). Spiking the price for customers.

Source(s): Institute for Essential Service Reform


(Indonesia, 2022)
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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Indonesia’s E2W ecosystem adoption by B2B users


A study by Pertamina NRE
Key Findings

Financial support is King Convenience is also crucial Ecosystem operation is not ready-state
• High willingness among drivers to use E2W, • User acquisition and retention is difficult • Prolonged peak hours of swapping occur
however conversion relies heavily on unless the ecosystem can provide daily, straining the battery swapping
financial support. sufficient travel distance to address range station’s (BSS) capability to provide
• Financial support should be given as a anxiety. sufficiently-charged batteries.
supplement to operational savings and • Even then, it takes time for users to adapt • Calculation for number of BSS and batteries
further education on the benefits of EV. from their ICE usage pattern to EV. required to support operation must consider
peak hours to avoid queues.

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Industry landscape
Players looking to electrify Indonesian motorcycle industry
Startup E-Motorcycles
The current e-motorcycle industry is
dominated by “startup” players who
raised equity and debt financing from
institutional investors such as venture
capitals, private equities, etc.,
especially as OEM players deploy a
“wait and see” approach to EV.

Notes: Companies like SWAP and Smoot are operated by OEM E-Motorcycles Energy Distribution - Battery Swapping
the same company under “SWAP Energi”, while Volta and
SGB (“Sistem Ganti Baterai” are operated by “Volta
Indonesia”)

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

The Swapping vs Charging


Conundrum for electric motorcycles

Swapping model Charging model


Battery swapping has
proven its compatibility
+1,700 stations Availability Home charging
in the market. Of the
In Indonesia
25,782 e-motorcycles on
3-4 hours (normal) and 1-2 hours
10 seconds lag time to
switch battery
Time (fast charging) total charging the road, the battery
time
Reduction of battery
swapping model
Costs Incurred cost for frequently
replacement fee for having
swappable battery system
having a fixed battery system accounts for 54.87%.
Spread across high-density area Distribution Residential area, home charging,
Distribution
through retail partnerships commercial building

Source(s): Asian Development Bank, 2022; PLN, 2022; Industry interview (May 2023) An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s e-motorcycle 13
An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Battery swapping landscape


Exponentially growing in e-motorcycle usage
Number of swapping stations by the There are currently 4 key players in battery
swapping in Indonesia. These 4 caters to
top 4 private players
different brands of e-motorcycles and typically
Based on interview (May 2023)
have either ride-hailing giants or 3PL behind
their adoptions
74.24%
1,300 1. SWAP 2. GOGORO 3. Battery swapping 4. Battery modification
1.000
E-motorcycle E-motorcycle operators
brands that use brands that use Swap operators used
750 Swap system are: Gogoro system is: by motorcycle brands
owned by themselves:

500

(Volta)
16.85%
Key users of Key user of Key users are:
250 295 Swap are: Gogoro is :
8.57%
0.34%
150
6
0

(Volta)
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Cost & time effectiveness is obtained from using


the swapping model
Battery swapping allows users to cut 75% Reduce opportunity cost & idle time USD 0.04*
cost on battery replacement when using the because riders can charge on-the-go cost per kilometer
-75%
conventional charging model for electric
motorcycles while saving 1 hour on a single 3,600x reduction
journey. faster charging time

Decrease vehicle maintenance cost Remove range anxiety


due to the longer life-cycle of swapping as there is a wide distribution network USD 0.01*
batteries of battery swapping stations cost per kilometer

2 Years life USD 467 - 1,000 Charging


1,700+
cycle one-off battery swapping stations model
added to battery replacement fee

* Notes on assumptions: Swapping


1. E-motorcycle life is 10 years
2. Average OTR price of e-motorcycle is USD 1,300
model
3. Range per cycle for charging model is 50km and
swapping model is 60km
4. A year of battery life is equal to 500 cycles
5. Average battery replacement cost is USD 671

Source(s): Asian Development Bank, 2022; Handbook of Energy & Economic


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Statistics of Indonesia, 2022; Industry interview (May 2023)
An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Battery swapping
Zooming in on the new economy of energy distribution
E-motorcycle riders Swap location partners
Riders’ profile Station location
Middle-low income PARTNERING WITH RETAIL
USD 4,783.9
GDP per capita (2022) ▪ Modern-trade retail chain
High mobility
▪ Gas stations
30-120 Minutes Swapping stations Purchase
Battery
Of daily commute transactions
Depleted Revenue sharing model ▪ Malls
Motorcycle as main source
of income ▪ Others
Logistics driver, ride hailing
drivers
9 seconds – 2 minutes from start to finish
(depending on providers)

Time-saving for drivers Cost effectivity


Number of swap stations USD 0.03
Up to 4 hours
1,700+ saved per mile
Time saved
Swapping stations in Indonesia 50% cheaper
9 seconds
To SWAP Than petrol motorcycles

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Charge per kilometer vs. Charge per swapping


Breaking down the two business model of battery swapping
Charged per Kilometer USD 0.01 Current player(s) using this model
(IDR160) average cost per KM
• Users can swap battery anytime.
• Unlimited swapping quota USD 8.3 - 10
• Variable based pricing - similar to paying for (IDR125,000 - 150,000)
gasoline price est. Total cost in a month* *Assuming 700-800km avg. distance per month.

Monthly subscription and fixed fee USD 0.46 Current player(s) using this model

• Quota-based swapping (IDR7,000) cost per swapping

• Users swap when battery range is low USD 10 - 14


• Fixed fee per swap (IDR210,000) est. Total cost in a month**

(Volta)

**SGB pricing is IDR350,000 per 50 swaps per month while


Source(s): Case study from SWAP Energy, Sistem Ganti Oyika is IDR150,000 per month
Baterai (SGB - Volta), and Oyika pricing as of July 2023
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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Opportunities & challenges for electric motorcycles


From an industrial standpoint
Opportunities Challenges
To meet the TKDN regulation,
#1 nickel producer Unstandardized battery types limit economics
Indonesia aims for 80% local The country generates 37% of the worldwide of scale
component manufacturing in two- nickel production - or around 1 million metric Multiple players making different types of
wheelers by 2026 and in four- tons per annum. Nickel is the key raw material batteries limit the cost reductions of EV
for EV batteries. batteries.
wheelers by 2030. The country has set
ambitious targets of 15.7 million #2 cobalt producer in the world Wait & see strategy from established players
electric vehicles by 2030, requiring The country is expected to produce 95,000 Government regulations & market leaders are
tons of cobalt by 2030, or 10x of its current yet to be defined, hindering established players
nearly 800,000 tons of domestically production. to invest further.
produced lithium batteries to meet
the demand. Affordable electricity price Fragmented Charging Landscape
The cost of electricity is relatively cheaper than Different types of batteries means different
most countries (US$ 0.091 / kwh). A clear types of charger & swapping requirements.
incentive for drivers to shift from non- Making it expensive to build an ecosystem.
Source(s): Cobalt Institute (2023), Deloitte, 2022;
renewable options.
Statista, 2022;
High manufacturing emission
The nickel processing industry relies heavily on
coal. Making it carbon intensive & counter-
productive from EV’s green goal.

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Government supports the e-motorcycle roadmap

Since 2019, the Indonesian government Subsidies to promote procurement


continually impose regulations to incentivize • Sales subsidies totaling to ~$455.8 Million
consumers, reduce manufacturing cost, and will be deployed in 2024
accelerate infrastructures for electric two- • Combustion conversion subsidies
wheelers to achieve its targets by 2030 amounting to $339/unit to cover the
conversion cost for electrical engines
31,000
Charging stations
Tax incentives to grow sales
• Adjusting Luxury Sales Tax (PPnBM) to be
based on emissions (PP No. 73/2019)
67,000 • Easing Value-Added-Tax (VAT) from 11% to
Swapping stations 1% (PMK No. 38/2023)

30% Standardization to enhance


Motorcycle sales composed by electric infrastructure
• Provision of regulatory guidelines:
13.5M Framework for EV production, on-the-road
E-motorcycles on the road usage (PerPres No. 55/2019; Permenhub
No. 45/2020; Permenperin No. 6-7/2022;
Permen ESDM No. 1/2023)

Source(s): Ministry of Finance, 2023; Ministry of


Transportation, 2020; Ministry of Industry, 2022; Ministry
of Energy & Mineral Resources, 2023; CNN Indonesia,
2020; An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s e-motorcycle 19
An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

General overview of the regulations

• PR 55/2019 was created in 2019 as the roadmap to electronic motorized vehicles regulations in
Indonesia.
• Key-points of the PR are among others: Types of EV; EV industry; Domestic components; Import
Presidential Regulation (PR) requirements; EV incentives; EV infrastructure; Electricity tariffs; and EV technical requirements.
• Established to improve energy efficiency and sustainability as well as energy conservation to achieve
No. 55 of 2019
clean energy, clean air quality, and environmental sustainability.
• As its objectives to accelerates the battery-based EV program by:
• accelerating the development of the domestic battery-based EV Industry; providing incentives;
provision of electric charging infrastructure and regulation of electric power tariffs; compliance
with EV technical provisions; and protection of the environment.

• Permenhub 45/2020 is established for certain vehicles using electric motor drive.
Ministry of Transportation • The vehicles are electric scooter; electric bicycle; hoverboard; unicycle; and otopet.
No. 45 of 2020 • The specified certain vehicles must be driven on a special lane and/or a specific area designated for
the vehicles.
• Government includes small and specified vehicles in the EV industry projection and not limit the
regulations to the bigger vehicles only.

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

• PMK 38/2023 aims to encourage and increase public interest in buying electric motorized vehicles by
Ministry of Finance Regulation covering value-added tax (VAT) on the delivery of electric motorized vehicles.
No. 38 of 2023 • Government will borne VAT for EV during fiscal year 2023 for tax period of April 2023 – December
2023.
• Government will borne 10% from 11% owed VAT hence the taxpayers will only borne 1% of the VAT.

• This regulation is created to revoked the Permen ESDM 13/2020 as it did not fulfill the needs of the
people.
• Permen ESDM 1/2023 aims to integrate electricity charging infrastructure providers for battery-based
Ministry of Energy and electric motorized vehicles and the application of electricity tariffs for battery-based electric
motorized vehicles.
Mineral Resources
• Electric charging infrastructure providers include:
Regulation No. 1 of 2023 • Private and public recharging facilities, consisting of: Electric power supply equipment; Current,
voltage, and communication control systems; and Protection and security systems.
• Battery exchange facilities.
• This regulation creates ease of usage to provide more charging stations and several schemes for
business actors to play a part.

• Permenperin 6/2023 act as a continuation of PR 55/2019.


Ministry of Industry • Aims to increase the purchasing power and affordability of two-wheeled battery-based electric
motorized vehicles by providing government assistance.
Regulation No. 6 of 2023
• Government offers subsidized purchase of IDR7,000,000 (seven million Rupiahs) for a single unit
purchase of EV motorcycle towards people that fulfill the qualifications according to the regulation.
• The program will commence during the fiscal year period of 2023 – 2024.

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Opportunities
From legal standpoint
• With rapid updates of the relevant
regulations and policies, the government is
aiming to provide clearer and more cut-out
guidelines for the EV industry in Indonesia.

• The Government also pay attention to a


smaller type of the EV, under which vehicles
that drive under 25 km/h such as scooter,
bicycle is regulated. This shows the
government’s effort to adjust with the
current trend and creates a safety rule for
the users, with a goal to reduce emission in
Indonesia.

• The government also aims to provide


incentives, subsidies, road access and
infrastructures as well as support to
accelerate the EV program in Indonesia by
establishing relevant sectoral regulations.

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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Sustainability of EV-battery
Future opportunities
In terms of sustainability, swap battery is #1 Longer battery service life #4 Reducing manufacturing resources
expected to have longer service life, lesser The service life of swap battery is longer than and cost
cost, and better security and waste charging battery, as swapped battery is always Battery swapping services may enable EV
management compared to charging battery. charged under ideal conditions in the swapping companies to sell EVs without built-in battery
station (i.e., no quick charging, stable electrical packs (like in China), saving manufacturing
surge). resources and cost. Consumers will then have
to rely on renting swap batteries.
#2 Centralized battery waste
management #5 Tracking and monitoring
Swap battery can drive a centralized battery Companies can track and locate the battery’s
waste management ecosystem, since unusable location thanks to their built-in GPS. Swap
batteries will be handed to the station and battery (attached to the e-motorcycle) may
collected by the operator, preventing individual increase the security of e-motorcycles from
waste dumping. acts of theft.

#3 Battery waste recycle #6 Green energy


With the BaaS (Battery-as-a-Service) model Swapping operators can leverage green energy
that is using cloud and digital twin technology, (i.e., solar power) to partially or fully power
it is possible to manage the reuse of the their Battery Swapping Stations (BSS).
batteries, which will conserve resources and is
Source(s): Kompas.com, 2022; Forbes, 2022; an important contribution for the sustainable
CUSTOMCELLS, 2023
environment.
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An electric revolution: The rise of Indonesia’s E -motorcycle | Indonesia | 2023

Let’s collaborate for the future of mobility

www.deloitte.com www.foundry.id

iddttl@deloitte.com contact@foundry.id

Deloitte Foundry

Deloitte_indonesia Foundry.id

+62 21 5081 8000

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