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INTERNAL

Group of Experts on Fossil Fuel – 2nd Meeting


Gas Flaring Situation In Iraq

Kempinski Hotel, Amman


28 November 2019
Contents
INTERNAL

1. Overview
2. Iraq’s Natural Gas Reserves
3. Investment Requirements
4. Power Sector Gas Demand
5. Technical & Legal Framework Summary
6. Q&A
Overview
INTERNAL

• Since 2012, Iraq’s oil production increased by


more than 50% from approx. 2.35 to 4.7 mbpd Top 10 Natural Gas Flaring Countries (By volume,
on average. bcm/year)
• Second to the US, Iraq contributed to 1 in every 25
5 barrels of added oil in this decade (IEA).
• Iraq has become the world’s second largest gas 20

flaring country after Russia (World Bank).


• Capacity to capture and process gas has not 15

kept pace with production. Almost half of raw


gas produced is flared. 10

• Non-alignment of Gas and Power policy led to a


gas deficit, compensated for by imports. Flared 5

gas could power 4.5 GW of gas fired electricity


(± 3 million homes). 0

• Iraq’s oil extraction is 50% more emission


2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

intensive than the global average due to gas Russia Iraq Iran United States Algeria

flaring and methane venting.


Venezuela Nigeria Libya Mexico Angola

Source: Global Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership (GGFR) and Iraq Energy Institute
• Financial burden, power grid vulnerabilities, Analysis
causing sustained rolling blackouts during peak
demand hours in summer.
Iraq’s Natural Gas Reserves
INTERNAL

• Iraq has a proven reserve of 112 Tcf of Natural gas across


the country.
• The IEA estimates ultimate recoverable gas resources at
256 Tcf, 2.28 times the current reserve.
• 30% of Iraq’s gas is assumed in the north (KRG & Northern
provinces) and 70% in the south.

Associated Gas Fields:


• Makes up 65 Tcf of Federal Iraq’s reserves.
• Licensing rounds were awarded to attract investment. A
total of 14 fields, 11 of them for associated gas, with the Iraq Natural Gas Reserves (Tcf)
last three for non-associated gas (R3 fields).
• Gathered gas from Rumaila, WQ1 and Zubair (R1 fields) are 33.6
contracted to be processed at the Basra Gas Company
(BGC) facilities. Also, Majnoon (R2). 78.4

• South Gas Company captures gas from a number of other


southern fields that are operated by national oil companies KRG & North South
(Basra Oil Company, Dhi Qar Oil Company & Missan Oil
Company) Source: Iraq Ministry of Oil and Iraq Energy
Institute Analysis
Iraq’s Natural Gas Reserves
INTERNAL

Southern Iraq Natural Gas Reserves (Tcf)


Non-Associated Gas Fields:
• Makes up 13 Tcf of Federal Iraq’s
accessible gas reserves. 6

• Akkas, Siba, and Mansouriya (est. 4.5 Tcf)


Other fields

were part of Licensing Round 3.


29

• As ISIS controlled Anbar province, KOGAS


ceased operations at Akkas (R: 5.6 Tcf, Pest:
320 mmscf/d).
• Mansouriya (R: 3.5 Tcf, Pest: 300 mmscf/d) 7

contract was unilaterally terminated by Rounds 1,2 & 3

MoO. Mansouriya power plant runs on 36

imported gas.
• Dry gas, LPG and condensates from Siba (R:
1.1 Tcf, Pact: 25 mmscf/d) are either sold in
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40

Non-Associated Gas Associated Gas


the domestic market, exported or mixed with
crude oil. Source: Iraq Ministry of Oil and Iraq Energy
Institute Analysis
Raw Gas Production, Capturing & Flaring
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• Iraq’s raw gas production is estimated at 2.8 Rumaila WQ1 Zubair Missan Halfaya Majnoon

Bcf/d, of which 1.7 Bcf/d is being flared (50-


Badra Gharaf WQ2 Qayarah Najma
1.20

60%). Only approximately 1.08 Bcf/d is


captured. 1.00
1.1

• Basra Gas Company (J.V. of SGC, Shell & 0.99

Mitsubishi) captures 0.94 Bcf/d while South

Natural Gas Production (Bcf/d)


0.80

Gas Company captures another 0.15 Bcf/d.


• BGC’s 2023 target is to reach 1.43 Bcf/d while 0.60
0.68
0.62
0.68

SGC’s is 0.5 Bcf/d. Combined, that will be 2.0


Bcf/d with additional sites. 0.40
0.42
0.45

• Iraq’s LPG production covers the local market


and Condensates are exported (averaging 0.20
0.28

4,200 tons per day). 0.11


0.18
0.12
0.08
• If flaring is minimized, Iraq’s current reserves 0.00
0.03
2017
0.05
2023 Target

would be sufficient to supply 200 years of its


current demand. Source: Iraq Ministry of Oil and Iraq Energy
Institute Analysis
Investment Requirements
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• Investment had delayed since 2009-


2011 given the non-lucrative nature Gas Gathering
of contracts signed with IOCs. $1.5-2.5 bn per 1 Bcf gathered

• Picked up pace after BGC was


allowed to recoup some of its
investments immediately by Gas Processing
utilizing existing export $1.5-2.5 bn per 1 Bcf capacity
infrastructure.
• Rationale for greater gas utilization:
• Domestic power sector demand and
related socio-economic implications Gas Transmission
$100,000 – 150,000 per inch-mile
• Forward linkages: petrochemicals &
industry
• Energy export diversification
Power Sector Gas Demand
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• Peak demand from gas-fired power is


expected to increase by over two thirds over Iraq Gas Fired Power Nameplate Capacity & Gas Demand to 2025
the MoE plan period to 2025, to
approximately 37GW. 4000 40,000

• The largest group of power additions will 3500 35,000

Gas Fired Nameplate Capacity (Megawatt)


come from gas turbine investments, and this

Natural Gas Demand (mmscf/d)


3000 30,000
will place considerable stress on the timely
provision of gas production, gathering, 2500 25,000

processing and transport infrastructure. 2000 20,000


• During the Plan period, gas demand for
power generation will grow to over 3.2 Bcf/d 1500 15,000

(approximately $18 bn in investment). 1000 10,000

• Given the current shortfall in gas supply for


power, the plan therefore needs to facilitate 500 5,000

more than a doubling in dry gas supply in the 0 -


next five years, as well as the appropriate 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

transmission needs. Capacity Demand

• MoE & MoO will have to coordinate Source: Iraq Ministry of Oil, Ministry of Electricity and Iraq Energy Institute Analysis
investment and strategies for the
liberalization and integration of gas and
power markets as a long term solution.
Technical & Legal Framework Summary
INTERNAL

• 2011: Iraq Integrated National


Energy Strategy (INES) –
largely failed due to lack of
coordination but still
maintains sense.
“By 2015, virtually all of Iraq’s gas
production should be captured
and processed and available for
transport to domestic end users.
By that point, gas flaring due to
inadequate infrastructure would
be minimized, and all of Iraq’s
domestic gas requirements will be
satisfied”
• 2018: Council of Ministers’
Resolution No. (51) of 2018
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Q&A
INTERNAL

Thank You
Yesar Al-Maleki
Managing Director
E-mail: yesar@iraqenergy.org
Phone: +964 771 111 9488

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