Professional Documents
Culture Documents
in Management
Marketing Science
course introduction
Objectives Objectives
Fuel: understand
customer and market
behavior to predict the
effect of marketing exchange insight revenues
actions and anticipate
opportunities for the
organization.
L’Oréal Ombré
source of the data for the trends : observing customers (on line )
-> but not quantitative ressource
what are the key differences? to conform this we have to go bak on quantitative infos
Tie dye
1. Problem: What is the business challenge at
L’Oréal? Why? What is the evidence? What is
the research approach?
Splat
Marketing Science – Fall Semester 2023 page
©Prof. M. Christen 038
research problem :
from a board managerial problem …
Growth:
1. How do we grow in this existing market?
2. How do we enter a new market?
3. How do we turn this technology into new business?
Performance Gap:
1. Why are we losing money?
2. Why do we have lower returns than our competitors?
3. Why do we have lower returns than last year?
V) reporting :
1. Who will read and use the report?
2. What is the technical level of the audience?
3. Which initial questions can now be answered?
4. What kind of managerial recommendations will be given?
-> potential source of error
better decisions
from deeper understanding
Long-Term Short-Term
Objectives
marketing science
tools & models to help you/a manager develop a
winning marketing strategy and implement it
through effective and efficient marketing actions.
01 02
behavior of markets impact of marketing
segmentation-targeting-positioning: action-reaction-return: tools & models
tools & models to identify to predict behavior, allocate resources
opportunities to invest and achieve to marketing actions, produce desired
the business objective results, and control outcomes
$
insight action reaction return
evaluating
Marketing: manage
Fuel: understand interactions with customers Goal: generate desired Purpose: contribute to the
customer and market through developing, market reactions – survival of the
behavior to anticipate advertising, selling, pricing, acquire, develop, retain organization and the
opportunities delivering products target customers realization of its objective.
why?
how are customers ‘visible’ marketing actions:
different/similar? what: offer – how: connection è response functions
è segmentation è conjoint analysis èregression: elasticities
form then profile èresource allocation èfunnel analysis
èbrand equity
Marketing Science – Fall Semester 2023 page
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01 purpose: business return
1. return: company value
A. profit equation
Marketing
πt = Volumet × Margint — Expensest
Market Size = Number of Customers (N) x Frequency of Purchase (F) x Volume (V)
Market Share = %Penetration x %Share of Wallet x Usage Index
Source: Bass, Frank (1969), “A new product growth model for consumer durables,” Management Science, 15 (4), 215-227.
What to analyze?
How to analyze?
Why to analyze?
Unit of Analysis
Demand: Sales Analysis
consumer:
increased happiness
Lower
Risks
Emotions
Higher Lower
Revenues Costs
π = Revenues – Costs
Ø Lower costs (greater productivity)
Ø Higher revenues (advantage)
Ø Lower business risk (predictability)
lower costs
total cost of ownership (TCO)
Sources of cost savings
Lidl offers lower prices for many
Price Paid
household and food products
differential
(substitute) or current solution
value
value
2. Determine all elements of – +
positive differentiation value
Cost savings and revenue increases that arise
from the use of our product or service
+
compared to the best alternative
Value Creation
Potential Industry Earnings (P.I.E.)
= Customer Value x Potential Demand
supplier customer
share surplus Value Capture
Differentiation
P.I.E.
Power
my
share channel More Customer Value
competitor
share More Potential Value
share for Everybody
Beneficiary of offer
User benefits
Recognizes the need,
Initiator starts purchase process
shopper
Makes purchase effort,
Buyer conducts negotiations
Controls access,
Gatekeeper filters information
Bears economic costs,
Payer owner of budget
Makes purchase decision,
Decider resolves internal conflicts
Shapes decisions, experts,
Influencer otherwise interested parties
it is hard to understand and predict you can shape customer behavior with
customer behavior marketing actions
• past behavior is a better predictor of • customer value = what X how
future behavior than ‘words’ • segmentation/targeting to focus
• regression analysis with sales data marketing actions on best prospects
• experiments
• positioning to integrate marketing
• perceptual mapping tools to get actions to create superior value in
customers’ view of a market customer mind
• survey of attributes with factor
analysis • framing offer
• survey of brands with • simplifying choice
multidimensional scaling
Demographics Firmographics
-Gender Surface Descriptors -Size Surface Descriptors
-Age (a quick peek at customers) -Sales volume (a quick peek at customers)
-Income
-Location
WHO: Attitudes -Industry
-Location
WHO: Culture
-Household size -Sophistication -Sophistication
-Financial situation
Just Below-the-Surface -Risk attitude Just Below-the-Surface -Growth orientation
Descriptors -Innovativeness Descriptors -Innovativeness
(a look inside a customer) (a look inside an organization)
-Political views -Competencies
WHAT: Actions -Aspirations WHAT: Actions -Leadership style
-Purchases -Values and lifestyle -Purchases -Performance
-Brand Choices -Supplier Choices
Action Descriptors Action Descriptors
-Time of purchase (what customers do) -Time of purchase (what customers do)
-Purchase volume -Purchase volume
-Purchase frequency HOW: Behavior -Purchase frequency HOW: Behavior
-Loyalty -DMU/DMP -Loyalty -DMU/DMP
-Applications -Applications
Behavior Descriptors Behavior Descriptors
(how customers decide) -Information Search (how customers decide) -Information Search
WHY: Goals -Influencers WHY: Goals -Internal Politics
-Decision Rules
-Decision Rules
-Functional/Emotional -Ease of use
-Satisfaction -Satisfaction
-Security Deep Dive Descriptors -Cost savings Deep Dive Descriptors
-Reassurance (what the customers really -Peace of mind (what the customers really
want, which is hard to infer want, which is hard to infer
-Ego gratification from other 3 types of factors) -Accuracy from other 3 types of factors)
-Sense of power -Professionalism
-Love Marketing Science – Fall-Risk
Semester 2023
reduction page
-Immortality ©Prof. M. Christen
-Innovation 012
FLIP
segmenting MBA students
customer problems goals/needs (why) hierarchical smallest number observable factors iterative process
opportunities behaviors (how) non-hierarchical statistic (scree plot) demographics (who) coherent story
resource allocation business sense locations (where)
NO RANATORY
èlogisitc regression:
which demographic POWER Of
variables describe
the segments MEMOGRAPHIC
(discriminate)? VARABLES
company decide on
6 segment
correlation causality
• Coors Popular
Miller • Light with
Pale Lite
• Color Women
On a Old
Budget Light Less Filling
Milwaukee Light Light
Marketing Science – Fall Semester 2023 page
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2. customer reactions
D. value mapping: overview
Variable 1
Variable 1
§ discriminant analysis requires prior groups
latent class: derives clusters using a
probabilistic model that describes the
distribution of data – model based method Variable 2 Variable 2
§ perform cluster analysis on the same data using different distance measures and
compare the results across measures to determine the stability of the solutions
§ use different methods of clustering and compare the results
§ split the data randomly into halves and perform cluster analysis separately on each
subset; compare cluster centroids across the two subsamples
§ delete variables randomly and repeat the cluster analysis based on the reduced set
of variables; compare the results with those obtained based on full set of variables
§ in non-hierarchical clustering, the solution may depend on the order of cases in the
data set; make multiple runs using different order of cases until the solution
stabilizes
non-globular shapes
success ≠ e2e
attractive ≠ size
segmentation ≠ static
similarity ≠ demographics
segments ≠ product categories
segmentation ≠ stationary process
segmentation = strategic & tactical decision
e2e: everything to everybody
Targeting
Their Their Their Their
Product Promotion Price Place
identity differentiate
shape customer mind to create being different is not enough,
an identity that matches the be desirable and deliver it –
customer problem – don’t try to without a point of difference,
be everything to everybody you better have a lower price
define deepen
before you can stand out, you moving from functionality to
have to define where you stand benefits and emotions takes
– innovation is seeing the effort, focus and integration –
world in a new light relationships are not built in
one day
Desirable?
value
is relative to:
customer goals,
competition
Deliverable? Differentiating?
Company Competitor
Marketing Science – Fall Semester 2023 page
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competitive positions
measuring similarity
similarity is similarity is
what the product is/has what the customer says it is
• it is difficult to get a clear picture of a market when dealing with many different
attributes and products
• all the data/dimensions might not be necessary to capture consumer perceptions
• highly correlated attributes: create linear combination of the measures to get a single new
dimension of the original attributes
• take out attributes on which all products are rated about the same
• factor analysis reduces attributes to the few key factors or dimensions that capture
most of the variance
• analysis done using commercial software SPSS or SAS (principal components)
a b VALUE OF 1 UNIT
:
Inferior
Value
Value
Frontier
Superior
Value BEST
AVAILABLE
OFFERS
perceptual map processing: factor analysis to identify underlying key dimensions (factors)
represented by the product attributes
output: map of brands and attributes with dimensions determined by factors
x
X
BY FACTOR I
TE 2 FACTORS
DO
Blue Collar Special ↑ (x)
NOT EXRAIN Good Value
Occasions
Dining Out Premium
IT WELL
/Y
"
X
Y Popular
Pale with
Women
-- - -
Color
-
On a
Budget X Light Less Filling
in enginius -> different attributes with different levels = multiple combinaisons = conjoint
design
conjoint analysis
product profiles being rated -> obtain numerous profiles
product ratings (with a survey ? to test the preferences of the combinaisons of attributes and
forcing tradeoffs level of the attributes
-> push people to take decisions and rank the level of attribute
the research design adapt in function of the responses = conjoint analysis
Concept Advantages
• Avoiding the problem of inflation of aspirations
• Conjoint is a survey technique that forces ("everything is important")
respondents to make trade-off decisions that • Discovery of the true preference structures of
reveal their true preferences buyers (particularly of price)
• Products and services are a bundle of • Quantification of a significant driver of purchase
attributes (incl. price) and are viewed decisions: the benefit
holistically (CONsidered JOINTly)
• Can be used for simulation of:
• The result is a mathematical model that
– market shares
describes the rating system and the utility
– conquest rates
function of a respondent
– cannibalization rates
– profit consequences
tasks / • Identification of the • Selection of the • Selection of the utility • Calculation of the
relevant attributes querying method (full model attribute importance
decisions • Selection of attribute profile vs. trade-off • Selection of the values
levels matrices) estimation technique • Identification of the
• Generation of the • Aggregation of the optimal product design
experimental design utility values • Utility-oriented market
• Definition of the segmentation
dependent variable • Simulation of market
(rating, ranking, etc.) shares
• Presentation of the • Deriving of price-sales
stimuli functions
outcomes / • Overview of relevant • Data collection plan • Individual and • Dependent on study
attributes and their • Presentation materials aggregated utility objective
results characteristics for survey functions (part-worths)