700

600

500

400
Original
300 Detrended
Deseasonalized
200

100

0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61
-100

INTERPRETATION:

The graph shows an upward sloping direction. While the detrended is horizontal along the
graph.

When the values are deseasonalized, the graph although it’s upward sloping is smoother
than original.

Ligacion, Carl Jerome

T-2L
Year Time_continuous Quarter Original TREND DETRENDED SEASONAL_AVE SI Deseasonalized Deseasonalized_Detrended
2002 1 1 396.14 413.3674 -17.2274 457.248 0.961097 412.1746795 -17.92471872
2 2 392.54 415.4448 -22.9048 454.0466667 0.954368 411.3086592 -23.99995561
3 3 394.35 417.5222 -23.1722 448.5933333 0.942906 418.2283382 -24.5753029
4 4 484.73 419.5996 65.1304 543.1366667 1.141628 424.5953198 57.05044667
2003 5 1 414.61 421.677 -7.067 457.248 0.961097 431.3922953 -7.353053113
6 2 406.45 423.7544 -17.3044 454.0466667 0.954368 425.8837431 -18.13178163
7 3 412.43 425.8318 -13.4018 448.5933333 0.942906 437.4031026 -14.21329414
8 4 499.6 427.9092 71.6908 543.1366667 1.141628 437.6205759 62.79697595
2004 9 1 431.02 429.9866 1.0334 457.248 0.961097 448.4665279 1.075229247
10 2 407.54 432.064 -24.524 454.0466667 0.954368 427.0258597 -25.69657502
11 3 395.53 434.1414 -38.6114 448.5933333 0.942906 419.4797885 -40.94936391
12 4 475.31 436.2188 39.0912 543.1366667 1.141628 416.343947 34.24162021
2005 13 1 435.53 438.2962 -2.7662 457.248 0.961097 453.1590806 -2.878168321
14 2 418.53 440.3736 -21.8436 454.0466667 0.954368 438.5413286 -22.88801607
15 3 417.91 442.451 -24.541 448.5933333 0.942906 443.2149228 -26.02698529
16 4 499.31 444.5284 54.7816 543.1366667 1.141628 437.3665528 47.98549908
2006 17 1 450.27 446.6058 3.6642 457.248 0.961097 468.495716 3.81251694
18 2 439.18 448.6832 -9.5032 454.0466667 0.954368 460.1786746 -9.957579991
19 3 432.45 450.7606 -18.3106 448.5933333 0.942906 458.6353363 -19.41932752
20 4 514.24 452.838 61.402 543.1366667 1.141628 450.4443654 53.78458487
2007 21 1 462.08 454.9154 7.1646 457.248 0.961097 480.783753 7.454603698
22 2 454.58 456.9928 -2.4128 454.0466667 0.954368 476.3150005 -2.528164092
23 3 438.97 459.0702 -20.1002 448.5933333 0.942906 465.5501296 -21.31728983
24 4 530.38 461.1476 69.2324 543.1366667 1.141628 464.5820678 60.64356037
2008 25 1 442.7 463.225 -20.525 457.248 0.961097 460.6193028 -21.35579668
26 2 434.25 465.3024 -31.0524 454.0466667 0.954368 455.0129547 -32.5371198
27 3 441.57 467.3798 -25.8098 448.5933333 0.942906 468.3075626 -27.37261256
28 4 537.22 469.4572 67.7628 543.1366667 1.141628 470.5735104 59.35627614
2009 29 1 453.89 471.5346 -17.6446 457.248 0.961097 472.2622439 -18.35880585
30 2 446.55 473.612 -27.062 454.0466667 0.954368 467.9010591 -28.35592534
31 3 447.3 475.6894 -28.3894 448.5933333 0.942906 474.3845205 -30.10841026
32 4 529.6 477.7668 51.8332 543.1366667 1.141628 463.8988331 45.40287197
2010 33 1 455.48 479.8442 -24.3642 457.248 0.961097 473.9166028 -25.35039715
34 2 459.4 481.9216 -22.5216 454.0466667 0.954368 481.3654609 -23.59843353
35 3 444.9 483.999 -39.099 448.5933333 0.942906 471.8391978 -41.46648864
36 4 538.38 486.0764 52.3036 543.1366667 1.141628 471.589603 45.81491504
2011 37 1 458.39 488.1538 -29.7638 457.248 0.961097 476.9443917 -30.9685584
38 2 466.01 490.2312 -24.2212 454.0466667 0.954368 488.2915072 -25.37929713
39 3 457.65 492.3086 -34.6586 448.5933333 0.942906 485.3612247 -36.7572174
40 4 558.3 494.386 63.914 543.1366667 1.141628 489.0383658 55.98495094
2012 41 1 474.05 496.4634 -22.4134 457.248 0.961097 493.2382663 -23.32063402
42 2 460.14 498.5408 -38.4008 454.0466667 0.954368 482.1408428 -40.23687155
43 3 466.36 500.6182 -34.2582 448.5933333 0.942906 494.5986251 -36.33257273
44 4 573.07 502.6956 70.3744 543.1366667 1.141628 501.9760277 61.64388602
2013 45 1 475.75 504.773 -29.023 457.248 0.961097 495.0070778 -30.19777282
46 2 480.5 506.8504 -26.3504 454.0466667 0.954368 503.4743229 -27.61030135
47 3 474.53 508.9278 -34.3978 448.5933333 0.942906 503.2633278 -36.48062567
48 4 581.39 511.0052 70.3848 543.1366667 1.141628 509.2638644 61.65299582
2014 49 1 481.71 513.0826 -31.3726 457.248 0.961097 501.2083225 -32.64247829
50 2 484.29 515.16 -30.87 454.0466667 0.954368 507.4455356 -32.34599865
51 3 482 517.2374 -35.2374 448.5933333 0.942906 511.1856448 -37.3710644
52 4 584.31 519.3148 64.9952 543.1366667 1.141628 511.8216147 56.93201933
2015 53 1 499.89 521.3922 -21.5022 457.248 0.961097 520.1241999 -22.3725511
54 2 511.42 523.4696 -12.0496 454.0466667 0.954368 535.8727123 -12.62573195
55 3 500.11 525.547 -25.437 448.5933333 0.942906 530.3922257 -26.9772391
56 4 608.91 527.6244 81.2856 543.1366667 1.141628 533.3697856 71.20146334
2016 57 1 527.21 529.7018 -2.4918 457.248 0.961097 548.5500399 -2.592661348
58 2 549.32 531.7792 17.5408 454.0466667 0.954368 575.5848389 18.37948471
59 3 522.84 533.8566 -11.0166 448.5933333 0.942906 554.4985529 -11.68366758
60 4 632.3 535.934 96.366 543.1366667 1.141628 553.8580668 84.41101765