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Probability
MEMORANDA
QUESTION 1
1.3.2 7 Method
𝑛(𝑀 ∩ 𝑃+ ) = 100 × 50000000 = 3 500 000 no of
7
possible infected males 𝑃(𝑀 ∩ 𝑃 + ) = 100 (2)
1.3.3 3 1 Answer (2)
𝑃(𝑃+ \𝐹) = 45 = 15
1.3.4 𝑃(𝑀∩𝑃 + ) 7 Answer (3)
𝑃(𝑀\𝑃+ ) = = 10
𝑃(𝑀) [13]
QUESTION 2
QUESTION 3
✓ answer
[9]
QUESTION 4
QUESTION 5
6.1.1 3 1 5 5 (1)
𝑃(𝐴 or 𝐵) = 8 + 4 = 8 8
6.1.2 3 1 3 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) or
𝑃(𝐴 and 𝐵) = × = 3
8 4 32 𝑃(𝐴 and 𝐵) =
32
3 1 3
𝑃(𝐴 or 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 and 𝐵) = + −
8 4 32 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) +
17 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
= 17 (3)
32
32
6.2.1 VW
VW;VW
13
31
14 Tree diagram
VW
32 (branches)
18
BMW
31
VW;BMW
VW BMW;VW
14
31
18
BMW 18
32 × 31
17
32
17
BMW
31
153
BMW;BMW 496 ≈ 0,31
(4)
18 17 153
𝑃(both BMW) = × = ≈ 0,31
32 31 496
6.2.1 18 14 63 18 14
𝑃(BMW … VW) = × = ≈ 0,25 32 × 31
32 31 248
63
248 ≈ 0,25
(2)
6.3.1 𝑛(𝐸) = 7.13! .6 𝑛(𝐸) = 7.13! .6
𝑛(𝑆) = 15! 𝑛(𝑆) = 15!
𝑛(𝐸) 7.13! .6 1
𝑃(𝐸) = = = 1
𝑛(𝑆) 15! 5 (3)
5
6.3.2 𝑛(𝐸) = 8! 7! 𝑛(𝐸) = 8! 7!
𝑛(𝑆) = 15! 𝑛(𝐸) 8!7!
𝑃(𝐸) = 𝑛(𝑆) = 15!
𝑛(𝐸) 8! 7! 1
𝑃(𝐸) = = =
1
𝑛(𝑆) 15! 6435 6435 (3)
[16]
QUESTION 7
6! 1!6 6 1!
8! 88
1
1 729
56
56 262144
OR 1 1
8 7
P R....N
1 1 1
1
8 7 56 (2)
56
7.1.3 3! x 6 6 3
Pa, e, o Pa, e, o
3! x 6! 3! ; 6!
8! 88 28
6
3! 6 0,02 (3)
3
= 0,02
28
OR
Pa, e, o
3! x 5! x 6
8!
3
=
28
7.2.1
P S and G 0,3
P S not G 0,4
P G 0,1
U /(S or G) 0,2
(4)
A2058
A720
6 x 7 x 7 x 1 = 252 A252
252 6
= 0,1224 12,24 %
2058 49
CAanswer (3)
[13]
QUESTION 9
9.1 9.1.1
✓ P (M and K) correctly
M K placed/ (4)
✓
0,3
0,2 0,2 0,3
Placing P (not M and
not K) correctly
✓
placing 0,3 for P (K
P(M) = 0,4 only)
✓
calculating P(M)
9.1.2 ✓
P (M) × 𝑃(𝐾) = 0, 4 × 0, 5 =, 2 ✓ P (M) × 𝑃(𝐾) = 0.2
= 𝑃(K and M) P(K and M) = P (M) ×
✓
so the events are independent 𝑃(𝐾) (3)
Conclusion
9.2 9.2.1 7! = 5040 ✓✓ answer (2)
9.2.2 Koketso and Marvin can sit together in ✓✓ 2!
2!6! ways
6!
they will not sit together in 7! – 2! 6! ✓
ways/ (4)
✓ 7! – 2! 6!
= 3600 answer
9.2.3 1 ✓✓ answer (2)
6
[15]
QUESTION 10
M MT M MT Second event:
3/10 M: ET 5/10; MT 3/10;
4/7 2/10 CT M CT CT 2/10
ET TM ET TM: ET 4/10;
3/7 4/10 MT 5/10; CT 1/10
TM 5/10 MT TM MT
outcomes
1/10 CT TM CT (4)
10.2.1 3 5 3. 5
P(TM and MT) . 7 10
7 10
3 3 or 0,21
14
14 (2)
10.2.2 4 5 3 4 4. 5
P(ET) . . 7 10
7 10 7 10
3 4
16 .
0, 46 7 10
35 16
or 0,46
35
(3)
[9]
QUESTION 11
Alternative