Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Edited by
Julia Berghofer · Andrew Futter ·
Clemens Häusler · Maximilian Hoell ·
Juraj Nosál
The Implications of Emerging Technologies
in the Euro-Atlantic Space
Julia Berghofer · Andrew Futter ·
Clemens Häusler · Maximilian Hoell ·
Juraj Nosál
Editors
The Implications
of Emerging
Technologies
in the Euro-Atlantic
Space
Views from the Younger Generation Leaders
Network
Editors
Julia Berghofer Andrew Futter
Berlin, Germany Leicester, UK
Juraj Nosál
Vienna, Austria
© The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer
Nature Switzerland AG 2023
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the
Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights
of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on
microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and
retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology
now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc.
in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such
names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for
general use.
The publisher, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and informa-
tion in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither
the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with
respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been
made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps
and institutional affiliations.
This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature
Switzerland AG
The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland
For Bob Berls
Introduction
vii
viii INTRODUCTION
yet appear as bleak as today. Following the publication of a first book co-
authored by YGLN members in 2020—Threats to Euro-Atlantic Security:
Views from the Younger Generation Leaders Network—the participants in
the Network shared a feeling that there would be value in joining forces
once again for another academic, cross-regional project. The book we
present here was also greatly motivated by the conviction that by collabo-
rating on academic work, the YGLN creates and protects a safe space for
scholars and professionals to meet and exchange ideas.
At the same time, the book aims to spread fresh, next generation
thinking across the academic, think tank and policy communities. We
sense that the implications of emerging technologies for our collective
future would be a timely and important topic for a Network as the YGLN
to address. Henceforth, the collection that we brought together mirrors
different trends in the wide field of emerging and disruptive technologies
and puts them in the context of various social, political and economic
settings, from military applications, export controls, the struggle between
liberal and illiberal forces on the Internet, to new trends that can help to
tackle climate change—to name but a few.
The YGLN as a next-generation project is a natural hub for nourishing
new ideas and for offering its members platforms to share them with a
wider public. Since 2014, when the Network was launched in the wake
of the emerging Ukraine crisis, it has provided a forum for exchange for
the younger voices of emerging leaders across Europe, Russia and North
America. Leaders come from a broad variety of professional and cultural
backgrounds.
While the YGLN has doubled its membership since the establishment
of the Network to more than 100, the tradition of strong interper-
sonal links, formal and informal meetings between members, intimate
discussions in-person and online, as well as frank and open exchange,
has persisted. Those members who have risen to influential positions
and consider themselves alumni of the YGLN—working for instance at
NATO, the U.S. State Department, as advisors for the United Nations
or pursuing political careers—are role models for existing members and
remain part of the YGLN family to support their peers.
Against this background, the book is to be understood as a project
realised by colleagues who are closely collaborating with each other and
who assist each other in developing their thinking—across cultural and
political barriers.
INTRODUCTION ix
xi
xii CONTENTS
Index 241
Notes on Contributors
xiii
xiv NOTES ON CONTRIBUTORS
Pavel Kanevskiy
Introduction
The Internet was one of the most important technological innovations
of the twentieth century, originating at the core of liberal international
order (LIO). Three decades ago, the Internet was presumed to become
a technology that would strengthen global liberalism because open infor-
mation flows were seen as a natural continuation of freedom, supporting
basic liberal and democratic principles. The creation of the Internet
should be seen as a logical continuation of technological progress that
is deeply interconnected with the spread of liberalism. But the liberal-
ising promise of the Internet was put at risk by political authorities inside
both authoritarian and democratic countries, as well as by “Big Tech”
and populist, illiberal groups of different kinds. This chapter provides
an overview of the underlying reasons that have led to the emergence
of both digital liberalism and digital illiberalism, what implications these
P. Kanevskiy (B)
Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
e-mail: pskanevskiy@gmail.com
in the nineteenth century even though not all members of this system
were fully open and democratic societies.2
At the same time, members of the liberal order had to adjust to a
growing technological complexity. A grand debate on who controls tech-
nologies and, in whose interest, dates back to the early stages of industrial
capitalism, although it was not until the twentieth century that widely
accepted regulatory frameworks were created by states.3 Had the modern
regulatory state not developed, the negative effects of industrialism would
likely have overshadowed its positive ones. However, the exact balance
between regulation and freedom has changed over time. Technological
progress has had both benefits and drawbacks for liberal societies because
of its strong impact on labour markets, distribution of resources and social
inequality.
Waves of industrial progress strengthened the link between liber-
alism, technological progress and capitalism. One of the key reasons why
technological development became highly interconnected with liberalism
was the adoption of experimental methods within liberal communities.
But whereas in most parts of the world science and innovation existed
without much practical application, in early liberal societies, primarily
in Great Britain, it became an element of industrial production when
business people understood the benefits of relying on experiments and
scientific research. As Jack Goldstone argues, England in the eighteenth
and nineteenth centuries was the first country in which a combina-
tion of “educated workforce, freedom of ideas, technological innovation,
and the application of scientific engineering to industry” created a new
model of economic growth and set an example for other nations to
follow.4 States that managed to build strong institutional and cultural
ties between liberty, creativity, innovations, inventions and the market
economy benefitted the most. They became more developed economically
and technologically which in turn amplified their power and capabilities
2 Ronald Findlay & Kevin H. O’Rourke, Power and Plenty: Trade, War, and the World
Economy in the Second Millennium, (Princeton University Press: 2007) pp. 395–414.
3 Larry Neal & Jeffrey G. Williamson (eds.), The Cambridge History of Capitalism
(Cambridge University Press: 2014), pp. 82–126.
4 Jack Goldstone, Why Europe? The Rise of the West in the World History, 1500–1850
(George Mason University: 2009), p. 172.
6 P. KANEVSKIY
10 Ewald Grothe, “Model or Myth? The Constitution of Westphalia of 1807 and Early
German Constitutionalism”, German Studies Review, 28:1 (2005), pp. 1–19.
11 Chi Ling Chan, “Fallen Behind: Science, Technology, and Soviet Statism”, Intersect,
8:3 (2015), p. 1.
12 Loren Graham, Lonely Ideas: Can Russia Compete? (The MIT Press: 2013), p. 103.
8 P. KANEVSKIY
16 Daniel Deudney & G. John Ikenberry, “The Nature and Sources of Liberal
International Order”, Review of International Studies, 25 (1999), pp. 179–196.
17 Henry Farrell & Abraham L. Newman, “The Janus Face of the Liberal International
Information Order: When Global Institutions Are Self-Undermining?”, International
Organization, 75 (2021), p. 337.
10 P. KANEVSKIY
22 Henry Farrell & Abraham L. Newman, “The Janus Face of the Liberal International
Information Order: When Global Institutions Are Self-Undermining?”, International
Organization, 75 (2021), p. 342.
23 Keohane & Nye, “Power and Interdependence in the Information Age”, p. 84.
24 Ronald Deibert & Rafal Rohozinski, “Liberation vs. Control: The Future of
Cyberspace”, Journal of Democracy, 21:4 (2010), p. 44.
12 P. KANEVSKIY
These ideas were behind the logic of US President Bill Clinton’s deci-
sion in 1998 to shift governance of the Internet from multilateral bodies
such as the UN-affiliated International Telecommunication Union (ITU)
to the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN),
a California-based private company.25 As the American domain name
market was the largest in the world, and the United States controlled the
root server system that sits on top of the Domain Name System (DNS).
This decision allowed the United States to shape Internet governance to
their political and economic advantage as well as to multiply American
hegemony within the liberal order.
ICANN is not a formal regulatory institution, it is a private supervising
body whose main function is to maintain the unregulated, open and inter-
connected character of the Internet. This approach coincided perfectly
with the dynamic of the American-led liberal order because it restricted
possibilities for states to shape the norms and rules of the virtual space
and left it within the self-regulatory framework. The Internet was, hence,
a double-edged technology that rested on principles of deregulation but
was never meant to be fully neutral, because its main purpose was seen
in supporting a certain set of ideas and multiplying American political
and business influence globally. This situation created a paradox when a
key new technology deriving from within the liberal system with tremen-
dous potential to influence economies, civil societies and security was
left outside of the normative and institutional structure. Such a paradox
predetermined the anarchic nature of the Internet, which soon became
a double-edged sword for digital liberalism and the liberal order it was
supposed to support.
26 Shoshana Zuboff, The Age of Surveillance Capitalism: The Fight for a Human Future
at the New Frontier of Power (Profile Books: 2019), p. 704.
14 P. KANEVSKIY
32 Billy Perigo, “The Capabilities Are Still There. Why Cambridge Analytica Whistle-
blower Christopher Wylie Is Still Worried”, Time (8 October 2019), https://time.com/
5695252/christopher-wylie-cambridge-analytica-book/ (Accessed 10 August 2022).
33 Diamond, “Liberation Technology”, p. 80.
1 DIGITAL ILLIBERALISM AND THE EROSION … 17
Big Tech didn’t have all these political dilemmas in mind when it
evolved into the digital universe. The main goal of these companies was
and remains profit. Facebook and Twitter were not created for propa-
ganda and the spread of fake news. As David Runciman argues; “The
architects of the system are stumbling across the pitfalls with the rest of
us… It is just a side effect of being in the advertising business.”34 In
the end, the corporations were handmaids in shaping both digital liber-
alism and digital illiberalism. According to Francis Fukuyama “network
economies guarantee that the power to distribute or supress information
becomes concentrated in the hands of just two or three gigantic internet
platforms.”35 This shows once again that institutions designed to enhance
market efficiency and reduce transaction costs can be used for coercive
needs.36
All this leads to the broader question of why the Internet and
social media have made liberal democracies more vulnerable rather than
strengthening them. Traditional media in liberal societies has to a certain
degree been subject to the public interest, regulations and ethical codes.
By contrast, the anarchic virtual world is a perfect breeding ground for
a cacophony of voices, competing narratives and partisanship. As Anne
Applebaum notes, “the social media algorithms themselves encourage
false perceptions of the world.”37 Algorithms have the ability to radi-
calise those who use them and favour primitive emotions like anger and
fear because emotions keep people online. Recent revelations by Face-
book whistle blower Frances Haugan show that the corporation knew its
algorithms were fuelling polarisation, hate speech and misinformation.38
Still, the underlying problem of digital illiberalism is not Big Tech,
populist politicians or illiberal movements per se. Rather it is the changing
nature of democracy and the way that politics is made in the digital era.
What Is to Be Done?
There is no simple solution to the problem of digital illiberalism. It
will require a lot of work from political elites as well as a politically
conscious public. The core task is to harness digital technologies again
for democratisation. One example is a wave of deliberative democracy,
a form of democracy that is based on public consultation with citi-
zens, that continues to gain momentum across the globe. One of the
leading researchers in this area, Hélène Landemore, argues that citi-
zens’ assemblies and juries have become vivid examples of how the direct
participation of citizens can make policies more informed, efficient and
legitimate.39 Today’s political deliberation extensively relies on online
technologies with the trend becoming particularly evident in the wake
of the COVID-19 pandemic.40 Citizens’ assemblies have great potential
to channel public activity into meaningful decision-making and connect
it to representative democracy. Apart from that, online voting spreading
from Canada to Estonia is used to help politicians decide on key issues
of local communities. Big data and machine learning can also be used to
scan social problems and improve feedback loops rather than be exploited
solely for the sake of successful political campaigns.
39 Hélène Landemore, Open Democracy: Reinventing Popular Rule for the Twenty-First
Century (Princeton University Press: 2020), p. 272.
40 Claudia Chwalisz, “The Pandemic Has Pushed Citizen Panels Online”, Nature, 589
(2021), p. 171.
1 DIGITAL ILLIBERALISM AND THE EROSION … 19
41 Chau Tong, Hyungjin Gill, Jianing Li, Sebastián Valenzuela & Hernando Rojas,
“Fake News Is Anything They Say!”—Conceptualization and Weaponization of Fake News
Among the American Public”, Mass Communication and Society, 23:5 (2020), p. 760.
42 Fukuayama, Liberalism and Its Discontents, pp. 112–113.
43 Nani Jansen Reventlow, “Can the GDPR and Freedom of Expression Coexist?”,
AJIL Unbound, 114 (2020), p. 34.
44 Yaqiu Wang, “In China, the ‘Great Firewall’ Is Changing a Generation”, Politico.com
(9 January 2020), https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/09/01/china-great-
firewall-generation-405385 (Accessed 10 August 2022); John Thornhill, “Russia’s Digital
Iron Curtain Will Fail”, Financial Times (10 March 2022), https://www.ft.com/con
tent/26e88a2b-c7ba-46c7-8191-490188f4757b (Accessed 10 August 2022).
20 P. KANEVSKIY
Conclusion
The connection between digital liberalism and illiberalism is ambiguous
because the Internet itself is both a liberation technology and technology
of control. Realistically it is hard to disconnect one from another. The
biggest challenge in dealing with digital illiberalism is the open and dereg-
ulated nature of the Internet. The Internet is different from information
technologies of the past because it potentially gives every citizen and
social group the power to shape public opinion and influence political
1 DIGITAL ILLIBERALISM AND THE EROSION … 21
Julia Berghofer
Introduction
Direct democracy is not part of the political process in most countries,
which is one reason why participation in the public political discourse
for citizens who are not part of the political establishment is traditionally
limited. This can lead to discontent with citizens who do not have access
to these debates. Likewise, the bureaucratic process around some available
tools is complex and may lead to lesser engagement. However, leaders in
countries like Germany have started to understand that broader and more
inclusive participation by citizens can contribute to strengthen demo-
cratic structures and the legitimacy of the decision-making processes.
E-participation, whose “tools and approaches are constantly evolving
J. Berghofer (B)
European Leadership Network (ELN), London, UK
e-mail: juliab@europeanleadershipnetwork.org
Younger Generation Leaders Network (YGLN), Berlin, Germany
E-participation: Definition
and the Situation in Germany
The 2020 E-Government Survey, published by the United Nations
Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA),2 defines e-
participation as both a subfield of participation and part of e-government,
the latter being one component of the broader framework of digital
democracy. More precisely, the UN study, describing itself as the “only
global report that assesses the e-government development status of all
United Nations Member States”,3 refers to e-participation as a concept
that “revolves around the use of information and communications tech-
nology (ICT) to engage people in public decision-making, administration
and service delivery”. Alongside pointing out the “intrinsic and instru-
mental value” of this specific form of participation, the publication also
highlights the importance of e-participation for the implementation of the
UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). In particular, target 16.74
of the UN SDGs calls for ensuring responsive, inclusive, participatory, and
representative decision-making at all levels.5
The intrinsic value, the report further explains, “is based on the idea
that participation (…) is a desirable goal because it contributes to inclu-
sive societies”, while the instrumental value lies in “the role it can play
in increasing government accountability, making public services more
responsive to people’s needs, and improving the quality of policies and
Dialog Endlagersicherheit
The topic of Endlagersicherheit (repository safety) is one of the most
controversial themes in post-War Germany, as it is linked to another
contentious issue, nuclear energy. While there was some optimism in the
early days of nuclear energy, huge demonstrations in the 1970s and the
Chernobyl incident in 1986 have stirred more criticism among the popu-
lation.14 The Christian Democrats and Liberal Democrats continued to
reassure the German public of the safety of nuclear power plants, while
in sharp contrast, the Green Party established itself as a key opponent of
20 DW, “Der lange Weg zum Atommüll-Endlager”, (28 September 2020), https://
www.dw.com/de/der-lange-weg-zum-atommüll-endlager/a-55080914 (accessed 27 July
2022).
21 Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz, nukleare Sicherheit und Verbrauch-
erschutz, “Dialog Endlagersicherheit”, https://www.bmuv.de/themen/bildung-beteil
igung/beteiligung/dialog-endlagersicherheit (accessed 27 July 2022).
22 Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz, nukleare Sicherheit und Verbraucher-
schutz “Endlagersicherheit: Der Weg zum sicheren Einschluss”, (August 2019), https://
www.bmuv.de/fileadmin/Daten_BMU/Download_PDF/Endlagerprojekte/endlagersich
erheit_bf.pdf (accessed 27 July 2022).
23 Ibid.
24 Bundesministerium für Umwelt, Naturschutz, nukleare Sicherheit und Verbrauch-
erschutz, “Dialog Endlagersicherheit”, https://www.bmuv.de/themen/bildung-beteil
igung/beteiligung/dialog-endlagersicherheit (accessed 27 July 2022).
2 THE EMERGENCE OF E-PARTICIPATION TOOLS: … 31
Bürgerrat Demokratie
Unlike the Dialog Endlagersicherheit, which was designed to combine in-
person elements with e-participation tools, the second round of the Bürg-
errat —Deutschlands Rolle in der Welt (Citizens’ Assembly—Germany’s
Role in the World)27 was moved into the virtual space as a response to the
pandemic. Initially, it was designed as a format in which participants meet
and discuss physically. Hence, the first round of the Bürgerrat took place
in the form of in-person gatherings. The project has been realised by the
initiative Mehr Demokratie e.V., which describes itself on its website as the
largest NGO for direct democracy globally, as well as “non-partisan and
charitable”, comprising 10,000 members and “informing 200,000”.28
Moving into the virtual space, the conveners of the discussion plat-
form brought together a group of 160 randomly selected citizens from
different socioeconomic and professional backgrounds via an online
platform. Over the course of ten meetings, the organisers provided partic-
ipants with detailed information on topics such as trade and EU, with
inputs by renowned experts like Timothy Garton Ash and Nicole Deit-
elhoff. Likewise, participants had the opportunity to actively engage and
debate during the video sessions.
The Bürgerrat started with a first “preparation” phase in the Autumn
of 2020. This phase was dedicated to drafting a working programme,
including a selection of topics, implementing institutes, parliamentary
groups of the Bundestag, and civil society organisations.29 This initial
process was accompanied by online discussion rounds with randomly
selected participants. The initiative came up with five focal areas: sustain-
able development, economy and trade, peace and security, democracy
and the rule of law, and the European Union. During the second of the
process,30 ten virtual meetings took place between January and February
2021, both in the form of plenary as well as working group sessions.
The discussions were supported by professional moderators and experts
who provided their insights as “living libraries”. During these meetings, of
which some have been live streamed, the participants worked on concrete
proposals in the five fields.
(Public) E-Petitions
The UN E-Government Survey 2020 notes that while the use of e-
participation tools continues to spread over more countries, there is
also “a trend towards multi-function participation platforms”,33 which
Illustrator: W. Rainey
Language: English
By
by
William Rainey
Edinburgh:
Printed by W. & R. Chambers, Limited.
CONTENTS.
CHAPTER PAGE
I. LOTTY LEE 1
II. HOW ANTONY HAPPENED TO BE THERE 11
III. IN GIPSY CAMP AND CARAVAN 18
IV. 'EVER BEEN AN INFANT PRODIGY?' SAID LOTTY 34
V. THE QUEEREST SHOW.—A DAY IN THE WILDS 47
'THERE IS THAT IN YOUR EYE WHICH CRONA
VI. LOVES' 59
VII. POOR ANTONY WAS DROWNING! 69
VIII. THE MYSTERY OF THE MERMAN 79
IX. 'THE NEW JENNY WREN' 90
X. A LETTER AND A PROPOSAL 99
XI. BLOWN OUT TO SEA 111
XII. 'OUT YONDER, ON THE LEE BOW, SIR' 121
XIII. ON BOARD THE 'NOR'LAN' STAR' 132
XIV. A LITTLE STRANGER COMES ON BOARD 142
XV. 'I WANT TO DREAM THAT DREAM AGAIN' 154
XVI. SAFELY BACK TO ENGLAND 163
XVII. LIFE ON THE ROAD IN THE 'GIPSY QUEEN' 172
XVIII. SNOW-BOUND IN A MOUNTAIN-LAND 182
XIX. SPORTING-TIME IN WOODS AND WILDS 193
XX. IN THE DARK O' THE NEAP 204
XXI. THE WRECK OF THE 'CUMBERLAND' 214
XXII. THE AMBITIONS OF CHOPS JUNIOR 226
XXIII. 'WELL, CHOPS, TO RUN AWAY' 236
XXIV. 'I SAVED IT UP FOR A RAINY DAY' 248
XXV. 'WE'VE GOT A LITTLE STOWAWAY HERE, GUARD' 260
XXVI. THAT CROOKED SIXPENCE 272
XXVII. 'GAZE ON THOSE SUMMER WOODS' 283
XXVIII. 'HO, HO, HO! SET HIM UP' 290
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS.
PAGE
The girl simply lifted the latch and entered without ceremony Frontispiece.
Then that huge brown bear began to dance 50
He found himself in the water next moment ... with the Jenny
Wren on her side 71
And they had special tit-bits which they took from her hands 92
Presently the black hull of the bark was looming within fifty
yards over her 129
'Father, father,' she cried, 'I cannot, will not do this' 224
BOOKS FOR GIRLS
By May Baldwin.
LOTTY LEE.