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A BEST PRACTICE FRAMEWORK FOR IMPLEMENTING
RESIDENTIAL MODULAR INTEGRATED CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
IN HONG KONG

IBRAHIM YAHAYA WUNI

PhD

The Hong Kong Polytechnic University

2022
The Hong Kong Polytechnic University

Department of Building and Real Estate

A Best Practice Framework for implementing Residential Modular Integrated


Construction Projects in Hong Kong

Ibrahim Yahaya Wuni

A thesis submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of
Philosophy

November 2021

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CERTIFICATE OF ORIGINALITY

I hereby declare that this thesis is my own work and that, to the best of my knowledge and belief,
it reproduces no material previously published or written, nor material that has been accepted for
the award of any other degree or diploma, except where due acknowledgement has been made in
the text.

Signature: ………………………………………..

Ibrahim Yahaya Wuni


Student Name: …………………………………...

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DEDICATION

I dedicate this thesis to three groups of people. The first group is my family (Father – Yahaya

Wuni; Mother – Salamatu Issaka; Big Brother – Salifu Yahaya Wuni; Younger Brother – Majeed

Yahaya Wuni; Sisters – Shediratu Wuni and Jameela Wuni). The second group is all homeless

people in the world. This research is the genesis of my commitment to promote housing justice.

The third group is those who died from the Covid-19 pandemic and their families. I never got the

Covid-19 virus, but the pandemic seriously undermined and challenged the progress of my

research.

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ABSTRACT

Modular integrated construction (MiC) is a modern construction method whereby free-standing

volumetric modules or building components (usually completed with fixtures, fittings, and

finishes) are manufactured and assembled in a factory and transported to a construction site for

installation in their final position. The Hong Kong Government started promoting the MiC method

in 2017 to address the structural, technical, and engineering limitations of prefabrications and

conventional modular construction for high-rise building construction. Outcomes of completed

overseas and local pilot projects have demonstrated that the MiC method offers enormous

opportunities to enhance residential project performance at multiple levels. However, the pilot

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong have encountered tremendous challenges and uncertainties.

Notable reasons include the incompatibility of the MiC method with some project types, the

unfamiliarity of many construction organizations and practitioners with the MiC method, lack of

standardized practices and guidelines for implementing the various stages of residential MiC

projects, and the difficulty of quantifying the performance improvements attributable to the MiC

method.

Against this backdrop, this research aims to develop a best practice framework for implementing

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong effectively and successfully. The study derived six specific

complementary objectives: (i) to develop a decision support system that enables project teams to

assess the compatibility and suitability of the MiC method for a residential building project; (ii) to

assess, simulate and model the critical risk factors for residential MiC projects; (iii) to assess and

model the critical success factors for residential MiC projects; (iv) to critically examine

representative local and international residential MiC cases to identify challenges encountered and

lessons learned; (v) to develop a performance measurement system that enables project teams to

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assess the outcomes of residential MiC projects; and (vi) to consolidate the findings to develop a

best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The study achieved the six complementary objectives using mixed methods, including in-depth

analysis of high-profile local and overseas residential MiC projects, structured questionnaire

surveys, and semi-structured interviews. The research data were analysed using thematic content

analysis, mean score ranking, risk significance index, factor analysis, Monte Carlo simulation,

fuzzy synthetic evaluation, and partial least squares structural equation modelling.

The results showed that twenty-one factors significantly determine the compatibility and suitability

of the MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. The top five significant

determinants include: (i) presence of repetitive layout in design; (ii) suitability of the design for

MiC; (iii) accessibility and availability of temporary storage areas at the site location; (iv)

structural integrity of modules; and (v) width of the transport network to site and traffic conditions

in the vicinity. The significant suitability and compatibility determinants were categorized into

four: project characteristics; project objectives and requirements; location and site attributes; and

organizational and industry readiness.

A Monte Carlo simulation revealed twenty-six significant critical risk factors for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The top five significant critical risk factors include: (i) late design

completion and freezing; (ii) unsuitable sites with restrictive space constraints; (iii) inadequate

planning and scheduling; (iv) heavy reliance on overseas factories; and (v) inaccurate MiC design

information. The simulation further revealed nine significant critical risk factors at 95% and 97.5%

risk tolerance levels within the high-risk exposure zone and 82.5% and 85% risk tolerance levels

within the medium-risk exposure zones of the risk matrix. Factor analysis derived five components

of the significant critical risk factors: (i) design risks, (ii) factory production risks, (iii)

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transportation and storage risks, (iv) supply chain risks, and (v) onsite assembly risks. A structural

equation modelling showed that design risks and supply chain risks generate the most profound

impact on the performance of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The results further revealed twenty-one significant critical success factors for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The top five significant success ingredients include: (i) early design

completion and freezing, (ii) early understanding and commitment of the client, (iii) effective

leadership and support of specialist contractors, (iv) adequate knowledge and experience of the

project team, and (v) collaborative working and information sharing among project teams. Factor

analysis and fuzzy synthetic evaluation revealed five significant components of the success

ingredients: (i) supply chain management, (ii) early commitment, (iii) enabling environment, (iv)

suitable project characteristics, and (v) competency.

The case studies identified eighty-five (85) challenges encountered and fifty-five (55) lessons

learned from the six local and international residential MiC projects. Within-case and cross-case

analyses revealed the five most persistent and problematic challenges encountered at the predesign,

design, factory production, transportation, storage, and onsite assembly stages of residential MiC

projects. The dominant challenges encountered in the Hong Kong cases were associated with

logistics, site constraints, and immaturity of the local supply chain.

The results also revealed fourteen key performance indicators for quantifying the performance of

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong: (i) cost, (ii) time, (iii) premanufactured value, (iv) quality,

(v) productivity, (vi) health and safety, (vii) predictability, (viii) flexibility, (ix) material waste, (x)

resource consumption, (xi) environmental footprint, (xii) local disruption, (xiii) community

impact, and (xiv) industry impact.

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The findings of the first five objectives were triangulated and consolidated to develop and validate

a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects. The framework contains

three complementary components: (i) a suitability decision support system, (ii) best practices, and

(iii) a performance measurement system. The decision support system derived from Objective 1

enables project teams to assess the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a proposed

residential project. The best practices derived from objectives 2 – 4 constitute specific processes,

delivery strategies, and technical guidelines for implementing the various stages of residential MiC

projects. The performance measurement system derived from objective 5 enables project teams to

evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in residential building projects.

Therefore, the five objectives collectively generated complementary findings to develop the best

practice framework.

The study findings have several theoretical, practical, managerial, pedagogical, and policy

implications. The study’s originality lies in developing and unifying the complementary functions

of a decision support system, best practices, and a performance measurement system for

implementing residential MiC projects. These three components can enable project teams and

construction organizations to align a proposed project to the requirements of the MiC method at

the outset, effectively implement the various stages, and measure the performance of residential

MiC projects to facilitate futureproofing, experiential learning, benchmarking, and continuous

improvements. The study further codified and established a comprehensive set of standardized

practices, specific processes, delivery strategies, and technical guidelines for successfully

implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects.

Keywords: Best Practices; Best Practice Framework; Decision Support System; Modular

Integrated Construction; Performance Measurement System; Residential Projects; Hong Kong.

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LIST OF RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS

The author of this thesis made the following research publications during the Ph.D. study. The

thesis is a function of the research outputs that have been completely rewritten to ensure originality

and avoid repetitions in background and methodologies.

A. Refereed Journal Papers from Ph.D. Research (Published/Accepted): 2018 – 2022

1. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, G.Q.P. (2022). Developing critical success factors for integrating
circular economy into modular construction projects in Hong Kong. Sustainable Production
and Consumption, Vol. 29, No. Jan 2022, pp. 574-587. (IF = 5.032)

2. Saka, A.B., Chan, D.W.M, and Wuni, I.Y. (2022). Knowledge-Based Decision Support
System for BIM in Construction Projects by Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises in
Developing Economies. Automation in Construction (Accepted). (IF = 7.700)

3. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q. and Saka, A.B. (2022). Computing the severities of critical onsite
assembly risk factors for modular integrated construction projects, Engineering, Construction
and Architectural Management, Vol. ahead-of-print No. ahead-of-print. (IF= 3.531)

4. Osei-Kyei, R., Xiaohua, J., Nnaji, C., Akomea-Frimpong, I., and Wuni, I.Y. (2022). Review
of Risk Management Studies in Public-Private Partnerships: A Scientometric analysis.
International Journal of Construction Management, (Article-in-Press). (CiteScore = 4.7)

5. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Ogungbile, A.J., and Ayitey, J.Z. (2022). Four-pronged decision
support framework for implementing industrialized construction projects. Construction
Innovation, Vol. 22 No. 2, pp. 263 – 283. (CiteScore= 3.6)

6. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, Q.P. (2022). Towards a decision support for modular integrated
construction: An integrative review of the primary decision-making factors. International
Journal of Construction Management, Vol. 22, No. 5, pp. 929 – 948. (CiteScore = 4.7)

7. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., and Mahmud, A. T. (2022). Critical risks factors in the application
of modular integrated construction: A systematic review. International Journal of
Construction Management, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 133 – 147. (CiteScore = 4.7)

8. Zafar, I., Wuni, I.Y., Shen, Q.P., Ahmed, S., Yousaf, T. (2022). A fuzzy synthetic evaluation
analysis of time overrun risk factors in highway projects of terrorism-affected countries: The
case of Pakistan. International Journal of Construction Management, Vol. 22, No. 4, pp. 732
– 750. (CiteScore = 4.7)

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9. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q. and Antwi-Afari, M.F. (2021). Exploring the design risk factors for
modular integrated construction projects. Construction Innovation, Vol. ahead-of-print No.
ahead-of-print, pp. 1 – 35. (CiteScore = 2.0)

10. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, G.Q.P. (2021). Exploring the critical success determinants for supply
chain management in modular integrated construction projects. Smart and Sustainable Built
Environment, Vol. ahead-of-print, No. ahead-of-print, pp. 1 – 31. (CiteScore = 2.0 )

11. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, G.Q.P. (2021). Exploring the critical production risk factors for
modular integrated construction projects. Journal of Facilities Management, Vol. ahead-of-
print, No. ahead-of-print, pp. 1 – 33. (CiteScore = 3.1 )

12. Wuni, I.Y.*, Wu, Z., Shen, G.Q.P., Bugri, J. T., and Frimpong-Asante, J. (2021). Benefits
evaluation of design for excellence in industrialized construction projects. ASCE Journal of
Architectural Engineering, Vol. 27, No.4, pp.05021015. (IF = 2.05)

13. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., and Darko, A. (2021). Best practices for implementing
industrialized construction projects: Lessons from nine case studies. Construction Innovation,
Vol. Ahead-of-print, No. Ahead-of-print, pp. 1 – 40. (CiteScore = 2.0)

14. Wuni, I.Y.*, Wu, Z., and Shen, Q.P. (2021). Exploring the challenges of implementing design
for excellence in industrialized construction projects in China . Building Research and
Information, Vol. Article-in-Press, pp. 1 – 35. (IF= 5.356)

15. Antwi-Afari, M.F., Li, H., Anwer, S., Li, D., Yu, Y., Mi, H-Y., Wuni, I.Y. (2021).
Assessment of a passive exoskeleton system on spinal biomechanics and subjective responses
during manual repetitive handling tasks among construction workers. Safety Science, Vol.
142, No. 5, pp. 105382. (IF= 4.877)

16. Ogungbile, J. A., Shen, G.Q.P., Wuni, I.Y., Xue, J., and Hong, J. (2021). A hybrid framework
for direct CO2 emissions quantification in China’s construction industry. International Journal
of Environmental Research and Public Health. Vol. 18, No. 22, pp. 11965. (IF= 3.390).

17. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Osei-Kyei, R. (2021). Evaluating the critical success criteria for
prefabricated prefinished volumetric construction projects. Journal of Financial Management
of Property and Construction, Vol. 26 No. 2, pp. 279-297. (CiteScore = 2.1)

18. Kidido, J. K., Wuni, I.Y.*, and Ansah, S. (2021). Collapse of public buildings, stability
checks, and the roles of facility managers in Ghana. Property Management, Vol. 39 No. 4, pp.
546-564. (CiteScore = 1.4)

19. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, Q.P. (2020). Critical success factors for modular integrated
construction projects: A review. Building Research and Information, Vol. 48, No. 7, pp. 763
– 784. (IF= 5.356)

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20. Wuni, I.Y.*, and Shen, Q.P. (2020). Fuzzy modelling of the critical failure factors for modular
integrated construction projects. Journal of Cleaner Production. Vol. 264, No. August, pp.
121595. (IF= 9.297)

21. Wuni, I.Y.*, and Shen, Q.P. (2020). Barriers to the adoption of modular integrated
construction: Systematic review and meta-analysis, integrated conceptual framework, and
strategies. Journal of Cleaner Production. Vol. 249, No. March, pp. 119347. (IF= 9.297)

22. Wuni, I.Y.*, and Shen, Q.P. (2020). Critical success factors for management of the early
stages of prefabricated prefinished volumetric construction project life cycle. Engineering,
Construction and Architectural Management. Vol. 27, No. 9, pp. 2315 – 2333. (IF= 3.531)

23. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Osei-Kyei, R. (2020). Sustainability of off-site construction: A
bibliometric review and visualized analysis of trending topics and themes. Journal of Green
Building, Vol.15, No. 4, pp. 131-153. (IF= 0.855)

24. Wuni, I. Y.*, and Shen, Q.P. (2020). Stakeholder management in prefabricated prefinished
volumetric construction projects: Benchmarking the key result areas. Built Environment
Project and Asset Management. Vol. 10, No. 3, pp. 407 – 421. (CiteScore =2.4)

25. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Osei-Kyei, R. (2020). Quantitative evaluation and modelling of
the critical success factors for modular integrated construction projects. International Journal
of Construction Management, (Article-in-Press). (CiteScore = 4.7)

26. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Osei-Kyei, R. and Agyeman-Yeboah, S. (2020). Modelling the
critical risk factors for modular integrated construction projects. International Journal of
Construction Management, (Article-in-Press). (CiteScore = 4.7)

27. Zafar, I., Wuni, I.Y., Shen, Q. P. (2020). A decision support framework for sustainable
highway alignment embracing variant preferences of stakeholders: case of China Pakistan
economic corridor. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management. Vol. 63, No. 9, pp.
1550-1584. (IF= 2.735)

28. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, Q. P. and Hwang, B. G. (2020). Risks of modular integrated construction:
A review and future research directions. Frontiers of Engineering Management. Vol. 7, pp.
63–80. (CiteScore = )

29. Osei-Kyei, R., Wuni, I.Y., Bo, X., and Trinh, M. T., (2020). Research trend on retirement
village development for the Elderly: A scientometric analysis. Journal of Aging and
Environment. Vol. 34, No. 4, pp. 402 – 416. (CiteScore = 2.0)

30. Abille, A. B., Mpuure, D. M-N, Wuni, I.Y., and Dadzie, P. (2020). Modelling the synergy
between fiscal incentives and foreign direct investment in Ghana. Journal of Economics and
Development. Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 325 – 334. (CiteScore = 2.0)

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31. Wuni, I.Y.*, Shen, G.Q.P., Osei-Kyei, R. (2019). Scientometric review of global research
trends on green buildings in construction journals from 1992 to 2018. Energy and Buildings.
Vol. 190, No. May, pp. 69–85. (IF= 5.879)

32. Wuni, I.Y.* and Shen, Q.P. (2019). Holistic review and conceptual framework for the drivers
of offsite construction: A total interpretive structural modelling approach. Buildings, Vol. 9,
No. 5, pp.117. (IF= 2.648)

33. Adeloye, A.J., Wuni, I.Y., Soundharajan, B-S., Kasiviswanathan, K. S., Dau, Q.V. (2019).
Height–area–storage functional models for evaporation-loss inclusion in reservoir-planning
analysis. Water. Vol. 11, No. 7, pp. 1413. (IF= 3.103)

B. Refereed Journal Papers (Under Review for the First or Second time): 2018 – 2021
1. Wuni, I.Y*., and Shen, G.Q.P. (Under Review). Intelligent suitability decision support system
for modular integrated construction in a high-density metropolis. Automation in Construction.
Manuscript ID: AUTCON-D-21-00955.

2. Wuni, I.Y., Umer, W., and Jamal, A. (Under Review). Safety in offsite construction: A state-
of-the-art review. ASCE Journal of Construction Engineering and Management. Manuscript
ID: COENG-11943R1.

3. Wuni, I.Y., (Under Review). Developing a probabilistic risk assessment and resource
allocation scheme for modular integrated construction projects. Benchmarking: an
International Journal. Manuscript ID: BIJ-01-2022-0027

4. Wuni, I.Y., (Under Review). Mapping the barriers to circular economy adoption in the
construction industry: A systematic review, Pareto analysis, and strategy map. Building and
Environment. Manuscript ID: BAE-D-22-01910.

C. Refereed Conference Papers (Published): 2018 – 2021

1. Wuni, I. Y.* and Shen, Q. P. (2020). Key success factors for implementing modular integrated
construction projects - A literature mining approach. Proceedings of the 8th International
Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management (ICCEPM2019), December
8-10, 2020, Hong Kong (Virtual).

2. Wuni, I. Y.* and Shen, Q. P. (2020). Evaluating the critical failure factors for implementing
residential modular integrated construction projects. Proceedings of the 2020 International
Conference on Construction and Real Estate Management (ICCREM2020), Aug 24 - 25, 2020,
Stockholm, Sweden (Virtual).
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3. Wuni, I. Y.* and Shen, Q. P. (2019). Making a case for modular integrated construction in west
Africa: Rethinking housing supply in Ghana. Proceedings of the 10th West Africa Built
Environment Research Conference 2019, Accra, Ghana.

4. Wuni, I. Y.* and Shen, Q. P. (2019). Risk identification and allocation in the supply chain of
modular integrated construction. Proceedings of the 2019 Modular and Offsite Construction
(MOC) Summit, Banff, Alberta, Canada.

D. Technical Workshops (Presented ): 2018 – 2021


1. Wuni, I. Y.* (2021). Ecological civilization and the sustainability manifesto of modular
integrated construction in urban areas. Workshop on Sustainable Urban Systems, April 19,
2021, Hong Kong.

2. Wuni, I. Y.* (2020). McDonaldization of modular building systems in Ghana: Exposing the
beauty of design for excellence. Workshop #10. Professional Services Advancement Support
Scheme (PASS) Workshop Series: Improving and Exporting Hong Kong Industrialized
Construction Services under the Belt and Road Initiative.

E. Awards and Recognitions during the PhD Study: 2018 – 2021

1. Best Presentation Award at the 10th West Africa Built Environment Research (WABER)
Conference, 5th – 7th August 2019, Ghana Academy of Arts and Sciences, Accra, Ghana.

2. One-off Cash Award of HK$70,000.00 (Max.) in April 2021 under the Award and Funding
Scheme for Recognizing the Research Outputs of Hong Kong PhD Fellowship (HKPFS)
Students with Excellent Performance (2020/21), The HK PolyU, Hong Kong.

3. International Journal of Construction Management Featured Article entitled “Critical risk


factors in the application of modular integrated construction: a systematic review” on 21 March
2022. The has been translated to Chinese and shared to researchers weekly through IJCM
official WeChat account developed in 2021.

4. International Journal of Construction Management Featured Article entitled “Towards a


decision support for modular integrated construction: an integrative review of the primary
decision-making actors” on 25 April 2022. The has been translated to Chinese and shared to
researchers weekly through IJCM official WeChat account developed in 2021.

5. Overall GPA for course credits in partial requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy
= 4.0/4.0

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I am obliged to recognize the people and institutions who contributed (in)directly to the completion

of the research. I remain externally grateful to Allah (SWT) for the gift of life, sustained

motivation, unparalleled energy, and the winning mindset that I have been endowed with. I bear

witness that there is no deity worthy of any act of worship, except Allah, the one and only true

Rabb who has no comparable.

I would like to thank my Chief and only Supervisor – Prof. Geoffrey Shen for his remarkable

guidance and training throughout the Ph.D. study. Prof. Shen provided me an excellent

environment to learn, unlearn, grow, and develop myself. I must also thank Prof. Shen for his

compassion and financial support during the difficult times of my Ph.D. I am most grateful and

indebted to you.

I must recognize the support of my big brother – Salifu Yahaya Wuni and mother – Salamatu

Issaka, who stood by me during the most challenging time of my Ph.D. when my health threatened

to terminate the study. I am very indebted to you for your family love and support when almost all

hope seemed lost. Equally worthy of acknowledgement is the family of Dr. Irfan Zafar. Your wife

saved me several times with her delicious food and your family provided me a home away from

home when you were in Hong Kong. May Allah bless you and your family.

I also owe an unreserved appreciation to staff and colleagues at the Department of Building and

Real Estate and the Hong Kong Polytechnic University. I would like to especially thank Prof.

Tarek Zayed and Prof. Patrick Lam who examined my Ph.D. candidature and confirmed my study.

I must also express my heartfelt appreciation and thanks to Ms. Chloe Shing and Ms. Irene Pang

of BRE. The two of you are angels and amazing people who deserve far more appreciation. Your

indefatigable secretarial services in BRE made life easier, better, and memorable. You are making

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lots of sacrifices for many staff and students almost outside your scope of responsibilities. I really

appreciate you. I would like to thank Dr. Amos Darko, Dr. Emmanuel O. Kingsford, Dr. Yussuf

Adenle, and all BRE colleagues who were kind to share thought-provoking and scholarly

discussions with me.

Finally, I would like to express my deepest and sincerest appreciation to the Research Grants

Council for awarding me the Hong Kong PhD Fellowship Scheme to pursue my Ph.D. at the Hong

Kong Polytechnic University. The Fellowship not only tagged me with additional signature of

academic excellence but offered me peace of mind to conduct my Ph.D. research without hitches.

Your generous award was well-utilized throughout the Ph.D. study.

xv
ABBREVIATIONS

Acronym Explanation – Full Form Acronym Explanation – Full Form


AACSB Architectural and Associated KBDSS Knowledge-based Decision
Consultants Selection Board Support System
AC Average cost KMO Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin test of
sampling adequacy
ACEHK Association of Consulting KPD Key project descriptor
Engineers of Hong Kong
AFR Accident frequency rate KPI Key performance indicators
ANOVA Analysis of Variance LLP Limited Liability Partnership
ARCHSD Architectural Services Department LPPI Labour productivity performance
index
ARCHSD Architectural Services Department LTHS Long Term Housing Strategy
AVE Average variance extracted LV Latent variable
BAU Business – as – usual M–W Mann – Whitney U test
BCA Building and Construction M&E Mechanical and electrical
Authority
BIM Building information modelling MC Monte Carlo simulation
BPF Best practice framework MEP Mechanical, electrical, and
plumbing
BS Building Services MF Membership function
BSC Balanced scorecard method MFA Modularised floor area
C&D Construction and demolition MIC Modular integrated construction
CA Cronbach’s Alpha MS Mean score
CC Cost certainty NCI Normalized critical index
CFA Confirmatory factor analysis NMV Normalized mean value
CFA Construction floor area NTU Nanyang Technological
University
CFRI Construction field rework index OAR Onsite assembly risks
CI Confidence interval OSC Offsite construction
CLD Causal loop diagram OSP Offsite Production
CPI Cost performance index P–I Probability – Impact risk model
CPI Composite performance index PCC Precast concrete construction
CPSI Composite project success index PCRF Principal critical risk factors
CR Cost ratio PDMF Principal Decision-Making
Factors
CR Composite reliability PI Predictability index
CRF Critical Risk Factor PLE Personal Learning Edition
CSF Critical Success Factor PLS Partial least square
CSP Critical success processes PLS- Partial Least Square Structural
SEM Equation Modelling
CSPI Client satisfaction performance PM Performance measures
index
CV Cost variance PMV Premanufactured value
CVAR Conditional Value at Risk PO Project outcome

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D Omission distance PQQ Project quality quotient
DFA Design for assembly PR Production risk
DFLSC Design for logistics and supply PSF Principal success factor
chain
DFM Design for manufacture PV Planned value
DFMA Design for manufacture and RFID Radio Frequency Identification
assembly
DFMTA Design for manufacture, RS Risk signature
transportation, and assembly
DMF Decision-making Factor RSI Risk significance index
DR Design risks RT Risk tolerance
DSS Decision Support System S–W Shapiro – Wilk test
EACSB Engineering & Associated SCR Supply chain risks
Consultants Selection Board
EFA Exploratory factor analysis SD System dynamics
EPI Environmental performance index SD Standard deviation
ER Earned revenue SDC Suitability Decision Criteria
EV Earned value SDC Suitability decision criteria
FSE Fuzzy synthetic evaluation SEM Structural equation modelling
GHG Greenhouse gases SFI Schedule factor index
GIFA Gross internal floor area SFPI Safety performance index
GUI Graphical User Interface SLR Systematic literature review
HKCA Hong Kong Construction SPI Schedule performance index
Association
HKIA Hong Kong Institute of Architects SPSS Statistical Package for the Social
Sciences
HKIBM Hong Kong Institute of Building SSE Sum of squares total
Information Modelling
HKICM Hong Kong Institute of SSE Sum of square errors
Construction Managers
HKIE Hong Kong Institution of TOE Technology – organization –
Engineers environment theory
HKSTPC Hong Kong Science & Technology TPI Time performance index
Park Corporation
HTA Hunt Thompson Associates TSPI Team satisfaction performance
index
HTMT Heterotrait-monotrait ratio of TSR Transportation and storage risks
correlation
IPMA Importance – performance analysis UC Unit cost
JIT Just-in-time VAR Value at Risk
K–S Kolmogorov – Smirnov test VBA Visual Basic for Applications
K–W Kruskal – Wallis H test VIF Variance inflation factor

xvii
TABLE OF CONTENTS

CERTIFICATE OF ORIGINALITY ............................................................................................. iii


DEDICATION ............................................................................................................................... iv
ABSTRACT.................................................................................................................................... v
LIST OF RESEARCH PUBLICATIONS ..................................................................................... ix
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ......................................................................................................... xiv
ABBREVIATIONS ..................................................................................................................... xvi
TABLE OF CONTENTS ........................................................................................................... xviii
LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................... xxvii
LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................... xxix
CHAPTER 1 – GENERAL INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 1
1.1 Introduction .............................................................................................................................. 1
1.2 Research Background .............................................................................................................. 1
1.3 The Research Problem ............................................................................................................. 7
1.4 Research Questions ................................................................................................................ 11
1.5 Research Aim and Objectives ................................................................................................ 12
1.5.1 Research Aim .................................................................................................................... 12
1.5.2 Research Objectives .......................................................................................................... 12
1.5.3 Linkages of the Research Objectives ................................................................................ 13
1.6 Research Scope ...................................................................................................................... 14
1.7 Research Methodology Deployed .......................................................................................... 15
1.8 Significance and value of the Study ...................................................................................... 20
1.9 Structure of the Thesis ........................................................................................................... 22
1.10Chapter Summary .................................................................................................................. 26
CHAPTER 2 – LITERATURE REVIEW, THEORIES, AND CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORKS
....................................................................................................................................................... 27
6.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 27
6.2 Operational Definitions of Key Concepts .............................................................................. 27
2.2.1 Modular integrated construction ....................................................................................... 27
2.2.2 Project risks ....................................................................................................................... 29
2.2.3 Project success .................................................................................................................. 31

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2.2.4 Performance measurement ................................................................................................ 31
2.2.5 Best practices .................................................................................................................... 33
2.2.6 Best practice framework ................................................................................................... 35
6.3 Distinction between Site-based Construction and the MiC Method ..................................... 36
6.4 Theoretical Framework .......................................................................................................... 41
2.4.1 Theory of project management ......................................................................................... 42
2.4.2 Technology – Organization – Environment Theory ......................................................... 44
2.4.3 Theory of construction project risks ................................................................................. 46
2.4.4 Theory of critical success factors ...................................................................................... 48
2.5 Suitability Decision-making Factors for MiC Projects.......................................................... 49
2.5.1 Project characteristics and requirements ........................................................................... 51
2.5.2 Location and site attributes ............................................................................................... 54
2.5.3 Labour considerations ....................................................................................................... 55
2.5.4 Industry readiness factors.................................................................................................. 56
2.5.5 Appraisal of the literature.................................................................................................. 57
2.6 Critical Risk Factors for MiC projects ................................................................................... 57
2.6.1 Predesign risks .................................................................................................................. 59
2.6.2 Design risks ....................................................................................................................... 60
2.6.3 Production risks................................................................................................................. 63
2.6.4 Transportation and storage risks ....................................................................................... 64
2.6.5 Onsite assembly risks ........................................................................................................ 66
2.6.6 Supply chain risks ............................................................................................................. 67
2.6.7 Appraisal of the literature.................................................................................................. 69
2.7 Critical Success Factors for MiC Projects ............................................................................. 69
2.7.1 Competency....................................................................................................................... 71
2.7.2 Suitable project characteristics.......................................................................................... 74
2.7.3 Early commitment ............................................................................................................. 75
2.7.4 Enabling environment ....................................................................................................... 77
2.7.5 Supply chain management ................................................................................................ 79
2.7.6 Appraisal of the literature.................................................................................................. 80
2.8 Key Performance Indicators for MiC Projects ...................................................................... 81

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2.8.1 Cost performance .............................................................................................................. 83
2.8.2 Time (schedule) performance ........................................................................................... 85
2.8.3 Pre-manufactured value .................................................................................................... 87
2.8.4 Quality performance.......................................................................................................... 89
2.8.5 Productivity performance .................................................................................................. 91
2.8.6 Health and safety performance.......................................................................................... 92
2.8.7 Predictability ..................................................................................................................... 93
2.8.8 Flexibility .......................................................................................................................... 94
2.8.9 Material waste ................................................................................................................... 95
2.8.10 Resource consumption ...................................................................................................... 96
2.8.11 Environmental performance .............................................................................................. 97
2.8.12 Local disruption ................................................................................................................ 98
2.8.13 Local community impact................................................................................................... 99
2.8.14 Industry impact................................................................................................................ 100
2.8.15 Appraisal of the literature................................................................................................ 102
2.9 The Delivery Chain of Residential MiC Projects ................................................................ 102
2.9.1 Predesign stage ................................................................................................................ 104
2.9.2 Design stage .................................................................................................................... 104
2.9.3 Production stage .............................................................................................................. 105
2.9.4 Transportation and storage stage ..................................................................................... 106
2.9.5 Onsite assembly stage ..................................................................................................... 107
2.9.6 Closure stage ................................................................................................................... 107
2.10Conceptual Best Practice Framework for Residential MiC Projects ................................... 108
2.11Chapter Summary ................................................................................................................ 109
CHAPTER 3 – RESEARCH METHODOLOGY ...................................................................... 110
4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 110
4.2 Research Paradigm and Philosophy ..................................................................................... 110
4.2.1 Definition of paradigm .................................................................................................... 110
4.2.2 Composition of a research paradigm .............................................................................. 112
4.2.3 Paradigms in construction engineering and management research ................................. 114
4.2.3.1 Positivism ..................................................................................................... 114

xx
4.2.3.2 Interpretivism ............................................................................................... 116
4.2.3.3 Pragmatism ................................................................................................... 117
4.2.4 The research paradigm adopted ...................................................................................... 118
4.3 Research Strategy and Design ............................................................................................. 119
4.4 The Research Process .......................................................................................................... 124
4.5 Research Methods ................................................................................................................ 127
4.5.1 Systematic literature reviews .......................................................................................... 128
4.5.2 Questionnaire survey ....................................................................................................... 129
4.5.2.1 Questionnaire design .................................................................................... 130
4.5.2.2 Sample size determination ............................................................................ 131
4.5.2.3 Sampling technique and selection of respondents ........................................ 133
4.5.3 Semi-structured interviews.............................................................................................. 137
4.5.4 Case studies ..................................................................................................................... 138
4.5.5 Document analysis .......................................................................................................... 140
4.6 Data Analysis Techniques ................................................................................................... 141
4.6.1 Thematic content analysis ............................................................................................... 141
4.6.2 Reliability test ................................................................................................................. 142
4.6.3 Shapiro-Wilk test ............................................................................................................ 142
4.6.4 Kruskal Wallis H test ...................................................................................................... 143
4.6.5 Mean score ranking ......................................................................................................... 144
4.6.6 Risk Significance Index .................................................................................................. 145
4.6.7 Factor analysis ................................................................................................................. 146
4.6.8 Fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) ................................................................................... 147
4.6.9 Partial least square – structural equation modelling ....................................................... 151
4.6.10 Monte Carlo simulation .................................................................................................. 154
4.7 Statistical Pretesting of the Questionnaire Dataset .............................................................. 155
4.7.1 Reliability Analysis of the Questionnaire Data ............................................................... 155
4.7.2 Distribution of the Datasets and Agreement among the Respondents ............................ 155
4.7.2.1 Suitability decision-making factors .............................................................. 155
4.7.2.2 Critical risk factors ....................................................................................... 157
4.7.2.3 Critical success factors ................................................................................. 158

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4.7.3 Verification of the Suitability of the Datasets for Factor Analysis ................................. 159
4.8 Data Analysis Tools and Software....................................................................................... 160
4.9 Chapter Summary ................................................................................................................ 161
CHAPTER 4 – SUITABILITY DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR RESIDENTIAL MiC
PROJECTS ................................................................................................................................. 162
4.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 162
4.2 Significant Suitability DMFs for the MiC Method .............................................................. 162
4.3 Principal Components of the Significant Suitability DMFs for the MiC Method ............... 164
4.3.1 Project characteristics (PDMF1) ..................................................................................... 165
4.3.2 Project objectives and requirements (PDMF2) ............................................................... 167
4.3.3 Organizational and industry readiness (PDMF3) ............................................................ 167
4.3.4 Location and site attributes (DMF4) ............................................................................... 169
4.4 Quantifying the Impact of the Principal DMFs for the MiC Method .................................. 170
4.5 Developing the Suitability Decision Support System.......................................................... 173
4.5.1 Knowledge-based decision support system .................................................................... 173
4.5.2 Developing the MiC suitability scoring system .............................................................. 174
4.5.3 MiC suitability scoring technique ................................................................................... 175
4.6 The Intelligent-MiC System ................................................................................................ 177
4.6.1 Objectives of the Intelligent-MiC System,...................................................................... 177
4.6.2 The Architecture of the Intelligent-MiC System ............................................................ 178
4.6.2.1 Knowledge base............................................................................................ 178
4.6.2.2 Decision support system ............................................................................... 179
4.6.2.3 User interface................................................................................................ 181
4.6.3 Validation ........................................................................................................................ 183
4.7 Discussion and implications ................................................................................................ 186
4.8 Summary of the Chapter ...................................................................................................... 188
CHAPTER 5 – DERIVING BEST PRACTICES FOR RESIDENTIAL MiC PROJECTS ..... 189
5.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 189
5.2 Assessing, Simulating and Modelling the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects................... 189
5.2.1 Significance and Exposure of the CRFs for Residential MiC projects ........................... 189
5.2.2 Monte Carlo Simulation of the CRFs for Residential MiC projects ............................... 193

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5.2.2.1 Discrete probability distributions of the P – I ratings of the CRFs ............. 194
5.2.2.2 Simulated relative importance of risks across defined risk tolerance levels 200
5.2.2.3 Criticalities, signatures, and resource allocation for the various CRFs ........ 202
5.2.2.4 Discussion and implications ......................................................................... 206
5.2.3 Principal Components of the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects .................................. 208
5.2.3.1 Design risks .................................................................................................. 209
5.2.3.2 Factory production risks ............................................................................... 211
5.2.3.3 Transportation and storage risks ................................................................... 213
5.2.3.4 Onsite assembly risks ................................................................................... 213
5.2.3.5 Supply chain risks......................................................................................... 214
5.2.4 Quantifying the Impact of the Principal CRFs for Residential MiC Projects ................. 216
5.2.5 A Structural Risk-Path Model for Residential MiC Projects in Hong Kong .................. 218
5.2.5.1 Establishing a conceptual structural model and hypotheses development ... 218
5.2.5.2 Measurement model ..................................................................................... 222
5.2.5.3 Structural model estimation .......................................................................... 226
5.2.5.4 Assessment of effect sizes (f2) ...................................................................... 232
5.2.5.5 Evaluation of predictive relevance (q2) ........................................................ 233
5.2.5.6 Importance-performance analysis ................................................................ 234
5.2.5.7 Discussion of the structural risk-path model ................................................ 237
5.3 Evaluating, Modelling, and Quantifying the CSFs for Residential MiC projects ............... 240
5.3.1 Significant CSFs for Residential MiC Projects ............................................................... 240
5.3.2 Principal Components of the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects .................................. 244
5.3.2.1 Supply chain management (PSF1) ............................................................... 246
5.3.2.2 Early commitment (PSF2) ............................................................................ 247
5.3.2.3 Enabling environment (PSF3) ...................................................................... 248
5.3.2.4 Suitable project characteristics (PSF4) ......................................................... 248
5.3.2.5 Competency (PSF5)...................................................................................... 249
5.3.3 Quantifying the Impact of the PSFs for Residential MiC Projects ................................. 250
5.4 Challenges and Lessons Learned from Real-World Residential MiC Projects ................... 253
5.4.1 Description of Selected Residential MiC Case Studies .................................................. 253
5.4.1.1 Case study 1 – InnoCell Project at Science Park .......................................... 253

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5.4.1.2 Case study 2 – Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department ............. 255
5.4.1.3 Case study 3 – Newcastle Mercure Apartments Project .............................. 256
5.4.1.4 Case study 4 – Clement Canopy ................................................................... 257
5.4.1.5 Case study 5 – Student Residence in Nanyang Technological University ... 258
5.4.1.6 Case study 6 – Student Residence in North London .................................... 259
5.4.2 Challenges Encountered in the Six Real-world MiC Projects ........................................ 260
5.4.2.1 Case study 1 – InnoCell Project at Science Park .......................................... 260
5.4.2.2 Case study 2 – Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department ............. 262
5.4.2.3 Case study 3 – Newcastle Mercure Apartments Project .............................. 265
5.4.2.4 Case study 4 – Clement Canopy ................................................................... 267
5.4.2.5 Case study 5 – Student Residence in NTU ................................................... 268
5.4.2.6 Case study 6 – Student Residence in North London .................................... 270
5.4.3 Lessons Learned from the Six Real-World Residential MiC Projects............................ 272
5.4.3.1 Predesign stage ............................................................................................. 273
5.4.3.2 Design stage.................................................................................................. 275
5.4.3.3 Factory production stage .............................................................................. 278
5.4.3.4 Transportation and storage stage .................................................................. 279
5.4.3.5 Onsite assembly stage................................................................................... 280
5.4.3.6 Completion stage .......................................................................................... 282
5.5 Best Practices for implementing Residential MiC Projects ................................................. 282
5.6 Summary of the Chapter ...................................................................................................... 283
CHAPTER 6 – PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT SYSTEM FOR RESIDENTIAL MiC
PROJECTS ................................................................................................................................. 284
6.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 284
6.2 Performance Measurement of Residential MiC Projects ..................................................... 284
6.3 Key Project Descriptors ....................................................................................................... 285
6.4 Key Considerations .............................................................................................................. 286
6.5 Challenges of Performance Measurement of Residential MiC Projects.............................. 287
6.6 Specific Characteristics of the Performance Measurement System .................................... 289
6.7 Selection of Key Performance Measures ............................................................................. 290
6.8 Computerized Performance Measurement System .............................................................. 290

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6.8.1 Objectives of the MiC – PMS ......................................................................................... 291
6.8.2 Architecture of the MiC – PMS ...................................................................................... 291
6.8.3 Application and validation of the MiC – PMS................................................................ 296
6.9 Discussions .......................................................................................................................... 301
6.10Summary of the Chapter ...................................................................................................... 301
CHAPTER 7 – DEVELOPING AND VALIDATING A BEST PRACTICE FRAMEWORK FOR
RESIDENTIAL MiC PROJECTS .............................................................................................. 302
7.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 302
7.2 Stage-based Key Considerations for Residential MiC Projects........................................... 302
7.3 A Best Practice Framework for implementing Residential MiC Projects ........................... 305
7.4 Validation of the Best Practice Framework ......................................................................... 312
7.4.1 Validation questionnaire design and expert survey ........................................................ 313
7.4.2 Validation results ............................................................................................................ 315
7.5 Discussions and Implications............................................................................................... 317
7.6 Summary of the Chapter ...................................................................................................... 319
CHAPTER 8 – CONCLUSIONS, CONTRIBUTIONS, AND FUTURE RESEARCH
DIRECTIONS ............................................................................................................................. 320
8.1 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 320
8.2 Review of Research Objectives and Conclusions................................................................ 320
8.3 Novelty and Contributions of the Study .............................................................................. 330
8.3.1 Originality of the study ................................................................................................... 330
8.3.2 Theoretical contributions ................................................................................................ 331
8.3.3 Managerial implications .................................................................................................. 332
8.3.4 Pedagogical contributions ............................................................................................... 333
8.3.5 Policy implications .......................................................................................................... 334
8.4 Limitations of the Study ...................................................................................................... 334
8.5 Future Research Opportunities ............................................................................................ 335
8.6 Summary of the Thesis ........................................................................................................ 335
APPENDICES ............................................................................................................................ 337
APPENDIX A: PILOT QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY TEMPLATE ....................................... 337
APPENDIX B: HONG KONG QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY TEMPLATE ........................... 342

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APPENDIX C: SEMI-STRUCTURED INTERVIEW GUIDES ............................................... 347
APPENDIX D: VALIDATION QUESTIONNAIRE ................................................................. 348
REFERENCES ........................................................................................................................... 358

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LIST OF TABLES

Table 2.1: Factors determining MiC suitability for construction projects. .................................. 49
Table 2.2: Potential risks in residential MiC projects .................................................................. 58
Table 2.3: List of potential CSFs for residential MiC projects .................................................... 70
Table 2.4: Relevant key performance indicators and metrics for MiC projects .......................... 82
Table 3.1: Search keywords for retrieving relevant articles from Scopus ................................. 128
Table 3.2: Background information of the international MiC experts ....................................... 135
Table 3.3: Codebook for context analyses of the cases.............................................................. 139
Table 3.4: Relevant government publications and industry guidelines used in the study ......... 140
Table 3.5: Test statistics for verifying the suitability of the dataset for EFA ............................ 147
Table 3.6: Cronbach Alpha values of the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs data ................................... 155
Table 3.7: S – W and K – W tests of the suitability DMFs for residential MiC projects .......... 156
Table 3.8: S – W and K – W tests of the CRFs for residential MiC projects ............................ 157
Table 3.9: S – W and K – W tests of the CSFs for residential MiC projects ............................. 158
Table 3.10:Test statistics for verifying the suitability of the data for EFA ................................ 160
Table 4.1: Suitability decision-making factors for the MiC method in Hong Kong. ................. 162
Table 4.2: Factor loadings and eigenvalues of the suitability DMFs for the MiC method ........ 165
Table 4.3: Weighting and membership functions of the DMFs for MiC in Hong Kong ........... 170
Table 4.4: Significance and impact indices of the PDMFs for MiC in Hong Kong .................. 172
Table 4.5: MiC suitability scores of different DMFs at different assessment levels ................. 176
Table 4.6: Recommended action plans for various ranges of MiC Suitability Scores ............... 179
Table 4.7: Validation results of the Intelligent-MiC system...................................................... 184
Table 5.1: Significance ranking of the CRFs for residential MiC projects ................................ 190
Table 5.2: Risk matrix with partitions of various risk exposure zones ...................................... 191
Table 5.3: Probability distributions and exposure profiles of the various CRFs ....................... 195
Table 5.4: Signature, metrics, and proportional allocation of risk management resources ....... 205
Table 5.5: Factor loadings of the CRFs for residential MiC projects ........................................ 209
Table 5.6: Membership functions of the CRFs for residential MiC projects ............................. 216
Table 5.7: Impact indices of the principal CRFs for residential MiC projects .......................... 217
Table 5.8: Relevant critical risk factors for residential MiC projects ........................................ 219
Table 5.9: Measurement model results ...................................................................................... 222

xxvii
Table 5.10: Fornell and Lacker criterion .................................................................................... 224
Table 5.11: Indicator item cross loadings .................................................................................. 224
Table 5.12: Heterotrait-monotrait ratio of correlation values .................................................... 226
Table 5.13: Variance inflation factor values of the indicators of the structural model .............. 228
Table 5.14: Direct relationships for hypothesis testing .............................................................. 231
Table 5.15: Ranking of the CSFs for residential MiC projects .................................................. 241
Table 5.16: Factor loadings of the CSFs for residential projects ............................................... 244
Table 5.17: Membership functions of the CSFs for residential MiC projects ........................... 250
Table 5.18: Impact indices and coefficients of the PSFs for residential MiC projects ............. 252
Table 5.19: Salient details of the six representative case studies ............................................... 253
Table 5.20: Challenges and lessons learned from Project A ...................................................... 261
Table 5.21: Challenges and lessons learned from Project B ...................................................... 263
Table 5.22: Challenges and lessons learned from Project C ...................................................... 265
Table 5.23: Challenges and lessons learned from Project D ...................................................... 267
Table 5.24: Challenges and lessons learned from Project E ...................................................... 268
Table 5.25: Challenges and lessons learned from Project F ...................................................... 270
Table 6.1: List of KPDs for project characterization during performance measurement .......... 285
Table 6.2: Cost performance outcomes of the case projects across three metrics ..................... 297
Table 7.1: Background information of the validation expert panel ........................................... 314
Table 7.2: Best practice framework validation results ............................................................... 315

xxviii
LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1.1: Linkages among the research objectives ................................................................... 13


Figure 1.2: Summary of the major stages of the research process ............................................... 17
Figure 1.3: Ordered structure of the chapters in the thesis .......................................................... 24
Figure 2.1: Conceptual structure of the determinants of MiC suitability for a project ................ 46
Figure 2.2: Conceptual structure of the suitability decision criteria for MiC .............................. 52
Figure 2.3: Conceptual structure of the risk factors in residential MiC projects ......................... 61
Figure 2.4: Conceptual structure of the CSFs for MiC projects .................................................. 72
Figure 2.5: Major stages of the residential MiC project delivery chain .................................... 103
Figure 2.6: A conceptual best practice framework for residential MiC projects ....................... 108
Figure 3.1: Applying epistemology, methodology, and methods .............................................. 113
Figure 3.2: Research paradigms, research strategies, and research methods ............................. 115
Figure 3.3: Mixed research process model ................................................................................ 122
Figure 3.4: Flowchart of the research processes of the thesis .................................................... 125
Figure 3.5: Demographic information of the respondents ......................................................... 136
Figure 5.1: CRFs with low-medium and medium-high risk exposure zones marked ............... 192
Figure 5.2: Probability distribution of the P – I ratings and exposure profile of CRF9 ............ 199
Figure 5.3: Probability distribution of the P – I ratings and exposure profile of CRF23 .......... 199
Figure 5.4: Significant CRFs at 95% and 97.5% RT levels in the high-risk exposure zone ..... 201
Figure 5.5: Significant CRFs at 82.5% and 85% RT levels in the medium-risk exposure zone 202
Figure 5.6: A conceptual path model of the causal relationships between risk constructs ........ 220
Figure 5.7: A structural model with path coefficient values ...................................................... 227
Figure 5.8: Mardia’s multivariate skewness and kurtosis .......................................................... 229
Figure 5.9: Bootstrapping analysis results of the structural model. ........................................... 230
Figure 5.10: IPMA map of other risk constructs against onsite assembly risks ........................ 235
Figure 5.11: IPMA map of risk indicators against onsite assembly risks .................................. 236
Figure 5.12: Total effects, actual performances, and potential performances of risk indicators 237
Figure 5.13: InnoCell at Hong Kong Science Park (Credit: HKSTP Corporation) ................... 255
Figure 5.14: Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department (Credit: ArchSD) ................. 256
Figure 5.15: Clement Canopy in Singapore (Credit: BCA of Singapore) ................................. 258
Figure 5.16: 12 – Storey Student Residence at NTU (Credit: NTU in Singapore).................... 259

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Figure 5.17: Apex House, Wembley, London, UK (Credit: HTA Design LLP) ....................... 260
Figure 5.18: Persistent challenges encountered in the various stages across all cases .............. 272
Figure 6.1: The architecture of the MiC – PMS ........................................................................ 291
Figure 6.2: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing introduction and instructions .. 292
Figure 6.3: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing the data entry component........ 294
Figure 6.4: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing the output component ............. 295
Figure 6.5: Time performance outcomes of the case projects across four metrics .................... 297
Figure 6.6: Quantified labour productivity performance of the two case projects .................... 298
Figure 6.7: Premanufactured value indices of the two cases ..................................................... 299
Figure 6.8: Outcomes of the remaining KPIs for the two case projects .................................... 300
Figure 7.1: Key considerations in the first three major stages of residential MiC projects ....... 303
Figure 7.2: Key considerations in the last three major stages of residential MiC projects ........ 304
Figure 7.3: Significant suitability determinants in the decision support system ....................... 306
Figure 7.4: Best practices for the predesign stage of residential MiC projects ......................... 307
Figure 7.5: Best practices for the design stage of residential MiC projects............................... 308
Figure 7.6: Best practices for the production stage of residential MiC projects ........................ 309
Figure 7.7: Best practices for the transportation – storage stage of residential MiC projects ... 309
Figure 7.8: Best practices for the onsite assembly stage of residential MiC projects................ 310
Figure 7.9: Best practices for the closure stage of residential MiC projects ............................. 311
Figure 7.10: Key performance indicators in the performance measurement system ................. 312

xxx
CHAPTER 1 – GENERAL INTRODUCTION

1.1 Introduction

This chapter, which is an overview of the thesis, describes the research context regarding the

background of the study and the research problem to be addressed. It justifies the research gap and

illuminates the research questions that warrant critical considerations. Subsequently, the research

aim, and objectives are presented, followed by a summary of the research methodology adopted.

Thereafter, the chapter presents the research scope where the research's focus and boundaries are

specified, followed by a statement of the significance of the research findings. The chapter

concludes with an explanation of how the thesis is organized and structured.

1.2 Research Background

The global construction industry faces profound performance challenges, including stagnating

productivity, surging construction costs, pervasive time overruns, increasing fatalities, persistent

defects, dissatisfaction of clients, and significant adverse environmental impact (Arcadis, 2018;

Farmer, 2016; McKinsey Global Institute, 2017). As a high-density city with scarce developable

land, the Hong Kong construction industry suffers even severer and unprecedented performances

and sustainability challenges, including skyrocketing construction costs, huge construction and

demolition wastes, increasing site constraints, and enormous housing shortage (Jaillon et al.,

2009). As the city’s construction industry depends heavily on almost local labour, the rapidly

ageing workforce, increasing requirements for new skills, and the associated shortage of skilled

manpower impose an acute risk with sustained manpower (Construction Industry Council, 2016).

These challenges together present significant threats to the competitiveness of the local

1
construction industry and engender tremendous risks to creating a sustainable and modern built

environment in the city (Kamali and Hewage, 2016; Wuni and Shen, 2020a).

Authoritative scientific literature and industry reports have established sufficient longitudinal

evidence linking the long-standing ills, poor competitiveness, and pervasive market failures of the

construction industry to the business model of the site-based construction technique (Egan, 1998;

Farmer, 2016; Latham, 1994). There is overwhelming corroborating scientific evidence that

undertaking all major construction activities on site presents limited and unstructured opportunities

to control and regulate project performances (Arcadis, 2018; Bertram et al., 2019; Farmer, 2016).

The site-intensive construction processes emits higher greenhouse gases, unhealthy particulate

matter (Mao et al., 2013; Quale et al., 2012), consumes and pollutes water resources (Cao et al.,

2015), disrupts ecosystems and natural habitats, generates noise pollutions and neighbourhood

disturbances (Jaillon and Poon, 2008), and expose construction workers to accidents, incidents,

and health risks due to the need to work at height (McKay, 2010).

The leaders of construction innovation posited that adapting and re-engineering the site-intensive

construction processes, such as moving major construction activities away from the site to a more

controlled factory environment and integrating manufacturing principles could address some of

the ills of the construction industry (Gibb, 1999; Tatum et al., 1986). Consequently, modern

construction methods such as offsite production, industrialized construction, modular construction,

industrialized building systems, and prefabrication has been promoted to improve the performance

of the construction industry (Ayinla et al., 2019; Wuni and Shen, 2020a). These construction

techniques have a shared principle of moving major construction activities away from a site to a

more controlled factory environment, where a building is constructed and substantially completed

offsite, using the same materials and designing to the same codes and standards as conventional

2
buildings, but with improved performances (Blismas et al., 2006). Building are produced in

‘modules’ that when assembled and installed on site, reflect the identical design intent and

specification of the most sophisticated conventional building, without compromise in project

objectives and stakeholder requirements (Modular Building Institute, 2017).

However, offsite production (OSP), which involves shifting many aspects of building activities

away from construction sites and into offsite factories is not entirely a new technology in the

building construction civilization trajectory (Arif and Egbu, 2010). OSP principles are more than

a century old in the construction industry, and throughout its lifespan, the methods have been

readapted and evolved to meet specific needs of different eras and civilizations. For instance, the

big boulders used to erect the great Egyptian Pyramids in 2600BC are not significantly different

from prefabricated wall panels (Arif, 2009). Prefabricated components were used to construct the

London Crystal Palace in 1851 (Gibb, 2001), the Quaker (Society of Friends) Meeting House in

North Adelaide of South Australia in 1840; the 22-storey prefabricated Ronan Point Tower block

in East London in 1968, and the iconic Eiffel Tower in Champ de Mars of Paris in France in 1887

(Wuni and Shen, 2020a). Thus, OSP have witnessed a storied past and promising future.

Though OSP is not a new concept in principles and philosophy, technological improvements,

digital revolution, economic demand, and the rapid changing industry mindset, culture, and

business models during the last three decades galvanized and attracted an unprecedent wave of

interest and investment in the OSP techniques (Bertram et al., 2019; Blismas et al., 2006). The

Hong Kong Housing Authority introduced the prefabricated construction method in 1988 to

expedite the construction of high-rise buildings, minimize construction waste and inefficiencies,

enhance quality, and improve health and safety of construction workers (Chiang et al., 2006).

However, prefabrication for high-rise building construction in Hong Kong suffered several acute

3
technical and engineering limitations, including poor water tightness performance, dimensional

irregularities between prefabricated components, geometric inconsistencies of prefabricated

components sizes, and inadequate structural integrity and robustness to accommodate strong wind

loads and seismic forces (Tam et al., 2015; Xu et al., 2020).

In the 2017 policy address, the Hong Kong government committed to modular integrated

construction (MiC) to encourage innovation, enhance construction productivity, address the

deficiencies of typical prefabrication for high-rise building construction, tackle the housing crisis,

improve the cost-effectiveness of construction projects, enhance competitiveness of the

construction industry, and respond to the ‘much-lamented’ increasing skills shortage and shrinking

workforce (Office of the Chief Executive of Hong Kong, 2017). MiC refers to an innovative OSP

method that integrates higher levels of manufacturing principles into the construction process,

whereby free-standing integrated modules (completed with finishes, fixtures, and fittings) are

manufactured in a prefabrication factory and then transported to a site for installation in a building

(Building and Construction Authority 2017). It constitutes the most advanced modern construction

method which extends the modular construction approach to integrate advanced manufacturing

principles and smart production technologies, resulting in the significant adaptation and re-

engineering of the traditional construction process (Pan and Hon, 2018).

Adopting MiC in a project generates several performance improvements, including shortened

superstructure construction time, reduced overall construction schedule, elimination of weather

delays, built to code with quality materials, greater flexibility and reuse, less material waste,

improved air quality, minimal water consumption, safer construction, better engineered buildings,

improved construction quality control, limitless design opportunities, potential cost savings with

economies of scale, improved labour productivity, and enhanced environmental sustainability

4
(Modular Building Institute, 2017). Given the benefits and opportunities, the MiC method has

become mandatory for new building works of suitable building types with a total construction

floor area larger than 300m2 under the Capital Works Programme (Development Bureau, 2020).

Although the MiC method is applicable to several building types (e.g., commercial and

institutional buildings), it has prominence in residential building projects, which are repetitive in

nature (Mao et al., 2016; Wuni and Shen, 2019). Residential MiC is appealing to the Hong Kong

government because of the intersection of the acute labour shortages and large-scale unmet

demand for housing in the city (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). According to the latest

projections of the rolling ten-year housing supply target under the Long Term Housing Strategy

(LTHS), the Hong Kong government’s total housing supply target for the 10-year period from

2021/22 to 2030/31 is 428 000 units (~ 430 000 units), with an upper and lower range of 451 000

and 405 000 units, respectively (Transport and Housing Bureau, 2020).

The projected 430 000 units required under the LTHS translates into the need to produce

approximately 3 583 units in every month over the next 10-year period. Meanwhile, the relatively

longer housing production cycle of the site-based construction method is incapable of matching

the rapid spate of the increasing shortfall. The nature of the projected housing needs in Hong Kong

require a construction business model which can offer a triadic capability of quality, speed, and

economies of scale. Considering that the pressure of housing shortage will remain a big challenge

in Hong Kong in the foreseeable future, technologies such as MiC capable of addressing the canker

or providing relief is appealing to the government (Jockey Club Design Institute for Social

Innovation, 2020). Generally, the MiC method is considered an efficient and suitable approach for

residential building construction in many countries (Bertram et al., 2019; Li et al., 2013).

5
However, residential MiC projects are different from conventional residential building projects in

several ways, including delivery chain, supply chain configuration, stakeholders composition and

ecosystems, design strategies, project objectives, and organizational structures (Wuni et al., 2019).

The differences between MiC and the site-based construction approach reinvents the frameworks,

strategies, and performance evaluation systems required to implement residential MiC projects

(Khang and Moe, 2008; Li et al., 2013). Thus, it is imperative to develop bespoke frameworks and

strategies reflecting the unique delivery requirements of residential MiC projects. As a result,

researchers have recognized the necessity to develop best practice frameworks for implementing

MiC projects (Hwang et al., 2018b). However, there are limited studies that have developed

integrated frameworks of best practices providing practical guideline and specific strategies for

implementing residential MiC projects to meet planned objectives and various expectations of

stakeholders effectively and efficiently.

Therefore, this thesis seeks to develop a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The thesis leverages several complementary methods and analytical

techniques to investigate and triangulate findings from the opinions of domain practitioners and

high-profile cases studies to understand how best to implement residential MiC projects. The

robustness of the methods generates compelling findings that make credible scientific

contributions to knowledge and industry practice. The best practice framework constitutes an

integrated strategy containing the much-needed technical know-how and specific delivery

guidelines to successfully implement residential MiC projects, whilst facilitating experiential

learning, benchmarking, and continuous improvements. As the MiC method is relatively new in

Hong Kong, the study outcomes provide timely knowledge and the required technical know-how

to improve the adoption of the MiC method in the construction industry.

6
1.3 The Research Problem

The pilot residential MiC projects in Hong Kong encountered tremendous challenges and

uncertainties (Li, 2020). Notable reasons include the incompatibility of the MiC method with some

project types under certain conditions and constraints, unfamiliarity of many construction

organizations and practitioners with the MiC method, lack of standardized practices and guidelines

for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects, and difficulty of measuring the

exclusive benefits of the MiC method in residential building projects. These challenges reflect the

lack of integrated best practice framework providing guidance on how to successfully implement

residential MiC projects to facilitate continuous improvements. This grand challenge comprises

three specific knowledge and practice gaps.

First, there is limited understanding of the factors that must converge to render the MiC method

compatible with and suitable for a residential building project (Goodier et al., 2019; Hwang et al.,

2018b). For many residential building projects, the MiC method is increasingly becoming a

preferred alternative construction method. However, the unique requirements of the MiC method

and the prevailing challenges means that the technology is not always physically possible,

appropriately supported, and financially feasible under all circumstances, conditions, contexts, and

project scales (Wuni and Shen, 2019). It is efficient in project types which are repetitive in nature,

where significant cost reduction is achieved through a high level of module standardization,

industrialization, and economies of scale (Development Bureau, 2020; Li, 2020). Economy of

scale is difficult to achieve in projects with great complexity and non-repeating spaces, such as

medical facilities requiring several highly specified rooms and varied sizes (Li, 2020). However,

the suitability of the MiC method for a residential building project extends beyond mere project

characteristics (Blismas et al., 2005; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

7
Whether the MiC method applies to a specific residential building project depends on several

project characteristics, constraints, site conditions, and other factors (Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway,

2020; Wuni and Shen, 2019). A suitable project is one in which effective use of the MiC method

is expected to yield benefits that justify the inputs and development costs, without unacceptable

risks of failure at the outset, significant financial losses, divergence from planned objectives, and

dissatisfaction of stakeholders. However, it remains both inadequate and obscure to quantify the

suitability of the MiC method on projects, especially based on their specific characteristics and

constraints alone (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). The decision path of determining whether

the MiC method is suitable and justified for a residential building project constitutes a complex

problem due to the multidimensionality of the determinants, some of which are entirely case-

dependent (Chen et al., 2010; Sharafi et al., 2018). The multidimensional factors and conditions

affecting the MiC usage demand the aid of decision support systems to determine when to use the

MiC method in residential building projects (Hwang et al., 2018b). The suitability decision support

tools for the MiC method in residential building projects are currently limited or outdated, leading

to decisions based mainly on capital cost, limited experience, checklists, or intuition (Goodier et

al., 2019; Sharafi et al., 2018). Thus, the literature is deficient in a bespoke decision support tool

that would enable project teams and construction organizations to ascertain the suitability of the

MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. Therefore, the suitability and

compatibility of the MiC method with a residential building project have a significant but still

poorly understood impact on the outcomes of residential MiC projects.

Second, there is inadequate knowledge of the best practices (i.e., specific processes and technical

know-how) for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects to consistently achieve

desired outcomes (Hwang et al., 2018b). According to the World Health Organization (2017), best

8
practices are derived from the consolidated understanding of the critical risk factors, critical

success factors, challenges, and lessons learned from implementing a project or initiative. On the

other hand, the MiC method reinvents relationships between construction methods and the risks,

success factors, and challenges associated with implementing for residential building projects.

Although the MiC method provides a streamlined approach to project delivery and opportunities

for improved performances, it also presents unique risks and uncertainties that must be considered

and managed when implementing the residential MiC projects (Li et al., 2013; Wuni et al., 2019).

Despite some considerable documentation of risks associated with the OSP approach, no rigorous

attempt has been made to investigate the critical risk factors that capture the specific characteristics

of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. As such, project partners are unaware of the impact of

the different risk events and uncertainties on the costs of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Also, the literature commonly used deterministic techniques such as risk matrices to generate a

two-dimensional mapping of probability – impact (P – I) rating to assess the overall exposure of

risk factors for MiC projects (Duijm, 2015). However, the risk matrix-based prioritization scheme

uses a single-point statistical estimates to capture the exposure, quantify impacts, and prioritize

risks (Qazi and Simsekler, 2021). Consequently, there are four limitations of risk matrix-based

prioritization scheme: (i) it overlooks the consequences of tail risks (i.e., low-probability, high-

impact risks) leading suboptimal decisions in selecting risk response strategies; (ii) it fails to

recognize the condition where the probability of occurrence and severity of risks on project

fundamentals are unknown to the decision-maker; (iii) it cannot capture and retain the profiles,

probability distributions, and uncertainties associated with risks; and (iv) it cannot capture and

allocate risk management resources based on varied risk tolerance levels (Qazi and Simsekler,

2021). A simulation-based prioritization scheme can facilitate probabilistic risk assessment to

9
address the limitations of risk matrix-based single-point statistical estimates of risk exposure.

Furthermore, the literature documented that the risk events have chain reactions and

interdependencies, such that risks in previous stages can reinforce and increase the impact of risks

in the subsequent stages of residential MiC projects. While the theoretical positions of the

relationships between risks in the various stages are well-established in the literature, no study has

modelled and verified the chain reactions of the critical risk factors.

Moreover, there are several conditions and factors must converge to guarantee the success of

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Understanding the critical success factors could assist

residential MiC project teams to forecast the future status of the project, diagnose the problem

areas, and devote their attention and scarce resources to ensure successful completion of the

projects (Khang and Moe, 2008). These critical success factors for residential MiC projects are not

well-established in the literature (Wuni and Shen, 2020b). As such, residential MiC project

members in Hong Kong cannot progressively measure performance early in the project lifecycle

to timely diagnose project problems. This knowledge gap could fuel misallocation of resources

and impose significant threats to project success.

Third, there is limited knowledge of how to measure the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC

method in residential building projects to facilitate experiential learning, benchmarking, and

continuous improvements (Blismas et al., 2006; Kamali et al., 2018). Measuring the performance

and outcomes of residential MiC projects is extremely essential to monitor and control the health

of projects to meet the requirements of stakeholders (Beatham et al., 2004; Neely et al., 1995).

Few industry reports that have developed detailed key performance indicators (KPIs) and metrics

for measuring the outcomes and performance of residential MiC projects (Horner et al., 2019; Pan

et al., 2020; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Although the literature have attempted to measure

10
the performance of MiC projects (Pan et al., 2020), no study have developed a performance

measurement system for residential MiC projects to facilitate benchmarking and continuous

improvement (Neely et al., 1995). In attempting to measure the benefits of the MiC method, the

literature failed to recognize and account for the relevant key project descriptors (KPDs), which

are factors and conditions that can influence the performance of a residential building projects

irrespective of the construction method (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Without considering

and filtering the effects of the KPDs (e.g., level of BIM), existing studies have grossly

underestimated or overestimated the impact of the MiC method in the performance of residential

building projects. Thus, it is imperative to develop a performance measurement system for

residential MiC projects incorporating relevant KPIs and accounting for KPDs to ensure accurate

evaluation of the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in a project.

1.4 Research Questions

Based on the scientific, theoretical, and practical knowledge gaps articulated in the background

and research problem, five main research questions warrant critical consideration in this thesis:

a. What are the set of factors and conditions that render the MiC method suitable for a residential

building project and to what extent do they determine when to implement the MIC method in

residential building projects in Hong Kong?

b. What are the unique risk factors for the MiC method and how do they interact with each other

across the various stages of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong?

c. What are the critical success factors for the MiC method in residential building projects in Hong

Kong?

d. What are the notable challenges, lessons learned, and critical success processes derived from

completed real-world residential MiC projects?

11
e. How can the performance of residential MiC projects be measured to quantify the outcomes

and facilitate experiential learning, benchmarking, and continuous improvements?

1.5 Research Aim and Objectives

1.5.1 Research Aim

This research aims to develop a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong, leveraging local and international expert knowledge and case studies.

1.5.2 Research Objectives

The following specific research objectives are pursued to address the research questions and

achieve the aim of the study:

1. To develop a decision support system that enables project teams to assess the suitability of

the MiC method in a residential building project.

2. To assess, simulate and model the critical risk factors for residential MiC projects.

3. To assess and model the critical success factors for residential MiC projects.

4. To critically examine representative local and international residential MiC cases to identify

challenges encountered and lessons learned.

5. To develop a performance measurement system that enables project teams to assess the

outcomes of residential MiC projects.

6. To consolidate the findings to develop a best practice framework for implementing

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

12
1.5.3 Linkages of the Research Objectives

The six research objectives of the study are complementary. Figure 1.1 shows the linkages among

the objectives. Objective 1 enables the project team to explicitly ascertain the suitability of the

proposed residential project for the MiC method. The decision support system offers the project

team the opportunity to identify and resolve deficient areas at the outset to improve the efficiency

and effectiveness of the MiC method in the project. It avoids implementing a project whose

characteristics and external environment are inconsistent with the MiC method.

Research Objective (s) Deliverables (Outputs)

Objective 1: To develop a decision support


system that enables project teams to Decision Support
assess the suitability of the MiC method for System
a residential building project

Objective 2: To assess, simulate and


model the critical risk factors for residential
MiC projects
Objective 6: Best
Objective 3: To assess and model the practice framework
critical success factors for residential MiC
Best practices (Decision support
projects
system, Best practices,
Objective 4: To critically examine and Performance
representative local and international measurement system)
residential MiC cases to identify challenges
encountered and lessons learned.

Objective 5: To develop a performance


measurement system that enables project Performance
teams to assess the outcomes of measurement System
residential MiC projects.

Figure 1.1: Linkages among the research objectives

The findings of Objectives 2 – 4 were triangulated, reconciled, and integrated to develop the best

practices for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects. Once the proposed

13
residential project is aligned with the MiC method (Objective 1), the best practices (Objectives 2

– 4) constitute specific processes, strategies, and guidelines that can enable project teams to

implement residential MiC projects to consistently achieve desired outcomes.

Objective 5 formed the basis for developing a performance measurement system, which

incorporate detailed KPIs, metrics, and KPDs to quantify the absolute outcomes of residential MiC

projects and filters the performance improvements attributable to the MiC method in the project.

Thus, once the best practices (Objectives 2 – 4) provides the much-needed technical know-how

and guidelines to implement the various stages, the performance measurement system (Objective

5) provides a convenient tool to quantify the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method to

inform benchmarking and continuous improvements.

The outputs of the Objectives 1 – 5 are consolidated to develop the best practice framework

(Objective 6). Thus, the best practice framework comprises three novel components: suitability

decision support system (Objective 1), best practices (Objectives 2 – 4), and a performance

measurement system (Objective 5). Therefore, the best practice framework unites the

complementary functions of a decision support system, best practices, and a performance

measurement system, enabling project teams and construction organizations to align a proposed

residential building project to the MiC method, implement the various stages of the project, and

quantify the outcomes of the residential MiC project to inform benchmarking, experiential

learning, and continuous improvement.

1.6 Research Scope

The research has geographic, scale, and sectorial delimitations. Geographically, Hong Kong was

the study’s focus. The Hong Kong government coined the term “modular integrated construction”

14
in 2017. Hong Kong is promoting the MiC method in the construction industry and has made

significant investment in the technology through capacity and pilot demonstration projects. Thus,

Hong Kong constitutes an appropriate context to study the MiC method.

The MiC method is promoted at various scales, including the industry, organizations, and project

levels. This study was limited to the adoption of the MiC method at the building scale. Thus, wider

industry issues associated with adoption of the MiC method in Hong Kong were not explored into

detail in this study.

The study focused on the residential building sector, excluding commercial and institutional

buildings. Hong Kong constitutes a typical high-rise metropolis, with scarce developable land,

driving high-rise building development in the urban area. Consequently, the study focused on high-

rise residential MiC projects, quintessentially those with ten (10) or more stories, constructed

mostly of volumetric modules. As such, the research findings may not apply to the transitional

MiC social housing projects, which are typically temporary modular buildings, with a maximum

of 4 to 5 stories of MiC units (Jockey Club Design Institute for Social Innovation, 2020). The

transitional MiC projects are specifically designed for relocatability because they often occupy a

site temporarily before being used for permanent development. They are required to be relocated,

typically after 3 years or more (due to short term land tenure), and expected to be reused 2 to 6

times according to the suppliers and structural system employed (Jockey Club Design Institute for

Social Innovation, 2020).

1.7 Research Methodology Deployed

A careful selection of appropriate research paradigm, design, methods, and approaches is essential

to generate credible scientific evidence that makes verifiable contributions to knowledge and has

15
practical relevance and industrial applications in the construction industry (Walker, 1997). The

research adopted pragmatism as a philosophical stance and implemented a mixed research design,

comprising literature reviews, semi-structured interviews, questionnaire surveys, simulation,

programming, and case studies. Chapter 3 provides a detailed description of the research

methodology of the thesis. Figure 1.2 shows the five major stages of the overall research process

of the study.

Stage 1 involved preliminary research activities. The study conducted an extensive literature

review, informal discussions with practitioners in Hong Kong, and brainstorming sessions with

the thesis supervisor to establish the research gap, define the pertinent research questions to be

addressed, establish the research aim, deconstruct the aim into six complementary objectives, and

identify appropriate methods to address the research questions. The study further conducted series

of systematic literature reviews to extract potential suitability decision-making factors (DMFs),

critical risk factors (CRFs), critical success factors (CSFs), and key performance indicators (KPIs)

for residential MiC projects.

Stage 2 involved data collection and associated research activities. Prior to the data collection, the

study conducted a two-stage robust pilot study. First, the study organized discussions with relevant

senior domain industry practitioners and academics to validate the relevance, applicability, and

representativeness of the potential DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, and KPIs for residential MiC projects

identified from the systematic literature reviews. Second, a pilot questionnaire survey of fifty-six

international MiC experts, located in seventeen countries was conducted to test and quantify the

significance of the shortlisted DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, and KPIs from the discussions. Twenty-five

DMFs, twenty-six CRFs, twenty-three CSFs, and fourteen KPIs obtained aggregate mean scores

16
exceeding 3.50 on a 5-point Likert scale, forming the basis for the final questionnaire survey in

Hong Kong.

• Extensive literature review


Stage 1 Preliminary research • Informal discussions
• Systematic literature reviews

• Questionnaire surveys
• Semi-structured interviews
Stage 2 Data collection
• Policy documents
• Case studies

• Thematic content analysis


• Mean score ranking
• Risk significance index
Statistical pretesting • Factor analysis
Stage 3
and data analysis • Monte Carlo simulation
• Fuzzy synthetic evaluation
• Structural equation modelling
• Programming

• Triangulation of literature
reviews, surveys, and case
Framework study findings
Stage 4 development and • Review of the delivery chain of
validation residential MiC projects
• Developing and validating the
best practice framework

• Review of aim and objectives


• Summary of key findings
Stage 5 Conclusions • Major conclusions
• Limitations of study
• Future research opportunities

Figure 1.2: Summary of the major stages of the research process

17
Subsequently, a structured questionnaire survey of MiC practitioners and experts was conducted

in Hong Kong to assess the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs. One-hundred and seventeen (117)

respondents assessed the significance of the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong on a 5-point Likert scale. The study further conducted semi-structured interviews

with industry practitioners in Hong Kong to obtain in-depth and rich insights into the DMFs, CRFs,

and CSFs for residential MiC projects. The interview outcomes complemented the findings of the

questionnaire survey. The study also analysed relevant government publications, technical reports,

and industry guidelines from Hong Kong (3), Singapore (1), and the United Kingdom (3) to extract

relevant technical guidelines for implementing residential MiC projects. The study further

gathered data from six representative residential MiC cases in Australia, Hong Kong, the United

Kingdom, and Singapore to complement the findings of the surveys, interviews, and analysis of

the technical reports. These three data sources formed the basis for developing the best practice

framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Stage 3 involved statistical pretesting and data analysis. The questionnaire data was pretested for

reliability, distributions, agreement among the respondents, and suitability of the data (i.e., DMFs,

CRFs, CSFs) for exploratory factor analysis (EFA). The verified questionnaire data was analysed

using various complementary statistical techniques.

The study used mean score ranking, EFA, and fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) to assess and

quantify the DMFs for residential MiC projects. The significant DMFs formed the basis for

developing the suitability decision support system, which was programmed in Microsoft Visual

Basic for Applications and executed in Microsoft Excel. The study used risk significance index,

EFA, Monte Carlo (MC) simulation, FSE, and partial least squares structural equation modelling

(PLS – SEM) to assess, simulate, model, and quantify the impact of the CRFs for residential MiC

18
projects in Hong Kong. The study used mean score ranking, EFA, and FSE to assess, model, and

quantify the CSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The data from the semi-structured interviews, policy documents, and cases studies were analysed

using thematic content analysis. Recurrent themes from the data were developed and sorted

according to frequencies of occurrences. The thematic content analyses provided very rich data,

which complemented the findings from the questionnaire surveys.

The study also designed and programmed the performance measurement system for residential

MiC projects using Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications and executed in Microsoft Excel. The

application of the decision support system and performance measure system were demonstrated

and validated using real-world residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Stage 4 involved development and validation of the best practice framework. The findings of

objective 1 formed the basis for developing the suitability decision support system for residential

MiC projects. The findings of objectives 2 – 4 were consolidated, triangulated, integrated, and

reconciled to develop the best practices for implementing residential MiC projects. The study

reviewed delivery chain and allocated the best practices across the various stages of residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. The identified KPIs (objective 5) formed the basis for developing

the performance measurement system for residential MiC projects. Overall, the best practice

framework comprised three complementary components: a decision support system, best practices,

and a performance measurement system. The developed framework was validated using feedback

from five MiC experts and industry practitioners in Hong Kong.

Stage 5 concluded the study and closed the research loop. The study reviewed the objectives of

the thesis, evaluated the findings, and drew appropriate conclusions. It established the originality,

19
scientific contributions, and practical significance of the research findings. The study

acknowledged limitations and recommended areas for future research.

1.8 Significance and value of the Study

While required and overdue, a study establishing an integrated practice framework for

implementing residential MiC projects in a high-density metropolis such as Hong Kong is non-

existent. Therefore, the findings of the study along with the developed best practice framework

have significant theoretical, practical, managerial, and policy implications for the adoption of the

MiC method in building projects.

First, the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a building project have a significant

but still poorly understood and unrecognized influence on the effectiveness and efficiency of the

MiC method in residential building projects. This study deconstructed the MiC suitability

assessment problem and developed a decision support system that enables project teams and

construction organizations to align a proposed residential building project to the MiC method.

Thus, it provides an important tool enabling the project teams to identify and resolve deficient

areas which could compromise the full benefit of the MiC method in residential building projects.

Second, industry practitioners and project teams in Hong Kong and overseas have encountered

unprecedented challenges in delivering residential MiC projects due to the limited knowledge and

technical know-how to implement the MiC method. This study developed stage-based best

practices offers project teams the much-needed specific delivery strategies, technical know-how,

and guidelines to successfully implement the various stages of residential MiC projects to achieve

desired outcomes. Thus, the study findings can improve success and adoption of the MiC method

in the construction industry.

20
Third, the best practices contain technical guidelines and critical success processes, which can be

incorporated into MiC policy guidelines and standards to inform and regulate the MiC community

of practice. The best practices can also inform reforms in undergraduate and postgraduate building

technology, construction engineering, and construction management curriculum design and

revisions to equip the next generation of the construction industry leaders to better understand how

to implement MiC projects.

Fourth, industry practitioners and project teams have struggled to filter the performance

improvements in residential MiC projects attributable to the MiC method alone. This study

developed a performance measurement system containing qualitative and quantitative KPIs and

relevant KPDs, enabling project teams to assess the absolute outcomes of residential MiC projects

and filter the performance improvements attributable to the MiC method alone. Thus, the study

provides a relevant tool to strengthen the business case for the MiC method in building projects.

Fifth, the developed best practice framework united the complementary functions of a suitability

decision support system, best practices, and a performance measurement system. Thus, it provides

an integrated framework which can guide effective implementation, experiential learning,

benchmarking, and continuous improvements of residential MiC projects.

Finally, the study developed and transformed an extended checklists of suitability DMFs, CRFs,

CSFs, KPIs, practical challenges, and lesson learned into a best practice framework, enabling

project teams to align a proposed building project to the MiC method, guide effective

implementation of the project, and quantify the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC method in

the building project. Thus, this study bridges the gap between scientific rigor and practical

relevance of academic research, leading to a significant contribution to knowledge and a better

practical understanding of how best to implement residential MiC projects.

21
1.9 Structure of the Thesis

The thesis comprises eight complementary chapters (Figure 1.3), organized as follows:

Chapter 1 – General Introduction: This chapter, which is an overview of the thesis, introduced the

central themes of the study, presented the background of the study, and defined the research

problem the study seeks to address. It illuminated the research gap and presented the pertinent

research questions, aim, and specific study objectives. Subsequently, it described the contextual

and geographic delimitations, summarized the research methodology adopted, and stated the

significance of this study.

Chapter 2 – Critical Literature Review, Theories, and Conceptual Frameworks: This chapter

established the study's theoretical underpinning and conceptual basis. It offered operational

definitions of key concepts. The chapter also presented systematic reviews, and a comprehensive

theoretical checklist of suitability decision-making factors (DMFs), critical success factors (CSFs),

critical risk factors (CRFs), and key performance indicators (KPIs) tested empirically in residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. It further developed a conceptual best practice framework for

implementing residential MiC projects.

Chapter 3 – Research Methodology: This chapter described the research process and methods

employed in the study. It defined the research paradigm, the research design, data collection

methods, and data analysis techniques implemented in the study. It described the research methods

adopted and analytical techniques used in the study. It pretested the questionnaire data for

reliability, distributions, agreement among the respondents, and suitability for exploratory factor

analysis. The chapter also specified the data analysis tools and software used in the study.

22
Chapter Chapter Title Chapter Scope

• Research background
• Research problem
• Research aim and objectives
Chapter General
• Linkages of the research objectives
1 Introduction
• Brief description of research methodology
• Significance and value of study
• Structure of the thesis
• Operational definitions of key concepts
• Distinctions between site-based construction and the MiC method
Literature • Relevant theories
Review, • Suitability decision making factors
Chapter
Theories, and • Critical risk factors
2
Conceptual • Critical success factors
Frameworks • Key performance indicators and metrics
• Delivery chain of residential MiC projects
• Conceptual best practice framework
• Research paradigm and philosophy
• Research strategy and design
• Research process
Chapter Research
• Research methods
3 Methodology
• Data analysis techniques
• Statistical pretesting of questionnaire data
• Data analysis tools and software
• Significant suitability decision-making factors
• Principal components of decision-making factors
Suitability
Chapter • Impact of principal decision-making factors
Decision Support
4 • Developing the suitability decision support system
System
• The Intelligent-MiC system
• Discussions and implications
• Simulating and modelling the critical risk factors
Deriving the Best
• Evaluating, modelling, and quantifying the critical success factors
Chapter Practices for
• Challenges and lessons learned from real-world residential MiC
5 Residential MiC
projects
Projects
• Best practices
• Performance measurement
• Key project descriptors
• Key considerations
Performance
Chapter • Challenges of performance measurement
measurement
6 • Specific characteristics of the performance measurement system
System
• Selected key performance measures
• Computerized performance measurement system
• Discussions
Developing and • Stage-based considerations for residential MiC projects
Chapter Validating the • A best practice framework for residential MiC projects
7 Best Practice • Validation of the best practice framework
Framework • Discussions and implications

Conclusions, • Review of research objectives and conclusions


Chapter Contributions, • Novelty and contributions of the study
8 and Future • Limitations of the study
Research • Future research opportunities

23
Figure 1.3: Ordered structure of the chapters in the thesis

Chapter 4 –Suitability Decision Support System for Residential MiC Projects: The chapter

examined the suitability problem when implementing the MiC method in building and construction

projects in Hong Kong. It evaluated and identified twenty-one significant DMFs determining the

suitability of the MiC method in a building project. It developed and quantified the impact of

principal components of the suitability decision-making factors. It further developed, tested, and

validated a decision support system for suitability assessment of the MiC method in residential

projects in Hong Kong.

Chapter 5 – Deriving the Best Practices for Residential MiC Projects: The chapter rigorously

examined the CRFs, CSFs, challenges, and lessons learned from represent projects to derive the

best practices for residential MiC projects. It quantified and prioritized significant CRFs for

residential MiC projects. It simulated the distributions and exposure profiles to identify and

prioritized significant CRFs for residential MiC projects at various risk tolerance levels in the

medium-risk and high-risk exposure zones of the risk matrix. It used exploratory factor analysis

(EFA) and fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) to generate and quantify the impact of five principal

components of the CRFs. It used partial least squares structural equation modelling to verify the

chain reactions among the principal CRFs for residential MiC projects. The chapter also quantified

and prioritized significant CSFs for residential MiC projects. It used EFA and FSE to derive and

quantify the significance of five principal components of the CSFs for residential MiC projects.

The chapter further examined six representative residential MiC projects in Australia, Hong Kong,

Singapore, and the United Kingdom to identify practical challenges encountered and lessons

learned from the six projects. The chapter triangulated, consolidated, and reconciled the identified

24
CRFs, CSFs, challenges, and lessons learned to derive best practices for implementing the various

stages of residential MiC projects.

Chapter 6 – Performance Measurement System for Residential MiC Projects: This chapter focused

on developing a performance measurement system for residential MiC projects (MiC – PMS) in

Hong Kong. The system contains both quantitative and qualitative performance measures along

with user interface allowing project teams to verify key project descriptors and inputting relevant

data to compute the outcomes of various KPIs. The MiC – PMS system contains a performance

measurement algorithm, which automatically computes the various KPIs across several metrics

from the available data.

Chapter 7 – Developing and Validating a Best Practice Framework for Residential MiC Projects:

This chapter integrated the findings of Chapters 5 – 10 to develop a best practice framework for

implementing residential MiC projects. The framework has three novel components: a decision

support system, best practices, and a performance measurement system. The best practice

framework is validated using the feedback of experts in Hong Kong.

Chapter 8 – Conclusions, Contributions, and Future Research Directions: This chapter closed the

research loop and drew conclusions based on the research findings. It reviewed the research

objectives and the associated findings from the research study. The chapter outlined the novelty

and contributions of the study to theory, practice, policy, and pedagogy. It recognized research as

an unending science, elucidated the research limitations, and recommended opportunities for

further research.

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1.10 Chapter Summary

This chapter presented an overview of the thesis and introduced the central research theme. It

presented the research context in terms of the background of the study and the research problem

to be addressed. It defined the research gap, and identified pertinent research questions, aim, and

specific objectives of the study. The research scope is illuminated, and a summary of the research

methodology deployed is presented. Subsequently, significance of the research findings are

described. The chapter concludes with an explanation of the thesis structure, including an

organization of the different chapters. The next chapter, (i.e., chapter 2) provides a detailed

description literature review, theories, and conceptual framework relevant to the study’s aim.

26
CHAPTER 2 – LITERATURE REVIEW, THEORIES, AND CONCEPTUAL
FRAMEWORKS

6.1 Introduction

Chapter one broadly introduced the central research theme, defined the research aim and

objectives, and presented the thesis structure. This chapter presents a review of the related

literature, descriptions of relevant theories, and propositions of conceptual frameworks. It opens

with the operational definition of key concepts to provide a shared understanding of their usage

throughout the thesis, followed by a brief description of the differences between MiC and the site-

based construction approach. Subsequently, the chapter reviews and discusses the set of theories

underpinning the overall and various components of the research. The chapter further provides a

systematic review of the DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, CSC, and KPIs for MiC projects, leading to the

development of several conceptual frameworks evaluated in the ensuing chapters of the thesis. It

concludes with a summary of the chapter.

6.2 Operational Definitions of Key Concepts

2.2.1 Modular integrated construction

The MiC method integrates and incorporates the principles of complex systems, modularity,

modularization, and lean production into building construction. It considers a building as a

complex system comprising several standardized units or components interacting with each other

such that the whole system functions more effectively than the sum of the unit parts in the weak

(Simon, 1962). Theoretically grounded on the complexity theory, the MiC methods translate

buildings into complex systems whose components can be designed independently, but still

function together as an integrated whole (Gosling et al., 2016). The modularity concept measures

the extent to which a complex system (i.e., building project) can be decoupled into manageable

27
units that are easily assembled into a working whole through standardized interfaces, rules, and

specifications (Baldwin and Clark, 2003). The MiC method incorporates modularity principles

into the design to disintegrate the building project into modules (i.e., standardized units or

components), which can be independently manufactured, separated, recombined, mixed, and

matched with other modules to provide diversified functional requirements meeting disparate

needs (Baldwin and Clark, 2000). Modularization is the process of breaking the complex system

into several components that can be designed and manufactured independently but integrated to

generate the building project (Gosling et al., 2016).

MiC is a compound concept embodying the terms ‘modular’, ‘integrated,’ and ‘construction’ (Pan

and Hon, 2018). The ‘modular’ concept in MiC transforms and re-engineers the series of linear

site-based construction of building components into an integrated offsite production of modules

that can be assembled onsite through standardized interfaces, rules, and specifications. The term

‘integrated’ in the MiC concept describes the process of integrating different construction activities

and players in the vertical design and supply chains, leveraging the functions of various

stakeholders in co-creating the project. The term ‘construction’ in the MiC concept describes the

art and science of engineering and creating projects through a lifecycle lens, including planning,

design, production, transportation, onsite assembly, facility management, operations, and

deconstruction.

Therefore, the MiC method constitutes the most advanced modern construction method that

integrates advanced production engineering techniques, manufacturing principles, innovative

processes, and smart digital technologies into building construction (Pan and Hon, 2018). In this

thesis, MiC constitutes an innovative construction method, whereby free-standing prefabricated

prefinished volumetric modules (i.e., room-like units), completed with finishes, fixtures, and

28
fittings are manufactured in an offsite workshop, following any accredited fabrication method and

assembled (including fitting out) in an accredited fabrication facility, and then transported to a

construction site for installation under building works (Building and Construction Authority, 2017;

Construction Industry Council, 2019a). Thus, it adapts the traditional construction process and re-

engineers the typical modular approach to incorporate advanced manufactured principles and

innovative processes.

The MiC method is not a mutually exclusive alternative to site-based methods in a project (van

Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Varying levels and degrees of the MiC method are integrated with

some onsite traditional work packages in constructing building projects (Bertram et al., 2019). The

extent of MiC used in a project is known as pre-manufactured value (van Vuuren and Middleton,

2020). In Hong Kong, the three main structural systems of the MiC method include reinforced

concrete, steel frame, and hybrid systems. This study focused on residential building projects

constructed using the MiC method, including apartments, houses, university residences or

dormitories, hotels, prisons, among others. Specifically, the study focused on high-rise residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong, usually ten or more stories. Hence, it excludes the transitional MiC

projects, typically temporary modular buildings, with a maximum of 4 to 5 stories of MiC units

and supported mainly by raft foundations to evade the higher cost of substructure construction

(Jockey Club Design Institute for Social Innovation, 2020).

2.2.2 Project risks

What precisely constitutes risk has been a long-standing debate in the project risk management

genre. Debates over the universal definition of risk are inevitable because it is not a homogenous

phenomenon (Zhang, 2016) and constitutes such an abstract event that is obscure to universally

define, delineate boundaries, and measure precisely (Baloi and Price, 2003). The nucleus of the

29
debate concerns whether risks should be construed as an objective fact or a subjective construction.

These two schools of thought have resulted in disparate definitions, epistemological traditions, and

analytical risk philosophies (Zhang, 2016). The subjective tradition perceives risk as a subjective

phenomenon graced with multiple epistemological constructions. In contrast, the objective school

considers risk as an objective event with a probabilistic epistemology.

Though the objective school has a higher status and substantial supporters within the risk research

community, each tradition is justifiable depending on the context and the analyst’s viewpoint,

experience, and attitude towards risk (Baloi and Price, 2003). This study is situated within the

interface of the two schools because risk is highly subjective in perspective, but objective

approaches are prioritized in its assessment. The adopted position is quite flexible and most

certainly reflects the nature of risks in MiC projects.

Typically, constructing residential building projects using the MiC method involves several

complex activities, stages, players, processes, and resources, resulting in some uncertainties and

events that could derail the realization of planned objectives and expectations of stakeholders. The

factors that have the probability of generating adverse implications, consequences and

uncertainties in the fundamentals of the project are considered risks (Baloi and Price, 2003). In

this thesis, risk is defined as an uncertain event, process, or condition whose occurrence engender

a positive or negative impact on the objectives of the residential MiC project (Project Management

Institute, 2017). Thus, risk could offer opportunities or generate adverse implications on the

fundamentals of the project.

However, there is a consensus that risk is associated chiefly with detrimental outcomes in

construction projects. Stakeholders often equate risks to threats (Bryde and Volm, 2009). Thus,

risk is construed in the negative sense in this study. Risk management aims to identify, evaluate,

30
categorise, prioritize, plan, and respond to these uncertain events, processes, or conditions whose

occurrence can disrupt the residential MiC project delivery or adversely affect the fundamentals

of the project.

2.2.3 Project success

The concept of project success in the construction industry is a long-standing, unresolved debate

(Baccarini, 1999; Belassi and Tukel, 1996; Pinto and Prescott, 1988). The debate has outlived the

pioneers and is still active (Chan and Chan, 2004; Lim and Mohamed, 1999). Fundamentally,

success refers to accomplishing the goal, missions, and objectives of a project (Belassi and Tukel,

1996). However, construction projects have multiple objectives, stages, activities, and

stakeholders (Chua et al., 1999; Pinto and Prescott, 1988). Different stakeholders have unique

goals, aims, and value systems in the same project (Chan and Chan, 2004). There are multiple

objectives in the different phases of the project delivery chain. Thus, success represents different

things to different stakeholders and at different stages of the project. In other words, success is

extremely sensitive to contexts, objectives, project types, project phases, and stakeholders. This

sensitivity and complexity inhibits development of a construction project success theory. This

study defines project success as the extent to which a project and its management meets planned

objectives and a defined range of expectations of stakeholders at various stages of the project. This

definition provides the legitimacy for using multidimensional critical success criteria to measure

project success in the construction industry (Chan and Chan, 2004).

2.2.4 Performance measurement

It is widely acknowledged that if stakeholders cannot measure the performance of construction

projects or companies, they cannot manage or improve performance (Beatham et al., 2004). Some

31
quantitative purists have even gone to the extent of indicating that if it cannot be measured and

expressed in figures or numbers, it is not science; it is opinion. Lord Kelvin [1824 – 1907] wrote:

“When you can measure what you are speaking about, and express it in numbers, you know something about
it…[otherwise] your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind; it may be the beginning of knowledge, but you
have scarcely in thought advanced to the stage of science.”

The above quote underscores the importance of performance measurement in MiC projects

because the associated outcomes can be used to track progress over time and against benchmarks,

communicate positions of construction companies, delineate business priorities, and demarcate

areas for continuous improvement (Beatham et al., 2004). However, performance measurement

has been rarely defined in the construction management literature. This study argues that the

fundamental object of measurement is to reduce uncertainty. Hence, credible performance

measurement can be intuitive and in qualitative terms (Hubbard, 2014). Loosely, performance

refers to the health of a project in the context of planned objectives and expectations of

stakeholders. It usually describes the attainment of the goals, including the expected outcomes of

a project (Bergek and Norrman, 2008). As such, project performance describes the extent to which

the project outcomes correspond to the project goals, including the expected outcomes. Therefore,

project performance measurement refers to the process of quantifying performance.

Measuring the performance of the MiC method involves quantifying the extent to which the

technique delivers projects that satisfy the requirements of clients with greater efficiency and

effectiveness. The effectiveness of the MiC method refers to the degree to which it delivers projects

that meets the requirements of stakeholders. In contrast, efficiency measures how economically

the MiC method uses resources to meet the requirements of the stakeholders (Neely et al., 1995).

Therefore, this study defines performance measurement as the process of quantifying the

efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC methods in high-rise residential building projects (Neely

32
et al., 1995). Hence, the metrics used to quantify its effectiveness and efficiency are considered

performance measures, whereas the set of the metrics are considered a performance measurement

system.

2.2.5 Best practices

The concept of best practices has been used interchangeably with terms such as evidence-based

practices, effective solutions, innovative practices, research-based practices, science-based

practices, best outcomes, promising practices, probably effective practices, better practices, and

good practices (Ng and De Colombani, 2015; Osburn et al., 2011). The recurrent and

interchangeable use of these ill-defined and relatively undifferentiated concepts generates their

misinterpretation, misuse, and abuse in the literature. They have subtle differences in their usage

across different fields, but such distinctions are beyond the scope of this study and can be found

elsewhere (Osburn et al., 2011; Peters and Heron, 1993).

In education, best practices have been defined as innovative and exemplary strategies empirically

linked to achieving specific desired outcomes (Peters and Heron, 1993). In the context of

information technology, best practices are considered the most efficient and effective strategies

for delivering projects that meet planned objectives and expectations, based on repeatable

procedures that have proven themselves over time in several projects (Graupner et al., 2009). In

the context of incubating companies, best practices constitute processes and reusable practices of

an organization that have proven capable of delivering particular results more effectively and

efficiently than others (Bergek and Norrman, 2008).

In the context of health care delivery, best practices have been defined as the best ways of

implementing health care initiatives, measuring performance, and promoting continuous

33
improvement (Perleth et al., 2001). They encompass delivery strategies or practices that have

demonstrated effectiveness in generating desired outcomes of programs or initiatives when

implemented in a specific real-life setting and are likely to be replicable in other settings (Ng and

De Colombani, 2015). In other words, best practices are effective and efficient strategies or

processes for achieving desired results in specific situations and contexts, forming adaptable

solutions to similar problems in other situations (World Health Organization, 2017). They

represent practices which have worked in one or more cases, and which, given the resemblance of

other contexts, or inertia of certain localised institutions, are assumed to work well in other

contexts and circumstances as well. These processes have proven reliable to lead to the desired

results through experience and research.

Though the concept of best practices has gained prominence and widespread usage in various

professions, there is no generally accepted operational definition and conceptualization of the term

(Osburn et al., 2011). However, the underlying principle in the definitions is that best practices are

strategies that produce the desired results without using excessive resources. Hence, they are

efficient, effective, relevant, replicable, adaptable, sustainable, transferrable, and ethically sound

(Ng and De Colombani, 2015; World Health Organization, 2017). However, best practices should

not be considered a state of perfection, gold standards, or distinctive processes contributing to

success. They must not be construed from the superlative sense of the term “best” (Ng and De

Colombani, 2015) because strategies producing desired results effectively and efficiently in a

specific situation and contexts may result in catastrophic outcomes in certain situations and times.

In other words, best practices are better understood as effective and efficient strategies proven to

produce the desired project outcomes to varying degrees and reflect the industry priorities over

time.

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This study defines best practices as delivery strategies and process management practices that

domain practitioners and experts have found to consistently deliver the required project outcomes,

when carefully applied. Thus, the best practices are strategies and processes that have proven

effective and efficient in consistently delivering desired outcomes in residential MiC projects.

More specifically, they are residential MiC project delivery practices and strategies that most

domain practitioners and experts prefer at the moment and accord higher status during

implementation (Osburn et al., 2011). Generally, best practices are a product of theories, expert

opinion, empirical research, and social values (Ng and De Colombani, 2015; Peters and Heron,

1993). In implementing innovative technologies in construction projects, however, best practices

are products of systematic and continuous benchmarking of delivery practices across several

projects implemented in real-life settings in a particular context (Infrastructure and Projects

Authority, 2019). Hence, they are not standards, but much more specific guidelines reflecting the

best know-how about what works at a given moment. Best practices can, however, be misleading

unless they systematically incorporate measurable criteria or indicators (Peters and Heron, 1993).

Consequently, this study developed both best practices and indicators across the different phases

of the residential MiC project delivery chain.

2.2.6 Best practice framework

Best practice frameworks (BPFs) have been rarely defined in the literature, including studies that

purportedly developed those frameworks for implementing public-private partnerships (Cheung,

2009; Osei-Kyei, 2017). Basically, a BPF constitutes a framework of the best practices. It refers

to a collection of well-established and documented strategies or processes that are more effective

and efficient at meeting certain objectives or outcomes in a context than others (Graupner et al.,

2009). In this study, a BPF refers to a structured body of effective and efficient strategies for

35
guiding an organized implementation of residential MiC projects that meets planned objectives

and expectation of stakeholders. As such, BPFs are excellent knowledge management and sharing

vehicles (Alwazae et al., 2020). A useful BPF must embody a reasonably comprehensive set of

effective and efficient strategies that guides the relevant players from conception to onsite

assembly to maximize value in residential MiC projects. Thus, while not a recipe for guaranteed

success, these practices comprise a roadmap for systematically implementing residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong more effectively and efficiently that encourage continuous improvement.

However, as BPFs usually provide generic guidance for organizing the implementation of projects

(Alwazae, 2015; Alwazae et al., 2020), the strategies are frequently presented at an abstract level

instead of detailed actionable processes and tasks to implement a project (Alwazae et al., 2015).

They usually delineate and describe how processes and scope of work associated with the initiative

should be organized and performed. In this study, the BPF bridges the gap between the usual

abstraction of the scope of work and actions that relevant project participants must perform in a

repeatable manner. It transforms the generic concepts embodied in the typical BPFs into actionable

concepts such as specific tasks, actions, or processes that relevant project participants should

perform at each stage of the delivery chain. Specifically, the BPF captures specific processes,

scope of work, and performance indicators in each stage of the residential MiC project delivery

chain, defines how they should be organized, and assigns responsibilities and roles to relevant

project participants at each stage.

6.3 Distinction between Site-based Construction and the MiC Method

The MiC method is not a reciprocally exclusive alternative to the site-built approach. Varying

levels and degrees of modularization are integrated with some traditional onsite work packages

when constructing building projects (Bertram et al., 2019; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

36
However, there are subtle differences between the MiC method and traditional site-built approach

to residential building construction. The two methods have significantly varied project objectives,

delivery chains, design strategies, supply chain configurations, stakeholder configurations, and

engineering requirements (Wuni et al., 2019). Understanding the unique characteristics would

inform and guide development of efficient and effective strategies for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong

First and foremost, the MiC method is implemented in Hong Kong to address the ills of the site-

based construction methods and prefabrication (Xu et al., 2020). It aims to improve the

competitiveness of the Hong Kong construction industry, hedge against the rapidly aging local

workforce, and provide a solution to the increasing housing shortfall (Pan and Hon, 2018). It is

also promoted to improve the performances of construction projects such as reducing construction

time, lifecycle costs, greenhouse gas emissions, solid waste footprint, and pollution. Most of these

objectives and desired performance improvements are inherently non-financial, with deliverables

less visible and difficult to measure (Wuni and Shen, 2020a). Given the increasing pressure to

adopt sustainable construction practices, technologies, and business models to mitigate climate

change, the business benefits of these wide-ranging non-financial performance improvements are

increasingly becoming a priority to stakeholders when evaluating MiC project performance

(Blismas et al., 2006). Effective consideration and incorporation of these wide-ranging financial

and non-financial benefits requires an adaptation and modification of existing project management

practices to include bespoke tools capable of monitoring, managing, and measuring the extent to

which the MiC method produce the desired outcomes in residential projects in Hong Kong.

Another unique characteristic of the MiC method relative to the site-built approach is the nature

of its delivery chain. A typical delivery chain of the MiC method include project design, statutory

37
approval, factory production of modules, logistics (i.e., transportation, storage, buffer), and onsite

assembly (Luo, Jin, et al., 2020). While some of these stages (e.g., planning, design, statutory

approval) are shared between the two methods, there are varied scope of works and activities in

the various stages in each method. For instance, the MiC method employs advanced manufacturing

principles and production engineering strategies in the delivery of projects. Residential MiC

projects have significant pre-manufactured value, translating them into nearly manufactured

products. Unlike the traditional buildings, residential MiC projects incorporate design for

manufacture and assembly (DfMA) principles, comprising design for manufacture (DfM) and

design for assembly (DfA). DfMA is a design approach that simplifies the design of a product to

facilitate effective manufacture and efficient assembly of its components (Gao et al., 2018). It

incorporates specific rules, specifications, and parameters to ensure that the detailed project design

is amenable to effective factory production and efficient onsite assembly of the modules (Gao et

al., 2019). DfM facilitates the economic offsite production of the constituent elements of a module,

whereas DfA facilitates efficient installation of the modules on site.

There is the increasing consideration of design for manufacture, transportation, and assembly

(DfMTA) and design for logistics and supply chain (DfLSC) to incorporate downstream

transportation, logistics, and supply chain constraints in the MiC project design. These proactive

design approaches usually require engagement of suppliers, production engineers, consultants, and

local contractors at the outset to effectively anticipate and design out downstream challenges and

constraints early upfront. While DfMA principles are applicable to traditional building projects to

a certain extent (Fox et al., 2001; Tan et al., 2020), they are compulsory in MiC projects (Building

and Construction Authority, 2017). Such requirement present unique opportunities and additional

layers of challenges that must be considered when implementing residential MiC projects. Unlike

38
the case of traditional projects where the major superstructure construction activities can

commence after some progress in the design, MiC is less receptive of this practice. It is required

to complete and freeze the detailed design early to commence the factory production of the

modules (Wuni and Shen, 2020b). As such, the superstructure construction in MiC projects cannot

commence until the modules have been delivered to the site.

Also, factory production of modules is non-existent in traditional construction. The modules are

the main drivers of MiC projects, making the production stage an important aspect of the delivery

chain. At this stage, the factory production team produce the modules based on the detailed design

and must adhere to statutory requirements regarding tolerance limits, alignment configurations,

quality standards, and transport restrictions (Construction Industry Council, 2019a). These unique

delivery requirements demand strategies to effectively produce desired outcomes during the

production stage. Usually, the production stage operates concurrently with onsite activities such

as site preparation and substructure construction, including foundation works and external

underground utility works (Building and Construction Authority, 2017). This concurrent operation

enables the MiC method to shorten construction time, but requires careful coordination of both

onsite and offsite work packages (Hwang et al., 2018a). The factory production is followed by

module transportation, storage, and installation on site, which are not required in traditional

construction. Notably, Hong Kong has an incomplete MiC supply chain resulting in limited local

expertise and heavy reliance on overseas factories, requiring complex logistics, expensive cross-

border transportation of modules, and extensive supply chain management. These local

characteristics present unique challenges and risks, requiring effective management when

implementing residential MiC projects.

39
A third unique characteristic of MiC projects is the complex ecosystem of stakeholders involved

in the project delivery. The introduction of factory production, transportation, and onsite assembly

of modules into the project delivery chain introduces new stakeholders and project participants,

including production engineers, fabricators, logistics companies, specialist contractors, assembly

subcontractors, and crane operators. Although some of these stakeholders are prevalent in

traditional construction, they have unique roles, responsibilities, and scope of works in residential

MiC projects. They introduce new requirements for bespoke tools, equipment, resources, and

supply chain configuration. In traditional projects, the owner or client specifies requirements for

the design, provides the resources, and expects benefits from the deliverables from the contractor

financed to manage the project delivery. MiC projects, however, are co-created, requiring a more

sustained collaboration among several stakeholders to effectively coordinate and manage the hosts

of onsite and offsite work packages required to deliver the project. Hence, irrespective of the

adopted procurement system, collaboration is required at each distinct stage of the MiC project

delivery chain (Luo, Jin, et al., 2020; Wuni and Shen, 2020b). The collaborative working

requirements in MiC projects stems from the interdependences between the stages of the delivery

chain, such that disturbances, disruptions, failure points, and vulnerabilities in upstream stages can

significantly compromise the continuity of the entire chain and performance of downstream

segments.

The unique characteristics of the MiC method presents additional layers of opportunities and

challenges in residential building projects. The differences translate into bespoke suitability DMFs,

CRFs, CSFs, KPIs, and best practices for implementing residential MiC projects. Thus, it is

imperative to modify and adapt existing implementation and evaluation frameworks to provide

bespoke tools that enables the relevant project participants and business partners to manage,

40
deliver, and assess the performance of residential MiC projects in a structured and consistent

manner. The developed framework should guide the relevant stakeholders to implement

residential MiC projects efficiently and effectively in Hong Kong.

6.4 Theoretical Framework

Using well-established theories to guide and inform practice individuates a well-established

profession from a craft (Koskela and Howell, 2002). There is an intricate nexus between theory

and practice. Deficiencies in theoretical foundations are recipes for self-inflicted heinous problems

in practice because of implicit reliance on those deficient theories and attendant methods. It has

been vehemently argued that the poverty of bespoke theories of construction project management

espouses the pervasive project failures and long-standing performance ills of the construction

industry (Koskela and Howell, 2008; Söderlund, 2004). Thus, it is essential to adopt relevant

theories to inform the development of the best practice framework for implementing residential

MiC projects.

Within the pragmatic research paradigm and mixed methods research, it is possible and defensible

for more than one theory to fit a single set of empirical data that addresses a research problem

(Johnson et al., 2004). Thus, this study adopted an overarching theory to inform investigation of

the overall research problem and three specific theories to inform investigation of its various

components. The study used the theory of project management to inform investigation of the best

practices for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The various aspects of

residential MiC project delivery in Hong Kong were investigated through three specific theoretical

lenses: technology – organization – environment theory, theory of construction project risks, and

theory of critical success factors.

41
2.4.1 Theory of project management

The theory of project management integrates two theories: theory of project and theory of

management (Koskela and Howell, 2008). The theory of project explains the product-oriented

processes (i.e., technical processes involved in creating the project), whereas the theory of

management explains the management processes (e.g., initiation, planning, execution, controlling,

and closure processes) (Söderlund, 2004). The theory of management further integrates three sub-

theories: theory of planning (management-as-planning & management-as-organizing), theory of

execution (classical communication theory & language/action perspective), and theory of

controlling (thermostat model & scientific experimentation model) (Koskela and Howell, 2002).

Detailed description of the deficiencies associated with the underlying theoretical foundations of

these theories using evidence from competing theories and empirical studies can be found in the

literature (Koskela and Howell, 2002, 2008).

The theory of project postulates that project management involves decomposing the project

delivery process into adequate, manageable chunks of interdependent activities and tasks, whilst

dealing with uncertainties and eliminating waste (i.e., unnecessary work is not done) from the flow

processes of transforming resources (e.g., raw materials, labour, money) into outputs that

eventually meet the requirements of clients and delivers business purpose (Koskela and Howell,

2002; Pinto and Slevin, 1988). It argues that a project represents the transformation of complex

sets of activities, relationships, regulations, information, resources, and processes into deliverables

(i.e., project) that meet well-defined objectives and expectation of stakeholders in a specified time

frame under budgetary constraints. It recognizes that uncertainties abound in the outset regarding

the exact nature of the client requirements and accepts that commitments, dependencies, and

42
expectations developing in the process of interaction drive the project to realization (Koskela and

Howell, 2002).

The theory of management embodies the theories of planning, execution, and controlling. It

postulates that project management is concerned with reconciling the goals of stakeholders (i.e.,

management, workers, external agents) and coordinating dynamic processes (e.g., plans, scope of

work) through job dispatching and work authorization system under continuous performance

evaluation, learning, and improvement to meet planned objectives and expectations of stakeholders

(Koskela and Howell, 2002, 2008). Hence, the theory considers a building project as a product of

coordinated set of core and facilitated processes that encompasses the tools, techniques, and

knowledge-based practices in a closed-loop delivery chain that meets organizational goals in

delivering specified output(s) with specific performance characteristics in a given time frame

under budgetary constraints (Koskela and Howell, 2002).

Therefore, the theory of project management states that the value-laden outputs of organizational

inputs result from reconciling the goals of stakeholders and transforming manageable chunks of

interdependent, complex activities, relationships, regulations, resources, and processes, through

job dispatching and work authorization system under continuous performance evaluation, learning,

and improvement into a deliverable(s) (i.e., project) that meet well-defined objectives and

expectations of stakeholders in a specified time frame under budgetary constraints. Thus, it

decomposes the residential MiC project delivery chain into several processes, including initiation

(i.e., conceptualization), planning, execution (i.e., design, production, transportation, buffering,

storage, and onsite assembly), controlling (i.e., performance measurement, learning, and

continuous improvement), and closure (Project Management Institute, 2017). The specific scope

43
of work, tasks, and processes required to deliver desired results in residential MiC projects formed

the basis for developing the best practice framework.

2.4.2 Technology – Organization – Environment Theory

The technology-organization-environment (TOE) theory emerged from the contingency theory of

organization and embodies a framework of three dimensions that influence the adoption of

technological innovations at the organizational level (Tornatzky et al., 1983). It postulates that the

interactions of environmental factors, technological characteristics, and organizational needs

influence the adoption of innovations at the organizational level (Drazin, 1991). The TOE theory

has received far more robust empirical and theoretical validations in decision sciences than many

celebrated theories and frameworks such as the innovation diffusion theory (Rogers, 1983), theory

of planned behaviour, technology acceptable model, and unified theory of acceptance and use of

technology (Awa et al., 2017). Though relevant, the alternative theories have focused more on

attitudinal factors, perceived usefulness, and perceived ease of use in the adoption of technologies

and ignored the critical relevance of social and psychological factors (ibid). The TOE theory offers

a more superior theoretical information than innovation diffusion theory in investigating

technology adoption. However, the TOE theory has been censured for failing to provide specific

information but rather uses taxonomies to categorize factors into contexts (Awa et al., 2017).

A major strength of the TOE theory is its non-deterministic perspective of technology adoption.

Instead of roles, the TOE framework explicitly recognizes the exclusive significance of people in

technology adoption and thus incorporate social and psychological components in the factors that

determine the adoption of innovation. The TOE framework encompasses technology development,

organizational conditions, business and organizational reconfiguration, and industry environment

(Awa et al., 2017). The central hypothesis of the TOE framework is that an organization is

44
consistent with its surroundings and environmental needs such that internal and external factors

including environment, organization size and strategy define its strength (Bryan and Zuva, 2021).

The TOE framework focuses on innovative technology adoption at the organizational level. As

this study focuses on the adoption of the MiC method at the project level, the dimensions of the

TOE framework are not directly applicable. However, the robustness of the framework and its

applicability at the project level has received consideration in construction management literature.

For instance, Qin et al. (2020) used the TOE framework to explore the factors that influence the

decision to adopt building information modelling in construction projects. Thus, the TOE theory

constitutes a suitable theoretical lens to investigate the factors that determines the suitability and

compatibility of the MiC method with residential building projects in Hong Kong. Based on the

central hypothesis of the TOE framework, this study hypothesizes that various factors such as

project characteristics (conditions), project environmental attributes, labour considerations, and

industry environmental factors influence the decision to implement the MiC method in

construction projects. Figure 2.1 shows a conceptual framework of the factors that determines the

compatibility of the MiC method with residential building projects.

The proposed framework conceptualizes project contexts in terms of characteristics and

requirements of a project (i.e., client needs) that renders the MiC method more appropriate. For

industry environment, the framework considered the readiness and enabling environment in the

local construction industry that support the MiC method adoption. For project environment, the

framework factored characteristics of the proposed site (i.e., minimal traffic condition for

transportation of modules) that favours the use of the MiC method. The labour consideration

dimension of the framework considered the availability of the bespoke skills and technical

expertise required to implement the MiC method.

45
Project
Characteristics

• Presence of
repetitive
layout in design
• Client needs
• Suitability of
the design for
MiC


Environmental

Environment
Transport network and

Attributes

Industry
traffic conditions in the MiC Adoption Availability and capacity
Project

site location suitability in a of fabricators


• Site layout and • Organizational readiness
Project
characteristics

• Skilled and
experienced
labour force
• Competent
project
management
team

Labour
Considerations

Figure 2.1: Conceptual structure of the determinants of MiC suitability for a project

2.4.3 Theory of construction project risks

Risk theory originated from insurance organizations who were concerned about changes in the

state of events in the future due to stochastic disorder (Almer, 1967). However, the theory of risk

have drawn on several fields, including mathematical statistics, probability, insurance problems,

46
decision science, and actuarial science (Borch, 1967). Thus, risk theories have grown from several

theories, including the theory of statistical decision functions, theory of rational decisions,

probability theory, and the theory of insurance. Inheriting the lack of generally accepted definition

of risk, there is no general theory of risk applicable to all industries and fields (Pollatsek and

Tversky, 1970).

In prior literature, it is generally observed that there is no explicit theory of construction project

risks. Nevertheless, it is possible to find statements from the treatises of leading researchers of

construction risk management that approximate the axioms of a theory and from which a theory

of risks can be deduced. Based on such core statements, this study discovered that risks have been

well-established as unavoidable in construction projects (Akintoye and MacLeod, 1997;

Macomber, 1989; Winch, 2010) and usually linked to uncertainties and probabilities of

divergences of outcomes from planned objectives (Project Management Institute, 2017).

Therefore, it can be deduced that the fundamental axiom of risk theory in construction projects is

that there are planned and unplanned events that could have significant positive or negative impact

on the outcomes of current decisions or processes in the future.

To this end, the theory of construction project risks states that the numerous planned and unplanned

activities and trades associated with the changing participants and dynamic project environment

generate stochastic disorders and probability distributions of outcomes diverging from planned

objectives and expectations throughout the delivery chain (Bryde and Volm, 2009; Zhang, 2016).

This theorem is appropriate because a building project is completed from a combination of

complex and symbiotic events, processes and activities drawing on resources and services of

several players dedicated to the project (or individual) goal(s) and objective(s) over the

construction period (Pinto and Slevin, 1988). A building projects has at least 200,000 components

47
or activities (Gann, 1996), translating construction into the riskiest process or service (Macomber,

1989). Risks abound in any construction project; thus, project managers do not aim to eliminate

risks, but to control its occurrence and impact on project outcomes (Baloi and Price, 2003).

2.4.4 Theory of critical success factors

D. Ronald Daniel of McKinsey & Company and John F. Rockart of the Massachusetts Institute of

Technology developed the theory of CSFs (Pollard and Cater-Steel, 2009; Zwikael and Globerson,

2006). It was developed to explain the factors, processes, conditions, and strategies making the

greatest contribution to the success of enterprises or organizations (Dickinson et al., 1984; Martin,

1982; Rockart, 1982). The theory of CSFs states that there are certain areas in which satisfactory

results will generate successful competitive performance for the individual, department, or

organization (Rockart, 1982). It emphasizes that there are few key areas of activity that should

receive dedicated attention and sustained resources commitment from management to guarantee

the success of the organization (Freund, 1988). The theory of CSFs has been applied to many

industries, business units, organizations, departments, management, individuals, activities, and

product development (Zwikael and Globerson, 2006), including construction projects (Belassi and

Tukel, 1996; Pinto and Slevin, 1988; Sanvido et al., 1992).

In construction projects, the theory of CSFs states that there are few key delivery aspects in which

satisfactory results will ensure successful implementation of a project that meets planned

objectives and expectations of stakeholders. It recognizes that CSFs are sensitive to contexts,

project types, stages, and objectives (Pinto and Prescott, 1988). The theory forms the basis for

identifying the few key delivery practices and processes that lead to residential MiC project

success in Hong Kong. The pioneering literature established five basic types or sources of CSFs,

including industry (i.e., specific industry characteristics), environmental (i.e., environmental or

48
technological changes), strategic (i.e., the chosen competitive strategy of the business), temporal

(i.e., internal organizational needs and changes), and managerial (i.e., roles of individuals) factors

(Rockart, 1982). These sources are considered in benchmarking the CSFs for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. Noteworthy is that CSFs must be specific and expressed or written in the

appropriate lexicon, drawing on a good understanding of the MiC industry, project environment,

and strategies of the implementing organization(s) to ensure that the selected success factors result

in observable differences. CSFs could be writing as an activity statement, a requirement or key

influence factor. Action verbs (e.g., attract, perform, monitor, manage) are used to open the

description of CSFs to clearly convey what is important and should be done.

2.5 Suitability Decision-making Factors for MiC Projects

A dedicated systematic literature review was conducted to derive relevant factors determining the

suitability of the MiC method for building projects. Using the keywords in Table 3.1, the study

retrieved 91 documents from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar in July 2021. A

thorough screening revealed sixteen articles addressing potential suitability DMFs for the MiC

method. Table 2.1 summarizes the relevant suitability DMFs extracted from the literature. The

identified DMFs were clustered into four principal DMFs: project requirements, location and site

characteristics, labour considerations, and industry readiness factors. Figure 2.1 shows a

conceptual structure of the suitability DMFs. These components are described as follows.

Table 2.1: Factors determining MiC suitability for construction projects.


No. Suitability decision-making Relevant Sources
factors A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P
1 Expediting construction X X X X X X X X X X
time
2 Minimizing accidents and X X X X X X X X
fatalities on site
3 Improving project quality X X X X X X X
control

49
4 Cost predictability X X X X X X X X X X X
5 Reducing environmental X X X
impact
6 Dimensions and number of X X
required MiC units
7 Lead time for MiC modules X X
8 High standard of quality of X X X X X X X X X
internal and external finishes
9 Project procurement and X X
contract type
10 Presence of repetitive design X X X X
layout
11 Suitability of design for X X X X
MiC
12 Availability of construction X X X X X X X
equipment
13 Structural integrity of X X X
modules
14 Nature, size, scope, and type X X
of project
15 Transport network width X X X X
and traffic conditions in the
vicinity
16 Remote and difficult site X X X
location
17 Site layout, accessibility, X X X X X X
and characteristics
18 Availability of temporary X X X X
storage areas at site location
19 Availability and capacity of X X X
fabricators
20 Severe local area condition, X X X X
harsh weather, and climate
21 Supportive building and X X X X X X X
planning regulations
22 Capability of local MiC X X X
supply chain
23 Availability of skilled and X X X X X X
experienced labour force
24 Availability of competent X X X X X X
and skilled management
team
25 Marketability and X X X X X
acceptability of MiC
26 Presence of competent X X X
inspectors for supervising
modules
27 Minimizing environmental X X X X X
nuisance and neighbourhood
noise

50
28 Reducing construction waste X X X X X
footprint
29 Organizational readiness X X X X
30 Use of building information X X X X
modelling
31 Business needs, client X X X X
contract or regulatory
requirement
32 Local industry X X
communication and
collaborative culture
33 Number of stories X X
34 Competences of the project X X X X X
team in the MiC method
35 Reducing embodied energy X X X X
and carbon emissions
A = Murtaza et al. (1993); B = Gibb and Isack (2003); C = Abu Hammad et al. (2008); D = Blismas and
Wakefield (2009); E = Chen et al. (2010a); F = Azman et al. (2013); G = Zhai et al. (2014); H = Wong et
al. (2017); I = Sharafi et al. (2018); J = Hwang et al. (2018b); K = Zakaria et al. (2018); L = Daget and
Zhang (2019); M = Li et al. (2019); N = Wuni and Shen (2019); O = Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway (2020);
P = Bendi et al. (2020)

2.5.1 Project characteristics and requirements

The objectives of a proposed project could make it more amenable to the MiC method than the

site-based approach (Chen et al., 2010). For instance, projects that have stringent budgetary

constraints, requiring a higher degree of cost predictability is more amenable to the MiC method

(Zhai et al., 2014). Building and construction projects with demanding schedules offers an ideal

opportunity for MiC adoption because it minimizes time spent on site, expedites the construction

process, and improves certainty of the project completion date (Blismas and Wakefield, 2009). As

MiC allows for industrialized assembly that happens concurrently with site preparation, the total

time it takes to build a structure can be dramatically reduced. Often by the time the site is ready

(foundation levelled, plumbing in place, concrete poured, etc.) the factory-built modules are ready

to be placed. Thus, the MiC method becomes a suitable technique for projects that simply need to

be built along a faster timeline than is typically feasible for a traditional construction project. For

51
instance, the MiC method was used to rapidly build health centres, hospitals, and quarantines

centres in China (including Hong Kong SAR), USA, UK and elsewhere during the Covid-19

pandemic because there was the need to provide such facilities within a shorter time frame as

response mechanisms (Luo, Liu, et al., 2020).

Project characteristics and requirements Industry readiness factors


• Expediting construction time
• Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site
• Availability and capacity of
• Improving project quality control
fabricators
• Cost predictability
• Supportive building and
• Reducing environmental impact
planning regulations
• Dimensions and number of required MiC units
• Capacity of local MiC
• Lead time for MiC modules
supply chain
• High standard of quality of finishes
• Marketability and
• Project procurement and contract type
acceptability of MiC
• Presence of repetitive design layout
• Organizational readiness
• Suitability of design for MiC
• Local industry
• Structural integrity of modules
communication and
• Nature, size, scope, and type of project
collaborative culture
• Minimizing environmental nuisance and noise
• Competences of the project
• Reducing construction waste footprint
team in the MiC method
• Business needs, client contract or regulatory requirements
• Availability of construction
• Number of stories
equipment
• Reducing embodied energy and carbon emissions
• Use of building information modelling

Suitability
Decision
Criteria for
MiC
Location and site attributes Labour considerations
• Transport network width and traffic
• Availability of skilled and
conditions in the vicinity
experienced labour force
• Availability of temporary storage areas at
• Availability of competent
site location
and skilled management
• Remote and difficult site location
team
• Site layout, accessibility, and
• Presence of competent
characteristics
inspectors for supervising
• Severe local area condition, harsh
modules
weather, and climate

Figure 2.2: Conceptual structure of the suitability decision criteria for MiC

52
The MiC method constitutes a preferred construction approach when a project has strict

requirements for quality control. The MiC technology leverages a controlled factory environment

to generate control the quality of the modules, leading to fewer defects and quality problems in the

constructed project (Blismas et al., 2006). Certain characteristics of a project render it more

suitable for the MiC method. For example, the MiC method generates maximum benefits when

the project design explicitly considered downstream offsite production and assembly of

components. Hence, the project must be designed based on DfMA principles to make it more

amenable to the MiC method. Additionally, MiC is suitable for projects that are repetitive in nature

(Hwang et al., 2018b).

The repetition provides opportunities for a high level of standardization and industrialization of

the modules to achieve the cost reduction associated with economies of scale (Li, 2020). Similarly,

projects with repetitive design layout leverages significant benefits with the MiC method (Murtaza

et al., 1993). The suitability of the MiC method also depends on the dimensions, sizes, and number

of modules. For instance, the width of traffic lanes in Hong Kong are typically 3.3m and can be

less than 3m at some local road sections (Construction Industry Council, 2020). These dimensions

of the road restricts the sizes of loaded vehicles in the city to 2.5m(w) x 4.6m(h) under transport

regulations. Even though the Transport Department has recently relaxed the width of the loaded

vehicles to 3.2m to support the MiC technology, typical MiC modules are usually constrained to

a maximum size of 2.8m(w) x 12m (l) x 3.1m(h) for daytime transport and 3.2m(w) x 12m (l) x

3.1m(h) for night-time location (Li, 2020). Similarly, building regulations such as the minimum

requirement of 4.5m floor-to-floor height for laboratories in Universities in Hong Kong exceeds

the allowable height for transportation. As such, a building type of repetitive nature may be

unsuitable for the MiC method if the dimensions and sizes of the modules in the design are not

53
consistent with local building regulations (Wuni and Shen, 2019). Therefore, a critical criterion

for suitability is the design of project for explicit use of the MiC method with due considerations

of local building regulations.

2.5.2 Location and site attributes

The characteristics of site location for a project influences the suitability of implementing the MiC

method. Selection of a suitable site is considered an extremely essential for MiC projects in Hong

Kong due to the numerous site constraints (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). Due to transport

restrictions and size limitations of traffic lanes, the width of roads to the site should be greater than

the maximum width of the MiC modules (Li, 2020). A suitable MiC site must have simple terrain

to facilitate ease and convenient transportation of the modules (Hong Kong Housing Authority,

2021). The site location should have a favourable layout and adequate accessibility (Sharafi et al.,

2018). Though the MiC method provide opportunities to build in sites with a relatively limited

space, it is essential that the site is accessible to trucks transporting the modules and cranes

installing the modules. In high-density cities like Hong Kong where there is limited land for

developing manufacturing plants, overseas production of modules is a critical consideration. Under

just-in-time delivery arrangement, the modules are usually transported to the MiC site and stored

temporarily for subsequent installation (Zhang et al., 2018). Hence, the suitability of MiC also

depends on the availability of temporary storage areas at the site location (Chen et al., 2010). There

are also some characteristics of site locations that render the MiC method more feasible,

economical, and appropriate alternative construction method. For instance, remote and difficult

site locations (e.g., desert, extreme snow) with severe local area conditions, harsh weather, and

climate could expose workers to adverse health risks under longer project durations (Murtaza et

al., 1993). The MiC method becomes obvious when certain project constraints prevail, such as

54
underdeveloped and remote construction site with hostile environmental conditions and projects

requiring special tools, skills, or techniques only available in a controlled factors environment

(Murtaza et al., 1993; Wuni and Shen, 2019). In these circumstances, the MiC method constitutes

an economic and feasible option it requires fewer workers on site, improves quality control, and

significantly shortens construction cycle to minimize the adverse impact of the weather on project

costs and workers’ health (Jaillon and Poon, 2008).

2.5.3 Labour considerations

The MiC method has a specialist labour requirements (Wuni and Shen, 2019). Although few

unskilled workforces may be required to handle delivery of materials to the usage point, the MiC

method demands specialist technical knowledge at various levels of the project delivery chain. For

instance, the design team must have technical knowledge of manufacturing principles, production

engineering, and DfMA (Wuni and Shen, 2020c). The factory manufacturing team must have

technical knowledge of DfMA, production engineering, process efficiency, and precision modular

production technologies (Fraser et al., 2015). The assemblers must have a good knowledge and

experience of working with powerful crane under tight tolerances and micro-move fine positioning

(Blismas, 2007). Hence, the suitability of MiC for a project depends on the availability of skilled

and experienced onsite and factory labour force, skilled management team to coordinate onsite

and offsite work packages, and competent inspectors for supervise the factory production of

modules (Wuni and Shen, 2019), especially when overseas manufacturers are engaged (Hwang et

al., 2018b; Pan and Hon, 2018). The inspectors, usually a technical team from the local building

authority inspect the modules at the factory during production for quality control and onsite before

installation to ensure adherence to building standards.

55
2.5.4 Industry readiness factors

The extent to which construction organizations and professionals are technically, financially, and

professionally prepared to implement innovative and disruptive processes of the MiC method also

influence its suitability for building and construction projects in any construction industry (Weiner,

2009). The MiC method requires changes in the business-as-usual (BAU) way of designing,

constructing, and managing building and construction projects. Hence, the project designers,

contractors, and consultants should have the capacity, readiness, and technical competence to

effectively implement the MiC method in a project (Bendi et al., 2020; Fraser et al., 2015). The

local building and planning regulations should be favourable to the MiC method because every

project requires statutory approvals and permits to proceed (Zhai et al., 2014). Thus, it is essential

to consider local building standard, planning regulations, and bespoke MiC design codes of

practice, technical guidelines, standards, and specification for the design team to reference when

developing the MiC project design. Whilst most building regulations support the MiC method,

they are usually restrictive (Li, 2020)l. The feasibility of MiC also depends on the availability of

supportive construction equipment such as moulds, carcass, jigs, powerful cranes, and heavy-duty

trucks because they are required at various stages of the project delivery chain (Murtaza et al.,

1993). Whilst these are readily available in economies (e.g., Singapore, United Kingdom, Hong

Kong), there equipment may not be accessible in developing countries (Zakaria et al., 2018). The

MiC method is also economical when there is a complete local supply chain (Daget and Zhang,

2019), especially adequate capacity of fabricators to cope with possible increase in demand for

modules in the short term (Li, 2020). Significant advantages of having a complete local MiC

supply chain include minimal reliance on overseas manufacturers, elimination of costs and

complications associated with cross-border transportation, and reduced logistical challenges (Pan

56
and Hon, 2018; Wuni and Shen, 2019). The MiC method could also be a more preferred option

where there is there is acceptance and market for MiC projects (Azman et al., 2013) and higher

degree of local industry communication and collaborative culture (Zakaria et al., 2018).

2.5.5 Appraisal of the literature

The preceding literature synthesis revealed that the suitability DMFs of various modern

construction methods received a sustained scholarship attention from 1993 to 2021. The reviewed

studies have investigated the suitability of implementing various modern construction methods in

various types of building and construction projects in developing (e.g., China, Malaysia, Ethiopia)

and developed economies (e.g., Canada, Singapore, Australia, United Kingdom). Previous studies

have used various data collection methods, including interviews, questionnaires, and case studies

to investigate relevant suitability DMFs for modern construction methods. However, none

specifically addressed the MiC suitability decision-making problem in building and construction

projects in a high-density metropolis such as Hong Kong. Additionally, except for Murtaza et al.

(1993), Abu Hammad et al. (2008), Hwang et al. (2018a), and Goodier et al. (2019), none

developed a decision support system for assessing the suitability of adopting modern construction

methods in construction projects. Thus, it is imperative to develop a bespoke tool that enables

construction organizations to evaluate the suitability of implementing MiC in building and

construction projects, capturing the local climate, constraints, and expert knowledge of

professionals in Hong Kong.

2.6 Critical Risk Factors for MiC projects

A dedicated systematic literature review was conducted to identify risks relevant to residential

MiC projects. Using the keywords in Table 3.1, the study retrieved 56 documents from Scopus,

57
Web of Science, and Google Scholar in August 2021. A thorough screening revealed fifteen

articles addressing risks relevant to MiC projects. Table 2.2 summarizes the relevant potential risks

influencing the costs of residential MiC projects. The identified risk factors were grouped into six

principal risk factors: pre-design risks, design risks, production risks, transportation and storage

risks, supply chain risks, and onsite assembly risks. Figure 2.2 shows a conceptual structure of the

principal risk factors. These components are described as follows.

Table 2.2: Potential risks in residential MiC projects


No. Risks Relevant Sources
A B C D E F G H I J K L
1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories X X
2 Limited MiC expertise and experience X X X X X
3 Supply chain disruptions X X
4 Stakeholder fragmentation and X
complexity
5 Higher initial capital requirement X X X
6 Delay in modules delivery to the site X X X X X
7 Defective design and change order X X X X X X X
8 The unsuitability of design for MiC X X
9 Late design completion and freezing X X
10 Inadequate planning and scheduling X X X X
11 Unsuitable procurement system and X X X
project delivery method
12 Incomplete local MiC supply chain X X X X X
13 Poor information sharing between X X X
stakeholders
14 Shortages of modules on site X X X X X
15 Restrictive site with space constraints X X
16 Complex interfacing between modules X X X
17 Inaccurate MiC design information X X
18 Inappropriate structural system and X
construction materials
19 Module installation errors X X X X
20 Misplacement of stored modules X X X X
21 Dimensional and geometric X X
inconsistencies in modules
22 Inadequate project funding X
23 Mechanical malfunction of cranes X X X X

58
24 Poor cooperation between multi- X
interfaces
25 Poor workflow control X X
36 Inadequate supervision of factory X X X
works
27 Contractual disputes X
28 Inaccurate materials specifications and X X
cost estimation
29 A design information gap between X X X
designer and manufacturer
30 Module design complexity X X X
31 Limited capacity of manufacturers and X
suppliers
32 Absence of standardized modules X X X
33 Weather disruptions at site X X X X
34 Transportation restrictions and X X X
constraints
35 Module production errors and system X X X X X X
failure
A= Li et al. (2013); B= Luo et al. (2015); C= Li et al. (2016); D= Lee and Kim (2017); E= Li et al.
(2017); F= Li et al. (2018); G = Luo et al. (2019); H= Sutrisna and Goulding (2019); I= Wuni et al.
(2020); J= Abdul Nabi and El-adaway (2021); K= Yang et al. (2021); L= Zhao et al. (2021);

2.6.1 Predesign risks

The pre-design stage includes the conceptualization and planning activities in residential MiC

projects. As these stages and associated activities precede and provides relevant information for

the detailed design phase, various uncertainties and risks can affect project objectives. Risks in

MiC projects reinforce each other, such that upstream jeopardies can propagate detrimental

consequences throughout the delivery chain to undermine downstream objectives (Li et al., 2013;

Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019). A notable predesign risk constitutes the failure to ascertain

suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with residential building project (Abdul Nabi and

El-Adaway, 2020; Hwang et al., 2018b). The MiC method offers economies of scale and

significant cost savings in projects with repetitive layout. In case the planning and conceptual

phases did not consider this condition, it may become prohibitively cost intensive to deliver the
59
residential MiC project. Another widely cited predesign risks is inadequate planning and

scheduling of offsite and onsite activities (Luo et al., 2015; Wuni et al., 2019). Failure to plan

extensively for activities and workflows in the interdependent stages of the delivery chain exposes

the residential MiC project to uncertainties such as shortages of modules, transport delays, and

shortages of funding commensurate with the tight schedule.

2.6.2 Design risks

The design stage constitutes the core invisible engine of residential MiC projects. It is situated at

the interface between the project concept and manufactured modules in which the requirements of

the client transformed into blueprint specifications of materials, geometry, and structural

configurations embodying the core objectives of the project. The quality and accuracy of the

working drawings have direct impact on the modules to be produced and the objectives of the

project (Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019). Project performance decisions matter most at the design

stage because it controls and drives the project objectives significantly (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021).

The most cited design risks is unsuitability of the design for MiC. Principles of DfMTA of modules

must be incorporated into the design. This design requirements differentiates the MiC method from

site-based construction techniques (Tan et al., 2020). Failure to incorporate these DfMTA

principles will render the detailed working drawings less amenable to offsite production and

assembly of the building components. Another significant design risk is inaccurate MiC design

information (Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019). Feeding inaccurate site information, transport

restrictions, dimensional specifications, and geometry configuration leads to uninformative and

faulty design. Using such design to produce the components will compromise the objectives of the

residential MiC project. The inaccurate design information produces further risks such as

dimensional and geometric inconsistencies in the modules (Shahtaheri et al., 2017) and

60
inappropriate specification of structural system and construction materials (Yang et al., 2021).

Installing modules with dimensional irregularities would generate significant additional costs for

rectification works and site-fit reworks.

Predesign risks Design risks


• Inadequate planning and scheduling • Unsuitability of the design for MiC
• Failure to ascertain suitability of • Defective design and change order
MiC with the project • Late design completion and freezing
• Higher initial capital requirement • Inaccurate MiC design information
• Inaccurate materials specifications and
cost estimation
• Inappropriate structural system and
construction materials
• Module design complexity
Supply chain risks
• Limited MiC expertise and
experience
• Supply chain disruptions Production risks
• Stakeholder fragmentation and • A design information gap between
complexity designer and manufacturer
• Unsuitable procurement system and • Heavy reliance on overseas factories
project delivery method • Dimensional and geometric
• Incomplete local MiC supply chain inconsistencies in modules
• Poor information sharing between Risk factors in • Inadequate supervision of factory
stakeholders MiC projects works
• Inadequate project funding • Limited capacity of manufacturers and
• Poor workflow control suppliers
• Contractual disputes • Absence of standardized modules
• Module production errors and system
failure

Onsite assembly risks


Transportation and storage risks
• Shortages of modules on site
• Complex interfacing between • Delay in modules delivery to the site
modules • Transportation restrictions and
• Module installation errors constraints
• Mechanical malfunction of crane • Damages to modules during transport
• Poor cooperation between multi- • Restrictive site with space constraints
interfaces • Limited space for site storage
• Absence of standardized modules • Misplacement of stored modules
• Weather disruptions

Figure 2.3: Conceptual structure of the risk factors in residential MiC projects

The most profound sources of the design risks include limited planning and poor communication

between designers and downstream project participants (Luo et al., 2015). An associated risk is a

61
design information gap between designers and manufacturers. With the exceptions of collaborative

procurement system and integrated project delivery methods (e.g., design-build), designers and

manufacturers rarely collaborate at the design stage. In residential MiC projects, the manufacturers

(i.e., production engineers) are the immediate users of the detailed work drawings of the design

team. The non-involvement of manufacturers in the design generates “over-the-wall” syndrome

where the production engineers must manufacture modules from drawings to which they were not

privy. The non-inclusion of production engineers terminates the opportunities to proactively

identify, resolve, and incorporate factory production constraints and onsite assembly challenges

into the design. More frequently, the design lapses from the limited collaboration between

designers and manufacturers become immediately apparent during the factory production stage

where majority of the engineering challenges of MiC projects are encountered (Boothroyd, 1994).

Another source of design risk is limited relevant knowledge and technical expertise of designers

(i.e., architects, engineers) in DfMA, production engineering, connection systems, dimensional

tolerance risk management, and onsite installation requirements of modules (Fraser et al., 2015).

The MiC method demands greater design and engineering input to be completed upfront. Thus, it

requires the relevant project teams, especially the designers and contractors to understand the

engineering behind the production and erection of modules (Hong Kong Housing Authority,

2021). The limited knowledge, change orders, and excessive demands of clients or owners further

generate risks such as late design completion and defective design (Gibb and Isack, 2003; Wuni

and Shen, 2020a). Late design completion and freezing directly influence the production lead time

and tighter schedules of MiC projects.

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2.6.3 Production risks

The modules are the main driver of MiC projects (Rentschler et al., 2016). While bespoke risk

abound, production stage often inherit risks from the design stage and if left unresolved, are

transmitted to the onsite assembly stage. This configuration explains the systemic nature of risks

in MiC projects. A key source of risk is limited capacity of MiC manufacturers and suppliers (Wuni

et al., 2019). The inability of fabricators to cope with the rapid demand for modules to meet tight

schedules increase construction cost due to the forces of demand and supply (Li, 2020). It also

generates uncertainties about reliable supply of modules to meet demand on site during

installation. The limited capacity of fabricators has translated into incomplete local MiC supply

chain in many economies, including Hong Kong (Yang et al., 2021). The incomplete supply chain

have further generated heavy reliance on overseas factories for production of MiC modules (Wuni

et al., 2019) with the attendant complex and expensive problems of cross-border transportation,

logistical challenges, inspection of modules in overseas factories, and adherence to local building

regulations (Pan and Hon, 2018). Notably, the risk and impact of inadequate supervision of

overseas factory works become more detrimental (Li, Shen, et al., 2017). Apart from the associated

direct costs, the increased complexity of cross-border supply chain coordination and integration

generate additional uncertainties that could significantly impact the fundamentals of the project.

Another critical production risk is dimensional and geometric inconsistencies in the modules

(Abdul Nabi and El-adaway, 2021). Failure to accurate specify the allowable tolerance in the MiC

module design could result in excessive geometric variability risks in the factory production of the

modules (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). Module production errors will require additional

design rework and costs to correct the errors in the modules (Luo et al., 2015; Yang et al., 2021).

Another significant risk event is failure or malfunction of factory production systems and

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equipment (Li et al., 2016). In cases where there is no safety stock of modules on site, disruptions

in the factory production systems may halt onsite assembly of modules and significantly extend

the schedules of the project and costs of hired equipment and labour.

2.6.4 Transportation and storage risks

The literature also discussed risks in the transportation and storage stages of MiC projects. A

notable risk is transportation restrictions and constraints (Lee and Kim, 2017; Luo et al., 2015). In

most economies, including Hong Kong, the MiC modules are usually transported by road to site.

There is generally heavy traffic in most neighbourhoods in Hong Kong. Also, existing bridges,

roads, and tunnels were constructed with previous highways standards which have constraints to

the MiC delivery (Li, 2020). In Hong Kong, width of traffic lane is typically 3.3m and can be less

than 3m at some local road sections, limiting the size of a loaded vehicle to 2.5m(w) x 4.6m(h) by

Regulation 55 of the Road Traffic (Traffic Control) Regulations (Cap. 374G), unless a Wide Load

Permit has been applied for haulage of the modules. Though the Transport Department has recently

relaxed the width of the loaded vehicles to 3.2m to support MiC adoption in construction projects,

this is limited to night-time transport only. The transport restrictions forces the typical MiC unit

to be usually constrained to a maximum size of 2.8m(w) x 12m(l) x 3.1m(h) and 3.2m(w) x 12m(l)

x 3.1m(h) for daytime and night-time transportation, respectively. The size limitation of MiC units

renders MiC adoption obscure or inappropriate for some building types set out in the List of Annex

II of the Technical Circular (Works) No. 2/2020 (Development Bureau, 2020). For instance, the

floor-to-floor height for laboratories in universities is usually 4.5m minimum, exceeding the

allowable height for transportation (Li, 2020). Though strategies such as convoluted adaptions

such as vertical divisions of units can be made, but it usually generate further risks and other

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complications such as more connection joints and therefore a higher risk of water seepage and

possible prohibition of installation building services on site (Hong, 2020).

Another relevant transport risks is damages to modules during the movement from factory to

construction site (Blismas, 2007). Concrete, steel and hybrid modules can be damaged during

transportation due to poor handling, inadequate protection, or bad nature of transport network (Li

et al., 2016). Damaged modules are usually be replaced, generating additional costs and extension

of schedules. Nature of construction site also presents a significant risk. There are several

challenges with projects without sufficient transportation network, undulating site terrain, and

absence of storage area nearby (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). Typically, project sites

which are either too small or bound by different site constraints (e.g., hilly terrain, limited storage

areas, etc) become inappropriate for the MiC method. Thus, it is imperative to carefully select sites

in high-density cities such as Hong Kong where site constraints are severe. A closely related

storage risk is limited space for site storage (Blismas, 2007). A principal resolution is the just-in-

time delivery arrangement, but it relies on the traffic conditions, availability of buffer zones and

capacity of manufacturers. In cases of production system failure, the absence of safety stock of

modules could halt onsite installation progress and negatively affect the tighter schedules of MiC

projects (Zhai et al., 2018). Another critical risk is improper placement (i.e., packing) or

misplacement of stored modules (Li et al., 2016; Luo et al., 2015). This negligent practice makes

it difficult to locate appropriate modules for installation at site when required. Considering that the

modules are usually heavy, additional operations, time, and cost may be incurred to unpack all

modules to identify the required modules. The negative impact of this risk becomes more

pronounced when the project does not incorporate effective inventory management and control of

stock and document systems (Blismas, 2007).

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2.6.5 Onsite assembly risks

The onsite assembly constitutes the last major stage of the MiC construction process. It involves

hoisting and installing the required modules based on an assembly plan and final finishing works.

However, there are various risks that could compromise the objectives of the onsite assembly

stage. A major risk occurs when unresolved modular geometric conflicts during production and

between modules and site interfaces translate into problematic dimensional and geometric

variabilities on site (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). Given a large volumetric element with

at least five interfaces with adjoining modules, the onsite installation of modules can result in

several step-joints (Hong, 2020). Such requirement generates a significant challenge in dealing

with the excessive geometric variability risks in the factory production and onsite assembly of

modules. As such, accurate specification of allowable tolerances in MiC is indispensable because

imprecision may result in less clemency between manufacturing and onsite erection tolerances

(Wuni, Shen and Hwang, 2020). Accurately specifying allowable tolerances, suitable recess at the

interfaces for easing after-installation touch-up and adopting semi-precast slab in the MiC modules

to allow greater flexibility and tolerance during the installation process helps to avoid the need for

additional touch-up works in terms of geometric variabilities (Hong Kong Housing Authority,

2021).

Another widely cited onsite assembly risk is the complex interfacing between modules (Abdul

Nabi and El-adaway, 2021; Wuni, Shen, Osei-Kyei, et al., 2020). The complexity presents

engineering challenges during the installation and grouting processes. A closely related

detrimental risk event module installation errors (Lee and Kim, 2017; Li, Shen, et al., 2017).

Prohibitive costs of rectification and reworks are usually incurred to address a wrongly installed

module (Shahtaheri et al., 2017). Mechanical malfunction of tower cranes can significantly reduce

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onsite assembly productivity and extends the schedule of MiC projects (Li et al., 2016). It can also

completely halt the installation process if no contingency crane was arranged. The literature also

recognized the negative impact of weather disruptions during onsite installation (Gibb and Neale,

1997). For high-rise buildings, weather events such as tropical cycles and strong winds from

typhoons can significantly disrupt module installation on site.

2.6.6 Supply chain risks

There are copious uncertainties and events that can occur throughout the supply chain of MiC

projects. As indicated earlier, risk events reinforce each other in MiC projects due to the

interdependencies of the supply chain segments. A significant risk is associated with supply chain

disruptions (Wuni et al., 2019). With rare exceptions, MiC supply chains lack resilience and can

be significantly disrupted. For instance, factory production system failure and module delivery

delays to site can halt onsite installation and significantly extend the program when there is no

safety stock. Similarly, mobile and tower crane breakdown and malfunctions can halt onsite

installation activities. Supply chain disruptions are sources of critical risks because several

disturbances can occur in the supply chain and usually triggered by latent factors which cannot be

precisely anticipated (Wang et al., 2018). Supply chain disruptions have usually required

adjustment to original schedule and production plans, with by-products and bullwhip effects such

as operational chaos, extended durations, and increased supply chain costs. Consequently, a

resilient and flexible MiC supply chain is required to cope with the multiple disturbances that can

occur contemporaneously to disrupt the supply chain (Hsu et al., 2019).

Another significant supply chain risk is linked to stakeholder fragmentation and poor information

sharing among project partners (Luo et al., 2019). The MiC method introduces additional

stakeholders (e.g., production engineers) into the project delivery chain. The increased diversity

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and occupational orientation of the project participants generates additional layers of stakeholder

management complexity. These stakeholders are required to collaborate and share relevant

information throughout the dynamic supply chains to effectively implement MiC projects. As the

various stakeholders have unique goals and value systems, failure to collaborate and reconcile the

differing interests with the project objectives could result in ephemeral coalition of project

participants at different stages of the supply chain, which could be detrimental to the success of

the MiC project. For instance, limited collaboration and information sharing between designers

and manufacturers results in the ‘over-the-wall’ syndrome where relevant design information is

not shared between these two complimentary and interdependent project participants (Boothroyd,

1994). Limited collaboration between designers, logistics companies and highway teams could

result in incongruence of modules to transport sizes and weights restrictions. Even though

collaboration and information sharing are extremely important, fewer procurement systems and

project delivery methods that support these crucial practices (Fox et al., 2001). Hence, less

collaborative procurement systems and project delivery methods constitute sources of significant

risks in MiC projects (Abdul Nabi and El-adaway, 2021; Yang et al., 2021). It eliminates the

opportunities for proactive resolutions of delivery challenges and constraints to MiC projects.

Another significant risk is incomplete local MiC supply chain (Wuni et al., 2019). In most

economies, including Hong Kong, the MiC supply chain is incomplete because of limited technical

capacity to deliver and meet the requirements of some stages of the supply chain. For instance,

space constraints for fabrication yards and limited capacity of local fabricators render the MiC

supply chain in Hong Kong incomplete (Construction Industry Council, 2017). As such, Hong

Kong relies heavily on overseas fabricators to meet demand for modules in MiC projects. These

constitutes sources of risks because the cross-border production and transportation of modules

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generate additional logistics costs, layers of complexities in workflow control, and uncertainties

in reliable supply of modules (Pan and Hon, 2018). Consequently, limited capacity of

manufacturers and suppliers, inadequate supervision of overseas factory works, and poor workflow

control constitute significant sources of risks in MiC projects (Wuni et al., 2019). Additionally,

contractual disputes and inadequate project funding also have negative implications on the

performance of MiC projects (Abdul Nabi and El-adaway, 2021; Yang et al., 2021).

2.6.7 Appraisal of the literature

The preceding review reveals that previous studies have recognized and documented risks

influencing the costs of various modern construction methods from 2013 to 2021. The risk events

have been investigated in developing and developed economies, including the United States,

Canada, China, Australia, Korea, and the United Kingdom using interviews, questionnaires, and

case studies. However, none specifically addressed the risks influencing the costs of residential

MiC projects. Additionally, the risk events are scattered across the literature, depriving relevant

stakeholders of a holistic perspective of the risks in MiC projects. Thus, it is imperative to develop

a bespoke risk management framework enabling project teams to assess, prioritize, mitigate, and

control critical risks in residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

2.7 Critical Success Factors for MiC Projects

A dedicated systematic literature review was conducted to identify CSFs relevant to residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. Using the keywords in Table 3.1, the study retrieved 45 documents

from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar in August 2021. A thorough screening revealed

fifteen articles addressing success factors for residential MiC projects. Table 2.3 summarizes the

relevant success factors extracted from the literature. From the perspective relevant to managing

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MiC projects, the most prominent studies suggest that the CSFs are closely interrelated, and at

times overlapping and can be grouped into five major components: competency, suitable project

characteristics, early commitment, enabling environment, and supply chain management. Figure

2.3 shows a conceptual structure of the CSFs for MiC projects. The major components of the CSFs

are described as follows.

Table 2.3: List of potential CSFs for residential MiC projects


ID Success factor Sources
A B C D E F G H I J K L
1 Adequate knowledge and experience of X X X X X X X X
the project team
2 Early understanding and commitment X X X X
of the client
3 Effective leadership and support of a X X X
specialist contractor
4 Collaborative working and information X X X X X
sharing among project teams
5 Early design completion and freezing X X X X X X
6 Suitable site characteristics and layout X X
7 Suitability of design for MiC X X X
8 Extensive upfront planning for MiC X X X X
9 Collaborative procurement system, X X X
contracting strategy and integrated
project delivery
10 Seamless supply chain coordination X X X
and integration
11 Early and active involvement of critical X X X X X X
project stakeholders
12 Effective coordination and integration X X X
of stakeholders
13 Availability of sound transport X X X X X X
infrastructure and network
14 Effective coordination of onsite and X X X X
offsite work packages
15 Using suitable structural system and X X X X
construction material
16 Effective use of building information X X X X
modeling
17 Effective management of critical X X
tolerances between interfaces

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18 Early engagement of certification body X X
for factory inspection
19 Inventory management and control X X X X
20 Use of just-in-time delivery
arrangement
21 Effective use of document management
system
22 Use of hedging strategies and transport X X X
delay avoidance
23 Adequate lead time for the bespoke X X X X X X X
processes of MiC
24 Standardization of modules and X X X X X
economies of scale
25 Adequate funding and resources X X X X X
26 Fabricator capacity, capabilities, and X X X X X
experience in modules design and
production
27 A structured risk management X X X X X
A = Gibb and Isack (2001); B = Gibb and Isack (2003); C = Song et al. (2005); D = Blismas (2007); E
= Blismas and Wakefield (2009); F = Pan et al. (2012); G = O’Connor et al. (2014); H = Choi et al.
(2016); I = Li, Li, et al. (2018); J = Hwang et al. (2018b); K = Wuni and Shen (2020c); L = Wuni, Shen
and Osei-Kyei (2020)

2.7.1 Competency

The MiC method reinvents the competencies required of the project manager, the project team

members, and organizations in building and construction projects (Fraser et al., 2015). Thus,

organizational readiness and relevant knowledge and experience of the project team are required

to realize planned objectives and expectations of stakeholders in MiC projects. The literature has

documented the individual and institutional competencies required at various levels of the MiC

project delivery chain from the design to the use of advanced and precise modular production

technology through to the use of powerful cranes for systematic assembly the modules on site

(Wuni and Shen, 2020d). For instance, the MiC project construction manager must have

knowledge of the sources of value to the client, conditions favouring MiC adoption, the stage in

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which the technology must be considered, and how best to coordinate the various processes in the

MiC project delivery (Fraser et al., 2015; Rentschler et al., 2016; Triumph Modular Corporation,

2019).

Competency Early commitment


• Adequate and experience of the
• Early understanding and commitment
project team
of the client
• Effective leadership of a specialist
• Early design completion and freezing
contractor
• Extensive upfront planning for MiC
• Adequate fabricator capacity,
• Early and active involvement of
capabilities, and experience in module
critical project stakeholders
design and production

Suitable project characteristics


• Suitable site characteristics and layout
CSFs for MiC • Suitability of the design for MiC
projects • Availability of sound transport
Supply chain management infrastructure and network
• Using suitable structural system and
construction materials
• Seamless supply chain
• Adequate lead time for the bespoke
coordination and integration
processes of MiC
• Effective coordination of onsite and
• Standardization of modules and
offsite work packages
economies of scale
• Effective use of building
information modelling
• Effective management of critical
tolerances between interfaces
• Early engagement of certification Enabling environment
body for factory inspection • Collaborative working and
• Inventory management and control information sharing among project
• Using just-in-time delivery teams
arrangement • Collaborative procurement system,
• Effective use of document contracting strategy, and integrated
management system project delivery
• Using hedging strategies and • Effective coordination and integration
transport delay avoidance of stakeholders
• A structured risk management • Adequate funding and resources

Figure 2.4: Conceptual structure of the CSFs for MiC projects

The design team of a successful MiC project requires competencies in dimensional tolerance risk

management and the principles of design for manufacture, transportation, and assembly (Modular

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Building Institute, 2017). Given the possibility of later reconsideration of an initially rejected MiC

project design, the design team also requires technical competencies and experience to generate

design solutions which do not preclude a later incorporation of MiC into a traditional project

(Blismas, 2007).

The module production engineers (i.e., fabricators) require competencies and capabilities in design

for manufacture and assembly, production engineering, value engineering, process efficiency, and

geometric tolerance management to adequate cope with the greater level of sophistication of the

module production system and potential associated disruptions (Fraser et al., 2015; Wuni and

Shen, 2020b). Choi et al. (2016) and Blismas (2007) underscored the importance of forming the

project management team and providing effective training to building the capacities required to

effectively manage the interfaces between the onsite and offsite work packages associated MiC

projects. Thus, the MiC project management and supervising team requires technical competencies

in DfMA, supply chain management, stakeholder management, multiple system coordination,

production engineering, value management, process efficiency, and workflow control (Fraser et

al., 2015). Also, the onsite management and installation team require competencies and

capabilities in handing materials, large building service modules, modules assembly, logistics,

schedule management, material and equipment planning and safe working with heavy modules.

Consequently, organizational competencies such as effective control of onsite and offsite work

packages, extensive upfront planning for the MiC method, effective leadership of a specialist

contractor, risk management, and resolution of dysfunctional conflicts are recognized as relevant

CSFs for MiC projects (Blismas, 2007; Choi et al., 2016; Wuni and Shen, 2020b).

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2.7.2 Suitable project characteristics

The MiC method is not always the appropriate choice for various building and construction

projects (Development Bureau, 2020; Hwang et al., 2018b; Wuni and Shen, 2019). A competent

project team cannot successfully implement building and construction projects that are unsuitable

for the MiC projects. The literature has recognized suitable characteristics that make the MiC

method suitable in residential building projects, including suitable site and layout, suitable design,

adequate lead time for the bespoke processes of MiC, standardization of modules and economies

of scale, adequate funding and resources, and fabricator capacity and capabilities in modules

design and production (Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway, 2020; Hwang et al., 2018b; Wuni and Shen,

2019). According to the Hong Kong Housing Authority (2021), building and construction project

sites with sufficient transportation network, minimal local traffic, simple terrain, and availability

of storage area nearby are suitable for the MiC method in Hong Kong. Hence, suitable site

characteristics and layout constitute success factors for MiC projects (Blismas, 2007).

Additionally, the MiC method is also suitable for building types which are repetitive in nature such

as residential projects and hotels (Li, 2020). The repetitions offer opportunities for module

standardization, mass production, and economies of scale that generates significant cost savings.

Thus, a suitable design for MiC projects is one with repetition in design elements and facilitating

factory production and onsite assembly of modules based on the design (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021).

Another success factor is providing adequate lead time for detailed design, development of precise

working drawings, and factory production of modules within the program (Choi et al., 2016;

O’Connor et al., 2014). The sufficient lead time facilitates the incorporation of factory input into

design and enabling contractors, subcontractors, and manufacturers to provide design assistance

in MiC projects. Also, there is tight demand for cash flow during the MiC project delivery process.

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Thus, successful MiC projects have adequate funding and resources for the required extensive

onsite and offsite work packages (Blismas, 2007). The literature revealed that proactively

identifying, resolving, and internalizing factory production and onsite installation constraints in

the detailed design evades several expensive downstream challenges and reworks (Wuni, Wu, et

al., 2021). Fabricators have also been overwhelmed by the demand for modules onsite to meet the

speed and tighter schedules of MiC projects (Blismas, 2007). Thus, a successful MiC project

engages a fabricator or supplier with adequate capacity and capabilities in modules design and

production.

2.7.3 Early commitment

The MiC method reinvents how building and construction projects are planned, designed,

managed, and constructed (Wuni and Shen, 2020a). Thus, it is required to integrate the MiC

method from the earlier outset of the project conceptualization through to design, offsite

manufacture, and onsite installation. Though progress in adaptable design solutions in offsite

architecture facilitates the adaptation of site-built designs to modular design solutions where

required (Modular Building Institute, 2017), there is consensus in the literature that early

commitment to the MiC in a project constitutes the best strategy to achieve the comprehensive

benefits of the technology (Blismas, 2007; Wuni and Shen, 2020b). (Blismas et al., 2005)

emphasized the importance of client receptivity, seeking early professional advice on the

suitability of the MiC method and early commitment to the technology in a project. The literature

has recognized relevant strategies and conditions for the early commitment, including early

understanding and commitment of the client, extensive upfront planning for MiC, early and active

involvement of critical project stakeholders, and early design completion and freezing (Blismas

and Wakefield, 2009; Li, Li, et al., 2018; O’Connor et al., 2014).

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A crucial CSFs is early understanding and commitment of the client. It is essential for the client

or owner to understand the bespoke requirements of the MiC method in a project, including the

speedy construction process, tight demand for cashflow, need for collaboration, and the restrictive

nature of transport regulations on the design of the MiC modules (Li, 2020). When the clients and

owners understand the profound benefits of the MiC method, they are better motivated and

prepared to commit to the technology at the outset of the project and arrange the required resources,

funding, and collaboration between relevant project participants to achieve planned objectives

(Blismas and Wakefield, 2009). The early commitment must be followed by extensive upfront

planning to integrate the MiC method in the project (Li, Li, et al., 2018). Though an excellent

front-end planning is rare in traditional construction projects, an extensive front-end planning

enables the MiC project team to establish a strong, early link between the needs of the client or

business, project strategy, scope, cost, and schedule and sustaining that link unbroken throughout

the project delivery chain. It usually generates the necessary information fed into the design

(Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019) and guides the definition of critical tolerances between modules,

specification of suitable structural system and construction material (Blismas, 2007), selection of

suitable procurement system and contracting strategy, alignment of MiC project drivers,

constitution of the project team, and precise definition of MiC project engineering scope and

limitations (O’Connor et al., 2014).

It is also crucial for early and active involvement of critical project stakeholders. For instance,

manufacturers, suppliers, contractors, and clients need to work with the design team to improve

the buildability and constructability of the detailed design and working drawing (Fraser et al.,

2015). Usually, the production engineers, suppliers, and assembly subcontractors better understand

the factory production challenges and onsite assembly constraints. Thus, incorporating their inputs

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into the design can significantly improve the quality of the design information and detailed

working drawings before the production team manufacture the modules (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021).

Also, early design completion and freezing is arguably one of the most important CSFs for MiC

projects. The MiC modules are usually made-to-order. Hence, early design freeze facilitates a

timely production of the modules in adhering to the tighter schedules and achieving the chief

benefit of shortened construction time (Gibb and Isack, 2003).

2.7.4 Enabling environment

According to Khang and Moe (2008), a project environment describes its connection to external

conditions and project business partners, including client, contractor, manufacturers, suppliers, and

regulatory bodies. An enabling environment offers suitable support from key stakeholders,

motivation to project team members, adequate resources, and creates favourable conditions from

management and compatible rules and regulations. In MiC projects, an enabling environment

facilitates collaboration, communication, and information sharing to achieve project objectives.

Collaborative working and information sharing enables various project team members situated at

different supply chain stages to be abreast of key decisions, activities, and workflows throughout

the delivery of MiC projects. It prevents dysfunctional conflicts, facilitates a more streamlined

project delivery process, and encourages proactive problem-solving through knowledge sharing

between downstream and upstream project participants.

Motivating the project team to be enthusiastic to perform and dedicate to the core goals of the

project are preconditions for success in MiC projects (Luo, Jin, et al., 2020; Wuni and Shen,

2020b). Such motivation commences with a clear understanding of the goals, objectives, and

mission of the MiC project along with the commitment of team to the success of the project.

Blismas (2007) emphasized the importance of clear terms of references for the project and

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assignment of responsibilities to encourage commitment and dedication of the project team

members. An enabling environment usually integrates an effective monitoring and control system

to reinforce the motivation of the project team. Given the multiplicity and diversity of stakeholders

in MiC project where the relationship between the project team and other stakeholders can be

complex, communication, trust, and compatibility of the interests of the individuals with those of

the project must be established in the enabling environment. Thus, it is crucial to coordinate,

integrate, and reconcile the varied interests and value systems of the disparate stakeholders with

those of project goals and mission to avoid dysfunctional conflicts (Blismas, 2007).

The literature have identified CSFs linked to the enabling environment, including collaborative

working and information sharing among project teams, collaborative procurement system,

contracting strategy and integrated project delivery, and adequate funding and resources (Blismas,

2007; Choi et al., 2016; Wuni and Shen, 2020b). Good working relationship and information

sharing between project teams create trust and can improve commitment to the project objectives

(Li, Li, et al., 2018). The literature has identified collaborative procurement system, contracting

strategy, and integrated project delivery as strategies for promoting collaboration and information

sharing among members of the MiC project team (Blismas, 2007). For instance, the design-build

delivery method that assigns the design, manufacture, transportation, and assembly of module

responsibilities to a single contractor or builder encourage repetitive project teams, collaboration

and information sharing between project teams, and multiple system coordination meetings to

revie plans and drawings at multiple stages in the MiC project delivery process. Irrespective of the

team structure or contracting strategy, the design-build team understands that the installing

construction manager controls, facilitates, and coordinates work packages throughout the delivery

chain of MiC projects. Such understanding promotes team working and commitment to the goals

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of the project. It is also essential to provide adequate funding and resources to pay the wages and

salaries of project team members as a form of motivation to dedicate and commit to the project.

2.7.5 Supply chain management

Multiple workflows, activities, and work packages are executed from the design to factory

production, and onsite assembly of modules. As the various stages are interdependent, disruptions

in upstream chains can be propagated throughout the supply chain to interrupt the continuity of

downstream activities and negatively affect the fundamental of the projects. The literature have

recognized the need to extensively coordinate and manage supply chain of MiC project the project

delivery to maintain a smooth flow of activities, resources, and services, from the procurement of

raw materials to the onsite assembly of modules and handing over of project to client (Hwang et

al., 2018a). Effective supply chain management (SCM) starts at the planning and design stages of

MiC. Extensive upfront planning for the MiC method is crucial in identifying the relevant raw

materials to be procured, construction materials and structural systems to be selected, and activities

required at various stages of the MiC supply chain (Choi et al., 2016; O’Connor et al., 2014). A

specialist contractor and MiC project planner can facilitate effective supply chain planning.

Another relevant strategy is designing the project for SCM (Lee and Sasser, 1995). Designers have

a significant role in optimizing the fit between supply chain capabilities and MiC project design.

Explicit consideration of supply chain constraints, logistics costs, transport infrastructure

limitations, and inventory requirements in the MiC project design can enable the project team to

effectively use the relevant supply chain capabilities to ensure seamless coordination and

integration of the various chains. Also, effective coordination of onsite and offsite work packages

are necessary conditions for effective SCM in MiC projects (Luo, Jin, et al., 2020; Wuni and Shen,

2020b). An essential component of coordination includes early engagement of certification body

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for inspection of (overseas) factory works to ensure a strict adherence local building regulations,

quality controls, and quality assurance (Blismas, 2007; Building and Construction Authority,

2017). Effective inventory management and document management system are useful in tracking

resources and workflows to avoid misplacement and chaos throughout the delivery process. The

literature also demonstrated that just-in-time delivery arrangement can save storage costs and

support timely completion of the MiC project (Blismas, 2007). Where storage space is available,

hedging strategies and maintaining safety stocks can protect the continuity of the project during

disruptions of the factory production system (Zhai et al., 2018). Considering that various stages of

the delivery chain are sources of disruptions, uncertainties, and failure, a structured risk

management is considered a CSF in MiC projects (Choi et al., 2016). The literature has also

recognized the role of effective use of building information modeling for improving visibility,

traceability, monitoring, and proactive risk management throughout the supply chain of MiC

projects (Li, Zhong, et al., 2017).

2.7.6 Appraisal of the literature

The foregoing review demonstrated that there is considerable documentation of success factors for

various modern construction methods in developing and developed countries from 2001 to 2020.

However, none of the studies established CSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, where

the MiC method is actively promoted. Such bespoke evaluation is extremely important because

the CSFs are sensitive project types and contexts. Thus, the result obtained for industrial modular

construction projects or even MiC projects in Canada may not always be applicable to residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. To this end, existing knowledge is inadequate to guide project teams

to successfully implement residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Thus, it is imperative to identify

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and assess the CSFs that have significant influence of outcomes of residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong.

2.8 Key Performance Indicators for MiC Projects

It is crucial to measure the performance of MiC projects to facilitate better management,

experiential learning, diagnostics, benchmarking, and continuous improvement (Neely et al.,

1995). MiC projects with measured outcomes are better managed than those without performance

measurement (Beatham et al., 2004). MiC project performance measurement involves quantifying

the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in high-rise residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong (Neely et al., 1995). It aims at quantifying the extent to which the MiC method meet delivers

projects that satisfies the requirements of clients with greater efficiency and effectiveness than the

site-based methods. Typically, the metrics used to quantify its effectiveness and efficiency are

considered performance measures or key performance indicators (KPIs). Thus, a performance

measurement system embodies a set of KPIS for quantifying the effectiveness and efficiency of

the MiC method in a project.

Unlike MiC projects, the KPIs for site-built construction projects are profusely documented in the

literature. However, due to the significant differences between the two construction methods, the

performance measures for MiC projects vary significantly from site-built projects. Therefore, this

study conducted a systematic literature review to extract KPIs relevant to residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong. Using the keywords in Table 3.1, the study retrieved fifteen documents from

Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar in August 2021. The study also retrieved three

relevant industry reports that established KPIs for various modern construction methods (Horner

et al., 2019; Pan et al., 2020; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). A thorough screening revealed

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ten documents addressing KPIs for residential MiC projects. Table 2.5 summarizes the relevant

KPIs for MiC projects extracted from the literature.

Table 2.4: Relevant key performance indicators and metrics for MiC projects
ID KPI Selected Metrics
1 Cost Cost performance index
Unit cost (HK$/m2)
Cost ratio (%)
Cost variance (%)
Cost certainty (%)
Profitability (%)
2 Time Time (schedule) performance index
Total construction/programme time (m2/week or month)
Time variance (%)
Floor cycle (day)
Construction speed (m2/day)
Time ratio
Programme certainty (%)
3 Premanufactured value Cost-based MiC PMV
Material-based MiC PMV
4 Quality Defect frequency (No./m2)
Cost of rework (% or HK$/m2)
Rework cost ratio
Project quality quotient
Air permeability (m3/h/m2 at 50 Pa)
5 Productivity Labour productivity (m2/man-hour)
Material productivity (m2/HK$)
Machinery productivity (m2/HK$)
Multi-factor productivity (m2/HK$)
Onsite productivity (HK$/person-hour)
6 Health and safety Accident frequency (rate),
Accident type
Accident severity
Precautions
7 Predictability Time predictability – change in completion date
Time predictability – average percentage overrun
Cost predictability – average percentage overrun
Safety, productivity, quality, and material waste predictability
8 Flexibility Modularity or Mix flexibility
Changeover flexibility
Modification flexibility
Rerouting flexibility
Volume flexibility
Material flexibility
Functional flexibility
Adaptability
Deconstructability
Circularity
9 Material waste Waste disposed (kg/m2)

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Waste reused and recycled (kg/m2)
10 Resource consumption Electricity (HK$/m2)
Water use (HK$/m2)
11 Environmental footprint Waste generated (Tonnes/100m2 or m3/HK$100k construction value)
Embodied carbon (Tonnes CO2e/100m2)
Construction energy use (kWh/100m2 or HK$100k construction value)
Construction water use (m3/100m2 or HK$100k construction value)
Water pollution (HK$/m2)
Noise pollution (dB)
Air pollution
12 Local disruption Noise (dB or %hours)
Vehicle movements (Number of HGV movements per HK$100k
construction value or per m2)
Air quality (µg/m3)
Loss of revenue
Loss of amenity
13 Community impact Vehicle movements (No./m2)
Community’s satisfaction
Regional economic uplift
Investment in local community
14 Industry impact Project team and stakeholders’ satisfaction
Innovation and technology
Repeatability and standardization
Scalability to portfolio of projects
Supply chain partnerships and procurement
Workforce skills and training

2.8.1 Cost performance

Cost performance describes the extent to which general conditions promote the completion of a

project within the estimated budget (Chan and Chan, 2004). Cost describes expenditures and

expenses associated with the development, management, operation, and demolition of building

and construction projects. Thus, there are several forms of MiC costs such as initial capital costs,

construction costs and lifecycle costs (Horner et al., 2019; Project Management Institute, 2017).

Although lifecycle costs represent the most robust dimension to compare the costs of two

construction methods, the limited economic lives of completed of MiC projects does not provide

reliable data of the associated lifecycle costs for meaningful comparison. While the importance of

lifecycle costs has been recognized, cost in this study represents construction cost of a residential

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MiC project since a major aim of cost performance measurement is to compare the construction

costs of site built residential projects and residential MiC projects.

According to the Project Management Institute (2017), construction costs represents an aggregate

of all the costs required to complete project work and contingency amounts to account for

identified risks, and management reserve to cover unplanned work. Following the

recommendations of (Horner et al., 2019), costs in the performance measurement system refers to

the construction cost of building works costs and excludes the costs of foundations, which is

considered to be the same for site-built approach and the MiC method. However, the costs includes

the costs of prelims which may vary between site-built approach and the MiC method. The costs

of solutions using the MiC method also includes the costs of investment in the necessary facilities,

design of bespoke solutions, manufacturing, logistics, and assembly.

There are several metrics for measuring cost performance of MiC projects. These metrics include

construction cost (HK$/m2), cost performance index, unit cost (HK$/m2), cost ratio (%), cost

variance (%), average construction cost/m2 (Gross internal floor area, GIFA), construction

cost/bedroom, average construction cost/plot, construction cost/item or element, change in cost of

construction, cost of rectifying defects, main contractor prelims (%), prelim cost/capital cost, cost

growth (%), phase cost ratio, risk (contingencies) (%), financing cost (%), cost certainty (%),

design cost (HK$/m2), design change cost (HK$/m2), tendering cost (HK$), construction process

costs, litigation costs, procurement costs, and lifecycle cost (HK$/m2/annum) (Horner et al., 2019;

Project Management Institute, 2017).

The principal objective of the performance measurement in this study is to promote continuous

improvement (Beatham et al., 2004; Neely et al., 1995). Thus, five metrics were considered

adequate: cost performance index, unit cost, cost ratio, cost variance, cost certainty and

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profitability. Based on precedents (Horner et al., 2019; Leon et al., 2018; Project Management

Institute, 2017), the measurement methods for these metrics are as follows.

Earned Value (EV)


Cost performance index (CPI) = (Eqn. 2.1)
Actual Cost (AC)

Cost of work (Final contract sum)


Unit cost (UC) = (Eqn. 2.2)
Total CFA or MFA

Cost of work
Cost ratio (CR) = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.3)
Total Cost of Construction Work

Actual cost of work−Planned cost of work


Cost variance (CV) = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.4)
Planned cost of work

Actual cost of work−Planned cost of work at contract award


Cost certainty (CC) = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.5)
Planned cost of work

Revenue − Overhead−Materials −Payroll− Other Expenses


Profitability = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.6)
Revenue

where CFA denotes construction floor area; MFA represents modularised floor area for measuring

the performance of module-related works; Earned Value (EV) denotes the budgeted cost for work

performed; and Actual Cost (AC) represents the actual cost for work performed on an activity

during a specific period (Project Management Institute, 2017). The CPI is a measure of the cost

efficiency of budgeted resources (Leon et al., 2018; Project Management Institute, 2017). The CPI

is considered the most critical EV analysis metric and measures the cost efficiency for the work

completed. A CPI value less than 1.0 indicates a cost overrun for work completed whereas a CPI

value greater than 1.0 indicates a cost underrun of the estimates to date.

2.8.2 Time (schedule) performance

Construction of MiC projects are usually scheduled to enable the building to be occupied in a

certain date determined based on the plans of the client (Chan and Chan, 2004). Thus, the time

required to complete MiC projects is concern for project teams and stakeholders. Construction

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time describes the duration taken to complete the MiC project. It constitutes a measure of

effectiveness in the performance of MiC projects. According to Neely et al. (1995), effectiveness

describes how well the MiC project was implemented or the extent to which targets of time and

cost were met from the start-up phase to full production. There are several metrics for measuring

the time performance of MiC projects. These include overall construction time or total programme

(m2/week) , time (schedule) performance index, construction (or delivery) speed, time ratio, time

variance, floor cycle, time/output of physical units, time per plot, time/m2, change in construction

time, project schedule variation (%), schedule growth (%), and project schedule factor, time on

site (m2/week), programme certainty (%), pre-construction time (m2/week), design time

(m2/week), and weather-related delays (%) (Horner et al., 2019; Project Management Institute,

2017; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

As the principal objective of the performance measurement in this study is to promote continuous

improvement (Beatham et al., 2004; Neely et al., 1995), seven metrics were considered adequate:

overall construction time/total programme, time (schedule) performance index, construction (or

delivery) speed, time ratio, time variance, floor cycle, and programme certainty (Horner et al.,

2019; Project Management Institute, 2017; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Based on precedents

(Horner et al., 2019; Leon et al., 2018; Project Management Institute, 2017), the measurement

methods for these metrics are as follows.

Earned Value (EV)


Time performance index (TPI) = (Eqn. 2.7)
Planned Value (PV)

Gross Floor Area (m2 )


Construction (Delivery) Speed = (Eqn. 2.8)
Construction Time (days/weeks)

Actual Construction time −Planned Construction Time


Time Variance = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.9)
Planned Construction Time

Actual time spent on site −Predicted time on site


Programme Certainty = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.10)
Predicted time on site

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Total Assembly Time
Floor Cycle = (Eqn. 2.11)
Total Number of Floors

Time for work


Time Ratio = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.12)
Total Construction Time

where EV denotes the actual construction time (i.e., a measure of work performed expressed in

terms of the time scheduled for that scope of work) and PV represents the planned construction

time (i.e., a measure of authorized duration assigned to scheduled work). The TPI is a measure of

time (schedule) efficiency used to assess how well the project adheres to the planned schedule over

a certain period (Leon et al., 2018; Project Management Institute, 2017). It measures how

efficiently the project team is accomplishing the work. It is sometimes used in conjunction with

the CPI to forecast the final project completion estimates. An TPI value less than 1.0 indicates less

work was completed than planned. An TPI greater than 1.0 indicates that more work was

completed than was planned. also needs to be analysed to determine whether the project will finish

ahead of or behind its planned finished date.

2.8.3 Pre-manufactured value

The MiC method is not a mutually exclusive technique to the site-built approach to building

construction. Varying levels and degrees of MiC are integrated with onsite traditional work

packages in the construction building projects (Bertram et al., 2019). The extent of MiC

implemented in a project influences the quantum of benefits associated with the approach (van

Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). The pre-manufactured value (PMV) measures the extent to the MiC

method (offsite production) implemented in a project. Similar to the industrialized building system

(IBS) score in Malaysia (Construction Industry Development Board, 2018), the PMV is a key

project descriptor and a tool for measuring and quantifying the extent of MiC implemented in a

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project (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). The PMV provides a framework for ascertaining the

value-added benefits of using MiC in a project and allows for identification of the key aspects of

a project where it delivers the best value. The methods for assessing PMV varies across different

countries. In Malaysia, the PMV is a percentage indicator of the extent of IBS in a project based

on three parts – structural systems (e.g. precast concrete beams and columns), wall systems (e.g.

precast concrete panel), and other simplified construction solutions (e.g. prefabricated toilets)

(Construction Industry Development Board, 2018). Similarly, in China, the PMV is computed as

a percentage by volume of precast components in a project (Mao et al., 2016). In the UK, the two

methods for computing the PMV include: (i) gross capital cost of the project less site overhead

costs and site labour costs divided by the gross capital costs, expressed as a percentage; and (ii)

material plus offsite labour divided by materials plus offsite and onsite labour, expressed as a

percentage (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Effectively, the PMV is dominantly computed

based on cost or quantity of materials manufactured offsite. However, the accuracy of these

quantitative assessments depends on the availability, granularity, and reliability of the data

required to compute the PMV. In the absence of quantitative data, the PMV can be qualitatively

assessed using grades such as ‘high’, ‘moderate’, or ‘low’ depending on the type and level of MiC

applied. Thus, the PMV can always be assessed prior to quantifying the benefits of MiC in a

project. Based on van Vuuren and Middleton (2020), the PMV of MiC projects can be measured

as follows.

Gross Capital Cost−(Prelims or Site Overhead Costs+Site Labour Costs)


PMV = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.13)
Gross Capital Cost

Materials + Offsite Labour


PMV = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.14)
Materials+Offsite Labour+Onsite Labour

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2.8.4 Quality performance

There is no universal definition of construction quality since different stakeholders have unique

standards and criteria for measuring it. According to Neely et al. (1995), construction quality refers

to the degree to which the design, construction, and completed MiC project conforms to technical

and functional specifications of the client. Construction quality has also been defined as the as the

totality of features required by the MiC project to satisfy client needs and fitness for purpose (Chan

and Chan, 2004). van Vuuren and Middleton (2020) considered construction quality as a condition

where the design and construction of the MiC project generates fewer errors, reworks, and defects;

conforms to technical and functional specifications; and meets long-term expectations such as such

as durability, maintenance requirements and client satisfaction. This study defines quality as the

degree to which the MiC project conforms to building regulations, functional and technical

specifications, and meets client and/or occupant requirements. There are several metrics for

measuring the quality performance of MiC projects. These include defects, defect frequency,

defect type, defect severity, cost of rework (%), reliability, field rework index, yield, quality rating,

rework cost ratio, number of reportable items, number and type of items that did not pass visual

inspection, emergent defects (number per HK$100k construction cost), energy efficiency

(kWh/m2/annum), air permeability (m3/h/m2 at 50 Pa), user satisfaction, and maintenance

requirements (Horner et al., 2019; Project Management Institute, 2017; van Vuuren and

Middleton, 2020).

Two relevant quality measures rarely considered in construction performance measurement are the

true cost of quality (Neely et al., 1995) and project quality quotient (Mossman and Ramalingam,

2021). True cost of quality is a linear function of prevention costs, appraisal costs, and failure costs

(Neely et al., 1995). Prevention costs includes costs expended to prevent discrepancies, such as

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the costs of quality planning, supplier quality surveys, and training programmes. Appraisal costs

are those costs incurred in the assessment of the quality of design and construction, and in the

detection of discrepancies, such as the costs of inspection, test, and calibration control. Failure

costs include costs incurred due to actual discrepancies and comprises internal and external failure

costs. Internal failure costs are costs resulting from discrepancies identified before the delivery of

the project to the client, such as the costs of rework, scrap, and material review. External failure

costs encompasses costs emanating from discrepancies found after delivery of the project to the

client, such as the costs associated with the processing of client complaints, client returns, field

services, and warranties.

Due to data availability and accessibility constraints, four metrics were considered adequate: defect

frequency, cost of rework, rework cost ratio, and project quality quotient (PQQ). The measurement

methods for these four metrics are as follows.

Total Number of Defects during work


Defect freequency (No./m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.15)
Total CFA or MFA

Cost of defective work


Cost of Rework = (Eqn. 2.16)
Total CFA or MFA

Costs due to error


Rework cost ratio = (Eqn. 2.17)
Total construction cost

Total No.of Tasks 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐥𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞 𝐲𝐞𝐭 requiring rework


PPQ = ∗ 100% (Eqn. 2.18)
Total No.of Tasks declared complete

Where cost of defective work denotes the costs of modification and rectification works undertaken

up to practical completion. PPQ denotes project quality quotient, describing the number of rework

items identified after production crews have declared complete, expressed as a percentage of the

total number of tasks undertaken by that production crew (Mossman and Ramalingam, 2021).

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2.8.5 Productivity performance

Productivity is a measure of how well resources are combined and used to achieve specific,

desirable results (Neely et al., 1995). It is commonly defined as the ratio of output to input (Horner

et al., 2019). The complexity of measuring construction productivity is linked to the prevalence of

multiple ways of measuring the inputs and outputs. For instance, the inputs can be measured in

terms of labour (cost or hours), plant (cost or hours), and material (cost or quantity), and investment

cost, whereas the output can be measured in terms of m2 of formwork or value of work produced

(Horner et al., 2019). The output can be measured using more than one input, in the case of multi-

factor productivity. However, a major objective of the MiC method in Hong Kong is to improve

labour productivity (Construction Industry Council, 2019b), which is a single-factor productivity.

A combination of the inputs and outputs can generate several productivity metrics, such as labour

productivity, material productivity, machinery productivity, multi-factor productivity, gross value

added per number of jobs (or total hours worked or labour cost), value of work completed per total

hours worked (or labour cost), labour hours per plot, output of physical units per total hours paid

(or available hours worked or productive hours worked), delays, earned value per actual cost,

earned hours per actual hours, onsite labour required (person-hours/m2), offsite labour required

(person-hours/m2), trades and interfaces on site (people/m2 or HK$100k, and onsite construction

productivity (HK$/person-hour).

However, five of the metrics were considered relevant in the context of residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong. These include onsite construction productivity (HK$/person-hour), labour

productivity, material productivity, machinery productivity, and multi-factor productivity. The

measurement methods for these metrics are as follows (Horner et al., 2019; van Vuuren and

Middleton, 2020):

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Total CFA or MFA
Labour productivity (m2 /man − hour) = (Eqn. 2.19)
Man−hour input for work

Total CFA or MFA


Material productivity (m2 /HK$) = (Eqn. 2.20)
Total material cost input for work

Total CFA or MFA


Machinery productivity (m2 /HK$) = (Eqn. 2.21)
Total machinery cost input for work

Total CFA or MFA


Multifactor productivity (m2 /HK$) = (Eqn. 2.22)
Total cost of construction work

Construction cost (HK$)


Onsite productivity (HK$/person − hour) = (Eqn. 2.23)
onsite labour input (person−hours)

2.8.6 Health and safety performance

Construction is considered one of the most dangerous occupational trades. Thus, the construction

industry is infamous for the higher rates of accidents, incidents, injuries, and fatalities (Bureau of

Labor Statistics, 2017). Consequently, health and safety of construction workers has become a

major concern for stakeholders. Safety is considered a critical performance measure for MiC

projects (Kamali and Hewage, 2017; Wuni, Shen, et al., 2021). Health and safety performance

measure the extent to which the general conditions promote the completion of MiC projects

without major accidents or injuries (Chan and Chan, 2004). Unlike site-built projects, where safety

performance measurement focuses on the construction period (i.e., onsite), as most accidents occur

during this stage, MiC projects introduce the offsite component (i.e., factory stage) of safety

performance.

Safety performance measures of MiC projects include both leading and lagging metrics such as

accident frequency, accident type, accident severity, precautions, number of safety observations

(over a given period), percentage of negative randomly performed drug and alcohol tests, number

of times work has been stopped due to safety breaches, percentage of audited items in compliance,

percentage of tasks which are planned in advanced, percentage of orientation events attended by

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the owner’s project manager, incidence rates, frequency rates, severity rates, accident frequency

(AFR) rate (number of accidents per 100000 person-hours), and operative health and wellbeing

(Horner et al., 2019; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). This study considered four metrics

relevant to MiC projects in Hong Kong: accident frequency (rate), accident type (identification of

each accident, if any), accident severity (five-point scale for each accident), and precautions

(description of precautions, if any). Based on, accident rates in MiC projects can be measured as

follows (Chan and Chan, 2004).

Total no.of reportable accidents


Accident rate = (Eqn. 2.24)
Total no.of workers employed (Employment size), or man−hours worked

2.8.7 Predictability

Project teams and stakeholders usually fail to achieve planned objectives and suffer losses of

various forms when project outcomes (e.g., time, cost) deviate significantly from expectations

(Chan and Chan, 2004). Thus, predictability of project outcomes constitute a crucial performance

measure in MiC projects. Predictability describes the degree to which outcomes are consistent with

the baselines of the MiC project objectives (Horner et al., 2019). Predictability measures of MiC

projects include time predictability (change in completion date or average percentage overrun),

cost predictability (average percentage overrun), safety predictability, productivity predictability,

quality predictability, and material waste predictability. Time and cost predictability are

particularly, important in this study. Time predictability is expressed as a measure of how closely

the project was delivered to the original schedule, and cost predictability is expressed as a measure

of how well outturn costs compared with original budget. Cost and time predictability can be

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measured at any stage in the project realisation from design through whole life, and at any level,

from component or element to whole project level (Horner et al., 2019).

2.8.8 Flexibility

Flexibility measures the extent to which the MiC method and MiC projects can cope with changes

required during the construction process and functional operations, respectively (Neely et al.,

1995). According to Goyal and Netessine (2011), flexibility of a construction method describes

the degree to which it can deliver projects and respond to demand for projects. Flexibility

constitutes a measure of the efficiency with which processes and products of a construction method

can be changed (Neely et al., 1995). Thus, it has copious dimensions. Given the changing

requirements and needs of clients during the design, construction, and operations of construction

projects, flexibility of a construction method and its products are a concern for project teams and

stakeholders (Baldwin and Clark, 2006; Neely et al., 1995). Relevant metrics for measuring the

flexibility of a construction method include modularity or mix flexibility, product flexibility,

changeover flexibility, modification flexibility, rerouting flexibility, volume flexibility, material

flexibility, adaptability, or functional flexibility, deconstructability, and circularity (Baldwin and

Clark, 2000; Goyal and Netessine, 2011; Neely et al., 1995).

Modularity or mix flexibility measures the extent to which a construction method allows the

mixing and matching of various building components to generate diverse completed projects that

meets the requirements of various client needs (Baldwin and Clark, 2000). Modularity is usually

linked to design flexibility. A flexible design reduces redesign costs and allows a quicker response

to client needs with increased performance. Also, mix flexibility can be considered as the ability

of a construction method to handle a range of products or variants with fast setups (Neely et al.,

1995).

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Modification flexibility measures the number of design changes that can be made in a building

component per time period. Volume flexibility indicates the capacity and capability of the MiC

method to vary production outputs for a given product mix, within a given time period without any

unacceptable effect of project requirements (Oke, 2003). Product flexibility measures the degree

of responsiveness or adaptability of the MiC method for any future change in the design, including

reconfiguration and new functional uses derived from the completed project (Goyal and Netessine,

2011). The project flexibility can be defined as the ability of the MiC method to cope with the

growing project variety to ensure better construction performance (ibid). Deconstructability

measures the degree to which a construction method can support the whole or partial disassembly

of buildings to facilitate component reuse and material recycling after the design economic life of

a building. Similarly, circularity describes the extent to which the MiC method can support reuse

potential and end-of-life recyclability of building components.

2.8.9 Material waste

According to Horner et al. (2019), whatever does not add value to the client or stakeholders is

considered waste. Waste encompasses material waste and redundancies. Material waste describes

materials delivered to a site or factory but not used for the purchased purpose and consequently

discarded or intended (or required) to be discarded. This conceptualization of material waste is

appropriate since materials can be reused on site or factory for purposes other than the ones for

which it was originally purchased, potentially generating inefficiencies in the supply or

construction process, or project quality issues, or a combination of both.

There are several metrics for measuring material waste footprint in MiC projects, including waste

disposed (kg/m2), waste reused and recycled (kg/m2), volume of waste/100m2, weight of

waste/100m2, volume of waste/HK$100k, weight of waste/ HK$100k, percentage of segregated

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material waste, amount of material waste to landfill, amount of material diverted from landfill,

percentage waste, net waste, and tonnes/HK$m revenue (Horner et al., 2019; van Vuuren and

Middleton, 2020). However, two metrics were considered appropriate for measuring material

waste footprint of MiC projects in Hong Kong: waste disposed (kg/m2), and waste reused and

recycled (kg/m2). The measurement methods for these metrics are as follows.

Total quantities of waste disposed


Waste disposed (kg/m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.25)
Total CFA or MFA

Total quantities of waste reused and recycled


Waste reused and recycled (kg/m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.26)
Total CFA or MFA

2.8.10 Resource consumption

The construction sector contributes significantly to the widening global circularity gap due to the

dominance of take-make-dispose linear tradition of resources production and consumption in

construction activities (Circle Economy, 2021). Construction activities deplete a tremendous

amount of resources, with cascading implications on greenhouse gases and climate change. Thus,

resource consumption is recognized as a paramount performance measure in MiC projects (Pan et

al., 2020). The two major metrics for measuring resource consumption include electricity

consumption (HK$/m2) and water use (HK$/m2). The measurement methods for these metrics are

as follows.

Cost of electricity use


Electricity usage (HK$/m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.27)
Total CFA or MFA

Cost of water use


Water usage (HK$/m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.28)
Total CFA or MFA

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2.8.11 Environmental performance

Construction processes and products consume significant amount of energy, emit tremendous

greenhouse gases, and generate excessive pollutions (Cao et al., 2015; Monahan and Powell,

2011). Hence, construction projects generate significant environmental impact and footprint. The

existential threats of climate change and pressure to adopt sustainable construction practices have

rendered environmental impact a critical performance measure for MiC projects. It has been

demonstrated that the MiC method can reduce the negative environmental impact of construction

projects (Mao et al., 2013; Quale et al., 2012). Thus, it has become imperative to measure the

environmental performance of MiC projects using metrics such waste generated (tonnes/100m2 or

m3/HK$100k construction value), embodied carbon (tonnes CO2e/100m2), construction energy use

(kWh/100m2 or HK$100k construction value), construction water use (m3/100m2 or HK$100k

construction value), water pollution (HK$/m2), noise pollution (dB), air pollution, and

environmental performance index (Pan et al., 2020; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). The waste

generated includes all waste generated from the construction activities, including temporary

structures but excludes demolition and excavation waste. The embodied carbon can be quantified

using the methodology for calculating global warming potential as per the standards on

“sustainability of construction work” to conduct lifecycle assessment. The construction energy use

encompasses energy consumed during the construction process, including electricity, fuel, and gas.

The construction water use represents the mains water used during the construction process. The

noise pollution can be measured using average monitoring data of noise performance (dB). The

air pollution can also be measured using average monitoring data of air performance (Air Quality

Indicator). The measurement method for water pollution is as follows.


Water treatment cost
Water pollution (HK$/m2 ) = (Eqn. 2.29)
Total CFA or MFA

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The measurement method for environmental performance index of residential MiC projects is as

follows. Extending precedents (Leon et al., 2018), the environmental performance index (EPI) for

residential MiC projects can be computed based on eight indicators: (i) operational CO2 emissions,

(ii) embodied CO2 emissions, (iii) water footprint, (iv) material waste footprint, (v) air pollution,

(vi) noise pollution, (vii) biodiversity, and (viii) transport. The EPI is computed as a sum of the

earned rating for each environmental indicator based on measurement and the assigned priority

(Leon et al., 2018). Thus, the EPI can be computed as follows.

𝐸𝑃𝐼 = ∑8𝑗=1 (𝑊𝑗 ∗ 𝑁𝑗 ) (Eqn. 2.29)

Σ (Wj) = Wo + We + Ww + Wm + Wa + Wn + Wb + Wt = 1.0 (Eqn. 2.30)

Where, Wj = relative weight for the environmental performance indicator j; Wo = weight of the

operational CO2 emission indicator; We = weight of the embodied CO2 emission indicator; Ww =

weight of the water footprint indicator; Wm = weight of material waste footprint indicator; Wa =

weight of the air pollution indicator; Wn = weight of the noise pollution indicator; Wb = weight of

the biodiversity indicator; Wt = weight of the transport indicator; and Nj = normalized measure of

the environmental performance indicator j.

Considering that the eight indicators have varied statistical units, ranges or scales, the

normalization enables the indicators to be transformed into comparable for Eqns. 10.8 – 9. The

normalized value of each indicator is derived from a ratio of the measured value of the indicator

to its design estimate or target (Leon et al., 2018).

2.8.12 Local disruption

Construction processes also have externalities such as disrupting activities, people, and ecosystems

in the construction site and surrounding neighbourhoods (Cao et al., 2015). Local disruptions

describes the major disturbances, changes, and interruptions of activities and processes due to the

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MiC project. It has sustainability implications because disruptions can negatively affect the

activities of people, quality of biodiversity and ecosystem, and the continuity of businesses situated

near the construction site and surrounding neighbourhoods (Wuni, Shen, et al., 2021). Thus,

project teams and stakeholders are also concerned about the local disruptions associated with MiC

projects.

The five major metrics for measuring local disruptions emanating from MiC projects include noise

(dB or %hours), vehicle movements (Number of HGV movements per HK$100k construction

value or per m2), air quality (µg/m3), loss of revenue, and loss of amenity (van Vuuren and

Middleton, 2020). The noise generated from the MiC project can be measured as an equivalent

continuous sound over a set length of time (LAeq, T) or maximum sound level (LAmax) for isolated

events. Alternatively, it can be measured as the number of hours of overtime and weekend work,

as a percentage of the time on site. The vehicle movements metric measures the number of

commercial vehicle movements on site, including delivery of materials to the site. The air quality

can also be defined as the concentration of particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) and nitrogen

dioxide around the construction site measured over the average time frame. Revenue loss measures

the value of loss of revenue for local businesses/property owners resulting from the MiC project

construction site activities. Amenity loss indicates the value of loss of access to local amenity

resulting from the MiC project construction site activities.

2.8.13 Local community impact

The processes, activities, and products of construction methods generate both negative and positive

externalities to the local community of the construction site. Thus, aside the local disruptions (i.e.,

negative externalities), construction methods can generate benefits to local communities. In the

context of sustainability, the positive impact of construction methods on local communities have

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become a performance measure (Cao et al., 2015). There are several metrics for measuring the

benefits of construction methods to local communities, including vehicle movements (No./m2),

community’s satisfaction, regional economic uplift, and investment in local community (van

Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

2.8.14 Industry impact

Construction methods also have significant impact on the performance of the construction

industry. The processes and products of the site-built methods have been considered the

fundamental sources of the ills, poor performances, and long-standing market failures of the

construction industry (Wuni and Shen, 2020a). It has been argued that the MiC method can address

most of the ills of the construction industry. As such, the impact of construction methods on the

construction industry constitute a macro-level performance measure of the MiC method. Relevant

metrics for measuring the industry impact of the MiC method include client satisfaction, project

team satisfaction, stakeholder’s satisfaction, diffusion of innovation and technology, repeatability

and standardization, scalability to portfolio of projects, risk management in meeting housing needs,

supply chain partnerships and procurement, and workforce skills and (Horner et al., 2019; van

Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

The measurement method for client satisfaction performance index is as follows. According to

Mbachu and Nkado (2006), six major factors influence client satisfaction in construction projects:

(i) effective communication, (ii) adherence to client budget, (iii) work quality, (iv) project schedule

control, (v) response to client orientation, and (v) response to complaints. Leon et al. (2018) added

‘adherence to environmental and safety procedures”, generating seven major factors influencing

client satisfaction in construction projects. This study adopted the seven factors because they can

be easily measured and normalized using client satisfaction surveys. Thus, the client service

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performance index (CSPI) is computed as an additive function of the earned rating based on the

evaluation and the priority the client assigns to each measure. The CSPI can be measured as

follows.

𝐶𝑆𝑃𝐼 = ∑7𝑖=1 (𝑊𝑖 ∗ 𝑅𝑖 ) (Eqn. 2.31)

Σ (Wi) = Ws + Wc + Wq + Wro + Wec + Wrc + Wse = 1.0 (Eqn. 2.32)

Such that, Wi = relative weight for a client satisfaction indicator; Ws = weight of the project

schedule control indicator; Wc = weight of the adherence to client budget indicator; Wq = weight

of work quality indicators; Wro = weight of the response to client orientation indicator; Wec =

weight of the effective communication indicator; Wrc = weight of the response to complaints

indicator; Wse = weight of the adherence to environmental and safety procedures indicator; and Ri

= rating for a given client satisfaction indicator. Like the EPI, the CSPI is generic enough to allow

incorporating additional customer satisfaction measures when necessary. In all cases, the

summation of weights for the set of client satisfaction measures or indicators is unity (i.e., 1.0).

The measurement method for project team satisfaction performance index (TSPI) can be defined

and computed as follows. The TSPI for residential MiC projects can be measured using four well-

established metrics: (i) the amount of influence the project team members have over their jobs, (ii)

pay and conditions of team members, (iii) the sense of achievement the project team members

derive from their work, and (iv) the respect that team members get from line managers/supervisors

(Leon et al., 2018). In this study, the rating for each KPI ranges from 1 (very dissatisfied) to 5

(very satisfied). The total TSPI for the residential MiC project is computed as the average ratings

of the four KPIs.

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2.8.15 Appraisal of the literature

The review reveals several KPIs and metrics for measuring the performance of the MiC method.

The metrics are relevant to different reporting levels, including construction phase, completed

project, company, industry, and society levels. This study focuses on measuring the efficiency and

effectiveness of the MiC method in residential building projects in Hong Kong. Thus, the reporting

level is a completed project. Also, the literature demonstrates that the metrics are contextually and

organizationally sensitive. Considering that performance measures must reflect the strategic

objectives of the stakeholders, it is imperative to identify metrics that matter most to the relevant

organization or parties when benchmarking for continuous improvement purposes. There also exist

some external and contextual factors that can influence the performance of a construction project

irrespective of the construction method. Thus, a reliable performance measurement of the MiC

method must identify and control the influence of such KPDs.

2.9 The Delivery Chain of Residential MiC Projects

The delivery chain of a typical residential MiC project involves inception or conceptualization,

planning, design, material procurement, factory production, transportation, buffering, storage,

onsite assembly, and handing over (Building and Construction Authority, 2017). This study

merged the conceptualization and planning stages to form the predesign stage. The material

procurement and factory production stages were combined to form the production stage. The study

also considered buffering as a form of storage. Hence, this study considered the residential MiC

project delivery chain to encapsulate six major stages: predesign (conceptualization and planning),

design, production (material procurement and factory production of modules), transportation and

storage, onsite assembly, and closure (handing over). These stages are interdependent and must be

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coordinated to ensure a smooth flow of the information, activities, resources, work packages, and

the modules. Figure 2.5 is a schematic of the delivery chain of residential MiC projects.

Predesign: Inception Material


Project Design
and Planning Procurement

Transportation of Buffering or
Factory Production
Modules Storage

Concurrent work packages

Onsite
Site Preparation Handing Over and
Assembly/
& Development Closure
Installation

Figure 2.5: Major stages of the residential MiC project delivery chain

In most cases, these stages are controlled by independent entities or sub-entities of the main

contractor (Jaillon et al., 2009). Usually, the in-house design team or outsourced design company

is responsible for the design stage. The suppliers or manufacturing company takes care of the

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materials procurement and offsite production of the modules in the factory. A logistics company

handles the movement of the modules from the factory to the site or buffer zone. An assembly

subcontractor or installer handles the onsite assembly tasks. Usually, the construction company

acting as the main contractor is responsible for coordinating the activities of the subcontractors.

However, a design-build (i.e., design-manufacture-assemble) contractor can be responsible for all

stages of the delivery chain. The various stages of the delivery chain are described below.

2.9.1 Predesign stage

The predesign stage involves the project inception or conceptualization and planning. During the

inception stage, a fact sheet or concept document is prepared, containing clear statements of the

client’s needs, scope, influential issues, preliminary budget, and schedule of the project. The client

and consultant also develop and evaluates project alternatives, business case, and decision support.

The major outputs of the inception include needs assessment report, project proposal or concept

paper, and construction method selection. The planning stage usually extends the outputs of the

inception to include technical and economic feasibility assessment. The planning team plans and

addresses risks, develop project scope, estimate and mobilize resources, commit to the MiC

method, decide an appropriate structural system and construction material (s), and selects a suitable

project delivery method and procurement system. The key deliverables of the planning include

feasibility report, risk management plan, and selection of suitable structural system, building

materials, delivery method, and procurement systems.

2.9.2 Design stage

The design stage usually commences with formation of a design team. Ideally, the design team

should include the client, designer, BIM consultant, main contractor, manufacturer or supplier, and

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MiC specialist. The design team usually transforms the needs, specifications, and requirements of

the client into the architectural, structural, building services, mechanical, electrical, and plumbing

(MEP) design drawings. Building information modelling is used to coordinate and integrate the

architectural, structural, and MEP design of the modules. The design team specifically considers

allowable tolerances and downstream delivery constraints in the detailed working drawings. The

detailed design and working drawings are frozen once the client accepts. The major deliverables

of the design stage include frozen design, detailed working drawings, BIM Models, and prototypes.

2.9.3 Production stage

The production stage constitutes the bridge between the upstream and downstream stages of the

delivery chain of MiC projects. Usually, the main contractor appoints the module supplier and

manufacturers to procure the materials and products for fabricating the modules. Typically, the

main contractor requests module delivery schedules from manufacturers or module suppliers. The

manufacturers usually transform the detailed working drawings of the modules and the delivery

request of the main contractor into material procurement orders to upstream material suppliers.

According to Yang et al. (2021), the material suppliers are usually engaged and contracted to

supply the required materials and products in a timely manner commensurate with the

manufacturing schedules. The factory production only commences following confirmation of the

detailed working drawings and procurement of materials. The production team usually reviews the

detailed design and BIM models for clash detection and analysis of manufacturing tolerances. In

case a new production yard must be created for production of the modules, the manufacturing team

usually develops moulds for the various types of modules required in the project. Typically, the

production engineers develop prototypes of the modules to test out the initial design. Mock-ups

and trial assemblies of the prototypes are usually conducted in the factory and onsite for feedback

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from the client and the consultant. After receiving and incorporating comments from the relevant

stakeholders, the working drawings are revised accordingly before mass production of the

modules. During the production, qualified and competent certification bodies supervise the factory

works and the modules to ensure quality assurance and control. Typically, the modules are

produced and stocked in the factory before transportation to the construction site.

2.9.4 Transportation and storage stage

Unless a flying factory is established very close to the project site to manufacture the required

modules, the components are usually transported from the factory to the site for installation. For

cross-border production, the transportation of the modules requires custom verifications and

approval before hauling the components to a temporary storage yard (buffer zone) or directly to

the construction site. In case of overseas production and transportation of modules, it is essential

to plan and manage marine transit and jurisdictional risks. Transportation of the modules to the

site is a complex exercise because the completed modules can be damaged or destroyed in transit

if adequate protection is not provided. The project team must also consider road traffic incidents

and site access when transporting the modules. In Hong Kong, it common for a just-in-time

arrangement to be adopted to deliver the completed modules to the site at the actual time of

installation to minimize the impact of site constraints and storage requirements. It is usually

essential to ensure that the factory production rate and delivery schedules precisely match the speed

of module installation on site to avoid excessive workload in offsite logistics scheduling and

coordination.

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2.9.5 Onsite assembly stage

The onsite assembly stage constitutes the highest end of the residential MiC project delivery chain

where the physical structure emerges from installation of the required modules. It is the stage

where most of the work packages of the MiC method and the site-built practices reconverge in the

residential project. The onsite assembly team usually comprises assembly subcontractors or

installers, crane operators, crane specialist, traffic controllers, project managers, site managers,

and building inspectors. The core onsite team usually reviews and revise the project plan to initiate

the onsite assembly and installation activities. The team also reviews the assembly and module

sequencing plan to select and reconfigure the crane(s). The modules are usually hoisted and

installed based on the selected installation method (e.g., stacking) and sequencing plan.

2.9.6 Closure stage

Closure and handing-over constitute the last stage in the delivery of residential MiC projects. Once

the residential MiC project is fully assembled, installed, and finished, the client and project team

must complete some requirements. Usually, the main contractor must arrange for the required

testing and certifications to ensure compliance with local building regulations and specifications

of the client. Effective consultation with key stakeholders, especially business partners and the

client is required to settle all financial claims and transactions. It is essential to allow the relevant

project stakeholders to inspect and accept the completed residential MiC project and the associated

deliverables prior to the official closure. The handing-over ends with project commissioning and

contract termination.

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2.10 Conceptual Best Practice Framework for Residential MiC Projects
The literature reviews and precedents (Cheung, 2009; Osei-Kyei, 2017; World Health

Organization, 2017) provide relevant information and guidelines to conceptualize the structure of

the best practice framework describing how best to implement residential MiC projects to achieve

desired outcomes and facilitate continuous improvements. Figure 2.4 shows the conceptualized

best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Decision Support System


Role: To enable construction organizations and project teams to ascertain the
suitability of the MiC method for a residential building project

Stage-Based Best Practices


Role: To guide effective implementation of the various stages of residential MiC
projects

start Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs,


Predesign stage
Challenges, Lessons Learned}
Delivery Chain of Residential MiC Projects

Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs,


Design stage
Challenges, Lessons Learned}

Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs, Best


Production stage
Challenges, Lessons Learned} Practice
Framework
Transportation - Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs,
Storage stage Challenges, Lessons Learned}

Onsite Assembly Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs,


stage Challenges, Lessons Learned}

End Best practices = f {CRFs, CSFs,


Closure stage
Challenges, Lessons Learned}

Performance Measurement System


Role: To enable construction organizations and project teams to measure and
quantify the performance of the MiC method in residential building projects

Figure 2.6: A conceptual best practice framework for residential MiC projects

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The study conceptualizes the best practice framework as an integrated reference system with three

novel, complementary components: a decision support system, best practices, and a performance

measurement system. The intelligent decision support system enables project teams to assess the

suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a proposed residential building project in

Hong Kong. The best practices constitute unified and reconciled function of CRFs, CSFs, practical

challenges encountered, and lessons learned from residential MiC projects. They provide specific

processes, delivery strategies, and technical guidelines for implementing the various stages (i.e.,

predesign, design, factory production, transportation, storage, onsite assembly, and closure stages)

of residential MiC projects. The performance measurement system enables project teams to

evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in residential building projects and

contain relevant KPIs and metrics to facilitate performance benchmarking, continuous

improvement, experiential learning, and knowledge transfer (Horner et al., 2019).

2.11 Chapter Summary

This chapter provided a critical review of the relevant theories and the related literature, leading

to the development of a conceptual best practice framework for implementing residential MiC

projects. It provided operational definitions of key concepts and documented the differences

between site-based construction techniques and the MiC method. It identified and developed

conceptual structures of the potential suitability DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC

projects. It further established relevant KPIs and metrics for measuring the performance of

residential MiC projects. The next chapter presents the research methodology deployed to address

the objectives.

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CHAPTER 3 – RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

4.1 Introduction

The previous chapter discussed presented a review of the related literature, descriptions of relevant

theories, and propositions of conceptual frameworks. This chapter describes the research

methodology adopted for the study. The research methodology encompasses the systematic rules,

protocols, guidelines, and procedures for generating valid and reliable research outcomes, upon

which this research agenda is based. This chapter demonstrates that methodology is more than just

methods and establishes a strong connection between research paradigm, research design and

strategies, and research methods. The chapter describes and justifies the research paradigm and

design adopted. In doing so, the chapter establishes that the connections between epistemology,

ontology, axiology, methodology, and methods in any research are tightly coupled. A detailed

description of the research process is provided, followed by a justification of the choice of research

methods and data analytical techniques. Specifically, it describes the data collection procedure,

including the relevant information of the potential respondents, the sampling frame, the sample

size, and the data collection instruments. The chapter concludes with a description of the data

processing, management, and analysis protocols.

4.2 Research Paradigm and Philosophy

4.2.1 Definition of paradigm

Research philosophy refers to a system of beliefs and assumptions about knowledge creation

(Saunders et al., 2016). In the philosophy of knowledge, a paradigm constitutes a theoretical way

of thinking that helps understand, explain, and describe reality, social phenomenon, or abstraction

(Kuhn, 2012). Thomas Kuhn’s Structure of Scientific Revolutions is credited as the populariser of

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paradigms as philosophical frameworks that organize the beliefs and practices of researchers in

knowledge creation (Kuhn, 2012). The Kuhnian perspective conceptualizes a paradigm as a broad

framework of perception, belief, and understanding within which theories and practices operate

(Morgan, 2007). Considering that different fields have varied schools of thought, traditions, and

philosophies of knowledge creations, there is no consensus and universal definition of the term

paradigm (Grix, 2019; Teddlie and Tashakkori, 2009). However, paradigms are commonly

construed as worldviews, epistemological stances, shared beliefs in a research field, or model

examples (Morgan, 2007). These specific perspectives of paradigms are nested within each other

and not mutually exclusive (ibid). None of these specific paradigms are right or wrong, but each

perspective could be the most appropriate for any given purpose (Morgan, 2007).

This study considers a research paradigm as shared beliefs within a community of researchers who

share a consensus about which questions are most meaningful and which procedures are most

appropriate for answering those questions (Morgan, 2007). It includes a set of beliefs, values, and

assumptions that the construction engineering and management community of researchers share

regarding the nature and conduct of research (Johnson et al., 2004). Hence, this study considers a

research paradigm as the research culture in construction engineering and management. The

reliance on this version of paradigms matches the goal of developing a best practice framework

for implementing residential MiC projects and the broader implications of those practices for MiC

projects in general. Though this version of paradigms could be applied to the broader assumptions

that guide knowledge creation endeavours in the whole construction engineering and management

discipline (Morgan, 2007), its application in this research emphasizes the more specific beliefs and

practices shared within the modern methods of construction scientific research community who

are absorbed in the same technical literature (Kuhn, 2012). Thus, research paradigms in this thesis

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do not necessarily govern a subject matter but a group of practitioners or researchers with shared

beliefs and practices about knowledge creation (Morgan, 2007).

4.2.2 Composition of a research paradigm

A research paradigm embodies the ontological, epistemological, axiological, and methodological

assumptions of knowledge creation (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). Hence, it comprises

ontology, epistemology, axiology, methodology, and methods (Scotland, 2012). Construction

engineering and management have no bespoke theories and philosophies of knowledge

development. The field leverages the philosophical traditions of several allied fields such as social,

natural, management, and behavioural sciences to inform research (Alaka et al., 2016; Dainty,

2008). However, these fields' varied theoretical perspectives and philosophical traditions engender

an additional layer of obscurity for the construction engineering and management researchers to

explicitly articulate the appropriate choice of research methodology to implement (Volker, 2019).

Thus, well-articulated operational definitions of the concepts underlying the ontological,

epistemological, axiological, methodological, and methods reflected in the research would inform

the selection of an appropriate paradigm and ensure the credibility and soundness of the research

outcomes (Crotty, 1998; Morgan, 2007).

Epistemology describes the nature and forms of knowledge (Crotty, 1998). It is concerned with

understanding and explaining how knowledge is developed (Crotty, 1998; Smyth and Morris,

2007). As such, epistemological assumptions are concerned with how knowledge can be created

legitimately, the constituents of acceptable, valid, and legitimate knowledge, and how such

knowledge is communicated (Cohen et al., 2018; Saunders et al., 2016). Ontology describes the

study of being (Crotty, 1998). It is concerned with the constituents of and assumptions about the

nature of reality (Saunders et al., 2016). Thus, ontological assumptions are concerned with the

112
existence of entities and how they relate and interact with each other. Axiology refers to the role of

values and ethics within the research process (Saunders et al., 2016). It is concerned with how the

values of the enquirer and research participants influence the research process and findings.

Methodology refers to the strategy, plan of action, process, or design governing the choice and use

of particular methods and linking the choice and use of methods to the desired outcomes (Crotty,

1998). Methods are the techniques or procedures used to gather and analyse data to answer research

questions (Crotty, 1998). It includes the tools and techniques for collecting and analysing data to

achieve a research aim (Bailey, 1994).

Research methods embodied in a paradigm can be traced to the methodology through the

epistemological and ontological positions. It is impossible to engage in any form of credible

research without committing (often implicitly) to ontological and epistemological positions

(Scotland, 2012). In any credible research, ontology is concerned with the nature of the research

problem, epistemology is concerned with how best to understand the research problem and its

legitimacy, and methodology is concerned with the procedures and methods that can be used to

address the research gap (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). Hence, the constituents of a research

paradigm inform one another (Crotty, 1998), and Figure 3.1 describes such conceptual

relationships between the paradigmatic elements (Smyth and Morris, 2007).

Philosophical issues of research Paradigms


Epistemological issues of research Research object

Research methodology Research methods

Figure 3.1: Applying epistemology, methodology, and methods

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Figure 3.1 establishes that the research methodology is implanted in the epistemological issues. It

links issues at the abstract epistemological and mechanical levels of actual methods (Morgan,

2007). As illustrated, the epistemological issues are embodied in the broader philosophical issues

of the research. The nature and context of the research problem determine the relevant

permutations among the elements to establish the appropriate paradigm(s) and research method(s)

suitable for the research (Ahadzie, 2007). Hence, the adopted paradigm guides and influences an

appropriate research methodology to address the research problem (Bailey, 1994).

4.2.3 Paradigms in construction engineering and management research

The five major paradigms in the management, social, and behavioural sciences include positivism,

critical realism, interpretivism, postmodernism, and pragmatism (Saunders et al., 2016). However,

the most prominent and dominant paradigms in construction engineering and management

research include positivism, interpretivism, and pragmatism (Alaka et al., 2016; Fellows and Liu,

2015). These traditions have varied ontological, epistemological, axiological, and methodological

assumptions underpinning research (Saunders et al., 2016). As such, the choice of appropriate

methodology, strategy, design, and methods, including data collection and analysis procedures in

construction engineering and management research, reflect, in microcosm, the philosophical

assumptions of these traditions (Crotty, 1998). Figure 3.2 illustrates how the research paradigm

influences the methodological choice, research strategies, and methods.

4.2.3.1 Positivism

Positivism constitutes a research paradigm codifying sociology as a science drawing on the natural

science perspective of a social phenomenon (Morgan, 2007). Although positivism is used

throughout this thesis, the term that better represents the philosophical positions and orientation of

quantitative researchers in recent times is post-positivism (Johnson et al., 2004). It assumes that

114
social phenomenon, reality, or knowledge creation conform with natural laws and can be subjected

to quantitative logic. It promotes the adoption of natural science methods to study social

phenomena, resulting in several unique philosophical assumptions.

Systematic literature reviews


Research Experiments
Surveys
strategy
Case studies
influences
Research
paradigm uses

influences
Positivism
Interpretivism Research
Pragmatism method
...

Questionnaires
Interviews Data collection Data analysis
Observations
method method
Documents
...

Content analysis Statistical methods


Discourse analysis Qualitative Quantitative Fuzzy logic
... Structural equation modelling
analysis method analysis method
Monte Carlo Simulation
...
Figure 3.2: Research paradigms, research strategies, and research methods
The ontological position of positivism is that reality exists independently of human actions and

experiences (Bryman and Bell, 2011). Ontologically, the positivist tradition argues that the object

of social science should be to identify and explain the cause-effect associations of regularities

among phenomena in the world and that these regularities and explanations can and should be

contextually independent (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014).

Epistemologically, positivism assumes that there is objective knowledge about the social world,

attainable only through the natural science methods of observation and experimentation (Scotland,

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2012). It deploys an objective social inquiry, whereby the inquirer is characteristically a

disinterested observer, divorced from the investigated subjects. Hence, it demands the objective

inquirer to maintain an arm’s length from the investigated phenomenon to eliminate potential

biases in the research outcomes. Thus, it has an axiological position that knowledge creation

should be completely value-free, divorcing the values and ethics of the researcher from the studied

entities. Methodologically, positivism promotes the use of strictly quantitative methods. Hence,

positivism embodies and promotes quantitative research, translating the positivists into

quantitative purists (Johnson et al., 2004).

4.2.3.2 Interpretivism

Interpretivism or constructivism constitutes a research paradigm that emerged as a rejoinder to

positivism. It argues that positivism fails to capture essential aspects of the social world,

particularly the subjective construction of social phenomena (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014).

Interpretivism assumes that the social world, including social actions, is better constructed through

grasping the subjective meanings and purposes that people attach to their actions (Morgan, 2007).

Thus, it contends that social phenomenon or knowledge creation diverge from natural laws and is

constructed based on the conviction and understanding of the social actors about the phenomenon

(Bailey, 1994), resulting in several unique philosophical assumptions.

Ontologically, interpretivism maintains that knowledge is socially constructed and depends on

social actors' actions, lived experiences, and intentions (Crotty, 1998). Hence, interpretivism

ontologically contends that social actors and agents negotiate and assign meaning to construct the

social world (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). Epistemologically, interpretivism maintains that

there is subjective knowledge about the social world, grounded in the social actors' actions,

experiences, and subjective meanings (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). Axiologically,

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interpretivism argues that knowledge creation is value driven. The inquirer is a highly interested

and involved observer actively participating in the studied phenomenon and the people who create

it. Methodologically, interpretivism prioritizes research strategies providing a participatory

understanding of social phenomena. Hence, interpretivism embodies and promotes qualitative

research, translating the interpretivists into qualitative purists (Johnson et al., 2004).

4.2.3.3 Pragmatism

Pragmatism constitutes a research paradigm that emerged as a rejoinder to the extreme and strict

philosophical positions and orientation of positivism and interpretivism about knowledge creation

(Morgan, 2007). It argues that the assumptions of positivism and interpretivism are not always

diametrically polar opposites and mutually exclusive in most circumstances. It emerged to resolve

the incompatibility and incommensurability of these two traditional paradigms and argues that

some research problems could be effectively addressed through leveraging some assumptions and

strengths of the two traditions and implementing them together in a single study (Johnson et al.,

2004; Morgan, 2007). Thus, the pragmatist contends that some circumstances make it

incomprehensive to rely on a single scientific method to obtain legitimate knowledge about the

real world or construct social reality (Johnson et al., 2004). Pragmatism has become an established

paradigm with the following philosophical positions.

It embodies a relational epistemology, affording inquirers the liberty to ascertain the most

appropriate way to construct reality or develop knowledge (Kivunja and Kuyini, 2017). It presents

a plural ontological assumption, contending that there is no single reality because all humans have

their unique interpretations of reality. It adopts a value-laden axiological position, contending that

it is nearly impossible to have fully-objective and value-free research when humans are the

inquirers (Johnson et al., 2004). Pragmatism prioritizes research approaches addressing practical

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problems and provides a philosophical research framework that benefits people (Kivunja and

Kuyini, 2017). Given the pluralistic methodological position, it endorses the combination of

appropriate and complementary quantitative and qualitative research methods to understand a

research problem (Johnson et al., 2004). Hence, pragmatism is associated with mixed methods

research. None of these traditions is correct, wrong or the best, but the suitability depends on the

epistemological, ontological, and axiological assumptions underlying the research (Scotland,

2012). Each provides relevant assumptions for satisfying various research needs and is better

suited for tackling specific research problems.

4.2.4 The research paradigm adopted

Both positivism and interpretivism are appropriate and widely used in construction engineering

and management research. Construction engineering research clearly supports the positivist

tradition of knowledge creation because it prioritizes quantitative scientific approaches and

requires propositions to be verified (Agunbiade, 2012). On the other hand, construction

management research involving projects and the opinion of associated stakeholders favours

interpretivism because construction projects are social systems and products of processes by which

project business partners together negotiate their delivery arrangement (Crotty, 1998).

However, this study aims to develop a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC

projects under natural and social dimensions, drawing on stakeholders' knowledge and real-world

projects. Solely relying on positivism or interpretivism to address this research problem with social

and institutional dimensions is utterly inadequate (Yunus and Yang, 2014). Hence, an appropriate

tradition should allow the combination of suitable and complementary assumptions and methods

to investigate the underlying issues effectively (Kivunja and Kuyini, 2017). Therefore, this

118
research adopted pragmatism as the most applicable philosophical position to address the research

problem.

4.3 Research Strategy and Design

A research strategy refers to an inclusive plan that a researcher implements to answer research

questions addressing a research problem (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). It provides the overall

direction of the research, including the process by which the research is conducted. On the other

hand, a research design describes the framework of research methods and techniques used to

collect and analyse data to answer the research questions (Bryman and Bell, 2011). Research

strategy and design constitute frameworks for undertaking research and provide high-level

guidance for selecting appropriate research methods and techniques to address a research problem

(Creswell, 2013; Yin, 2018).

There are three main research strategies in construction engineering and management: quantitative,

qualitative, and mixed methods. These research strategies are rooted and embodied in the

methodological positions of positivism, interpretivism, and pragmatism, respectively (Bryman and

Bell, 2011; Johnson et al., 2004; Saunders et al., 2016). Quantitative research methods for data

collection in construction management include experiments, simulation, questionnaires, structured

interviews, and structured observations (Saunders et al., 2016). Conversely, qualitative research

methods for data collection include semi-structured and unstructured interviews, focus group

discussion, unstructured observation, and document or text review (Dainty, 2008).

Consistent with the adopted pragmatic paradigm, this study implemented a mixed-method research

strategy and design. This strategy is consistent with the call for methodological pluralism in

construction management research to understand the complex relationships pertinent to the

119
industry and the phenomenon being studied (Dainty, 2008). Mixed methods research refers to the

class of research that mixes or combines quantitative and qualitative research methods,

approaches, and techniques in a single study to collect and analyse data to answer research

questions (Creswell, 2013; Johnson et al., 2004; Teddlie and Tashakkori, 2009).

Developing a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects requires a

nuanced practical understanding of the multiple managerial aspects throughout the delivery chain.

According to the World Health Organization (2017), a sound best practice framework is developed

from the expert knowledge and case studies of real-world projects. Quantitative data was required

to analyse, quantify, and prioritize the various managerial aspects of residential MiC projects. In

contrast, qualitative data was required to expand the understanding of those managerial aspects

from a real-world perspective to enhance the practical relevance of the research outcomes. Hence,

appropriate strategies and designs for addressing the research problem in this study are situated at

the interface between quantitative and qualitative methods, translating the study into mixed

methods research.

Mixed methods research provided a fruitful research framework to integrate insights, procedures,

and principles appropriately to provide more relevant findings in the study. It provided a flexible

mechanism in selecting, mixing, matching, and combining methods, approaches, and procedures

that provided the best methodological agenda for answering the research questions to address the

research problem (Johnson et al., 2004). As such, this study endorsed a needs-based or contingency

approach to the selection of methods for conducting research (Johnson et al., 2004).

The two main reasons for using mixed methods in this study included triangulation and

complementarity (Bryman and Bell, 2011). The rationales were both to seek convergence and

corroboration of results from the multiple methods and deploy the qualitative methods to elaborate

120
on, enhance, expand, and clarify the results of the quantitative methods (Johnson et al., 2004).

Hence, the mixed methods research strategy provided a fertile mechanism to gather multiple data

using different, but complementary strategies, approaches, and methods, such that the integration

resulted in complementary strengths and non-overlapping weaknesses.

The study implemented the two typologies of mixed methods research: mixed-model design and

mixed-methods design (Johnson et al., 2004). The mixed-model design involved mixing

quantitative and qualitative approaches within the stages of the study. It occurred in the research

objectives, questions, and methods of data collection, analysis, and interpretation. Though the

mixed-methods design included quantitative and qualitative phases in the overall research, the

quantitative component had dominant status over the qualitative element in the study. Specifically,

the study implemented a sequential explanatory mixed-methods design as a double-phase research

design. The quantitative data was collected, followed by qualitative data to expand, and elaborate

on the quantitative outcomes. The study implemented the mixed-methods design and mixed-model

design based on the eight distinct steps embodied in the mixed methods research process model,

shown in Figure 3.3 (Johnson et al., 2004).

Figure 3.3 shows the cyclical, recursive, and interactional process of the eight distinct steps

embodied in the mixed methods research process model: (1) determine the research questions; (2)

determine whether a mixed design is appropriate; (3) select the mixed-method or mixed-model

research design; (4) collect the data; (5) analyse the data; (6) interpret the data; (7) legitimate the

data; and (8) draw conclusions and write the final report. In Figure 3.3, circles represent steps (1

– 8) in the mixed research process; rectangles represent steps in the mixed data analysis process;

and diamonds represent components. As indicated earlier, the purposes of the mixed methods

research strategy were triangulation and complementarity (Johnson et al., 2004; Love et al., 2002).

121
As such, the research questions of the study were developed consistent with the mixed methods

research. Figure 3.3 also embodies the seven stages of the mixed methods data analysis process:

data reduction, display, transformation, correlation, consolidation, comparison, and integration.

Purpose of
Research
Mixed
Questions (1)
Research (2)

Select Drawing
Mixed- Research Conclusions/
Mixed-Model
Method Methodology Final Report
(3) (8)

Data
Legitimation
Collection
(7)
(4)

Data
Data
Interpretation Data Integration
Analysis (5)
(6)

Single Data
Type

Data Data
Data Display
Reduction Transformation
Data
Consolidation

Multiple Data Data


Type Correlation

Data Comparison

Figure 3.3: Mixed research process model

122
Consistent with the mixed methods research strategy, the study implemented a mixed research

design, comprising survey and case study research designs (Creswell, 2013; Yin, 2018). The

survey is a research strategy used to gather structured data about large groups (Johannesson and

Perjons, 2014). It can compile the characteristics, opinions, and views of social actors about a

phenomenon or managerial aspect (Saunders et al., 2016). However, it cannot provide in-depth

information and evaluation of complex phenomena. The survey design was used to gather the

opinions of MiC experts and domain industry practitioners about relevant managerial aspects of

residential MiC projects. It provided quantitative data to assess, quantify, simulate, and model the

suitability DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The primary data

collection instruments implemented within the survey design included questionnaires and

structured interviews with MiC experts and industry practitioners in Hong Kong.

A case study is a research strategy that enables an in-depth empirical investigation of a

phenomenon (i.e., a case) within its real-life context (Yin, 2018). The case study research strategy

characteristically focuses on one instance, depth, and natural setting (Johannesson and Perjons,

2014). It can explain causal links in real-life projects that are too complex to be captured in a

survey. The case study research strategy enables researchers to obtain valuable, in-depth

knowledge of the investigated case (Creswell, 2013). In the case study research strategy, an

‘instance’ or ‘case’ refers to a real-life residential MiC project—the cases aimed at providing

complementary insights to the survey outcomes. Specifically, the study implemented a descriptive

case study design. It provided rich and detailed descriptions of the challenges, critical success

processes, and lessons learned from completed residential MiC projects in various contexts. The

data collection methods used in the study include systematic literature reviews, questionnaire

surveys, semi-structured interviews, policy document analysis, and case studies.

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4.4 The Research Process

Figure 3.4 provides a more detailed flowchart of research processes and activities completed in the

study. Adhering to well-established academic research conventions, the study commenced with an

extensive review of relevant OSP and MiC literature to gain insight into research progress and

establish the boundaries of existing knowledge. The study retrieved and reviewed relevant

documents from Scopus, Google Scholar, and Web Science to detect deficiencies in the literature,

leading to establishing of the research gaps. The study conducted brainstorming sessions with the

thesis supervisor and discussions with senior industry practitioners in Hong Kong to define the

research questions, establish the aim, and deconstruct the aim into specific complementary

objectives.

Subsequently, the study conducted series of dedicated systematic literature reviews to extract

metadata and information relevant to the objectives and situate the study within the wider context

of OSP literature. Specifically, the study extracted 35 potential suitability DMFs (Table 2.1), 35

CRFs (Table 2.2), 27 CSFs (Table 2.3), and 14 KPIs (Table 2.4) for residential MiC projects. The

reviews also aided in identifying the appropriate methods to empirically investigate the extracted

metadata, forming the basis for the quantitative analysis in the study.

Afterward, the study organized informal plenary sessions with the thesis supervisor and

experienced industry practitioners to verify and validate the relevance, applicability, and

representativeness of the identified theoretical checklist of DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, and KPIs for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The validated checklists were transformed into a pilot

questionnaire form, distributed to 400 international MiC experts in seventeen countries. The

experts were requested to assess the significance of the items on a 5-point Likert scale. Fifty-six

(56) valid responses were received. Analysis of the responses revealed that 25 DMFs, 26 CRFs,

124
23 CSFs, and 14 KPIs obtained mean scores exceeding 3.50 on a 5-point Likert scale, forming the

basis for the final questionnaire survey in Hong Kong. The multistage verification and validation

process ensured that only relevant DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, and KPIs were incorporated into the best

practice framework.

start

Data analysis
Extensive literature review • Statistical pretesting
• Research gap • Mean score ranking
• Research questions • Risk significance index
• Aim and objectives • Factor analysis
• Monte Carlo simulation
• Fuzzy synthetic evaluation
• Partial least squares structural equation
Systematic literature modelling
• Programming
reviews
• Suitability decision-making factors
• Critical risk factors
• Critical success factors
Framework development
• Key performance indicators and metrics and validation
• Conceptual frameworks • Triangulation of literature reviews,
surveys, policy documents, and case
study findings
• Review of the delivery chain of
Pilot study and data residential MiC projects
• Developing and validating the best
collection practice framework
• Discussion with industry practitioners
• Validation of theoretical checklists
• Pilot questionnaire survey of international Research Closure
experts • Review of aim and objectives
• Questionnaire survey of practitioners • Summary of key findings and results
• Semi-structured interviews with • Major conclusions
practitioners • Study limitations
• Review of International MiC policy • Future research opportunities
documents
• Local and international MiC case studies

End

Figure 3.4: Flowchart of the research processes of the thesis

125
The validated items were included in a structured questionnaire survey of MiC practitioners and

subject matters experts in Hong Kong to rate the significance of the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for

residential MiC projects, on a 5-point Likert scale. One-hundred and seventeen (117) valid

responses were received. The study further conducted semi-structured interviews with industry

practitioners in Hong Kong to obtain in-depth understanding and rich insights into the DMFs,

CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC projects. The interview outcomes complemented the findings

of the questionnaire survey. The study also analysed international government publications,

technical reports, and industry guidelines to extract relevant technical guidelines for implementing

residential MiC projects. The study further gathered data from six representative residential MiC

cases in Australia, Hong Kong, the United Kingdom, and Singapore to complement the findings

of the surveys, interviews, and policy documents.

Once the relevant data were collected, the study proceeded with the analyses. The questionnaire

data (i.e., DMFs, CRFs, CSFs) were pretested for reliability, distributions, agreement among the

respondents, and suitability for exploratory factor analysis (EFA). The pretesting results provided

statistical legitimacy to proceed with detailed analyses of the questionnaire data. The study used

mean score ranking, EFA, and fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE) to assess and quantify the DMFs

for residential MiC projects. The identified significant DMFs were used to develop a suitability

decision support system for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The study used risk

significance index, EFA, MC simulation, FSE, and PLS – SEM to assess, quantify, simulate, and

model the impact of the CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The study used mean

score ranking, EFA, and FSE to assess, model, and quantify the CSFs for residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong. Thematic content analyses was used to develop recurrent themes in data from the

semi-structured interviews, policy documents, and cases studies. The thematic content analyses

126
provided very rich data, which complemented the findings from the questionnaire surveys. The

study also designed and programmed the performance measurement system for residential MiC

projects based on the 14 KPIs and associated metrics. The application of the decision support

system and performance measure system were demonstrated and validated using real-world

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Next, the study proceeded with development and validation of the best practice framework. The

study consolidated, triangulated, integrated, and reconciled the significant CRFs, CSFs, and the

practical challenges and lessons learned from the six case studies to develop the best practices for

implementing residential MiC projects. The study reviewed delivery chain and allocated the best

practices across the various stages of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The best practice

framework was developed as a function of three complementary components: a decision support

system, best practices, and a performance measurement system. The developed framework was

validated using feedback from five MiC experts and industry practitioners in Hong Kong.

Following the validation of the best practice framework, the study proceeded with closure of the

research. It reviewed the objectives of the thesis, summarized key findings, and drew appropriate

conclusions. The study further established the novelty, scientific contributions, and theoretical,

managerial, and policy implications of the research findings. It acknowledged limitations and

recommended areas for future research.

4.5 Research Methods

This section describes the data collection methods employed in the study. These methods include

systematic literature reviews, questionnaire surveys, semi-structured interviews, case studies, and

analysis of industry guidelines.

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4.5.1 Systematic literature reviews

A systematic literature review (SLR) is a powerful scientific method that provides a structured

approach to consolidate the outcomes of existing studies and assist in demarcating the boundaries

of existing knowledge (Tranfield et al., 2003). It provides a fruitful organizing framework for

researchers to synthesize and draw integrated conclusions from previous studies addressing a

similar issue (Webster and Watson, 2002). The systematic reviews were used to derive a checklist

of potential DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, and KPIs for residential MiC projects from the literature. It also

guided the selection of representative case studies and informed the design of the questionnaire

template and interview guides. The SLR also informed the selection of appropriate data analytical

tools employed in the study.

The systematic reviews adhered to well-established protocols, including electronic database

selection and literature search, selection of relevant articles, and metadata extraction. For

consistency, the study employed only Elsevier’s Scopus to conduct the literature searches. Table

3.1 summarizes the keywords used to search for articles addressing DMFs, CRFs, CSFs, CSC, and

KPIs for MiC projects.

Table 3.1: Search keywords for retrieving relevant articles from Scopus

Topic Search terms


First set LinkSecond Set
Decision- Decision, decision-making, decision AND Offsite construction, offsite
making support, benefit, advantage, choice, production, Offsite
factors selection, reasons, deciding, determinants, manufactur*, prefabrication,
drivers, and readiness prefabricated, prefab,
industriali$zed construction,
Critical risk Risk, hazard, barrier, challenge, constraint, AND industriali$zed building,
factors uncertainties, uncertainty, overrun, and industriali$zed hous*, modular
delay construction, modular

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Critical Critical factors, success factors, success AND integrated construction,
success determinants, few key areas, key result modular house, modular home,
factors areas, and success modularization, prework,
manufactured hous*,
Key KPIs, performance indicators, critical AND manufactured construction,
performance success criteria, success criteria, volumetric construction,
indicators performance assessment, performance precast construction, and
evaluation, sustainability evaluation, modern methods of
sustainability assessment, metric, construction
performance, and indicators
* = any group of characters for finding words with any possible ending. $ = zero or one character
for finding the American and British variation of the term.

For each topic, the search terms of the first set were concatenated with those of the second set to

conduct the structured queries in Scopus. It conditioned the database to return articles containing

a combination of at least one keyword from each set. Relevant documents were retrieved and

filtered. During the rapid screening of titles/abstracts/keywords of the search outputs in Scopus,

the study excluded documents without full text and non-English publications. There was no date

specification. Only articles were included, and hence, conference papers and other document types

were excluded. The remaining articles for each topic were downloaded and subjected to full-text

evaluation. During this stage, only articles that specifically evaluated the relevant topics were

included. Subsequently, the study critically evaluated the full texts of the included studies and

extracted the relevant metadata. Outcomes of the systematic review (Tables 2.1 – 2.4) were

published in high-impact journals, highlighting the novelty of the SLRs conducted during the

research process.

4.5.2 Questionnaire survey

A questionnaire is a quantitative data collection instrument, usually containing a list of questions

aiming to measure the opinion and views of respondents (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). The

responses can support advanced statistical modelling of the investigated issue when coded

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numerically. A questionnaire survey constitutes an inexpensive strategy to collect a large sample

size of quantitative data and has been widely used to measure project delivery practices in

developing best practice frameworks (Cheung, 2009; Osei-Kyei, 2017). This study administered

an online-based closed-ended questionnaire to assess the shortlisted DMFs, CSFs, CRFs, and CSC

for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The study used the questionnaire data to address

objectives 1 – 3.

4.5.2.1 Questionnaire design

Two sets of questionnaires were designed and administered in this study. The first was a pilot

questionnaire designed to gather the opinions of international MiC experts. The pilot questionnaire

survey template had four parts (see Appendix A). Part one solicited the background information

of the experts. Part two to five requested the experts to evaluate the significance of DMFs, CRFs,

and CSFs for MiC projects, on a 5-point Likert scale, respectively. Outcomes of the pilot

questionnaire survey were used to revise the checklists of the significant DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs,

forming the basis for the second questionnaire survey.

The second questionnaire was designed to collect the opinions of industry practitioners and subject

matter experts in Hong Kong. A revised template was sent to three MiC practitioners in Hong

Kong with adequate industry and hands-on industry experiences in MiC project delivery in the city

to ascertain the clarity of the questions and re-verify the contextual applicability of the revised

checklists of DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC projects. They reviewed and proposed

changes to the content, structure, and length of the questionnaire. The final questionnaire template

had four parts (see Appendix B). Part one solicited the background information of the respondents.

Part two requested them to assess the significance of the decision-making factors used to evaluate

the compatibility and feasibility of MiC for residential projects in Hong Kong. Part three requested

130
them to evaluate (a) the probability of occurrence and (b) the severity of risk factors influencing

the costs of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Part four required them to rate the importance

of the critical success factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The questionnaire

deployed a 5-point rating scale with different linguistic terms to reflect the requirements of the

various items.

4.5.2.2 Sample size determination

A sample refers to a subset of the population elements resulting from a sampling strategy (Maisel

and Persell, 1996). Several key concepts are embodied in the definition of a sample size, including

an element, population, sampling, and sampling frame. An element is a unit (e.g., person, project)

of a population (Dattalo, 2008). A population refers to a theoretically specified aggregation of

elements in a study (Bryman and Bell, 2011; Saunders et al., 2016). It describes all units that are

eligible for investigation in the study.

In most cases, it is not economically prudent and practically possible to study an entire population.

Therefore, sampling is usually conducted to select a subset to study and make inferences about the

population. Sampling refers to selecting elements from a sampling frame within the population

(Dattalo, 2008). A sampling frame refers to a list or record of the population from which the sample

will be drawn (ibid).

In quantitative or mixed methods research design, the fundamental object of sampling and sample

size is to provide an accurate and practical mechanism to enable extrapolation from a sample to

the population. Ideally, the sample size must be adequate to accurately capture the characteristics

of the population in the study (Bryman and Bell, 2011; Saunders et al., 2016). The use of advanced

analytical techniques in this study required commensurate sample size to ensure construct, internal,

external, and content validity. Sample size can be determined using several approaches, including

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statistical power analysis, confidence intervals, and computer-intensive methods, but each has its

unique strengths and limitations (Dattalo, 2008). This study determined the appropriate sample

size based on the desired confidence interval (CI) width. A CI describes a range of values around

which a population parameter (e.g., true mean) is likely to lie in the long run (Dattalo, 2008). Using

the CI strategy, the study computed the appropriate sample size using the following equation

(Maisel and Persell, 1996).

σ 2
Sample size (n) = (Z ∗ ) (Eqn. 2.1)
CI

Where σ denotes the population standard deviation, CI refers to the desired confidence interval,

and Z denotes a standardized score related to the desired CI. Effectively, the appropriate sample

size can be determined from known Z, σ, and CI (Maisel and Persell, 1996), but it is obscure to

determine σ before the data is collected (Ahadzie, 2007). However, knowledge of or experience

based on the proportion (P) currently employed in the population can be used as a proxy to estimate

σ. P refers to the ratio of the number of elements in any given category to the total number of

elements (Maisel and Persell, 1996). When confronted with limited experience, it is recommended

to consider a worst-case scenario that fixes P at 0.5 (Maisel and Persell, 1996). Setting P at 0.5

enables the investigator to select the largest possible n because it provides the largest standard

error. This approach generates a sample size with robust balancing power, precision, and

practicality for quantitative analysis (Dattalo, 2008). Based on the established P, σ was computed

using the following equation (Maisel and Persell, 1996).

σ = √(P) ∗ (1 − P) = √(0.5) ∗ (1 − 0.5) = 0.50 (Eqn. 2.2)

Using a worst-case scenario of 0.5 for P, σ is computed as 0.5. Adopting a 95% confidence level,

a CI of ±0.1, and Z of 1.96 (i.e., the Z value for 95% confidence is Z=1.96), the appropriate n is

computed as follows:

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0.50 2
n = (1.96 ∗ ) (Eqn. 2.3)
0.10

n = 96.04 ~ 96 respondents

This outcome means that obtaining a sample size of 96 would be adequate for the sampling

distribution to have a normal distribution. Considering the smaller response rates in construction

management research (Lingard and Rowlinson, 2006), a significant commitment was made to

obtain more than the computed sample size.

4.5.2.3 Sampling technique and selection of respondents

There are two groups of sampling techniques used in construction management research:

probabilistic and non-probabilistic sampling techniques (Fellows and Liu, 2015). While

probabilistic sampling techniques (e.g., simple random sampling) are generally preferred to their

non-probabilistic counterparts because they offer an unbiased approach where respondents have

equal chances of selection (Saunders et al., 2016), some circumstances render them impractical

and inappropriate. Probabilistic sampling techniques require a database of the target population

and a centralized sampling frame (Bryman and Bell, 2011). However, the target populations of

this study were MiC industry practitioners and experts in Hong Kong and abroad. These sampling

frames had no centralized databases to support probabilistic sampling. Hence, the study employed

non-probabilistic sampling techniques, including purposive (expert) and snowball sampling.

Using the purposive and snowball sampling techniques, this study developed two criteria to select

appropriate respondents in Hong Kong and abroad: (i) the respondent must have theoretical

understanding (research experience) and general knowledge of MiC project delivery practices; and

(ii) the respondent must have practical involvement and direct hands-on experience (i.e., at least

one project) in MiC project delivery. Practitioners and researchers meeting these conditions were

133
deemed fitting to provide adequate experience and knowledge on residential MiC project

implementation practices in Hong Kong or abroad.

The international pilot questionnaire survey respondents were recruited from MiC research articles

published in reputable construction management journals. Potential respondents were also

recruited from listed modular construction experts on the websites of construction industry

councils, institutes, boards, and modular building institutes in different countries. The

questionnaire requested relevant background information of the respondents to confirm their

suitability for the study.

The Hong Kong questionnaire survey respondents were registered construction industry

practitioners and subject matter experts in the following databases: (i) Design for manufacture and

assembly (DfMA) alliance; (ii) Registered construction professionals in the Architectural Services

Department (ARCHSD) list of organizations; (iii) Engineering & Associated Consultants

Selection Board (EACSB) list of consulting organizations; (iv) Architectural and Associated

Consultants Selection Board (AACSB) list of consulting organizations; (v) Hong Kong Institution

of Engineers (HKIE); (vi) Hong Kong Institute of Construction Managers (HKICM); and (vii)

Association of Consulting Engineers of Hong Kong (ACEHK).

The surveys were conducted online. For the purposive sampling, the acknowledged experts from

the above sources were invited via emails to confirm their suitability for the survey and complete

the questionnaire. For the snowball sampling, the respondents were requested to suggest or forward

the emails to other suitable colleagues interested in sharing their experience and knowledge in the

study. In some cases, the suggested respondents accepted and completed the survey. As such, they

were included in the final list of respondents. Overall, 56 valid responses were received from the

international survey, and 117 valid responses were received from the Hong Kong survey. These

134
responses formed the basis for the quantitative analysis and prioritization of the factors. Table 3.2

summarizes the background information of the international experts and Fig 3.10 summarizes the

demographic information of the respondents in Hong Kong

Table 3.2: Background information of the international MiC experts


Attribute Sub-attribute Responses (N=56) % Responses (N=100%)
Job Sector Academia 44 78.6
Industry 12 21.4
Years of MiC < 5 years 27 48.2
work 5 - 10 years 13 23.2
experience 11 - 15 years 5 8.9
16 - 20 years 2 3.6
≥ 21years 9 16.1
Country China 14 25.0
United States 10 17.9
Canada 8 14.3
Australia 5 8.9
Malaysia 4 7.1
United Kingdom 4 7.2
Brazil 1 1.8
Finland 1 1.8
Germany 1 1.8
Greece 1 1.8
Lebanon 1 1.8
Singapore 1 1.8
Slovakia 1 1.8
Spain 1 1.8
Sweden 1 1.8
Switzerland 1 1.8
Tanzania 1 1.8
Project types Housing/ real estate 40 71.43
participated Commercial/Office projects 17 30.36
Schools/education 15 26.79
Industrial Projects 13 23.21
Health/hospital projects 10 17.86
Energy/ Power projects 9 16.07
Prisons/ Défense 3 5.36
Water treatment plant/ Sewage 3 5.36
projects
Other (please specify) 6 10.71

Table 3.2 shows that most of the international experts (44, 78.6%) were actively working in

academia. This unequal sectorial distribution of the experts is characteristic of previous

135
international survey studies. Interestingly, academic experts have stronger ties with the industry

and provide several consultancy services to industry practitioners. Some academic experts have

worked in the industry for some time before joining academia. Thus, the sectorial distribution

offered an opportunity to capture the views of both academics and industry practitioners. A

significant proportion (27, 48.2%) of the international MiC experts had below five years of hands-

on experience in MiC projects. This proportion is entirely justifiable because the MiC method is

still fledgling in some countries, with fewer projects been implemented. However, these subject

matter experts had researched and published research articles and acquired in-depth knowledge of

how best to deliver MiC projects. Also, most of the experts had over five years of hands-on and

practical work experience in the MiC method. Over 16% of the experts had over 21 years of

experience and worked on several MiC project types.

No. of Responses No. of Responses


Social Service Organization
50
Statutory Body
Professional institution
Institution of respondent

Logistics company 40
No. of Responses

Supplier/Manufacturing firm
Architectural firm 30
Quantity Surveyor
Engineering firm
20
Developer
Academic/Research Institution
Government agency 10
Construction company
Consultancy 0
0 10 20 30 40 1 year 2 years 3 years 4 years Over 4 years

No. of Responses Years of experience in MiC projects

Social Service Organization


80 No. of Responses
Statutory Body
Institution of respondent

Professional institution 70
No. of Responses

Logistics company No. of Responses 60


Supplier/Manufacturing firm
Architectural firm 50
Quantity Surveyor
40
Engineering firm
Developer 30
Academic/Research Institution
20
Government agency
Construction company 10
Consultancy
0
0 10 20 30 40 1 - 5 years 6 - 10 years 11 - 15 years 16 - 20 years Over 20 years
No. of Responses Years of construction industry experience

Figure 3.5: Demographic information of the respondents

136
Figure 3.5 shows that the Hong Kong respondents worked in wide-ranging institutions situated at

different echelons of the MiC delivery chain. They included industry practitioners and subject

matter experts of diverse occupational backgrounds, including the key stakeholders and core team

members in MiC projects (Luo et al., 2019; Wuni and Shen, 2020b). The diverse institutional and

occupational backgrounds provided rich and unbiased expert knowledge in evaluating the DMFs,

CSFs, CRFs, and CSC for residential MiC projects, lending further credence to the study's

outcomes. Nearly 80% of the respondents had at least 11 years of construction industry experience

in Hong Kong. Hence, the subject matter experts had a good understanding and knowledge of the

local industry climate to provide a reliable assessment of the various practices. Most (59%) of the

respondents had over two years of relevant practical experiences in MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Thus, they had substantial expertise and experience to assess the DMFs, CSFs, CRFs, and CSC

for residential MiC projects. The significant proportion (48%) having one year of MiC experience

in Hong Kong is reasonable because the technology became officially promoted in 2017, and

actual pilot projects only started in 2018 (Pan and Hon, 2018).

4.5.3 Semi-structured interviews

An interview refers to a communication session between a researcher and a respondent, in which

the researcher controls the agenda by asking the respondent questions (Johannesson and Perjons,

2014). While questionnaires are suitable for obtaining straightforward data from a large sample

size, interviews are more effective for collecting complex and sensitive information based on

respondents' experiences, knowledge, and expertise. There are three types of interviews in

construction management research: structured, semi-structured, and unstructured interviews

(Fellows and Liu, 2015). This study employed semi-structured interviews to provide the

respondent with flexibility and openness in discussing the MiC project implementation practices

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based on a set of questions (Johannesson and Perjons, 2014). It was considered appropriate for

investigating complex issues because it offers an unrestricted environment for respondents to

express their opinions and formulate answers. Thus, it encourages the interviewees to share new

ideas beyond the questions.

The semi-structured interviews were conducted to enable the interviewees to complement the

survey findings and provide a more in-depth understanding of residential MiC project

implementation practices in Hong Kong. As such, the interviews investigated seven key themes,

including CSFs, CRFs, challenges encountered, lessons learned, key considerations, and other

important aspects of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. A list of questions was asked to

explore these themes (see Appendix C). The study purposively selected ten (10) experienced MiC

project team members and subject matter experts from referrals and the questionnaire sampling

frame. All protocols were observed to collect reliable answers. The interviewer avoided leading,

double-barrelled, and confirmatory questions. The study employed prompting, probing, and

checking during the interview to nudge the interviewees to start speaking, provide more details,

and ensure that the interviewer correctly understood the interviewees' answers, respectively. With

the permission of the interviewees, all sessions were recorded and filed notes taken, forming the

basis for subsequent analysis.

4.5.4 Case studies

The study conducted case studies of six representative local and international residential MiC

projects to understand the actual critical factors contributing to success, prominent risk events,

challenges encountered, lessons learned, and best practices benchmarked. The investigated cases

included both successful and failed residential MiC projects. The case study findings

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complemented the outcomes of the questionnaires and interviews in developing the best practice

framework.

The study selected the cases based on two criteria: (i) it should be a successful or failed residential

MiC project in Hong Kong or abroad; and (ii) information about the project experience and

outcome should be accessible, even if it is not publicly available. The selected cases met both

criteria and provided the required data to address the relevant research questions. The study

developed a codebook (Table 3.3) to guide data collection in the selected cases.

Table 3.3: Codebook for context analyses of the cases


Code Definition of codes
Background Information about projects performance, structure, and details
MiC stages Specific MiC applications in the delivery chain of a projects
Considerations Key considerations in each stage of the MiC project delivery chain
Technologies Supporting digital and smart technologies used in delivering each stage
of the projects
Project business partners Relevant project players and key stakeholders in each stage
Deliverables Typical output from each stage
Challenges Difficulties encountered in delivering each stage
Prominent risk events Uncertainties and failure sources in each stage
Lessons learned Mistakes, errors, and poor decisions, practices, and processes in each
stage
Best practices Delivery strategies that guarantee consistent good results in each stage

The study adhered to a well-established set of guidelines and protocols for conducting case study

research. These included planning, data collection, analysis, and reflection on findings employed

(Cepeda and Martin, 2005; Yin, 2018). Data were collected through documentation, site visits,

workshops, and interviews. For the Hong Kong cases, site visits were conducted, and relevant

information of the projects' performance, structure, and experience were collected based on the

codebook and used explicitly for the study. For the international cases, relevant and accessible

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information was collected based on the codebook. Based on the codebook, the study analysed

actual experiences and delivery practices in the investigated cases based on the collected

information and data. In cases where clarifications were required, emails were sent to some of the

relevant project stakeholders whose contact details were accessible.

4.5.5 Document analysis

Beyond the academic literature, the study analysed selected international government publications,

industry technical reports and policy guidelines to extract relevant information to complement the

findings from the other data sources. Table 3.3 summarizes the included documents. Technical

guidelines for implementing MiC projects were reviewed, adapted, and incorporated into the best

practice framework, making it readily applicable and relevant to real-world projects.

Table 3.4: Relevant government publications and industry guidelines used in the study

Document title Origin Reference


An Offsite Guide for the Building and Engineering United (Fraser et al., 2015)
Services Sector Kingdom
Design for Manufacture and Assembly (DfMA): Singapore (Building and
Prefabricated Prefinished Volumetric Construction Construction Authority,
Guidebook 2017)
Survey on the Potential Utilization of Prefabrication Hong Kong (Construction Industry
Yards in Hong Kong - Survey Report Council, 2017)
Guidelines on the statutory requirements for Hong Kong (Construction Industry
Modular Integrated Construction Project Council, 2019a)
Advanced Industrialised Methods for the United (Horner et al., 2019)
Construction of Homes Kingdom
Reference Material on the Statutory Requirements Hong Kong (Construction Industry
for Modular Integrated Construction Projects Council, 2020)

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Methodology for Quantifying the Benefits of United (van Vuuren and
Offsite Construction Kingdom Middleton, 2020)

4.6 Data Analysis Techniques

The study employed various analytical techniques to answer the different research questions and

provide complementary outcomes for realizing the aim of the study. These techniques include

thematic content analysis, reliability test, Shapiro-Wilk test, Mann Whitney U test, Kruskal Wallis

H test, Mean Score Ranking, Risk Significance Index, Factor Analysis, Fuzzy Synthetic

Evaluation (FSE), Structural Equation Modelling (SEM), and Monte Carlo Simulation.

4.6.1 Thematic content analysis

A content analysis describes a set of qualitative data analysis tools used to explore patterns and

trends in texts, including their structure and relationships (Vaismoradi et al., 2013). It provides

qualitative researchers with systematic coding and categorizing framework for trends, patterns,

frequency, structure, and interlinkages of words in a large corpus of textual information (Finfgeld-

Connett, 2014). On the other hand, thematic analysis refers to the hermeneutic content analysis

method used to identify, categorize, analyse, and report patterns, themes, or concepts within

qualitative data (Braun and Clarke, 2006). It enables researchers to recognize, describe, and

interpret patterns and themes from non-numerical data. This study employed thematic content

analysis to explore the data from the SLRs, document analysis, case studies, and semi-structured

interviews. It adhered to a well-established set of guidelines and protocols for thematic analysis,

comprising acquainting with the data, generating initial codes, searching for themes, reviewing

themes, defining and naming them, and generating knowledge (Braun and Clarke, 2006). A

detailed description of qualitative content analysis and thematic analysis is beyond the study's

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scope and can be found in the literature (Braun and Clarke, 2006; Finfgeld-Connett, 2014;

Vaismoradi et al., 2013). The study developed a codebook to guide the interviews, case studies,

and document analysis based on the research questions.

4.6.2 Reliability test

A reliability test is conducted in survey-based studies to ascertain the internal consistency in the

responses and validity of the data collection instrument (Cronbach, 1951; Nunnally and Berstein,

1994). However, the term internal consistency has been controversially defined and construed

variously, including homogeneity, average inter-item correlation, general factor saturation, and

internal consistency reliability (Tang et al., 2014). Along the lines of inter-item correlation and

general factor saturation, this study considers internal consistency as the degree to which items in

the questionnaires measured various aspects of the same construct and generated consistent scores.

Although several metrics have been proposed for measuring reliability (Tang et al., 2014), this

study employed Cronbach’s Alpha to evaluate the internal consistency of responses. The

Cronbach’s Alpha coefficient (α) takes values between 0.0 (lowest) and 1.0 (highest). The higher

the value of α, the higher the scale’s reliability (Cronbach, 1951). The minimum acceptable

threshold value of α is 0.70 (Tavakol and Dennick, 2011). Thus, α between 0.7 and 1.0 are

considered highly reliable and acceptable internal consistency in research (Nunnally and Berstein,

1994). The α was computed using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) software.

4.6.3 Shapiro-Wilk test

Survey data from questionnaires can be analysed using parametric or non-parametric statistical

tests, depending on the distribution of the dataset (Kim, 2015). Parametric statistical tests are

suitable when the data follows a normal distribution, whereas non-parametric tests have no such

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requirements (Ott and Longnecker, 2016). Thus, it is imperative to ascertain the dataset’s

distribution to inform the choice of statistical tests. The most convenient approach involves

checking whether the dataset is normally distributed. The two commonly used techniques to test

the normality of the data include the Shapiro-Wilk (S – W) test (Chou et al., 1998; Shapiro and

Wilk, 1965) and Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K – S) test (Mishra et al., 2019). These tests compare the

scores in the sample to a normally distributed set of scores with the same mean and standard

deviations, with the null hypothesis that the sample distribution is normal (Ghasemi and Zahediasl,

2012). In both cases, if the test is significant, the distribution of the dataset is considered non-

normal. Some statisticians have recommended using the Shapiro-Wilk test for sample sizes less

than 50 and the Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) test for samples sizes more than 50 (Ghasemi and

Zahediasl, 2012). However, it has also been proven that the Shapiro Wilk test can still provide

reliable results in samples less than 2000 (Chou et al., 1998; Mishra et al., 2019). As such, this

study conducted the S – W test to check the normality of the data distribution to inform the

selection of appropriate statistical tests for analysing the data. The S – W test is usually performed

based on the null hypothesis that the population is normally distributed. Hence, the null hypothesis

is rejected when the p-value is less than the chosen significance level (e.g., 0.05 at 95% CI), and a

conclusion is made that the tested data are not normally distributed (Chou et al., 1998). This study

used the SPSS software to conduct the S – W test to test the null hypothesis using an alpha level

of 0.05 at a 95% confidence interval.

4.6.4 Kruskal Wallis H test

The Hong Kong questionnaire respondents had various occupational backgrounds and worked in

different institutions. Thus, it was imperative to ascertain whether there are statistically significant

differences among the respondents in assessing the questionnaire items due to the differences in

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background. The two major non-parametric tests of (dis)agreement among questionnaire item

raters include the Mann-Whitney (M – W) U test and the Kruskal-Wallis (K – W) test, respectively

(Kim, 2015). These non-parametric tests make the following assumptions: (i) dependent variables

are measured on an ordinal scale, (ii) independent variables comprises more than two independent

categorical groups, (iii) responses are random and independent, and (iv) responses are not normally

distributed (Nachar, 2008; Vargha and Delaney, 1998).

The M – W U test is an ordinal rank-based non-parametric equivalent of the two-sample t-test that

determines whether two independent samples originate from the same population (Nachar, 2008).

It checks whether there are statistically significant differences between responses of two

independent categorical groups. The Kruskal-Wallis H test is an ordinal rank-based non-

parametric equivalent of the one-way Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). It ascertains whether there

are statistically significant differences among two or more categorical independent groups (Chan

and Walmsley, 1997; Ostertagová et al., 2014). It measures whether the responses of two or more

independent groups originate from the same population (Vargha and Delaney, 1998). This study

used the K – W H test to conduct inter-group comparisons to ascertain whether there are

statistically significant differences between the Hong Kong questionnaire respondents. The K – W

H test was appropriate because the respondents had more than two occupational and institutional

backgrounds. The K – W H test operates based on a null hypothesis that the categorical groups

originate from the same population. The study used the SPSS software to test the null hypotheses

in the datasets using an alpha level of 0.05 at a 95% confidence interval.

4.6.5 Mean score ranking

The arithmetic mean is a descriptive statistic and measures the central tendency of a probability

distribution along median and mode (Norusis, 2008; Ott and Longnecker, 2016). It provides a

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quantitative indicator of the average responses of the assessors, computed as a ratio of the sum of

all the given responses to the total number of respondents. The study computed mean scores (MS)

and standard deviations of the DMFs and CSFs using the SPSS software. The mean scores and

standard deviations played complementary roles in ranking the factors in this study. When two

items obtain the same mean score, the one with the lowest standard deviation is ranked higher

because it has a minimal distribution of the responses around its mean value (Ott and Longnecker,

2016). However, the mean is sensitive to outliers and can provide misleading rankings. Thus, the

study computed the normalized mean values to determine the critical threshold for filtering the

most critical items. The normalized mean scores were computed as follows.

i µ −Min.µi
Normalized mean value (NMV) = Max.µ (Eqn. 2.4)
i − Min.µi

Where, µi = MS of the ith factor, where 1 ≤ µi ≤ 5; Min.µi = the lowest MS of the factor set; and

Max.µi = the highest MS of the factor set. As a thumb rule, a NMV of 0.5 was considered a

minimum criticality threshold.

4.6.6 Risk Significance Index

A construction project risk refers to any uncertainty, process, decision, and event that could impact

the realization of project objectives and expectation of stakeholder requirements (Project

Management Institute, 2017). Risks are inevitable in construction projects and must be managed

to minimize their negative impact on project performance (Baloi and Price, 2003). A major

component of risk management is risk assessment, used to prioritize the high impact events

(Project Management Institute, 2017). The impact (exposure) of a risk event is commonly

computed as a function of risk’s probability of occurrence and severity (Ameyaw and Chan, 2015;

145
Ke et al., 2011; Xu et al., 2010). Hence, a risk significance index is usually computed to quantify

the expected value of the risk events using the following formula.

Risk exposure = probability X severity (Eqn. 3.1)

Risk impact (significance index) =√Probability X Severity (Eqn. 3.2)

4.6.7 Factor analysis

Factor analysis refers to a multivariate statistical method used to condense and cluster a large

corpus of inter-related variables into fewer factor groupings (Pett et al., 2003). It employs a

structure detection technique to cluster correlated variables within a set. It is extensively used in

construction management research to manage factor complexity through structuring and clustering

large sets of correlated variables into fewer factors. There are two types of factor analysis:

exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and confirmatory factor analysis (CFA). EFA is used when the

analysts have little or no knowledge of the number of factors necessary to explain the

interrelationships among a set of invested variables (Pett et al., 2003). It enables the analyst to

explore the fundamental dimensions of the constructs of interest. CFA is used to assess the extent

to which the hypothesized organization of a set of identified factors fits the data (Pett et al., 2003).

It is used when the analyst knows the underlying structure of the investigated constructs. CFA is

an advanced factor analysis technique, requiring a comprehensive analysis of covariance structures

and usually deployed in structural equation modelling (Brown, 2015). It can test the utility of the

underlying dimensions of construct identified through EFA. In other words, EFA determines the

factor structure, and CFA verifies the factor structure.

However, some conditions must be met before conducting EFA. There are well-established metrics

for verifying the suitability of data for EFA, including reliability analysis (e.g., Cronbach’s Alpha),

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variable to sample size ratio, anti-image correlation matrix, Bartlett’s test of sphericity, and Kaiser-

Meyer-Olkin (KMO) test of sampling adequacy (Cerny and Kaiser, 1977; Lingard and Rowlinson,

2006; Pett et al., 2003). Table 3.5 summarizes these indicators, including their minimum

acceptable threshold values.

Table 3.5: Test statistics for verifying the suitability of the dataset for EFA
Test statistic Acceptable range Reference
Variable to sample size ratio ≥ 1: 5 Lingard and Rowlinson (2006)
Cronbach’s Alpha 0.7 – 1.0 Tavakol and Dennick (2011)
Anti-image correlation matrix >0.5 Norusis (2008)
KMO Measure of Sampling Adequacy 0.8 – 1.0 Cerny and Kaiser (1977)
Bartlett's Test Approx. Chi-Square N/A ---
of Sphericity df N/A ---
Sig. <0.05 @95% CI Pett et al. (2003)

Based on conditions in Table 3.5, EFA was used to explore the structure of the DMFs, CRFs, and

CSFs for residential MiC projects. The study employed principal component analysis as the

extraction method and varimax with Kaiser Normalization as the rotation method in all EFA

analyses. The factor groupings generated from the EFA became input variables for the FSE of the

DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for residential MiC projects. CFA was mainly used to conduct a PLS –

SEM of the CRFs for residential MiC projects.

4.6.8 Fuzzy synthetic evaluation (FSE)

FSE is a branch of fuzzy set theory. It is considered an artificial intelligence technique that uses

fuzzy logic to quantify the degree of truth in human judgment (Boussabaine, 2014). Thus, it

provides an advanced computational framework and the capability to overcome the inherent

limitations of using the binary Boolean logic (i.e., Yes or No; True or False) to assess events during

147
decision-making. It is considered a multi-criteria evaluation technique that enables the analyst to

quantitatively model multiple attributes in multi-criteria decision-making problems (Sadiq and

Rodriguez, 2004).

It has been extensively used in construction management research to develop evaluation models

and indices for various construction projects (Ameyaw and Chan, 2015; Osei-Kyei et al., 2017;

Xu et al., 2010). The superiority of FSE lies in leveraging membership functions to manipulate

and make objective assessments of subjectiveness, fuzziness, and imprecision inherent in human

judgment during decision-making (Sadiq and Rodriguez, 2004). This study used FSE to quantify

principal components and develop evaluation models for the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The well-established protocols for conducted FSE

modelling are as follows.

Step 1. Setting up the evaluation index system: For m constructs, the evaluation index system for

principal components is defined as: U = (u1, u2, u3, um); where u1 to um denotes the number of

evaluation criteria. A second level evaluation index system for the sub-criteria within each

principal component is defined as: u1 = {u11, u12, u13,…, u1n), u2 = {u21, u22, u23,…, u2n), and um =

{um1, um2, um3,…, umn); where n denotes the number of sub-criteria or variables within each

principal component. These index systems represent the input variables in the FSE modelling

process. The MiC industry practitioners and subject matter experts were requested to rate the

shortlisted DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs, using a five-point rating scale defined as: V = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5},

reflecting a set of five grade alternatives defined as: Vi = {V1, V2, V3, V4, V5}, where V1 to V5

represent the linguistic terms assigned to the grades of the five-point rating scale.

Step 2. Computing the weightings of each evaluation criteria: The weighting (W) of each

criterion can be computed using several techniques, including the analytic hierarchy process,

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tabulated judgment, and normalized mean method. For simplicity and consistency with the

questionnaire design, this study employed the normalized mean method to compute the weightings

of each factor (Eqn. 3.3) and principal component (Eqn. 3.4) as follows:
𝜇𝑖
Wi = ∑5 , 0 ≤ Wi ≤ 1, Σ (Wi) = 1 (Eqn. 3.3)
𝑖=1 𝜇𝑖

Wi = {w1, w2, w3,…, wn} (Eqn. 3.4)

Where Wi is the weighting of a factor or principal component; n represents the number of factors

in each principal component; µi denotes the mean score of a criterion or factor component; and

Σ(Wi) denotes the summation of weightings.

Step 3. Determining the membership function (MF) of each criterion and factor component:

FSE uses the experts' assessment across the rating scale's grade alternatives to derive the MF of

each factor or criterion. The MF of each factor (vin) was computed as follows.

X1𝑣 X2𝑣 X3𝑣 X4𝑣 X5𝑣


𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛
𝑀𝐹𝑣𝑖𝑛 = + + + + (Eqn. 3.5)
V1 V2 V3 V4 V5

Where 𝑀𝐹𝑣𝑖𝑛 denotes the MF of a specific factor vin; X𝑗𝑣 (j = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5) represents the percentage
𝑖𝑛

of a score assigned that the experts assigned to a factor vin; and X𝑗𝑣 /V𝑗 explains the relation
𝑖𝑛

between X𝑗𝑣 and its associated grade alternative based on the rating scale. Alternatively, Eqn.
𝑖𝑛

(3.5) can also be expressed as follows:

𝑀𝐹𝑣𝑖𝑛 = (X1𝑣 , X2𝑣 , X3𝑣 , X 4𝑣 , X5𝑣 ), ∑5𝑗=1 (X𝑗𝑣 ) = 1 (Eqn. 3.6)


𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛 𝑖𝑛

The MF of a principal component is also termed a fuzzy evaluation matrix (Di). It is computed as

a product of the fuzzy matrix of MFs of all factors within the component and their weightings. The

fuzzy matrix (Ri) using Eqn. (3.7) and the fuzzy evaluation matrix is computed using Eqn. (3.8),

as follows.

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MFvi1 X1V X2V X 3V X4V X5V
i1 i1 i1 i1 i1
MFvi2 X1V X2V X 3V X4V X5V
i2 i2 i2 i2 i2
Ri = MFvi3 = X1V X2V X 3V X4V X5V (Eqn. 3.7)
i3 i3 i3 i3 i3
… … … … … …
[MFvin ] [X1Vin X2V
in
X3V
in
X4V
in
X5V ]
in

X1V X2V X3V X4V X 5V


i1 i1 i1 i1 i1
X1V X2V X3V X4V X 5V
i2 i2 i2 i2 i2
Di = Wi ● Ri = (w1, w2, w3,...,wn) ● X1V X2V X3V X4V X 5V
i3 i3 i3 i3 i3
… … … … …
[X1V in
X2V
in
X3V
in
X4V
in
X 5V ]
in

Di = (di1, di2, di3,..., din) (Eqn. 3.8)

Where Di represents the final evaluation matrix (i.e., MF of a principal component); Wi denotes

the weightings of the factors within the associated principal component; Ri denotes the fuzzy

evaluation matrix; “●” is a fuzzy composite operation; and din denotes the degree of membership

of the grade alternative for a given factor.

Step 4. Quantifying the impact level or index and developing the evaluation model. This stage

of the FSE modelling process computes the overall impact level or impact of the constructs. The

overall impact or index is computed as a product of the fuzzy evaluation matrix (Di) and the rating

scale's grade alternatives (Vi). Mathematically, the overall impact level or index of each principal

component is computed as follows:

Overall Index = ∑ni=1(Di × 𝑉i ) = (di1, di2, di3,..., din) x (v1, v2, v3, v4, v5)

Overall Index = ((di1*v1) + (di2*v2) + (di3*v3) + + (di4*v4) + (di5*v5)) (Eqn. 3.9)

In all cases, the study normalized the computed impacts or indices of the principal components. It

used them to develop linear additive evaluation models to assess the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

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4.6.9 Partial least square – structural equation modelling

Structural equation modelling (SEM) is a versatile multivariate statistical technique providing the

computational capacity to investigate the relationships among several exogenous (independent)

latent variables and endogenous (dependent) latent variables within a model (Kline, 2015). A latent

variable (LV) refers to an unseen construct responsible for the correlation among measured

variables (Aibinu and Al-Lawati, 2010). SEM is termed covariance structure analysis, covariance

structure modelling, or analysis of covariance (Kline, 2015). It is a second-generation multivariate

statistical technique integrating factor analysis, path analysis, and multiple regression analysis to

address their inherent limitations in examining relationships between multiple explanatory and

response variables (Dattalo, 2008). It is employed when data embody multiple indicators for each

variable (called LVs or factors) and specified paths connecting the LVs.

A complete structural equation model embodies a measurement model and structural model (Hair

et al., 2017). The measurement model describes the relationship between observed variables and

the construct(s) (those variables are hypothesized to measure). In contrast, the structural model

describes the interrelationships among the constructs (Dattalo, 2008). SEM uses CFA in generating

the measurement model, showing the relationships between observed measures or indicators and

latent variables or factors. SEM demands analysts to pre-specify all model aspects because it is

hypothesis-driven (Brown, 2015). Hence, the modeler must have a firm a priori knowledge, based

on past evidence and theory, of the number of factors in the data and which indicators are related

to which factors. The five major SEM processes include (i) model specification, (ii) model

identification, (iii) model estimation, (iv) test of fit, and (v) model respecification or modification

(Kline, 2015). There are mainly two SEM approaches, including covariance-based structure

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analysis and component-based analysis using partial least squares (PLS) estimation (Schumacker

and Lomax, 2015).

This study used the PLS-SEM to investigate the relationships and interdependencies between the

principal components of the CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong due to several

reasons. First, PLS-SEM uses the PLS structural path estimation approach without presuming

distributional shapes of the measured variables. Its component-based approach is distribution-free

and suitable when a dataset has non-normal or unknown distributions (Hair et al., 2019). The CRFs

for residential MiC projects were rated using a Likert scale. Hence, the distributions of the risk

factors were unknown. Thus, PLS-SEM was more appropriate than the covariance-based SEM

(Aibinu and Al-Lawati, 2010). Second, PLS-SEM is more tolerant and receptive to smaller sample

sizes than the covariance-based SEM (Hair et al., 2019). The critical sample size for making

accurate assessments of model fit in covariance-based SEM is at least 200 (Schumacker and

Lomax, 2015). On the other hand, a robust and reliable PLS-SEM model can be constructed from

a sample of less than 100 (Hair et al., 2019). Third, PLS-SEM was preferred because of its modest

measurement assumptions. The covariance-based SEM assumes that the observed measures have

random error variance and measure-specific variance components, which are not of theoretical

interest and are excluded from the measurement model. In contrast, PLS-SEM assumes that

explaining all observed measure variance is essential (Aibinu and Al-Lawati, 2010). The study

implemented the typical protocols for PLS-SEM (Aibinu and Al-Lawati, 2010; Chin, 1998; Hair

et al., 2017, 2019), as follows:

Step 1. Model specification: developing a conceptual causal model based on an extensive review

of the a priori relationship between the constructs.

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Step 2. Model estimation: conducting iterative CFA to verify the specified model's structure and

relationships. This analysis results in the specification of the measurement model.

Step 3. Measurement model interpretation: evaluating reliability and validity of items in the

measurement model to inform the specification of the structural model for verifying the

hypotheses. The reliability analysis involved composite reliability and Cronbach’s Alpha. The

validity of the measurement model involved convergent validity and discriminant validity.

Convergent validity uses the factor loadings of the measurement items and average variance

extracted (AVE) to evaluate the internal consistency. Discriminant validity uses the Fornell and

Larcker criterion, cross-loading of the measurement items, and heterotrait-monotrait (HTMT) ratio

of correlation to evaluate the level at which a construct differs from other constructs.

Step 4. Structural model development: It generated the structural model through path analysis. It

involved evaluating the hypotheses and determining the path coefficients (i.e., standardized betas),

measuring the association levels among constructs.

Step 5. Model validation: Checking normality of the data using Kurtosis and Mardia’s Multivariate

skewness. The structural model of the CRFs was assessed for collinearity, significance and

relevance of the structural model relationships, coefficient of determination (R2), effect sizes (f2),

and predictive relevance (q2). The study employed bootstrapping to test the significance of the path

coefficient. Bootstrapping constitutes a robust non-parametric technique that uses the resampling

method to test the significance of the t-value of the path coefficients of the structural model. It

constitutes an inferential statistical method for estimating sampling distribution by randomly

drawing with replacement from the original sample, aiming to derive a robust estimate of the CIs

of a population parameter (i.e., the path coefficient in the estimated theoretical model). It is a

versatile tool for testing hypotheses in any distribution and sample size. The structural model was

153
also assessed by computing the effect sizes of the constructs to ascertain the degree to which one

independent construct contributes to explaining a particular dependent construct in terms of R2.

4.6.10 Monte Carlo simulation

Monte Carlo (MC) simulation is a random number generator capable of considering various

distribution functions for modelling risks and uncertainties associated with events (Mahdiyar et

al., 2021). It is a probabilistic simulation technique that explicitly captures the stochastic nature of

uncertainties and risk events (Xie, 2020). It generates appropriate probability distributions from

random sampling across parameters and employs numerous simulation trials (iterations) for

generating paths that provide probabilistic estimates of uncertainties from suitable numerical

computations. The MC technique can determine the uncertainties and variability quantitatively in

simulation exposure of probability, generate the range of simulation model results, and reveal the

main drivers of the variability and uncertainties while considering their relative contribution to the

overall variance (Xie, 2020).

MC simulation was used to overcome the grave limitations of single-point statistical estimates of

the two-dimensional matrix-based probability–impact (P – I) risk model: : (i) it overlooks the

consequences of tail risks (i.e., low-probability, high-impact risks) leading suboptimal decisions

in selecting risk response strategies; (ii) it fails to recognize the condition where the probability of

occurrence and severity of risks on project fundamentals are unknown to the decision-maker; (iii)

it cannot capture and retain the profiles, probability distributions, and uncertainties associated with

risks; and (iv) it cannot capture and allocate risk management resources based on varied risk

tolerance levels (Qazi and Simsekler, 2021). MC simulation is recognized in the construction

industry as an advanced probabilistic risk assessment technique (Construction Industry Institute,

2013). The processes of the probabilistic risk assessment model are provided in this thesis.

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4.7 Statistical Pretesting of the Questionnaire Dataset

4.7.1 Reliability Analysis of the Questionnaire Data

The Cronbach's Alpha was used to ascertain the internal consistency of the questionnaire

responses. SPSS was used to compute the Cronbach's Alphas of the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs for

residential MiC projects in the Hong Kong questionnaire dataset. Table 3.6 summarizes outcomes

of the reliability analysis.

Table 3.6: Cronbach Alpha values of the DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs data

Category No. of items Cronbach Alpha


Decision-making factors 25 0.911
Critical risk factors Probability 26 0.952

Impact 26 0.960

Critical success factors 23 0.948

The Cronbach's Alpha values for the evaluated DMFs, CSFs, and CRFs for residential MiC

projects ranged from 0.911 to 0.960. The values exceeded the minimum acceptable threshold of

0.7, indicating excellent internal consistency of the responses and validity of the questionnaire

dataset (Nunnally and Berstein, 1994; Tavakol and Dennick, 2011).

4.7.2 Distribution of the Datasets and Agreement among the Respondents

4.7.2.1 Suitability decision-making factors

Table 3.7 presents results of S – W test of normality and K – W test of statistically significant

differences among the respondents in rating the importance levels of suitability DMFs for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, at a 95% confidence interval (α = 0. 05). The asymptotic

significance (p-values) of the S – W test of the 25 suitability DMFs for residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong are less than the chosen 0.05 significance level, indicating non-normality in the data

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distribution. Hence, it was appropriate to use only non-parametric statistical tests (i.e., K – W H

test) to conduct a rank agreement analysis of DMFs.

Table 3.7: S – W and K – W tests of the suitability DMFs for residential MiC projects
ID Decision-making factors S – W test K – W test
(Sig.) (Sig.)
DMF1 Presence of repetitive layout in design 0.000 0.652
DMF2 Suitability of design for MiC 0.000 0.965
DMF3 Structural integrity of modules 0.000 0.321
DMF4 Availability of lead time for MiC modules 0.000 0.389
DMF5 Site layout, characteristics, and environment 0.000 0.658
DMF6 Dimensions and number of required MiC units 0.000 0.720
DMF7 Expediting construction 0.000 0.693
DMF8 Availability of skilled and experienced labor force 0.000 0.628
DMF9 Readiness of the project team, including contractor, 0.000 0.850
consultant, designer
DMF10 Minimizing environmental nuisance and neighborhood noise 0.000 0.065
DMF11 Number of stories 0.000 0.557
DMF12 Availability of construction equipment 0.000 0.418
DMF13 Reducing construction waste footprint 0.000 0.154
DMF14 Reducing embodied energy and carbon emissions 0.000 0.687
DMF15 Availability of supportive technology (e.g., BIM) 0.000 0.869
DMF16 Nature, size, scope, and type of the project 0.000 0.844
DMF17 Width of the transport network to site and traffic conditions in 0.000 0.434
the vicinity
DMF18 Accessibility and availability of temporary storage areas at the 0.000 0.096
site location
DMF19 Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site 0.000 0.548
DMF20 Availability and capacity of fabricators 0.000 0.064
DMF21 Project procurement system and contract type 0.000 0.178
DMF22 Business needs, client contract or regulatory requirements 0.000 0.429
DMF23 Reducing lifecycle construction costs 0.000 0.687
DMF24 Industry communication and collaboration culture 0.000 0.636
DMF25 The capability of local MiC supply chain 0.000 0.374

The K – W test was also conducted at a 95% confidence interval to ascertain whether there existed

significant disparity among the fifteen independent respondent groups in assessing the DMFs for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The p-values of the K – W H test were greater than 0.05

for twenty-five DMFs, indicating the absence of statistically significant disparity among the

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experts in ranking the factors that influence the decision to implement the MiC method in

residential building projects in Hong Kong. The outcome provided a statistical legitimacy to

combine and integrate the responses of the various respondents in further analysis.

4.7.2.2 Critical risk factors

Table 3.8 summarizes outcomes of S – W test and K – W H test of the CRFs for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The asymptotic significance (p-values) of the S – W test of the probability

and impact ratings of the 30 CRFs are less than the chosen 0.05 significance level, indicating non-

normality in the data distribution.

Table 3.8: S – W and K – W tests of the CRFs for residential MiC projects
ID Critical risk factors S – W test (Sig.) K – W test (Sig.)
Probability Impact Probability Impact
CRF1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories 0.000 0.000 0.509 0.107
CRF2 Limited MiC expertise and 0.000 0.000 0.577 0.453
experience
CRF3 Supply chain disruptions 0.000 0.000 0.705 0.498
CRF4 Stakeholder fragmentation and 0.000 0.000 0.949 0.449
complexity
CRF5 Higher initial capital requirement 0.000 0.000 0.519 0.742
CRF6 Delay in modules delivery to the 0.000 0.000 0.188 0.601
site
CRF7 Defective design and change order 0.000 0.000 0.478 0.397
CRF8 Unsuitability of design for MiC 0.000 0.000 0.386 0.699
CRF9 Late design completion and 0.000 0.000 0.761 0.595
freezing
CRF10 Inadequate planning and scheduling 0.000 0.000 0.358 0.572
CRF11 Unsuitable procurement system 0.000 0.000 0.319 0.183
CRF12 Incomplete local MiC supply chain 0.000 0.000 0.870 0.746
CRF13 Poor cooperation among critical 0.000 0.000 0.582 0.097
stakeholders
CRF14 Shortages of modules on site 0.000 0.000 0.260 0.323
CRF15 Restrictive site space constraints 0.000 0.000 0.185 0.470
CRF16 Complex interfaces between 0.000 0.000 0.798 0.438
systems
CRF17 Inaccurate MiC design information 0.000 0.000 0.166 0.416
CRF18 Inappropriate structural system and 0.000 0.000 0.096 0.343
construction materials

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CRF19 Module installation errors 0.000 0.000 0.389 0.337
CRF20 Misplacement of stored modules 0.000 0.000 0.153 0.150
CRF21 Absence of standardized modules 0.000 0.000 0.238 0.458
CRF22 Inadequate project funding and tight 0.000 0.000 0.778 0.537
demand for cash inflows
CRF23 Mechanical malfunction of cranes 0.000 0.000 0.350 0.530
CRF24 Inaccurate cost estimation 0.000 0.000 0.251 0.508
CRF25 Design information gap between 0.000 0.000 0.619 0.334
designer and manufacturer
CRF26 Module production errors 0.000 0.000 0.343 0.443

Also, the asymptotic significance (p-values) of the K – W H test of probability and impact ratings

of the 30 CRFs are greater than the chosen 0.05 significance level. The outcome indicated the

absence of statistically significant disparity among the experts in rating the probability and impact

of the CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, providing a statistical legitimacy to

combine and integrate the responses of the various respondents in further analysis.

4.7.2.3 Critical success factors

Table 3.9 summarizes outcomes of the S – W test and K – W H test of the CSFs for residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. The asymptotic significance (p-values) of the S – W test of the 23

CSFs are less than the chosen 0.05 significance level, indicating non-normality of the data

distribution.

Table 3.9: S – W and K – W tests of the CSFs for residential MiC projects
ID Critical success factors S – W test K – W test
(Sig.) (Sig.)
CSF1 Adequate knowledge and experience of critical 0.000 0.551
stakeholders
CSF2 Early understanding and commitment of the client 0.000 0.389
CSF3 Effective leadership and support of a specialist contractor 0.000 0.698
CSF4 Collaborative working relationship among key 0.000 0.256
stakeholders
CSF5 Early design completion and freezing 0.000 0.621
CSF6 Suitable site characteristics and layout 0.000 0.402
CSF7 Suitability of design for MiC 0.000 0.354

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CSF8 Extensive upfront planning for MiC 0.000 0.468
CSF9 Use of collaborative procurement system and contracting 0.000 0.645
CSF10 Seamless supply chain coordination and integration 0.000 0.194
CSF11 Early and active involvement of critical project 0.000 0.591
stakeholders
CSF12 Effective coordination and integration of stakeholders 0.000 0.584
CSF13 Availability of sound transport infrastructure and site 0.000 0.022
equipment
CSF14 Effective coordination of onsite and offsite work 0.000 0.314
packages
CSF15 Using suitable structural system and construction material 0.000 0.868
CSF16 Effective use of building information modeling 0.000 0.774
CSF17 Effective management of critical tolerances between 0.000 0.846
interfaces
CSF18 Early engagement of certification body for factory 0.000 0.650
inspection
CSF19 Inventory management and control 0.000 0.483
CSF20 Use of just-in-time delivery arrangement 0.000 0.276
CSF21 Effective use of document management system 0.000 0.161
CSF22 Use of hedging strategies and transport delay avoidance 0.000 0.703
CSF23 Adequate lead time for bespoke MiC processes 0.000 0.670

Also, the asymptotic significance (p-values) of the K – W H test of the 23 CSFs are greater than

the chosen 0.05 significance level. This indicated the absence of statistically significant disparity

among the experts in assessing the significance of the CSFs, providing a statistical legitimacy to

combine and integrate the responses of the various respondents in further analysis.

4.7.3 Verification of the Suitability of the Datasets for Factor Analysis

Table 3.10 summarizes results of the five metrics for verifying the suitability of the data for EFA

along with their well-established range of acceptable values. The sample size to factor ratio for the

three different data dimensions met the minimum threshold of 5:1 (Lingard and Rowlinson, 2006).

The Cronbach's Alpha values of the three dimensions ranged from 0.911 to 0.960, exceeding the

minimum threshold of 0.7 (Tavakol and Dennick, 2011). The anti-image correlation coefficients

between the factors across the three data dimensions exceeded the 0.5 minimum threshold. The

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Kaiser–Meyer–Olkin (KMO) test statistic for the three data dimensions ranged from 0.848 to

0.924, surpassing the minimum threshold of 0.8 (Pett et al., 2003), corroborating the adequacy of

the sample size for EFA

Table 3.10:Test statistics for verifying the suitability of the data for EFA
Test statistic Acceptable Decision- Critical risk Critical success
range making factors factors
factors (Impact)
Sample size to variable to ratio ≥ 5: 1 4.68:1 4.5:1 5.1:1

Cronbach’s Alpha 0.7 – 1.0 0.911 0.960 0.948


Anti-image correlation matrix >0.5 >0.5 >0.5 >0.5

KMO Measure of Sampling 0.8 – 1.0 0.848 0.896 0.924


Adequacy
Bartlett's Test Approx. χ2 --- 1316.968 2416.692 1702.516
of Sphericity df --- 300 325 253
Sig. <0.05 0.000 0.000 0.000

Bartlett’s Test of Sphericity was conducted at a 95% confidence level (i.e., α = 0.05). Bartlett's

Test of Sphericity, with a Pearson Chi-Square ranging from χ2 = 1316.968 to χ2 = 2416.692

3590.1, and p < 0.000 showed that the correlation matrices of the three data dimensions were

significantly different from an identity matrix. The pre-testing outcomes demonstrated that the

data was suitable for EFA.

4.8 Data Analysis Tools and Software

Various computer applications and software tools were used throughout the research process,

including Microsoft (MS) Excel, @Risk (Excel Add-on) and Word 365, Microsoft Visio 2013,

Microsoft Visual Basic for Applications (VBA), SPSS v.26, SmartPLS (v.3) and Mendeley. MS

Word 365 was the main word processor used in writing the thesis report. MS Excel 365 was used

in redesigning the graphs and charts throughout the research process, generating the template for

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the FSE models of DMFs, CRFs, and CSFs. It was also used for the basic descriptive statistical

analysis and the MC simulation (@Risk Excel Add-on). The study designed, programmed, and

developed the decision support system and performance measurement system in Microsoft VBA

and executed in Microsoft Excel 365. The study mainly used MS Visio 2013 to draw all figures

reported in the thesis. SPSS v.26 was used to code, manage, and analyse the questionnaire data. It

was used to pre-test the questionnaire datasets, compute the descriptive statistics, and conduct the

EFA. SmartPLS was used to develop the structural risk-path model for residential MiC projects.

Mendeley was used to manage the references and generate the citations and bibliographies in the

thesis.

4.9 Chapter Summary

This chapter presented the research methodology of the thesis. It defined and decomposed the

concept of the research paradigm and justified the adoption of pragmatism as the philosophical

tradition that governed the research. It justified the adoption of mixed methods research design

and strategy, consistent with pragmatist philosophical stance. The chapter provided a detailed

description of the research process. It discussed the various data collection and analytical

techniques used to answer the research questions. The chapter also presented results of statistical

pretesting of questionnaire data and outlines the various computer applications and software

packages used to analyse the data. The next chapter presents a suitability decision support for the

MiC method in Hong Kong.

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CHAPTER 4 – SUITABILITY DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR
RESIDENTIAL MiC PROJECTS

4.1 Introduction

This chapter aims to address the MiC suitability assessment problem for residential building

projects. It quantifies the significance of the factors influencing the decision to implement the MiC

method in residential building projects. Then, the chapter generates and models the impact of the

principal components of the significant suitability decision-making factors. Subsequently, the

chapter develops an intelligent (i.e., knowledge-based) suitability decision support system

(Intelligent-MiC) that enables project teams and construction organization to quantify and

ascertain the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong at

outset. It further validates and demonstrates the application of the Intelligent-MiC system and

discusses the findings. The chapter concludes with a summary of the findings.

4.2 Significant Suitability DMFs for the MiC Method

Table 4.1 summarizes the mean scores, standard deviation, and ranking of twenty-five suitability

DMFs for the MiC method in Hong Kong. The mean scores indicate that twenty-one decision-

making factors were considered significant determinants of the suitability of MiC method in

residential building projects in Hong Kong.

Table 4.1: Suitability decision-making factors for the MiC method in Hong Kong.
Code Suitability decision-making factors Mean Std. Dev Rank
DMF1 Presence of repetitive layout in design 4.32 0.83 1
DMF2 Suitability of design for MiC 4.25 0.80 2
DMF18 Accessibility and availability of temporary storage areas at the 4.13 0.74 3
site location
DMF3 Structural integrity of modules 4.12 0.91 4
DMF17 Width of the transport network to site and traffic conditions in 4.02 0.81 5
the vicinity
DMF6 Dimensions and number of required MiC units 3.98 0.78 6

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DMF20 Availability and capacity of fabricators 3.89 0.82 7
DMF4 Availability of lead time for MiC modules 3.84 0.85 8
DMF25 The capability of local MiC supply chain 3.83 0.95 9
DMF5 Site layout, characteristics, and environment 3.82 0.80 10
DMF16 Nature, size, scope, and type of the project 3.78 0.88 11
DMF22 Business needs, client contract or regulatory requirements 3.78 0.85 11
DMF7 Expediting construction 3.77 0.85 13
DMF15 Availability of supportive technology (e.g., BIM) 3.69 0.85 14
DMF11 Number of stories 3.68 0.93 15
DMF9 Readiness of the project team, including contractor, consultant, 3.61 0.92 16
designer
DMF24 Industry communication and collaboration culture 3.60 0.81 17
DMF12 Availability of construction equipment 3.59 0.92 18
DMF8 Availability of skilled and experienced labour force 3.57 0.90 19
DMF13 Reducing construction waste footprint 3.57 0.86 19
DMF19 Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site 3.50 0.94 21
DMF14 Reducing embodied energy and carbon emissions 3.47 0.92 22
DMF21 Project procurement system and contract type 3.46 0.86 23
DMF23 Reducing lifecycle construction costs 3.44 0.81 24
DMF10 Minimizing environmental nuisance and neighbourhood noise 3.42 0.98 25

Table 4.1 shows that the top five most significant factors determining when to use the MiC method

in residential building projects in Hong Kong include DMF1 “Presence of repetitive layout in

design,” DMF2 “Suitability of design for MiC,” DMF18 “Accessibility and availability of

temporary storage areas at site location,” DMF3 “Structural integrity of modules”, and DMF17 "

Width of transport network to site and traffic conditions in the vicinity." These factors demonstrate

the significance of design specifications and site characteristics when implementing the MiC

method in construction projects in Hong Kong. Therefore, project teams must explicitly design

residential buildings to facilitate offsite manufacture and onsite assembly of modules and arrange

suitable sites for construction projects involving the MiC method.

However, some DMFs (e.g., DMF10, DMF14) considered less significant for MiC usage in Hong

Kong were assessed as essential factors influencing PPVC suitability for building and construction

projects in Singapore (Hwang et al., 2018b). This divergence highlights the differences in context

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and sensitivities of the significant suitability DMFs to industry climates. Also, many significant

factors (e.g., DMF5, DMF6, DMF9, DMF17, DMF18, DMF20, DMF22, DMF24, DMF25)

determining the suitability of the MiC method for building and construction projects in Hong Kong

have rarely been considered in the literature and previous decision support tools (Hwang et al.,

2018b; Murtaza et al., 1993). The additional significant suitability DMFs corroborates the

importance of developing a bespoke suitability decision support tool for Hong Kong.

The twenty-one significant DMFs (Table 4.1) indicate that project characteristics, project

objectives, site conditions and characteristics, local industry contexts, regulations, organizational

readiness factors, and supply chain considerations collectively determine when it is appropriate to

use the MiC method in residential building projects (Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway, 2020; Wuni and

Shen, 2019). This revelation corroborates the argument presented in the literature that factors

determining the suitability of the MiC method extends beyond suitable project design and

construction characteristics (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020), requiring relevant decision support

systems.

4.3 Principal Components of the Significant Suitability DMFs for the MiC Method

The EFA rotation of the twenty-five suitability DMFs for the MiC method in Hong Kong

converged in 11 iterations. It generated four principal DMFs (PDMFs) determining the suitability

of the MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong, explaining about 62.99% of

the total variance in the suitability of the MiC method. The PDMFs include PDMF1 (project

characteristics), PDMF2 (project objectives and requirements), PDMF3 (organizational and

industry readiness), and PDMF4 (location and site attributes). Table 4.2 summarizes the factor

loadings of the DMFs within the PDMFs.

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Table 4.2: Factor loadings and eigenvalues of the suitability DMFs for the MiC method
ID Decision-making factors Factor loadings
Principal decision-making factors 1 2 3 4
PDMF1 Project characteristics
DMF2 Suitability of design for MiC 0.798 - - -
DMF11 Number of stories 0.731 - - -
DMF3 Structural integrity of modules 0.720 - - -
DMF4 Availability of adequate lead time for MiC modules 0.696 - - -
DMF1 Presence of repetitive layout in design 0.686 - - -
DMF21 Project procurement system and contract type 0.654 - - -
DMF6 Dimensions and number of required MiC units 0.561 - - -
DMF16 Nature, size, scope, and type of the project 0.518 - - -
PDMF2 Project objectives and requirements - - - -
DMF13 Reducing construction waste footprint - 0.890 - -
DMF14 Reducing embodied energy and carbon emissions - 0.839 - -
DMF10 Minimizing environmental nuisance and - 0.693 - -
neighbourhood noise
DMF19 Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site - 0.678 - -
DMF22 Business needs, client contract or regulatory - 0.571 - -
requirement
DMF23 Reducing lifecycle construction costs - 0.470 - -
DMF7 Expediting construction - 0.427 - -
PDMF3 Organizational and industry readiness - - -
DMF9 Readiness of the project team, including contractor, - - 0.749 -
consultant, designer
DMF25 Capability of local MiC supply chain - - 0.720 -
DMF24 Industry communication and collaboration culture - - 0.699 -
DMF15 Availability of supportive technology - - 0.573 -
DMF20 Availability and capacity of fabricators - - 0.573 -
DMF12 Availability of construction equipment - - 0.549 -
DMF8 Availability of skilled and experienced labour force - - 0.519 -
PDMF4 Location and site attributes - - - -
DMF18 Accessibility and availability of temporary storage - - - 0.701
areas at site location
DMF5 Site layout, characteristics, and environment - - - 0.587
DMF17 Width of transport network to site and traffic - - - 0.501
conditions in the vicinity
Eigenvalue 8.406 3.941 2.441 1.025
Variance explained (%) 33.625 15.768 9.765 3.834
Cumulative variance explained (%) 33.625 49.393 59.158 62.992

4.3.1 Project characteristics (PDMF1)

PDMF1 with an eigenvalue of 8.406 explained 33.63% of the variance in the suitability of the MiC

method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. It includes eight DMFs linked to project

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design and construction features that supports the MiC method in a project. The most significant

DMF within PDMF1 is suitability of the design for the MiC method with a factor loading of 0.798,

highlighting the significance of the early commitment and explicitly designing the project for the

MiC method. Residential MiC projects with repetitive layout in the design are suitable for the MiC

method (Hwang et al., 2018b). According to Li (2020a), the repetition reduces module design

diversity and improves standardization of component design and production. While projects with

higher (>4) number of stories and repetitions also provides opportunities for standardization and

economies of scale, the connections between the modules must have adequate structural integrity

and robustness to accommodate strong wind loads (e.g., typhoons) and seismic forces in Hong

Kong (Hong, 2020). The suitability of MiC for a project also depends on the availability of

adequate lead time for the modules. Within the tighter project schedules, adequate time must be

available for accurate engineering design specification, detailed working drawings, early design

freeze, prototyping, mock-up testing and trial assembly of the modules before mass production

(Gibb and Isack, 2003). The project should also adopt an integrated delivery method and

collaborative procurement system to encourage information sharing and frequent communication

among relevant project participants right at the outset (Nibbelink et al., 2017). The dimensions and

required number of MiC units could influence the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method

in a project (Hwang et al., 2018b). More and repetitive number of units promotes average cost

reductions, leading to cost savings (Li, 2020). The project type, nature, and scope affect the

suitability of MiC projects. Complex projects with non-repeating spaces may not be suitable for

the MiC method, especially when the scale is small (Development Bureau, 2020).

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4.3.2 Project objectives and requirements (PDMF2)

PDMF2 with an eigenvalue of 3.941 explained 15.768% of the variance in the suitability of the

MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. It comprises seven DMFs linked to

stakeholder objectives and impact required by the residential project. Reducing construction waste

footprint (DMF13) received the highest factor loading of 0.890 and represents the perceived most

profound project objective that can influence the use of the MiC method in a residential building

project. It is well-established that the MiC method can significantly reduce construction solid

waste due to the cleaner processes, reduced wet trades, and limited time spent on site (Tam et al.,

2007). The MiC method may also be suitable when the proposed project has targets to reduce

embodied energy and carbon emissions in the construction process (Mao et al., 2013; Quale et al.,

2012). The limited time spent on site and the minimal onsite construction activities render the MiC

method more suitable when project teams seek to reduce environmental nuisance and

neighbourhood noise during construction (Blismas, 2007; Cao et al., 2015). The MiC method has

also demonstrated outstanding efficiency in reducing accidents and fatalities on site due to the

reduced need to work from height, cleaner construction site, and limited time spent on site

(McGraw Hill Construction, 2013). The MiC method also constitutes the most suitable approach

when the business needs or client requires an expedited project delivery and reduction in lifecycle

costs (Blismas et al., 2006).

4.3.3 Organizational and industry readiness (PDMF3)

PDMF3 with an eigenvalue of 2.441 accounts for a 9.765% of the variance in the suitability of the

MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. It comprises eight DMFs linked to

the readiness of construction industry professionals and organizations to implement the MiC

method. Organizational readiness refers to the extent to which the implementing organization(s)

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or organizational members are technically, psychologically, culturally prepared, and well-

equipped to cope with the delivery requirements of the MiC method (Weiner, 2009). MiC is a

relatively new business model and reconfigures how projects are designed, procured, delivered,

and managed. Hence, suitability of the MiC method in a project also depends on the readiness of

the project team to re-engineer their competencies, work culture, and practices to meet the bespoke

delivery requirements of MiC projects. For instance, the contractor must develop strategies to

freeze the design early to allow for a timely workshop production (Gibb and Isack, 2003). The

designers need to be prepared to collaborate with the manufacturers at the design stage to

proactively design out manufacturing constraints (Wuni and Shen, 2020d). The assembly

subcontractor or installers of the main contractor should have experience and be prepared to work

with precision and tight tolerances.

Interestingly, readiness of the project team, including contractor, consultant, designer (DMF9)

with a factor loading of 0.749 constitutes the most important organizational and industry readiness

factor influencing the suitability of the MiC method in a project. As the MiC method reinvents

how residential building projects are delivered, it requires a new set of thinking, work culture,

competencies, skills, and expertise of various project team members. Fraser et al. (2015)

corroborated that construction organizations and professionals must upgrade and upskill in the

required production engineering, connection systems, and manufacturing principles when

implementing residential MiC projects.

The capability and maturity of the local supply chain also influence the suitability of the MiC

method in a project (Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway, 2020; Pan and Hon, 2018). There should be

specialist MiC design consultants, designers, contractors, material suppliers, module

manufacturers, among others to effectively implement the MiC method in a project. Notably,

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availability of manufacturing yards and competent manufacturers in the country can reduce the

cost of producing and transporting the required MiC modules. Where the local supply chain is

incomplete, it is still possible to deploy overseas manufacturers and suppliers to produce the

required modules (Yang et al., 2021). However, such cross-border sourcing of modules can

generate complex requirements, custom challenges, and jurisdictional risks that must be managed

(Pan and Hon, 2018). The suitability of the MiC method also depends on the availability of

construction equipment, specialist workforce, and supportive technology such as building

information modelling (BIM). BIM is mandatory in any meaningful residential MiC project

because it is required for clash detection analysis, visualizations purposes, and management of the

project from a lifecycle perspective, including the planning, design of each industrialized item,

formwork, rebar and even tile pattern and supply chain management.

4.3.4 Location and site attributes (DMF4)

PDMF4 with an eigenvalue of 1.025 explained about 3.834% of the variance in the factors

determining when to use the MiC method in residential building projects. It comprises three DMFs

linked to the location and site attributes of the proposed projects that support the adoption of the

MiC method. These DMFs include accessibility and availability of temporary storage areas at site

location (DMF18), site layout, characteristics, and environment (DMF5), and width of transport

network to site and traffic conditions in the vicinity (DMF17). The MiC method usually requires

temporary storage of modules on site before and during installation, especially when just-in-time

delivery arrangement is not made (Blismas, 2007). Proposed residential MiC projects without

some reasonable space for temporary holding of the modules could introduce additional challenges

in the project delivery process (Construction Industry Council, 2019a). Gentle and simple site

terrains favour transportation of the MiC modules to site. Thus, a project with undulating terrain,

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hilly landscape, and complex site constraints could negatively affect the suitability of the MiC

method (Hong Kong Housing Authority, 2021). Narrow widths of the transport network to the site

location and busy traffic conditions in the vicinity can significantly undermine the efficiency and

effectiveness of the MiC method in a project (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Hence, these

location and site attributes must be considered when deciding to implement the MiC method in a

project.

4.4 Quantifying the Impact of the Principal DMFs for the MiC Method

The FSE technique provides relevant computational power to model and quantify the impact of

the DMFs and PDMFs determining the suitability of the MiC method for residential building

projects in Hong Kong. Table 4.3 summarizes the mean scores, weightings, and membership

functions of the DMFs and PDMFs for the MiC method in Hong Kong. PDMF1 obtained the

highest weighting, followed by PDMF3, PDMF2, and PDMF4. The weightings were not used to

rank the PDMFs because they are sensitive to the number of DMFs and could be biased towards

PDMFs containing more DMFs.

Table 4.3: Weighting and membership functions of the DMFs for MiC in Hong Kong
ID (Principal) Decision-making factors MS Wi Membership function
PDMF1 Project characteristics 31.43 0.334 (0.00, 0.08, 0.18, 0.45, 0.29)
DMF1 Presence of repetitive layout in design 4.32 0.137 (0.01, 0.03, 0.08, 0.39, 0.49)
DMF2 Suitability of design for MiC 4.25 0.135 (0.00, 0.05, 0.07, 0.46, 0.42)
DMF3 Structural integrity of modules 4.12 0.131 (0.00, 0.09, 0.10, 0.42, 0.39)
DMF6 Dimensions and number of required MiC 3.98 0.127 (0.00, 0.05, 0.15, 0.56, 0.24)
units
DMF4 Availability of adequate lead time for 3.84 0.122 (0.00, 0.09, 0.20, 0.51, 0.21)
MiC modules
DMF16 Nature, size, scope, and type of the 3.78 0.12 (0.00, 0.10, 0.21, 0.49, 0.20)
project
DMF11 Number of stories 3.68 0.117 (0.01, 0.09, 0.31, 0.39, 0.20)
DMF21 Project procurement system and contract 3.46 0.11 (0.00, 0.14, 0.37, 0.39, 0.10)
type
PDMF2 Project objectives and requirements 24.95 0.265 (0.01, 0.11, 0.32, 0.41, 0.14)
DMF22 Business needs, client contract or 3.78 0.152 (0.01, 0.06, 0.26, 0.48, 0.19)
regulatory requirement

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DMF7 Expediting construction 3.77 0.151 (0.00, 0.08, 0.26, 0.47, 0.19)
DMF13 Reducing construction waste footprint 3.57 0.143 (0.01, 0.09, 0.34, 0.43, 0.13)
DMF19 Minimizing accidents and fatalities on 3.5 0.14 (0.01, 0.15, 0.32, 0.38, 0.15)
site
DMF14 Reducing embodied energy and carbon 3.47 0.139 (0.01, 0.14, 0.36, 0.37, 0.13)
emissions
DMF23 Reducing lifecycle construction costs 3.44 0.138 (0.00, 0.13, 0.38, 0.41, 0.08)
DMF10 Minimizing environmental nuisance and 3.42 0.137 (0.02, 0.16, 0.34, 0.34, 0.14)
neighbourhood noise
PDMF3 Organizational and industry readiness 25.78 0.274 (0.00, 0.09, 0.29, 0.44, 0.18)
DMF20 Availability and capacity of fabricators 3.89 0.151 (0.00, 0.05, 0.24, 0.48, 0.23)
DMF25 Capability of local MiC supply chain 3.83 0.149 (0.02, 0.09, 0.19, 0.47, 0.24)
DMF15 Availability of supportive technology 3.69 0.143 (0.00, 0.07, 0.35, 0.40, 0.18)
DMF9 Readiness of the project team, including 3.61 0.14 (0.01, 0.12, 0.28, 0.44, 0.15)
contractor, consultant, designer
DMF24 Industry communication and 3.6 0.14 (0.00, 0.09, 0.35, 0.44, 0.12)
collaboration culture
DMF12 Availability of construction equipment 3.59 0.139 (0.01, 0.12, 0.30, 0.42, 0.15)
DMF8 Availability of skilled and experienced 3.57 0.138 (0.00, 0.14, 0.30, 0.42, 0.15)
labour force
PDMF4 Location and site attributes 11.97 0.127 (0.00, 0.04, 0.19, 0.51, 0.26)
DMF18 Accessibility and availability of 4.13 0.345 (0.00, 0.03, 0.14, 0.52, 0.32)
temporary storage areas at site location
DMF17 Width of transport network to site and 4.02 0.336 (0.00, 0.03, 0.21, 0.45, 0.30)
traffic conditions in the vicinity
DMF5 Site layout, characteristics, and 3.82 0.319 (0.00, 0.07, 0.21, 0.55, 0.17)
environment

Instead, the membership functions and weightings were used to compute the impact level of each

PDMF and overall impact of the DMFs. Table 4.4 summarizes the relevant computations and the

impact indices of the various PDMFs. The overall impact index of 3.781 on a five-point rating

scale shows that the DMFs collectively generate a significant influence on the suitability of the

MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. Therefore, project teams and

construction organizations must consider these DMFs when deciding to use the MiC method in a

project in Hong Kong. Additionally, Table 4.4 indicates that each of the four PDMFs significantly

determine the suitability of the MiC method for a residential building project and requires the full

attention of project managers.

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Table 4.4: Significance and impact indices of the PDMFs for MiC in Hong Kong
ID Computation Impact Index Norm.
PDMF1 = (0.00, 0.08, 0.18, 0.45, 0.29) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.947 0.260
= (0.00*1) + (0.08*2) + (0.18*3) + (0.45*4) + (0.29*5)

PDMF2 = (0.01, 0.11, 0.32, 0.41, 0.14) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.570 0.235


= (0.01*1) + (0.11*2) + (0.32*3) + (0.41*4) + (0.14*5)

PDMF3 = (0.00, 0.09, 0.29, 0.44, 0.18) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.686 0.243


= (0.00*1) + (0.09*2) + (0.29*3) + (0.44*4) + (0.18*5)

PDMF4 = (0.00, 0.04, 0.19, 0.51, 0.26) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.993 0.263


= (0.00*1) + (0.04*2) + (0.19*3) + (0.51*4) + (0.26*5)

Overall = (0.004, 0.087, 0.248, 0.445, 0.216)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.781 Σ = 1.000


= (0.004*1) + (0.087*2) + (0.248*3) + (0.445*4) + (0.216*5)

Location and site attributes present the most profound influence on the suitability of the MiC

method a project in Hong Kong, obtaining the highest impact level of 3.993 on a 5-point rating

scale. The next highest impact PDMF is project characteristics (3.947), followed by organizational

and industry readiness (3.686). The least significant PDMF is project objectives and requirements

(3.570). The outcome of the FSE is surprisingly compelling and reflective of reality because

project requirements are known to drive the adoption of the MiC technology in residential building

projects but have no overriding influence on the suitability of the MiC method in a project. Based

on the normalized values of the PDMFs (Table 4.4), a fuzzy suitability index function can be

derived as an additive linear equation as follows.

Fuzzy suitability index function = 0.260*( project characteristics) + 0.235*(project objectives

and requirements) + 0.243*(organizational and industry readiness) + 0.263*(location and site

attributes).

This equation can be used to estimate and quantify the suitability of the MiC method for a

residential building project in Hong Kong.

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4.5 Developing the Suitability Decision Support System

4.5.1 Knowledge-based decision support system

A knowledge-based decision support system (KBDSS) combines an expert system and a decision

support system (DSS) (Zhao et al., 2015). Decision support refers to written guidance or

automated tool that uses standardized information, models, or frameworks to aid structured

decision-making (Sullivan, 2002). Document-driven decision support tools are strictly based on

guidance documents that are not automated. However, the guidance document is often translated

into a computer application to handle computational complexity. Software tools are generally used

to develop DSS. A DSS is considered an interactive, computer-based information system

facilitating the use of data, models, and structured processes in decision making (Sullivan, 2002).

Conversely, an expert system is a computational tool that includes a knowledge base containing

knowledge of experts for a particular problem domain and a reasoning mechanism for generating

inferences over the knowledge base, emulating the decision-making capability of a human expert

(Liao, 2005).

Combining an expert system and DSS, a KBDSS provides an automated computer-based

information system that leverages analytical decision models and expert knowledge to aid

decision-makers in making effective judgments in a complex and ill-structured decision problem

(Sullivan, 2002; Zhao et al., 2015). A typical KBDSS has the following unique attributes: explicit

design to solve ill-structure problems; interactive and user-friendly interface; integration of

analytical models with expert data; capability of exploring the solution space for alternatives; and

accommodates interactive and recursive problem-solving (Sullivan, 2002). These characteristics

render a KBDSS suitable in providing decision aid during construction method selection, which is

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often made based on multiple factors, with uncertainties surrounding the data and models used to

interpret the data.

A KBDSS has the merit of providing improved transparency and automation of the complex

decision-making process. It is consistent with practical decision-making in construction

management, usually based on expert knowledge and experience, and provides more structured

data-driven or model-driven decision solutions (Sullivan, 2002). Additionally, a KBDSS provides

a user-friendly interactive interface enabling construction professionals with limited computer

proficiency to make efficient decisions (Zhao et al., 2015). It has been widely used to solve ill-

structured and complex construction project management decision problems, including make-to-

order bidding decision (Dawood, 1995), construction method selection (Chen et al., 2010),

construction enterprise risk management (Zhao et al., 2015), and feasibility of innovative

construction methods (Hwang et al., 2018b). As such, KBDSS constitutes an appropriate choice

for evaluating the suitability of MiC for building and construction projects in Hong Kong.

4.5.2 Developing the MiC suitability scoring system

The study developed a scoring system based on the questionnaire data to evaluate the suitability

of using MiC for a residential building project in Hong Kong. The MiC scoring system formed the

basis for developing the knowledge-based decision support system for the MiC method (hereafter,

Intelligent-MiC system). The Intelligent-MiC system was developed in Microsoft Excel with the

aid of Visual Basic for Applications (VBA). Three reasons influenced the use of VBA to develop

the Intelligent-MiC in Microsoft Excel: First, industry practitioners explicitly expressed the need

for a simple tool without a compromise in good decision-making. They had an affinity for

Microsoft Excel because it is widely used in practice. Second, the practitioners specifically

requested a tool that required zero or minimal amount of maintenance. An Excel-based tool

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updates mechanically whenever Microsoft updates its Excel software, presenting zero

requirements for planned maintenance (Albright, 2016). Third, VBA constitutes a powerful

programming language that has been tried, tested, and proven consistent in providing high-level

optimized decision aid in Microsoft Excel (Albright, 2016; Zhao et al., 2015).

Following the development of the Intelligent-MiC, the study invited three industry experts from

Hong Kong to validate the system. The invited industry experts have been directly involved in

some of the high-profile MiC projects in Hong Kong and thus qualified for the validation. The

three experts were requested to use the developed system to evaluate the suitability of their current

MiC projects in Hong Kong. They found the system very useful, practical, and representative.

They commented on the actions proposed by the system and provided valuable suggestions for

improving the design of the Intelligent-MiC.

4.5.3 MiC suitability scoring technique

The study developed a scoring technique for evaluating MiC's suitability for a residential building

project based on the 21 significant DMFs. The scoring technique is based on well-established

formulae used to develop decision support systems (Caldas et al., 2015; Hwang et al., 2018b).

Caldas et al. (2015) proposed the scoring method in developing the best productivity practices

implementation index for industrial projects. Hwang et al. (2018b) adopted the method to develop

a scoring approach to assess the feasibility of prefabricated prefinished volumetric construction in

a project. Based on Caldas et al. (2015), the highest MiC suitability score for a project was fixed

at 100, denoting the project is best suited for MiC adoption (i.e., the decision-maker assigned the

highest assessment of 5 to all DMFs). The lowest score was fixed at 21 (i.e., the decision-maker

assigned the least assessment of 1 to all DMFs), indicating the project is entirely unsuitable for the

MiC method. The varying mean scores (significance) of the 21 DMFs in Table 4.1 indicate that

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the respondents considered the DMFs to have different influences on MiC suitability for a

residential building project in Hong Kong. The mean scores are surrogate measures of the weights

of influence of each DMF. Using the mean scores (Table 4.1), the study computed the maximum

MiC suitability scores of the different DMFs. The maximum MiC suitability score for the ith DMF

(i.e., Si5, the score for the assessment of 5) was computed from its mean score (i.e., µi) as follows.
μ
Si5 = ∑21 i(μ ) ∗ 100 (Eqn. 4.1)
i=1 i

Following precedence (Caldas et al., 2015), a score of 1 was assigned to the assessment of 1 for

each DMF. Subsequently, Eqns. (4.2) – (4.4) were used to compute the suitability scores for the

assessments of 2, 3, and 4, sequentially and respectively. The overall MiC suitability score for a

project was computed as the sum of the suitability scores of the 21 significant DMFs (Eqn. 4.5).

Table 4.5 summarizes the MiC suitability scores of the 21 DMFs for all assessment levels.

Si5 −1
Si2 = +1 (Eqn. 4.2)
4

Si5 −1
Si3 = + Si2 (Eqn. 4.3)
4

Si5 −1
Si4 = + Si3 (Eqn. 4.4)
4

MiC Suitability Score = ∑21


i=1(Si ) (Eqn. 4.5)

Table 4.5: MiC suitability scores of different DMFs at different assessment levels
Criterion Mean Maximum Score of Assessment Levels of Criterion
MiC 1 2 3 4 5
DMF1 4.32 6 1 2 4 5 6
DMF2 4.25 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF3 4.12 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF4 3.84 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF5 3.82 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF6 3.98 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF7 3.77 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF8 3.57 4 1 2 3 3 4
DMF9 3.61 4 1 2 3 3 4

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DMF11 3.68 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF12 3.59 4 1 2 3 3 4
DMF13 3.57 4 1 2 3 3 4
DMF15 3.69 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF16 3.78 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF17 4.02 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF18 4.13 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF19 3.50 4 1 2 3 3 4
DMF20 3.89 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF22 3.78 5 1 2 3 4 5
DMF24 3.60 4 1 2 3 3 4
DMF25 3.83 5 1 2 3 4 5
Total 100 21 100

4.6 The Intelligent-MiC System

4.6.1 Objectives of the Intelligent-MiC System,

The intelligent-MiC had twin objectives: (1) to provide a convenient tool and standardized

approach enabling a project team to evaluate and quantify the suitability of the MiC method for a

residential building project and (2) to propose a corresponding action plan based on the assessment

of each DMF to align the proposed project to the MiC method. Considering that early commitment

to the MiC method is required to achieve the full benefits of the technology (Blismas et al., 2005;

Wuni and Shen, 2020c), the intelligent-MiC provides the fundamental guidance and information

required for early investment decision-making and commitment to the MiC method in a project.

The corresponding recommendations aim to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC

method for residential building projects. For instance, if the project is considered less suitable, but

the client explicitly requires the MiC method, the recommendations could be leveraged to identify

vulnerable areas for improvement before further considering the MiC method in the project.

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4.6.2 The Architecture of the Intelligent-MiC System

The architecture of the Intelligent-MiC system comprises three components (i.e., modules): (a) a

knowledge base, (b) a DSS, and (c) a user interface. Figure 4.1 is a schematic of the Intelligent-

MiC architecture.

4.6.2.1 Knowledge base

The knowledge base subsystem of the Intelligent-MiC embodied the knowledge and experiences

of the experts regarding the suitability of MiC for a given project. It was derived from three

sources: (a) the relevant suitability DMFs for the MiC method identified from the literature, (b)

pilot interviews of experts, and (c) the body of recommended action plans obtained from literature

and experts during the validation stage.

Knowledge Base
Decision Support System

21 suitability decision- Compute of MiC Suitability Score based on


making factors for MiC the input of decision-maker
Recommended Action Select appropriate action plans based on the
Plans computed MiC suitability score

Input Output

Assessment of the degree of influence of Suitability score of each


21 suitability decision-making factors decision-making factor
for MiC in the given project
Overall MiC Suitability Score
Introduction to the Intelligent-MiC for the given Project
Objectives of the Intelligent-MiC
objectives, decision-making factors, Corresponding recommended
assessment method, and project details action plans

Graphical User Interface (GUI)

Figure 4.1: The Architecture of the Intelligent-MiC System

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4.6.2.2 Decision support system

The DSS subsystem of the Intelligent-MiC was responsible for computing the overall MiC

suitability score for a residential building project based on the input of the project teams and

providing corresponding action plans based on the assessment results. The Intelligent-MiC

embodies IF-THEN production rules that link the weight a decision-maker assigns to a DMF to its

corresponding weight in the scale defined (Table 4.5), enabling it to compute the MiC suitability

score for a given project. It also embodies IF-THEN production rules that assign different action

plans to various predefined ranges of the overall MiC suitability scores, enabling it to routinely

recommend an appropriate action plan based on the MiC suitability score for a given project. Table

4.6 summarizes three ranges of the MiC suitability score and corresponding action items within

the DSS subsystem of the Intelligent-MiC.

Table 4.6: Recommended action plans for various ranges of MiC Suitability Scores
Suitability Score Corresponding action plans
< 40 Consider using a site-based construction approach.
40 – 60 Consider using offsite prefabrication or precast concrete construction
technology of the Hong Kong Housing Authority.
61 – 80 Engage relevant stakeholders to reconsider the suitability of MiC if the
project is not repetitive, with high floor-to-floor requirements,
speculative use, maximum future planning flexibility required, or
highly specialized facilities.
Reconsider the width of the traffic lane, transportation network, terrain,
and temporary storage areas in the proposed MiC site.
Revisit design and modify accordingly if needed.
Appoint MiC specialist builders and experts with relevant experiences.
Use similar past local and overseas projects as references.
> 80 Involve MiC design experts in the consultant teams.
Appoint MiC specialist builders and experts with relevant experiences
Commit to using the MiC method from the onset of design.
Seek advice on the consequences of the MiC method to the client and
design teams to encourage an early design freeze.
Use best practices of successfully implemented projects under similar
site constraints as references.

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Ensure active participation and commitments of project stakeholders in
the early stage.
Arrange site visits and factory tours for better understanding before
construction and production.
Arrange experienced offsite inspectors to monitor overseas offsite
manufacture quality and progress.
Ensure consistent quality assurance and quality control system to
ensure that the modules manufactured overseas are of the required
standard and the predetermined dimensions.

The study developed and specified four suitability classes to describe the overall MiC suitability

scores (i.e., the extent to which the MiC method is suitable for a given project) in the DSS of the

Intelligent-MiC: < 40 (Unsuitable), 40 – 60 (Marginally suitable), 61 – 80 (Moderately suitable),

and > 80 (Highly suitable). Hence, the Intelligent-MiC also embodies IF-THEN production rules

that assigns a suitability class to each assessed project based on its overall suitability score. Based

on the specifications in Table 4.6, the DSS would advise using a site-based construction approach

instead of MiC if the calculated suitability score is < 40. If the calculated MiC suitability score is

between 41 and 60, the Intelligent-MiC would recommend the project team to consider using

offsite prefabrication or the precast concrete construction (PCC) technology of the Hong Kong

Housing Authority. This recommendation was considered extremely useful because the

Government is also promoting offsite prefabrication in Hong Kong.

If the calculated MiC suitability score is between 61 and 80, the Intelligent-MiC would recommend

the project team to (a) revisit and modify the building design to make it more suitable for the MiC

method; (b) reference similar past projects that used the MiC method; and (c) appoint MiC

specialists to guide the MiC method usage in the project. Similarly, if the calculated MiC suitability

score is > 80, the Intelligent-MiC will propose best practices to improve adoption of the MiC

method in the project, including involvement of MiC design experts in the consultant teams,

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committing to use the MiC method from the onset of design, providing adequate lead time for the

bespoke MiC processes, and facilitating early design completion and freezing. The defined ranges

and corresponding action plans were derived from the literature and expert opinions during the

validation.

4.6.2.3 User interface

The user interface embodies dialogue, input management, and output subsystems of the Intelligent-

MiC system. It provides user-friendly communication between the DSS and the decision-maker.

It receives the ratings of a decision-maker and feeds it to the DSS for computing the MiC suitability

score. It is flexible, allowing the decision-maker to modify ratings where necessary. Figure 4.2

shows the user interface. It contained two sections. Section one introduces and describes how to

use the Intelligent-MiC.

Figure 4.2: User Interface showing Introduction, Instructions, and Project Details.

It enables the decision-maker to specify basic details of the project (i.e., project profile

information). Section two enables the decision-maker to assess the extent to which the 21 DMFs

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(i.e., assign a weight to each factor) determine MiC suitability in the context of their project, using

a five-point rating scale. As shown in Figure 4.3, Section two computes the MiC suitability score

for the project based on the weights assigned to each DMF.

Figure 4.3: User Interface allowing a decision-maker to assess a project

As shown in Figure 4.4, Section two incorporates a dialogue message function displaying an

appropriate action plan corresponding to the MiC suitability score. The interface also contains

buttons, such as “Clear Entries,” “Calculate Score,” “Generate Recommendations,” “Clear

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Ratings,” “Print Preview,” and “Print.” As shown in Figure 4.5, the system also automatically

provides a printable summary of the assessment results.

Figure 4.4: User Interface with an assessment of a project

4.6.3 Validation

Three industry practitioners (i.e., experts) in Hong Kong, with knowledge and experiences in site-

based construction and the MiC method, were invited to validate the Intelligent-MiC on real-world

projects. They had recently worked on three projects, two of which used the MiC method, and one

did not adopt the MiC method. Experts X and Y worked on the InnoCell Project and DSQ4FSD

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Project, respectively. These projects used the MiC method. Expert Z worked on a high-rise

residential building project located in Tai Po (hereafter Tai Po Project) that did not adopt the MiC

method. The experts were requested to rate the suitability of the MiC method for the projects using

the developed Intelligent-MiC. Table 4.7 summarizes the MiC suitability scores that Intelligent-

MiC computed for the three projects.

Figure 4.5:User Interface with the assessment outcome

Table 4.7: Validation results of the Intelligent-MiC system


Expert Project Name MiC project MiC Suitability Score
X InnoCell Project Yes 95
Y DSQ4FSD Project Yes 84
Z Tai Po Project No 39

The MiC suitability score for the Tai Po Project (39) was < 40, indicating that it was unsuitable

for the MiC method and more amenable to the site-based construction method. In contrast, both

the InnoCell (95) and DSQ4FSD (84) Projects obtained scores > 80, indicating their higher

suitability for the MiC method. The validation outcomes are exciting because the InnoCell and

DSQ4FSD Projects were designed based on the MiC method, whereas the Tai Po project did not

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consider offsite manufacture in the design. Hence, the Intelligent-MiC system demonstrated

capabilities of capturing real-world requirements, providing reliable decision support for

evaluating the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong. As

shown in Figure 4.6, the Intelligent-MiC system generates a useful chart for comparing the MiC

suitability scores of the various projects against the baseline and across the principal suitability

decision-making factors.

Tai Po Project DSQ4FSD Project InnoCell Project Baseline


39
Suitability Score 84
95
64

22
Organizational and Industry Readiness 25
27
21

4
Location and Site Attributes 10
14
9

5
Project Objectives and Requirements 18
18
12

8
Project Characteristics 31
36
22

Figure 4.6: Comparison of the MiC suitability scores for the three projects and baseline

Figure 4.6 shows that the InnoCell Project had more suitable site attributes and project

characteristics for the MiC method than the DSQ4FSD project. Notably, the suitability of the

DSQ4FSD project could have been improved if the client and project team selected a site with a

repetitive layout, gentle terrain, wider transport network, minimal traffic, and temporary storage

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space. Though the DSQ4FSD project performed above the baseline, it had less suitable project

characteristics than the InnoCell project. Thus, the Intelligent-MiC provides a powerful tool to

address deficient areas and align a proposed residential building project to the MiC method.

Following the validation exercise, the study requested the experts to provide feedback on their

experience, design, and relevance of the Intelligent-MiC. They gave positive comments about the

relevance and representativeness of the tool. The experts acknowledged the appropriateness of the

recommended action plans. But they suggested additional action items, including early advice on

the consequences of the MiC method to the client and design teams to encourage early design

freeze and arranging experienced offsite inspectors to monitor overseas offsite manufacture quality

and progress. These were incorporated into the recommended action plans in Table 4.6.

4.7 Discussion and implications

The suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a residential building project have a

significant but still poorly understood and unrecognized influence on the effectiveness and

efficiency of the MiC method. This study deconstructed the MiC suitability assessment problem

into discrete decision-making factors. The analysis revealed that a complex set of factors and

conditions influence the suitability of the MiC method in a project. The results showed that project

characteristics, project objectives and requirements, organizational and industry readiness, and

location and site attributes collectively determine when it is physically possible, financially

feasible, economically viable, and appropriately supported to use the MiC method in a residential

building project. The theoretical positions of these PDMFs have been well-established in the

literature (Abdul Nabi and El-Adaway, 2020; Hwang et al., 2018b; Wuni and Shen, 2019).

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However, the findings diverge from intuition and popular opinions. In Hong Kong, location and

site attributes influence MiC suitability more than suitable project characteristics such as the

repetitive layout in design. The outcome reflects reality in Hong Kong because the city has scarce

developable land and significant site constraints. As such, project teams should carefully consider

the availability of temporary storage areas at the site location, nature of the site terrain, the width

of the transport network to the site, and traffic conditions in the vicinity when deciding to

implement the MiC method in a project (Development Bureau, 2020; Hong Kong Housing

Authority, 2021).

The developed principal suitability decision-making factors for the MiC method derived the

fundamental hypothesis of a technology suitability theory in the construction industry. This study

demonstrated that the suitability of the MiC method for a construction project depends on, at least

the convergence of the right project characteristics, project objectives and requirements, location

and site attributes, and organizational readiness. These four components represent the building

blocks of a technology suitability theory for the MiC method in construction projects.

The Intelligent-MiC demonstrates the ability of decision support systems to solve a complex

problem effectively. It derived a mathematical solution to the MiC suitability assessment problem

and enables the project team to consider several competing factors when quantifying the suitability

of the MiC method in a project. Thus, it provides a comprehensive framework to aid structured

decision-making regarding MiC suitability in a project. The tool has a knowledge base containing

IF-THEN production rules to compute the MiC suitability score with the efficient use of the

powerful reasoning and explanation capabilities of DSS. The tool receives the inputs of a decision-

maker, computes the MiC suitability score for a given project, and generates recommendations

based on the score. The Intelligent-MiC has several merits, including the flexibility to accept the

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various assessment of the decision-maker, the ability to assist the decision-maker in better

understanding the suitability decision problem, implications of multiple factors on the suitability

of the MiC method for a project, and the capability to accommodate various requirements of the

decision problem and the decision-maker.

Therefore, the study developed a unique tool for solving the MiC suitability assessment problem

in a high-density metropolis, with two managerial implications: (i) it provides a standardized

approach to addressing the MiC suitability assessment problem and offers timely decision support

service to inform early commitment to the MiC method in a project; and (ii) it enables project

teams, including building engineers and architects, to identify vulnerable areas early in the project

and recommendations to improve such inadequacies, resulting in the more effective and efficient

delivery of the MiC project.

4.8 Summary of the Chapter

The chapter examined the suitability problem when implementing the MiC method in building and

construction projects in Hong Kong. It evaluated and identified twenty-one significant DMFs

determining the suitability of the MiC method in a building project. The chapter derived four

principal DMFs for the MiC method: project characteristics, objectives and requirements,

organizational and industry readiness, and location and site attributes. It modelled and quantified

the impact of the four principal DMFs, which showed that they are significant determinants of the

suitability of the MiC method. The chapter further developed a knowledge-based decision support

system (Intelligent-MiC) enabling project teams and construction organizations to evaluate,

quantify, and ascertain the suitability of the MiC method for a residential building project at the

outset to inform early investment commitment. The next chapter focuses on deriving the best

practices for residential MiC projects.

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CHAPTER 5 – DERIVING BEST PRACTICES FOR RESIDENTIAL MiC
PROJECTS

5.1 Introduction

This chapter concentrates on deriving the best practices for implementing the various stages of

residential MiC projects, from the results of objectives 2 – 4. It presents the critical risk factors

and the critical success factors for residential MiC projects based on the questionnaire data,

followed by practical challenges encountered and lessons learned from real-world residential MiC

projects. The chapter starts with significance assessment of the CRFs and used Monte Carlo

simulation to overcome the grave limitations of the deterministic single-point statistical estimates

of potential exposure to identify and prioritize significant CRFs. It generates, quantifies the impact,

and models the chain reactions of principal components of the CRFs. Then, the chapter continues

with significance assessment of the CSFs, derivation of principal CSFs, and quantification of the

impact of the principal CSFs for residential MiC projects. Subsequently, the chapter describes six

selected residential MiC cases and derives the practical challenges encountered and lessons learned

from the implementation of the projects. It further consolidates, triangulates, and reconciles the

findings to derive best practices for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects.

5.2 Assessing, Simulating and Modelling the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects

5.2.1 Significance and Exposure of the CRFs for Residential MiC projects

A Spearman’s rank correlation analysis showed a statistically significant coefficient of association

(rs(25) = 0.74, t=5.37, p < 0.001), indicating a strong positive relationship between the overall

probability and impact ratings of the CRFs for residential MiC projects. Table 5.1 summarizes the

significance indices, exposure levels, and ranking of the CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong.

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Table 5.1: Significance ranking of the CRFs for residential MiC projects
ID Risk description Prob. rating Impact rating RSI Expo- Rank
µ Rank µ Rank sure
CRF1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories 3.68 3 3.62 7 3.65 13.32 4
CRF2 Limited MiC expertise and 3.48 9 3.46 15 3.47 12.04 10
experience
CRF3 Supply chain disruptions 3.37 13 3.42 18 3.39 11.53 15
CRF4 Stakeholder fragmentation and 3.34 15 3.39 19 3.36 11.32 17
complexity
CRF5 Higher initial capital requirement 3.56 5 3.45 17 3.50 12.28 8
CRF6 Delay in modules delivery to the site 3.29 16 3.53 9 3.41 11.61 14
CRF7 Defective design and change order 3.51 7 3.67 5 3.59 12.88 6
CRF8 Unsuitability of design for MiC 3.55 6 3.53 9 3.54 12.53 7
CRF9 Late design completion and freezing 3.77 1 3.82 1 3.79 14.40 1
CRF10 Inadequate planning and scheduling 3.60 4 3.74 2 3.67 13.46 3
CRF11 Unsuitable project delivery and 3.16 20 3.15 25 3.15 9.95 23
procurement method
CRF12 Incomplete local MiC supply chain 3.35 14 3.34 21 3.34 11.19 18
CRF13 Poor communication, collaboration 3.40 12 3.54 8 3.47 12.04 11
and information sharing between
stakeholders
CRF14 Shortages of modules on site 3.16 20 3.47 14 3.31 10.97 19
CRF15 Unsuitable site with restrictive space 3.77 1 3.73 3 3.75 14.06 2
constraints
CRF16 Complex interfaces between systems 3.43 11 3.46 15 3.44 11.87 12
CRF17 Inaccurate MiC design information 3.50 8 3.69 4 3.59 12.92 5
CRF18 Inappropriate structural system and 3.23 18 3.65 6 3.43 11.79 13
construction materials
CRF19 Module installation errors 3.09 22 3.38 20 3.23 10.44 21
CRF20 Misplacement of stored modules 2.91 25 3.21 23 3.06 9.34 24
CRF21 Dimensional and geometric 3.19 19 3.23 22 3.21 10.30 22
inconsistencies in modules
CRF22 Inadequate project funding and tight 3.25 17 3.50 12 3.37 11.38 16
demand for cash inflows
CRF23 Mechanical malfunction of cranes 2.80 26 3.18 24 2.98 8.90 26
CRF24 Inaccurate materials specifications 2.92 24 3.14 26 3.03 9.17 25
and cost estimation
CRF25 Design information gap between 3.44 10 3.53 9 3.48 12.14 9
designer and manufacturer
CRF26 Module production errors 3.08 23 3.49 13 3.28 10.75 20

According to El-Sayegh and Mansour (2015), the significance levels of the CRFs for residential

MiC projects can be interpreted as follows: RSI<1.5 (Very low), 1.5≤ RSI < 2.5 (Low), 2.5≤ RSI

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< 3.5 (Moderate), 3.5 ≤ RSI < 4.5 (High), and RSI ≥ 4.5 (Very high). Table 5.1 shows that most

of the CRFs (i.e., CRF2 – 4, CRF6, CRF11 – 14, CRF16, and CRF18 – 26) have a moderate

negative impact of the performance of residential MiC projects. Only eight (8) CRFs (i.e., CRF1,

CRF5, CRF7 – 10, CRF15, and CRF17) have a high negative impact on the performance of

residential MiC projects. The top five most significant CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong include late design completion and freezing (CRF9), unsuitable site with restrictive space

constraints (CRF15), inadequate planning and scheduling (CRF10), heavy reliance on overseas

factories (CRF1), and inaccurate MiC design information (CRF17).

Table 5.2 shows a heat map of a typical risk matrix partitioning the CRFs into three exposure

zones based on well-established industry practices (Construction Industry Institute, 2013; Qazi et

al., 2021). A value denotes the exposure level of a given P – I matrix of the CRFs for residential

MiC projects. It partitions the CRFs into three exposure zones across the risk matrix: High,

Moderate, and Low (Duijm, 2015).

Table 5.2: Risk matrix with partitions of various risk exposure zones
Severity of impact
Matrix Very Low (1) Low (2) Moderate (3) High (4) Very High (5)
Very High (5) 5 10 15 20 25
Probability of
occurrence

High (4) 4 8 12 16 20
Moderate (3) 3 6 9 12 15
Low (2) 2 4 6 8 10
Very Low (1) 1 2 3 4 5
Red Red colour denotes high-risk zones
Orange Orange colour denotes Medium-risk zones
Green Green colour denotes low-risk zones

The CRFs situated in high-risk exposure zones are unacceptable and must be controlled. Those

located in the medium-risk exposure zones constitute potential threats and should be managed.

CRFs in the low-risk exposure zones are acceptable but can also be treated. Table 5.1 shows the

exposure levels of the CRFs, computed as a product of the average probability of occurrence and

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average severity of impact. The results show that none of the CRFs is situated at the high-risk

exposure, indicating that the 26 CRFs present only minimal threats to the success of residential

MiC projects. To further test the efficacy of the risk matrix-based scheme for identifying and

prioritizing significant risk events, Figure 5.1 defined two additional boundaries of the risk

exposure levels within the risk matrix.

25

21

17
Risk Exposure Index

14.40 14.06
13.32 13.46
12.8812.53 12.92
13 12.04 12.28 12.04 11.87 11.79 12.14
11.5311.32 11.61 11.19 10.97 11.38
10.44 10.30 10.75
9.95
9.34 8.90 9.17
9

1
CRF1
CRF2
CRF3
CRF4
CRF5
CRF6
CRF7
CRF8
CRF9
CRF10
CRF11
CRF12
CRF13
CRF14
CRF15
CRF16
CRF17
CRF18
CRF19
CRF20
CRF21
CRF22
CRF23
CRF24
CRF25
CRF26
Risk
Low-Medium Risk Exposure Zone Medium-High Risk Exposure Zone
Boundary Boundary

Figure 5.1: CRFs with low-medium and medium-high risk exposure zones marked

Figure 5.1 shows that the 26 CRFs are situated within the low-medium and medium-high risk

exposure zones, suggesting that mitigation measures are not required. This statistical implication

is inconsistent with reality because there are several CRFs in Table 5.1 which have generated

tremendous negative impact on the performance of the pilot residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. For instance, the heavy reliance on overseas factories generated complexity in supply chain

management, complex workflow control, complicated custom requirements, and uncertainties in

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the timely delivery of the modules to site in the pilot residential MiC projects. Thus, Table 5.1 and

Figure 5.1 reveal the grave shortcomings of the deterministic two-dimensional P – I matrix-based

risk assessment model, which uses average statistics and single-point estimates to identify and

prioritize significant CRFs for residential MiC projects (Duijm, 2015).

The relevance of the deterministic P – I risk assessment scheme is undisputed: it provides

probability x impact matrix of risks, generates prioritized list of risks, and calculates expected

value for contingency allocation to inform Go/No-go decisions based upon the expected value,

prioritizes risks to manage, communicates risks intuitively and visually, and allocates resources to

mitigate and manage the most significant risks. However, Table 5.1 and Figure 5.1 show that

analysing and prioritizing significant risks through average statistics and single-point estimates of

potential impacts is gravely inadequate.

The single-point estimate ignores the consequences of tail (i.e., Low-probability, high-impact)

risks, does not include uncertainty inherent in the risks, cannot capture and retain profiles and

distributions of the risks, unable to communicate the collective impact of risks to achieve project

targets, and cannot prioritize and allocate resources proportionally to manage the most significant

risks (Construction Industry Institute, 2013; Qazi et al., 2021). These limitations of the one-point

estimates of risk exposure are resolved with analysis of risks through probability distribution

estimates of potential impacts. Thus, a Monte Carlo simulation for probabilistic risk analysis is

necessary to address such grave limitation of the deterministic risk analysis for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong.

5.2.2 Monte Carlo Simulation of the CRFs for Residential MiC projects

A MC simulation is used to develop a probabilistic risk assessment, prioritization, and resource

allocation scheme for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The major stages of the MC

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simulation-based probabilistic scheme include: (i) developing discrete probability distributions of

the probability and impact ratings of the CRFs; (ii) developing discrete probability distributions of

the exposure from the probability distributions of the probability and impact ratings of the CRFs;

(iii) partitioning the risk matrix into high, medium, and low risk exposure zones; (iv) establishing

various risk tolerance levels of decision-makers; and (v) using novel risk metrics to prioritize and

allocate resources to the significant CRFs proportional to their relative importance.

5.2.2.1 Discrete probability distributions of the P – I ratings of the CRFs

The probability (Pi) and impact (Ii) ratings associated with CRF i can be expressed as follows.

Pi = {αi1, αi2, αi3, …, αij}, αij ∊ (1, 2, …, 5) (Eqn. 5.1)

Ii = {βi1, βi2, βi3, …, βij}, βij ∊ (1, 2, …, 5) (Eqn. 5.2)

Discrete probability distributions of the probability and impact rating of the various CRFs for

residential MiC projects can be derived as follows.

∑j(αij )
P (Pi) = ∑j
∀ αij = 𝑘 (Eqn. 5.3)

∑j(βij )
P (Ii) = ∑j
∀ βij = 𝑘 (Eqn. 5.4)

where P (Pi) and P (Ii) represent the probability distribution function of the probabilities and

impacts the experts assigned to CRFs (i), respectively.

MC simulation is used to generate random numbers across discrete distributions of P – I impact

ratings of each risk. The study specified the same random seed value throughout the MC simulation

process to ensure that the outputs are not subject to random variation due to different starting points

defined intrinsically by a selected random seed value (Xie, 2020). Thus, the sampling

characteristics of the random numbers used in the simulation process were as follows: Sampling

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Type (Latin Hypercube), Generator (Mersenne Twister), Initial Seed (Choose Randomly), and

Multiple Simulations (All Use Same Seed).

The simulation model's input data were randomly generated sample ratings, and the output

generated an exposure profile of each risk (Qazi and Simsekler, 2021). The simulation model was

developed in Microsoft Excel with the aid of @Risk Excel Add-In (version 8.1). The predefined

discrete probability function of the exposure of each CRF is given as:

Ei = αij * βij ∀ αij ∊ P (Pi), βij ∊ P (IRi) (Eqn. 5.5)

∑𝑛(αij ∗βij )
P(Ei) = ∑(𝑛)
∀ αij βij = 𝑙 (Eqn. 5.6)

@Risk was used to perform 1000 simulations for the various risks, generating the risk exposure

distribution of each risk, specified as P(Ei). Beyond 1000 simulations, there were no notable

variations in the risk profiles. The survey data was used to develop the discrete probability

distributions of the probability and impact ratings, whereas the MC simulation generated the risk

exposure profiles (i.e., probability distributions) of the various CRFs. Table 5.3 summarizes the

key statistics and discrete probability distributions of the CRFs for residential MiC projects Hong

Kong.

Table 5.3: Probability distributions and exposure profiles of the various CRFs
ID Probability rating Impact rating MC Simulation-
Mean SD Probability Mean SD Probability based Risk Profile
distribution distribution
CRF1 3.68 1.01 3.62 1.04

CRF2 3.48 0.75 3.46 0.85

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CRF3 3.37 0.73 3.42 0.88

CRF4 3.34 0.83 3.39 0.91

CRF5 3.56 0.79 3.45 0.93

CRF6 3.29 0.93 3.53 0.96

CRF7 3.51 0.99 3.67 0.91

CRF8 3.55 1.04 3.53 0.98

CRF9 3.77 1.00 3.82 1.02

CRF10 3.60 1.01 3.74 1.03

CRF11 3.16 0.87 3.15 0.95

CRF12 3.35 0.96 3.34 0.92

CRF13 3.40 1.04 3.54 1.03

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CRF14 3.16 1.04 3.47 1.06

CRF15 3.77 0.87 3.73 0.89

CRF16 3.43 0.88 3.46 0.83

CRF17 3.50 0.96 3.69 1.00

CRF18 3.23 1.00 3.65 1.00

CRF19 3.09 0.97 3.38 1.00

CRF20 2.91 1.05 3.21 1.01

CRF21 3.19 1.08 3.23 0.97

CRF22 3.25 0.96 3.50 0.92

CRF23 2.80 0.92 3.18 1.02

CRF24 2.92 0.89 3.14 0.92

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CRF25 3.44 0.96 3.53 0.94

CRF26 3.08 1.03 3.49 1.05

Unlike the single-point estimates of potential impacts (Figure 5.1) where the exposure levels of

the various risks almost converged and suggested very minimal differences in exposure, the MC

simulation revealed considerable variations in the profiles of the various risks. The variations are

even more conspicuous for risk exposure profiles of the various CRFs simulated using random P

– I rating samples. The maximum and minimum values of each statistic have been bolded in Table

5.3. For instance, CRF15 and CRF23 obtained the maximum and minimum expected probability

ratings, respectively.

The single-point estimates of the expected risk exposure values under the traditional risk matrix-

based prioritization scheme (Figure 5.1) identified CRF9 and CRF23 as the most and least

significant CRFs, respectively. Given the detention of the various CRFs in the low-medium and

medium-high risk exposure zone boundaries established at exposure levels of 6 and 12, Figure 5.1

showed that no CRF is situated in the high-risk exposure zone. The MC simulation reveals a

different outcome. Figures 5.2 shows the discrete probability distribution of the P – I ratings and

exposure profile of the most critical risk (i.e., CRFR9) based on the expected exposure values.

All distributions are significantly skewed (right) with a heavy tail distribution. Even though CRF9

is the highest-ranked risk in the single-point estimates of potential impact, it was still considered

less significant because it is contained in the medium-high risk exposure zone. Conversely, the

profile of CRF9 in Figure 5.2 reveals its utmost significance.

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0.50 0.20
0.18
Probability Exposure
0.40 0.16
Impact 0.14
0.30 0.12

Probability
Probability

0.10
0.20 0.08
0.06
0.10 0.04
0.02
0.00 0.00
1 2 3 4 5 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 15 16 20 25
Rating Risk Exposure

Figure 5.2: Probability distribution of the P – I ratings and exposure profile of CRF9

Also, the least significant risk (i.e., CRF23) in Figure 5.1 depicts a near-symmetrical distribution

in Figure 5.3, suggesting moderate exposure. Unlike the mean (expected) risk exposure values

(Figure 5.1), suggesting infinitesimal differences in risk criticalities, the risk profiles (Table 5.3)

reveal apparent differences in exposures owing to the unique nature of associated (skewed)

distributions.

0.50 0.24
Probability 0.22 Exposure
0.40 Impact 0.20
0.18
0.16
Probability

0.30 0.14
Probability

0.12
0.20 0.10
0.08
0.06
0.10 0.04
0.02
0.00 0.00
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 12 15 16 20 25
Rating Risk Exposure

Figure 5.3: Probability distribution of the P – I ratings and exposure profile of CRF23

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5.2.2.2 Simulated relative importance of risks across defined risk tolerance levels

The study partitioned the risk matrix into three exposure zones, comprising high, medium, and

low. Typically, project teams prioritize risks within the medium-risk (16 – 20) and high-risk (20 –

25) exposure zones because such risks are critical and unacceptable, respectively (Construction

Industry Institute, 2013). Partitioning and defining boundaries in the risk exposure zones enable

the project team to develop strategies to mitigate risks situated in the high-risk exposure zone.

Project teams can also mitigate the risks in medium-risk exposure zones, if the benefits justify the

mitigation costs (Qazi et al., 2021). The range of values for a risk exposure zone was randomly

selected for developing the simulation model. According to Ruan et al. (2015), the exact choice of

boundaries between risk exposure zones exclusively replicate the risk tolerance levels of decision-

makers and are often determined using a standardized process.

The simulation-based risk profiles were defined over the risk exposure zones to specify various

risks' exposure levels and detect any dominant or dominated risks (Qazi et al., 2021). Typically,

the traditional matrix-based risk exposure levels are categorized into five exposure zones: low

(negligible); low-medium (acceptable); medium (controllable); medium-high (critical); and high-

risks (unacceptable). The most important risks are usually situated in the medium-high and high

exposure zones. By defining risk exposure values over various risk exposure zones, the study

offers a more robust scheme for prioritizing and allocating resources to important risks in

residential MiC projects.

Following the recommendations of Qazi and Simsekler (2021), the study prioritized risks at 95%

and 97.5% risk tolerance (RT) levels within the high-risk exposure zone as well as 82.5% and

85% RT levels within the medium-risk exposure zone. RT of stakeholder was defined as the

highest likelihood of risk occurrence across an exposure zone with the predefined risk matrix

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where risk mitigation is not deemed necessary. Ceteris paribus risk tolerance is low in the high-

risk exposure zones relative to medium-risk exposure zones. Figure 5.4 maps and establishes the

significant CRFs in the high-risk exposure zones at 95% and 97.5% RT levels.

9
8
Prob. of Occurrence in the High-Risk Exposure Zone

5 4.8
4.5
4.2
3.9
4
(%)

3.5
3.2 3.3
3 2.7
2 2.1
2 1.8
1.2 1.1 1.1 1.2 1
1 0.8 0.8 0.7
0.5 0.5 0.4
0.2 0.2 0.2
0
CRF1
CRF2
CRF3
CRF4
CRF5
CRF6
CRF7
CRF8
CRF9
CRF10
CRF11
CRF12
CRF13
CRF14
CRF15
CRF16
CRF17
CRF18
CRF19
CRF20
CRF21
CRF22
CRF23
CRF24
CRF25
CRF26
Risks
95% Risk Tolerance Level 97.5% Risk Tolerance Level

Figure 5.4: Significant CRFs at 95% and 97.5% RT levels in the high-risk exposure zone
At a 95% confidence level, CRF9 remains the most significant CRF for residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong. However, at a 97.5% confidence level, certain risks (i.e., CRF1, CRF7, CRF8,

CRF10, CRF13, CRF15, CRF17, and CRF26) considered less important and overlooked within

the deterministic matrix-based ranking scheme became significant CRFs that must be mitigated

and controlled. Figure 5.5 maps and establishes the significant CRFs in the medium-risk exposure

zone at 82.5% and 85% RT levels.

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Prob. of Occurrence in the Medium-Risk Exposure Zone (%) 25

20 18.6 18.5
18
16.8

15 14.1
13.313.3

10.6
10.1 9.7 9.4 10
10 9.4
8.5 8.2 8.5
7.6 7.8
7
6.5
5.5
5
5 3.8
3.3 3.2
2.2

0
CRF1
CRF2
CRF3
CRF4
CRF5
CRF6
CRF7
CRF8
CRF9
CRF10
CRF11
CRF12
CRF13
CRF14
CRF15
CRF16
CRF17
CRF18
CRF19
CRF20
CRF21
CRF22
CRF23
CRF24
CRF25
CRF26
Risks
82.5% Risk Tolerance Level 85% Risk Tolerance Level

Figure 5.5: Significant CRFs at 82.5% and 85% RT levels in the medium-risk exposure zone

Plotting the probability of risks relative to surpassing the risk tolerance informs and reveals

dominant risks. For instance, a stakeholder with the risk tolerance thresholds of 95% in the high-

risk exposure zone (Figure 5.4) and 82.%% in the medium-risk exposure zone (Figure 5.5) would

have to prioritize CRF9, CRF10, and CRF15.

5.2.2.3 Criticalities, signatures, and resource allocation for the various CRFs

Based on the specified risk tolerances of decision-makers, relevant metrics are used to rank CRFs

across various exposure zones and allocate resources to the risks proportionate to their relative

significance. The study used two novel metrics – risk signature and risk criticality index to

prioritize and allocate resources to manage the significant CRFs for residential MiC projects.

Unlike popular metrics (e.g., risk priority number, Value at Risk), risk signature and criticality

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index can accept the qualitative scales embodied in the conventional risk matrix and capture the

probability distributions and exposure profiles of the various CRFs (Qazi et al., 2021).

The study defined risk signature (RS) of each CRF as a probability distribution, where each risk is

allocated an exclusive probability value across each risk exposure zone (Zj) of the risk matrix.

According to Duijm (2015), risk managers use a standardized process to establish the risk exposure

zones, including high (ZH), medium (ZM), and low (ZL). The RS for each risk was computed as

follows.

RSi = [P(i ∊ ZL), P(i ∊ ZM), P(i ∊ ZH)], ∋ ∑𝑗 𝑃(𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 ) = 1 ∀ 𝑖 (Eqn. 5.5)

Subsequently, an indicator function (𝐼𝑅𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 ) was defined to prioritize risks based on their

exclusive explicit probability distributions across the risk exposure zones. 𝐼𝑅𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 (Eqn. 5.6) reflects

the location of each CRF (i) within Zj. It helps identify dominant risks situated within the high-

risk exposure zone (Eqn. 5.7) and dominated risks within the low-risk exposure zone (Eqn. 5.8).

1 𝑖𝑓 𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗
𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 = { (Eqn. 5.6)
0 𝑖𝑓 𝑖 ∉ 𝑍𝑗
𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝐿 = 0; 𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑀 = 0; 𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝐻 = 1 (Eqn. 5.7)
𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝐿 = 1; 𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑀 = 0; 𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝐻 = 0 (Eqn. 5.8)

Given the varied RT levels of stakeholders and its sensitivity to project types, nature, and contexts,

the stakeholder's RT threshold across a risk exposure zone was defined as RT𝑍𝑗 , denoting the

maximum likelihood of occurrence of a risk event (1 − RT𝑍𝑗 ) the stakeholder is prepared to

tolerate in the medium- and high-risk exposure zones. As such, a criticality index of each risk

(𝐶𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 ) was defined to describe the significance of each risk in surpassing the RT in a specific

risk exposure zone (Eqn. 5.9).

𝐶𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 = 𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0, 𝑃(𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 ) − (1 − RTZ𝑗 )] (Eqn. 5.9)

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Similarly, a normalized criticality index of each risk (𝑁𝐶𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 ) was defined to represent the

relative importance of various CRFs that captures the overall risk profile and the stakeholder's RT

across different risk exposure zones (Eqn. 5.10).

𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝑗 )−(1−RTZ𝑗 )]


𝑁𝐶𝐼𝑖 ∈ 𝑍𝑗 = (Eqn. 5.10)
∑𝑖 𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝑗 )−(1−RTZ )]
𝑗

Typically, project teams prioritize risks across critical risk exposure zones when more than three

risk exposure zones are defined. However, the medium and high-risk exposure zones are

significantly important when three exposure zones are defined. It is also a good practice for project

teams to assign resources to continuously monitor and develop contingency plans for tails risks

(i.e., low-probability, high-impact risks) located within the low-risk exposure zones. This study

apportioned the P – I risk matrix into three exposure zones. Thus, CRFs situated within the medium

and high-risk exposure zones were considered significant and unacceptable. Consequently, the

NCI for various risks determined using Eqn. (5.11) provides decision support to assign limited

resources to various CRFs proportional to their relative significance.

𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝑀 )−(1−RTZ𝑀 )]+ 𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝐻 )−(1−RTZ𝐻 )]


NCI𝑖 = ∑𝑖 𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝑀 )−(1−RTZ𝑀 )]+ ∑𝑖 𝑀𝑎𝑥 [0,𝑃(𝑖 ∈𝑍𝐻 )−(1−RTZ𝐻 )]
(Eqn. 5.11)

Table 5.4 summarizes the metrics used to determine the relative significance of various CRFs

based on their exposure and probability of surpassing the predefined RT levels. No risk event was

considered dominant or dominated (Eqn. 5.6 – 8). For a 95% RT level within the high-risk

exposure zone, 100% of the resources would need to be assigned to CRF9. For an 82.5% RT level

within the medium-risk exposure zone, 42.3%, 38.5%, and 19.2% should be assigned to CRF9,

CRF10, and CRF15, respectively. Unlike the traditional conventional risk matrix-based P – I risk

ranking scheme which allocates the same proportion of resources to mitigate the significant CRFs

due to the confluence of their expected exposure values (Figure 5.1), Table 5.4 reveals significant

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differences in the proportion of resources required to mitigate and control the significant CRFs

across medium and high-risk exposure zones at various RT levels.

Table 5.4: Signature, metrics, and proportional allocation of risk management resources
ID Risk Signature (Normalized) Criticality (Normalized) Criticality Normalized Criticality
(%) Index for Medium-Risk Index for High-Risk Index
Exposure Zone Exposure Zone
Risk Risk Risk Risk (Risk Tolerance of
Tolerance Tolerance Tolerance Tolerance 85% for Medium- and
(82.5% ) (85%) (95%) (97.5%) 95% for High-Risk
Exposure Zones
CRF1 [79, 16.8, 4.2] – 1.8(15.1) – 1.7 (11.0) 12.1
CRF2 [91.9, 7.6, 0.5] – – – – –
CRF3 [94.8, 5, 0.2] – – – – –
CRF4 [92.2, 7, 0.8] – – – – –
CRF5 [89.4, 9.4, 1.2] – – – – –
CRF6 [88.8, 10.1, 1.1] – – – – –
CRF7 [83.5, 13.3, 3.2] – – – 0.7 (4.5) –
CRF8 [83.4, 13.3, 3.3] – – – 0.8 (5.2) –
CRF9 [73.4, 18.6, 8] 1.1(42.3) 3.6(30.3) 3.0 (100) 5.5 (35.7) 44.3
CRF10 [76.7, 18.5, 4.8] 1.0(38.5) 3.5(29.4) – 2.3 (14.9) 23.5
CRF11 [96, 3.8, 0.2] – – – – –
CRF12 [91, 8.5, 0.5] – – – – –
CRF13 [85.5, 9.7, 4.5] – – – 2.0 (13.0) –
CRF14 [88.8, 9.4, 1.8] – – – – –
CRF15 [78.5, 18, 3.5] 0.5(19.2) 3.0(25.2) – 1.0 (6.5) 20.1
CRF16 [90.7, 8.2, 1.1] – – – – –
CRF17 [82, 14.1, 3.9] – – – 1.4 (9.1) –
CRF18 [87.4, 10.6, 2] – – – – –
CRF19 [93.7, 5.5, 0.8] – – – – –
CRF20 [96.3, 3.3, 0.4] – – – – –
CRF21 [92.3, 6.5, 1.2] – – – – –
CRF22 [90.5, 8.5, 1] – – – – –
CRF23 [96.6, 3.2, 0.2] – – – – –
CRF24 [97.1, 2.2, 0.7] – – – – –
CRF25 [87.9, 10, 2.1] – – – – –
CRF26 [89.5, 7.8, 2.7] – – – – –
NB: "–" means the corresponding risks do not exceed the level of risk tolerance/appetite

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5.2.2.4 Discussion and implications

The probabilistic risk assessment for residential MiC projects revealed significant shortcomings

of the traditional P – I risk ranking model. Failing to capture the underlying distributions of various

risks, the single-point average risk exposure estimates confined the 26 CRFs within the low-

medium and medium-high risk exposure zone, suggesting the absence of significant risks. It also

generated narrow differences in criticalities of various risks since the associated mean risk

exposure values almost converged. As decision support, the conventional P – I risk model would

inform project managers to only monitor the various CRFs because they are located within the

low-medium and medium-high risk exposure zone of the risk matrix (Duijm, 2015).

However, the probabilistic risk assessment provides unique insights because various risks ignored

and considered less important within the conventional P – I risk model ranking scheme is

determined to be significant in the probabilistic risk assessment scheme. For instance, CRF1

(heavy reliance on overseas factories) and CRF17 (inaccurate MiC design information) can

significantly influence MiC project performances due to their high probability of exceeding the

97.5% RT threshold in the high-risk exposure zone (Figure 5.4). Also, CRF1, CRF7, CRF8, CRF9,

CRF10, CRF13, CRF15, and CRF17, considered less important within the conventional risk

ranking scheme (Figure 5.1), have significant influences on MiC project performances (Figure

5.4). Notably, CRF1 (heavy reliance on overseas factories), CRF9 (late design completion and

freezing), CRF10 (inadequate planning and scheduling), and CRF13 (poor communication,

collaboration, and information sharing between stakeholders) significantly influence the costs of

MiC projects in Hong Kong (Pan and Hon, 2018; Yang et al., 2021) and must be mitigated.

Furthermore, there is a wide variation in the probability of risks exceeding the specific thresholds

of the medium-risk exposure zone (Figure 5.5). Notably, various CRFs with high ranking within

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the traditional P – I risk model retained similar ranking in the simulation-based risk model for the

medium-risk exposure zone. The outcome is justifiable due to the specific configuration of risks

within the risk matrix in which all risks are contained within the medium-risk exposure zone

(Figure 5.1). Any variation in the risk configuration across the risk matrix would be reflected in

the revised ranking of risks in the simulation-based scheme. At two specific risk tolerances for the

medium-risk (85%) and high-risk exposure zones (95%), four risks were deemed significant due

to exceeding the thresholds (Table 5.4). As CRF1, CRF9, CRF10, and CRF15 (Table 6.7)

exceeded the 85% and 95% thresholds by a specific percentage; resources would need to be

assigned to the risks in proportion to their exceedance of limits. The simulation-based scheme

(Table 5.4) requires significant variation in the allocation of resources due to the variation in the

underlying distributions across risks. In contrast, the recommendations of the P – I risk model

ranking scheme would be to assign resources almost equally to various risks due to the

convergence of the risk exposure values (Figure 5.1).

The outcomes of the probabilistic risk assessment model makes unique contributions to the theory

and practice of risk management in residential MiC projects. First, the study exposed the grave

limitations of the traditional risk prioritization and ranking scheme. It is confirmed that the single-

point P – I ranking scheme fails to generate risk profile-based ranking of risks in residential MiC

projects. As such, project teams relying on the conventional scheme are invariably susceptible to

prioritize risks inaccurately and make sub-optimal decisions regarding resources allocation to

risks. As the conventional scheme ignores risk assessment at various confidence levels and

provides single-point estimates of mean risk exposure, it can mislead project teams to undermine

unexpected critical events (tail risks).

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Second, the study demonstrated the applicability and importance of novel metrics such as risk

signature, identity functions, and criticality indices for prioritizing risks to inform optimal

decisions in resource allocation and effective risk management strategies. As such, the study can

help practitioners enhance the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC method in building and

construction projects.

Third, the existing literature lack comprehensive assessment approaches capable of capturing the

distributions and exposure profiles of various CRFs for residential MiC projects. As such, this

study contributes to a better understanding of how stochastic point process modelling and

simulation can improve risk assessment and prioritization in residential MiC projects. Also, there

are scant studies providing uncertainty assessment of CRFs for residential MiC projects using risk

matrix data and establishing the relative importance of risks for resource allocation. More

specifically, residential MiC project risks have never been prioritized relative to various risk

tolerance levels of stakeholders defined over the risk exposure zones within a risk matrix. Yet,

ignoring the uncertainty associated with risks can underrate tail risks. Also, sub-optimal risk

management decisions can be made when a prioritization scheme neglects stakeholders' risk

tolerance levels relative to the uncertainty of risks (Qazi et al., 2021). Therefore, a theoretical

contribution of the paper emerges from developing a simulation-based probabilistic risk

assessment model to assess, prioritize, and allocate resources to significant CRFs for residential

MiC projects.

5.2.3 Principal Components of the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects

The EFA rotation of the CRFs converged in 9 iterations. It generated five principal CRFs (PCRFs),

explaining about 74.861% of the total variance in the impact of risks on the performance of

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The PCRFs include design risks (PCRF1), factory

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production risks (PCRF2), transportation and storage risks (PCRF3), onsite assembly risks

(PCRF4), and supply chain risks (PCRF5). Table 5.5 summarizes the factor loadings of the CRFs

and eigenvalues of the PCRFs, which are discussed according to their source in the project

execution time rather than eigen values.

5.2.3.1 Design risks

PCRF1 with an eigenvalue of 3.547 explained 14.82% of the variance in the impact of the CRFs.

It includes six CRFs emanating from the design of residential MiC projects. Obtaining a factor

loading of 0.812, late design completion and freezing (CRF9) constitutes the most important

design risks for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The inability to complete and freeze the

design early has proven to defeat or significantly undermine the time savings benefits of the MiC

method in residential building projects (Gibb and Isack, 2003). It extends the production lead time,

with a bullwhip effect of extended schedule. Hence, late design freeze significantly influences the

costs of residential MiC projects (Zhao et al., 2021).

Table 5.5: Factor loadings of the CRFs for residential MiC projects
ID Critical risk factors Factor loadings
Principal critical risk factors 1 2 3 4 5
PCRF1 Design risks
CRF9 Late design completion and freezing 0.812 - - - -
CRF7 Defective design and change order 0.616 - - - -
CRF18 Inappropriate structural system and 0.571 - - - -
construction materials
CRF17 Inaccurate MiC design information 0.528 - - - -
CRF8 The unsuitability of design for MiC 0.514 - - - -
CRF24 Inaccurate materials specifications and cost 0.506 - - - -
estimation
PCRF2 Factory production risks -
CRF1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories - 0.853 - - -
CRF26 Module production errors - 0.796 - - -
CRF25 Design information gap between designer - 0.493 - - -
and manufacturer
CRF21 Dimensional and geometric inconsistencies - 0.470 - - -
in modules
PCRF3 Transportation and storage risks -
CRF15 Unsuitable site with restrictive space - - 0.752 - -
constraints

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CRF20 Misplacement of stored modules - - 0.736 - -
CRF6 Delay in modules delivery to the site - - 0.442 - -
PCRF4 Onsite assembly risks
CRF19 Module installation errors - - - 0.792 -
CRF23 Mechanical malfunction of cranes - - - 0.783 -
CRF14 Shortages of modules on site - - - 0.774 -
CRF16 Complex interfaces between systems - - - 0.574 -
PCRF5 Supply chain risks
CRF10 Inadequate planning and scheduling - - - - 0.783
CRF2 Limited MiC expertise and experience - - - - 0.725
CRF5 Higher initial capital requirement - - - - 0.720
CRF4 Stakeholder fragmentation and complexity - - - - 0.708
CRF3 Supply chain disruptions - - - - 0.636
CRF22 Inadequate project funding - - - - 0.636
CRF13 Poor communication, collaboration and - - - - 0.594
information sharing between stakeholders
CRF11 Unsuitable project delivery and - - - - 0.531
procurement method
CRF12 Incomplete local MiC supply chain - - - - 0.520
Eigenvalue 3.547 5.016 2.517 4.841 3.235
Variance Explained (%) 14.827 19.292 9.679 18.621 12.441
Cumulative Variance Explained (%) 14.827 34.119 43.799 62.420 74.861

The second most important design risk is defective design and change order (CRF7). As the design

of residential MiC projects progresses towards completion, there is usually limited flexibility for

changes (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021). A change becomes prohibitive after the design has been frozen

and submitted to the suppliers or manufacturers. Once module production starts, defects in the

design and change orders could render all produced modules irrelevant to the project, if the change

requires significant modification in module dimensions, configurations, and geometry (Shahtaheri

et al., 2017).

Another significant design risk is the specification of inappropriate structural system and

construction materials. According to Zou et al. (2007), the misspecification can significantly

undermine the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in a project. An inaccurate MiC

design information (CRF17) constitutes a significant design risk. Erroneous design information, if

unrectified and resolved at the design and production stages constitutes a lethal systemic risk factor

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because it can propagate challenges throughout the delivery. If the design team feeds the design

process with inaccurate and incomplete design information, the resulting output will be defective

design, which could impose change order (Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019). This probability of

occurrence of this risk is usually high because the design stage is mostly planned with incomplete

knowledge based on uncertain data. Thus, the need to allocate enough design lead time and adopt

a collaborative approach to generate accurate and high-quality design information to develop

optimal MiC design solution in residential MiC projects cannot be overemphasized.

The unsuitability of the design for the MiC method (CRF8) constitutes a critical design risk for

residential MiC projects. A residential MiC project design must incorporate the principles of

design for manufacture and assembly. Though a site-built design can be modified into a MiC

design, it is a good design management practice to consider the MiC method at the outset of the

project. This assertion is consistent with KPMG (2016) that the full benefits of the MiC method in

a project hinges on high quality and dedicated design for its usage in a project (KPMG, 2016).

Failure to incorporate design rules than facilitates offsite production and onsite assembly of the

modules can create a condition where the residential MiC project fails even before the factory

production of the modules commences. The MiC method is also efficient in a residential project

with repetitive layout in the design (Hwang et al., 2018b). Thus, the design team and BIM

consultant must explicitly consider the compatibility of the design with the MiC method at the

earliest stages of the project (Blismas et al., 2005).

5.2.3.2 Factory production risks

PCRF2 with an eigenvalue of 5.016 explained 19.292% of the variance in the impact of the CRFs.

It comprises four CRFs associated with the factory production of modules during the MiC project

delivery process. Obtaining the highest factor loading of 0.853, a heavy reliance on overseas

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factories (CRF1) constitutes the most critical production risk for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. The limited capacity of local fabricators, absence of adequate space for development of

production yards, and immaturity of the local supply chain has imposed heavy reliance on overseas

factories for production of modules for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong (Construction

Industry Council, 2017). The reliance on overseas factories generate cross-border logistical

challenges, complex custom verification requirements, need for frequent inspection of overseas

factory works, and additional layers of international transportation and jurisdictional risks (Yang

et al., 2021). These uncertainties significantly influence the costs of residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong.

Another significant production risk is module production errors (CRF26). The impact of module

production errors could be lethal and cataclysmic if the errors are replicated in the mass-produced

modules and require site-fit reworks (Shahtaheri et al., 2017). In some cases where the errors are

significantly severe to render the modules irrelevant for the residential project, the additional costs

could be prohibitive and abortive. Design information gap between designer and manufacturer

(CRF25) with a factor loading of 0.493 constitutes a critical production risk for residential MiC

projects. Manufacturers and production engineers usually produce the modules based on the

working drawings and detailed design from the design team. In cases where the manufacturers

were not directly involved in the design, opportunities are missed to proactively consider and

resolve potential assembly constraints before freezing the design (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021).

Boothroyd (1994) described this condition as ‘over-the-wall’ syndrome where the production

engineers must resolve issues and produce modules because they were not privy to the design. A

by-product of the design information gap is dimensional and geometric inconsistencies in the

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modules (CRF21). Shahtaheri et al. (2017) found that these variabilities usually require site-fit

reworks and could result in poor-quality work.

5.2.3.3 Transportation and storage risks

PCRF3 with an eigenvalue of 2.517 explained 9.679% of the variance in the impact of the CRFs.

It encompasses three CRFs linked to the transportation and storage of the MiC modules. The most

significant transportation and storage risk is unsuitable site with restrictive space constraints

(CRF15), obtaining the highest factor loading of 0.752. Undulating and hilly sites increase the

challenges associated with transporting to and moving modules in the construction sites (Hong

Kong Housing Authority, 2021). It reduces onsite installation productivity and could negatively

affect the efficiency of the MiC method in a project. Misplacement of stored modules (CRF20)

constitutes another significant storage risk for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. It is a

common practice for the modules to be stored on site temporarily before installation. Failure to

pack modules in a manner that facilitates easy access during installation can result in inefficiencies

due to module accessibility problems during onsite assembly (Blismas, 2007). Also, delay in

modules delivery to the site (CRF6) can halt onsite installation, extend schedule, and generate

additional cost of hired equipment and site labour wages. The theoretical positions of these

transportation and storage risk factors have been well-established in the literature (Blismas, 2007;

Wuni et al., 2019; Yang et al., 2021).

5.2.3.4 Onsite assembly risks

PCRF4 with an eigenvalue of 4.841 explained about 18.621% of the variance in the impact of the

CRFs. It comprises four CRFs associated with the onsite assembly of the modules, including

module installation errors (CRF19), mechanical malfunction of cranes (CRF23), shortages of

modules on site (CRF14), and complex interfaces between systems (CRF16). Module installation

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errors require complex and prohibitively expensive rectification work and rework to address the

fault. The impact of this risk can be extremely severe, especially when the grouting work has been

completed before the error is detected. The cost of the error could also be prohibitive, if the

modules contained highly diversified design and mainly one-of-a-kind with no substitutes.

Also, crane breakdown and malfunction can adversely affect the onsite installation schedule and

cost of residential MiC projects. In case where one of two cranes breaks down, the onsite

installation rate will significantly reduce and increase requirement for onsite storage. Arranging

and moving another crane to site can usually take time, especially if a special and rare crane type

is used in the project. For instance, the two 48-ton capacity flagship tower cranes used to install

the 26 – 31 tons of concrete modules in the Clement Canopy in Singapore are uncommon. A

breakdown of such cranes could be hard to replace immediately, which can significantly extend

the schedule and cost of residential MiC projects.

Additionally, shortages of modules on site (CRF14) can halt onsite installation works and

negatively influence schedule performance. Luo et al. (2015) also documented that complex

interfacing between systems significantly reduces the efficiency of stacking and connecting the

various modules in the residential MiC project. It exposes the project to quality problems such

improper connection and fittings between modules (Hong, 2020), water seepage (Xu et al., 2020),

and poor sound insulation (Adekunle and Nikolopoulou, 2016).

5.2.3.5 Supply chain risks

PCRF5 with an eigenvalue of 3.235 explained about 12.441% of the variance in the impact of the

CRFs. It comprises nine CRFs linked to the supply chain of MiC projects. The most profound

supply chain CRF is inadequate planning and scheduling for the MiC method (CRF10) with the

highest factor loading of 0.783. Inadequate planning and scheduling generate externalities such as

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incomprehensive design information, and reactive project management (Zou et al., 2007). As the

project team misses the opportunity to extensively consider intractable downstream constraints

and challenges during the planning stage, the residential MiC project can be exposed to significant

vulnerabilities throughout the delivery chain (Choi et al., 2016).

Limited expertise and experience of the project team (CRF2) can negatively affect the efficiency

and effectiveness of the MiC method in the residential building. Due to the interdependences of

the delivery chain, supply chain disruptions (CRF3) can adversely affect the fundamentals of the

residential MiC project. For instance, production system failure in the factory can generate

shortages of modules on site, resulting in extended schedule and cost. Similarly, mechanical

malfunction of cranes can overwhelm onsite installation and increase costs of module storage. Zou

et al. (2007) established that inadequate project funding (CRF22) generates greater uncertainties

in the project schedule and continuity, increased cost of capital over time, and dissatisfaction of

project team members.

The negative impact of poor communication and information sharing between project teams

(CRF13) in residential MiC projects has been well-established (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021). It results

in duplicated efforts, inconsistencies, and inefficiency in the residential MiC project delivery

process. The persistent collaboration problem in residential MiC projects can be attributed to

unsupportive procurement system and project delivery methods (CRF11). Complementary

participants such as designers, manufacturers, BIM consultants, and contractors seldom

collaborate and share information throughout the residential MiC project because some

procurement and project delivery modes discourage the required collaboration. Thus, delivery

methods such as design-bid-build exposes the residential MiC project to poor collaboration among

project teams, resulting in detrimental inconsistencies and inefficiencies (Fox et al., 2001).

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5.2.4 Quantifying the Impact of the Principal CRFs for Residential MiC Projects

The FSE techniques provide relevant computational power to model and quantify the impact of

the 26 CRFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Table 5.6 summarizes the mean scores,

weightings, and membership functions of the CRFs and PCRFs for residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong. The descending ordered weightings of the PCRFS include PCRF5, PCRF1, PCRF4,

PCRF2, and PCRF3. However, the weightings were not used to rank the PCRFs because they are

sensitive to the number of CRFs and could be biased towards those containing more CRFs.

Table 5.6: Membership functions of the CRFs for residential MiC projects
ID Critical risk factors MS Wi Membership function
Principal critical risk factors
PCRF1 Design risks 21.50 0.239 (0.01, 0.15, 0.29, 0.36, 0.20)
CRF9 Late design completion and freezing 3.82 0.178 (0.01, 0.11, 0.24, 0.33, 0.31)
CRF17 Inaccurate MiC design information 3.69 0.172 (0.00, 0.16, 0.21, 0.41, 0.22)
CRF7 Defective design and change order 3.67 0.171 (0.00, 0.12, 0.27, 0.43, 0.18)
CRF18 Inappropriate structural system and 3.65 0.170 (0.02, 0.12, 0.27, 0.38, 0.21)
construction materials
CRF8 Unsuitability of design for MiC 3.53 0.164 (0.01, 0.15, 0.31, 0.36, 0.17)
CRF24 Inaccurate materials specifications and 3.14 0.146 (0.02, 0.22, 0.45, 0.22, 0.09)
cost estimation
PCRF2 Factory production risks 13.46 0.150 (0.02, 0.17, 0.30, 0.36, 0.15)
CRF1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories 3.62 0.269 (0.02, 0.15, 0.26, 0.36, 0.22)
CRF25 Design information gap between designer 3.53 0.262 (0.01, 0.15, 0.30, 0.40, 0.15)
and manufacturer
CRF26 Module production errors 3.08 0.229 (0.03, 0.19, 0.28, 0.39, 0.11)
CRF21 Dimensional and geometric 3.23 0.240 (0.02, 0.22, 0.38, 0.28, 0.10)
inconsistencies in modules
PCRF3 Transportation and storage risks 10.47 0.116 (0.01, 0.16, 0.30, 0.39, 0.15)
CRF15 Unsuitable site with restrictive space 3.73 0.356 (0.00, 0.09, 0.31, 0.40, 0.21)
constraints
CRF6 Delay in modules delivery to the site 3.53 0.337 (0.01, 0.15, 0.29, 0.39, 0.15)
CRF20 Misplacement of stored modules 3.21 0.307 (0.03, 0.24, 0.29, 0.36, 0.08)
PCRF4 Onsite assembly risks 13.49 0.150 (0.03, 0.16, 0.34, 0.35, 0.12)
CRF14 Shortages of modules on site 3.47 0.257 (0.03, 0.19, 0.24, 0.38, 0.16)
CRF16 Complex interfaces between systems 3.46 0.256 (0.01, 0.08, 0.47, 0.33, 0.11)
CRF19 Module installation errors 3.38 0.251 (0.03, 0.19, 0.28, 0.39, 0.11)
CRF23 Mechanical malfunction of cranes 3.18 0.236 (0.05, 0.20, 0.37, 0.29, 0.09)
PCRF5 Supply chain risks 30.99 0.345 (0.02, 0.14, 0.36, 0.35, 0.14)
CRF10 Inadequate planning and scheduling 3.74 0.121 (0.02, 0.11, 0.26, 0.35, 0.26)
CRF13 Poor communication, collaboration and 3.54 0.114 (0.03, 0.10, 0.35, 0.32, 0.20)
information sharing between stakeholders
CRF22 Inadequate project funding 3.50 0.113 (0.01, 0.12, 0.38, 0.35, 0.15)
CRF2 Limited MiC expertise and experience 3.46 0.112 (0.00, 0.14, 0.36, 0.41, 0.09)

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CRF5 Higher initial capital requirement 3.45 0.111 (0.02, 0.12, 0.39, 0.33, 0.14)
CRF3 Supply chain disruptions 3.42 0.110 (0.02, 0.13, 0.36, 0.41, 0.09)
CRF4 Stakeholder fragmentation and 3.39 0.109 (0.01, 0.14, 0.44, 0.29, 0.13)
complexity
CRF12 Incomplete local MiC supply chain 3.34 0.108 (0.01, 0.18, 0.38, 0.33, 0.10)
CRF11 Unsuitable project delivery and 3.15 0.102 (0.03, 0.22, 0.36, 0.32, 0.06)
procurement method

Instead, the membership functions and weightings were used to quantify the impact level of each

PCRF and overall impact of the 26 CRFs. Table 5.7 summarizes the relevant computations and

the impact indices of the various PCRFs. The FSE analysis revealed that the 26 CRFs collectively

have a significant impact on costs of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, with an overall impact

index of 3.48 on a five-point rating. Consequently, project teams must plan and mitigate these risk

events when implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Table 5.7: Impact indices of the principal CRFs for residential MiC projects
ID Computation Impact Index Norm.
PCRF1 = (0.01, 0.15, 0.29, 0.36, 0.20)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.60 0.207
= (0.01*1) + (0.15*2) + (0.29*3) + (0.36*4) + (0.20*5)
PCRF2 = (0.02, 0.17, 0.30, 0.36, 0.15)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.45 0.199
= (0.02*1) + (0.17*2) + (0.30*3) + (0.36*4) + (0.15*5)
PCRF3 = (0.01, 0.16, 0.30, 0.39, 0.15)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.50 0.201
= (0.01*1) + (0.16*2) + (0.30*3) + (0.39*4) + (0.15*5)
PCRF4 = (0.03, 0.16, 0.34, 0.35, 0.12)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.38 0.194
= (0.03*1) + (0.16*2) + (0.34*3) + (0.35*4) + (0.12*5)
PCRF5 = (0.02, 0.14, 0.36, 0.35, 0.14) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.45 0.199
= (0.02*1) + (0.14*2) + (0.36) + (0.35*4) + (0.14*5)
Overall = (0.016, 0.151, 0.324, 0.357, 0.153)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.48 Σ=1.000
= (0.016*1) + (0.151*2) + (0.324*3) + (0.357*4) + (0.153*5)

Additionally, the FSE modelling indicated that four of the five PCRFs have significant impact on

the performance of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Design risks (PCRF1) obtained the

highest impact index of 3.60 and generates the highest impact on the performance of residential

MiC projects. Transportation and storage risks (PCRF3) obtained the next highest impact with an

index of 3.50, followed by supply chain risks (PCRF5) and factory production risks (PCRF2) with

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equal impact index of 3.45. The least significant PCRF is onsite assembly risk (PCRF4) with

impact index of 3.38 on a 5-point impact scale. The outcome of the FSE is surprisingly compelling

and reflective of reality because the design stage determines about 80% of the costs of construction

projects (Bogenstätter, 2000), rendering design risks extremely crucial in residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong.

5.2.5 A Structural Risk-Path Model for Residential MiC Projects in Hong Kong

5.2.5.1 Establishing a conceptual structural model and hypotheses development

The literature have documented possible multiple chain reactions, push effects, and

interdependencies among the delivery chain segments of residential MiC projects (Luo, Jin, et al.,

2020). Thus, upstream risk events, uncertainties and challenges can propagate throughout the

delivery chain to compromise the goals of downstream delivery chain stages (Wuni and Shen,

2020b). The extant literature have established several unvalidated and unverified claims that risks

in residential MiC projects reinforce each at various stages of the delivery chain (Yang et al.,

2021). For instance, risks such as poor collaboration among project participants, disruptions, and

inadequate planning can propagate and reinforce the adverse impact of risks at all stages of the

delivery chain (Luo, Jin, et al., 2020). Also, inaccurate design information and poor design quality

can derail the quality of the manufactured modules and generate installation problems (Wuni and

Shen, 2020b). Similarly, heavy reliance on overseas factories can increase module transportation

challenges such as cross-border logistic arrangement and overseas quality inspection costs (Yang

et al., 2021). Likewise, delay in transporting modules to the construction site can extend the onsite

schedule of module installation.

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Therefore, the best practices for residential MiC projects can be enriched with a better

understanding of the significant chain reactions and push effects of risk events throughout the

residential MiC project delivery chain. The theoretical positions of the chain reactions and

interdependencies of the CRFs in the various stages of the residential MiC project delivery chain

has been well-established in the literature. Thus, the SLR (Section 2.6) and principal components

(i.e., constructs) of the CRFs for residential MiC projects (Section 5.2.3) provide adequate

information to develop a conceptual model depicting the potential causal relationships between

various risks constructs. Table 5.8 summarizes the relevant CRFs and five risk constructs for

residential MiC projects along with codes for the conceptual model.

Table 5.8: Relevant critical risk factors for residential MiC projects
Latent variables Code Observable variables/indicators
/Constructs
Design risks DR1 Late design completion and freezing
DR2 Defective design and change order
DR3 Inappropriate structural system and construction materials
DR4 Inaccurate MiC design information
DR5 Unsuitability of design for MiC
DR6 Inaccurate materials specifications and cost estimation
Factory PR1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories
production risks PR2 Module production errors
PR3 Design information gap between designer and manufacturer
PR4 Dimensional and geometric inconsistencies in modules
Transportation TSR1 Unsuitable site with restrictive space constraints
and storage risks TSR2 Misplacement of stored modules
TSR3 Delay in modules delivery to the site
Onsite assembly OAR1 Module installation errors
risks OAR2 Mechanical malfunction of cranes
OAR3 Shortages of modules on site
OAR4 Complex interfaces between systems
Supply chain SCR1 Inadequate planning and scheduling
risks SCR2 Limited MiC expertise and experience
SCR3 Higher initial capital requirement
SCR4 Stakeholder fragmentation and complexity
SCR5 Supply chain disruptions
SCR6 Inadequate project funding
SCR7 Poor communication, collaboration and information sharing between
stakeholders
SCR8 Unsuitable project delivery method and procurement system
SCR9 Incomplete local MiC supply chain

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A conceptual risk path model employs network theory to hypothesize the causal relations between

risk constructs. Figure 5.6 shows a conceptual model depicting and defining potential relationships

between the risk constructs for residential MiC projects. The model exemplifies the capability of

SEM to handle complex relationships between latent constructs and multiple dependent constructs

within a single model. The conceptual path model (Figure 5.6) shows ten hypotheses representing

possible causal relationships between the five risk constructs for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. A path in the conceptual model depicts a causal relationship.

Figure 5.6: A conceptual path model of the causal relationships between risk constructs

The hypotheses among the risk constructs typify the possible impact of risk construct from one

stage of the residential MiC project delivery chain to another stage. These stages are design, factory

production, transportation and storage, and onsite assembly of modules, including the supply

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chain. Figure 5.6 hypothesizes how the various stage-based risk constructs reinforce each other

(Luo, Jin, et al., 2020; Yang et al., 2021). As the various stages of the residential MiC project

delivery chain are interdependent, design risk events can propagate throughout the delivery chain

to reinforce risks at all subsequent stages. Except for supply chain risks, design risks can affect

proceeding stages but risks in subsequent stages cannot influence design risks because it precedes

all subsequent stages in execution time (Adabre et al., 2021).

For example, inaccurate design information can compromise the quality of the factory production

of modules, but limited supervision of factory works cannot affect the design stage. The theoretical

position of the unilateral impact of design risks on subsequent stages have been well established

(Sutrisna and Goulding, 2019). However, bilateral impact of risk constructs can exist in stages

such as transportation and onsite assembly. For instance, delay in module delivery to site can halt

module installation, whereas rapid demand for modules on site can overwhelm module transport

and storage requirements (Zhai et al., 2017, 2018).

The paths and arrow alignment in Figure 5.6 represents the direction of the hypothesized causal

relationships between risk constructs for residential MiC projects. The consequential hypotheses

of such causal relationships in residential MiC projects in Hong Kong include:

• H1: Supply chain risks have a significant positive impact on design risks for residential MiC
projects in Hong Kong.
• H2: Supply chain risks have a significant positive influence on factory production risks for
residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H3: Supply chain risks have a significant positive impact on transportation and storage risks
for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H4: Supply chain risks have a significant positive impact on onsite assembly risks for residential
MiC projects in Hong Kong.

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• H5: design risks have a significant positive impact on factory production risks for residential
MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H6: Design risks have a significant positive impact on transportation and storage risks for
residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H7: Design risks have a significant positive impact on onsite assembly risks for residential MiC
projects in Hong Kong.
• H8: Factory production risks have a significant positive impact on transportation and storage
risks for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H9: Factory production risks have a significant positive influence on onsite assembly risks for
residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.
• H10: Transportation and storage risks have a significant positive influence on onsite assembly
risks for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

5.2.5.2 Measurement model

According to Hair et al. (2018), a measurement model represents the relationships between

constructs and their corresponding indicator variables. Smart PLS (v.3.3.3) was used to construct

the measurement model. The measurement model was generated using the partial least square

algorithm. Table 5.9 summarizes the outcomes of a valid and reliable measurement model of the

five risk constructs for residential MiC projects.

Table 5.9: Measurement model results


Constructs Items Loadings a AVE b CR c CA d Rho_A e
Design risks DR1 0.820 0.680 0.927 0.905 0.908
DR2 0.867
DR3 0.792
DR4 0.853
DR5 0.855
DR6 0.757
Factory PR1 0.545 0.588 0.848 0.757 0.793
production PR2 0.840
risks PR3 0.823
PR4 0.820
Transportation TSR1 0.654 0.622 0.829 0.701 0.739
and storage TSR2 0.815
risks TSR3 0.879

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Onsite OAR1 0.753 0.637 0.875 0.809 0.820
assembly risks OAR2 0.652
OAR3 0.688
OAR4 0.749
Supply chain SCR1 0.758 0.532 0.910 0.888 0.893
risks SCR2 0.579
SCR3 0.822
SCR4 0.741
SCR5 0.793
SCR6 0.753
SCR7 0.652
SCR8 0.688
SCR9 0.793
Items removed: indicator items are below 0.50: None
a. All-item loading ≥ 0.50 showing indicator reliability (Hulland, 1999)
b. All Average Variance Extracted (AVE) > 0.50, indicating Convergent reliability (Bagozzi and Yi, 1988)
c. All Composite Reliability (CR) > 0.70 indicating internal consistency (Gefen et al., 2000)
d. All Cronbach’s alpha (CA) > 0.70 indicating reliability (Nunnally and Berstein, 1994)
e. All Jereskog Rho_A > 0.70 indicating excellent internal consistency of items

The factor loading of each indicator and the average variance extracted (AVE) of each construct

exceeds the recommended 0.50 required for data validity. A reflective indicator loading >0.50

means the item is a good measurement of the latent construct (Hulland, 1999). Likewise, the

composite reliability and Cronbach’s alpha exceed the 0.70 minimum threshold requirement of

convergent validity (Hair et al., 2018). The Cronbach’s alpha measures the reliability and internal

consistency of the items of unidimensionality of a set of scale items, indicating the degree to which

all the variables in the measurement scale are positively related to each other (Cronbach, 1951;

Nunnally and Berstein, 1994). The convergent reliability is assessed using AVE comparable to the

proportion of variance explained in factor analysis and takes values between 0 and 1, with the

minimum acceptable value of AVE> 0.50 (Bagozzi and Yi, 1988). The internal consistency of a

measurement model is assessed using Dhillo-Goldstein Rho (p), also known as the Composite

Reliability (CR). It measures the reliability of the indicators where values are between 0 and 1,

with CR>0.70 considered the minimum requirement for adequate consistency (Gefen et al., 2000).

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Given the loadings >0.50, AVE >0.50, CR > 0.70 , and Cronbach’s Alpha > 0.70, the measurement

model has acceptable level of validity.

5.2.5.2.1 Discriminant validity assessment

Table 5.10 summarizes the results of the discriminant validity assessment using Fornell and Lacker

criterion. The results indicate that the greatest correlations exist between the same constructs,

located diagonally. These correlations are higher than any correlations between the constructs,

indicating adequate discriminant validity. Table 5.10 indicates adequate discriminant validity

because the diagonal values are the highest in any row or column.

Table 5.10: Fornell and Lacker criterion


Constructs Design Factory Onsite Supply Chain Transportation
Risks Production Assembly Risks and Storage
Risks Risks Risks
Design Risks 0.825
Factory Production 0.703 0.767
Risks
Onsite Assembly 0.761 0.615 0.798
Risks
Supply Chain Risks 0.640 0.720 0.600 0.770
Transportation and 0.763 0.731 0.642 0.763 0.789
Storage Risks
*The diagonal are the square root of the AVE of the latent variables and indicates the highest in any column or row

5.2.5.2.2 Cross loading of indicators

Table 5.11 summarizes the cross loadings of the indicators of the measurement model. The
indicators have the highest loadings in their hypothesized constructs, indicating an acceptable
discriminant validity.

Table 5.11: Indicator item cross loadings


Indicator Design Factory Production Transportation and Onsite Assembly Supply
Risks Risks Storage Risks Risks Chain Risks
DR1 0.820 0.615 0.627 0.519 0.670
DR2 0.867 0.648 0.637 0.606 0.738
DR3 0.792 0.686 0.619 0.671 0.665

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DR4 0.853 0.751 0.683 0.735 0.743
DR5 0.855 0.622 0.648 0.625 0.703
DR6 0.757 0.637 0.551 0.590 0.628
PR1 0.347 0.545 0.386 0.429 0.490
PR2 0.666 0.840 0.598 0.734 0.648
PR3 0.697 0.823 0.508 0.593 0.679
PR4 0.688 0.820 0.703 0.697 0.684
TSR1 0.460 0.320 0.654 0.456 0.442
TSR2 0.605 0.670 0.815 0.784 0.615
TSR3 0.711 0.667 0.879 0.704 0.774
OAR1 0.720 0.828 0.724 0.881 0.701
OAR2 0.567 0.641 0.634 0.773 0.608
OAR3 0.564 0.532 0.717 0.761 0.566
OAR4 0.565 0.569 0.611 0.773 0.678
SCR1 0.761 0.615 0.708 0.604 0.753
SCR2 0.430 0.626 0.515 0.543 0.652
SCR3 0.579 0.504 0.499 0.507 0.688
SCR4 0.589 0.530 0.464 0.501 0.749
SCR5 0.541 0.668 0.609 0.636 0.758
SCR6 0.643 0.524 0.551 0.543 0.579
SCR7 0.718 0.682 0.599 0.657 0.822
SCR8 0.631 0.543 0.579 0.545 0.741
SCR9 0.576 0.659 0.629 0.672 0.793

5.2.5.2.3 Heterotrait-monotrait ratio of correlation

Table 5.12 summarizes the heterotrait-monotrait ratio (HTMT) ratio of correlations between the

risk constructs. The HTMT as a measurement model assessment metric requires juxtaposition with

a predetermined threshold. Various thresholds such 0.85 (HTMT0.85), 0.90 (HTMT0.90), 0.95

(HTMT0.95), and 0.975 (HTMT0.975) are commonly used in the literature. Like Adabre et al. (2021),

this study adopted 0.975 (HTMT0.975) as the predetermined threshold for the comparison. From

Table 5.12, the inter-construct HTMT ratio of correlation values are less than 0.975, corroborating

the discriminant validity of the measurement model.

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Table 5.12: Heterotrait-monotrait ratio of correlation values
Construct Design Risks Factory Onsite Supply Transportation and
Production Assembly Chain Storage Risks
Risks Risks Risks
Design Risks
Factory Production 0.949
Risks
Onsite Assembly 0.880 0.819
Risks
Supply Chain Risks 0.931 0.880 0.941
Transportation and 0.944 0.953 0.897 0.919
Storage Risks

5.2.5.3 Structural model estimation

The reliability and validity assessment results of the measurement model demonstrate that the data

is suitable for constructing a structural model. Hence, a path analysis was conducted among the

risk constructs for residential MiC projects. Figure 5.7 shows the structural model mapping the

causal relationships between and among the various risk constructs along with path coefficients.

The values between constructs represent path coefficients reflecting the magnitude of influence of

a construct on another. Higher path coefficients depict greater influence of a construct on another.

The strength of the influence associated with various path coefficients are classified into three:

weak impact (0.10 – 0.30), moderate impact (0.30 – 0.50), and strong impact (0.50 – 1.00).

The model reveals a strong influence of supply chain risks on design risks. Supply chain risks also

moderately reinforce factory production risks and transportation and storage risks for residential

MiC projects. However, supply chain risks have weak positive impact on onsite assembly risks.

The model also reveals that design risks moderately reinforce factory production risks. However,

design risks generate weak impact on transportation-storage risks, and onsite assembly risks for

residential MiC projects.

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Figure 5.7: A structural model with path coefficient values

The model further shows that factory production risks have a weak influence on transportation and

storage risks but moderately reinforce onsite assembly risks for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. Also, the model indicates the moderate impact of transportation and storage risks on onsite

assembly risks for residential MiC projects.

5.2.5.3.1 Structural model assessment

The inner variance inflation factor (VIF) was explored to investigate the prevalence of

multicollinearity in the structural model. Table 5.13 summarizes the VIF values measuring the

presence of multicollinearity. All the VIF values of the indicators are below 5.00, indicating the

absence of multicollinearity among the indicators of the structural model (Hair et al., 2018).

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Table 5.13: Variance inflation factor values of the indicators of the structural model
Construct/Indicators Outer VIF Inner VIF Values R2 Adj.R2
Values DRs FPRs TSRs OARs SCRs
Design Risks (DRs) 2.522 3.395 3.920 4.142 0.705 0.703
DR1 2.522
DR2 3.118
DR3 2.096
DR4 2.668
DR5 2.87
DR6 1.824
Factory Production 3.531 3.601 0.717 0.712
Risks (FPRs)
PR1 1.168
PR2 1.976
PR3 1.982
PR4 1.605
Transportation and 3.002 0.667 0.658
Storage Risks (TSRs)
TSR1 1.292
TSR2 1.428
TSR3 1.703
Onsite Assembly 0.798 0.791
Risks (OARs)
OAR1 2.766
OAR2 2.246
OAR3 1.873
OAR4 1.801
Supply Chain Risks 1.000 3.395 4.266 4.845
(SCRs)
SCR1 2.401
SCR2 1.787
SCR3 1.861
SCR4 2.131
SCR5 2.636
SCR6 1.644
SCR7 2.631
SCR8 2.070
SCR9 2.383

The structural model was also assessed using the coefficient of determination (R2) to ascertain the

total effect size and variance explained by the various dependent risk constructs for residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. The R2 values of the dependent risk constructs are provided in Figure

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5.9., ranging 0.667 – 0.798 (66.7% – 79.8%), which are far above satisfactory values (Hair et al.,

2018). It is also imperative to examine the significance of the paths in the structural model. Before

that, the Mardia’s multivariate skewness and kurtosis were used to explore the data normality

(Figure 5.8).

Figure 5.8: Mardia’s multivariate skewness and kurtosis

The cut-off values of the Mardia multivariate test for non-normality of data are ± 1 (skewness) and

±20 (kurtosis). Values of 3.810 and 41.412 (Figure 7.3) were obtained for Mardia’s multivariate

skewness and kurtosis, respectively. Comparing the values to the cut-off values ± 1 (skewness)

and ±20 (kurtosis), the data was non-normally distributed. The multivariate non-normality

provided statistical legitimacy to use bootstrapping analysis to measure the significance of the

paths or direct effects of the ten hypotheses embodied in the structural model. The bootstrapping

results are provided in Figure 5.9 and Table 5.14.

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Figure 5.9: Bootstrapping analysis results of the structural model.

A value in the path between risk constructs in Figure 5.9 represents the t-value of the path. For a

2-tailed test, a t-value > 1.96 demonstrates a significant causal relationship at a 5% (α = 0.05)

significance level (t0.05 > 1.96). Likewise, for a 2-tailed test, a t-value > 2.58 indicates significant

hypothesis at a 1% (α = 0.01) significance level (t0.01 > 2.58).

5.2.5.3.2 Validation of the hypotheses

Table 5.14 summarizes the t-values and p-values (Sig.) of the hypothetical causal relationships

among the risk constructs. Of the ten paths (Figure 5.9), the path between supply chain risks and

design risks was significant at 0.01 (p < 0.000) with a t-value (28.11) > 2.58. Likewise, the path

between supply chain risks and factory production risks and the path between supply chain risks

and transportation risks were significant at 0.01 (p < 0.000) with t-values of 4.498 and 3.733,
230
respectively. Also, the path between design risks and factory production risks was significant at

0.01 (p < 0.000) with a t-value (3.358) > 2.58.

Table 5.14: Direct relationships for hypothesis testing


Hypo- Relationship Std Std |t- Decision f2 q2 95% Sig.
thesis Beta Errors value| CI
H1 Supply chain 0.839 0.030 28.119 Supported (0.770 0.000*
risks - > -
Design Risks 0.887)
H2 Supply chain 0.493 0.110 4.498 Supported 0.244 0.066 (0.272 0.000*
risks - > -
Factory 0.687)
Production
Risks
H3 Supply chain 0.449 0.118 3.733 Supported 0.135 0.029 (0.227 0.000*
risks - > -
Transportation 0.671)
and Storage
Risks
H4 Supply chain 0.121 0.104 1.107 Not 0.005 - (- 0.269
risks - > supported 0.002 0.079
Onsite -
Assembly 0.320)
Risks
H5 Design Risks 0.390 0.115 3.358 Supported 0.141 0.039 (0.170 0.001*
- > Factory -
Production 0.620)
Risks
H6 Design Risks 0.263 0.124 2.191 Supported 0.057 0.015 (0.020 0.029**
-> -
Transportation 0.516)
and Storage
Risks
H7 Design risks - 0.015 0.095 0.054 Not 0.000 - (- 0.957
> Onsite supported 0.004 0.194
Assembly -
Risks 0.196)
H8 Factory 0.152 0.122 1.248 Not 0.021 - (- 0.213
Production supported 0.011 0.085
risks - > -
Transportation 0.379)
and Storage
Risks

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H9 Factory 0.360 0.099 3.696 Supported 0.193 0.043 (0.159 0.000*
Production -
risks - > 0.571)
Onsite
Assembly
Risks
H10 Transportation 0.470 0.085 5.653 Supported 0.366 0.089 (0.301 0.000*
and Storage -
Risks –> 0.630)
Onsite
Assembly
Risks
*P < 0.01 (*2.58 (p < 0.01); **p < 0.05 (**1.96 (p < 0.05)).
R2 (Design Risks = 0.705; Factory Production Risks = 0.717; Transportation and Storage Risks = 0.667; Onsite Assembly Risks = 0.798)
Effect Size (f2) classification: f2 value= 0.35 (large), 0.15(medium), and 0.02(small)
Predictive Relevance (q2) of predictor independent construct classification: q2 value= 0.35 (large), 0.15(medium), and 0.02(small)

The path between design risks and transportation risks was also significant at 0.05 (P = 0.029) with

a t-value of 2.191. Additionally, the path between factory production risks and onsite assembly

risks was significant at 0.01 with a t-value (3.696) > 2.58. Similarly, the path between

transportation and storage risks and onsite assembly risks was significant at 0.01 with a t-value

(5.653) > 2.58. However, three paths (i.e., H4, H7, H8) of the structural model were insignificant

at both 0.01 and 0.05.

5.2.5.4 Assessment of effect sizes (f2)

The effect size f2 was computed to determine the extent to which each risk construct (independent

construct) influence or explain the impact of another construct (dependent construct) in terms of

R2. f2 measures the changes in R2 of a dependent risk construct due to presence of a specific

independent risk construct. Mathematically, f2 is computed as follows.

f2 = (R2included - R2excluded)/(1 - R2included)

where R2included and R2excluded are the R2 values of the dependent risk construct when a selected

independent risk construct is included or excluded from the model. The partial least square

algorithm measures this change by computing the R2 value of dependent risk construct when a

232
selected independent risk construct is included and excluded from the model to yield R2included and

R2excluded, respectively. Thus, it estimates PLS path model twice to generate R2included and R2excluded

for a relevant hypothesis. The thumb rule for interpreting the effect sizes include: 0.02 ≤ f2 < 0.15

(weak effect), 0.15 ≤ f2 < 0.35 (moderate effect), and f2 ≥ 0.35 (strong effect).

Table 5.14 indicates a strong effect size (0.366) for the path between transportation and storage

risks and onsite assembly risks. There is also a moderate effect size for the path between supply

chain risks and factory production risks (0.244), and the path between factory production risks and

onsite assembly risks (0.193). However, there are smaller effect sizes (0.00 – 0.141) in the paths

between the remaining risk constructs.

5.2.5.5 Evaluation of predictive relevance (q2)

Predictive relevance (q2) computes the extent to which the structural model reproduces the values

of the indicators. While the bootstrapping analysis omits a selected independent construct to

compute the effect size (f2), the blindfolding analysis rather omits indicators to compute the

predictive relevance of the risk constructs. Blindfolding omits relevant data for a selected block of

indicators and predicts the omitted part based on the calculated parameters to generate q 2.

Mathematically, q2 is computed as follows.

q2 = (Q2included - Q2excluded)/(1 - Q2included), where Q2 = 1 – (ΣD SSED)/ (ΣD SSOD)

where D represents the omission distance, SSE denotes the sum of square errors, and SSO

represents the sum of squares total. To set D, the thumb rule is 5 ≤ D ≤ 10. A default D of 7 was

used in conducting the blindfolding in the Smart PLS software. The predictive relevance of a

construct can be classified into three: weak (0.02 ≤ q2 < 0.15), moderate (0.15 ≤ q2 < 0.35), and

strong (q2 ≥ 0.35). Table 5.14 summarizes the predictive relevance (q2) of the ten structural causal

233
paths of the risk constructs (Figure 5.9). The results show weaker predictive relevance of the ten

paths.

5.2.5.6 Importance-performance analysis

Though f2 and q2 provide relevant information of various risk constructs that reinforce each other

to inform integrated risk response and mitigation strategies, it is also relevant to examine the

importance levels of the various risk constructs (Adabre et al., 2021). The onsite assembly stage

can inherit the impact of all unresolved upstream risks throughout the delivery chain. Thus, the

study conducted importance-performance analysis (IPMA) on the basis that all risk constructs

contribute to and reinforce onsite assembly risks in residential MiC projects. Figure 5.10 shows

the IPMA where the x-axis (total effects) depicts the standardized path coefficients (i.e.,

importance or strength) of relevant risk constructs or risk factors (Figure 5.11) on onsite assembly

risks.

The y-axis indicates the average values (i.e., performance) of a risk construct (Figure 5.10) or a

risk factor (Figure 5.11) on the onsite assembly risk construct. The performance values range from

0 to 100 (Adabre et al., 2021). The importance-performance maps were produced for both the risk

constructs and various risk factors. The IPMA of the risk constructs reveals those with the highest

importance and reinforcement of the impact of onsite assembly risks. It enables project teams to

prioritize critical risk constructs with high importance (i.e., high total effect) and relatively low

performance score on the target construct.

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Importance-Perfomance Map
65.0
64.0
Performance (Onsite Assembly Risks)

63.0
62.0
(0.44, 61.11)
61.0 (0.31, 60.59)
Factory Production Risks
60.0 Design Risks
0.80, 59.74
59.0 Supply Chain Risks
0.48, 58.87
Transportation and Storage Risks
58.0
57.0
56.0
55.0
0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00
Total Effects (Risk Constructs)

Figure 5.10: IPMA map of other risk constructs against onsite assembly risks

For instance, Figure 5.10 shows that supply chain risks have the highest total effect of 0.80 but

with a relatively lower performance score of 59.74. Consequently, project teams could minimize

the integrated impact of onsite assembly risks through mitigating supply chain risks. The IPMA of

the risk indicators (Figure 5.11) reveals the relative total effects and performance of various risk

factors within the critical risk constructs.

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Importance-Performance Map
80.0

70.513 68.376
70.0 65.598
Performance (Onsite Assembly Risks)

66.239 62.607 63.462 63.248


63.248 62.179 63.248 61.325
59.82960.470 58.547
60.0 56.410 57.550
55.556 55.769 55.128
53.419 53.846
48.718
50.0

40.0

30.0

20.0

0.062 0.069 0.057 0.158 0.165 0.109 0.108 0.117 0.119 0.142 0.232
10.0
0.058 0.127 0.137 0.131 0.226
0.062 0.061 0.099 0.143 0.139 0.108

0.0

TSR3
TSR1

TSR2
PR3
PR1

PR2

PR4

SCR1

SCR2

SCR3

SCR4

SCR5

SCR6

SCR7

SCR8

SCR9
DR1

DR2

DR3

DR4

DR5

DR6

Total Effects (Risk Indicators)

Figure 5.11: IPMA map of risk indicators against onsite assembly risks

Given that δI constitutes the maximum performance (i.e., 100) of an indicator on the target

construct and the actual performance of a risk indicator is δa, the potential performance of an

indicator, δp is determined as follows.

δp = δI - δa

Table 5.12 summarizes the estimated potential performances of the risk indicators. Figure 5.10

and Table 5.12 indicate that the top five most important risk indicators include TRS3 – delay in

delivery of modules to site (0.232, 63.25), TSR2 – misplacement of stored modules (0.226, 55.13),

PR4 – dimensional and geometric inconsistencies in modules (0.165, 55.77), PR2 – module

production errors (0.158, 62.18), and PR3 – design information gap between designer and

manufacturer (0.143, 63.25).

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Figure 5.12: Total effects, actual performances, and potential performances of risk indicators
Risk Indicators Total Effects Performance (δa) Potential Performance
(Importance) (δp) = δI - δa
DR1 0.058 70.513 29.487
DR2 0.062 55.556 44.444
DR3 0.062 66.239 33.761
DR4 0.069 56.410 43.590
DR5 0.061 63.248 36.752
DR6 0.057 53.419 46.581
PR1 0.099 65.598 34.402
PR2 0.158 62.179 37.821
PR3 0.143 63.248 36.752
PR4 0.165 55.769 44.231
SCR1 0.139 68.376 31.624
SCR2 0.109 48.718 51.282
SCR3 0.108 61.325 38.675
SCR4 0.108 59.829 40.171
SCR5 0.127 60.470 39.530
SCR6 0.117 62.607 37.393
SCR7 0.137 63.462 36.538
SCR8 0.119 53.846 46.154
SCR9 0.131 58.547 41.453
TSR1 0.142 57.550 42.450
TSR2 0.226 55.128 44.872
TSR3 0.232 63.248 36.752

Given that these risks have significant dynamic effect and situated at the centre of the delivery

chain, project teams must mitigate, control, and monitor them when implementing residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong.

5.2.5.7 Discussion of the structural risk-path model

The structural risk-path model investigated the chain reactions and causal relationships between

and among design risks, factory production risks, transportation – storage risks, onsite assembly

risks, and supply chain risks.

The design risk construct of the structural model contains six significantly loaded indicators. The

six design risk factors along with their loadings include: late design completion and freezing

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(DR1), defective design and change order (DR2), inappropriate structural system and construction

materials (DR3), inaccurate MiC design information (DR4), unsuitability of the design for MiC

(DR5), and inaccurate materials specifications and cost estimation (DR6). The design risk

construct have significant moderate influence on the impact of production risk factors for

residential MiC projects. Thus, reducing design risks can minimize the impact of factory

production risks on the costs of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The design risk construct

further generate weak influence on the impact of both transportation-storage risks and onsite

assembly risks on the cost of residential MiC projects. However, the weak influence is significant

on the transportation-storage risks and insignificant on the onsite assembly risks. Hence, design

risks can significantly reinforce the impact of transportation-storage risks in residential MiC

projects. The design risk construct has the second highest performance score (60.59) but with the

least total effect (0.31) on onsite assembly risks. As the design stage precedes all other major stages

in execution times, design risk factors must be mitigated to avoid their propagation and far-

reaching impact on other stages, especially the module production.

The factory production risk construct contain four significantly loaded indicators. These indicators

together with their loadings include heavy reliance on overseas factories (PR1), module production

errors (PR2), design information gap between designer and manufacturer (PR3), and dimensional

and geometric inconsistencies in modules (PR4). The factory production risk have an insignificant

weak influence on the impact of transportation-storage risks and a significant moderate influence

on the impact of onsite assembly risks for residential MiC projects. The factory production risk

construct has the highest performance score (61.11) and second least total effect (0.44) on the

onsite assembly risk. Thus, minimizing factory production risks have significant positive

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cascading implications of onsite assembly risk management for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong.

The transportation – storage risk construct contains three significantly loaded indicators. These

indicators and their loadings include unsuitable site with restrictive space constraints (TSR1),

misplacement of stored modules (TSR2), and delay in modules delivery to the site (TSR3). The

transportation – storage risk construct has significant moderate influence on onsite assembly risks.

Thus, strategies to minimize onsite assembly risks must also control transportation and storage

risks in residential MiC projects. Transportation – storage risks should be a concern to residential

MiC project teams in Hong Kong because it has the second highest importance or total effect (0.48)

and the least performance score (58.87) among the five risk constructs.

The supply chain risk construct contains nine significantly loaded indicators. These risk factors

include inadequate planning and scheduling (SCR1), limited MiC expertise and experience

(SCR2), higher initial capital requirement (SCR3), stakeholder fragmentation and complexity

(SCR4), supply chain disruptions (SCR5), inadequate project funding (SCR6), poor

communication, collaboration and information sharing between stakeholders (SCR7), unsuitable

project delivery method and procurement system (SCR8), and incomplete local MiC supply chain

(SCR9). The supply chain risk construct has a significant strong impact on design risks for

residential MiC projects. Thus, project teams must mitigate and control supply chain risks to

minimize the impact of design risks. Supply chain risks also have significant moderate influence

on the impact of factory production risks and transportation-storage risks. Thus, project teams can

minimize the impact of factory production, transportation, and storage risks on residential MiC

project performance through mitigating supply chain risk events. However, supply chain has an

insignificant weak influence on the impact of onsite assembly risks. Supply chain risks constitute

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the most critical risk construct because it has the greatest total effect (0.80) and the second least

performance score (59.74). Thus, the influence of supply chain risks on design, factory production

risks and transportation-storage risks can collectively undermine the objectives of onsite assembly

risks, if left unmitigated.

The onsite assembly risk construct contains four significantly loaded indicators, including module

installation errors (OAR1), mechanical malfunction of cranes (OAR2), shortages of modules on

site (OAR3), and complex interfaces between systems (OAR4). The measurement model indicates

that these four onsite assembly risk factors can be significantly affected by all other risk factors

and construct.

5.3 Evaluating, Modelling, and Quantifying the CSFs for Residential MiC projects

5.3.1 Significant CSFs for Residential MiC Projects

Table 5.15 summarizes the mean indices, standard deviations, relativity scores, significance

indices, and rankings of the 23 CSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Apart from CSF19

and CSF21, the CSFs obtained mean indices higher than 3.50, indicating that 21 CSFs were

considered significant for ensuring the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The top

five significant CSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong include early design completion

and freezing (CSF5), early understanding and commitment of the client (CSF2), effective

leadership and support of specialist contractors (CSF3), adequate knowledge and experience of the

project team (CSF1), and collaborative working and information sharing among project teams

(CSF4).

Early design completion and freezing constitute the most significant CSF for implementing

residential MiC projects. Gibb and Isack (2003) considered early design freeze the most important

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practice to reap the full benefits of the MiC method in construction projects. Detailed design

specification, owner's approval of the design, and early design freeze provide an adequate lead

time for pre-production activities such as mock-up testing and prototyping. Early design

completion enables a timely production of modules and shortening the construction time

(O'Connor et al., 2014). However, it is essential to incorporate the inputs of production engineers

in the design to proactively resolve downstream factory production constraints before the detailed

design hits the production line (Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021).

Table 5.15: Ranking of the CSFs for residential MiC projects


ID Critical success factors µ SD Relativity Significance Rank
index index (%)
CSF1 Adequate knowledge and 4.19 0.78 0.0470 83.76 4
experience of project team
CSF2 Early understanding and 4.23 0.76 0.0474 84.62 2
commitment of the client
CSF3 Effective leadership and support 4.20 0.78 0.0471 83.93 3
of specialist contractors
CSF4 Collaborative working and 4.17 0.74 0.0467 83.42 5
information sharing among
project teams
CSF5 Early design completion and 4.31 0.78 0.0483 86.15 1
freezing
CSF6 Suitable site characteristics and 3.79 0.78 0.0425 75.90 16
layout
CSF7 Suitability of the design for MiC 4.08 0.84 0.0457 81.54 6
CSF8 Extensive upfront planning for 3.97 0.80 0.0445 79.32 10
the MiC method
CSF9 Use of collaborative 3.64 0.88 0.0408 72.82 18
procurement system and
contracting
CSF10 Extensive supply chain 3.76 0.75 0.0421 75.21 17
coordination and seamless
integration
CSF11 Early and active involvement of 4.05 0.84 0.0454 81.03 7
critical project stakeholders
CSF12 Effective coordination and 3.98 0.74 0.0446 79.66 8
integration of stakeholders
CSF13 Availability of sound transport 3.97 0.82 0.0445 79.32 10
infrastructure and site equipment

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CSF14 Effective coordination of onsite 3.84 0.81 0.0430 76.75 13
and offsite work packages
CSF15 Using suitable structural system 3.97 0.84 0.0445 79.49 9
and construction material
CSF16 Effective use of building 3.55 0.94 0.0398 70.94 20
information modelling
CSF17 Effective management of critical 3.91 0.76 0.0438 78.29 12
tolerances between interfaces
CSF18 Early engagement of 3.64 0.91 0.0408 72.82 18
certification body for factory
inspection
CSF19 Inventory management and 3.44 0.77 0.0386 68.72 22
control
CSF20 Use of just-in-time delivery 3.81 0.86 0.0427 76.24 15
arrangement
CSF21 Effective use of document 3.38 0.81 0.0379 67.69 23
management system
CSF22 Use of hedging strategies and 3.51 0.81 0.0393 70.26 21
transport delay avoidance
CSF23 Adequate lead time for the 3.82 0.74 0.0428 76.41 14
bespoke MiC processes

Early understanding and commitment of the client constitute the second most significant CSF for

implementing residential MiC projects. Blismas (2007) identified early commitment as a

significant CSF for implementing residential MiC projects in Australia. Early understanding of the

requirements of the MiC method in a residential project and commitment of the client or owner

facilitates extensive upfront planning and designing for the technology. For instance, the client

must understand the tight demand for funding in residential MiC projects and the transport

restrictions defining the dimensions of the module envelope (Li, 2020). The early understanding

and commitment of the client would ensure that the project is designed for the MiC method and

adequate funding made available to procure suitable construction materials and structural systems

(Wuni and Shen, 2020b). It would also facilitate the early collaboration of clients, contractors,

production engineers, design managers, and demolition managers to share relevant information

required at various downstream phases to be incorporated into the design.

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Effective leadership and support of specialist contractors was ranked the third most significant

CSF for implementing residential MiC projects. Choi et al. (2016) found that well-informed

leadership of a specialist contractor is required to successfully manage residential MiC projects.

The need to integrate the principles of design for manufacture, transportation, and assembly in

residential MiC projects reinvents the required contractors' skills and technical expertise. The

specialist contractor must know how the choice of construction materials, processes, decisions,

and the various stages of the construction process contributes to the efficiency and effectiveness

of the MiC method in a project (Kyrö et al., 2019). Such contractors must understand how to

integrate the workflows in the design, offsite factory production, transportation, and onsite

assembly of modules in residential MiC projects (Wuni and Shen, 2020b). It is also crucial for the

specialist contractors to have technical expertise in design for manufacture and assembly, tolerance

management, connection systems, production engineering, and value engineering (Fraser et al.,

2015).

Adequate knowledge and experience of the project team were ranked the fourth most significant

CSF for implementing residential MiC projects. Blismas (2007) and Choi et al. (2016) found

adequate relevant knowledge of project participants as a significant CSF for implementing

residential MiC projects. Several actors co-create residential MiC projects. These project

participants are situated at various stages of the delivery chain and provide interdependent roles

and services in residential MiC projects. Notably, design managers and BIM design consultants

should have adequate knowledge of design for manufacture and assembly and the information

required at various stages of the project delivery chain to integrate the MiC principles into the

design to facilitate efficient downstream manufacture and assembly of modules. Production

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engineers must understand offsite production principles to make valuable contributions in the

design of the modules to support the goals of the MiC method in the project.

Collaborative working and information sharing among project teams constitutes the fifth most

significant CSF for implementing residential MiC projects. Collaboration, communication, and

information sharing constitute the most cited CSF for MiC projects (Wuni and Shen, 2020b).

Collaborative working and information sharing enables various project team members situated at

different supply chain stages to be abreast of key decisions and processes throughout the delivery

of residential MiC projects (Norouzi et al., 2021). It prevents dysfunctional conflicts, facilitates a

more streamlined project delivery process, and encourages proactive problem-solving through

knowledge sharing between downstream and upstream project participants. Norouzi et al. (2021)

corroborated that collaboration and information sharing among project participants is required to

ensure that activities at various levels of the supply chain significantly contributes to the success

of the residential MiC project.

5.3.2 Principal Components of the CRFs for Residential MiC Projects

The EFA rotation of the CSFs converged in 9 iterations. It generated five principal success factors

(PSFs) with eigenvalues greater than 1.0, explaining about 61.461% of the variance in the success

of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The five PSFs include supply chain management

(PSF1), early commitment (PSF2), enabling environment (PSF3), suitable project characteristics

(PSF4), and competency (PSF5). Table 5.16 summarizes the factor loadings and eigenvalues of

the CSFs and PSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Table 5.16: Factor loadings of the CSFs for residential projects


ID Critical success factors Components (Factor loadings)
Principal success factors 1 2 3 4 5
PSF1 Supply chain management
CSF19 Inventory management and control 0.819 - - - -

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CSF22 Use of hedging strategies and transport delay - - - -
avoidance 0.714
CSF10 Extensive supply chain coordination and - - - -
seamless integration 0.631
CSF21 Effective use of document management system 0.615 - - - -
CSF12 Effective coordination and integration of - - - -
stakeholders 0.530
CSF14 Effective coordination of onsite and offsite work - - - -
packages 0.526
CSF20 Use of just-in-time delivery arrangement 0.469 - - - -
PSF2 Early Commitment
CSF18 Early engagement of certification body for - 0.811 - - -
factory inspection
CSF2 Early understanding and commitment of the - 0.684 - - -
client
CSF11 Early and active involvement of critical project - 0.647 - - -
stakeholders
CSF8 Extensive upfront planning for the MiC method - 0.629 - - -
CSF5 Early design completion and freezing - 0.521 - - -
PSF3 Enabling Environment
CSF4 Collaborative working and information sharing - - 0.761 - -
among project teams
CSF13 Availability of sound transport infrastructure and - - 0.715 - -
site equipment
CSF16 Effective use of building information modelling - - 0.657 - -
CSF9 Use of collaborative procurement system and - - 0.512 - -
contracting
PSF4 Suitable Project Characteristics
CSF6 Suitable site characteristics and layout - - - 0.697 -
CSF7 Suitability of the design for MiC - - - 0.586 -
CSF23 Adequate lead time for the bespoke MiC - - -
processes - 0.574
CSF15 Using suitable structural system and - - -
construction material - 0.538
PSF5 Competency
CSF3 Effective leadership and support of specialist - - - - 0.768
contractors
CSF1 Adequate knowledge and experience of project - - - - 0.762
team
CSF17 Effective management of critical tolerances - - - - 0.603
between interfaces
Eigenvalue 6.617 2.326 1.884 1.709 1.601
Variance explained (%) 28.77 10.11 8.19 7.43 6.96
Cumulative variance explained 28.77 38.88 47.07 54.50 61.46

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5.3.2.1 Supply chain management (PSF1)

Supply chain management (PSF1) with an eigenvalue of 6.617 accounted for highest variance

(28.77%) in the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. PSF1 describes seven CSFs

linked to integration and coordination of the supply chain segments of residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong. Obtaining the highest factor loading of 0.819, inventory management and control

(CSF19) constitutes the most important CSF for effective supply chain management of residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. Blismas (2007) indicated that adopting systematic and dedicated

approach to sourcing, storing, and controlling the optimum quantity of construction materials,

equipment, and modules during offsite production, transportation, storage, and onsite assembly

can significantly improve the success of residential MiC projects. Receiving a factor loading of

0.714, hedging strategies and transport delay avoidance (CSF22) constitute the second most

important CSF for effective supply chain management in residential MiC projects. Hedging

constitutes a proactive risk management strategy aiming to limit risks and offset shortages of

module delivery to site (Zhai et al., 2018). Lead-time and buffer space hedging and coordination

generate stability, certainty, and resilience in the supply chain, resulting in continuous availability

of modules for the construction of residential MiC projects (Zhai et al., 2017, 2018). Hedging and

coordination almost eliminate module delivery uncertainties and delays, leading to a more stable

schedule of residential MiC projects. Extensive coordination and seamless integration of the

design, procurement, offsite production, transportation, and onsite assembly of modules constitute

well-established recipes for successful residential MiC projects (Choi et al., 2016). Blismas (2007)

concluded that establishing and applying document management system throughout the project

delivery improves supply chain management and the success of residential MiC projects. Also,

Luo et al. (2019) indicated that coordinating and managing the interests, powers, and relationships

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among the supply chain stakeholders provide a stable environment and avoid dysfunctional

conflicts in the delivery of residential MiC projects. It is also essential to extensively and

effectively coordinate the onsite and offsite work packages to ensure smooth project continuity

and evade expensive systemic disruptions in the residential MiC project delivery process. Blismas,

(2007) also documented that leveraging just-in-time delivery arrangement can minimize shortages

of modules on site and costs of storage space.

5.3.2.2 Early commitment (PSF2)

Early commitment (PSF2) with an eigenvalue of 2.326 explained about 10.11% of the total

variance in the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. PSF2 contains five CSFs linked

to early commitment to the MiC method in residential building projects. Obtaining the highest

factor loading of 0.811, early engagement of a certification agency to conduct inspection of factory

works, especially when overseas production of modules is arranged constitutes the most important

CSF (Pan and Hon, 2018). The dedicated inspection improves quality control, quality assurance,

and adherence to local building codes and standards in Hong Kong before the modules arrive to

site for installation (Yang et al., 2021). Another crucial CSF is early and active involvement of the

critical project stakeholders (CSF11). Early and active involvement of designers, manufacturers,

main contractor, project managers, and logistics companies can significantly improve

troubleshooting, collaborative problem-solving, and efficient delivery of residential MiC projects

(Wuni, Wu, et al., 2021). Early commitment can also facilitate extensive upfront planning for the

MiC method (CSF8) in a residential project. Extensive front-end planning, leveraging

collaborative expertise of the critical project team members can improve the quality of information

and proactive risk management in residential MiC projects (Zwikael and Globerson, 2006). Thus,

a success residential MiC project requires extensive planning at the outset to integrate the

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principles of design for offsite production, transportation, and onsite assembly of the modules into

the supply chain of the residential building project.

5.3.2.3 Enabling environment (PSF3)

Enabling environment (PSF3) with an eigenvalue of 1.884 accounts for about 8.19% of the total

variance in the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. It describes processes,

conditions, systems, and technologies that enables the effective implementation of residential MiC

projects. Collaborative working and information sharing among project teams (CSF4) received the

highest factor loading of 0.761 and constitutes the most important enabler for successful residential

MiC project delivery. Collaborative project delivery modes and procurement systems provide the

enabling environment for fruitful collaboration among the project team members in residential

MiC projects. Collaboration and information sharing enables various project team members

situated at different supply chain segments to be abreast of key decisions and processes throughout

the delivery chain. The collaboration prevents dysfunctional conflicts, facilitates a more

streamlined project delivery process, and encourages proactive problem-solving through

knowledge sharing between upstream and downstream project participants. According to Fox et

al. (2001), the collaboration enables the project participants and stakeholders to share a common

goal and value systems in residential MiC projects. Also, effective use of building information

modelling (CSF16) can improve collaborative work and information sharing throughout the

delivery chain of residential MiC projects (Wuni and Shen, 2020b).

5.3.2.4 Suitable project characteristics (PSF4)

Suitable project characteristics (PSF4) obtained an eigenvalue of 1.709, explaining about 7.43%

of the total variance in the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. PSF4 contains four

CSFs linked to characteristics of a project that improves the efficiency and effectiveness of the

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MiC method. Suitable site characteristics and layout obtained the highest factor loading of 0.697.

The Development Bureau (2020) established that sites with flat and simple terrains, adequate width

of the local transport network, and minimal surrounding traffic improves efficient, smooth, and

safe delivery of the modules to site and during installation. The second most prominent CSF is the

suitability of the design for MiC (CSF7). A suitable design must specify parameters, rules,

materials, processes, geometry, configurations, and structural systems to ensure that the detailed

working drawings facilitate efficient production, transportation and onsite assembly of the

modules (Gibb and Isack, 2003). Generally, the MiC method is most efficient in residential

building projects with repetitive design layout and units designed based DfMA principles. The

repetitions of the modules facilitate standardization and industrialization of the modules, leading

to economies of scale that generate significant cost savings (Development Bureau, 2020; Li, 2020).

Also, the availability of adequate lead time for the MiC processes (CSF23) provide enough design

and offsite production lead times to explicitly consider and integrate DfMA requirements into the

residential building project (Gibb and Isack, 2003). Additionally, accurate specification of suitable

structural system and construction materials (CSF15) in the design can significantly generate

performance improvements in residential MiC projects.

5.3.2.5 Competency (PSF5)

Competency (PSF5) with an eigenvalue of 1.601 explained about 6.96% of the total variance in

the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. PSF5 describes three CSFs linked to the

bespoke competences required of the project team to successfully deliver residential MiC projects.

Obtaining the highest factor loading of 0.768, effective leadership and support of a specialist main

contractor (CSF3) constitutes the most important competency factor. The need to integrate DfMA

principles reinvents skills and technical expertise required of main contractors to deliver residential

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MiC projects (Fraser et al., 2015). The specialist contractor must have technical knowledge in

DfMA, tolerance risk management, connect systems, production engineering, and value

engineering. Also, the other project team members must have adequate knowledge and experience

in the MiC method and residential building construction. For instance, designers and BIM

consultants must have technical expertise in DfMA and value engineering. The production

engineers and manufacturers should have technical knowledge and competencies in DfMA,

precision engineering, and lean production to make valuable contributions in the design and ensure

cleaner production of the modules. The installers or assembly subcontractors and crane operators

must also have technical competencies in tolerance management, module alignment and

sequencing and experience in working with tight tolerances (Blismas, 2007). Additionally, the

onsite management team must understand effective management of critical tolerances between

module interfaces.

5.3.3 Quantifying the Impact of the PSFs for Residential MiC Projects

The FSE technique was used to quantify the impact levels of the PSFs for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. Table 5.17 summarizes the mean scores, weightings, and membership

functions of the CSFs and PSFs for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. PSF1 obtained the

highest weighting (25.72), followed by PSF3 (20.20), PSF4 (15.66), PSF2 (15.33), and PSF5

(12.30). The weightings were not used to rank the PSFs because they are sensitive to the number

of CSFs and could be biased towards PSFs containing the highest number of CSFs.

Table 5.17: Membership functions of the CSFs for residential MiC projects
ID Critical success factors Mean Weightings Membership function
Principal success factors
PSF1 Supply Chain Management 25.72 0.288 (0.01, 0.06, 0.33, 0.45, 0.16)
CSF12 Effective coordination and integration 3.98 0.155 (0.01, 0.03, 0.15, 0.60, 0.21)
of stakeholders
CSF14 Effective coordination of onsite and 3.84 0.149 (0.01, 0.03, 0.29, 0.47, 0.21)
offsite work packages

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CSF20 Use of just-in-time delivery 3.81 0.148 (0.00, 0.06, 0.30, 0.41, 0.23)
arrangement
CSF10 Extensive supply chain coordination 3.76 0.146 (0.02, 0.05, 0.26, 0.49, 0.18)
and seamless integration
Use of hedging strategies and (0.01, 0.09, 0.38, 0.44, 0.09)
CSF22 transport delay avoidance 3.51 0.136
CSF19 Inventory management and control 3.44 0.134 (0.00, 0.08, 0.50, 0.32, 0.09)
Effective use of document (0.00, 0.13, 0.44, 0.36, 0.08)
CSF21 management system 3.38 0.131
PSF2 Enabling Environment 15.33 0.172 (0.01, 0.06, 0.26, 0.43, 0.24)
CSF4 Collaborative working and 4.17 0.272 (0.01, 0.01, 0.12, 0.53, 0.33)
information sharing among project
teams
CSF13 Availability of sound transport 3.97 0.259 (0.01, 0.03, 0.22, 0.48, 0.26)
infrastructure and site equipment
CSF9 Use of collaborative procurement 3.64 0.237 (0.00, 0.08, 0.39, 0.34, 0.19)
system and contracting
CSF16 Effective use of building information 3.55 0.232 (0.01, 0.13, 0.33, 0.37, 0.16)
modelling
PSF3 Early Commitment 20.20 0.226 (0.01, 0.04, 0.18, 0.45, 0.33)
CSF5 Early design completion and freezing 4.31 0.213 (0.01, 0.01, 0.12, 0.39, 0.47)
CSF2 Early understanding and commitment 4.23 0.209 (0.00, 0.03, 0.09, 0.48, 0.39)
of the client
CSF11 Early and active involvement of 4.05 0.200 (0.01, 0.04, 0.15, 0.50, 0.31)
critical project stakeholders
CSF8 Extensive upfront planning for the 3.97 0.197 (0.01, 0.03, 0.21, 0.51, 0.25)
MiC method
CSF18 Early engagement of certification 3.64 0.180 (0.01, 0.08, 0.37, 0.36, 0.19)
body for factory inspection
PSF4 Suitable Project Characteristics 15.66 0.176 (0.00, 0.04, 0.25, 0.46, 0.25)
CSF7 Suitability of the design for MiC 4.08 0.261 (0.00, 0.03, 0.21, 0.39, 0.36)
CSF15 Using suitable structural system and 3.97 0.254 (0.00, 0.04, 0.23, 0.44, 0.29)
construction material
CSF23 Adequate lead time for the bespoke 3.82 0.244 (0.00, 0.04, 0.25, 0.56, 0.15)
MiC processes
CSF6 Suitable site characteristics and layout 3.79 0.242 (0.00, 0.04, 0.30, 0.48, 0.18)
PSF5 Competency 12.30 0.138 (0.01, 0.02, 0.17, 0.48, 0.33)
CSF3 Effective leadership and support of 4.20 0.341 (0.01, 0.02, 0.12, 0.48, 0.38)
specialist contractors
CSF1 Adequate knowledge and experience 4.19 0.341 (0.01, 0.01, 0.15, 0.46, 0.38)
of project team
CSF17 Effective management of critical 3.91 0.318 (0.00, 0.03, 0.26, 0.50, 0.22)
tolerances between interfaces

Instead, the membership functions and weightings were used to quantify the impact level of the

PSFs for residential MiC projects. Table 5.18 summarizes the relevant computations and the

impact indices of the various PSFs. The FSE analysis revealed that the 23 CSFs collectively

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generate a significant impact on the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, with an

overall impact index 3.896 on a five-point rating scale.

Table 5.18: Impact indices and coefficients of the PSFs for residential MiC projects
ID Computation Impact Norm. Index
PSF1 =(0.01, 0.06, 0.33, 0.45, 0.16)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.687 0.188
= (0.01*1) + (0.06*2) + (0.33*3) + (0.45*4) + (0.16*5)
PSF2 = (0.01, 0.06, 0.26, 0.43, 0.24) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.848 0.196
= (0.01*1) + (0.06*2) + (0.26*3) + (0.43*4) + (0.24*5)
PSF3 = (0.01, 0.04, 0.18, 0.45, 0.33) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 4.053 0.207
= (0.01*1) + (0.04*2) + (0.18*3) + (0.45*4) + (0.33*5)
PSF4 = (0.00, 0.04, 0.25, 0.46, 0.25) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.920 0.200
= (0.00*1) + (0.04*2) + (0.25*3) + (0.46*4) + (0.25*5)
PSF5 = (0.01, 0.02, 0.17, 0.48, 0.33) * (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 4.104 0.209
= (0.01*1) + (0.02*2) + (0.17*3) + (0.48*4) + (0.33*5)
Overall = (0.005, 0.046, 0.247, 0.452, 0.250)* (1, 2, 3, 4, 5) 3.896 Σ= 1.000
= (0.005*1) + (0.046*2) + (0.247*3) + (0.452*4) + (0.250*5)

Consequently, project teams must commit and allocate resources to ensure satisfactory results in

the 23 CSFs when implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Table 5.18 indicates that

the five PSFs have significant impact on the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong,

with each PSF obtaining an impact index exceeding 3.50 on a 5-point rating scale. Competency

(PSF5) with an impact index of 4.104 generates the most significant influence on the success of

residential MiC projects, followed by early commitment (PSF3), suitable project characteristics

(PSF4), enabling environment (PSF2), and supply chain management (PSF1) with impact indices

of 4.053, 3.920, 3.848, and 3.687, respectively.

These findings are exciting and representative because residential MiC projects require bespoke

competencies of project participants, early commitment, effective collaboration, information

management, stakeholder management, and seamless supply chain integration (Wuni and Shen,

2020b). Therefore, the client form a project team with core competencies and technical expertise

in the MiC method. The client and project team must commit to the MiC method at the outset to

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ensure that the project design generate suitable features to improve the efficiency and effectiveness

of the technology.

5.4 Challenges and Lessons Learned from Real-World Residential MiC Projects

5.4.1 Description of Selected Residential MiC Case Studies

This section focuses on case studies of high-profile and signature residential MiC projects

implemented in Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, and the United Kingdom. The Australian case

was particularly exceptional because it involved an adaptation of an existing building to

incorporate MiC modules (Blismas, 2007). Thus, the challenges encountered, and lessons learned

were incorporated into the best practices for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Table 5.19

summarizes the basic details of the six case studies, which are described next.

5.4.1.1 Case study 1 – InnoCell Project at Science Park

Project A is known as InnoCell and located at Hong Kong Science Park. It is a pilot project of

using MiC in Hong Kong. The 17-storey building sits on a 32,000-sq ft. site adjacent to the

southeast entrance of Hong Kong Science Park. Construction of InnoCell commenced in

December 2018 and completed in October 2020. The completed InnoCell has 17 superstructure

storeys and 15 MiC storeys. It has a total construction floor area of 19000m2 and MiC construction

floor area of 10900m2. The client engaged a design-build contractor who owned a fabrication plant

in Mainland China.

Table 5.19: Salient details of the six representative case studies


Project Case study 1 Case study 2 Case study Case study 4 Case study Case study
details (Project A) (Project B) 3 (Project (Project D) 5 (Project 6 (Project
C) E) F)
Location Hong Kong Hong Kong Australia Singapore Singapore London
Project type Residential Residential Serviced Residential Residential Residential
Apartments Condominium

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Development New New New build New New New
type &
adaptation
Number of 17 16 - 17 14 40 13 29
stories
Contract date May 2018 Aug 2018 N/A April - 2016 N/A 2016
Completion 2020 2021 2007 2019 2016 2017
year
Duration 22 months 30 months N/A 24 months 24 months 12 months
Delivery Design-build Design - Design- Design - build Design- Design-
method build build build build
Structural Hybrid – Concrete Hybrid – Concrete MiC Hybrid – Hybrid –
system Steel and MiC system Steel and system Steel and Steel and
Reinforced Reinforced Reinforced Reinforced
Concrete Concrete Concrete Concrete
MiC system MiC system MiC system MiC system
Number of 418 3800 N/A 1899 676 679
modules

The contractor completed the design, produced the volumetric modules overseas and transported

them to Hong Kong. All completed overseas factory works were inspected and authorized by the

building authorities from Hong Kong. The contractor used a semi-precast slab in the structural

connection to generate a rigid diaphragm, prevent progressive collapse, improve waterproofing,

and accommodate the adverse impact of wind loads from typhoons. The contractor used tower

cranes to hoist and install a hybrid system of 418 reinforced concrete and steel-framed modules to

provide 5 types of room. Figure 5.13 shows an image of the Project A.

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Figure 5.13: InnoCell at Hong Kong Science Park (Credit: HKSTP Corporation)

5.4.1.2 Case study 2 – Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department

Project B is known as Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department at Pak Shing Kok in

Tseung Kwan O. Constructed using 3,800 concrete MiC modules, project B commenced in August

2018 and completed in March 2021. Designed and constructed for the Architectural Services

Department of Hong Kong, Project B is the first public works project adopting MiC in Hong Kong.

The quarters has a total construction floor area of 47000m2 and MiC construction floor area of

32000m2. The completed project embodies five quarters blocks, comprising four 16 storeys and

one has 17 storeys. With 8 units on each floor, the quarters will provide 648 three-bedroom units

of 50 square metres. Figure 5.14 shows the image of Project B.

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Figure 5.14: Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department (Credit: ArchSD)

5.4.1.3 Case study 3 – Newcastle Mercure Apartments Project

Project C is a 14 – storey residential MiC project in Newcastle of Australia, comprising a new

building and adaptation of an existing structure. Timwin Construction – a Chinese construction

company with offices in Sydney was selected to develop the site into private apartments to a

specific budget. Timwin decided to use various MiC modules for the bathrooms, ensuites and

kitchnes in the development to strictly adhere to the budget. The company engaged a

manufacturing firm in China to produce the specified modules. When the construction started, the

client decided to brand the building into the Mercure brand. Hence, its original use as private

apartments changed to serviced apartments. Consequently, the client engaged Duc Associates to

alter the module design to ensure that the décor and design and construction of the kitchens and

bathrooms fitted with the new Mercure branding and use. Duc Associates was experienced in the

design of large-scale serviced apartments and worked to ensure that standards were met, and the

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designs fitted with the Mercure brand. The manufacturing firm in China took over Timwin during

the construction of the building. The overseas modules were shipped to Australia in standard

shipping containers, transported to the site and the modules were craned out of the containers

directly to the floor in which they were fitted. However, integrating the modules into the 50-year

existing structure generated critical problems.

5.4.1.4 Case study 4 – Clement Canopy

Located in Singapore, Project D is known as the Clement Canopy. The Clement Canopy is a

signature high-rise residential condominium constructed using a reinforced concrete composite

sheer wall system in the MiC technology (known as prefabricated prefinished volumetric

construction in Singapore). It comprises two 40-floor tower blocks with 505 residential units and

a gross floor area of 46000m2.

The developer appointed a specialist main contractor with experience in MiC to deliver the project.

Dragages was both the main contractor and modules supplier. The design-build contractor engaged

a specialist architect to design the project to incorporate 65% of MiC, consistent with local building

regulations. The six-sided volumetric concrete modules were 85% completed offsite with painting,

windows frame and glazing, doors, wardrobes and mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP)

including water and sanitary pipes, electrical conducts, and ducting.

Weighing between 26 and 31 tons, two 48-ton capacity flagship tower cranes were used to install

1,899 volumetric concrete modules and delivered 505 apartments. It took 12 months to install the

modules and about 24 months to complete the construction. Constructed of concrete MiC system,

the 140m twin tower holds the title of the tallest concrete MiC project in the world. Figure 5.15

shows an image of Project D

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Figure 5.15: Clement Canopy in Singapore (Credit: BCA of Singapore)

5.4.1.5 Case study 5 – Student Residence in Nanyang Technological University

Project E is 12-storey student residence in Nanyang Technological University (NTU) in Singapore

constructed using the MiC method. It is a pilot project that used steel-framed modules. Though a

student residence, Project E had limited repetitive layout, resulting in the use of 250 diverse

designs to produce 676 modules. The developer engaged an overseas manufacturer to produce the

modules, but the fitting out was completed in a local holding yard in Singapore. The overseas

manufacturer and supplier of the 676 modules had substantial experience in volumetric building

components and the DfMA technology. Thus, high-standard quality modules were produced.

Figure 5.16 shows an image of Project E.

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Figure 5.16: 12 – Storey Student Residence at NTU (Credit: NTU in Singapore)

5.4.1.6 Case study 6 – Student Residence in North London

Project F is known as Apex House and located in Wembley, London, United Kingdom. It is a 29-

storey and 81m high student accommodation with 558 rooms. Tide Construction Development

was the main contractor and Vision Modular Systems was the modules supplier. The module

supplier and main contractors were subsidiaries of the client. The project was built using 679 steel-

framed MiC modules and took 13 weeks to install. The project construction period was around 14

months and only 22 onsite workers were utilized. The Apex House was constructed using hybrid

of steel and reinforced concrete MiC system. In 2017, the 29-storey Apex House was considered

the tallest MiC building in Europe and second tallest MiC building in the world in 2019. Figure

5.17 shows an image of Project F.

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Figure 5.17: Apex House, Wembley, London, UK (Credit: HTA Design LLP)

5.4.2 Challenges Encountered in the Six Real-world MiC Projects

Each of the reviewed cases encountered both unique and shared challenges. The challenges

encountered in the studied residential MiC projects are discussed next.

5.4.2.1 Case study 1 – InnoCell Project at Science Park

Table 5.20 summarizes the challenges encountered and lessons learned from the InnoCell project

(Project A). Various challenges were encountered at different stages of the construction process.

The project team faced a challenge during the predesign stage because they were required to

extensively plan the various stages upfront. It was difficult because most of the project teams had

limited experience and there was also no concrete successful local case to serve as reference.

Though the project team relied on overseas projects as references, the contextual differences

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generated bespoke challenges. At the time of construction, the local contractors still had limited

expertise in the MiC technology, which generated challenges with use of the local expertise.

Table 5.20: Challenges and lessons learned from Project A


Stage Challenges Lessons learned Critical success processes
encountered
Predesign • Limited local MiC • Carefully consider • Leadership and support of a
stage standards at the time and select appropriate specialist main contractor
of construction connection methods • Early understanding and
• Higher initial capital and cranes commitment of the client
cost commensurate with • Early incorporation of the MiC
• Complicated and site constraints, sizes, method
extensive upfront weights, and • Extensive and front-end planning
planning and dimensions of for the MiC method
engineering modules • Advanced work packaging for the
• Limited readiness of MiC method
local subcontractors to • Integrated project delivery method
implement the MiC and collaborative procurement
method system
Design stage • Limited flexibility for • Repetition of units • Managing and eliminating
design changes after and layout are ideal geometric and dimensional
freezing for the MiC method variabilities in the module design,
• Complicated design • Extensive production, and installation
requirements coordination and • Early design freezing and
communication is completion
required between • Standardized design of interfaces
designers, and modules.
consultants, statutory • Used novel interlocking
bodies, and main connections between modules
contractor • Cooperation and information
• The MiC method is sharing between architects,
suitable for highly consultants, production engineers,
repetitive floor plate main contractors, and building
• Standardizing the authorities.
module design • Application of building
improve fabrication information modelling throughout
efficiency and cost the project
savings through • Modularity in the design
economy of scale • High repetition with low variation
in types
• Ensured that the layout plan design
comply with regulatory
requirements
Production • Dimensional and • Early arrangement • Ensured that the size of modules
stage geometric variabilities and engagement of allow transportation from factory
of the modules during certification bodies to to site
trial assembly regularly supervise • Dimensional and geometric
tolerance risk management

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• Inadequate overseas factory
manufacturing production works
technology in Hong
Kong, resulting in
heavy reliance on
overseas factories
Transportation • Transportation • Special arrangement
– Storage restrictions and and permissions are
stage constraints required for
• Additional escort transporting modules
arrangement for large- with a width larger
size modules than 2.5m

Onsite • Restrictive site layout • Smart digital • Suitable site characteristics and
assembly due to limited site technologies can layout
stage space and difficult improve supply chain • Extensive coordination and
terrain monitoring, visibility, seamless integration of the supply
• Limited site storage and management chain
capacity
• Immature digital
technologies and
associated technical
problems

Most of the challenges were associated with logistics, consistent with the findings of Yang et al.

(2021). There are limited fabrication yards in Hong Kong and so, the project team was compelled

to rely on manufacturers in mainland China. Though the main contractor had a fabrication yard in

China, the overseas production and transportation generated several intractable challenges. The

main contractor had to engage certification agency to inspect and supervise the module production

overseas to ensure adherence to local building regulations and quality assurance. Also, the cross-

border transportation required custom clearances and extensive supply chain management,

generating significant challenges (Pan and Hon, 2018). However, several lessons were learned,

and best practices were benchmarked.

5.4.2.2 Case study 2 – Married Quarters for the Fire Services Department

Table 5.21 summarizes the challenges encountered and lessons learned from the Married Quarters

for the Fire Services Department (Project B). Project B also suffered the challenges associated

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with inadequate familiarity and limited relevant experience of the local workforce in the MiC

method. It resulted in deficient project planning and inaccurate estimation of the installation rate

at site. As the first public works using the MiC method in Hong Kong, the project faced challenges

associated with adhering to the complex statutory requirements such as restriction on module sizes

and dimensions.

Table 5.21: Challenges and lessons learned from Project B


Stage Challenges encountered Lessons learned Critical success processes
Predesign • Limited knowledge and • Unplanned adoption of
stage experience of project team digital technologies could
• Inadequate familiarity of inhibit innovation of
project teams with the MiC project teams
method
• Complex statutory
requirements
• Higher initial capital cost
• Ineffective planning and
scheduling
Design stage • Converting a site-built • Early engagement of
design to MiC design module suppliers and a
• Late design changes local contractor in the
• Failing to consider the MiC project is required to
supply chain and logistics complete the module
constraints in the design design early
• Local transport limitations • Proposed design must
on module sizes and explicitly consider local
dimensions building codes and
• Inaccurate material standards
specification • Narrow design of the
• Poor information sharing modules can eliminate
and synchronization complicated and
expensive escort services.
Production • Incomplete local supply • Uncertainties in • Well-designed workflows
stage chain and associated procuring materials could to production processes and
uncertainties significantly affect work packages is required
• Inadequate quality manufacturing schedules to maximize efficiency.
assurance and quality • Prototype, check, and test • Building prototypes of
control systems to module modules before mass modules and conducting
manufacturing production in factories mock-ups mitigates the
• Inadequate skills and • Conduct trial assemblies risks of late design
experience of factory and make relevant changes.
workers in module adjustments • Collaboration between
production • Excessive inventory of suppliers, manufacturers,
• Lack of qualified finished modules in the and main contractor to
inspectors production area can stall explicitly specify, approve,

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• Absence of a well- manufacturing progress and thoroughly verify
established supervision and generate long and materials and products to
framework unpredictable production eliminate errors that could
• Poor performance of duration trigger reworks and
material suppliers • Workers failing to adhere manufacturing delays
• Lack of a skilled local to relevant factory
inspection team for the production protocols can
overseas offsite works generate reworks and
• Machine breakdowns or disruptions.
unavailable in overseas • It may be necessary to
factory adjust the manufacturing
• Varied levels of finished rate to match the onsite
modules quality acceptance installation rate
between client and supplier • Contractors should
provide greater flexibility
and freedom to module
suppliers to adjust
production schedules
appropriately and timely.

Transportation • Direct transportation of • Traffic congestion near • Just-in-time delivery of
– Storage modules from factory to project site can inhibit JIT modules to the assembly
stage site without buffering delivery arrangement site
limited just-in-time
delivery arrangement
• Unpredictable duration of
customs inspection
required in cross-border
transportation
• Narrow local transport
network and site traffic
congestion
• Inefficient information
management
• Improper protection of
modules during
transportation
• Improper transport
sequence of modules
• Severe and extreme
weather disruption of
transport schedule

Onsite • Site constraints to onsite • Little upskilling may not


assembly module transportation always be enough
stage • Insufficient lifting capacity
of the existing local tower
cranes for hoisting and
lifting the heavy MiC
modules

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• Smaller site storage
capacity
• Inaccurate estimation of
installation rate
• Limited site storage area
• Module damage during
installation

Most of the challenges were associated with logistics. The fundamental source of the logistical

uncertainties and challenges in Project B was the incomplete local supply chain, which imposed

cross-border production and transportation of modules. The challenges of matching overseas

production rate with onsite installation rate, along with unpredictable duration of the complex

custom verifications and clearance increased uncertainties in coordinating offsite and onsite work

packages. Also, the absence of a well-established supervision framework posed a significant risk

to quality assurance and quality control of modules produced in China. Additionally, the site

storage constraints of the project coupled with limited tower cranes with sufficient capacity to hoist

and install the heavy concrete modules generated uncertainties in construction costs.

5.4.2.3 Case study 3 – Newcastle Mercure Apartments Project

Table 5.22 summarizes the challenges and lessons learned from the Newcastle Mercure Apartment

Project (Project C). The two fundamental sources of the uncertainties and challenges of the project

were integrating MiC modules into the old structure and the late design changes (Blismas, 2007).

The project team encountered intractable consistencies between the requirements of the MiC

method and nature of the old structure.

Table 5.22: Challenges and lessons learned from Project C


Stage Challenges encountered Lessons learned Critical success
processes
Predesign • Poor stakeholder communication • Fully established
stage documentation and
document management
system for recording all

265
aspects of the
construction process
stage by stage
Design stage • Several variations in the design • The MiC method is
limiting module standardization more suitable for
• Late design change new build
• Ineffective process design • Late design changes
can significantly
increase cost
Production • Reliance on overseas production • Structural rigidity of
stage of modules the modules is
• Long and uncertain lead time of required to enable
material supply safe hoisting and
• Poorly design production cranage
workflows • Local materials
could cost less
• It is cost effective to
use higher quality
materials
Transportation • Protection against
– Storage damage while
stage transporting modules
to avoid propagation
of cracks
Onsite • Most of the modules required in- • Covering and • Managing and avoid
assembly situ extension on them to bring protecting modules dysfunctional conflicts
stage them to the size necessary for the stored on site between multicultural
room • Supplying and fitting project teams
• Very thick topping of the floor out module on the
slab for the 50-year-old structure site can expose the
needed to be chiselled out to take modules to rain
the thickness of the module floors ingress, damage by
• Pouring of new screed to level splashes of concrete
chiselled floor slabs and general workers
• Step changes in the floor slab to in the vicinity
accommodate the modules led to
inefficient building process and
further restricted any future
changes to the building’s use
• Poor supply chain planning and
control

The requirement to chisel out some components of the 50-year-old structure’s floor slab to

accommodate the MiC modules and subsequently screeding to provide consistent levelling

generated both inefficiency and poor quality. Also, the variations in the modules design limited

standardization and economies of scale.

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5.4.2.4 Case study 4 – Clement Canopy

Table 5.23 summarizes the challenges and lessons learned from the Clement Canopy (Project D).

Though Project D constitutes a successful example of MiC in residential building construction and

a signature reference project in Hong Kong, it also encountered fundamental challenges. As a land-

starved country, Singapore has limited fabrication yards. Thus, the project team relied on

manufacturing plants in the neighbouring Malaysia to fabricate the modules.

Table 5.23: Challenges and lessons learned from Project D


Stage Challenges Lessons learned Critical success processes
encountered
Predesign • Adopting an • Early recognition, commitment,
stage integrated project and planning for the MiC method
delivery method • Sufficient resources of owners
(e.g., design - • Early understanding and
manufacture - commitment of the client
assemble) improves • Engagement of project team
efficiency and members with relevant practical
consistency knowledge and experience.
Design stage • Repetitive design • Timely design freeze
layout generates cost • Building information modelling
savings
Production • Reliance of factories
stage in Malaysia for
production of modules
• Lack of skilled local
workforce
• Machine breakdown
• Complex material
procurement
• Over prescriptiveness
of client and
contractor to suppliers
Transportation • Long-distance
– Storage transportation
stage • Fluctuating fuel prices
Onsite Variability in • Suitable site characteristics and
assembly stage installation schedules layout
Unfitness of new • Leadership of a specialist main
technology with some contractor and manufacturer
entrenched • Sustained collaboration and
construction practices information sharing between
project teams

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However, the local building regulations require some works on the modules to be completed in

Singapore (Building and Construction Authority, 2017). Hence, the fitting out of the modules had

to be completed in designated temporary holding yards in Singapore. The process encountered

challenges due to space constraints and limited local expertise to complete the fitting out. The lack

of skilled local workforce with relevant expertise in the MiC method compounded the challenges,

but the project team managed to complete project ahead of schedule.

5.4.2.5 Case study 5 – Student Residence in NTU

Table 5.24 summarizes the challenges encountered and lessons learned from the MiC construction

of a 12-storey Student Residence in Nanyang Technological University (Project E). The challenges

were entirely associated with the logistics. The project team relied on manufacturing plants in

China to produce the modules and suffered associated cross-border production and transportation

challenges. The challenges were pronounced because the project suffered inefficient planning and

scheduling of the offsite logistics (Yang et al., 2021).

Table 5.24: Challenges and lessons learned from Project E


Stage Challenges Lessons learned Critical success processes
encountered
Predesign • Ineffective offsite • Extensive planning to
stage logistics planning and balance overseas factory
scheduling production rate, transport
schedule of local fit-out,
and storage capacity of
local holding yards

Design stage • Highly diversified • Using building information • Using digital technologies
modular design modelling to support and for information sharing
optimize design decisions between relevant project
can evade late design teams
changes
Production • Long and • It is essential to build mock- • Early engagement of a
stage unpredictable lead up units before mass dedicated independent
times from suppliers production of modules testing and certification
• Reliance of factories • Collaboration between agency to continuously
in China for designers, clients, and inspect and supervise
production of modules module suppliers in materials overseas production of

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• Inadequate local procurement can improve modules and local fitting
manufacturing efficiency yard for QA/QC
facilities • Flexibility and resilience of • Using innovative strategies
• Lack of skilled local module suppliers can to cure concrete modules
workforce in the account for unforeseen during cold weather
overseas factory production schedule issues • Packaging, controlling and
• Inefficient workflow • Establishing quality control inspecting modules to
at the holding yard for and inspection protocols for ensure conformance with
local fit-out processes overseas factory works can the specified and/or
• Insufficient skilled reduce reworks contracted requirements
workers to fit-out the • Ensure all structure
modules in the members are hot-dipped
holding yard in galvanized to prevent
Singapore corrosion
• Procuring large and • Providing and installing the
diverse construction manufacturer’s label on the
materials and products MiC modules for
that adhere to local identification
building standards and
requirements
• Inadequate
supervision of
overseas factory
works
• Poor performance of
material suppliers
• A lack of skilled local
inspection team for
overseas factory
works
• Inadequate strategies
for quality assurance
and quality control
Transportation • Two-stage • Weather conditions can • Setting up a comprehensive
– Storage complicated and affect module production and transportation plan
stage expensive offsite transport incorporating local traffic
logistics due to the • Extreme weather events can regulatory requirement
local requirement for affect the efficiency of just- • Use just-in-time delivery
some works on in-time delivery arrangement arrangement to ensure
modules to be and cross-border shipping of timely delivery of modules
completed in modules • Protect the modules to
Singapore • Complicated custom prevent potential damage,
• Limited storage clearance can significantly deformation, or
capacity of the extend the schedule of cross- deterioration of the installed
holding yard in border transport of modules finishing components
Singapore and/or to the structure while
• Long-distance in transit or during
transportation unloading at project site

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Onsite • Limited production • A halt or change in • Manage site storage
assembly rate to match onsite installation schedule can • Optimize crane usage
stage installation of generate excessive module • Minimize hoisting and
modules inventory in offsite factories handling of modules
or buffer zones.

The local building requirements to complete some works in Singapore generated additional

challenges. Constraints of the local holding yard in Singapore such as limited storage space and

insufficient skilled workers generated expensive inefficient workflows during the fit-out

processes. Notably, the project teams could not match the overseas production rate with onsite

module installation rate in Singapore.

5.4.2.6 Case study 6 – Student Residence in North London

Table 5.25 summarizes the challenges encountered and the lessons learned from the Apex House

in Wembley of London (Project F). The challenges were mainly linked to skills gap of the local

labour force and logistical constraints. The materials suppliers performed badly and generated an

excessively long and unpredictable lead time for the materials delivery to the factory team. The

material supplier inefficiencies extended the production lead time in the project with a cascading

extension of the project schedule.

Table 5.25: Challenges and lessons learned from Project F


Stage Challenges Lessons learned Critical success processes
encountered
Predesign • Extensive upfront project
stage and supply chain planning
Design stage • Late design changes increase • Allocating adequate lead
factory production time for the design of the
unpredictabilities project
• Unsupportive design • Explicitly resolve and
constitutes a recipe for incorporate offsite
complex and inefficient logistics requirements and
manufacturing workflow limitations in the design
• Got the design right
Production • Shortage of project • Standardized modules can be • Strategically designing the
stage team members with produced efficiently through a factory to streamline the
relevant linear production mode manufacturing process

270
manufacturing whereby modules are moved • Suppliers and main
knowledges and skills along the production lines to contractors should
• Poor performance of the workers collaborate to generate the
material suppliers • Custom-designed modules be factory production
• Long and produced with greater schedule.
unpredictable lead flexibility using a static • Explicitly arranged for
time for materials production mode whereby quality control of the
supplied to the factory workers move to the modules modules
in fixed locations
• Periodically refining the
factory layout can improve
manufacturing capability and
efficiency.
Suppliers may have limited
knowledge factory production
schedule
Transportation • Narrow transport
– Storage network
stage • Heavy traffic
congestion at site
location inhibited just-
in-time delivery
arrangement
Onsite • Limited stock of
assembly heavy-duty cranes
stage capable of handling
modules

Also, the transport network at the project site were narrow along with heavy traffic congestion,

resulting in significant inefficiencies in just-in-time delivery arrangement and the module

transportation to site. The main contractor faced the challenge of acquiring tower cranes with

commensurate capacities to handle and install the modules.

Figure 5.18 shows the five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the predesign,

design, factory production, transportation, storage, and onsite assembly stages of the six cases.

These challenges and constraints are insensitive to context and should be addressed when

implementing residential MiC projects.

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Figure 5.18: Persistent challenges encountered in the various stages across all cases

5.4.3 Lessons Learned from the Six Real-World Residential MiC Projects

The cases considered in the study were signature projects in the respective territories. As such, the

project teams verified the root causes of the challenges and addressed most of them throughout the

delivery chain of the projects. The project teams also benchmarked the resolutions to the

challenges encountered and developed ‘lessons learned’, reflecting the set of interrelated actions

and activities to be performance in future residential MiC projects to achieve desired outcomes.

The lessons learned adhered to the five major stages of identifying comments and

recommendations for use in future projects, documenting and sharing findings, analysing and

organising results so that they can be applied, storing in a repository, and retrieving for use in

current residential MiC projects (Project Management Institute, 2017). The experiences distilled

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from the six cases studies and the associated lessons learned at the various stages are discussed

next.

5.4.3.1 Predesign stage

The case studies revealed the importance of recruiting to recruit an MiC specialist or consultant to

advice on the suitability of using MiC in the project, based on the needs and specifications of the

client, project objectives, characteristics, risks, site attributes, and conditions. Though recent

advancement allows for the modification of a site-built design to MiC design, Projects B and C

showed that this practice can be inefficient, expensive, and detrimental to the main contractor or

manufacture who must deliver the project at contract cost that was signed-off before realizing the

full extent of the design conversion. Various factors and conditions determine the appropriateness

of the MiC method in a residential building project. For instance, the client of Project A directly

requested for the MiC method to be used and hence, ensured that the project was designed based

of DfMA principles. In Project B, the original traditional design was converted to an MiC design

because the proposed site was in a confined location and associated with access and time

constraints that rendered site-based construction inappropriate. Project C also used the MiC

method because there was the need to overcome the technical difficulties of cantilevered floors on

three sides and the lack of sheer walls to provide lateral stability for the glass-façade.

The case studies also demonstrated the importance of extensive upfront planning to integrate MiC

in the design and construction. The planning outcomes and information become input into the

design, construction, and management of the residential MiC project. For instance, at the planning

stage of Project C, structural steel was selected for the main structural frame of the facility because

it is easier and quicker to fabricate the many repetitive sections offsite; a choice which dictated the

project design. The case studies revealed important critical success processes during the planning

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stage, include a detailed definition of activities to be performed in the residential MiC project,

robust schedule development, organizational planning, staff acquisition, procurement planning,

communications planning, resources planning, developing a project plan, and risk management

plan. For instance, Projects A and D showed that engaging client, consultants, MiC planning

specialist, building authorities, contractor, crane specialist, and project managers early help to

establish clear scope of work, obtain statutory approval and permitting, develop relevant

production and transportation plans, and informs the selection of a suitable procurement system,

structural systems and building materials. Also, Project A highlighted the need to carefully

consider, plan and select materials for residential MiC projects because there was the need to

change the floor finishes from timber floor to tiles and the door panel finishes from veneer to

plastic laminated sheet to reduce possible damages during installation and to ensure less

susceptibility to weather changes.

Another lesson learned in the planning stage is selection of collaborative procurement systems.

All the cases used design-build procurement system where the main contractor and manufacturer

or supplier were responsible for the design, fabrication, and installation of the modules. The cases

emphasized getting the process right up front, necessitating the engagement of key players such as

contractors, suppliers, engineers, crane specialist and architect to incorporate their expertise into

the MiC project planning. The specialist architect engaged during the planning of Project D

improved the layout and buildability. The engagement of a crane specialist in the production and

transportation planning of Project D enabled the team to accurately determine the weight of the

heaviest (29 tons) and lightest (17 tons) concrete modules to be used in the project. This prompted

the main contractor to check the crane market to find suitable products. The planning team with

the crane specialist selected and configured the layout of two commanding flagship cranes with a

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maximum lifting capacity of 40 tons, commensurate with the weight of the heaviest concrete

modules and height of the project.

Though powerful cranes were ideal for hoisting the heavy concrete modules in Project D, Project

A revealed that bigger tower cranes not only cost more, but the mast may not fit in the re-entrance

area and may be less effective for lifting. Thus, crane planning and configuration constitute an

integral part of MiC project (site) planning. For instance, the location of the heavy-duty tower

crane in Project D influenced the requirements of the cranes’ foundation and their tie-back to the

main towers, which affected the overall structural design of the towers and the strength of the

modules to cater for this additional loading. Additionally, Projects A, B, and D showed that the

shorter construction time in residential MiC projects generate tight demand for cash inflows. There

was a tight demand for cashflows to fabricate the modules in Projects A and D. In project C, the

manufacturer received an initial 80% payment to start fabrication due to the large upfront

investment requirement and the retentions released when the project completed.

5.4.3.2 Design stage

The case studies demonstrated the need to spend more time in getting the design drawings right

and freezing the architectural, structural and MEP designs for detailing of the steel or RC concrete

elements early to facilitate fabrication of the modules. In Projects A and D, the architects and

engineers were dazzled at the speed of installation on site. Despite the significant pressure on the

design consultants to develop designs and provide production documentation at a much earlier

stage when MiC is used, the case studies showed that the design team should be provided with

commensurate time to complete the drawings and ensure compliance with required standards and

regulations.

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The six cases demonstrated that the integrated project delivery facilitates a robust MiC project

design and provides a collaborative platform where manufacturers, designers, engineers,

consultants, contractors, assemblers, business partners, and clients work together to develop the

design. Even in cases where the design-build contractor subcontracts any of the phases, it should

usually involve companies or subcontractors that they know and have previously worked with.

The manufacturers of the design-build teams in Projects C, E, and F were responsible for the

engineering design and resultant production drawings, prior to the fabrication of the components;

an arrangement that allowed the fabricators to produce components based on their own design.

Projects A, B, D, and F actively engaged business partners, fabricators, end users, and regulators

early in the design and construction process to enable a smooth experience and increased

transparency for all.

The cases also showed the need to engage an experienced team to develop the detailed design and

working drawings. A lesson learned is using design engineers with technical knowledge of DfMA,

fastening of precast elements, connection systems, and their capacities provide more effective

design solutions. All the cases showed that engaging experienced manufacturers, assemblers,

clients, crane specialist, and design managing contractor early in the process enables the team to

explicitly consider buildability, assembly, transportation, health and safety, tolerance issues, and

other downstream constraints at the design phase. For instance, the valuable industry inputs of the

main steel fabricator into the value engineering process during the design of Project C enabled

options for key steel design elements to be reviewed and resolved efficiently. The inputs of the

fabricator informed the design team to place bulk steel ordering of key structural elements from

industry suppliers, while concurrently allowing the refinement of the design details prior to

commencing the shop drawings for manufacture.

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Similarly, the inputs of the manufacturer during the design of Project F enabled the team to

consider and incorporate cranage points, durability for transportation, and balance points in the

design. This avoided downstream challenges during transportation and installation of the modules.

The inputs of installers, crane specialists, and manufacturers during the designs of Projects A and

C enabled the design team to consider the double wall and double slab effects in residential MiC

projects and the lifting capacity of cranes, especially the mast size. These cases showed that the

design of high-rise residential MiC projects must consider structural integrity and robustness to

accommodate the impact of higher wind loads in neighbourhoods with seasonal typhoons,

hurricanes, and cyclones. In Project A, the design engineers developed a semi-precast slab in the

structural connections to provide a rigid diaphragm, prevent progressive collapse, and provide

better water proofing.

The cases also revealed that failure to incorporate the inputs of the relevant project partners at the

design phase could trigger cataclysmic consequences. For instance, the contractor of Project C did

not engage experienced BS and M&E engineers early upfront during the design stage, resulting in

several design inconsistencies and issues when the steel was delivered on site. The design team

did not provide the internal cavity within the steel components to be a conduit for the electrical

wiring, and thus, the access points were overlooked during production of the modules. The

oversight necessitated a fresh consultation with electrical services engineers to resolve the

inconsistencies and resulted in significant fabrication delays and additional costs of rectifications.

The faulty design resulted in a poorly delivered project and the fabricator made several on-site

rectifications to meet design specifications. The lesson learnt was that effective communication

and information sharing between the design and production teams could avoid several problems.

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Thus, it is recommended to involve experienced key actors at the design stage, irrespective of the

procurement system adopted.

Except Project C, the five cases demonstrated that BIM is mandatory for some residential MiC

projects and its roles exceeds clash detection analysis and visualizations purposes at the design

stage. In Project A, BIM was used to coordinate the design and MEP services together with the

modules early upfront. BIM was used for construction lifecycle management of the projects,

including front-end planning, design of each individual module, formwork, rebar and even tile

pattern.

5.4.3.3 Factory production stage

The cases demonstrated that bespoke manufacturing yards or reliable suppliers are necessary since

the modules are usually engineered-to-order or made-to-order, consistent with the unique design

specifications, dimensions, sizes, and material types for each MiC project. The modules are usually

ordered or manufactured in an offsite yard, but for large-scale projects, it may be economical to

set-up a temporary production yard (i.e., flying factory) close to the project. The cases studies

revealed that situating a new manufacturing plant closer to the site is economical to significantly

reduce transport costs and logistical challenges. However, adequate access and safe working

platform are required to ensure manoeuvrability of the modules. For instance, large access space

is required for the manoeuvrability of the heavy building components and equipment such as

carrier, portal gantry cranes, and mobile sling crawler for handling the modules from the moulds

and various operations leading up to loading and dispatch. Similarly, large space is required to

accommodate overhead cranes for easily moving the larger components in the factory. Moreover,

selection of molds types and module curing methods could make significant differences. The case

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studies demonstrated that battery moulds operate exceptionally efficient and minimize space

requirements.

Another lesson learned is developing prototypes of each module, conduct mock-ups, and trial

assemblies to test out the initial designs prior to mass production. Projects A and D implemented

these practices, consulted stakeholders, made improvements, and guaranteed completion of the

projects without interface discrepancies and associated delays. Particularly, the prototyping

allowed accurate schedules to be produced and improved efficiency of the manufacturer. The cases

also corroborated the importance of allowing enough time and arranging for inspection of offsite

manufacturing works for quality assurance and control. In Projects A and D, the contractors

arranged local certification bodies and team of inspectors to inspect modules in the overseas

production plants for adherence to local building codes and standards. This practice is necessary,

especially in cross-border production, fitting-out, and transportation of the modules to avoid the

cost associated with rejecting the modules by building authorities after delivery to site.

5.4.3.4 Transportation and storage stage

The cases showed that developing a comprehensive transportation planning helps to identify the

economically and technically suitable mode of transport. The transportation planning should

consider the local transport and highway restrictions regarding the allowable sizes and weights of

the modules because violations could trigger transport challenges and demand police escort. The

manufacturer of Project A restricted the head room of each module to at most 3.0m because the

local Transport Department limits the sizes of the modules to 2.5mW x 4.5mH, but now accepts a

width less than 3.0m, subject to traffic management plan. Adherence to the transport regulation in

Project A was economical because modules with head room greater than 3.0m require night-time

movement and police escort, which increases costs.

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The cases also demonstrated the significance of inventory management during transportation,

including inspection, packaging, labelling and protection of the modules. Effective labelling of the

modules facilitates easy identification and later referencing back to the shop drawings, when

needed. The poor handling and protection of modules during transportation can cause damages to

the modules, requiring onsite rectification and touch-up painting of the damaged areas. Project A

highlighted the relevance of temporary protection of the modules and ensuring water tightness of

modules during transportation. It is also essential to ensure real-time monitoring and control of the

modules through labelling and electronic tracking, especially during longer or cross-border

transportation. The contractor of Projects A and B successfully integrated RFID, blockchain, and

BIM to track, monitor, and manage real-time cross-border transportation of the modules.

The cases also showed that using JiT supply chain arrangement is economical in some

circumstances and conditions. Projects A and B showed that JiT delivery saves significant storage

cost in high-density cities, where storage spaces are scarce and expensive. Where JiT arrangement

is considered, commensurate buffer or temporary onsite storage space must be provided to

accommodate the modules. However, adequate space should be allocated for the modules to be

offloaded, temporarily stored, and later installed. Additionally, the delivered components must

also be packed in a manner to facilitate ease of accessing the components during installation. Due

to storage area shortages, when the delivered modules are stored on top of other component, it can

generate significant accessibility problems during the installation.

5.4.3.5 Onsite assembly stage

Using technologies such as internet of things, RFID, BIM, and Virtual Reality provides the

collaborative working teams and decision makers with the physical and functional digital

representations of the project. These technologies provided site managers, operatives, and workers

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of Projects A and D with a collaborative platform that enabled real-time capture and exchange of

accurate data, traceability, and visibility functions. These arrangements improve the efficiency and

effectiveness of daily operations, decision making, collaboration, and supervision throughout on-

site assembly processes of MiC projects. It is crucial to ensure integration, coordination, and

communication among the participants to avoid ephemeral shifting coalition of the participants

from which divergent goals, value systems and interests could emerge to fuel dysfunctional

conflicts.

Moreover, Projects A and D demonstrated the need to select, configure, position, and manage

cranes on site, especially when dealing with heavier modules in constrained sites. The developer

of Project D used two powerful cranes with adequate height and lifting capacities to hoist, lift and

install the 17 – 29tons concrete modules up the 140m-tall twin-towers. Project A showed the

efficiency of situating the crane closer to the designated location of the modules, especially at the

re-entrance area. The crane usage also requires effective management of alignments and tolerances

of the complex interfaces. The two tower cranes used in Project D were configured to Micro-move

fine positioning mode, allowing the modules to be installed to an accuracy of 2mm. The higher

accuracy requirements of residential MiC projects demand precision in the onsite and offsite

elements fabrication, thorough shop drawing coordination, accurate survey, and set out work

because larger discrepancies could adversely affect the alignment of the entire building. The

contractor of Project A conducted thorough site planning, factory mock-ups and trial liftings, and

reviewed the entire delivery process, including setting out, mould design and production,

dimension checking, safety measures and installation to adhere to locally regulated allowable

tolerance of ±3mm.

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The cases further demonstrated the lower risks associated with engaging experienced contractors,

installers, and crane operators with technical competencies in tolerance management, modules’

alignment and sequencing, and experience in working with tight tolerances. The crane providers

in Project D trained personnel of the main contractor as crane operators who successfully operated

the cranes and accurately installed the modules. Additionally, technical engineering skills are

required to manage the installation phase, especially when integrating MiC into an existing site-

built structure. The developer of Project C encountered several challenges when the MiC modules

were incorporated into the 150-old site-built structure. Excess thickness of the floor slabs in the

existing site-built structure was chiselled out to accommodate the floors of the industrialized

modules and required the pouring of new screed when the modules were installed.

5.4.3.6 Completion stage

The cases showed the importance of making adequate provisioning for the project closure by

arranging for completions of all testing and certifications to ensure compliance to local building

regulations and specifications of the client. The success of this stage demands effective

consultation with key stakeholders and settlement all financial transactions. It is also crucial to

invite stakeholders to inspect the delivered project and tentatively accept all the deliverables prior

to the official closure.

5.5 Best Practices for implementing Residential MiC Projects

The outcomes of sections 5.2 – 54 provided complementary evidence to derive the best practices

for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects. The study reconsidered,

integrated, and reconciled the various significant CRFs, CSFs, challenges, and lessons learned to

develop specific strategies that can deliver desired outcomes in the various stages of residential

MiC projects. These best practices are presented in Chapter 7.

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5.6 Summary of the Chapter

The chapter rigorously examined the CRFs, CSFs, challenges, and lessons learned from represent

projects to derive the best practices for residential MiC projects. It quantified and prioritized

significant CRFs for residential MiC projects. It simulated the distributions and exposure profiles

to identify and prioritized significant CRFs for residential MiC projects at 95% and 97.5% risk

tolerance levels in the high-risk exposure zone and 82.5% and 85% risk tolerance level within the

medium-risk exposure zone. It used EFA to generate five principal components of the CRFs,

including design risks, factory production risks, transportation and storage risks, onsite assembly

risks, and supply chain risks. FSE is implemented to quantify the impact and PLS – SEM used to

model the chain reactions among the principal CRFs for residential MiC projects. The chapter also

quantified and prioritized significant CSFs for residential MiC projects. EFA is implemented to

derive five principal components of the CSFs, including supply chain management, early

commitment, enabling environment, suitable project characteristics, and competency. FSE is used

to quantify the impact of the principal CSFs for residential MiC projects. The chapter further

examined six representative residential MiC projects in Australia, Hong Kong, Singapore, and the

United Kingdom. The case studies revealed 85 practical challenges encountered and 55 lessons

learned from the six projects. The chapter triangulated, consolidated, and reconciled the identified

CRFs, CSFs, challenges, and lessons learned to derive best practices for implementing the various

stages of residential MiC projects. The next chapter presents a performance measurement system

for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

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CHAPTER 6 – PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT SYSTEM FOR
RESIDENTIAL MiC PROJECTS

6.1 Introduction

This chapter focuses on developing a performance measurement system for residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The chapter begins with description of the relevance of performance

measurement for futureproofing, benchmarking, and continuous improvements of residential MiC

projects. Then, it defines the conditions, arrangements, and factors that can influence the outcomes

of residential building projects irrespective of the construction method used. It further describes

the key considerations and challenges of performance measurement of residential MiC projects.

Subsequently, the chapter describes the selected key performance indicators and defined specific

characteristics of the performance measurement system. Afterwards, it develops and demonstrates

the application of a computerized performance measurement system that enables project teams to

quantify the performance of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

6.2 Performance Measurement of Residential MiC Projects

Process-based and product-based performance evaluation are critical to futureproof residential

MiC projects. Futureproofing refers to the characteristic of a residential MiC project to continue

to meet its design objectives and the expectation of the end-users over the lifecycle (Love et al.,

2015). Process-based and product-based performance measurement facilitates future proofing

because they provide relevant information to anticipate the future impact of each process in

residential MiC project delivery and develop strategies during the construction process to add a

layer of resilience to the project to ensure its sustainability and longevity. There have been efforts

to measure the benefits of the MiC method in residential buildings in the United Kingdom (Horner

et al., 2019; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). There has also been a successful attempt to measure

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the success of MiC projects in Hong Kong (Pan et al., 2020). This study leverages these relevant

works to develop an automated performance measurement system that can empower project teams

to easily measure the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in residential projects in

Hong Kong.

6.3 Key Project Descriptors

The outcomes of residential MiC projects are usually measured and compared with outcomes of

comparable (hypothetical or counterfactual) site-built residential building projects to ascertain the

added benefits of the MiC method (Pan et al., 2020). However, there are some external and

contextual factors that can influence the performance of a residential building project irrespective

of the construction method (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). These key project descriptors

(KPDs) may influence the outcomes of the project which cannot be attributed to the construction

method (i.e., MiC). Table 6.1 summarizes the major KPDs.

Table 6.1: List of KPDs for project characterization during performance measurement
KPDs KPDs
Sector (e.g., housing) Foundation type (e.g., piled, raft, etc)
Type of client (e.g., private) Types of material (e.g., steel frame module)
Project type (e.g., residential apartment) Number of storeys
Work type (e.g., newly built, extension) MEP strategy (e.g., natural ventilation, etc
Regional location Considerate Contractors’ score
Location description (e.g., urban or rural) Experience
Project description (e.g., MiC) Level of experience with MiC
Procurement system (e.g., design and build) Ranking of the project within portfolio
Form of contract (e.g., NEC3, design and build) Client mandate for incorporating MiC
RIBA stage when main contractor appointed Project-specific targets or requirements
Year when construction started Use of standard or bespoke modules
BIM level applied Suitability of MiC for the project
PMV level Level of complexity

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The KPDs range from project type to procurement system and project size through to the extent

of BIM used in the project. For instance, a project where BIM is effectively used is expected to

perform higher than one in which BIM was not used, regardless of the construction method used.

Hence, the KPDs must be duly considered when measuring and evaluating each performance

outcome. They allow for meaningful comparison between projects and facilitate the exclusive

assessment of the areas where MiC delivers the greatest benefits or value in residential MiC

projects. The relevant KPDs that must be considered when measuring and comparing

performance outcomes of MiC with site-built residential projects because these factors can

significantly influence project outcomes (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

6.4 Key Considerations

Aside the KPDs, there are certain conditions and factors that could influence the impact of MiC in

a project. It is useful to highlight these issues prior to measuring and comparing the performance

of residential MiC projects. First, the structure and business model (e.g. traditional spin-off,

vertical integration or digital systems integration) of the main contractor may influence the

outcomes of the residential MiC project (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Second, early

consideration and commitment to the MiC method at the outset of the project with the design and

procurement processes structured to align with the requirements of the technology can maximizes

MiC impact in a project (Wuni and Shen, 2020c). Third, early engagement of and contributions

from contractors, suppliers, and manufacturers maximizes MiC impact in a residential project (van

Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Fourth, higher premanufactured value (e.g., fully finished

volumetric building components) can maximize the impact of the MiC method in residential

building projects (Bertram et al., 2019).

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6.5 Challenges of Performance Measurement of Residential MiC Projects

van Vuuren and Middleton (2020) documented several constraints and challenges to a reliable

quantification of the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC method in residential building

projects. The first challenge is linked to variability in measurement methods for various metrics.

There are different metrics for measuring the various KPIs. The suitability of a metric is also

sensitive to the required measurement reporting level (e.g., project, community, industry, regional,

global). It is also difficult to identify metrics for comprehensively assessing KPIs which are not

directly measurable such as quality and local impact.

The second challenge relates to variability in data collection. Relevant performance measurement

data can be collected in varied ways in different projects, within a company, and across the

industry. The variabilities introduce layers of uncertainties over the integrity, quality, and accuracy

of the collected data. Though desirable, it is incredibly challenging for different organizations or

project teams to collect consistent and comparable data cross projects.

The third challenges is linked to accessibility and granularity of data. The suite of data required to

comprehensively assess the outcomes of residential MiC projects are accessible to multiple project

team members situated at different stages of the delivery chain. Different stakeholders have access

to a diverse range of the required data for the performance measurement due to the

multidisciplinary groups of players and actors involved in the offsite and onsite work packages in

residential MiC projects. Also, the common practice of aggregating project data does not provide

the granular and detailed information of interest in assessing the outcomes of completed residential

MiC projects.

The fourth constraints is linked to the allocation and outsourcing of project impacts. Residential

MiC projects involves significant offsite and onsite works. The greatest challenge is isolating the

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impact of manufacturing processes associated with a specific project because manufacturing plants

usually deliver modules and products to multiple projects contemporaneously. The possibility of

outsourcing the impact of one project to another project or organization can prevail. The

performance measurement system developed in this study recognizes these factors and explicitly

defines the boundaries of the data to be fed into the system. It reduced metrics having a high

likelihood of external impact to provide reliable assessment.

The fifth challenges relates to abnormal influences. It is well-established that project outcomes

may not always directly reflect the exclusive impact of a construction method. For instance, the

KPDs can influence the outcomes of a project irrespective of a construction method. Thus, the

performance measurement system reports the project outcomes considering the KPDs. The system

also acknowledges and consider change logs and reasons for deviation from expected results in a

residential MiC project.

The sixth challenges is associated with inter-related influences. Beyond the KPDs, some decisions

or commitments could improve or reduce project performances not attributable to a construction

method. For instance, clients could allocate additional time and resources to achieve a certain

quality standard or sustainability target. These sources of uncertainty are recognized and

considered in the performance measurement system.

The final challenge relates to project constraints. Residential MiC projects are not constructed

using exclusively the MiC method. Various degrees and complexity of MiC and offsite products

are integrated with onsite work packages in residential MiC projects. Also, the MiC method is not

always an appropriate choice of construction method for residential buildings. Yet, it is obscure to

quantify the suitability of the MiC method for a residential MiC project. Nevertheless, chapter 4

presents a tool for quantifying the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects.

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6.6 Specific Characteristics of the Performance Measurement System

The performance measurement system for residential MiC projects has some unique features. First,

the system supports two modes of assessment. It enables project teams to measure the absolute

values of outcomes of residential MiC projects. It also allows project teams to quantify the relative

benefit of the MiC method in residential projects through a comparison of the absolute

performance outcomes with predefined baseline or outcomes of comparable site-built residential

projects. The latter mode enables project teams to assess the efficiency and effectiveness of the

MiC method in residential projects relative to the site-built technique (Neely et al., 1995).

Second, the system incorporates KPDs to enable project teams to reliably quantify the relative

benefits and performance improvement attributable to the MiC method alone in the project. Thus,

the system enables project teams to demonstrate the exclusive value of the MiC method in

residential projects.

Third, the performance measurement system was designed to avoid quantifying direct monetary

benefits because such an approach focuses on only financial measures. Thus, the system expresses

the performance in various units, but normalizes them into percentages to allow for meaningful

comparison. It also allows for quantifying qualitative performance measures.

Fourth, the system is designed for reporting at the project level and makes no distinction regarding

the exclusive receivers (e.g., client, society, government, etc) of the various performance

improvements. It is designed to assess actual outcomes of completed residential MiC projects

rather than predicting performance. Thus, it focuses on the construction of residential MiC projects

and does not consider operations, maintenance, lifecycle, or end-of-life impacts.

Sixth, the system is designed with due consideration of the possibility for double counting the

benefits of the MiC method in residential projects. The MiC method can generate overlapping

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benefits in residential projects. For instance, MiC reduces onsite labour requirement which

minimizes costs of onsite labour and welfare facilities requirements, all of which contributes to

reduced overall construction costs (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020).

6.7 Selection of Key Performance Measures

Suitable measures and metrics for measuring the performance of residential MiC projects depends

on several factors, aims and priorities of the specific clients, project objectives, availability and

accessibility of data, and strategic objectives of the implementing organizations (Horner et al.,

2019; van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). This study selected fourteen KPIs along with relevant

metrics to facilitate futureproofing, experiential learning, benchmarking, and continuous

improvement of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Table 2.4 summarizes the selected KPIs

and metrics.

6.8 Computerized Performance Measurement System

An automated MiC performance measurement system (hereafter MiC-PMS) was developed in

Microsoft Excel. The choice of development tool was the need for a reliable and simple tool

requiring zero or minimal amount of maintenance. Following the development of the MiC-PMS,

the study invited two industry experts from the Hong Kong to validate the system. The invited

industry experts have been directly involved in some of the pilot MiC projects in Hong Kong and

thus qualified for the validation. The two experts were requested to use the developed system to

evaluate performance of real-world residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. They found the system

very useful, practical, and representative. They commented on the output table and charts and

provided valuable suggestions for improving the design of the MiC-PMS.

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6.8.1 Objectives of the MiC – PMS

The MiC – PMS has two main objectives: (i) to provide a convenient tool enabling project teams

to quantify the absolute outcomes of residential MiC projects and (ii) to support project teams in

measuring the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC method in residential building projects. The

output of the performance measurement system would identify areas that require improvement in

subsequent projects.

6.8.2 Architecture of the MiC – PMS

The architecture of the MiC – PMS comprises three components: (i) a user interface, (ii) a database,

and (iii) a performance measurement algorithm. Figure 6.1 is a schematic of the MiC – PMS. The

user interface contains the dialogue, data input management, and output subsystems of the MiC –

PMS.

Project database Performance measurement algorithms

KPIs and metrics for Computes various KPIs based on relevant


residential MiC projects project data
Summarizes and generates charts of project
Relevant project data
outcomes for various KPIs

Input Output

Project data of interest of the KPIs for Measured outcomes of each


residential MiC projects KPI

Introduction to the Intelligent-MiC


Objectives of the MiC – PMS
objectives, KPIs and metrics, Charts and visualization of
measurement methods, and project various KPIs outcomes
details
Graphical User Interface (GUI)
Figure 6.1: The architecture of the MiC – PMS

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Figure 6.2 shows the user interface of the MiC – PMS. It offers a user-friendly communication

between the performance assessor and the measurement algorithm. It receives the relevant data

and feeds it to the performance measurement algorithm to compute the outcomes of the various

KPIs. It enables project teams to assess both qualitative and quantitative KPIs. The user interface

contains three sections. Section one introduces and offers instructions on how to use the MiC –

PMS. It enables the project teams to specify basic details of the residential MiC project and the

comparable site-built residential project.

Figure 6.2: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing introduction and instructions

Section two enables the project team to confirm various key project descriptors and specify the

relevant data of interest of the various KPIs. As shown in Figure 6.3, Section two computes the

various KPIs based on the relevant data and generates charts to visualize outcomes.

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Figure 6.3: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing the data entry component

The database subsystem of the user interface enables the project teams to input relevant data for

the various KPIs. The performance measurement algorithm component of the user interfaces

receives the relevant project data and quantifies the performance of residential MiC projects across

the various KPIs. It uses the various measurement methods outlined in section 2.8 to compute the

outcomes of the project across the relevant KPIs and generates relevant charts to visualize the

performance outcomes. Section three summarize the measured outcomes (Figure 6.4).

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Figure 6.4: User Interface of the MiC – PMS system showing the output component

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6.8.3 Application and validation of the MiC – PMS

The developed MiC – PMS was validated in two distinct stages. Stage 1 involved consultation

with three experienced industry practitioners with knowledge of the MiC method in Hong Kong.

The experts were requested to verify the suitability and comprehensiveness of the various KPIs,

KPDs, the required data, and design of the MiC – PMS. The experts provided comments and

feedback on the initial design and discussed opportunities for improvement. The revised

performance measurement system was verified and approved by the expert panel. Stage 2 focused

on demonstrating the application of the MiC – PMS. Relevant project data of the InnoCell Project

at Hong Kong Science Park (hereafter InnoCell Project) and the Disciplined Services Quarters for

the Fire Services Department at Pak Shing Kok (hereafter DSQ-FSD project) were used to

demonstrate the application of the MiC – PMS. The required data for two validation projects (i.e.,

DSQ-FSD and InnoCell) were derived from a recent industry report (Pan et al., 2020). Due to

confidentiality, the derived cost data and other relevant information are not reported in this thesis.

The outputs generated from the MiC – PMS are described as follows. Figure 6.5 shows the time

performance outcomes of the two case projects across four relevant metrics. The results indicate

that the two projects obtained schedule performance indices of 1.0, indicating that they were

completed on time or ahead of schedule. It can also be observed that the delivery speed of the

DSQ-FSD project (80.76m2/day) was faster than the InnoCell project (44.60m2/day). However, it

took two extra days to construct a typical floor in the DSQ-FSD project (5 days/floor) than the

InnoCell project (3days/floor). Table 6.2 summarizes the cost performance of the two projects

across various relevant metrics.

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Figure 6.5: Time performance outcomes of the case projects across four metrics

The cost performance indices of 1.28 and 1.11 for the InnoCell project and DSQ-FSD project,

respectively indicates that both projects were delivered under budget. However, the relative cost

savings was higher in the InnoCell project compared to the DSQ-FSD project.

Table 6.2: Cost performance outcomes of the case projects across three metrics
Metric InnoCell DSQ-FSD
Cost performance index 1.28 1.11
Unit cost (HK$/m2) 32842.11 26479.76
Cost variance (certainty) -22.00 -10.00

On the other hand, the unit cost of the InnoCell project (HK$32842.11/m2) was higher than that of

the DSQ-FSD project (HK$26479.76/m2). The comparison is for illustration purposes only

because the two projects are not comparable. They had varied scales, sizes, durations, structural

systems, main contractors, and clients.

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Figure 6.6 shows labour productivity performances in the two case projects. Overall, the offsite

and onsite labour were more productive in the DSQ-FSD project (0.120m2/man-hour) than the

InnoCell project (0.099m2/man-hour).

Figure 6.6: Quantified labour productivity performance of the two case projects

Though the two projects are not comparable, it would be interesting for residential MiC project

teams to probe the differences in the labour productivity levels across the two projects for

continuous improvements in future projects.

Figure 6.7 shows the premanufactured values of the two case projects. There are several

approaches for determining the PMV of MiC projects. However, the two common methods include

cost-based and material-based proportions (van Vuuren and Middleton, 2020). Figure 6.7 used the

proportion of total construction cost associated with the offsite works (labour plus materials) as a

measure of the degree of MiC method used in the case projects.

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Figure 6.7: Premanufactured value indices of the two cases

The DSQ-FSD project comprised 80.82% of the MiC method and 19.18% site-based construction,

in terms of costs. Similarly, the InnoCell project comprised 73.44% of the MiC method and

26.56% site-based construction. Hence, the proportion of costs associated with onsite construction

was higher in the InnoCell project than the DSQ-FSD project. It would be interesting to benchmark

the PMVs of several residential MiC projects to ascertain the optimum level of MiC required in

the project to derive the greatest benefits.

Figure 6.8 summarizes the outcomes of waste, resource consumption, pollution, and stakeholder

satisfaction performances of the two case projects. It shows that more waste was generated from

the DSQ-FSD project (64.13kg/m2) and disposed at landfills compared to the InnoCell

(16.26kg/m2). Though a larger quantity of waste generated from the DSQ-FSD project

(29.50kg/m2) was reused and recycled, it constituted 46% of the waste generated. Conversely,

76.6%(12.45kg/m2) of the waste generated in the InnoCell project was reused and recycled.

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Figure 6.8: Outcomes of the remaining KPIs for the two case projects

The per unit electricity consumption was generally more expensive in the InnoCell project

(HK$14.94/m2) than the DSQ-FSD project (HK$11.79/m2). Similarly, the per unit water

consumption was generally more expensive in the InnoCell project (HK$2.59/m2) than the DSQ-

FSD project (HK$2.06/m2). However, the cost per unit area of treating the polluted water was

higher in the DSQ-FSD project (HK$1.54/m2) than the InnoCell project (HK$0.78/m2). The noise

pollution in the DSQ-FSD project (~68dB) was higher than the InnoCell project (~66dB).

However, the air pollution was higher in the InnoCell project (~50µg/m3) than in the DSQ-FSD

project ((~49µg/m3). The client (4.71/5) and project team (4.75/5) of the InnoCell Project were

more satisfied that their counterparts in the DSQ-FSD project (see Figure 6.8). The reasons

accounting for the differences were not investigated in this study. Again, the comparison is for

illustration purposes because the projects are not comparable.

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6.9 Discussions

The MiC – PMS system constitutes a comprehensive tool incorporating both qualitative and

quantitative KPIs for measuring the performance of residential MiC projects. It is designed to

enable project teams to systematically measure the outcomes of various residential MiC projects

for benchmarking purposes. It also enables project teams to compare performance of residential

MiC projects with a comparable site-built residential project to quantify the relative benefits or

performance improvements attributable to the MiC method in a project. By incorporating key

project descriptors, the MiC – PMS enables project teams to account for external factors and

conditions which could pollute a reliable quantification of the relative benefits of the MiC method

in residential building projects in Hong Kong. As such, the developed system can be used to

measure and benchmark the performance of any MiC project because the KPIs are generally

applicable to all MiC project types.

6.10 Summary of the Chapter

This chapter focused on developing a performance measurement system for residential MiC

projects (MiC – PMS) in Hong Kong. The system contains both quantitative and qualitative

performance measures along with user interface allowing project teams to verify key project

descriptors and inputting relevant data to compute the outcomes of various KPIs. The MiC – PMS

system contains a performance measurement algorithm, which automatically computes the various

KPIs across several metrics from the available data. Thus, it enables project teams to measure the

outcomes of residential MiC projects and to ascertain the effectiveness and efficiency of the MiC

method in residential projects. The next chapter focuses on developing a best practice framework

for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

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CHAPTER 7 – DEVELOPING AND VALIDATING A BEST PRACTICE
FRAMEWORK FOR RESIDENTIAL MiC PROJECTS

7.1 Introduction

This chapter focuses on developing a practice framework for successfully implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. It begins with the key considerations at the major stages of the

residential MiC project delivery chain. Subsequently, it integrates and incorporates the findings

from series of systematic literature reviews, case studies, and questionnaires to develop a

framework of best practices for implementing residential MiC projects to achieve desired

outcomes. Afterwards, it uses expert opinion in Hong Kong to validate the developed best practice

framework. The chapter concludes with a summary of the findings.

7.2 Stage-based Key Considerations for Residential MiC Projects

There are key considerations, relevant project players, and typical outputs required at the

predesign, design, production, transportation and storage, onsite assembly, and closure stages of

residential MiC projects. Figures 7.1 – 2 present these key considerations across the various stages.

It can be observed that certain critical considerations must be made in each stage of the residential

MiC project delivery process. Figures 7.1 – 2 also highlight the commonest scope of works,

deliverables, and relevant parties involved in the various construction stages of residential MiC

projects. It demonstrates that MiC project delivery requires some critical key decisions and early

involvement of relevant project partners at various stages of the delivery chain. Although some of

the considerations are applicable to site-built residential projects, there are several practices

peculiar to residential MiC projects. Particularly, the work packages in the different stages are

interconnected, with dynamic interlinkages in decisions made.

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Key considerations Relevant stakeholders Deliverables

Predesign stage

• Identify the needs and specification of the client • Clients • Needs assessment report
or owner • Developers • Detailed concept paper
• Develop and evaluate project alternatives • Design Consultants • Detailed feasibility report
• Develop business case for better decision • Project Engineers • Detailed business case
support • Project managers • Selection of the MiC method
• Evaluate the suitability and feasibility of the • BIM Consultants • Risk management plan
MiC method for the residential project • Engineering managers • Selection of suitable project
• Commit to using the MiC method, if suitable • MiC Planning delivery method
• Plan and address key risks Specialist • Selection of suitable
• Develop project scope • Crane Specialist procurement system
• Estimate and mobilize required resources • Planning Authorities • Specification of suitable
• Decide and plan appropriate structural system structural system
• Decide and plan construction materials • Specification of appropriate
• Selection of project delivery method construction materials
• Selection of procurement system • Specification of suitable
• Plan crane usage cranes

Design stage

• Formation of the design team • Clients • Detailed design freeze


• Engage contractor, fabricator, suppliers, • Developers • Detailed working drawings
business partners, and logistics companies • Design Consultants • BIM models
• Engineering and design scope specification • BIM Consultants • Prototypes
• Design for manufacture and assembly • Architects
• Consider repetitiveness, compactness, and • Engineers
weight of modules • Main Contractors
• Consider local building and transport limitations • Production Engineers
• Detailed design with BIM or Manufacturers
• Early design freeze • Suppliers
• Considering allowable tolerance • Project managers

Factory production stage

• Appointment of experienced material supplier • Clients • Procurement of production


• Procurement of required building materials • Developers materials
• Selection of manufacturer (s) • Material Suppliers • Development and testing of
• Review of Working drawings and BIM models • Manufacturers prototypes
• Consider manufacturing tolerances • Certification Agencies • Mass production of modules
• Produce prototypes • Building Authorities/ • Temporary storage of
• Conduct checks, mock-ups, and trial assembly Inspectors modules
• Mass produce the modules
• Cure concrete modules
• Coordinate concurrent execution of onsite work
packages

Figure 7.1: Key considerations in the first three major stages of residential MiC projects

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Key considerations Relevant stakeholders Deliverables

Transportation and Storage Stage

• Plan and manage marine transit and jurisdiction • Main contractor • Transportation contract
risks in case of cross-border transportation of • Manufacturers awarded
modules • Suppliers • Required modules delivered
• Consider and use just-in-tIme delivery • Logistics company • Modules buffered or stored
arrangement, if possible • Customs and Highway
• Arranging temporary storage or buffer location, Authorities
subject to the delivery and programme
• Make special traffic arrangement for
transportation of modules exceeding allowable
dimensions

Onsite Assembly Stage

• Form the onsite project management team and • Crane operators • Selection of installation team
manage relationships • Crane specialist and method
• Review and revise project plan to initiate onsite • Traffic controller • Mobilization of resources
assembly and installation of modules • Assembly contractors • Modules installed
• Control project budget and schedule • Project manager • Mechanical, electrical, and
• Monitor, evaluate and report project progress • Site operatives plumbing report
and performance • Site managers • Progress reports
• Make final selection, planning, and
• Building Authorities • Internal and external finishes
configuration of suitable crane (s) completed
or Inspectors
• Review of assembly sequence
• Main Contractor • Inspection certifications
• Consider onsite assembly tolerance • Environmental quality
• Coordinate onsite and offsite work packages certification
• Completion report

Closure and Handing-over Stage

• Final testing and inspection of the completed • Owner or Client • Final project completion
project • Developer report
• Preparing completion report • Project manager • Settlement of financial
• Settling all financial transactions • Main Contractor claims
• Commissioning the project • Building Authorities • Project commissioned
• Contract termination or Inspectors • Deliverables transferred
• Contract terminated

Figure 7.2: Key considerations in the last three major stages of residential MiC projects

For instance, the scope of the project, structural system selected (panelised or modularized),

selected building materials (wood, steel, concrete, or hybrid options), and the selected procurement

system during the early stages could significantly influence on the cost, quality, safety, and

sustainability performances of residential MiC projects. Also, each stage of the residential MiC

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project delivery has a network of multidisciplinary stakeholders with their unique goals, value

systems, and roles (Luo et al., 2019). Thus, it is essential to employ collaborative procurement

systems that encourages effective integration, coordination, collaboration, and communication

between participants to avoid potential ephemeral shifting coalition of participants from which

divergent goals, value systems and objectives may emerge.

7.3 A Best Practice Framework for implementing Residential MiC Projects

The study developed the much-needed technical guidelines, detailed know-how, and strategies for

successfully implementing residential MiC projects. The best practice framework comprises three

complementary components: a decision support system, best practices, and a performance

measurement system. Figures 7.3 – 10 presents the best practice framework for implementing

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The first component of the best practice framework is the decision support system, which

enables project teams to assess the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a proposed

residential building project. It addresses the MiC suitability assessment challenge, computerizes

the process of quantifying the suitability of the MiC method, and establishes when it is appropriate

to use the MiC method. The suitability decision support system was developed in Microsoft VBA

and executed in Microsoft Excel. The significant factors determining the suitability of the MiC

method for residential buildings projects were derived from the questionnaire survey in Hong

Kong. Chapter 4 was devoted to developing the decision support system. Figure 7.3 shows a

framework of the significant factors and conditions influencing the suitability of the MiC method

for residential building projects in Hong Kong. These factors formed the basis for developing the

suitability decision support system.

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Structure of significant factors determining the suitability of the MiC
method for residential building projects in Hong Kong

Project characteristics
Project objectives and requirements
• Suitability of the design for the MiC method • Business needs, client contract, or
• Dimensions and number of required MiC regulatory requirement
units • Expediting construction
• Nature, size, scope, and type of the project • Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site
• Presence of repetitive layout in design • Reducing construction waste footprint
• Number of stories • Reducing embodied energy and carbon
• Structural integrity of modules emissions
• Availability of adequate lead time for MiC • Minimizing environment nuisance and
modules neighbourhood noise
• Project procurement strategy and contract
• Reducing lifecycle construction costs
type

Organizational and industry readiness Location and site attributes


• Readiness of the project team, including • Accessibility and availability of temporary
contractor, consultant, designer storage areas at site location
• Availability and capacity of fabricators • Site layout, characteristics, and
• Availability of construction equipment environment
• Availability of skilled and experienced labour • Width of transport network to site and
force traffic conditions in the vicinity
• Availability of supportive technology
• Capability of local MiC supply chain
• Industry communication and collaboration
culture

Figure 7.3: Significant suitability determinants in the decision support system

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The second component of the framework contains the best practices for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. Figures 7.4 – 9 presents the best practices for implementing the

predesign, design, production, onsite assembly, and closure stages of residential MiC projects.

Predesign stage – Inception, Conceptualization, and Planning

• Form a specialist planning team with knowledge of the MiC method (1.1)
• Consult and discuss alternatives, project requirements, and options with the client (1.2)
• Use building information modelling (BIM) (1.3)
• Determine the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with the project (1.4)
• Commit to the MiC method in the project (1.5)
• Conduct extensive planning for the MiC processes and requirements in the project (1.6)
• Conduct upfront planning to integrate the MiC method into the design layout (1.7)
• Conduct extensive organizational and supply chain planning (1.8)
• Clear definition of scope of work and responsibilities (1.9)
• Develop advanced work packaging (1.10)
• Establish workflow documentation system (1.11)
• Develop a detailed schedule (1.12)
• Form the core project team and engage relevant staff (1.13)
• Familiarize the team with the local MiC requirements and regulations (1.14)
• Develop communications planning (1.15)
• Develop a detailed project plan (1.16)
• Develop a robust risk management plan (1.17)
• Plan and mobilize resources (1.18)
• Consider the tight demand for cash inflows (1.19)
• Establish a strategic stakeholder partnership plan (1.20)
• Determine the appropriate time to engage main contractor, consultant, and MiC supplier (1.21)
• Conduct a detailed production planning (1.22)
• Determine the premanufactured value and extent of offsite works (1.23)
• Select a suitable structural system and construction materials (1.24)
• Select a collaborative procurement strategy for the substructure and superstructure construction (1.25)
• Determine optimum module quantity for economical production (1.26)
• Conduct module transportation planning (1.27)
• Plan appropriate site for logistics and module delivery (1.28)
• Plan for the crane(s) usage (1.29)

Figure 7.4: Best practices for the predesign stage of residential MiC projects

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Design Stage

• Allocate enough time to design team (2.1)


• Form an experienced design team (2.2)
• Use building information modelling (BIM) (2.3)
• Establish trust and confidence between the client, designer, contractor, and suppliers (2.4)
• Actively engage main contractor, fabricators, production engineers, suppliers, procurement specialist,
logistics company, crane specialist, and business partners (2.5)
• Early coordination among developer, architect, engineers, and MiC specialist (2.6)
• Develop a detailed engineering design specification and get the design right from the outset (2.7)
• Discuss all design options, aspects, decisions, and solutions with the client (2.8)
• Identify and manage design risks (2.9)
• Use high-quality design information (2.10)
• Reference the local building codes and specifications to develop the design (2.11)
• Develop building typology with adequate repetition (2.12)
• Minimize module design diversity to generate maximum repetition (2.13)
• Consider a repetitive design layout (2.14)
• Specify minimal external joints for better waterproofing (2.15)
• Design for manufacture, assembly, safety, and module integrity (2.16)
• Define an appropriate structural system (2.17)
• Provide adequate structural integrity and robustness in the modules for high-rise buildings (2.18)
• Considering lifting capacity and size of available tower crane (2.19)
• Carefully consider the size and weight of modules (2.20)
• Specify materials for module weight consideration (2.21)
• Specify proper module dimensions considering local transport restrictions and limitations (2.22)
• Identify and resolve dimensional variabilities in module design (2.23)
• Establish appropriate geometric configuration (2.24)
• Consider and incorporate allowable tolerance limit (2.25)
• Establish a robust structural core to cater for module installation (2.26)
• Reduce in-situ installation and module crossing (2.27)
• Early upfront coordination of design and MEP services in junction with structural components (2.28)
• Early upfront consideration of constraints for installation and maintenance (2.29)
• Early design completion and freezing at the appropriate time (2.30)
• Obtain building permit for the design (2.31)

Figure 7.5: Best practices for the design stage of residential MiC projects

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Production Stage

• Establish a competent inspection team to supervise factory works (3.1)


• Organize training for supervisory staff (3.2)
• Proceed with concurrent execution of onsite work packages (3.3)
• Setting up a temporary production plant or flying factory, where feasible (3.4)
• Engage a manufacturer or supplier with adequate workshop space, access, and safe working platform (3.5)
• Identify a suitable procurement strategy for construction materials supply (3.6)
• Establish an agreed module quality acceptance level between client and supplier (3.7)
• Review the production workflows (3.8)
• Review the working drawings and consider manufacturing tolerances (3.9)
• Verify and resolve dimensional and geometric variabilities in the module design (3.10)
• Ensure adequate strength and robustness of modules to resist transportation damages (3.11)
• Know the details of factory assembly lines and method (3.12)
• Allow adequate time for quality assurance and quality control of the modules (3.13)
• Develop prototype modules to test out the initial design (3.14)
• Conduct mock-ups, trial assembly of modules, and receive feedback from client and consultant (3.15)
• Protect structural steel from rusting and corrosion using hot dip galvanizing coating (3.16)
• Configure the manufacturing rate to match site assembly rate (3.17)
• Avoid unnecessary pile up of modules in factory (3.18)
• Avoid disruption in module production (3.19)
• Careful product handling (3.20)
• Inventory management and control (3.21)

Figure 7.6: Best practices for the production stage of residential MiC projects

Transportation – Storage Stage

• Develop and implement a realistic transportation, traffic, and logistics management plan (4.1)
• Identify and manage logistics risks (4.2)
• Establish strategies to handle cross-border custom and material delivery constraints (4.3)
• Consider the impact of narrower roads on module delivery schedule (4.4)
• Determine and use economic transport modes (4.5)
• Establish a detailed plan for module delivery and storage (4.6)
• Decide routing and ways to maintain module integrity (4.7)
• Arrange adequate space for temporary holding and storage (4.8)
• Establish automated vessel tracking system to obtain real-time location of the shipment (4.9)
• Use 3D scanning along delivery route for trial run to ascertain possible obstructions (4.10)
• Use just-in-time delivery arrangement to reduce site storage requirements (4.11)
• Delivery modules to suit manufacturing and installation (4.12)
• Develop buffer and hedging strategies against module manufacturing disruption (4.13)
• Inspect, package, label, and protect the modules during transport (4.14)
• Provide adequate storage space and accessible orientation (4.15)
• Manage and control inventory (4.16)

Figure 7.7: Best practices for the transportation – storage stage of residential MiC projects

309
Onsite Assembly Stage

• Form and train a competent onsite project management and supervision team (5.1)
• Use building information modelling and 3D site scanning for vehicle path analysis (5.2)
• Develop a comprehensive site safety management plan for workers, machinery, materials, method, and
environment (5.3)
• Use digital technologies such 3D scanning, BIM, and AR/VR for proactive site safety management (5.4)
• Develop safe working practices and ensure proper use of personal protective equipment (5.5)
• Engage an independent heavy lifting specialist contractor or installer with expertise in working with tight
tolerances (5.6)
• Establish a competent lifting team of lifting safety supervisor, banksman/signaller, riggers, crane
operators, and elevated working platform operator (5.7)
• Train the lifting team in high-precision installation, module alignment, tolerance management, and safe
lifting operations (5.8)
• Review site layout plan (5.9)
• Conduct a detailed swept path analysis for onsite module transport (5.10)
• Conduct planning for craning, lifting, and hoisting (5.11)
• Confirm manoeuvrability space on site (5.12)
• Consider site constraints such as narrow, single road access and site entrance (5.13)
• Determine suitable crane configuration, location, and position based on site constraints (5.14)
• Determine crane suitability for onsite space, module weight, and project height (5.15)
• Use appropriate cranes commensurate with the weight of the modules (5.16)
• Developed a precise engineering design for the lifting frame (5.17)
• Ensure clear communication between crane operator and banksman (5.18)
• Check the route for the lifting and unloading area (5.19)
• Develop traffic layout and mitigation measures for heavy vehicles (5.20)
• Site planning for module transport, storage, sequencing, and installation (5.21)
• Adhere to an accurate installation sequence plan (5.22)
• Develop streamlined work process flows (5.23)
• Adhere to the predefined alignments, interfaces, and tolerances (5.24)
• Provide adequate site accessibility and safe working platform for rigging and unrigging load (5.25)
• Inspect and verify modules prior to installation (5.26)
• Ensure that proper functioning of automatic safe load indicator (5.27)
• Ensure correct use of lifting gear and lifting point (5.28)
• Install the modules within statutorily allowable tolerances (5.29)
• Avoid disruption in module installation (5.30)
• Coordinate the supply chain of the project (5.31)
• Manage working relationships to minimize dysfunctional and disruptive stakeholder conflicts (5.32)
• Coordinate onsite and offsite work packages (5.33)
• Use of document management system (5.34)

Figure 7.8: Best practices for the onsite assembly stage of residential MiC projects

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Closure Stage

• Adequate provisioning for project closure (6.1)


• Use of a competent project manager (s) (6.2)
• Conduct water tightness, cable continuity, fire safety, and earthing megger tests (6.3)
• Obtain indoor air quality, completion, and occupation certificates (6.4)
• Arrange for the relevant stakeholders to inspect and accept the completed project (6.5)
• Develop project completion report (6.6)
• Transfer the deliverables (6.7)
• Settle all financial claims and transactions (6.8)
• Commission the project (6.9)
• Terminate the contract (6.10)

Figure 7.9: Best practices for the closure stage of residential MiC projects

The third component is the performance measurement system enabling project teams to evaluate

the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in residential building projects. Chapter 6 was

devoted to developing the performance measurement system for residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. Figure 7.10 presents the key performance indicators and metrics embodied in the

performance measurement system.

Overall, the best practice framework containing the three complementary components enables

project teams and construction organizations to align a proposed residential building project to the

MiC method, effectively implement the various stages of the project, and quantify the outcomes

and performance of the residential MiC project to facilitate experiential learning, benchmarking,

and continuous improvements. It is designed for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong but can

be adapted and modified for other project types involving adopting the MiC method in Hong Kong

and elsewhere.

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Selected Key Performance Indicators and Metrics in the Performance
Measurement System for residential building projects in Hong Kong

Schedule performance metrics Cost performance metrics


• Total construction time • Total cost of building works (HK$)
• Schedule performance index • Cost performance index
• Project delivery speed (sq.m/days) • Unit cost (HK$/sq.m)
• Schedule variance (certainty) • Cost variance (certainty)
• Project schedule factor index • Project schedule factor index
• Floor construction cycle (days) • Floor construction cycle (days)

Productivity performance metrics Quality performance metrics


• Labour productivity (sq.m/man-hr) • Project quality quotient
• Material productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Frequency of defect (No./sq.m)
• Machinery productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Cost of rework (HK$/sq.m)
• Multifactor productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Rework cost ratio

Safety performance metric Pollution metrics


• Accident rate • Water pollution (HK$/sq.m)
• Noise pollution (dB)
Local community impact metric • Air Pollution (Air Quality Indicator)
• Vehicle movement (No./sq.m)

Premanufactured value (PMV) Waste performance metrics


• Material-based PMV • Waste disposed (kg/sq.m)
• Cost-based PMV • Waste reused and recycled (kg/sq.m)

Resource consumption metrics Client and team satisfaction metrics


• Electricity consumption (HK$/sq.m) • Client satisfaction mean index
• Water consumption (HK$/sq.m) • Project team satisfaction mean index

Figure 7.10: Key performance indicators in the performance measurement system

7.4 Validation of the Best Practice Framework

Validation constitutes an integral process in the development of frameworks, models, and theories

(de Wielde, 2018). It empowers the developer to ascertain the credibility, acceptability, quality,

applicability, suitability, and relevance of the framework (Gilb, 2005). Osei-Kyei (2017) indicated

that validation provides a tool to measure the extent to which the developed framework captures

real-world requirements and provides the intended function. The three methods of validation

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include empirical validation, analytical validation, and comparative validation (de Wielde, 2018).

This study used an empirical approach to validate the best practice framework because it provides

opportunities to explore the external, construct, and content validities of the framework using

either case studies or expert opinion. The expert opinion was considered appropriate in this study

because validating each of the best practices in real-world projects could take a substantial period.

The empirical approach adopted in this study is consistent with method used to verify best practice

frameworks in previous studies (Cheung, 2009; Osei-Kyei, 2017).

Eight validation questions were developed to assess the external validity, internal validity,

construct validity, and content validity of the best practice framework. External validity measures

the generalizability and adaptability of the best practice framework to various MiC project types

in Hong Kong. Internal validity measures causality and establishes the degree to which the various

best practices can generate desired outcomes and cause success of residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. Osei-Kyei (2017) mentioned that internal validity assesses the extent to which the best

practice framework can be easily understood for practice. Construct validity assesses how well the

best practice framework aligns with real-world requirements of residential MiC projects. It

measures the comprehensiveness and appropriateness of the framework. Similarly, content validity

measures the extent to which the identified best practices fairly captures reality and can generate

desired outcomes in residential MiC projects, if well implemented.

7.4.1 Validation questionnaire design and expert survey

The study developed a questionnaire containing relevant questions to validate the best practice

framework. The questionnaire survey was conducted with experienced MiC practitioners and

subject matter experts in Hong Kong in October 2021. The questionnaire contained four sections.

Section 1 collected relevant background information of the experts. Section 2 provided the experts

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with a summary of the residential MiC project delivery process in Hong Kong. Section 3 presented

the best practice framework. Section 4 requested the experts to answer eight questions measuring

the external validity, internal validity, construct validity, and content validity of the best practice

framework. Drawing on Cheung (2009) and Osei-Kyei (2017), the experts were requested to assess

the extent to which the best practice framework met criteria embodied in the validation questions,

using a 5-point scale: 1(poor), 2(average), 3(good/satisfactory), 4(very good), and 5(excellent).

Five experienced and knowledgeable experts were recruited to participate in the validation survey.

Table 7.1 summarizes the relevant information of the experts.

Table 7.1: Background information of the validation expert panel


ID Expert 1 Expert 2 Expert 3 Expert 4 Expert 5
Position Technical Project Engineer Contractor Associate
Director Manager Professor
Institution Local Local Architectural Local Local
Construction Construction Services of Construction University
Company Company Department Company
Years of 20 years 8 years 15 years 16 years 7 years
construction
industry
experience in
Hong Kong
Years of MiC 6 years 4 years 3 years 4 years 3 years
experience in
Hong Kong

Table 7.1 shows that the expert panel had substantial years of construction industry experience in

Hong Kong and understood the local industry climate. They also had adequate years of MiC

experience in Hong Kong. Considering that the MiC method became officially promoted in 2017

and pilot projects commenced in 2018, the limited years of experience of the experts in the local

MiC adoption is justifiable. The experts also comprised four parties directly involved in the MiC

project implementation process and 1 academic with experience and knowledge of the MiC

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method in Hong Kong. Thus, the expert panel was diverse and experienced enough to validate the

best practice framework.

7.4.2 Validation results

The expert panel completed the questionnaire survey, and five valid responses were received for

each of the eight-validation question. Table 7.2 summarizes the outcome of the validation

questionnaire survey.

Table 7.2: Best practice framework validation results


# Validation question Expert 1 Expert 2 Expert 3 Expert 4 Expert 5 Mean
1 Are the selected factors 4 5 4 5 3 4.20
determining the suitability of the
MiC method in residential
buildings in Hong Kong
adequate?
2 Are the selected best practices 5 5 3 4 4 4.20
for residential MiC projects in
Hong Kong reasonable?
3 Is the best practice framework 3 5 5 5 4 4.40
easily understandable for use in
practice?
4 Are the best practices in each 4 4 4 5 4 4.20
stage appropriate?
5 Is the best practice framework 5 5 5 4 4 4.60
comprehensive?
6 Can practitioners implement 5 5 3 5 5 4.60
residential MiC projects
successfully if the best practices
are carefully followed?
7 Are the key performance 4 5 5 3 3 4.00
indicators and metrics adequate
to measure the outcomes of
residential MiC projects in Hong
Kong?
8 Overall suitability of the best 5 5 4 4 5 4.60
practice framework for
implementing residential MiC
projects in Hong Kong

The validation results (Table 7.2) show that the expert panel generally considered the best practice

framework as very good across all eight validation questions. The mean scores of the validation

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criteria ranged from 4.0 to 4.60 on a 5-point rating scale, indicating the experts approved the

various validity aspects of the best practice framework.

The external validity of the best practice framework was assessed using questions 1, 2, 7, and 8

(Table 7.2). Question 1 obtained a mean score of 4.20 (very good), indicating that the 21 factors

and conditions included in the intelligent suitability decision support system are adequate to

ascertain the suitability of the MiC method for building and construction projects in Hong Kong.

Question 2 obtained a mean score of 4.20 (very good), signifying that the established best practices

are reasonable for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Question 7 obtained a

mean score of 4.00(very good), demonstrating that the key performance indicators and metrics in

the performance measurement system are adequate to quantify the outcomes, efficiency, and

effectiveness of the MiC method in residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Question 8 obtained

a mean score of 4.60 (excellent), indicating that the overall suitability of the best practice

framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong is excellent.

Internal validity of the best practice framework was assessed using Question 3. Question 3

obtained a mean index of 4.40 (very good), signifying that the best practice framework can be

easily understood and applied in real-world residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The construct validity of the best practice framework was measured using Questions 4 and 5.

Question 4 obtained a mean score of 4.20(very good) and Question 5 obtained a mean index of

4.60 (excellent). The outcomes indicate that the appropriateness of the best practices in each stage

is very good, and the comprehensiveness of the best practice framework is excellent.

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The content validity of the best practice framework was assessed using Question 6. Question 6

obtained a mean score of 4.60(excellent), indicating that there is an excellent chance to achieve

success in residential MiC projects in Hong Kong if the best practices are carefully followed.

Overall, Table 7.2 indicates that the best practice framework is considered valid across the eight

validation criteria. Thus, the best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong was validated as reliable, comprehensive, adaptable, applicable, appropriate, and

suitable. It would be interesting to implement the framework in real-world residential MiC projects

in Hong Kong to further test the validation outcome. The Hong Kong Construction Industry

Council, Development Bureau, and Building Department are instrumental institutions that can

facilitate the adoption and application of the framework in Hong Kong. It would be appropriate to

arrange workshops and seminars to introduce the best practice framework and receive wider

feedback to develop a comprehensive practice note or guide for adopting the framework in future

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The best practice framework constitutes the first attempt

to integrate and standardize the managerial and technical know-how for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. Its significance in the MiC adoption in Hong Kong cannot be over-

emphasized.

7.5 Discussions and Implications

According to the World Health Organization (2017), robust and highly effective best practices

have sound theoretical positions, methodological rigor, tied to the extant literature, generate

desired outcomes consistently, and have social validity (i.e., validation by appropriate consumers

or implementers of the best practices). As demonstrated throughout the thesis, this study satisfied

all these conditions and employed a well-established protocol for developing best practices (World

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Health Organization, 2017). Thus, the study outcomes have practical significance for adoption of

the MiC method in residential building projects.

First, various stakeholders in Hong Kong have participated in several modular building projects

and acquired practical knowledge and rich experiences. A useful direction is to maximize the

impact of the acquired knowledge, including project delivery research and experiential knowledge,

through effective knowledge-sharing and application. Project participants are expected to benefit

tremendously from exchanging experiences and hard-won solutions with one another. However,

one of the significant barriers to knowledge-sharing and reapplication of experience in

construction projects is the limited culture of information and knowledge documentation and

sharing. Although relevant knowledge may exist in people’s minds, it cannot always be tapped, or

it may exist in formats that limit people’s ability to know about it or find it. This underscores the

needs for MiC project participants, business partners, researchers, and community of practice to

be able find, use, and share knowledge on experiences of what works, and lessons learned.

Second, best practices are exemplary MiC project implementation practices that have achieved

results, and which need to be scaled up to benefit more people. The expansion and

institutionalization of successfully tested practices requires strategic planning. There are several

innovative and constructive processes that MiC organization and project participants in the

construction industry have used to improve project outcomes. Compiling and disseminating

knowledge of such actions and processes widely may prevent the repetition of mistakes and loss

of valuable resources, including time and money. Thus, the main rationale for documenting and

sharing “best practices” is to enable persons and organizations working on MiC projects to avoid

reinventing the wheel; to improve performance and avoid the mistakes of others.

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Third, documenting and sharing best practices affords the opportunity to acquire knowledge on

lessons learned, how to improve and adapt strategies and activities through feedback, reflection,

and analysis, and implement large-scale, sustained, and more effective strategies.

7.6 Summary of the Chapter

This chapter developed and validated a best practice framework of for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. The validated framework has three novel components: a decision

support system, best practices, and a performance measurement system. The decision support

system enables project teams to assess the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with a

residential building project in Hong Kong. The best practices constitute specific processes or

delivery strategies that through practical experience and research, have proven reliable in

generating desired outcomes in implementing residential MiC projects. The performance

measurement system enables project teams to quantify the outcomes of a residential MiC project

and to also evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in residential building

projects. The chapter provides the first integrated best practice framework for implementing

residential MiC projects. It has developed standardized practices and systematic guidelines for

implementing residential MiC projects effectively and successfully in Hong Kong and elsewhere.

The next chapter draws relevant conclusions, contributions, and limitations of the study.

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CHAPTER 8 – CONCLUSIONS, CONTRIBUTIONS, AND FUTURE
RESEARCH DIRECTIONS

8.1 Introduction

This chapter establishes relevant conclusions based on the objectives of the study. It begins with a

review of the objectives and the associated findings from the research study. Then, the chapter

outlines the novelty and contributions of the study to theory, practice, policy, and academia.

Subsequently, it declares some limitations and recommends area for future research. The chapter

concludes with a summary of the thesis.

8.2 Review of Research Objectives and Conclusions

This research aimed to develop a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong. The best practice framework should enable project teams and construction

organizations to align a proposed residential building project with the requirements of the MiC

method, guide the effective implementation of the various stages, and measure the outcomes of

the residential MiC project to facilitate experiential learning, futureproofing, benchmarking, and

continuous improvement. Thus, the aim was decomposed into six specific objectives:

1. To develop a decision support system that enables project teams to assess the suitability of the

MiC method for a residential building project.

2. To assess, simulate and model the critical risk factors for residential MiC projects.

3. To assess and model the critical success factors for residential MiC projects.

4. To critically examine representative local and international residential MiC cases to identify

challenges encountered and lessons learned.

5. To develop a performance measurement system that enables project teams to assess the

outcomes of residential MiC projects.

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6. To consolidate the findings to develop a best practice framework for implementing residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong.

The study achieved the six objectives using mixed methods, including extensive systematic

literature reviews, in-depth case studies, structured questionnaire surveys, and semi-structured

interviews. The research data were analysed using thematic content analysis, mean score ranking,

risk significance index, factor analysis, Monte Carlo simulation, fuzzy synthetic evaluation, and

structural equation modelling. The major findings and conclusions of each objective are presented

as follows.

Objective 1 – To develop a decision support system that enables project teams to assess the

suitability of the MiC method for a residential project

• A systematic literature review revealed thirty-five (35) potential factors and conditions that

determines the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects. The

technology-organization-environment theoretical lens revealed four components of the

potential suitability decision making factors: (i) project characteristics and requirements, (ii)

location and site attributes, (iii) labour consideration, and (iv) industry readiness.

• Analysis of one-hundred and seventeen (117) responses from experienced construction

industry practitioners and subject matter experts in Hong Kong revealed 21 significant factors

determining the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects. The top five

significant decision-making factors include: (i) presence of repetitive layout in design, (ii)

suitability of the design for MiC, (iii) accessibility and availability of temporary storage areas

at site location, (iv) structural integrity of modules, and (v) width of transport network to site

and traffic conditions in the vicinity.

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• Exploratory factor analysis derived four principal components of the significant factors and

conditions determining the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects: (i)

project characteristics, (ii) project objectives and requirements, (iii) organizational and

industry readiness, and (iv) location and site attributes.

• Fuzzy synthetic evaluation analysis revealed that the twenty-five decision-making factors

collectively generate a significant influence on the suitability of the MiC method for

residential building projects in Hong Kong, with an overall impact index of 3.781 on 5-point

rating scale. The fuzzy model further revealed that each of four principal components

significantly influence the suitability of the MiC method for residential building projects.

Location and site attributes (3.993) has the most significant influence on the suitability of the

MiC method for residential building projects in Hong Kong, followed by project

characteristics (3.947), organizational and industry readiness (3.686), and project objectives

and requirements(3.570).

• The study developed a knowledge-based decision support system (known as Intelligent-MiC)

based on the significant factors determining suitability of the MiC method for residential

building projects. The Intelligent-MiC tool has a knowledge base, a decision support system

(DSS), and a user interface. The knowledge base comprises IF-THEN production rules to

compute the MiC suitability score with the efficient use of the powerful reasoning and

explanation capabilities of DSS. The tool receives the inputs of a decision-maker, computes

the MiC suitability score for a given project, and generates recommendations based on the

score. Thus, the study developed a decision support system that enables project teams to assess

the suitability of the MiC method for a residential project.

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Objective 2 – To assess, simulate and model the critical risk factors for residential MiC projects

• A systematic literature review and the theory of construction project risks revealed thirty-five

potential critical risk factors for residential MiC projects. A thematic content analysis derived

six components of the potential critical risks factors for residential MiC projects: (i) predesign

risks, (ii) design risks, (iii) production risks, (iv) supply chain risks, (v) transportation and

storage risks, and (vi) onsite assembly risks.

• Analysis of one-hundred and seventeen (117) valid survey responses from experienced

practitioners and subject matter experts revealed ten significant critical risk factors for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The top five significant critical risk factors include:

(i) late design completion and freezing, (ii) unsuitable site with restrictive space constraints,

(iii) inadequate planning and scheduling, (iv) heavy reliance on overseas factories, and (v)

inaccurate MiC design information.

• A Monte Carlo simulation revealed twenty-six significant critical risk factors for residential

MiC projects in Hong Kong. At 95% and 97.5% risk tolerance levels within the high-risk

exposure zone of the risk matrix, the simulation revealed nine significant critical risk factors

for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong: (i) late design freeze and completion, (ii) heavy

reliance on overseas factories, (iii) defective design and change order, (iv) unsuitability of the

design for MiC, (v) inadequate planning and scheduling, (vi) poor communication,

collaboration, and information sharing between project parties, (vii) unsuitable site with

restrictive space constraints, (viii) inaccurate MiC design information, and (ix) modular

production errors. At 82.5% and 85% risk tolerance levels within the medium-risk exposure

zones of the risk matrix, the simulation revealed three significant critical risk factors for

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong: (i) heavy reliance on overseas factories, (ii) late design

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freeze and completion, (ii) inadequate planning and scheduling, and (iii) unsuitable site with

restrictive space constraints. Based on the critical indices, normalized criticality indices, and

risk signatures, the study developed proportional risk management resource allocation scheme

for mitigating and controlling the significant critical risk factors for residential MiC projects

at the defined risk tolerance levels across the medium-risk and high-risk exposure zones of

the risk matrix.

• Exploratory factor analysis generated five principal components of significant critical risk

factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong: (i) design risks, (ii) factory production

risks, (iii) transportation and storage risks, (iv) supply chain risks, and (v) onsite assembly

risks.

• Fuzzy synthetic evaluation analysis showed that the twenty-six significant critical risk factors

risk factors collectively generate a significant moderate impact (3.48) on the performance of

residential MiC projects. The analysis of the components revealed that “design risks”

generates the highest adverse impact on the performance of residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong, followed by “transportation and storage risks (3.50),” “supply chain risks (3.45),”

“factory production risks (3.45),” and “onsite assembly risks (3.38).” Hence, the design stage

can significantly influence the performance of residential MiC projects.

• A partial least squares structural equation model of the principal components revealed chain

reactions and push effects among of the critical risk factors across the various stages of

residential MiC projects. Thus, the study established that there are interdependencies among

the critical risk factors at the various stages of a residential MiC project delivery chain, such

that risks at the previous stages (if not mitigated and controlled) propagate throughout the

delivery chain to reinforce the impact of onsite assembly risks on the performance of

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residential MiC projects. The risk-path model showed that design risks, supply chain risks,

factor production risks, and transportation – storage risks collectively account for 79.8% of

the impact of onsite assembly risks on the performance of residential MiC projects in Hong

Kong. The model further revealed that the supply chain risk construct, containing nine

significantly loaded indicators constitutes the most significant symbiotic and dynamic risk

construct with the second least performance score (59.74%) and highest total effect (0.80)

among the five risk constructs.

Objective 3 – To assess and model the critical success factors for residential MiC projects.

• A systematic literature review and theory of critical success factors revealed twenty-seven

potential success ingredients for residential MiC projects. A thematic content analysis

revealed five principal components of the potential critical success factors: (i) competency,

(ii) suitable project characteristics, (iii) early commitment, (iv) enabling environment, and (v)

supply chain management.

• Analysis of one-hundred and seventeen (117) valid survey responses from experienced

construction industry practitioners and subject matter experts revealed twenty-one (21)

significant critical success factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The top five

significant critical success factors include: (i) early design completion and freezing, (ii) early

understanding and commitment of the client, (iii) effective leadership and support of specialist

contractors, (iv) adequate knowledge and experience of the project team, and (v) collaborative

working and information sharing among project teams.

• Exploratory factor analysis generated five principal components of the significant critical

success factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong: (i) supply chain management, (ii)

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early commitment, (iii) enabling environment, (iv) suitable project characteristics, and (v)

competency.

• Fuzzy synthetic evaluation analysis revealed that the twenty-one (21) significant critical

success factors collectively generate a significant influence on the success of residential MiC

projects in Hong Kong, with an overall significance index of 3.896 on a 5-point rating scale.

The analysis also revealed that each of the five principal success factors have a significant

influence on the success of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Competency obtained the

highest significant index of 4.104, followed by early commitment (4.053), suitable project

characteristics (3.920), enabling environment (3.848) and supply chain management (3.687).

Consequently, it is imperative for project teams to review and update their competencies,

design the project for manufacture and assembly, commit to the MiC method at the outset,

cultivate an enabling environment, and implement effective supply chain management to

achieve desired outcomes in residential MiC projects.

Objective 4 – To critically examine representative local and international residential MiC cases

to identify challenges encountered and lessons learned.

• The study conducted case studies of six signature residential MiC projects implemented in

Hong Kong (2 cases), Australia (1 case), Singapore (2 cases), and the UK (1 case) to identify

the practical challenges and lessons learned at the various stages of the delivery chain. The

analysis revealed eighty-five (85) practical challenges encountered and fifty-five (55) lessons

learned from the six case studies. The wicked challenges were associated with the design and

logistics. The analysis further revealed persistent challenges and constraints at the various

stages across the six cases.

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• The five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the predesign (inception and

planning) stage include: (i) limited local MiC standards at the time of construction, (ii)

inadequate familiarity of the project teams with the MiC method, (iii) complex statutory

requirements, (iv) poor communication between project parties, and (v) ineffective offsite

logistics planning and scheduling.

• The five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the design stage include: (i) late

design changes, (ii) complicated design requirements, (iii) conversion of site-built design to

MiC design, (iv) highly diversified design layout limiting module standardization, and (v)

poor information sharing and synchronization.

• The five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the factory production stage

include: (i) inadequate local manufacturing technology imposing reliance on overseas

factories, (ii) inadequate skills and experience of factory workers in module production, (iii)

lack of a well-established supervision frameworks and competent inspectors for factory

works, (iv) varied levels of finished modules quality acceptance between client and suppliers,

and (v) poorly designed production workflows.

• The five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the transportation and storage

stages include: (i) local transport restrictions and constraints, (ii) additional escort

arrangement for large-size modules, (iii) unpredictable duration of customs inspection

required in cross-border transportation, (iv) narrow local transport network and site traffic

congestion, and (v) limited storage capacity of the local temporary holding yards.

• The five persistent challenges and constraints encountered at the onsite assembly stage

include: (i) restrictive site layout due to limited site space and difficult terrain, (ii) limited site

storage capacity, (iii) inadequate lifting capacity of local tower cranes for hoisting and lifting

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heavy modules, (iv) integrating the MiC modules into an existing site-built structure, and (v)

significant variability between factory production rate and onsite module installation rate.

• The findings from the cases studies complemented the outcomes of the questionnaire surveys

and provided deeper understanding of the challenges, constraints, critical risk factors, critical

success factors, and best practices for implementing the various stages of residential MiC

projects.

Objective 5 – To develop a performance measurement system that enables project teams to assess

the outcomes of residential MiC projects.

• A systematic literature review revealed fourteen key performance indicators for residential

MiC projects: (i) cost, (ii) time, (iii) premanufactured value, (iv) quality, (v) productivity, (vi)

health and safety, (vii) predictability, (viii) flexibility, (ix) material waste, (x) resource

consumption, (xi) environmental footprint, (xii) local disruption, (xiii) community impact, and

(xiv) industry impact. These KPIs along with detailed metrics were selected in consultation

with experienced industry practitioners, stakeholders, and policymakers in Hong Kong to

facilitate futureproofing, experiential learning, benchmarking, and continuous improvements

in residential MiC projects.

• A computerized performance measurement system (known as MiC – PMS), incorporating

both qualitative and quantitative KPIs is designed and programmed for measuring the

performance of residential MiC projects. It has a user interface, a database, and performance

measurement algorithm. It enables project teams to systematically measure the outcomes of

various residential MiC projects. It also enables project teams to compare performance of

residential MiC projects with a comparable site-built residential project to measure the relative

benefits or performance improvements attributable to the MiC method in a project. By

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incorporating key project descriptors into the MiC – PMS, the system enables project teams

to account for external factors and conditions which could pollute the accurate quantification

of the relative benefits of the MiC method in residential building projects in Hong Kong.

Objective 6 – To consolidate the findings to develop a best practice framework for implementing

residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

• The findings of objectives 1 – 5 were consolidated to develop a best practice framework for

implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The best practice framework comprises

three complementary components: a decision support system, best practices, and a

performance measurement system.

• The decision support system (component 1) enables construction organizations and project

teams to assess the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method for a residential building

project in Hong Kong. It enables project teams to identify and address deficient aspects of a

proposed project at the outset, align the proposed project to the requirements of the MiC

method, and improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in the residential

building project.

• The best practices (component 2) constitute specific standardized processes and technical

guidelines for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects to achieve desired

outcomes. It defines the technical competences, strategies, and know-how to successfully

implement each stage of the residential MiC project delivery chain.

• The performance measurement system (component 3) enables project teams to quantify the

outcomes of a residential MiC project and evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC

method in residential building projects. It incorporates and filters the effects of relevant key

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project descriptors, enabling the project team to quantify the benefits and performance

improvements attributable to the MiC method in the residential building project.

• The framework was validated using the opinions of five experienced practitioners and subject

matter experts in Hong Kong. The validation results indicated that the developed best practice

framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong is reliable,

comprehensive, adaptable, applicable, appropriate, and suitable.

8.3 Novelty and Contributions of the Study

8.3.1 Originality of the study

• The study developed and unified the complementary functions of a decision support system,

best practices, and a performance measurement system for implementing residential MiC

projects. These three components enables project teams and construction organizations to align

a proposed project to the requirements of the MiC method at the outset, effectively implement

the various stages, and measure the performance of residential MiC projects to facilitate

futureproofing, experiential learning, benchmarking, and continuous improvements.

• It established a comprehensive set of standardized practices, specific processes, delivery

strategies, and technical guidelines for successfully implementing the various stages of

residential MiC projects. These best practices facilitate knowledge transfer and management to

improve the success of residential MiC projects.

• It established and codified the set of changes in the workforce, processes, competencies,

technologies, and technical know-how required to enable project teams and construction

organizations to achieve the full benefits of the MiC method in residential building projects.

Thus, the study generated a robust framework that can enable construction organizations and

project teams to develop strategies to better leverage working offsite in residential MiC projects.

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8.3.2 Theoretical contributions

• The study established the fundamental hypothesis of a technology suitability theory for

construction projects. It demonstrated that the MiC method is not always physically supported,

economically viable, technically feasible, and geospatially appropriate for residential building

projects in any given context. It developed a theoretical checklist of the factors determining the

suitability of the MiC method for residential projects and established a set of specific project

characteristics, project objectives and requirements, location and site attributes, and

organizational and industry readiness factors that must converge to render the MiC method

suitable for residential projects in specific contexts.

• The study makes a significant theoretical contribution to risk management in MiC projects. It

developed a theoretical checklist of the critical risk factors associated with the MiC method in

residential building projects. It further established the causal relationships, chain reactions, and

push effects of specific risks along the delivery chain segments of residential MiC projects.

• It contributes and advances the theory of critical success factors for construction projects. It

established a theoretical checklist of critical success ingredients for residential MiC projects.

The study further revealed that suitable project characteristics, bespoke competencies, early

commitment, enabling environment, and supply chain management constitute the principal

ingredients in the recipe for success in residential MiC projects.

• The study advances the theory of performance measurement in construction projects. It

established an extended theoretical checklist of key performance indicators along with detailed

metrics for measuring the performance of residential MiC projects. The study exposed and

discussed key project descriptors, which can influence the outcomes of residential building

projects irrespective of the construction method used. Thus, it established a theoretical

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foundation to improve accurate and reliable estimation of the impact of construction methods

on project performance and outcomes.

• It reconsidered and advanced the theory of construction project management. It reinforced the

theoretical position that effective project management is governed by the competing but

complementary theories of project, planning, execution, controlling, and management. Thus,

the study offers a fresh theoretical insight into the role of theory in construction project

management.

8.3.3 Managerial implications

• The decision support system enables project teams to ascertain the suitability, compatibility,

and viability of the MiC method for a proposed project at the outset to identify and address

deficient areas to improve project outcomes. Thus, it can help MiC practitioners avoid

implementing residential projects inconsistent with the MiC business model and save

significant resources.

• The study provides construction organizations and project teams with tools and guidelines to

prepare their workforce for the MiC method, more accurately identify shortcomings in their

proposed MiC projects, and identify which capabilities and technologies can be leveraged to

improve the successful delivery of MiC projects.

• The probabilistic risk assessment scheme provides project teams with a reliable and accurate

tool to capture distributions and profiles of various risks to identify, prioritize, and allocate

resources proportionally to manage the most significant risks.

• The structural risk-path model for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong provides project

teams with better insights into the chain reactions and dynamic causal relationships between

risks in the various stages of residential MiC projects. The outcomes provide a sound basis for

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developing strategies to break the chain reactions and push effects to minimize the

complementary impacts of risks on the performance of residential MiC projects.

• The prioritized critical success ingredients can inform optimal resource allocation to ensure

the success of residential MiC projects. Thus, it provides project teams and construction

organizations with knowledge of the key areas where satisfactory results would improve the

success of residential MiC projects.

• The performance measurement system enables project teams to quantify the outcomes of a

residential MiC project and evaluate the efficiency and effectiveness of the MiC method in

residential building projects. It provides practitioners with a robust tool for detecting

problematic areas for continuous improvement in MiC projects in Hong Kong.

• The best practice framework offers construction organizations and project teams the much-

needed technical know-how and guidelines to successfully implement residential MiC

projects. The framework offers explicit instruction and guidance on how practitioners and

project teams should implement residential MiC projects to achieve desired outcomes and

facilitate continuous improvements.

8.3.4 Pedagogical implications

• The best practice framework comprising the three components calls for pedagogical reforms

in how modern methods of construction projects should be implemented. Thus, the study

provides construction management and engineering students and teachers with a new

perspective of how to effectively implement modern methods of construction projects.

• The best practices further provides the changes in construction engineering and management

curricula required to equip the next generation of industry practitioners, consultants, thought

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leaders, and policy with the competencies and technical know-how to implement modern

methods of construction.

8.3.5 Policy implications

• The study established the changes in competencies, skillsets, and construction processes

required to implement residential MiC projects. Thus, it provides a sound basis and evidence

to inform policy reforms in developing strategies and courses to upskill and prepare the

construction industry practitioners for the transition towards the MiC integration in

construction projects.

• The best practices contain technical guidelines and critical success processes, which can be

incorporated into MiC policy guidelines and standards to inform and regulate the MiC

community of practice.

8.4 Limitations of the Study

Though the aim and objectives of the study were achieved, there are some limitations worth noting.

• The study developed a best practice framework for residential building projects in Hong Kong.

Although best practices are adaptable and flexible, the findings may not apply to other MiC

project types and contexts.

• The intelligent decision support system was developed using Microsoft Excel and Visual

Basic for Applications. Thus, it limited the use of more intelligent multicriteria decision

method such as fuzzy set theory, analytic hierarchy process, and adaptive fuzzy neural

network.

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• The study only examined six residential MiC projects to complement and reinforce the

findings of the survey. Though adequate, the inclusion of more case studies could have

enriched the findings.

• The study could not validate the best practice framework in real-world residential MiC

projects.

8.5 Future Research Opportunities

Based on the limitations of the study, there are some opportunities for further research.

• Developing a more intelligent decision support system using advanced multicriteria decision

aid methods such as fuzzy logic, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, and adaptive neuro-fuzzy

inference system in powerful programming languages such as Python and MATLAB would

be interesting.

• It would be interesting to develop, test, and validate the model for predicting the success of

residential MiC projects

• The literature can also benefit from developing and validating a dynamic model for forecasting

the performance of residential MiC projects using real-world data.

• The developed best practice framework should be tested and further validated using real-world

residential MiC projects. Researchers can also investigate the adaptability of the framework

to other countries and project types.

8.6 Summary of the Thesis

This thesis developed a best practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects in

Hong Kong. It is organized into eight chapters. Chapters 1, 2, and 3 presented the thesis's general

introduction, literature reviews, and research methodology, respectively. Chapter 4 presented a

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suitability decision support system for residential MiC projects. Chapters 5 focused on developing

best practices for implementing the various stages of residential MiC projects. Chapter 6 presented

a performance measurement system for residential MiC projects. Chapter 7 presented the best

practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong, comprising three

complementary components: a decision support system (Chapter 4), best practices (Chapter 5),

and a performance measurement system (Chapter 6). Chapter 8 presented the conclusions,

contributions, and limitations of the thesis.

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APPENDICES
APPENDIX A: PILOT QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY TEMPLATE

Dear Sir/Madam

Invitation to Contribute to a Ph.D. Research Project

We write to invite you to participate and contribute to an on-going Ph.D. research project entitled
“A Best Practice Framework for Implementing Residential Modular Integrated
Construction (MiC) Projects in Hong Kong.” The project is undertaken at the Hong Kong
Polytechnic University and fully funded under the Hong Kong Ph.D. Fellowship Scheme
(HKPFS). The research seeks to draw on international best practices to facilitate the successful
implementation of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. This survey is part of the objective of
the research project.

The survey comprises 8 questions: 5 for background information and 3 for actual data
collection. The questionnaire survey form is attached to this letter and takes between 10 to 15
minutes to complete. All responses to the survey will be treated in strict confidence and used solely
for academic purposes. We are willing and able to share the summary of the research findings
upon request.

We would greatly appreciate if you could also suggest any other MiC expert or practitioners to us
who will be willing to contribute to this research project.

Thank you very much for your valuable time and please feel free to contact either Ibrahim
Yahaya Wuni (Email: ibrahim.wuni(at)_____________) for enquiries

Yours Sincerely
Mr. Ibrahim Yahaya Wuni (Ph.D. Student)
Cc: Professor Geoffrey Qiping Shen (Supervisor)

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Important Instructions
1. Please complete the questionnaire and save as “Word Document or PDF Document” on
your PC, USB drive etc.
2. Return the completed questionnaire within FOUR WEEKS and email it to:
ibrahim.wuni(at)_______________
Outline of Questionnaire

Part One: Solicits your background information. Part Two: Requests you to rate the importance
level of critical success factors for MiC projects in your context. Part three: Request you to
evaluate the critical risks factors in MiC projects in your context. Part four: Request you to rate
the primary decision-making factors in deciding to implement MiC in a Project

Part One: Background Information of Expert


1. Which category do you belong?
Academia Industry
2. How many years of experience do you have in MiC practice or/and conducted MiC research?
Below 5 yrs 6 – 10 yrs 11 – 15 yrs 16 – 20 yrs 21yrs and above
3. Please indicate your position in your organization/ institution.

4. Please indicate the country you work in.

5. Which type of MiC project(s) have you been engaged or/and conducted research on? (more
than one can be selected)
Health/hospital projects Prisons/ defence
Schools/education Water treatment plant/ Sewage projects
Housing/ real estate Industrial Projects
Energy/ Power projects Commercial/Office projects (banks, hotels, headquarters)

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Part Two: Critical Success Factors for Residential MiC Projects
Please rate the following factors contributing to the success of residential MiC projects in your
country on a Likert scale from 1-5: 1 – Least important, 2 –Fairly important, 3- Important, 4-
Very important, 5- Extremely important

No. Critical success factors Rating


1 Good working collaboration, communication and information sharing 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
among project participants
2 Effective supply chain coordination and management 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Robust drawing specifications and early design freeze 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Availability and active involvement of key project team members from the 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
earliest stages of the project
5 Design-build procurement and integrated project delivery 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Standardization and mass customization 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Extensive project planning, scheduling and control 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Effective coordination and management of stakeholders 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Effective supply chain and execution risk management 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Adequate experience and knowledge of key players 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Realistic economic analysis, early decision and definition of MiC project 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
scope
12 Fabricator experience and capabilities in modules design and production 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Availability of sound local transport infrastructure and site equipment 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
capabilities
14 Early advice and consideration from MiC design experts and professionals 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
15 Alignment on MiC project drivers and modules architecture 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
16 Support and early involvement of top management in supply chain 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
decision making
17 Early involvement of modules suppliers and fabricators 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Module envelope limitations 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
19 Early completion and cost savings recognition 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Knowledge and effective contractor leadership 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
21 Owner delay avoidance and adequate resources for continuity through 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
project phases
22 Hedging strategies and transport delay avoidance 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Design robustness, flexibility and system integration 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Continuous improvement 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
25 Availability of skilled workforce, management and supervising team 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
26 Appreciation of key early decisions and their implication between all 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
parties involved
27 Reasonable lead time to allow for factory trials 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
28 Effective coordination of on-site and off-site trades 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
29 Experienced workforce and technical capability 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
30 Supportive building codes and design specifications 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Success factors for MiC projects (if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

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Part Three: Critical Risk Factors for Residential MiC Projects
Please rate the severity of the identified risk factors for residential MiC projects in your country
on a Likert scale from 1-5: 1 – Low critical, 2 –Fairly critical, 3- Critical, 4-Very critical, 5-
Most critical

No. Critical risk factors Severity of risk


1 Stakeholder fragmentation and management complexity 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
2 Higher initial capital cost 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Poor supply chain integration and disturbances 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Delays in delivery of modules to site 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Poor government support and regulations 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Lack of MiC design codes and standards 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Defective design and change order 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Supply chain information gap and inconsistency 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Inefficient scheduling 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Limited MiC expertise and experience 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Shortage of modular components 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
12 Complex interfacing between systems 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Weather disruptions and force majeure 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
14 Transportation restrictions 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
15 Inexperience of contractors in MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
16 Specialist skilled labour requirement 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
17 Modular installation errors, complex rectifications, and reworks 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Poor cooperation and communication among project 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
participants
19 Modular design complexity 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Unsupportive planning and building regulations 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
21 Limited capacity of modular manufacturers/suppliers 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
22 Manual handling of heavy modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Absence of standardized modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Unable to freeze design early 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
25 Higher prices of modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
26 Diseconomies of scale and longer break-even period 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
27 Modular production system failure 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
28 Lack of best management practices 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
29 Inaccurate cost estimation 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
30 Geometric and dimensional intolerances 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Risk factors in MiC projects (if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

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Part Four: Decision-making Factors for MiC Adoption in a Project
Please rate the following factors influencing the decision to implement MiC in a residential project
in your country on a Likert scale from 1-5: 1 – Least important, 2 –Fairly important, 3-
Important, 4-Very important, 5- Extremely important
No. Suitability decision-making factors Rating
1 Accessibility of skilled and experienced labour force 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
2 Availability of skilled management and supervising team 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Demanding and tight project schedules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Transport infrastructure, size restrictions and equipment accessibility 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Strict requirement for improved construction safety 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Requirement for project quality control 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Stringent project cost and budget constraints 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Requirement for improved environmental performance 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Overall project cost control requirement 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Certainty of project completion date 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Cost of labour at site location 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
12 Remote and difficult site location 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Availability of key MiC project players in the earliest stages of the project 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
14 Reduced business disruption and neighbourhood noise 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
15 Project and contract types 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
16 Site accessibility 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
17 Owner’s understanding, receptivity and acceptance of MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Site conditions, constraints and attributes 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
19 Organizational readiness and familiarity with MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Need to minimize field construction cost 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
21 Presence of repetitive design layout and construction 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
22 Availability of fabrication facility within economical transport distance 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Early upfront support and involvement of top management 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Severe local area condition, harsh weather and climate 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
25 Suitability of design for MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
26 Construction equipment availability and accessibility 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
27 Availability of competent fabricators and suppliers 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
28 Need to minimize field construction time 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
29 Need for inspection and supervision of modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
30 Structural stability of individual and assembled modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
31 Availability and use of information technology 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
32 Supportive building codes and modules design standards 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
33 Size and type of project 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
34 Business needs, owner requirement, and regulatory demand 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
35 Site layout (e.g., availability of space to unload and store modules) 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Decision-Making Factors for MiC Implementation (if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

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APPENDIX B: HONG KONG QUESTIONNAIRE SURVEY TEMPLATE

Dear Sir/Madam,

Invitation to Contribute to a Ph.D. Research Project on Residential MiC in Hong Kong

We humbly write to invite you to participate and contribute to an on-going Ph.D. research project
entitled “A Best Practice Framework for implementing Residential Modular Integrated
Construction Projects in Hong Kong”. The project is undertaken at the Hong Kong Polytechnic
University and fully funded under the Hong Kong Ph.D. Fellowship Scheme (HKPFS). The
research seeks to draw on international best practices and your knowledgebase to facilitate the
successful implementation of residential MiC in Hong Kong. This survey is part of the objective
of the research project.

The survey comprises four parts: part one requests your background information and
remaining parts request you to evaluate the suitability decision making factors, critical risk
factors, and critical success factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. The
questionnaire survey form is attached to this letter and takes between 15 to 20 minutes to complete.
All responses to the survey will be treated in strict confidence and used solely for academic
purposes. We are willing and able to share the summary of the research findings upon request.

We would greatly appreciate if you could also suggest any other MiC expert or practitioner to us
who will be willing to contribute to this research project.

Thank you very much for your valuable time and please feel free to contact either Ibrahim
Yahaya Wuni (Email: ibrahim.wuni(at)______________) for enquiries

Yours Sincerely,

Mr. Ibrahim Yahaya Wuni (Ph.D. Candidate)

Cc: Professor Geoffrey Qiping Shen (Supervisor)

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Important Instructions
1. Please complete the questionnaire and save as “Word Document or PDF Document” on
your PC, USB drive etc.
2. Return the completed questionnaire within FOUR WEEKS and email it to:
ibrahim.wun(at)_________________
Outline of Questionnaire
Part One solicits your background information. Part Two request you to assess the significance
of the decision-making factors that are used to evaluate the compatibility and feasibility of MiC
for residential projects in Hong Kong. Part Three requests you to evaluate (a) the probability
of occurrence and (b) the severity of risk factors for residential MiC projects in Hong Kong. Part
Four requests you to rate the level of importance of the critical success factors for residential MiC
projects in Hong Kong.

Part One: Background Information of the Respondent

1. Which of these sectors do you belong to?

☐ Public ☐ Private ☐ Both

2. What is your institution or organization? You can specify if not listed

Choose an item.

3. What is your occupation or position in the organization? You can specify if not listed
Choose an item.

4. How many years of the construction industry or research experience do you have in HK?

☐ 0 – 5 yrs ☐ 6 – 10 yrs ☐ 11 – 15 yrs ☐ 16 – 20 yrs ☐Over 20 yrs

5. How many years of MiC practice or research experience do you have in Hong Kong?

☐ 1 yr ☐ 2 yrs ☐ 3 yrs ☐ 4 yrs ☐ Over 4 yrs

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Part Two: Decision-Making Factors for Residential MiC Projects
Please rate the significance of the following factors that influence the decision to implement
MiC in a residential project in Hong Kong using a five-point rating scale (i.e., 1=very
insignificant, 2=insignificant, 3=slightly significant, 4=significant, and 5=very significant)

# Suitability decision-making factors Levels of Significance


1 Presence of repetitive layout in design 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
2 Suitability of design for MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Structural stability of individual and assembled modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Availability of lead time for MiC modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Site layout 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Sizes of MiC modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Demanding and tight project schedules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Availability of skilled and experienced labor force 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Availability of skilled management and supervising team 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Familiarity of the developer with the MiC method 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Reducing business disruption and neighbourhood noise 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
12 Number of stories 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Availability of construction equipment 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
14 Lower construction waste footprint 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
15 Reduced embodied energy and carbon emissions 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
16 Use of information and communication technology (e.g., 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
BIM)
17 Size and type of the project (i.e., project scope) 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Availability of transportation infrastructure and equipment 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
19 Site location (i.e., accessibility and storage constraints) 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Lesser accidents on site 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
21 Availability of fabrication facility, fabricators, and 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
suppliers
22 Project procurement system and contract type 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Business needs, client contract or regulatory requirements 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Supportive building codes and design standards 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
25 Reducing lifecycle construction costs 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
26 Industry communication and collaboration culture 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
27 Capability of local MiC supply chain 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Decision-Making Factors for MiC Implementation
(if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

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Part Three: Risk Factors involved in Residential MiC Projects
A. Please, indicate an estimated probability (likelihood) of occurrence of each risk factor
based on the following scale: 1 = Very low; 2 = Low; 3 = Moderate; 4 = High; 5 = Very
high probability of occurrence.
B. Please, indicate an estimated severity of each risk factor based on the following scale: 1 =
Very low; 2 = Low; 3 = Moderate; 4 = High; 5 = Very high severity

# Critical risk factors A. Probability of B. Severity of risk


occurrence
1 Heavy reliance on overseas factories 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
2 Limited MiC expertise and experience 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Supply chain disruptions 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Stakeholder fragmentation and complexity 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Supply chain segments disintegration 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Higher initial capital cost 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Delay in modules delivery to the site 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Defective design and change order 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Unsuitability of design for MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Late design completion and freezing 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Inadequate planning and scheduling 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
12 Using unsuitable procurement system 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Incomplete local MiC supply chain 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
14 Poor cooperation among critical 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
stakeholders
15 Limited systematic MiC design codes and 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
standards
16 Shortages of modules on site 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
17 Restrictive site space constraints 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Complex interfaces between systems 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
19 Inaccurate MiC design information 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Inappropriate selection structural system 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
and construction materials
21 Module installation errors 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
22 Misplacement of stored modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Transportation restrictions 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Specialist skilled labour requirement 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
25 Absence of standardized modules 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
26 Inadequate project funding and tight 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
demand for cash inflows
27 Modular production system failure 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
28 Mechanical malfunction of cranes 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
29 Inaccurate cost estimation 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
30 Design information gap between designer 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
and manufacturer
31 Modules production errors 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Risk factors in residential MiC projects (if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

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Part Four: Factors Contributing to the Success of Residential MiC Projects

Please rate the level of significance of the contribution of each factor to successful MiC projects
in in Hong Kong, using a five-point rating scale (i.e., 1=very insignificant, 2=insignificant,
3=slightly significant, 4=significant, and 5=very significant)

No. Critical success factors Levels of Significance


1 Adequate knowledge and experience of critical stakeholders 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
2 Early understanding and commitment of the client 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
3 Effective leadership and support of a specialist contractor 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
4 Collaborative working relationship among key stakeholders 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Early design completion and freezing 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Standardized design of interfaces 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
7 Suitable site characteristics and layout 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
8 Suitability of design for MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
9 Extensive upfront planning for MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
10 Use of collaborative procurement system and contracting 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
11 Seamless supply chain coordination and integration 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
12 Early and active involvement of critical project stakeholders 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
13 Effective coordination and integration of stakeholders 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
14 Availability of sound transport infrastructure and site equipment 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
15 Involving manufacturers, crane specialist, and suppliers in the 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
design
16 Effective coordination of onsite and offsite work packages 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
17 Use of suitable structural system and construction material 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
18 Effective use of building information modelling 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
19 Effective management of critical tolerances between interfaces 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
20 Early engagement of registered certification body for factory 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
inspection
21 Inventory management and control 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
22 Use of just-in-time delivery arrangement 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
23 Effective use of document management system 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
24 Use of hedging strategies and transport delay avoidance
25 Use of skilled workforce, management, and supervising team 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
27 Adequate lead time for bespoke MiC processes 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Please indicate and rate other Success factors for MiC projects (if any)
1 1; 2; 3; 4; 5

346
APPENDIX C: SEMI-STRUCTURED INTERVIEW GUIDES

PhD Research Project: A Best Practice Framework for Implementing Residential Modular
Integrated Construction Projects in Hong Kong.

Purpose of Interview
This interview aims to obtain your insights into the best ways to implement residential MiC projects in
Hong Kong. Your opinions would be treated with the highest level of confidentiality and anonymity in the
study. They would be integrated with opinions from other experts to achieve the aim of the research.

Background of the modular integrated construction (MiC) method


The Hong Kong government started promoted modular integrated construction (MiC) to address the
engineering and technical limitations of prefabrication for high-rise building construction in Hong Kong
and improve the performance of local construction industry. According to the Construction Industry
Council (2021), MiC refers to an innovative construction method, whereby free-standing integrated
modules (usually completed with finishes, fixtures, and fittings) are manufactured in an offsite workshop
and transported to the construction site for assembly and installation. Where circumstances merit and
favourable conditions prevail, effective implementation of the MiC method generates significant benefits
and performance improvements.

However, the pilot residential MiC projects have encountered tremendous challenges and problems in Hong
Kong. This study aims to develop a best practice framework to guide industry practitioners, construction
organizations and project teams to effectively implement the MiC method in residential building projects
to achieve desired outcomes. Given your experience and involvement in MiC projects in Hong Kong, this
research would like to obtain your opinions of some aspects of residential MiC project delivery in Hong
Kong.

Interview questions
1. How many MiC projects have you participated in Hong Kong?
2. What are some reasons that influenced the decision to implement the MiC method in the project?
3. What were the most difficult challenges encountered in the MiC projects in Hong Kong?
4. What are the key risks associated with residential MiC projects in Hong Kong?
5. What are the most important factors that influence the success of residential MiC projects?
6. What are the important lessons you have learned from the implemented residential MiC projects?
7. How would you want residential MiC projects to be implemented to achieve desired outcomes?

347
APPENDIX D: VALIDATION QUESTIONNAIRE

PhD Research Project: A Best Practice Framework for Implementing Residential Modular
Integrated Construction Projects in Hong Kong.
Purpose of Survey
This survey aims to validate the comprehensiveness, applicability, and practicality of the best
practice framework for implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong.

Background of the best practice framework


The delivery chain of residential MiC projects in Hong Kong comprises six major stages, including
predesign, design, production, transportation/storage, on-site assembly and closure. Detailed
activities, practices, and considerations in each of these delivery chain segments have been
discussed in some industry guidelines. However, the available guidelines for implementing MiC
projects in Hong Kong only provide ‘what’ should be done to implement an MiC project but does
not give details on ‘how’ things should be done to deliver MiC projects successfully and
effectively.

Therefore, as part of the deliverables of an on-going PhD research study, the ‘know-how’ of
residential MiC project implementation in Hong Kong has been derived based on the findings from
literature review, international and local questionnaire surveys, international and local case studies,
and local interviews in Hong Kong. At each stage of the residential MiC project delivery chain,
clear instructions on how practitioners should act to implement the MiC method in a residential
building project in Hong Kong are provided. Though the framework is applicable to residential
building projects in a high-density metropolis, such as Hong Kong, it can be adapted to other
project types in Hong Kong.

Important Instruction
1. Please read through the framework in Section 3 and rate your satisfaction level of each of the
eight validation questions on a 5-point Likert scale in Section 4.
2. Please make your general reservation and comments on the framework in Section 4
3. Save as “Word Document or PDF Document” on your PC, USB drive, etc.

348
Outline of Questionnaire
Section One: Solicits your general background information. Section Two: Presents a flow
diagram of the MiC delivery chain for residential building projects in Hong Kong for your
reference. Section Three: Presents the best practice framework for which you will validate in the
next section. Section Four: Requests you to rate your satisfaction level on a 5-point Likert scale
for each of the six validation questions. Kindly make your general reservations and comments in
this section.

Section One: Background Information of Expert


1. Which sector do you work?

2. What is your institution or organization? You can type if not listed

3. What is your occupation or position in the organization? You can type if not listed

4. How many years of construction industry or research experience do you have in Hong Kong?

5. How many years of MiC practice or research experience do you have in Hong Kong?

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Section Two: Flow diagram of the residential MiC project delivery chain in Hong Kong

Predesign: Inception Material


Project Design
and Planning Procurement

Transportation of Buffering or
Factory Production
Modules Storage

Concurrent work packages

Onsite
Site Preparation Handing Over and
Assembly/
& Development Closure
Installation

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Section Three: A Best Practice Framework for implementing Residential MiC Projects in
Hong Kong

Structure of significant factors determining the suitability of the MiC


method for residential building projects in Hong Kong

Project characteristics
Project objectives and requirements
• Suitability of the design for the MiC method • Business needs, client contract, or
• Dimensions and number of required MiC regulatory requirement
units • Expediting construction
• Nature, size, scope, and type of the project • Minimizing accidents and fatalities on site
• Presence of repetitive layout in design • Reducing construction waste footprint
• Number of stories • Reducing embodied energy and carbon
• Structural integrity of modules emissions
• Availability of adequate lead time for MiC • Minimizing environment nuisance and
modules neighbourhood noise
• Project procurement strategy and contract
• Reducing lifecycle construction costs
type

Organizational and industry readiness Location and site attributes


• Readiness of the project team, including • Accessibility and availability of temporary
contractor, consultant, designer storage areas at site location
• Availability and capacity of fabricators • Site layout, characteristics, and
• Availability of construction equipment environment
• Availability of skilled and experienced labour • Width of transport network to site and
force traffic conditions in the vicinity
• Availability of supportive technology
• Capability of local MiC supply chain
• Industry communication and collaboration
culture

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Predesign stage – Inception, Conceptualization, and Planning

• Form a specialist planning team with knowledge of the MiC method (1.1)
• Consult and discuss alternatives, project requirements, and options with the client (1.2)
• Use building information modelling (BIM) (1.3)
• Determine the suitability and compatibility of the MiC method with the project (1.4)
• Commit to the MiC method in the project (1.5)
• Conduct extensive planning for the MiC processes and requirements in the project (1.6)
• Conduct upfront planning to integrate the MiC method into the design layout (1.7)
• Conduct extensive organizational and supply chain planning (1.8)
• Clear definition of scope of work and responsibilities (1.9)
• Develop advanced work packaging (1.10)
• Establish workflow documentation system (1.11)
• Develop a detailed schedule (1.12)
• Form the core project team and engage relevant staff (1.13)
• Familiarize the team with the local MiC requirements and regulations (1.14)
• Develop communications planning (1.15)
• Develop a detailed project plan (1.16)
• Develop a robust risk management plan (1.17)
• Plan and mobilize resources (1.18)
• Consider the tight demand for cash inflows (1.19)
• Establish a strategic stakeholder partnership plan (1.20)
• Determine the appropriate time to engage main contractor, consultant, and MiC supplier (1.21)
• Conduct a detailed production planning (1.22)
• Determine the premanufactured value and extent of offsite works (1.23)
• Select a suitable structural system and construction materials (1.24)
• Select a collaborative procurement strategy for the substructure and superstructure construction (1.25)
• Determine optimum module quantity for economical production (1.26)
• Conduct module transportation planning (1.27)
• Plan appropriate site for logistics and module delivery (1.28)
• Plan for the crane(s) usage (1.29)

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Design Stage

• Allocate enough time to design team (2.1)


• Form an experienced design team (2.2)
• Use building information modelling (BIM) (2.3)
• Establish trust and confidence between the client, designer, contractor, and suppliers (2.4)
• Actively engage main contractor, fabricators, production engineers, suppliers, procurement specialist,
logistics company, crane specialist, and business partners (2.5)
• Early coordination among developer, architect, engineers, and MiC specialist (2.6)
• Develop a detailed engineering design specification and get the design right from the outset (2.7)
• Discuss all design options, aspects, decisions, and solutions with the client (2.8)
• Identify and manage design risks (2.9)
• Use high-quality design information (2.10)
• Reference the local building codes and specifications to develop the design (2.11)
• Develop building typology with adequate repetition (2.12)
• Minimize module design diversity to generate maximum repetition (2.13)
• Consider a repetitive design layout (2.14)
• Specify minimal external joints for better waterproofing (2.15)
• Design for manufacture, assembly, safety, and module integrity (2.16)
• Define an appropriate structural system (2.17)
• Provide adequate structural integrity and robustness in the modules for high-rise buildings (2.18)
• Considering lifting capacity and size of available tower crane (2.19)
• Carefully consider the size and weight of modules (2.20)
• Specify materials for module weight consideration (2.21)
• Specify proper module dimensions considering local transport restrictions and limitations (2.22)
• Identify and resolve dimensional variabilities in module design (2.23)
• Establish appropriate geometric configuration (2.24)
• Consider and incorporate allowable tolerance limit (2.25)
• Establish a robust structural core to cater for module installation (2.26)
• Reduce in-situ installation and module crossing (2.27)
• Early upfront coordination of design and MEP services in junction with structural components (2.28)
• Early upfront consideration of constraints for installation and maintenance (2.29)
• Early design completion and freezing at the appropriate time (2.30)
• Obtain building permit for the design (2.31)

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Production Stage

• Establish a competent inspection team to supervise factory works (3.1)


• Organize training for supervisory staff (3.2)
• Proceed with concurrent execution of onsite work packages (3.3)
• Setting up a temporary production plant or flying factory, where feasible (3.4)
• Engage a manufacturer or supplier with adequate workshop space, access, and safe working platform (3.5)
• Identify a suitable procurement strategy for construction materials supply (3.6)
• Establish an agreed module quality acceptance level between client and supplier (3.7)
• Review the production workflows (3.8)
• Review the working drawings and consider manufacturing tolerances (3.9)
• Verify and resolve dimensional and geometric variabilities in the module design (3.10)
• Ensure adequate strength and robustness of modules to resist transportation damages (3.11)
• Know the details of factory assembly lines and method (3.12)
• Allow adequate time for quality assurance and quality control of the modules (3.13)
• Develop prototype modules to test out the initial design (3.14)
• Conduct mock-ups, trial assembly of modules, and receive feedback from client and consultant (3.15)
• Protect structural steel from rusting and corrosion using hot dip galvanizing coating (3.16)
• Configure the manufacturing rate to match site assembly rate (3.17)
• Avoid unnecessary pile up of modules in factory (3.18)
• Avoid disruption in module production (3.19)
• Careful product handling (3.20)
• Inventory management and control (3.21)

Transportation – Storage Stage

• Develop and implement a realistic transportation, traffic, and logistics management plan (4.1)
• Identify and manage logistics risks (4.2)
• Establish strategies to handle cross-border custom and material delivery constraints (4.3)
• Consider the impact of narrower roads on module delivery schedule (4.4)
• Determine and use economic transport modes (4.5)
• Establish a detailed plan for module delivery and storage (4.6)
• Decide routing and ways to maintain module integrity (4.7)
• Arrange adequate space for temporary holding and storage (4.8)
• Establish automated vessel tracking system to obtain real-time location of the shipment (4.9)
• Use 3D scanning along delivery route for trial run to ascertain possible obstructions (4.10)
• Use just-in-time delivery arrangement to reduce site storage requirements (4.11)
• Delivery modules to suit manufacturing and installation (4.12)
• Develop buffer and hedging strategies against module manufacturing disruption (4.13)
• Inspect, package, label, and protect the modules during transport (4.14)
• Provide adequate storage space and accessible orientation (4.15)
• Manage and control inventory (4.16)

354
Onsite Assembly Stage

• Form and train a competent onsite project management and supervision team (5.1)
• Use building information modelling and 3D site scanning for vehicle path analysis (5.2)
• Develop a comprehensive site safety management plan for workers, machinery, materials, method, and
environment (5.3)
• Use digital technologies such 3D scanning, BIM, and AR/VR for proactive site safety management (5.4)
• Develop safe working practices and ensure proper use of personal protective equipment (5.5)
• Engage an independent heavy lifting specialist contractor or installer with expertise in working with tight
tolerances (5.6)
• Establish a competent lifting team of lifting safety supervisor, banksman/signaller, riggers, crane
operators, and elevated working platform operator (5.7)
• Train the lifting team in high-precision installation, module alignment, tolerance management, and safe
lifting operations (5.8)
• Review site layout plan (5.9)
• Conduct a detailed swept path analysis for onsite module transport (5.10)
• Conduct planning for craning, lifting, and hoisting (5.11)
• Confirm manoeuvrability space on site (5.12)
• Consider site constraints such as narrow, single road access and site entrance (5.13)
• Determine suitable crane configuration, location, and position based on site constraints (5.14)
• Determine crane suitability for onsite space, module weight, and project height (5.15)
• Use appropriate cranes commensurate with the weight of the modules (5.16)
• Developed a precise engineering design for the lifting frame (5.17)
• Ensure clear communication between crane operator and banksman (5.18)
• Check the route for the lifting and unloading area (5.19)
• Develop traffic layout and mitigation measures for heavy vehicles (5.20)
• Site planning for module transport, storage, sequencing, and installation (5.21)
• Adhere to an accurate installation sequence plan (5.22)
• Develop streamlined work process flows (5.23)
• Adhere to the predefined alignments, interfaces, and tolerances (5.24)
• Provide adequate site accessibility and safe working platform for rigging and unrigging load (5.25)
• Inspect and verify modules prior to installation (5.26)
• Ensure that proper functioning of automatic safe load indicator (5.27)
• Ensure correct use of lifting gear and lifting point (5.28)
• Install the modules within statutorily allowable tolerances (5.29)
• Avoid disruption in module installation (5.30)
• Coordinate the supply chain of the project (5.31)
• Manage working relationships to minimize dysfunctional and disruptive stakeholder conflicts (5.32)
• Coordinate onsite and offsite work packages (5.33)
• Use of document management system (5.34)

355
Closure Stage

• Adequate provisioning for project closure (6.1)


• Use of a competent project manager (s) (6.2)
• Conduct water tightness, cable continuity, fire safety, and earthing megger tests (6.3)
• Obtain indoor air quality, completion, and occupation certificates (6.4)
• Arrange for the relevant stakeholders to inspect and accept the completed project (6.5)
• Develop project completion report (6.6)
• Transfer the deliverables (6.7)
• Settle all financial claims and transactions (6.8)
• Commission the project (6.9)
• Terminate the contract (6.10)

Selected Key Performance Indicators and Metrics in the Performance


Measurement System for residential building projects in Hong Kong

Schedule performance metrics Cost performance metrics


• Total construction time • Total cost of building works (HK$)
• Schedule performance index • Cost performance index
• Project delivery speed (sq.m/days) • Unit cost (HK$/sq.m)
• Schedule variance (certainty) • Cost variance (certainty)
• Project schedule factor index • Project schedule factor index
• Floor construction cycle (days) • Floor construction cycle (days)

Productivity performance metrics Quality performance metrics


• Labour productivity (sq.m/man-hr) • Project quality quotient
• Material productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Frequency of defect (No./sq.m)
• Machinery productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Cost of rework (HK$/sq.m)
• Multifactor productivity (sq.m/HK$) • Rework cost ratio

Safety performance metric Pollution metrics


• Accident rate • Water pollution (HK$/sq.m)
• Noise pollution (dB)
Local community impact metric • Air Pollution (Air Quality Indicator)
• Vehicle movement (No./sq.m)

Premanufactured value (PMV) Waste performance metrics


• Material-based PMV • Waste disposed (kg/sq.m)
• Cost-based PMV • Waste reused and recycled (kg/sq.m)

Resource consumption metrics Client and team satisfaction metrics


• Electricity consumption (HK$/sq.m) • Client satisfaction mean index
• Water consumption (HK$/sq.m) • Project team satisfaction mean index

356
Section Four: Validation Questions
A. Please rate the extent of your satisfaction for each of the eight-validation question on a 5-point
Likert Scale; 1 – Poor, 2 – Average, 3 – Good/Satisfactory, 4 – Very Good, 5 – Excellent.

# Validation Aspects/Questions Levels of Satisfaction


1 Are the selected factors determining the suitability of the MiC 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
method in residential buildings in Hong Kong adequate?
2 Are the selected best practices for residential MiC projects in 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
Hong Kong reasonable?
3 Is the best practice framework easily understandable for use in 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
practice?
4 Are the best practices in each stage appropriate? 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
5 Is the best practice framework comprehensive? 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
6 Can practitioners implement residential MiC projects 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
successfully if the best practices are carefully followed?
7 Are the key performance indicators and metrics adequate to 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
measure the outcomes of residential MiC projects in Hong
Kong?
8 Overall suitability of the best practice framework for 1; 2; 3; 4; 5
implementing residential MiC projects in Hong Kong

B. IF ANY; Please highlight your comments and reservations on the identified best practices at
each stage in the table below.

Delivery chain Comments


Predesign
Design
Production
Transportation/Storage
On-site Assembly
Closure

C. Please give your general comments and observations that could help improve the framework
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
…………………………………………………………………………………………………
Thank you for your time. Please, return the completed questionnaire by email
to: ibrah.y.wuni(at)_________________

357
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