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The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization

DR. YANGA’S COLLEGES, INC.


COLLEGE OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION

The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization

In fulfilment of the subject requirements in


CBAEco113: Fundamentals of Microeconomic
1st Semester A.Y. 2023-2024

Submitted to
MR. AURELIO C. JUSON, JR.

Submitted by:
CASTRO, ARIELLE ROSE M.
COLCOL, DONNA MAE D.C.
DELA CRUZ, JULIAN PAUL YEOJ M.
DELA CRUZ, SOPHIA MARIE N.
GARCIA, PRINCESS JANEZ C.
PASCUAL, MARK WILLIAM L.
SIPCON, ANGEL GODWILL ANNE C.
TANDIAMA, ROCELLE S.
ZAFRA, ALYSSA CASANDRA D.L.

BSBA 1A – P.A.C.E.D.

Bachelor of Science in Business Administration


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I. PURPOSE AND RATIONALE

Globalization lays the foundations for enhanced trade, new markets, cross-border

technology, and knowledge transfers. These developments have contributed to substantial

economic growth, employment, and increased productivity worldwide (Takefman, 2023).

Globalization brought opportunities in the Philippine market for trade, increased capital inflows,

and promoted greater labor migration and vigor. It influenced employment, tourism, agriculture,

education, and global trade in the Philippines. Globalization also increases the

interconnectedness and interdependence of countries, economies, cultures, and societies on a

global scale.

According to Westcott (2021), globalization has made advances in transportation which

enabled global mobility. It has allowed people to move quickly and relatively cheaply. In the

Philippines, the ease of travel has motivated Filipino travelers to demand more places to visit and

aspire to work worldwide resulting in enhanced economic growth.

However, in 2020, the World Health Organization declared the COVID-19 outbreak a

global health emergency. It has brought about unfavorable effects on all sectors of the Philippine

economy, with the Philippine Statistics Authority’s latest Labor Force Survey reporting that there

are currently 3.5 million unemployed Filipinos, estimating the unemployment rate at 7.4%

(Velasco, n.d.). This pandemic has disrupted global supply chains, affecting the manufacturing

and export sectors in the Philippines. It has disconnected the Philippines from the global world

affecting the overall economy of the country, especially in terms of employment, tourism,

agriculture, education, and global trade. It decreased mobility and economic activity.
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Because of lockdowns, logistic challenges, and travel restrictions caused by the COVID-

19 pandemic, there were delays in the production and shipment of goods, decreasing economic

activity and impacting businesses and industries dependent on global trade. Among all the

sectors, the tourism industry has been greatly affected by the pandemic. It adversely affected the

tourist industry by lowering the Global Domestic Product and other key macroeconomic and

microeconomic indicators (Kalonda, 2023). This industry alone already increased the

unemployment rate, poverty, food supply, accommodation, and many more. Because of the

COVID-19 pandemic, Simeon (2021) reported that the livelihood of 80% of those in the informal

sector were adversely affected. These workers are the most vulnerable.

Hence, even though globalization has paved the way for Philippine trade and increased

international migration, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a global economic downturn and

repercussions on the Philippine economy. Contraction in global demand, reduced trade, and

decreased economic activities in major economies affected the overall economic performance of

the country. These negative impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the globalization of the

Philippine economy in terms of employment, tourism, agriculture, and global trends mean that

there is a need for recommendations and actions to solve these problems to maintain and foster

the economic growth of the Philippines.

Certainly, globalization has a beneficial impact on the Philippine economy particularly on

tourism, employment, agriculture, and global trends, but not having enough knowledge and

intervention amid uncertainties like the COVID-19 pandemic might put the Philippine economy at

risk. The researchers would like to know the impact of globalization on the Philippine economy
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particularly on the aspects of employment, tourism, agriculture, education, and global trends, the

discrepancies caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, how it affects the community, and

recommend economic policies based on it. The pandemic has accelerated shifts in global

dynamics, emphasizing the need for adaptability. Understanding the specific repercussions on

international trade, supply chains, and economic partnerships enables various stakeholders to

craft adaptive policies that foster resilience and recovery. By examining how the pandemic has

affected global trade, agriculture, tourism, education, and employment, the researchers can

contribute to the development of strategies that secure the Philippine economy against future

concussions and these are what motivated them to pursue this study.

II. CONTEXT

Background

The COVID-19 Pandemic had a great impact on the Philippines in its different industries

and sectors especially when it comes with employment, tourism, agriculture, education, and

global trade. The Philippine economy has been greatly impacted by the rise of the pandemic

resulting in uncertain and weak recovery. Having a sufficient understanding of this could enable

everyone to recognize the elements that need to be taken into account when making decisions.

COVID–19 Pandemic is an infectious disease that is caused by the severe acute

respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), this novel coronavirus (nCoV) was originated

in Wuhan City in China, the World Health Organization declared Public Health Emergency of

International Concern on 30th of January in 2020 and to characterize the outbreak as a pandemic

on 11 March 2020 (Mohan & Vinod, 2020). Conversely, on the 5th of May in 2023, more than
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three (3) years into the pandemic, the World Health Organization Emergency Committee on

COVID-19 suggested to the Director-General, which has also accepted the suggestion, that the

infectious disease was by now well-established and in progress, and no longer fit the definition of

Public Health Emergency of International Concern or PHEIC. However, this does not mean that

the pandemic is over, but the global emergency it caused is - for now (Coronavirus Disease

(COVID-19) Pandemic, 2023).

According to Lozano, Bird, and Mendoza (2021), when the pandemic hit the country, it

resulted in a reverse impact with the Philippine economy, wiping out 1.7 million wage and salary

jobs in the 12 months to January 2021 from its growth of an average 4.6% annually and

destructing the already-shrinked total informal employment from then. This large shock to the

economy might put continual lower employment rate even after the economy has started to grow

again.

Nevertheless, in the present, the quality of jobs for Filipinos continues to improve as the

country’s underemployment rate decreased to 10.7 percent in September 2023, the lowest figure

recorded since earliest available starting in April 2005 (Lo, 2023). The most recent

underemployment rate, which stands at 14.8%, is substantially lower than both the pre-pandemic

rate of 15.4% in September 2022 and the 11.7 percent in August 2023.

Before the pandemic, the tourism industry was one of the key contributors to the sustained

growth of the Philippine economy. Over the past decade, the country’s tourism direct gross value

added in current prices grew by almost five-fold. However, the sudden hiatus in the demand for

travel and tourism-related activities because of the imposed strict quarantine measures caused

by the pandemic resulted in severe loss of revenues and surge in unemployment across all
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tourism enterprises. Based on the economic newsletter by Caynila, Luna, and Milla (2022), the

tight lockdown in the Philippines called Enhanced Community Quarantine or ECQ resulted in a

sharp decline in domestic demand and production, international trade, and high unemployment.

The country’s tourism sector felt the negative impact of the pandemic much earlier in 2020, as

countries started to impose travel restrictions and measures as early as January 2020. Both the

country’s international tourist arrivals and tourism receipts fell by about 80 percent in 2020 and

by about 90 percent in 2021.

Now, the tourism sector in the Philippines is gradually regaining its footing and is seen

with a promising potential for further development and growth. A recent data from the Department

of Tourism (DOT) reveals that the Philippines recorded over four million international arrivals in

the first nine months of this year. DOT said that this positive development positions the country

well on track to meet and even exceed its full-year target of 4.8 million foreign arrivals, especially

with the upcoming holiday season. The sector has already contributed P344 billion in revenues

to the economy, underlining its significant contribution to the national output (Zaldarriaga, 2023).

Even before the pandemic, the Philippines had among the world’s largest education gaps,

with more than 90 percent of students unable to read and comprehend simple texts by age 10,

according to the World Bank. Hence, education is also one of the sector that is greatly affected

by the COVID-19 pandemic. Students, schools, colleges, and universities have been deeply

affected. Philippines is one of the countries has ordered nationwide school closure to contain the

covid-19 pandemic and reduce the number of infected in the country. Students did no’t have

formal classes from March 2020 to October 2020 and did not have face-face class for almost 2

years in the Philippines (ABConservation, 2022). Students from public schools were enrolled

under the modular learning system of where students will be provided with the sets of self-learning
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materials that distributed to parents and guardians of the student while universities and some

private schools practiced blended learning system through online classes.

Luckily, in August 2022, schools in the Philippines like Pedro Guevara Elementary School

in Manila, which had shut classrooms since March 2020, has adopted a hybrid system of in-

person and remote learning as it transitions its nearly 6,000 students back to face-to-face classes

(Agence France-Presse, 2022). Now, despite of the struggles it has faced and still facing, the

Philippine Education, through the government, is exploring ways to improve the quality of

education and the state of the learning environment for the Filipino students.

Aside from these, when the pandemic hit the globe, especially the Philippines, it has

highlighted the urgent need to redefine agricultural systems as food systems, the connection

between supply chains and consumption patterns, as well as the role of the government in

cultivating stakeholders. According to the Department of Agriculture (2022), the Covid-19

pandemic decreased the volume of agricultural production by 3.11 percent or 17.03 million tons

because of a decline in agricultural farm labor affecting about 100.77 million people. Because of

this, innovation is crucial for efficient production and to increase productivity.

Then, after two years of contraction due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the agriculture

industry in the Philippines finally showed signs of recovery in 2022, although it remains to reflect

a slower growth in comparison to the pre-pandemic periods. Preliminary figures for 2022 reported

about a quarter of employed Filipinos work in the agricultural sector which is made up of four sub-

sectors: farming, fisheries, livestock, and forestry. In the same year, the sector generated a gross
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value added (GVA) of about 1.78 trillion Philippine pesos, equivalent to about 8.9 percent of the

gross domestic product of the country (Statista, 2023).

Lastly, the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted the globalization of the Philippines in terms

of international trade. In consonance with Arenas, et. al. (2022), a new world banking paper

showed that domestic lockdown measures did not significantly affect international trade but

external lockdowns affected both imports and exports. In a study about the impacts of lockdown

policies on International trade in the Philippines, using a monthly series of product-by-country

data for the period from January 2019 to December 2020 and an event-study design, it showed

that introduction of lockdown measures by trading partners led to a 7% and 57% monthly average

drop in export and import values respectively. This was largely influenced by the fall in trade at

the extensive number of products or margin.

The Philippines' economy recovered well from the pandemic, but it has subsequently had

to deal with a number of major international shocks. Growth fell from 7.6 percent in 2022 to 4.3

percent in the second quarter of 2023, mostly as a result of tighter policies and a collapsing global

economy. Growth is expected to pick up steam by year's end, reaching 6.0 percent in 2024 after

bottoming out at the end of the second quarter. This will be aided by an increase in public

spending and better foreign demand for Philippine exports (IMF Staff Completes 2023 Article IV

Mission to the Philippines, 2023).

In this study, the researchers provide information about the economic impact of the

COVID-19 pandemic on the globalization of the Philippine economy in terms of employment,

tourism, education, agriculture, and global trade. Despite the improvement and recovery of the

economy after the pandemic, it is necessary for policymakers and other stakeholders to be aware
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of the gaps and problems the country experienced amidst the pandemic to create solutions for

future occurrences.

Key Statistics

Unemployment Rate

According to the Labor Force Survey, in 2019, the Philippines recorded an unemployment

rate of 5.1%, marking a modest 0.2% decrease from the preceding year. However, the onset of

the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 led to a sharp rise in unemployment, with the rate climbing to

10.3%, representing a significant 5.2% increase from 2019 as presented in “Table 1”. This surge

in unemployment reflected the widespread economic disruptions caused by the pandemic,

including lockdowns, business closures, and disruptions to global trade.

Table 1. Key Labor and Employment Indicators

Labor Force
Employment Underemployment Unemployment
Participation
Philippines Rate Rate Rate
Rate
(%) (%) (%)
(%)

2019 61.3 94.9 13.8 5.1

2020 59.5 89.7 16.2 10.3

2021 63.3 92.2 15.9 7.8

2022 64.7 94.6 14.2 5.4

2023 64.7 95.4 12.5 4.6

Note: The data is from “Labor Force Survey” by Philippine Statistics Authority, Republic of the

Philippines. (2023, December 7). https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/labor-force-survey


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Encouragingly, as showed in “Table 1” as well, 2021 saw a positive turn of events, with

the unemployment rate decreasing to 7.8%, a 2.5% improvement from the previous year. This

reduction could be attributed to the gradual economic recovery and the implementation of

measures to mitigate the impact of the pandemic on businesses and employment. The year 2022

witnessed a further decline in the unemployment rate, reaching 5.4%, indicating a 2.4% decrease

from 2021. This decline aligns with the global trend of recovery as countries adapted to the

challenges posed by the pandemic and worked towards restoring economic stability. As we look

ahead to 2023, there is a cautiously optimistic estimate of the unemployment rate dropping to

4.6%. This projection suggests a continued recovery and stabilization of the Philippine job market,

signifying resilience and adaptability in the face of global challenges (Labor Force Survey |

Philippine Statistics Authority | Republic of the Philippines, 2023).

Changes in the unemployment rate have a direct connection to the Philippine economy's

globalization. Because of the global interconnectedness of economies, global events such as the

COVID-19 pandemic have an impact on local labor markets. The initial increase in unemployment

in 2020 mirrored problems in global trade and supply chains, highlighting the Philippines'

vulnerability to external shocks.

Inflation Rate

Inflation, as influenced by the repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic, serves as a

barometer for the economic challenges faced by the Philippines on the global stage. The trends

observed underscore the need for strategic economic policies and measures that balance the

forces of globalization with the imperative of maintaining stability and resilience in the face of

uncertainty. As the nation progresses, fostering a nuanced approach to economic dynamics will
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be pivotal in navigating the complexities of a rapidly evolving global landscape (Philippines 1963-

2023, n.d).

Table 2. Year-on-Year Inflation Rates in the Philippines

Year
Month
2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

January 3.4 4.4 3 3.7 3 8.7

February 3.7 3.8 2.5 4.2 3 8.6

March 4.3 3.4 2.2 4.1 4/0 7.6

April 4.3 3.2 1.8 4.1 4.9 6.6

May 4.6 3.2 1.6 4.1 5.4 6.1

June 5 2.7 2.3 3.7 6.1 5.4

July 5.8 2.2 2.4 3.7 6.4 4.7

August 6.6 1.4 2.2 4.4 6.3 5.3

September 6.9 0.5 2.2 4.2 6.9 6.1

October 6.9 0.6 2.3 4 7.7 4.9

November 6.1 1.2 3 3.7 8 4.1

December 5.2 2.4 3.3 3.1 8.1

Average 5.2 2.4 2.4 3.9 5.8 6.2

Note: The data is from Philippine Statistics Authority, Retail Price Survey of Commodities for the

Generation of Consumer Price Index. Republic of the Philippines. (2023, November 7).

https://psa.gov.ph/content/summary-inflation-report-consumer-price-index-2018100-october

2023

As shown in the “Table 2”, the year 2019 presented a favorable economic landscape,

marked by an inflation rate of 2.4%, reflecting a notable 2.8% decline from the preceding year.
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The Philippine economy maintained stability in 2020, with the inflation rate holding steady at 2.4%,

showcasing resilience despite the global challenges posed by the pandemic. However, as the

world grappled with the ongoing effects of COVID-19, 2021 witnessed a shift, with the inflation

rate rising to 3.9%. This represented a 1.5% increase from the previous year, signaling the

beginning of inflationary pressures linked to the pandemic's impact on supply chains and global

economic dynamics. The year 2022 recorded a further increase in the inflation rate, reaching

5.8%. This 1.9% uptick from 2021 highlighted the persistent challenges posed by the global

landscape and the need for economic adaptability in the face of evolving circumstances. Looking

ahead to 2023, there is an estimated inflation rate of 6.2%. This projection suggests a continuation

of inflationary pressures, underlining the ongoing challenges posed by the lingering effects of the

COVID-19 pandemic on the global and Philippine economy.

Demographics

The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly influenced the globalization of the Philippine

economy, particularly in the realm of demographics. The impacts are diverse, affecting migration

patterns, labor dynamics, and the use of digital technologies and skills.

Migration Patterns

The pandemic has altered the traditional migration patterns of Filipinos, both within the

country and abroad. The enforced lockdowns, travel restrictions, and economic uncertainties

prompted many Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) to return home. According to data from the

Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA), Around April to September 2020, approximately 1.77 million

Filipinos were working in other countries. Most of them, about 1.71 million, had contracts for their

jobs, about 96.4% of all those working abroad during that time.
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Figure 1. Number of Overseas Filipino Workers and Overseas Contract Workers

in 2019 and 2020

Note: Reference period is April to September 2019 and April to September 2020

Estimates were based on the 2015-based Population Projections. Reprinted from

Philippine Statistics Authority, 2019 and 2020. Survey on Overseas Filipino.

https://psa.gov.ph/sites/default/files/iesd/202212/2020

The number of Filipino workers overseas decreased by about 18.6% from 2019 to 2020,

which is like 405.62 thousand fewer workers. Just before the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019, there

were 2.18 million OFWs. Out of these, 2.11 million had work contracts, and around 69 thousand

were other Filipino workers with the right visas and permits (2020 Overseas Filipino Workers

(Final Results) | Philippine Statistics Authority | Republic of the Philippines, 2022).

Figure 2. Number of Overseas Filipino Workers and Overseas Contract Workers

in 2021 and 2022


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Note: The estimates cover overseas Filipinos whose departure occurred within the last five (5) years and

who are working or had worked abroad during the past six months (April to September) of the survey

period. Reprinted from Philippine Statistics Authority, 2021 and 2022. Survey on Overseas Filipino.

https://psa.gov.ph/statistics/survey/labor-and-employment/survey-overseas-filipinos

Now, fast forward to April to September 2022, and the number of OFWs increased to 1.96

million. That's 7.6% more than the 1.83 million OFWs during the same months in 2021 (Survey

on Overseas Filipinos | Philippine Statistics Authority | Republic of the Philippines, 2023). Out of

all these workers, 1.94 million had work contracts. So, it seems like more Filipinos are now getting

opportunities to work abroad.

Labor Dynamics and Digital Transformation

According to Secretary Bonoan (2023). the COVID-19 pandemic was an eye-opener as

we realized the significance and benefits of harnessing digital technology to continue business

operations without disrupting important government services that the general public depends on

(Press Releases, 2023).


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The global economic slowdown made the Philippines think hard about how people do their

jobs. It messed with how jobs and businesses connect. Because everyone started working from

home and using more tech stuff, businesses had to switch things up. Even big shots like the

Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) industry in the Philippines had to start doing remote work.

This shook up the usual way people did their jobs in offices.

Around the same time, due to the pandemic, people started using technology more.

Businesses began doing more things on the internet, like selling stuff and talking to each other.

This meant everyone had to get better at using digital tools, and suddenly, there was a big need

for these skills. Jobs started asking for more tech smarts too.

Skills

The pandemic highlighted the importance of learning new skills in times of economic

uncertainties. The Philippine government launched programs to enhance the skills of the

workforce, aligning them with the demands of a changing global economy. It's about getting the

right skills to do our jobs well in this big, ever-changing world.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

In 2019, the Philippine GDP stood at $376.82 billion, showcasing an impressive 8.64%

increase from the previous year. This upward trajectory was a testament to the country's

economic vigor. However, the onset of the pandemic in 2020 brought about a challenging

scenario, resulting in a 4% decline in GDP to $361.75 billion. Despite the setbacks in 2020, the

Philippine economy exhibited resilience. In 2021, the GDP rebounded with a remarkable 8.94%

increase, reaching $394.09 billion. This recovery, driven by strategic interventions and
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adaptability, showcased the nation's ability to navigate adversity. The momentum continued into

2022, with a 2.59% increase in GDP, reaching $404.28 billion. This growth signaled a sustained

recovery, bolstered by efforts to adapt to the 'new normal.' Looking ahead, a positive outlook is

anticipated, with an expected GDP of $427.73 billion by the end of 2023.

Figure 3. Gross Domestic Product from 2014 to 2022

Note: From World Bank, by Trading Economics (n.d). https://tradingeconomics.com/philippines/gdp

The unprecedented disruptions caused by the pandemic, including lockdowns and supply

chain disruptions, significantly impacted the global economy. The Philippines was not immune to

these challenges, and the 2020 GDP contraction mirrored the global economic downturn.

Gross National Product (GNP)

Figure 4. Gross National Product from 2014 to 2023


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Note: From CEIC Data (1981-2023). https://tradingeconomics.com/philippines/gdp

The year 2019 saw the Philippines flourishing with a GNP of $416.22 billion, marking a

heartening 5.3% increase from the previous year. This robust growth reflected the nation's

increasing prosperity. However, the onset of the pandemic in 2020 introduced unforeseen

challenges, resulting in a significant dip to $375.81 billion with a 9.71% decline echoing the global

economic downturn. The resilience of the Filipino spirit shone through in 2021, with a 7.55%

increase in GNP, reaching $404.20 billion. This rebound was a testament to the collective

determination to overcome adversity and rebuild lives and communities. The year 2022 witnessed

a remarkable recovery, with a 13.07% increase in GNP, reaching $457.02 billion. This resurgence

reflected the nation's adaptability, innovation, and collaborative efforts to reposition itself in the

global landscape. As of September 2023, the GNP stands at $116.257 billion, signaling a

continued trajectory of recovery. The ongoing efforts of individuals, communities, and the nation

as a whole contribute to this ongoing narrative of resilience and renewal.

Public Healthcare System


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One of the most immediate and tangible effects of the pandemic has been the strain on

the Philippine healthcare system. The surge in COVID-19 cases necessitated a rapid and

comprehensive response, exposing both strengths and weaknesses in the existing infrastructure.

According to the Department of Health (DOH) Philippines in 2020, the pandemic led to an

increased demand for healthcare services, testing the resilience of public hospitals and healthcare

facilities across the nation.

The interconnectedness of the global community became glaringly evident as the

Philippines sought assistance and cooperation from international organizations and partners. The

World Health Organization (WHO) played a crucial role in providing technical support, expertise,

and access to vital resources. This collaborative effort highlighted the importance of global

solidarity in addressing public health crises.

Moreover, the pandemic acted as a catalyst for advancements in telemedicine and digital

health solutions in the Philippines. The government, in collaboration with private entities, worked

towards enhancing the accessibility of healthcare services through virtual platforms. This shift

towards digital healthcare not only addressed immediate challenges posed by the pandemic but

also paved the way for a more inclusive and technologically-driven healthcare system (Others,

2022).

In terms of policy changes, the Philippine government implemented measures to

strengthen the public health system's capacity and resilience. Increased budget allocations for

health, as reflected in the national budget, signaled a commitment to fortify the country's

healthcare infrastructure. The integration of lessons learned from the pandemic into future
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healthcare policies underscored the need for adaptive governance in the face of global health

threats (Management, n.d.).

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the globalization of the Philippine economy in

the realm of public healthcare has been profound and multifaceted. It has prompted a

reassessment of healthcare infrastructure, global collaborations, digital solutions, and policy

frameworks. As the Philippines navigates the ongoing challenges posed by the pandemic, the

lessons learned and the collaborative efforts undertaken will undoubtedly shape the future of the

nation's public healthcare system.

Budget

The COVID-19 pandemic has left an indelible mark on the globalization of the Philippine

economy, particularly when examining its impact on the national budget. At the outset of the

pandemic, the Philippine government faced the daunting task of addressing both the immediate

health crisis and its economic ramifications. The need for extensive healthcare measures, social

assistance programs, and economic stimulus packages compelled the government to reassess

its budgetary allocations.

According to data from the Department of Budget and Management (n.d.), there was a

notable shift in spending priorities to accommodate the exigencies brought about by the

pandemic. The DBM has released a total of P64.169 billion since 2021 to cover the payment of

COVID-19 allowances and the compensation of eligible healthcare and non-healthcare workers.

This amount is estimated to cover a total of P4,359,140 health emergency allowances and

compensation claims (DBM: Almost P20-billion Allocated for Healthcare Workers’ Allowances,

COVID-19 Compensation in 2024; P64.17-billion for Claims Released Since 2021, n.d.).
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The pandemic-induced economic slowdown had a tangible impact on government

revenues, with decreased economic activity leading to reduced tax collections. This compelled

the government to adopt innovative strategies to generate funds. The issuance of bonds and

securing financial assistance from international organizations became crucial components of the

government's fiscal toolkit. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) played a pivotal role in providing

financial support to help the Philippines weather the economic storm.

The human dimension of the budgetary adjustments is most evident in the implementation

of social assistance programs aimed at mitigating the impact of the pandemic on vulnerable

populations. The Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD) spearheaded

initiatives such as the Social Amelioration Program (SAP), which provided financial aid to affected

families. This not only demonstrated a commitment to social equity but also highlighted the

interconnectedness of economic policies and the well-being of Filipino citizens.

The education sector also witnessed budgetary shifts, reflecting the challenges posed by

the pandemic. The Department of Education (DepEd) had to adapt its budget to support distance

learning initiatives, invest in technology, and provide support to teachers and students. The

education budget became a critical tool in ensuring continuity in learning amid the disruptions

caused by the pandemic.

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the globalization of the Philippine economy, as

seen through the lens of the national budget, is a narrative of adaptability, innovation, and a

commitment to human welfare. The budgetary response to the pandemic underscored the

importance of adaptability and resilience in the face of unprecedented challenges.


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Infrastructure

One of the immediate effects of the pandemic on the Philippines' infrastructure was the

disruption of ongoing projects due to lockdowns and restrictions. Construction activities, a vital

component of the nation's infrastructure development, faced setbacks, leading to delays and cost

overruns. The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) reported a decline in

infrastructure spending in 2020, reflecting the hurdles encountered by the construction sector.

The human face of these disruptions was felt keenly by the labor force engaged in

construction. Workers faced uncertainties as projects were put on hold, leading to financial strains

for many families. The construction sector, which had been a significant source of employment,

witnessed a decline in job opportunities. The impact on the livelihoods of these workers

underscored the interconnectedness between infrastructure development and the well-being of

individuals and communities.

As the pandemic unfolded, the resilience of the Philippines' infrastructure was put to the

test. The Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) played a pivotal role in adapting to

the challenges. Embracing a "new normal," the department intensified efforts to incorporate

technology into infrastructure projects. The use of digital tools and virtual collaboration became

essential in ensuring the continuity of planning and implementation. In April 2023, the DPWH

signed an MOU with the DICT to ensure faster, more streamlined, and convenient service delivery

to its stakeholders nationwide.

Furthermore, the pandemic prompted a reevaluation of infrastructure priorities, with a

heightened focus on digital infrastructure. The DICT created the National Broadband Plan (NBP)
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intending to accelerate the deployment of fiber optic cables and wireless technologies throughout

the country, particularly in outlying or remote areas, in order to improve the country's overall

internet speed (Department of Information and Communications Technology, 2017).

In the global context, the pandemic emphasized the need for resilient and interconnected

infrastructure. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) provided support to the Philippines,

acknowledging the importance of infrastructure investments in economic recovery. This

collaboration highlighted the interconnectedness of global financial institutions and the

Philippines' efforts to strengthen its infrastructure backbone.

Global Economic Prospect

According to information found in the book "Southeast Asia: Rising from the Pandemic,"

2020 witnessed a severe contraction in Southeast Asia due to border restrictions and lockdowns

imposed to curb the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19). Some economies in the

region suffered more severe damage than others. However, Southeast Asia is only now, two

years after the pandemic began, starting to recover slowly. The pace of recovery, however,

remains uneven and is susceptible to changes in the pandemic's trajectory. In addition to

providing a closer look at a few key drivers of economic growth for Cambodia, Indonesia, the Lao

People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR), Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Timor-Leste, and

Viet Nam, this research also outlines recovery possibilities and long-term challenges for the area.

These growth drivers include bolstering existing ones and encouraging the development of new

ones, especially those that help diversify growth sources for nations heavily reliant on natural

resources. The report's policy suggestions aim to assist governments in implementing their post-

COVID-19 recovery strategies and ensuring robust, equitable growth for everyone.
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
23

The tourism industry plays a crucial role in output growth and job creation in the area.

However, the recovery of the tourism sector from the COVID-19 pandemic depends on the extent

of disruption caused. Due to travel restrictions and social distancing measures, the current state

of tourism-related goods and services, such as lodging and entertainment, is unlikely to improve.

In July to September 2021, foreign visitor numbers increased by 58% compared to the same

period in 2020, but it remained 64% lower than the levels in 2019. Domestic travel and summer

travelers from the northern region contributed to this improvement. However, travel to Asia and

the Pacific remained 95% below 2019 levels due to restrictions on unnecessary travel. This will

continue to negatively impact economic growth expectations in Southeast Asia, particularly in

countries like Thailand and Cambodia, which heavily rely on foreign travel.

Additionally, according to the same book, policymakers should consider more expansive

and extensive structural changes to increase productivity in the area. Currently, a reform

movement is gaining momentum in the region, aiming to improve and be more environmentally

friendly. Much of Southeast Asia harbors a sincere desire to enhance the health of the country's

mechanisms, simplify national laws to encourage competition, make wise investments in hygienic

infrastructure to promote development, and embrace innovation and technology to foster a

sustainable economy. In light of these objectives, implementing top priority reforms can contribute

to a stronger and more resilient financial and social structure in the area: (i) Promoting the health

and well-being of people in the region. (ii) Accelerating market reopening, creating jobs, and

supporting MSMEs. (iii) Building competitiveness and human capital. (iv) Governments in the

region need to lead efforts to take care of our planet.

Indonesia: Boosting Post-Pandemic Productivity Prospects


The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
24

There is a chance that the COVID-19 epidemic will leave economies with long-term

damage. Although forecasting these consequences is difficult, preliminary data suggest that

scarring is not expected to be significant in Indonesia. The economy experienced a slight

downturn, but it recovered quickly. There's a fair likelihood that some of the advances in labor

productivity can be maintained. Indonesia is implementing changes to increase productivity and

investment. However, a great deal of uncertainty still exists, and in 2022, the likelihood of negative

outcomes has grown. Continued macroeconomic policy flexibility will be necessary to maintain

the recovery, including social safety nets and stimulus plans if necessary. To mitigate the risk of

damage and foster sustainable development, structural adjustments are essential to boost public

infrastructure, employment opportunities, education and training, and private capital (Southeast

Asia Rising From the Pandemic, 2023).

Cambodia: Identifying Drivers for a Stronger Recovery

The government of Cambodia has been able to relax restrictions and reopen its borders

due to the country's exceptional vaccination record, which considerably outperforms that of other

nations with comparable populations and income levels. Acting from a strong position, Cambodia

has effectively contained the pandemic and reported comparatively few deaths. Despite this

encouraging outcome, the pandemic has severely damaged Cambodia's economy. The travel

and hospitality industry has collapsed, the building and textile industry have survived significant

shocks, while the real estate sector has significantly slowed. Fortunately, there have also been

some positive aspects, such as a sharp rise in exports of goods other than clothing and a

significant increase in exports of agricultural products. Maintaining these patterns will assist the

government in realizing its goal of a more diverse and resilient economy.


The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
25

Thailand: Recharging the Future of Tourism

Thailand's exports of goods and investments in export-oriented industries have returned

to pre-pandemic levels, but the services sector—particularly tourism, which accounted for over a

fifth of the nation's GDP and employment before the pandemic—is likely to recover more slowly.

However, the government views the pandemic as an opportunity to restructure the travel and

tourist sector, shifting from low-density, mass tourism to high-value, low-density tourism. This

strategic shift aims to improve economic resilience and align development strategies with climate

goals. The government is also making significant efforts to boost local travel, especially given the

expected gradual recovery of foreign travel. The utilization of digital platforms as a vital tool to

revitalize the tourism sector and infrastructure investments to modernize national transportation

links are two more areas undergoing significant transformation.

Vietnam: Leveraging Digital Transformation to Power Post-Pandemic Economic Recovery

A fourth wave of COVID-19 infections has severely impacted Vietnam's economy,

resulting in a steep decline in investments, consumption, and industrial production, with an even

worse impact on people's lives and enterprises. Consequently, Vietnam's GDP grew by a mere

2.6% in 2021. Nevertheless, the economy is anticipated to return to its pre-pandemic growth rate

of 6.5% to 7.0% in 2022 and beyond due to the rapid digitization of the economy, persistent global

economic recovery, and other important growth-promoting factors.

In the recent five years, the nation has made significant strides in establishing a digital

economy, evident in advancements in cybersecurity, digital platforms, the information and

communication technology (ICT) industry, digital infrastructure, and the legal framework. A young
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
26

and tech-savvy population, along with a surge in smartphone usage and increased reliance on

digital payments during the pandemic, has collectively propelled noteworthy progress in digital

finance. Banks, securities, and insurance, the three financial sub-sectors, have all achieved

success in embracing new digital technologies within the past five years. Viet Nam's digital finance

sector is poised for unprecedented growth in 2021–2025 and beyond, driven by its focus on

promoting non-cash payments, financial inclusion, and green finance. This growth is attributed to

the government's strong commitment to the sector and the implementation of policies, incentives,

and regulations for startups and emerging financial services, including a "sandbox regime" for

testing new products (Southeast Asia Rising From the Pandemic, 2023).

THEORETICAL FRAMEWORK

General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money

The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money, or the Keynesian Theory was

written by economist John Maynard Keynes in 1936. This theory states that employment revolves

around the idea that the level of employment in an economy is primarily influenced by the level of

aggregate demand. Keynesian theory declares that fluctuations in aggregate demand significantly

influence employment levels. It avers that managing and stabilizing aggregate demand through

government policies is crucial to preventing involuntary unemployment and maintaining a healthy

level of employment in the economy.

This Keynesian Theory supports the study of discovering the economic impact of the

COVID-19 pandemic on Philippine Globalization in terms of employment because the pandemic

has caused a significant global demand shock, disrupting international trade and leading to

reduced demand for Philippine exports. This decline in aggregate demand resulted in increased
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
27

unemployment as businesses cut production and lay off workers. The theory highlights the

concept of involuntary unemployment, suggesting that individuals may lose their jobs not by

choice but due to economic circumstances. The pandemic-induced economic downturn has likely

resulted in involuntary unemployment for many individuals in various sectors.

Production Theory

According to the Production Theory, disruptions in the availability of crucial resources like

labor, supply chains, and capital can have profound effects on the agricultural production process.

This theory draws on concepts from different economic perspectives. Economists in the

neoclassical tradition, such as Alfred Marshall and later economists, emphasize the importance

of resource allocation and efficiency in production (Colman & Young, 1989).

The Production Theory states that disruptions in crucial resources can impact productivity

and output. This theory is applicable in assessing the impact of supply chain disruptions on

agricultural activities, considering interruptions in the flow of inputs and outputs. It supports this

study as the pandemic-induced constraints may have led to shifts in production functions, altering

the mix of crops, cultivation practices, and technology adoption. The Law of Diminishing Marginal

Returns is particularly relevant, suggesting that increased use of certain inputs may not have

resulted in proportional output increases due to pandemic-induced limitations.

Heckscher-Ohlin Model

The Heckscher-Ohlin Model is an economic theory that proposes that countries export

when they can most efficiently and plentifully produce. It explains how a nation should operate

and trade when resources are imbalanced throughout the world. This theory was written by Eli

Heckscher, Bertil Ohlin, and Paul Samuelson who expanded this model. The model emphasizes
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
28

the benefits of global trade and benefits to everyone when each country puts the most effort into

exporting resources that are locally and naturally abundant (Kopp, 2022).

The theory is rooted in the concept of comparative advantage suggesting that countries

should play to their strengths and specialize in producing goods where they have a relative

abundance of factors of production. This supports this study particularly in the impact of the

pandemic in terms of global trade because the COVID-19 pandemic affected industries, causing

changes to resource availability and production efficiency. Countries engage in global trade based

on their comparative advantage, and this model suggests that disruptions caused by the

pandemic may have influenced the types of goods that the Philippines can efficiently export,

affecting global trade. Because of disruptions, there may be changes in production patterns

leading to changes in exports and imports.

Mastery Learning Theory

The Mastery Learning Theory prioritizes clear learning objectives, allowing personalized

student progression. Continuous assessment, timely feedback, and targeted remediation address

diverse learning needs, ensuring mastery through criterion-referenced testing. Introducing three

learning domains: Cognitive, Affective, and Psychomotor this underscores the theory's

acknowledgment of multifaceted learning. In essence, Bloom's theory emphasizes personalized

and in-depth learning, contrasting with traditional uniform teaching methods (Bloom, 1968).

The key principles of the Mastery Learning Theory, such as flexibility, tailored methodologies,

and ongoing assessment, resonate strongly with the challenges posed by the global impact of
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
29

COVID-19 in the Philippines. This theory supports this study as both phenomena underscore the

necessity for tailored strategies in addressing diverse challenges, highlighting the significance of

specific aid and a comprehensive understanding of evolving circumstances.

III. Review of Related Literature and Studies

Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in terms of Global Trade

Local

The relationship between globalization and the economy of the Philippines has been the

subject of continuous discussion and investigation. Migrants and international trade have been

more significant than financial globalization in the Philippines. Globalization may have boosted

the economy and the number of jobs available, but research on its effects on poverty and

inequality is still initiated, and conclusions have been mixed. Because of globalization, several

sectors in the job market have benefited and suffered. To lessen the negative effects of

globalization and pave the way for changes to narrow the gap between the well-off and the poor,

more inclusive policies may be required.

The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas has played a key role in achieving this objective through its

mandated efforts to keep inflation low and stable, increase access to financial services, and

strengthen rule-based global transactions (Guinigundo, 2018). Recognizing that reversing

globalization through protectionist measures is not the answer to the problems caused by

globalization is crucial. Less economic growth, increased inflation, and disruptions to global value

chains leading to job losses are all possible outcomes of such a strategy. On the contrary,
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
30

lessening the impact of globalization's negative side effects and helping people adjust is essential

if we want to see the gap between the well-off and the poor reduced. That could mean making

producers more productive and competitive on a global scale, or it could mean retraining workers

so they can get better-paid employment.

The Philippines is a perfect example of a country where the federal government, businesses,

and nonprofits must work together to help underprivileged people in urban and rural barangays

gain access to technology and training. Equally critical is ensuring that Filipino migrants can

participate in the development of their country and that their rights are protected, especially when

they reintegrate. The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, like other central banks, needs to learn more

about the effects of globalization on inflation, financial stability, and the economy if it wants to

solve these problems.

Foreign

Before the emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Philippines stood out as one of the

most vibrant economies in East Asia. The country's economic vitality hinged on several key

factors, including robust consumer demand, a flourishing labor market, and the crucial inflow of

remittances from overseas Filipinos. Moreover, the Philippines benefited from a wave of

urbanization, the growth of a burgeoning middle class, and the presence of a youthful

demographic, all of which acted as driving forces behind its economic prosperity. However, the

onset of the Coronavirus Disease2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in 2020 has brought about

significant disruptions to both daily lives and livelihoods. Governments worldwide, in a bid to curb

the spread of the virus, implemented restrictions on mobility and economic activities within their
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
31

respective territories. Regrettably, this global response resulted in a substantial decline of 3.36%

in the global economy in 2020. (WorldBank,2020)

In the majority of pandemic situations, the implementation of social distancing measures and

various types of lockdowns enforced by nations globally resulted in significant disturbances on

the supply side of the economy, necessitating compulsory closures of businesses. Strong

consumer demand served as a backbone for the Philippine economy, with Filipinos actively

participating in domestic consumption, including retail, services, and real estate. This demand

fueled various industries, contributing to the nation's robust economic growth (deLara-

Tuprioetal.,2022). The thriving labor market was another crucial driver of economic progress. The

Philippines had been experiencing a demographic dividend with a large and youthful workforce.

This demographic advantage resulted in a substantial labor force, often sought after by

international companies for outsourcing and other industries, which further boosted the economy.

Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in terms of Education

Local

In the Philippines, the government decided to close Luzon's airports on March 20 as part

of the Enhanced Community Quarantine (ECQ) that commenced on March 16 within the island.

The tourism sector had already been feeling the adverse effects of the pandemic on its

performance much earlier. In various other countries, travel restrictions and preventive measures

were implemented as early as January of the same year, which subsequently impacted the

number of international tourists arriving in the Philippines. Simultaneously, domestic tourists also

curtailed their travel due to concerns about contracting COVID-19. According to the Department

of Tourism, international tourist receipts in the first quarter of the year plummeted to PHP 85
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
32

billion, marking a 36% decrease compared to the revenues Recorded during the same period the

previous year (PricewaterhouseCoopers,2020).

The tourism industry in the Philippines, alongside overseas Filipino remittances and

business process outsourcing, significantly contributes to the country's positive external payments

balance and overall economic growth. It stands as one of the primary sources of employment in

the nation, benefiting a wide spectrum of enterprises and individuals while also sustaining

consistent foreign exchange (FX) inflows. However, due to the large number of people employed

in the tourism sector and the close interactions inherent in the industry, it bore a substantial brunt

of the COVID-19 pandemic. Encouragingly, the industry's outlook is becoming more optimistic as

mass vaccination efforts expand, and travel restrictions diminish (Kalonda,2023).

As discussed, the tourism industry emerged as one of the hardest-hit sectors during the

COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a cascade of macroeconomic and microeconomic implications.

The repercussions included a surge in the unemployment rate to 10.4%, an increase in the

poverty rate, diminished household income, and a reduction in job opportunities across various

sectors linked to the tourism industry, such as transportation, travel agencies, tour guides,

hospitality, and food supply, among others.

Foreign

The global spread of COVID-19 has posed a formidable challenge to the field of education,

particularly in the Philippines. Predictably, the closure of schools has brought about a myriad of
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
33

consequences that could potentially undermine both the social and economic development of

communities in the country. Furthermore, it has imposed severe hardships on Filipino learners.

According to UNESCO (n.d.), the adverse effects of school closures encompass disrupted

learning, perplexity, and stress for educators, unprepared parents for remote and homeschooling,

challenges in establishing, maintaining, and enhancing distance learning, and an alarming rise in

dropout rates. Given these repercussions, there is a growing yearning for the reopening of

schools, as mounting evidence suggests that distance learning falls short in comparison to in-

person instruction.

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the Philippines resorted to school closures as a

containment measure, prompting a shift towards distance learning mandated by the Department

of Education. Government data reveals that merely around 18 percent of Filipino households

possess internet access at home, with notably lower penetration rates in rural areas (Santos, A.

P., 2021). The adoption of this learning modality may not be inclusive, particularly for students

residing in rural areas who lack the necessary technology to engage effectively with digital tools.

This situation poses a significant challenge for underprivileged students, perpetuating educational

disparities and encroaching on their right to education. Moreover, as reported by UNICEF (n.d.,

as cited in Santos, 2021), over 80 percent of parents have reported slower learning progress

among their children studying from home, further underscoring the inefficiency and

ineffectiveness of the distance learning approach in educating Filipino students.

Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in terms of Agriculture

Local
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
34

The global health crisis, COVID-19, has had a significant effect on economies across the

globe, including the Philippines. In addition to affecting people's lives, it also has an impact on

business, the economy, education, and most importantly agriculture, where the majority of people

earn a living. Thus, the purpose of this review is to examine the body of research on how the

pandemic affected the Philippines economy's globalization, with an emphasis on the country's

agricultural industry and international trade.

The global supply chains have been disrupted by the COVID-19 pandemic, posing serious

challenges to the Philippines' agriculture industry. According to a study by Santos et al. (2020),

the pandemic has affected the production and distribution of agricultural products by causing labor

shortages, limiting access to inputs, and disrupting logistics and transportation. Food prices have

gone up as a result, and the nation's food security has declined. In addition, because of supply

disruptions, travel restrictions, and the collapse of both domestic and foreign demand, imports

and exports have decreased since the lockdown. This challenging business agricultural sector.

The COVID-19 pandemic, however, has both positive and negative effects on the nation,

such as digital transformation. The agricultural industry has embraced digital technologies more

quickly as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this instance, it's clear how the rapid

advancement of technology created a substitute for people to carry on with their agricultural

business operations. According to a study by Cruz et al. (2021), e-commerce and digital platforms

have been essential in facilitating trade and establishing connections between farmers and

consumers during the pandemic. Platforms such as TikTok, where numerous businesses have

set up accounts and engaged in live selling, serve as an illustration of this.


The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
35

Foreign

The COVID-19 pandemic is not just affecting the Philippines; it is also affecting other parts

of the world. The pandemic caused significant disruptions to global supply chains, which in turn

led to a decline in demand for certain agricultural products, according to a study conducted by Lin

&Yu (2020). Measures like the travel ban and lockdowns also made it hard to move goods, which

had an additional negative effect on exports. Due to these constraints and limitations, the

agriculture industry finds it difficult to stay in business. Similar to Cruz et al.'s study from 2021,

China acknowledges the introduction and application of technology. According to the authors, the

pandemic has brought attention to the necessity of diversifying export markets and making

investments in technological solutions to lessen trade disruptions in the future. In conclusion, the

COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted the Philippines economy's globalization as well

as that of other nations, especially in the agriculture sector. The pandemic has created

opportunities for digital transformation in addition to its challenges.

Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in terms of Employment

Local

According to the study of Gonzales, Epetia, and Corpus (2023) The COVID-19 pandemic

significantly impacted the Philippines' labor market, affecting employment and wages. Across

industries, skill levels, and work classes, the probability of employment declined, accompanied

by reduced daily working hours. While real daily wages moderately decreased overall at the

pandemic's onset, the agriculture sector experienced simultaneous increases in employment and

wages, reflecting robust demand. The pandemic's impact on the labor market, especially in

contact-intensive sectors, was more pronounced in terms of employment than real wages. One
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
36

year into the pandemic, the recovery varied among sectors, with some witnessing a significant

increase in employment probability. However, real wage recovery was less favorable for women,

particularly young females with middle-skill and high-skill jobs, facing wage cuts. Male workers,

notably in the rural sector, saw a recovery in real daily pay a year after lockdowns.

Agriculture in the Philippines had a unique experience during the crisis, with its

employment share temporarily increasing, countering a 15-year declining trend. The sector

helped mitigate employment losses in non-agriculture sectors during the initial pandemic phase,

absorbing workers from construction and services. Although the probability of wage employment

in agriculture declined, indicating a shift from urban to rural areas and non-wage employment,

there was a simultaneous recovery in wage employment and real daily wages in the later

pandemic phase, revealing increased demand. The Philippine government responded to the

COVID-19 crisis with labor market policies, including social protection programs for displaced

workers, initiatives to boost private-sector-led economic recovery, and the National Employment

Recovery Strategy (NERS). NERS targets specific sectors and individuals facing harsh labor

market conditions, aiming to revive employment and wages.

Based on Anri Ichimura study (2020) The far-reaching economic repercussions of COVID-

19 are evident across all sectors, with the travel industry bearing a particularly heavy blow.

Disrupted supply chains, slowed trade linkages, and a virtual standstill in business travel

characterize the global landscape, with the Asian Development Bank's analysis projecting a

potential global impact ranging from $77 billion to $347 billion, contingent on the evolving

outbreak. In the Philippines, the best-case scenario foresees a 0.2 percent loss in total GDP,

amounting to $668.93 million (P33.89 billion) and approximately 87,330 job losses, while the

worst-case scenario predicts a 0.59 percent decline, translating to about $1.94 billion (P98.29
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
37

billion) and 252,130 job losses. The broader impact of COVID-19 extends to various industries,

with anticipated losses in agriculture, construction, business, and trade. Notably, the travel sector,

encompassing transport services and hospitality, faces severe setbacks, with the hotel and

restaurant industry expecting a $205.71 million loss and the transport industry projecting a

$149.95 million downturn.

Foreign

According to NEDA, the COVID-19 pandemic, officially declared a global crisis by the

World Health Organization on March 11, has left an indelible mark on the global economy. As

Europe became the new epicenter, by March 19, there were 218,823 confirmed cases and 8,810

deaths globally, with the Philippines reporting 217 cases, 17 deaths, and 8 recoveries. To curb

the virus, nations implemented measures like mass testing, travel restrictions, and lockdowns,

prompting adjustments in monetary and fiscal policies. This health crisis has precipitated an

economic downturn, potentially leading to a global recession. Notably, the tourism sector,

dependent on Chinese visitors, and exports, particularly with China as a key trading partner, have

suffered.

Overseas remittances, household consumption, and the Luzon-wide enhanced

community quarantine have further exacerbated economic challenges. The estimated cumulative

economic impact of COVID-19 is projected to range from 2.1 to 6.6 percent of nominal GDP in

2020, with implications for the country's real GDP growth. With variations in impact across

economic classes, responsive measures should be fine-tuned to balance health and economic

objectives. Urgent efforts are required to bolster health systems for future pandemics,

emphasizing the need for a strategic transition to a new normal state of economic activity. The
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
38

estimated impact assumes adverse effects until June, underscoring the importance of mitigating

COVID-19's impact on the broader economy.

Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic in terms of Tourism

Local

According to the study of Caynila, Luna, and Milla (2022) The Philippines' tourism sector,

vital for external payments and economic growth, faces COVID-19 challenges. Despite a

significant pandemic impact, recovery prospects arise with accelerated inoculation and eased

travel restrictions. Travel services contribute 20% to total service exports but dropped from

US$9.8 billion in 2019 to US$600 million in 2021 due to the pandemic. Pre-pandemic, tourism

drove economic growth, contributing 16.1% to GDP in 2019. However, the pandemic led to a

decline in domestic tourism expenditure and industry contraction, causing severe revenue loss

and unemployment. International tourist arrivals plummeted by 74% in 2020, showing a slight

recovery in 2021 but still below pre-pandemic levels. The Department of Tourism targets domestic

travel recovery by 2022, emphasizing promotion amid closed overseas markets. Projecting robust

travel receipt recovery in 2022, the DOT focuses on easing travel restrictions for fully vaccinated

international tourists. Tourism and travel export recovery hinge on global vaccination progress,

traveler confidence, and lifted restrictions. The DOT implements measures like the Tourism

Response and Recovery Plan (TRRP) and prioritized vaccination for tourism frontliners. While

Ukraine's war poses risks, the World Bank expects economic reopening and vaccination progress

to boost market confidence, especially in transportation, domestic tourism, and retail trade.

According to PWC, the COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted the global tourism

industry, with border closures, airport shutdowns, and mass gathering restrictions jeopardizing
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
39

around 100 to 120 million jobs, according to estimates from the World Tourism Organization. In

the first quarter of 2020, international tourist arrivals witnessed a 22% decline, resulting in an

estimated global tourism receipt loss of US$80 billion. The Philippine tourism sector felt the brunt

early on, with closures and restrictions causing a 36% drop in international tourist receipts to

PHP85 billion in the first quarter. A joint survey by PwC Philippines and the Department of Tourism

in May 2020 revealed that 97% of decision-makers across various subsectors anticipated a

significant impact from COVID-19, with 88% expecting losses exceeding 50% of their 2020

revenues. Recovery efforts, including a proposed PHP1.3 trillion economic stimulus package and

PHP58 billion for tourism enterprises, aim to alleviate the financial strain.

Foreign

Based on Science Direct (2020), the global tourism industry has undergone significant

disruption due to the COVID-19 pandemic, leading to a study that employed text mining

techniques to analyze traveler responses. Focusing on approximately 75,000 comments from

TripAdvisor forums between December 30, 2019, and March 15, 2020, the research honed in on

23,515 cases from US, Europe, and Asia forums. Findings revealed that global crises notably

affect the tourism sector, prompting swift traveler decisions to cancel or delay plans upon

pandemic awareness. The study underscored a surge in discussions about travel insurance as a

means of financial protection against trip cancellations. Moreover, it highlighted the pandemic's

substantial impact on global mobility, surpassing previous epidemics like SARS, primarily due to

China's enhanced global role. The rapid dissemination of pandemic-related information on social

media was found to unsettle consumers and dampen economic activity. Additionally, the study

emphasized the heightened risk of epidemic or pandemic spread as a major concern for the

tourism industry, particularly as travelers explore distant destinations with unfamiliar health risks.

Analyzing TripAdvisor comments underscored travelers' rapid responses to pandemic


The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
40

developments, with discussions predominantly revolving around canceling plans, securing travel

insurance, and navigating refund policies. The detailed analysis suggested the imperative

inclusion of travel insurance in future tourism packages, necessitating policy updates for

enhanced reliability and flexibility in refunds and plan changes.

IV. Conclusion

The impact of globalization on the Philippine economy across employment, tourism,

agriculture, education, and global trade has been a mixed tapestry of challenges and

opportunities, accentuated by the disruptive force of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Globalization, while creating job opportunities across various sectors, has showcased

disparities in employment patterns during the pandemic. The crisis triggered declines in

employment across industries, notably affecting women and rural workers. However, the

agriculture sector presented a unique narrative, experiencing a temporary rise in employment

share, albeit accompanied by fluctuations in wage employment.

The tourism industry, a significant contributor to economic growth, faced severe setbacks

due to pandemic-induced restrictions. Globalization's interconnectedness facilitated international

travel, yet the pandemic led to unprecedented declines in tourist arrivals, revenue loss, and

elevated unemployment within the sector. Recovery efforts centered on vaccination progress and

the gradual easing of travel restrictions for both domestic and international tourism.

Globalization in agriculture accelerated technological adoption, offering solutions amid

supply chain disruptions. While challenges such as labor shortages, logistics disruptions, and
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
41

decreased food security emerged, the crisis expedited digital transformation in the sector.

Platforms facilitating trade between farmers and consumers emerged, highlighting a twirl toward

digital solutions in agriculture.

Globalization, intertwined with technological advancement, revealed educational

disparities during the pandemic. School closures and the shift to distance learning exposed the

digital divide, impacting underprivileged students disproportionately. Access to technology

became a critical determinant of educational continuity, accentuating the need for inclusive

educational policies.

The globalization of trade, a cornerstone of economic growth, faced disruptions that

reverberated across sectors. Global value chains were severely affected, causing declines in

exports and imports, impacting various industries. Efforts to stabilize aggregate demand and

mitigate the negative impacts of disruptions were crucial in navigating the challenges posed by

the pandemic.

In conclusion, while globalization has significantly contributed to the Philippine economy's

growth and interconnectedness with the global landscape, the pandemic exposed vulnerabilities

across sectors. Mitigating the adverse effects of globalization-related disruptions, particularly in

employment, tourism, agriculture, education, and global trade, entails strategic policies aimed at

strengthening resilience, bridging disparities, and fostering inclusive growth in a post-pandemic

era. The pandemic's impact underscores the imperative for a comprehensive and adaptive
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
42

approach to global integration, emphasizing the need for resilience-building measures to navigate

unforeseen challenges in the future.

V. Recommendations

Employment

The employment sector can benefit significantly from Skills Development and Reskilling

Initiatives. By investing in programs that enhance skills and retrain workers, the employment

landscape can adapt to emerging needs. This strategy aligns the workforce with industries

experiencing growth post-pandemic, while also aiding those affected by job losses in sectors hit

hardest by the pandemic. The execution plan involves identifying growth sectors, mapping

existing skills against future demands, developing targeted training programs, and offering

accessible training modules through online platforms and community centers. Incentives such as

stipends or scholarships can motivate individuals undergoing training, while regular monitoring

and evaluation ensure program effectiveness. To execute this plan effectively, communicating

with public-private partnerships for funding, collaborating with industry experts for manpower, and

utilizing existing educational or community spaces for training must be in considerations.

Tourism

Encouraging domestic tourism growth is crucial for industry resurgence, reducing reliance

on international travel. Targeted promotional campaigns spotlighting local treasures and cultural

richness are important, paralleled by investments in tourism infrastructure like roads and

accommodations, especially in high-traffic zones. Collaboration with local stakeholders and


The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
43

governments drives sustainable enhancements. Implementing strict safety standards aligns with

global practices, reinstating traveler trust post-pandemic. Crafting affordable tourism packages,

in tandem with local businesses, widens accessibility, while user-friendly digital platforms

enhance traveler experiences. Prioritizing infrastructure development in key tourist hubs,

supporting local labor, and simplifying logistics via partnerships sustainably rejuvenates domestic

tourism within budget limitations, using available resources effectively.

Agriculture

Integrating digital solutions into agriculture through Digital Integration and Market Access

initiatives holds immense potential for enhancing market connections for farmers. By creating

user-friendly platforms that link farmers directly to consumers, this strategy strengthens food

supply chains while increasing farmers' incomes by removing intermediaries. The execution plan

involves developing digital platforms, providing training on e-commerce and quality control,

establishing partnerships with marketplaces, ensuring quality standards, and facilitating financial

access for technology investment. To execute this plan effectively despite budget constraints,

starting with pilot programs in select regions before nationwide expansion is prudent. Using

existing community centers or agricultural hubs for training and employing a blend of agricultural

experts and tech professionals for manpower would optimize resources.

Education

Ensuring equal access to education through Bridging the Digital Divide and Teacher

Training initiatives is crucial. Providing devices and internet access to underprivileged students

while developing interactive digital learning materials aligned with the curriculum can bridge the
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
44

gap. Enhancing teacher training in online teaching methods further elevates the quality of remote

education. The execution plan involves technology distribution, curriculum development, teacher

training workshops, support systems, and community engagement. To navigate budget

constraints, focusing on high-need regions, utilizing volunteer educators or NGOs for training, and

partnering with telecom companies for discounted internet packages would optimize resources.

Global Trade

Diversification of Export Markets and Streamlining Trade Processes. This strategic

approach aims to mitigate overdependence on specific regions and boost the economy against

global disruptions by diversifying export markets. Simultaneously, it seeks to optimize trade

procedures to enhance efficiency and diminish transaction costs for businesses. The execution

plan involves a multi-pronged strategy: First, conducting thorough market analysis to identify

untapped markets and emerging economies for export diversification. Second, fostering trade

agreements or partnerships to facilitate smoother exports to these new markets. Third, improving

trade facilitation processes by simplifying procedures, reducing paperwork, and expediting

customs clearance. Fourth, initiating export promotion campaigns that spotlight Philippine

products in these fresh markets. Finally, providing vigorous support services to businesses

navigating complex international trade regulations and documentation. In implementing these

initiatives, it's crucial to consider several factors, including managing within budget constraints by

prioritizing select key markets or industries for export diversification, utilizing existing trade offices

or digital platforms for promotional activities due to facility constraints, and training government

trade officials to efficiently assist businesses in navigating trade procedures, acknowledging

manpower limitations. This comprehensive approach aims to fortify the Philippine economy's
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
45

global trade resilience, offering a pathway for sustained growth and adaptability in an ever-

evolving global market landscape.

Crafted with sector-specific needs in mind, these recommendations promote a strategic

path for policy implementation, thoughtfully accounting for budget constraints, existing facilities,

manpower availability, logistical considerations, and collaboration with diverse stakeholders. By

customizing these strategies to local contexts and maximizing the utilization of available

resources, the Philippines can skillfully steer towards post-pandemic resilience and sustainable

growth.
The Economic Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Philippine Globalization
46

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