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OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
FUTURE POLITICS
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
JAMIE
SUSSKIND
LIVING TOGETHER IN A WORLD TRANSFORMED BY TECH
FUTURE
POLITICS
1
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
3
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© Jamie Susskind 2018
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First Edition published in 2018
Impression: 1
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OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
ACK NOWLEDGEMENT S
I could not have written this book without the help of my friends,
colleagues, and family.
Most of Future Politics was completed during a Fellowship at
Harvard University’s Berkman Klein Center for Internet and Society.
The Center is a special place, and its staff and Fellows are a constant
source of inspiration. I am also indebted to the staff and members of
Littleton Chambers, who have tolerated my absences and supported
my work with great patience and loyalty.
I have been lucky to find, in Dominic Byatt, the ideal editor:
always insightful, frequently critical, and generally indulgent of my
foibles. My agent, Caroline Michel, has looked after me from the
beginning and I am always thankful to have her on my side. It has
been a pleasure to work with the fine teams at Oxford University
Press and Peters Fraser + Dunlop: Tim Binding, Alexandra Cliff,
Tessa David, Kate Farquhar-Thomson, Phil Henderson, Dan Herron,
Erin Meehan, Laurie Robertson, Sarah Russo, and Olivia Wells. Chris
Summerville expertly copy-edited the final text.
I am grateful to Luciano Floridi, Vicki Nash, and Susannah Otter,
whose early guidance helped to get the project off the ground.
Fred Popplewell’s research was enormously useful. I have benefitted
deeply from conversations with Yochai Benkler, Alex Canfor-
Dumas, Amber Case, Matt Clifford, David Cox, Primavera De
Filippi, Gabriella Fee, Howard Gardner, Josh Glancy, Philip Howard,
Laurence Lessig, Andrew Perlman, Michael Sandel, Bruce Schneier,
Carina Namih, Beth Simone Noveck, David Weinberger, Owain
Williams, Ellen Winner, Tom Woodward, and Jonathan Zittrain.
David Wilkins has been an invaluable source of wisdom and counsel.
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
viii Acknowledgements
Acknowledgements ix
the early 1980s; and that he and my brother Daniel Susskind (an
economist) co-authored a book called The Future of the Professions
in 2015. If you read that book, you will see the extent of my intel-
lectual debt to them both. Daniel has been my most thoughtful and
generous reader, as well as my fiercest supporter.
I do not have the words to describe what I owe to my dad or
how grateful I am to him. It’s been the greatest joy and good fortune
of my life to have him as my best friend, mentor, and guide. We’ve
been in constant conversation for nearly thirty years, and for the
last few we’ve mostly been talking about this book. His influence
and inspiration are present on every page.
Jamie Susskind
London
May 2018
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
Every effort has been made to trace and contact copyright holders
prior to publication. If notified, the publisher will be pleased to
rectify any errors or omissions at the earliest opportunity.
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
CONTENT S
Introduction 1
xiv Contents
Notes 367
Bibliography 437
Index 491
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 31/05/18, SPi
Introduction
The future stalks us. It is always waiting, barely out of sight, lurking
around the corner or over the next rise.We can never be sure what
form it will take. Often it catches us entirely unprepared.
Nowadays, many of us share the sense that we are approaching a
time of great upheaval.The world seems to be changing faster than
we can grasp. Often we struggle to explain political events that
would have been unimaginable just a few years ago. Sometimes we
don’t even have the words to describe them. Inwardly, we know
that this is just the beginning.
The premise of this book is that relentless advances in science
and technology are set to transform the way we live together, with
consequences for politics that are profound and frightening in
equal measure.We are not yet ready—intellectually, philosophically,
or morally—for the world we are creating. In the next few decades,
old ways of thinking that have served us well for hundreds, even
thousands, of years, will be called into question. New debates, con-
troversies, movements, and ideologies will come to the fore. Some
of our most deeply held assumptions will be revised or abandoned
altogether. Together we will need to re-imagine what it means to
be free or equal, what it means to have power or property, and even
what it means for a political system to be democratic. Politics in the
future will be quite unlike politics in the past.
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 26/05/18, SPi
2 FUTURE POLITICS
Introduction 3
4 FUTURE POLITICS
Introduction 5
6 FUTURE POLITICS
Philosophical Engineers
Introduction 7
8 FUTURE POLITICS
and the sciences. Political philosophy and social policy rarely appear
in degree programmes for science, technology, engineering, and
mathematics. And if you ask the average liberal arts student how a
computer works, you are unlikely to get a sophisticated response.
In tech firms themselves, few engineers are tasked with thinking
hard about the systemic consequences of their work. Most are
given discrete technical problems to solve. Innovation in the tech
sector is ultimately driven by profit, even if investors are prepared
to take a ‘good idea first, profits later’ approach. This is not a criticism:
it’s just that there’s no reason why making money and improving
the world will always be the same thing. In fact, as many of the
examples in this book show, there’s plenty of evidence to suggest
that digital technology is too often designed from the perspective
of the powerful and privileged.
As time goes on, we will need more philosophical engineers
worthy of the name. And it will become even more important for
the rest of us to engage critically with the work of tech firms,
not least because tech working culture is notorious for its lack of
diversity. Roughly nine out of every ten Silicon Valley executives
are men.9 Despite the fact that African-Americans make up about
10 per cent of computer science graduates and 14 per cent of the
overall workforce, they make up less than 3 per cent of computing
roles in Silicon Valley.10 And many in the tech community hold
strong political views that are way outside the mainstream. More
than 44 per cent of Bitcoin adopters in 2013, for instance, professed
to be ‘libertarian or anarcho-capitalists who favour elimination
of the state’.11
As I will argue, we put so much at risk when we delegate matters
of political importance to the tiny group that happens to be tasked
with developing digital technologies at a given time. That’s true
whether you admire the philosophical engineers of Silicon Valley
or you think that most ‘tech bros’ have the political sophistication
OUP CORRECTED PROOF – FINAL, 26/05/18, SPi
Introduction 9
10 FUTURE POLITICS
Introduction 11
12 FUTURE POLITICS
Before ploughing on, let’s begin with a simple question: what is the
connection between digital technology and politics?
Technology in General
"These are the links in a long and very strong chain of gold
uniting the colonies with the Mother Country. Quite recently,
large quantities of German capital have been invested in
various industries. The Empire's capital in United States
railroads is put down at $180,000,000. In America, Germans
have undertaken manufacturing. They have used German money to
put up breweries, hat factories, spinning, weaving, and paper
mills, tanneries, soap-boiling establishments, candle mills,
dye houses, mineral-water works, iron foundries, machine
shops, dynamite mills, etc. Many of these mills use German
machinery, and not a few German help. The Liebig Company, the
Chilean saltpeter mines, the Chilean and Peruvian metal mines,
many of the mines of South Africa, etc., are in large part
controlled by German money and German forces. Two hundred
different kinds of foreign bonds or papers are on the Berlin,
Hamburg, and Frankfort exchanges. Germany has rapidly risen to
a very important place in the financial, industrial, and
mercantile world. Will she keep it? Much will depend on her
power to push herself on the sea."
{248}
GERMANY: A. D. 1899.
Military statistics.
GERMANY: A. D. 1900.
Military and naval expenditure.
GERMANY: A. D. 1900.
Naval strength.
R. Sohm,
The Civil Code of Germany
(Forum, October, 1800).
GERMANY: A. D. 1900 (January-March).
The outbreak of the "Boxers" in northern China.
{250}
W. C. Dreher,
A Letter from Germany
(Atlantic Monthly, March, 1901).
"The new Elbe and Trave Canal, which has been building five
years and has been completed at a cost of 24,500,000 marks
($5,831,000)—of which Prussia contributed 7,500,000 marks
($1,785,000) and the old Hansa town of Lübeck, which is now
reviving, 17,000,000 marks ($4,046,000)—was formally opened by
the German Emperor on the 16th [of June]. The length of the
new canal-which is the second to join the North Sea and the
Baltic, following the Kaiser Wilhelm Ship Canal, or Kiel
Canal, which was finished five years ago at a cost of
156,000,000 marks ($37,128,000)-is about 41 miles. The
available breadth of the new canal is 72 feet; breadth of the
lock gates, 46 feet; length of the locks, 87 yards; depth of
the locks, 8 feet 2 inches. The canal is crossed by
twenty-nine bridges, erected at a cost of $1,000,000. The span
of the bridges is in all cases not less than 30 yards and
their height above water level about 15 feet. There are seven
locks, five being between Lübeck and the Möllner See—the
highest point of the canal—and two between Möllner See and
Lauenburg-on-the-Elbe."
{251}
"Germany has lately taken a step to clear off the haze from
her financial horizon by calling in the outstanding thalers
which are full legal tender, and turning them into subsidiary
coins of limited legal tender—a process which will extend
over ten years. At the end of that time, if no misfortune
intervenes, she will be on the gold standard as surely and
safely as England is. Her banks can now tender silver to their
customers when they ask for gold, as the Bank of France can
and does occasionally. When this last measure is carried into
effect the only full legal-tender money in Germany will be
gold, or Government notes redeemable in gold."
W. C. Dreher,
A Letter from Germany
(Atlantic Monthly, March, 1901).
{252}
W. C. Dreher,
A Letter from Germany
(Atlantic Monthly, March, 1901).
"But though Germany has only one city of more than one
million, and one more of more than half a million, and the
United States has three of each class, Germany has, in
proportion to its population rather more cities of from 50,000
to 100,000 inhabitants, and decidedly more of from 100,000 to
500,000, than the United States. In the United States
8,000,000 people live in cities of over 500,000 inhabitants,
against some 3,000,000 in Germany; yet in the United States a
larger percentage of the population lives in places which have
under 50,000 inhabitants."