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Pre-Disaster: Discussion On SE Asian Climate, Risk Management - Pre Disaster Stage: Prevention and Preparedness
Pre-Disaster: Discussion On SE Asian Climate, Risk Management - Pre Disaster Stage: Prevention and Preparedness
Dr Suzyrman Sibly
Centre for Global Sustainability Studies
Systainability Asia 1
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”The Quadruple Human growth
Squeeze” 20/80 dilemma
Climate Ecosystems
550/450/350 60 % loss dilemma
dilemma
Surprise
99/1 dilemma
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Climate Change Risk Increasing
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www.systainabilityasia.com Source: International Panel on Climate Change, 2014.
Key Risks Key
of Climate
Risks inDisruption
Asia in Asia
HAZARDS EXPOSURE
RISK
VULNERABILITY LOCATION
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Characteristic of Disaster
Predictability
Controllability
Speed of onset
Length of forewarning
Duration of impact
Scope and intensity of
impact
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Hazard, exposure and vulnerability drive
direct risk in Disaster Risk Management
Analysis
Disaster Disas
Risk Reducing Risk & Increasing
ter
Risk
Resilience
Exposure Exposure
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Source: Adapted and expanded from IIASA CATSIM model (Mechler et al., 2006)
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Resilience
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Resilience . . What are we talking about?
Etymology: 17th century, from Latin resiliens, resilire "to rebound, recoil" - re-
"back" + salire "to jump, leap” (C.S. " Buzz " Holling – 1973 – landscape
ecology)
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Key factors influencing resilience and
decreasing disaster risk
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Preparedness
• The knowledge and capacities developed by governments,
professional response and recovery organizations,
communities and individuals to effectively anticipate,
respond to, and recover from, the impacts of likely,
imminent or current hazard events or conditions.
• Comment: Preparedness action is carried out within the context of disaster risk
management and aims to build the capacities needed to efficiently manage all
types of emergencies and achieve orderly transitions from response through to
sustained recovery. Preparedness is based on a sound analysis of disaster risks and
good linkages with early warning systems, and includes such activities as
contingency planning, stockpiling of equipment and supplies, the development of
arrangements for coordination, evacuation and public information, and associated
training and field exercises. These must be supportedby formal institutional, legal
and budgetary capacities. The related term “readiness” describes the ability to
quickly and appropriately respond when required.
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Disasters happen. You plan for
them, work to prevent them, or
turn a blind eye and hope one will
never occur. Sooner or later, you
must deal with one. Disasters
come in all sizes. Sometimes
disasters affect a small
neighborhood, sometimes the
entire community, and in the most
extreme and tragic times the
entire region and country. Since
you do not know when or how
extensive the disaster will be, you
can only be prepared.”
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"An ounce of
prevention is worth
a pound of cure"
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“Disaster response planning and prevention, or
preparedness, are performed when all is sane
and quiet, and decisions are made in a rational,
carefully considered manner.”
From “Disaster Response and Planning for
Libraries” – Miriam B. Khan
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Structural and non-structural measures in
disaster prevention and preparedness planning
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Disaster preparedness
• Preparedness should be in the form of money, manpower
and materials
• Evaluation from past experiences about risk
• Location of disaster prone areas
• Organization of communication, information and warning
system
• Ensuring co-ordination and response mechanisms
• Development of public education programme
• Co-ordination with media
• National & international relations
• Keeping stock of foods, drug and other essential
commodities
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Lao PDR Disaster Risks at a Glance
• Population: 6,769,727
• Major Threats: Floods, Storm, Fire, Drought
• Populations Affected: Urban & Rural
• Locations Affected: All
• Industries Affected: Agriculture,
Transport,Technology/Communications, Energy, Tourism
• Compounding Issues: Urban Migration, Informal
Settlements, Environmental Degradation, Climate Change;
• World Risk Index Ranking: 100/173
• Global Climate Risk Index: 67/178
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USE GLOBAL KNOWLEDGE AND EXPERIENCES AS
A BASIS FOR DISASTER PREPAREDNESS
SCIENCE &
TECHNOLOGY
RESILIENT CONSTRUCTION
TRANSPORTATION TECHNIQUES
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Recommendations for DRR-SD
Preparedness
• Mobilising stakeholder participation of Self Help Groups,
Women’s Groups, Youth Groups, etc.
• Anticipatory Governance: Simulation exercises, Mock
drills and Scenario Analysis
• Indigenous knowledge systems and coping practices
• Living with Risk: Community Based Disaster Risk
Management
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Recommendations for DRR-SD
Preparedness
• Investments in Preparedness and Prevention
(Mitigation) will yield sustainable results, rather than
spending money on relief after a disaster.
• Most disasters are predictable, especially in their
seasonality and the disaster-prone areas which are
vulnerable.
• Communities must be involved in disaster
preparedness.
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Recommendations for DRR-SD
Preparedness
• Investments in Preparedness and Prevention
(Mitigation) will yield sustainable results, rather than
spending money on relief after a disaster.
• Most disasters are predictable, especially in their
seasonality and the disaster-prone areas which are
vulnerable.
• Communities must be involved in disaster
preparedness.
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Recommendations for DRR-SD
Preparedness
• Inclusive, participatory, gender sensitive, child friendly,
eco-friendly and disabled friendly disaster management
• Technology driven but people owned
• Knowledge Management: Documentation and
dissemination of good practices
• Public Private Partnership
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Summary of Key Messages
• Humanity has had a huge impact on the planet’s
resource base and ecological systems causing planetary
climate disruption that is producing more extreme
weather events and impacts.
• We must focus on adaptive resilience of our socio-
economic and natural environmental systems. We know
what to do!
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Comments, Questions?
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