Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment

(CDRA) Overview
November 11-15, 2019
Terrace Hotel, Waterfront Road, Subic Bay Freeport Zone
TOPIC OUTLINE

The Legal Bases of CDRA

Purpose of Mainstreaming CDRA

Basic Concept and Process

Utilization of CDRA Results (Policy Interventions and
Risk Management Options)
The Legal Bases of CDRA
THE PHILIPPINE CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY
FRAMEWORK
 THE PHILIPPINE CLIMATE CHANGE POLICY

Borrowed slide from: ALONA R. ARREZA. Climate Change Commission. October 20, 2015
RA 10121: PHILIPPINE DISASTER RISK
REDUCTION AND MANAGEMENT ACT of 2010

 An act strengthening the Philippine disaster risk

reduction and management system, providing for the
national disaster risk reduction and management
framework and institutionalizing the national disaster
risk reduction and management plan, appropriating
funds therefor and for other purposes.
 Sustainable
Development Goals
2015-2030
(New York, Sep 2015)

Priority 1 Priority 2
Sendai Framework for Understanding
disaster risk
Strengthening disaster risk
governance to manage

Disaster Risk Reduction disaster risk

2015-2030 Priority 3
Investing in disaster
Priority 4
Enhancing disaster preparedness for
effective response, and to “Build Back
(Sendai, Mar 2015) risk reduction for Better” in recovery, rehabilitation and
resilience reconstruction

Paris Climate Change

Agreement
(Paris, Dec 2015)
GUIDES FOR MAINSTREAMING CCA-DRR
INTO THE CLUP AND ZO

Climate Change Adaptation and Supplemental Guidelines on Mainstreaming Climate

Disaster Risk Reduction and Disaster Risks in the Comprehensive Land Use Plan
(Volume 2, CLUP Guidebook 2014, HLURB) (Project Climate Twin Phoenix: HLURB/Climate Change Commission/UNDP/AusAID)
 Purpose of
Mainstreaming CDRA
 Purpose of Mainstreaming CDRA

Better understand natural hazards and

climate change and how these would likely
alter the development path of the locality
Understand risks posed by natural hazards and
climate change on exposed areas, sectors and
communities
Identify priority decision areas and
development challenges posed by climate
change and natural hazards
Determine realistic projections on demand
and supply
 Purpose of Mainstreaming CDRA

Incorporate spatial development goals,

objectives and targets to reduce risks and
vulnerabilities

Make informed decisions to effectively

address risks and vulnerabilities

Identify appropriate risk reduction and climate

change adaptation and mitigation measures as inputs
to the comprehensive development planning and
investment programming
 CDRA as TOOL for SITUATION ANALYSIS

CDRA as additional tool for

analyzing the Situation
 CDRA

CD
RA

CD
CDRA RA
 CDRA

CLUP CDP

LDRRMP LCCAP
BASIC CONCEPTS
Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment

Population
 Studying risks
and
vulnerabilities of Urban Use Areas
exposed
Natural-Resource Based
elements Production Areas
associated with
natural hazards Lifeline Utilities
and climate
change.
Critical Point Facilities
CLIMATE CHANGE
VULNERABILITY
ASSESSMENT

DISASTER RISK
ASSESSMENT
DEFINITION OF TERMS

Risk

The expected losses (of lives, persons injured, property damaged and economic activity
disrupted) due to a particular hazard for a given area and reference period
DEFINITION OF TERMS

is the degree to which a system is susceptible to, or unable to

Vulnerability cope with, adverse effects of climate change, including
climate variability and extremes
DEFINITION OF TERMS

Exposure

refers to people,
property, systems,
or other elements
present in hazard zones
that are thereby subject
to potential losses
DEFINITION OF TERMS

Sensitivity

is the degree to which a system is

affected, either adversely or beneficially,
by Climate-Related stimuli
DEFINITION OF TERMS

Adaptive
Capacity

is the ability of a system to adjust to

climate change (including climate
variability and extremes) to moderate potential
damages, to take advantage of opportunities,
or to cope with the consequences
 6 Dimensions of Adaptive Capacity
TECHNOLOGY
• Example: drought
WEALTH resistant crop types
• Financial resources being tested, research
conducted
SOCIAL CAPITAL
• Capacities, organized
groups, CSO, trained
staff

INFORMATION INSTITUTION INFRASTRUCTURE

• Level of knowledge, AND • Structures to withstand
info dissemination climate projections
GOVERNANCE
• Policies, plans and
programs
BASIC CONCEPT

Exposure
refers to people, property, systems, or other elements
present in hazard zones that are thereby subject to
potential losses.

– It is expressed as the area and/or monetary unit, for social,

economic and environmental related property.
– In terms of population exposure, it shall be expressed as the
number of affected individuals or households exposed to a
climate stimulus.
BASIC CONCEPT

Sensitivity
is the degree to which a
system is affected

Adaptive capacity
is the ability of a system
to adjust to climate
change
BASIC CONCEPT

Risk
is the expected losses (of lives, persons injured, property
damaged and economic activity disrupted) due to a
particular hazard for a given area and reference period.
The unit of measure of risk could be number of fatality or
value of damaged property
BASIC CONCEPT

Likelihood of occurrence
is the estimated period of time expressed
in years, that a hazard of a certain
magnitude is likely to repeat itself

Severity of Consequence
is a measure of the degree of impact, such
as injury, death, damage, interruption
brought to the sector of concern
 Exposure Sensitivity

CONCEPTUAL
FRAMEWORK Potential Adaptive
Impact Capacity

Severity of
Hazard Consequence Vulnerability

Risk
AR5Conceptual Framework
Convergence of Climate Change Adaptation and
Disaster Risk Management
 C l i mate an d Di saste r R i sk A sse ssm e n t

CLIMATE CHANGE VULNERABILITY

DISASTER RISK ASSESSMENT (DRA)
ASSESSMENT (CCVA)

Climate Projections Hazards

Sea Level Extreme
Temperature Rainfall Flooding Landslides Tsunami
Rise Events

Climate Impact Chains Systems of Interest

Natural Critical
Coastal Urban Urban Use Lifeline
Forest Agriculture Population Resource- Point
Area Area Areas
Based
Utilities
Facilities
CCVA
EXPOSURE SENSITIVITY

POTENTIAL ADAPTIVE
IMPACTS CAPACITY

VULNERABILITY

ADAPTATION
Source: IPCC 2001
 EXPOSURE SENSITIVITY

Adaptation measures
for climate change POTENTIAL ADAPTIVE
should focus on: IMPACTS CAPACITY
1. Reducing exposed
elements
2. Reducing sensitivity VULNERABILITY
to climate change
3. Enhancing adaptive
capacity ADAPTATION
The concept and practice of reducing disaster risks through systematic efforts
to analyze and manage the causal factors of disasters, including through
reduced exposure to hazards, lessened vulnerability of people and property,
wise management of land and the environment, and improved preparedness
for adverse events (UNISDR, 2009).

Hazard Exposure Hazard Exposure

Risk Risk

Vulnerability
Vulnerability

DRA
 Risk reduction measures should focus on reducing
occurrences of hazards, and reducing exposure and
vulnerability to these hazards

Hazard Exposure Hazard Exposure

Risk Risk

Vulnerability
Vulnerability
REFERENCES

 CLUP Guidebooks 2013-2014

 HLURB CDRA Powerpoint Presentation, 2017
 HLURB Supplemental Guidelines on Mainstreaming
CCA-DRR into the CLUP
 GIS Guidebook: A Guide to Data Management
 Climate Change in the Philippines, PAGASA
 THANK YOU!
 Questions?