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Net Cash position of Rs. 2,830 Mn Cash Flow from operations to the Capex incurred during the period
tune of Rs. 2,043 Mn as compared Rs. 383 Mn
to Rs. 1,106 Mn in FY20 CapEx/Sales – 3.42%
SEGMENT MIX
FY17 FY18
FY20 Q2 FY 20 Q2 FY 21 Q3 FY 20 Q3 FY 21
FY19 PC CVR 2W/3W Trading
CHANNEL MIX
83% 85% 85% 85% 85% 83% 85% 83% - Export not a sizable revenue contributor and is
around 3-4 %
Future Development
• M&M (3), VW (2), PSA (1), TML (1)
Top 3 Customers
• Maruti Suzuki, Volkswagen, Mahindra & Mahindra
CV & RAILWAY SEGMENT
Performance
• Moderate growth coming back slowly reflecting in better production volumes by OEMs
New Program
• WABCO- Air suspension, MTBD- ICV 16T & Force Motors – T1 3350
Challenge
• As per SIAM data, the overall commercial vehicles segment registered a growth of 14% Q3 FY21 as compared to Q3
FY20
• Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles (M&HCVs) sales grew by 15% YoY and Light Commercial Vehicles (LCVs) grew by
12% YoY in Q3 FY21
Future Development
• Ashok Leyland – MBP, Partner; Force Motors – T1N
Top 3 Customers
• Tata Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki
GROWTH STRATEGY
Hero Moto Corp & Honda Motorcycle & Scooters India were the top 2 players in the
2 wheelers segment with market share of 35.77% & 27.02% in FY-20, also
respectively posting a growth of 12% & 38% in August 2020.
Ola Electric is on track of its plan to 2W EV’s, which will be reconfigured version of
Netherlands based Etergo BV’s App Scooter. Ola is planning to roll out 10 Million
electric scooters in 2022.
More than 78 percent of motor vehicles on the road are two-wheelers, their popularity
is driven by low price, high fuel mileage, and an ability to drive efficiently through
dense traffic.
INDIA 3W MARKET
Bajaj Auto was the leader in the three wheelers passenger category with 64% market
share followed by Piaggio vehicles which stood at 20%.
Piaggio Vehicles dominated the 3W load category with 42% market share followed by
Bajaj which stood at 27%
Electrification of 3W is the most convenient looking at the daily km’s covered by 3W
vehicles.
Equity Valuation
WACC 11.26%
PV of cash flows (In Crores) ₹ 902.73
PV of Terminal value (In Crores) ₹ 1,170.91
Enterprise Value (In Crores) ₹ 2,073.63
Less: Net Debt (In Crores) ₹ 56.21
Add: Investments (In Crores) ₹ 35.18
Equity Value (In Crores) ₹ 2,165.03
# of shares 14,36,43,940
Value/share (INR) ₹ 150.72
The current changes in the automotive environment and the global shift in the technology are
the biggest issues Indian automakers. One can determine that Mergers and Acquisitions is
the best option for the automobile industry to survive in the cutting throat competition.
M&A renders a big share to the automotive industry by facilitating cost saving through the
economies of scale. One critical factor in achieving success in M&A and increase the
outcome is through standardization of the process. Considering future prospects, one can
expect a rapid increase in M&A activity, particularly on the supplier’s side of the automobile
markets.
The automotive industry is one of the richest industries in India. However, it has to fraught
with challenges and issues. By overcoming these challenges, the Indian automotive
industry shall become one of the biggest automotive distributors in the global market.
VALUATION IS AN IMPORTANT
ASPECT IN M&A BUT MANY TIMES
FOCUS IS ONLY ON THE NUMBERS
AND THE SUBTLE QUALITATIVE
ASPECTS AND OUTCOMES OF FUTURE
ARE NEGLECTED.
HENCE A TRUE VALUATION HAS TO THANK YOU
FACTOR BOTH THE NUMBERS AS
WELL AS THE FUTURISTIC
INTANGIBLES WHICH GET REDUCED
TO NUMBERS (CONSENSUS
FORECAST)