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Introduction

to Probability
Bilques Post Graduation College
Possibility
Chance

What is Likelihood
----how likely something will happen-
Probability
? -Subjective
-Classical/mathematical
To make.......

Why study Inferences/Decisions


Probability ?
Research conclusions
Probability is a numerical measure of
the likelihood that an event will occur.
Definition Notation: The probability of an event A is
written P(A)
of Scale: 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ 1
Probabilit
y If P(A) = 0, event A cannot occur /Impossible

If P(E) = 1, event A is certain to occur/sure


Basic
formula of
Probabilit
y
There are 20 marbles in a bag, 4 blue, 4 green, 4 red,
4 white and 4 black.  Remember that all fraction
answers should be given in the simplest form. What
is the probability of drawing a blue marble? 
A. 1/20
Solve it. B. 4/20
C. 4/5
D. 1/5
Q: Calculate probabilities ………..
Deck of 52 cards
Total number of
events ?

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