Course 7th Grade Math DETAIL LESSON PLAN

Tuesday, April 16 / Wednesday, April 17

Student Objective
(Obj. 5d) TSW… determine probability through experimentation and calculations.

Lesson
12-1, 12-2 Probability (Textbook Pages: 580-589)

Extra Resources
Bring a basket and set of balls for demonstration on experimental probability.

Homework
Probability Practice Sheet (3 problems)

Last Night’s Homework

None

Bellwork
MCT Practice Test (Form A) – Problem numbers ____________________________________________________.

Prior Knowledge
 Earlier in the year, we learned to convert between fractions, decimals and percents.
 Let me show you a program that will help you convert between fractions, decimals, and percents. You will have to share
graphing calculators due to MAP testing.

Fraction__ ______ Decimal___.75_____ Percent___75%_____

Anticipatory Set
 TODAY we will be using those skills to help us calculate something called…. “Probability”.
 Let’s take a look at how probability is used on the TV game show “Wheel of Fortune”  (Display transparencies)

Teacher Input
 Pass out Student Notes.
 Define probability.
 Explain that there are two types of probability  theoretical and experimental
 Demonstrate theoretical probability
 Allow students to work you-try problems
 Demonstrate experimental probability (Do basketball experiment if time.)
 Allow students to work you-try problems

 Classwork: Berg Probability Practice Sheet

Extra Practice: Students may begin homework.

Assessment
Observation and questioning.

Closure
1. Name the two types of probability that we learned about in class today. Theoretical and Experimental

2. We have a bag that contains 3 red marbles and 5 yellow marbles. Alex randomly reaches his hand in and grabs a marble.
As a fraction… What is the probability that he will pull out a yellow marble?
What is the probability that he will pull out a green! 0

3. What type of probability is the marble question above? Theoretical or Experimental

Alternative Closure: Demonstrate experimental probability (Do basketball experiment if time.)

Wheel of fortune is a popular game show hosted by Pat Sajak and Vanna White.

Three contestants compete against each other to solve a word puzzle, similar to the game
“hangman”. The name of the show comes from the large wheel that determines the dollar
amount and prizes won (or lost) by the contestants!
If you were a contestant on the Wheel of Fortune, you might be interested in
knowing what the probability is that you will land on $300, $5,000, or Bankrupt
when you spin the wheel!

$300  = .2083333 = 21%

$5,000  = .041666 = 4%

Let’s find out more about Probability………

Student Notes Lesson 12-1, 12-2 Probability Textbook Pages (586-589)

What is Probability?
 Probability allows you to calculate how likely something is to happen.

 Probability can be expressed as a fraction, a decimal, or a percent!

 There are two types of probability:

Theoretical Probability
Experimental Probability

Theoretical Probability (In theory… what will happen?)

It allows you to calculate the chance (or the odds) of an event happening BEFORE it actually happens.

Formula: P (event) = number of favorable outcomes

total number of possible outcomes

Example 1
Green Red Green Green Red Blue

Blue Blue Blue Blue

The above marbles are in a marble bag. What is the theoretical probability of selecting each of the following if you
were to reach your hand inside the bag and pull one out? Express your answer as a fraction, decimal, and percent!
Answer
 P (selecting a red marble): 2 out of 10 chance   = .2 = 20 %

 P (selecting a blue marble): 5 out of 10 chance   = .5 = 50 %

 P (green): fraction: ______ decimal: ______ percent: ______

 P (red or blue): fraction: ______ decimal: ______ percent: ______

 Experimental Probability

(Doing an experiment to see what actually happens!)

We can use experimental probability to help us predict outcomes!

Formula: P (event) = number of actual outcomes

total number of trials

Coin Toss Example

The following table shows the outcomes from tossing a coin 8 times.

Toss #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 #7 #8
Outcome H H T H T T H H

What is the experimental probability of tossing tails?

P(tails) = = or .375 or 37.5%

What is the experimental probability of tossing heads?

P(heads) = fraction: ______ decimal: ______ percent: ______

Name: ________________________ Date: _________ Period: _________

Probability
Classwork
Theoretical Probability

Determine the Theoretical Probability of each.

Write your answer as a fraction, decimal and percent.

If needed…round to nearest tenth.

1. P(rolling a 6 on a dice) fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

2. P(spinning a 3) fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

P(spinning a 3 or a 4) fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

3. You mix the letters: A, C, Q, U, A, I, N, A, N, C in a bag.

Without looking, you select one letter. Find the probability of the following events:

P (A) = fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

P (C) = fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

Experimental Probability

4. Lisa tosses a quarter 80 times. It actually lands on heads 40 times.

What is the experimental probability of the following event?

What is P(heads): fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

Name: _____Answer Key____________ Date: _________ Period: _________

Probability

Theoretical Probability Classwork

Determine the Theoretical Probability of each.
Write your answer as a fraction, decimal and percent.

If needed…round to nearest tenth.

1. P(rolling a 6 on a dice) fraction decimal .16666… percent 16.7%

.167 (rounded)

2. P(spinning a 3) fraction decimal .375 percent 37.5%

P(spinning a 3 or a 4) fraction = decimal .5 percent 50%

3. You mix the letters: A, C, Q, U, A, I, N, A, N, C in a bag.

Without looking, you select one letter. Find the probability of the following events:

P (A) = fraction decimal .3 percent 30%

P (C) = fraction = decimal .2 percent 20%

Experimental Probability

4. Lisa tosses a quarter 80 times. It actually lands on heads 40 times.

What is the experimental probability of the following event?

What is P(heads): fraction = decimal .5 percent 50%

Name: ________________________ Date: _________ Period: _________

Probability

Determine the Theoretical Probability of each.

Write your answer as a fraction, decimal and percent.

If needed…round to nearest tenth.

You spin the above spinner 1 time. Find the probability of the following events:

1. P(red) fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

P(blue or green) fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

2. You mix the letters: A, C, Q, U, A, I, N, A, N, C in a bag.

Without looking, you select one letter. Find the probability of the following event:

P (Q) = fraction _____ decimal _____ percent _____

3. Eric put 2 green marbles, 5 red marbles, 5 yellow marbles, and 8 blue marbles into a box.

2 green marbles
5 red marbles
5 yellow marbles
8 blue marbles
20 total

If Eric randomly takes one marble from the box, what is the probability of him choosing
a red marble? (remember to simplify your fraction, then select your answer!)

A) B) C) D)
Name: _____Answer Key____________ Date: _________ Period: _________

Probability

Determine the Theoretical Probability of each.

Write your answer as a fraction, decimal and percent.

If needed…round to nearest tenth.

You spin the above spinner 1 time. Find the probability of the following events:

1. P(red) fraction = decimal .5 percent 50%

P(blue or green) fraction = decimal .5 percent 50%

2. You mix the letters: A, C, Q, U, A, I, N, A, N, C in a bag.

Without looking, you select one letter. Find the probability of the following event:

P (Q) = fraction decimal .1 percent 10%

3. Eric put 2 green marbles, 5 red marbles, 5 yellow marbles, and 8 blue marbles into a box.

2 green marbles
5 red marbles
5 yellow marbles
8 blue marbles
20 total

If Eric randomly takes one marble from the box, what is the probability of him choosing
a red marble? (remember to simplify your fraction, then select your answer!)

A) B) C) D)