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Disciplines
• Reservoir Volumetrics and Reserves
Reservoir Volumetrics and Reserves
Proved Posible
Probable
Undiscovered
Volume of the
Hydrocarbons-in-place = RESOURCE = Ni OOIP
Volume of the
Hydrocarbons recoverable = RESERVE = Np = Qo x Tiempo
RF = Gp/Gi
Calculation of Volume of Hydrocarbon in Place
We need to know:
1. Volume of structure containing hydrocarbon
• Bulk Rock Volume or BRV.
2. Average porosity and net-to-gross ratio of
rock in the hydrocarbon-bearing zone, (Φ,n/g)
3. Average water saturation in the hydrocarbon-bearing
zone, Sw
4. Fluid formation-volume-factor, Bo, Bg
Ni = 7758 * Area*Hnet*porosity*(Soi)/Boi
Gi = 43560 * Area*Hnet*porosity*(Sgi)/Bgi
Volumetric Calculation
Then:
⎛⎜ ⎞
BRV 1 wS
n
⎟ g
HCIP ⎝ B
⎠
Cross-sectional
~ n
area A
h hi
i1
n
and A h n 1 S
w
g
HCIP
Bo
or, in field units
7758 A h
n
g
1 Sw 43560 Ah n 1 Sw
g
OIP GIP
Bo Bg
Data Sources for HCIP Calculations
Parameter Source
A Geologic maps derived from structural
studies, local 2-D or 3-D seismic surveys,
stratigraphic studies
h, Logs, cores, geologic mapping
neta/gross
Φ Logs, cores, calibrated 3D seismic
H 50 60 70
Método Montecarlo
1(a) DeterministicSingle
Cell
1(b) DeterministicMulticell
If reservoir description is detailed, then subdivision
of reservoir into cells of similar character may be
possible.
Estimate HCIP for each cell, using method of 1(a)
– Sum results from each cell
– Obtain a single-value result
•2. Scenario
This is a variant of the Deterministic Method
– Define a small number of different possible
geological/petrophysical cases e.g. Low, Medium,
High
– Obtain, for each case, input data to the standard HCIP
equation
– Obtain a range of possible values for HCIP
HCIP Calculation Methods
3. Probabilistic
– Derive probability-distribution curves for each of
the input parameters in the HCIP equation
– Use Monte Carlo analysis to
introduce probability-distribution
A curves for HCIP
h
Φ
Analyses Probability
n/g
HCIP
Sw
Bo
HCIP Calculation Methods
b)
Mechanism drive reservoir naturally
oil
Aquifer Strength
Water Drive 50-70%
Producing Rate
Gas Condensate
% OGIP % OOIP Key Variables
Reservoirs
Condensate Yield
Pressure Depletion 70-90% 30-70%
API Gravity
Aquifer Strength
Water Drive 50-70% 40-65%
Producing Rate
Reserves Evaluation summary
Calculate HCIP
Calculate: Identify:
Primary Recovery SFR (Scope for Further
Improved Recovery Recovery)
Enhanced Recovery
CAUTION!
Resources/HCIP
includes:
– Hydrocarbon not fully appraised,
areally or vertically
– Hydrocarbon not economic to
produce with current technology
– Hydrocarbon with no market
agreed
– Hydrocarbon not producible within
lease-life
Reserves Reporting
Deterministic Method
Reserves typically divided into:
Producing PDP
Developed
Prove Non-Producing PDNP
d Undeveloped PUD
Probable
Possible
P90
• Proved; 90% chance actual recovery
P50 will exceed this level
•
P10
Probable; 50% chance actual recovery
will exceed this level
• Possible; 10% chance actual recovery
will exceed this level
Reserves Reporting
Long history of attempts to standardize reserves definitions:
Date Agency Basic Approaches
1940s API Deterministic
1965 SPE Probabilistic
1978 US SEC Deterministic*
1981 SPE Probabilistic
1982 USGS Probabilistic
1987 WPC Probabilistic
1997 SPE/WPC Probabilistic (reserves)
2000 SPE/WPC/AAPG Probabilistic (resources)
2005 SPE Mapping of major world** systems
* allows inferences from probabilistic model
** US SEC, GS; UK SORP, Canada, Russia, China, Norway, UN
Reserves Reporting
LKO
OWC
BP Statistical Review of
World Energy 2006
Current Estimates of World Gas Reserves
BP Statistical Review of
World Energy 2006