MATHEMATICS FOR

PREDICTION
Prepared by:
GROUP 3
 Mathematics for Prediction
 The mathematics of prediction provide a framework for
thinking rationally, that is, in a way that is entirely self-
consistent, about the future. Thus, this mathematic provides
a framework for getting the most out of evidence.
Prediction is a key element in the development of science and in its
philosophical study.
Mathematics is used to make predictions, but philosophically this is
an almost unnoticed element:
neither has it been analyzed from the point of view of its role in
science nor has it received attention from the perspective of its
contribution to the concept of “scientific prediction.”
Predictions with math would be best referred to as forecasting
which is making an educated guess based on recurring patterns of
activity. 
How do predictions work in a practical manner?
 They work in the sense that predictions are based upon a
careful analysis of patterns which are essentially recurring
events.
 Patterns can be found in languages, sciences and even the
arts. The key to being recognize patterns can provide the
basis for us to later make predictions based on our
observation of the repetition of patterns and then making a
subsequent prediction based on the data.
 Example 1
 Let's say that you are going fishing and you are using a
casting lure. You make 100 casts and reel the lure in 100
times. At the end of the 100 casts you catch 4 fish. So it
may be safe to assume that under similar conditions it is
possible to repeat this 4 out of 100 (or the odds being 1 out
of 25) when you go fishing.
 Example 2.
 We had a bucket held slightly off-center on an axle with
water flowing into the bucket. Periodically, the bucket
would become unstable, tip, spill the contained water, and
then return to the upright position and repeat.
 Example 3
 For example, in the stock market operates brokers will collect data
about a particular stock or industry. Then, they will look at the
common external factors that can manipulate how the stocks go up or
down. (The stock market is, of course, based on dollars and cents
which are whole numbers and decimal points).
 Example 4. (Calamities) Natural Disasters
Scientists are now able to predict natural disasters
such:
 Tornados
 Hurricanes
 Floods
 Earthquakes

 Normally using statistics to predict the future.

 They are now using fractal math to predict the
future natural events along with many other
methods.
 Tornados, Hurricanes, And Earthquakes

By measuring past events like tornados, hurricanes, and earthquakes
then apply fractal math to predict future events.
 A fractal is a pattern, but put together it falls between the integers.

fractal tree
 Distribution of Earthquakes
 Models of earthquakes are not always accurate. They found
fractals used in this in THREE different ways……..
 1.) Model earthquakes and their behavior.
 2.) To determine the statistics and when the earthquakes
will occur again.
 3.) Lastly to be able to test and predict the earthquakes by
the fractals.
 This graph is called a snowflake graph.
 Example 5. (Weather Forecast)
Mathematics/Mathematicians play an important role in this process,
working with a set of equations that describe the atmosphere, taking into
account temperature, pressure and humidity. Global Circulation Models
(GCMs) describe the interactions between oceans and atmosphere to look
at what the average conditions could be in decades to come.
Statistics and Probability
 Example:
 Theoretical probability uses math to predict the outcomes. Just
divide the favorable outcomes by the possible outcomes.
 Statistical forecasting is a way to predict the future based on data
from the past. By analyzing previous trends in customer behavior,
sales, stock control patterns, and workflows, statistical forecasting
software anticipates the future of a company over a period of time.
Does that mean that math can provide predictions that possess 100% accuracy?

No, it would be next to impossible to make a 100% accurate prediction. But, a

prediction based on solid data can allow you to make an assumption
that is as close to the likelihood of accuracy than not and this is clearly very
valuable.
 References
 “How Does Math Help Us Make Predictions?” retrieved at
https://www.mathworksheetscenter.com/mathtips/mathandpredictions.html
 Gonzales W. (1996). Prediction and Mathematics: The Wittgensteinian Approach retrieved at
https://www.semanticscholar.org/paper/Prediction-and-Mathematics%3A-The-Wittgensteinian-
Gonzalez/290328b5f1e1ab46f81e549e92410bb714a078d6
 “Why Use Mathematical and Statistical Models” retrieved at
https://serc.carleton.edu/introgeo/mathstatmodels/why.html