Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Decision Making
Risk Management
• Risks
• Financial Risks
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Decision Making
• Under Certainty
• Under Risk
• Under Uncertainty
• Under Conflicts
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Why Risk Management
• Systematic identification and management
• More realistic business and project planning
• Actions being implemented in time to be effective
• Greater certainty of achieving business goals and project objectives
• Appreciation of, and readiness to exploit, all beneficial opportunities
• Improved loss control
• Improved control of project and business costs
• Increased flexibility as a result of understanding all options and associated risks
• Greater control over innovation and business development
• Fewer costly surprises through effective and transparent contingency planning
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RELEVANCE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
• number of different sites
• range of processes
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Why No To Risk Management?
• Not familiar
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ADVANTAGES OF RISK MANAGEMENT
• Source:
• The complete Guide to
Business Risk Management
• KIT Sadgrove
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Major Common definitions
• Source of Harm
• Chance of Harm
• Uncertainty about loss
• Measurable uncertainty
• Volatility of return
• Statistically expected loss
• Likelihood and severity of events
• Consequences and associated uncertainty
• Uncertain events affecting objectives
• Uncertainty of outcome
• Asset, threat and vulnerability
• Human interaction with uncertainty
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Risks
• Definition
• Health, business, economics, environment, finance, information,
Technology, , insurance, safety, security etc
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Risks
• Definition (ISO Guide 73:2009)
• Uncertainty is the state, even partial, of deficiency of information related to, understanding or knowledge of,
an event, its consequence, or likelihood
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Modern Risk Management
• Opportunities and Risks
• Method
• Identify the threats
• Assess the vulnerability
• Determine the likelihood and consequences
• Identify ways to reduce those risks
• Prioritize risk reduction measures
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PROJECTS
• Organisation
• Single disciplined
• Single client & single contractor
• Multi-disciplined
• Multiple specialists, contractors, designers, consultants, etc.
• Government
• Private
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Risk in Projects
• Risk event: What might happen to affect your project?
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Strategies
• Accept
• Transfer
• Retention
• Sharing
• Avoid
• Reduce
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Risk Management
ISO 31000 (2018)
Identification, evaluation, and prioritization
of risks (effect of uncertainty on objectives)
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STRUCTURE OF RISK MANAGEMENT
• Continuous process
• Re-engineer itself
• Monitor Risks
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Risk Management
• Construction Risks
• Known
• Certain
• Less effect in productivity
• Material cost swings
• Known unknown
• Predictable
• Known probability and effect
• Unknown unknown
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Risk Management Strategy
• Risk ownership
• Party owning risk
• Exposure
• Transfer
• Risk Financing
• Budget
• Risk Allowance
• Contingency
• Effect
• Responsibilities of the parties
• Influence the control of design, construction, commissioning, change and risk
• Cost, time and quality
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Risk Management
• Prioritisation
• Risk Vs Opportunity
• Probability
• Impact
• Intangible risks
• Productivity of knowledge workers
• Decrease cost-effectiveness
• Profitability
• Service quality
• Reputation
• Brand value
• Earnings quality
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• Cost overrun
• Delay in completion
IDENTIFYING AND • Incompetent contractor
ASSESSING • Subcontractor default
• Environmental risks
• Design error
• Thefts
• Internal • Loss of paper works
• Change order
• Safety hazard
• External • Labour shortage
• Force majure
• Certain technical risks
• Socio-political unrest
• Lack of permits
• Unexpected hike in raw materials
• Unknown conditions
• Badly written contract
Decision Making
• Under Certainty
• Under Risk
• Under Uncertainty
• Under Conflicts
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METHODS
• PRESTLE
• SWOT
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EXTERNAL RISK
PESTLE Analysis
• Political
• Economic
• Social
• Technological
• Leagal
• Ethical / Environmental
INTERNAL RISK
SWOT Analysis
• Strengths and Weaknesses
• Outside
• Strategic
• Operational
• People
• Compliance
• Financial
• Technology
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STRATEGIC RISKS
• Impact on the company’s costs, prices,
products and sales
• Government action
• Competitors
• Customers,
• New technology
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STRATEGIC RISK
• Technology Risk
• IT Related
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PEOPLE RISK
• Bad PR to the business by agreeing
unmerited pay rises or excessive
perks to directors
• Chief executive who lacks
leadership or common sense
• Weak finance director, or even a
non-existent
• Managers who base their decisions
on hunch rather than on fact
• An organization that is slow to
respond quickly to changes
• Lack of corporate structure
• Organizations that are demoralized
or demotivated
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PEOPLE RISKS
• Change
• Bench marking
• Review other sectors
• Market research
• Consultants
• Gap analysis
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COMPLIANCE RISK
• Tax authorities,
• Certification bodies
• Governance
• Ethics
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COMPLIANCE RISK
• Environment Risk
• Changes
• Energy cost
• Waste Disposal
• Physical distribution
• Polluters pay
• Toxic or hazardous raw materials will be penalized
• Eco-labelling will become more prominent
• Pressure groups will get smarter
• More controls on carbon emissions
• The costs of compliance will rise
• Renewables will become ubiquitous
• Polluters will increasingly find it difficult to get finance and insurance
• The polluting firm will find it harder to attract and retain good staff
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ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS
• Emissions to air;
• Discharges to water;
• Solid waste;
• Producing or using toxic or hazardous materials;
• Consuming fossil fuels or energy derived from them (that is, non-renewable
energy sources);
• Damage to nature (for example, by building projects), through destruction of
natural habitats or amenity space.
• Consuming scarce or non-renewable resources;
• Owning (or acquiring) environmental damaging assets, especially contaminated
land.
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ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS
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ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS
• Weather pattern and Climate change
• Corporate assets
• Business operations
• Change in market
• Reduction in raw material supply
• Logistics
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PROJECT RISKS
• Failure to define the scope
• Scope creep
• Wishful thinking and budgeting failure
• Management and governance failure
• Project team staffing problems
• Underestimating the complexity of the task
• Optimism in timing
• Failure to engage stakeholders and users
• Partner delays and failings
• The end product under-performs
• Handover failure
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• Cost overrun
• Delay in completion • Weather
• Distance
• Incompetent contractor
• Finance
• Subcontractor default • Multi-contractor
• Environmental risks • Unexpected site conditions
• Design errors • Unexpected hike in price
• Poor project management
• Thefts • Badly written contract
• Loss of paper works
• Change order
• Safety hazard
• Labour shortages
• External risks
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PROJECT RISK MANAGEMENT
• Risk Planning
• Obtain information
• Examine all options
• Carry out risk assessment
• Allocate experienced staff
• Create project plan
• Controlling Risk
• Invest one step at a time
• Flexibility in system
• Review
• Internal
• External
• Spread risk
• Manage identified Risks
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HI-HP
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