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Replacement Analysis

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 1 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Why?

• To address the question of whether a currently owned asset should be kept in service or
replaced with a similar one.

• If Replaced, When?

Examples:

• Replacing of worn out tyres

• Replacing an old phone with a new one (similar functions) but improved battery life.

• Replacing a petrol car with an electric car.

• Replacing a CRT monitor with a LED monitor.

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 2 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
What to do with an existing asset?

• Keep it (Continue using the same)

• Abandon it (do not replace)

• Replace it, but keep it for backup purposes

• Augment the capacity of the asset, if required

• Dispose of it, and replace it with another

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 3 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Reasons to Replace

• Deterioration
• Worn out, Wear and tear
• Physical impairment
• Obsolescence
• Altered requirements
• Availability of new and improved technology.

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 4 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Terminology

• Defender: The present asset (already In-use/housed/installed)


• Challenger: Alternative asset available to replace the defender.
• Economic Life: the period of time (years) that yields the minimum equivalent
uniform annual cost (EUAC) of owning and operating as asset.
• Ownership Life: the period between acquisition and disposal by a specific owner
• Physical Life: period between original acquisition and final disposal over the
entire life of an asset.
• Useful life: the time period an asset is kept in productive service (primary or
backup).

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 5 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Replacement: The outsider’s viewpoint

• The outsider viewpoint is the perspective taken by an impartial third party


to establish the fair MV of the defender. Also called the opportunity cost
approach.
• The opportunity cost is the opportunity foregone by deciding to keep an
asset.
• If an upgrade of the defender is required to have a competitive service
level with the challenger, this should be added to the present realizable
MV.

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 6 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Problem 1

Consider a choice between a defender that has a current market value of


$5000 and a challenger that can be purchased for $7500. both have a
service life of 3 years with no salvage value expected at the end of that time.
Their operating costs are
Year Defender D Challenger C
0 5000 7500
1 1700 500
2 2000 1100
3 2500 1300

For a given MARR=12%, should the defender be replaced?

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 7 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Solution 1

Since, the EAC(C)<EAC(D), Defender must be Replaced

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 8 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Problem 2
A second challenger (CX) competes with the defender (D) that has a current
market value of $5000 and operating expenses given in the table. This
challenger (CX) has a purchase price of $9000, but $6000 is offered for the
defender as a trade-in and the seller guarantees that the operating costs will be
no more than &800 per year. Should the offer be accepted when MARR=12%
and no salvage value is expected at the end of challenger CX’s 3-year life
Year Defender D Challenger CX
0 5000 9000
1 1700 800
2 2000 800
3 2500 800

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 9 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Solution 2

It’s a case of Inflated Salvage Value of the Defender


The Difference between a known marker value ($5000 in this case) and a seller’s higher offer is
treated as a reduction in the challenger’s purchase price [9000-(6000-5000) =8000, in this case]

Since, the EAC(CX)>EAC(D), Defender must be


not be Replaced

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 10 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Defender and Challenger with Unequal Lives

Repeatability assumption for the defender is unrealistic as its an old equipment exhibiting
decreased efficiency and its hard to find a identical one. However, it holds good for the Challenger

Year Defender D Challenger CXX Challenger (CXX)


$2000
0 5000 12000
1 1700 700 0 1 2 3 4 5
2 2000 700
3 2500 700
4 -- 700 $700 Each
5 -- 700 $12000
Salvage 0 (end of 3 years) 2000 (end of 5 years)
Value

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 11 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
When to Replace?

Consider the following data pertaining to microcomputers. Given that


(EAC)challenger=$40000; MARR=10%. Should the defender be placed? If so, when?
EOY Trade-in value ($) Annual Maintenance costs ($) Annual Operating costs ($)
0 12000 -- --
1 8000 5000 28000
2 3000 6500 32000
$3000

$12000 $(28000+5000)
=$33000
$(32000+6500)
=$38500
Since, (EAC)Def>(EAC)Cha, thus defender needs to be replaced

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 12 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
When to Replace, cont..

Calculating EAC for the defender, year by year


For Year 1 (keeping the defender just for year 1) For Year 2 (keeping the defender just for year 2

Since, (AC for Year-2)Def>(EAC)Cha


Since, (AC for Year-1)Def<(EAC)Cha
Thus defender needs to be replaced during Year-2
Thus defender needs not to be replaced during Year-1
with the given challenger

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 13 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Problem 3

A grinder was purchased 3 years ago for $40000. It has provided adequate service, but an improved version is now available for
$35000 that will reduce the operating costs and cut inspection expenses. Cost and salvage values for the two machines are given in the
table. Costs that are same for either machine are not included. Also, the operating costs for the challenger are very low due to warranted
equipment. Should a replacement be made if the required MARR is 15% and the service of grinder will be needed for only 4 more
years?

Defender D Challenger C
Year
Operating Cost ($) Salvage Value (S) Operating Cost ($) Salvage Value (S)
0 - 12000 -- 35000
1 3400 7000 200 30000
2 3900 4000 1000 27000
3 4600 2500 1200 24000
4 5600 1000 1500 20000
5 2000 17000
6 2600 15000

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 14 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Solution

Why for
6 years?

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 15 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Solution

This is same as replacing the defender Now i.e. beginning of year-1

Replacement be done EACdef EACCha Decision


At the beginning of year 1 (Now, CF for year 1,2,3,4) $ 8252 $ 9157 No
At the beginning of year 2 (CF for years 2,3,4)
At the beginning of year 3 (CF for years 3,4)
At the beginning of year 4 (CF for year 4)

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 16 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Replacing at beginning of year 2

Replacement be done EACdef EACCha Decision


At the beginning of year 1 (Now, CF for year 1,2,3,4) $ 8252 $ 9157 No
At the beginning of year 2 (CF for years 2,3,4) $7399 $ 9170 No
At the beginning of year 3 (CF for years 3,4)
At the beginning of year 4 (CF for year 4)

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 17 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Replacing at beginning of year 3

Replacement be done EACdef EACCha Decision


At the beginning of year 1 (Now, CF for year 1,2,3,4) $ 8252 $ 9157 No
At the beginning of year 2 (CF for years 2,3,4) $7399 $ 9170 No
At the beginning of year 3 (CF for years 3,4) $7061 $ 9543 No
At the beginning of year 4 (CF for year 4)

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 18 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in
Replacing at beginning of year 4

Replacement be done EACdef EACCha Decision


At the beginning of year 1 (Now, CF for year 1,2,3,4) $ 8252 $ 9157 No
At the beginning of year 2 (CF for years 2,3,4) $7399 $ 9170 No
At the beginning of year 3 (CF for years 3,4) $7061 $ 9543 No
At the beginning of year 4 (CF for year 4) $7475 $10450 No

Course Details: Engineering Economy & Management


Department of Mechanical Engineering (MEC2450)
Z.H. College of Engineering & Technology Topic: Replacement Analysis
Aligarh Muslim University 19 By: Faisal Hasan (Associate Professor)
Email: f.hasan.me@amu.ac.in

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