Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery.
1 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Learning Objectives
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Preliminaries No two units of product produced by a process are identical. Some variation is inevitable. Statistics is the science of analyzing data and drawing conclusions, taking variation in the data into account. There are several graphical methods that are very useful for summarizing and presenting data. One of the most useful graphical techniques is the stem-and-leaf display. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 3 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 3.1 Describing Variation Stem-and-Leaf Display
For explanations; see the next display. Easy to
find percentiles of the data; see page 69
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Stem-and-Leaf Display To construct the stem-and-leaf plot, we could select the values1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 as the stems. However, this would result in all 40 data values being compacted into only five stems, the minimum number that is usually recommended. An alternative would be to split each stem into a lower and an upper half, with the leaves 0–4 being assigned to the lower portion of the stem and the leaves 5–9 being assigned to the upper portion. Figure 3.1 is the stem-and-leaf plot generated by Minitab, and it uses the stem-splitting strategy. The column to the left of the stems gives a cumulative count of the number of observations that are at or below that stem for the smaller stems, and at or above that stem for the larger stems. For the middle stem, the number in parentheses indicates the number of observations included in that stem. Inspection of the plot reveals that the distribution of the number of days to process and pay an employee health insurance claim has an approximately symmetric shape, with a single peak. The stem-and-leaf display allows us to quickly determine some important features of the data that are not obvious from the data table. For example, Fig. 3.1 gives a visual impression of shape, spread or variability, and the central tendency or middle of the data (which is close to 35).
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Time Series Plot Although the stem-and-leaf display is an excellent way to visually show the variability in data, it does not take the time order of the observations into account. Time is often a very important factor that contributes to variability in quality improvement problems. We could, of course, simply plot the data values versus time; such a graph is called a time series plot or a run chart. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 6 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Plot of Data in Time Order Marginal plot produced by MINITAB
Also called a run chart
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Histograms – Useful for large data sets
Group values of the variable into bins, then count the
number of observations that fall into each bin Plot frequency (or relative frequency) versus the values of the variable Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 8 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 9 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Additional Minitab Graphs
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 11 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Numerical Summary of Data Sample average:
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 13 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Standard Deviation
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Interquartile Range • In descriptive statistics, the interquartile range (IQR), also called the midspread or middle 50%, or technically H-spread, is a measure of statistical dispersion, being equal to the difference between 75th and 25th percentiles. (Ref: Wikipedia) • IQR helps figure out how precise data is. It eliminates outliers. (Ref: Khan Academy)
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Box Plot (or Box-and-Whisker Plot)
•Box-and-Whisker Plots enclose the interquartile
range of the data that has the median* displayed within. It also displays “whiskers”; showing the extreme observations in the sample. *The fiftieth percentile of the data distribution is called the sample median. The median can be thought of as the data value that exactly divides the sample in half, with half of the observations smaller than the median and half of them larger.
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Box Plot (or Box-and-Whisker Plot)
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Comparative Box Plots
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Probability Distributions
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 20 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Sometimes called a Sometimes called a probability mass function probability density function
Will see many examples in the text
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 22 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 23 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The mean is the point at which the distribution exactly “balances”.
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The mean is not necessarily the 50th percentile of the distribution (that’s the median) The mean is not necessarily the most likely value of the random variable (that’s the mode)
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 26 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 3.2 Important Discrete Distributions The Hypergeometric Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Discrete distributions are used frequently in designing acceptance sampling plans – see Chapter 15
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 29 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Binomial Distribution
Basis is in Bernoulli trials
The random variable x is the number of successes out of n
Bernoulli trials with constant probability of success p on each trial Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 30 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 31 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Binomial Distributions
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 33 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Poisson Distribution
Frequently used as a model for count data
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 35 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 36 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Negative Binomial Distribution
The random variable x is the number of Bernoulli trials upon
which the rth success occurs Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 37 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. •The negative binomial distribution is also sometimes called the Pascal distribution •When r = 1 the negative binomial distribution is known as the geometric distribution • The geometric distribution has many useful applications in SQC
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Geometric Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 3.3 Important Continuous Distributions The Normal Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 41 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 42 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 43 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 44 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 45 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Central Limit Theorem
Practical interpretation – the sum of independent random
variables is approximately normally distributed regardless of the distribution of each individual random variable in the sum
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Lognormal Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 48 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 49 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Exponential Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Relationship between the Poisson and exponential distributions
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Lack-of-memory property
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Gamma Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 54 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. When r is an integer, the gamma distribution is the result of summing r independently and identically exponential random variables each with parameter λ. The gamma distribution has many applications in reliability engineering.
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Weibull Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. When β = 1, the Weibull reduces to the exponential
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. An Application of the Weibull Distribution
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 3.4 Probability Plots
• Determining if a sample of data might reasonably be
assumed to come from a specific distribution • Probability plots are available for various distributions • Easy to construct with computer software (MINITAB) • Subjective interpretation
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Normal Probability Plot
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 61 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. The Normal Probability Plot on Standard Graph Paper
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Other Probability Plots • What is a reasonable choice as a probability model for these data?
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 64 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 3.5 Some Useful Approximations
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Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Chapter 3 Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 7th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. 66 Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Learning Objectives
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