PrediTech: Predictive Maintenance of ITS elements

Tomáš Tichý, Jiří Brož

Petr Máša, Richard A. Novák
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PrediTech Agenda

1. Intro to PrediTech project

2. Possible benefits of projects

3. Data Analytics

4. Summary & Discussion

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PrediTech – Predictive diagnostics of technological ITS devices using AI

approaches
Support of project from TA CZ No. CK04000109
The goal of the project is the analysis, design, testing and verification of predictive diagnostics of ITS devices using AI approaches

The project responds:

• requirements and needs of transport and technological infrastructure administrators

• particularly by optimizing operating costs and maintenance

• optimize the management of ITS equipments – tunnel, detectors, TL etc.

• economic benefit of diagnostics will be the implementation of maintenance at the time

The whole process of predictive diagnostics will also reflect new trends related to cyber security, AI and reliability.

TUNNEL TECHNOLOGY 3
 PrediTech – Basic concept of tunnel development in the CZ
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1. Critical infrastructure

2. Integrated systems

3. High number of devices

4. High safety and reliability

5. ITS technology

Tunnel No Up to 500m Over 500m Km tunnels

Traffic 19 9 10 30
Construction 6 2 4 15
Project 17 14 3 16
Perspective 48 16 32 92
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Total 8940 40 49 151
 Trainer of tunnel
PrediTech – Examples of tunnels in Prague 1
Tunnel Letná 2002
Control of tunnel Diagnostics of tunnel

Tunnel Těšnov 2000

Control systém of tunnel

Tunnel Blanka 2016

Integration – control of technology tunnel

Strahovský tunnel 1997

1. Intention and design

Tunnel Mrázovka 2004

2. Realization
Zlíchov Radlická 2002

3. Operation

4. Maintenance 5
 PrediTech – Tunnel Equipments 1
• Power Distribution
• Pump Station
• Ventilation
• Lighting
• Traffic Signs
• Traffic Measurement
• Traffic Management
• Fire Detection
• Access Security Detection
• CCTV
• Videodetection System
• Broadcast Entry inside the Tunnel
• Cabinets access security
• Network security
• Control System
• Tunnel Simulator 6
 PrediTech – Actual trends in ITS 1
3D Simulation and Digital Twin
• 3D tunnel model
• Connection to BIM
• Simulation in digital twin

Navigation in the tunnel

• Navigation in the tunnel support
• Vehicles and persons monitoring
• Bluetooth technology
• Data integration in to control system
• Helpful for emergency services

Diagnostics and Predictive Maintenance

• Devices detail diagnostics
• Predictive maintenance system
• Document management system

Cyber Security
• Modern SCADA systems
• Network monitoring and incident detection system
• Upgrade of running systems
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PrediTech – basic concept – analysis dat 1

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Data analytics

We have used standard CRISP-DM process

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Data available

Currently, data is available in the form of operational log, including categorizations

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Steps to prepare data 3
• Problem definition - Identification of events that to be predicted

• 20 types of events has been selected

• Data profiling I - Event statistics

• Data preparation I – preparing matrix for initial insights and

• Data cleansing – maintenance log exclusion

• Data profiling II - Correlations and conditional probabilities

• Data preparation II – analytical table for modelling 11

 Modelling and results

• For each of 20 events, initial model to predict it has been Positive Confusion matrix
Test set Records
records 0/0 0/1 1/0 1/1
1 1 760 480 1 248 32 458 22
prepared 2 1 760 1 759 0 1 0 1 759
3 1 760 23 1 736 1 1 22
4 1 760 26 1 732 2 2 24
5 1 760 6 1 753 1 1 5
• Initial models were prepared by logistic regression 6 1 760 11 1 749 0 0 11
7 1 760 33 1 724 3 6 27
8 1 760 43 1 711 6 31 12
• Model proved possibility to use predictive maintenance 9 1 760 221 1 523 16 20 201
10 1 760 142 1 601 17 11 131
11 1 760 72 1 682 6 4 68
12 1 760 9 1 746 5 6 3
based on event data 13 1 760 99 1 661 0 99 0
14 1 760 36 1 724 0 36 0
15 1 760 22 1 737 1 21 1
• Some events are easy to predict, some harder and for some 16 1 760 31 1 729 0 31 0
17 1 760 23 1 737 0 23 0
18 1 760 13 1 741 6 8 5
19 1 760 11 1 748 1 9 2
initial models to be improved
easy to predict
moderate 12
• Summary results are shown at the right hard to predict
 PrediTech – Summary of the preliminary analytics results

• First results proved the ability of ML methods to be a helpful tool in predicting outages

• Future research (next steps) will be focus on business use of the models, i.e.

- Explaining models & relationships for selected events

- Incorporating model results into more complex predictive maintenance scenarios

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PrediTech – Benefits from predictive maintenance - Conclusion

1. Knowledge of equipments and unambiguous reporting of system status

2. Device status - life cycle

3. Repair planning

4. Creating a digital twin and data model

5. Financial and economic savings

PrediTech = quality DATA

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Thank you for your attention

Doc. Tomáš Tichý, Dr. Jiří Brož

Petr Máša, Dr. Richard A. Novák

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