Biostatistics -Assignment

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PART-A (Fill in the blanks)- 5 questions

PART-B (Multiple Choice Questions)- 5 questions
Four options (tick the correct answer). If you tick two options, 0 mark
will be awarded.
 Binomial Distribution
In probability theory, the Binomial Distribution helps us determine
the number of successful outcomes from a string of independent
experiments.

Let’s say we are flipping two coins simultaneously

and we are looking for the probability of an event
where the outcome is “HH”. Or, The probability of 3
heads occurring in 10 flips. How likely is it to happen?
 Poisson Distribution
• Poisson distribution arises from
situations in which there is a
large number of opportunities for
the event under scrutiny to occur
but a small chance that it will
occur on any one trial.
• The number of cases of bubonic
plague would follow Poisson: a
large number of patients can be
found with chills, fever, tender
This distribution is
enlarged lymph nodes, and
named for Siméon
restless confusion, but the
Denis Poisson, who
chance of the syndrome being
published the theory
plague is extremely small for any
in 1837.
randomly chosen patient.
 Poisson Distribution
The Poisson distribution is used to describe the
distribution of rare events in a large population. For
example, at any particular time, there is a certain
probability that a particular cell within a large population
of cells will acquire a mutation. Mutation acquisition is a
rare event. If the large population of cells is divided into
smaller cultures, as is done in the fluctuation test, the
Poisson distribution can be used to determine the
probability that any particular small culture will contain a
mutated cell.

=2.71828
 Poisson Distribution
A Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution, meaning that it
gives the probability of a discrete (i.e., countable) outcome. For Poisson
distributions, the discrete outcome is the number of times an event occurs,
represented by k.
You can use a Poisson distribution to predict or explain the number of
events occurring within a given interval of time. “Events” could be anything
from disease cases to customer purchases to meteor strikes.

You can use a Poisson distribution if:

1.Individual events happen at random and independently. That is, the
probability of one event doesn’t affect the probability of another event.
2.You know the mean number of events occurring within a given interval of
time or space. This number is called λ (lambda), and it is assumed to be
constant.
When events follow a Poisson distribution, λ is the only thing you need to
know to calculate the probability of an event occurring a certain number of
times.
 Poisson distribution formula
The probability of the Poisson distribution is:

Where:

X is a random variable following a Poisson distribution

k is the number of times an event occurs
P(X = k) is the probability that an event will occur k times
e is Euler’s number (approximately 2.718)
lambda is the average number of times an event occurs
! is the factorial function
Poisson distribution Example