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MS 491 - Fall 2023 - Slides Mid Term
MS 491 - Fall 2023 - Slides Mid Term
Control Systems
SC 461
Hassaan Tariq
School of Management Sciences
Fall 2023
• Differentiation
• Response
• Make-to-Order (MTO). With this approach, a standard product design is used, but production of the final
product is linked to the final customer’s specifications. This approach is used by aircraft manufacturers
such as Boeing. Fulfillment time is generally less than with ETO fulfillment, but still fairly long.
• Assemble-to-Order (ATO). With this approach, products are assembled to customer specifications from a
stock of standard and modular components. Computer manufacturers such as Dell operate using this
approach. Fulfillment times are fairly short, often a week or less.
• Make-to-Stock (MTS). With this approach, production is based on a forecast, and products are sold to
the customer from finished goods stock. This approach is used in department stores and supermarkets.
The order fulfillment time is immediate. A variation of this is e-commerce; although goods have already
Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491 11
been produced, there is a lag in fulfillment to allow for shipping.
Push vs Pull
View in Supply
Chain - MTS
• Impact on Pakistan?????
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Efficient vs Responsive SC
• Agility Agility is the firm and supply chain's willing-ness and ability
to make immediate process level changes based upon the
understanding and reaction to externalities.
• Application: Persisting (in the short term), adapting (in the midterm),
and transforming (in the long term)
Strategies
for Building
Resilient SCs
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Building Resilient SCs
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Supply Chain Flows
• Amazon
• Toyota
• Daraz
• Coke
• Apple
Ease of
Mobility Trackability Business for Management
Suppliers
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Make or Buy
The Decision
to Source or Backward Vertical Integration
Out-Source
or In-House
Forward Vertical Integration
35
Cost Saving Economies of Scale
Geographical Advantage
No competent Supplier
• Capacity Enhancement
• Less Risk of Supply Disruptions
• Creates Inter-Supplier Competition
• Information
• Social Sustainability Promotion of women lead business, Social
Sustainability
Closer
knowledge of the Local Sourcing Less Bereaucracy
requirements
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Logistics and Transportation
Management
• Logistics Definition
• Modes of Logistics Air , Sea, Ship, Road Advantages and
Disadvantages
• Inbound/Internal/Outbound
• Last Mile Logistics
• 3PL vs 4PL
• Risks in Logistics
Mandatory Reading.
https://hbr.org/1971/07/how-to-choose-the-right-forecasting-technique
Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491 61
2 Main types of Forecasting
• Qualitative Qualitative techniques permit inclusion of soft
information (e.g., human factors, personal opinions, hunches) in the
forecasting process. Those factors are often omitted or downplayed
when quantitative techniques are used because they are difficult or
impossible to quantify
• Since these forecasts rely solely on past demand data, all quantitative
methods become less accurate as the forecast’s time horizon
increases.
• Technique that
averages a number of
recent actual values,
updated as new values
become available.
•A moving average
forecast tends to
smooth and lag
changes in the data
Weighted
Moving
Average
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Measuring Forecasting Accuracy
• Mean absolute deviation
(MAD) The average absolute
forecast error
• Mean squared error (MSE) The
average of squared forecast
errors.
• Mean absolute percent error
(MAPE) The average absolute
percent error.
9.5
Flow of
Information in
ERP to
Calculate Cash
to Cash Cycle
Time
• The objective is to provide sufficient finished goods in each period to meet the sales
plan while meeting financial and production constraints.
• Costs relevant to the aggregate planning decision include inventory cost, setup cost,
machine operating cost, hiring cost, firing cost, training cost, overtime cost and costs
incurred for hiring part-time and temporary workers to meet peak demand.
• There are three basic production strategies that firms use for completing the
aggregate plan: (1) the chase strategy, (2) the level strategy and (3) the mixed
Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491 109
strategy.
Aggregate Production Plan - Example
Chase Using this strategy, the firm will hire and lay off workers to
match its production rate to demand.
Bill of
Materials
(BOM)
Basic MRP
Record
Gross Requirement Anticipated Future Use/Demand
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Hassaan Tariq, SMGs, GIKI, Fall 2023_MS_491
Rough Cut Capacity Planning (RCCP)
• Actual Output Looking into Human Errors and product failures, the
actual output is less than Effective Capacity. 75 Bottles/Day
• Efficiency Output to
Input as percentage. Can
be in hours as well.
• Hours utilized/Hours Work Done
Kanban Cards !
Just Talk – Self -
Reminder