determinants of these three population components as well as in their effects on various elements of society. 1. MORTALITY 2. FERTILITY 3. MIGRATION 1. Mortality
• Mortality deals with death rates in a
population; • Fertility involves birth rates in a population; • Migration involves the movement of people internally (within a country) and externally (across a country’s borders). Why Demography Matters Global Population: 1995 – 2 billion 2005 – 6.5 billion Cohen (2008) believed that by 2050 there will be 9 billion people on the planet, addition of over 50 million per year. But after the increase on population, the world will experience a global decline of population – slower growth, increasing decline, older people and more urban living. Demographic change caught the interest of people about demography and became the popular subject of political debates in developed countries who experienced birthrates below the replacement level of 2.1 children per women. At the same time, life expectancy has been rising considerably and continues to rise which sometimes called “ the aging of societies”. Demography is not only concern with birth rate, mortality and migration but it actually gives information to people to plan their future investments and services. The future of our population will be at the hands of the people around the globe. The study of demography has far too long been dominated by pessimism and inhuman,simplistic accounting. Throughout history, demography has been a part in understanding global changes,economic greatness and downfall, migration, social/cultural diversity and dynamism. Developed countries continue to decline in terms of fertility which resulted to great shiftfrom young to aging population. Developing countries are expecting explosion due to improved nutrition, public health infrastructure and medical care. Imbalance weight of population of a developed + developing countries = demographicsuicide Migration as solution to demographic suicide is being taken for consideration. Result: Intermarriage Pro: Growth of population mixing which may result to shaping of new society, determining changes of identities and wiping out of the distinctiveness of the population. Con: The possibility of losing one’s identity due to mixing. Factors affecting the Demography of the World Erratic Mortality
Ancient Regime Crisis
Rebound and Adjustment
The Five Big Demographic Trends Shaping the World
1. The ratio of children to older citizens
is declining
2. There has been a sea-change in the
nature of illness to non-communicable diseases 3. The speed of aging is rising rapidly in emerging economies.
4. Old age dependency ratio is rising rapidly
in Japan, Europeancountries, but at a slower pace in Anglo Saxon countries.