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Analysis
Introduction
Time
Probability Density Function
Reliability is a probability of survival of a
product. The survival or success of a product can
be characterized by a random variable:
• Continuous
• Discrete
A function f(x) is said to be the probability density
function of a continuous random variable x, if x
takes any value from - infinity to + infinity such
that
f(x) >= 0 and integral of f(x) dx =1
-λt
f (t) f(t)=λe
λ =1/ µ
µ t
Hazard Function
is a measure of tendency of product failure.
λ
Hazard
h(t)
Time t
h(t) = λ and it is a constant in the case of
exponential probability distribution.
Reliability Equation
can be mathematically described as:
R (t) = f(t)/h(t)
where f(t) is the probability density function and h(t)
is the hazard function. All the three of them vary
with time.
We know that in the case of exponential pdf
f(t) = λ e-λt h(t) = λ
Therefore,
R (t) = e-λt λ = failure rate or hazard rate
λ = 1/µ
1
R(t)
time t
Reliability
Failure Rate
We know that hazard rate is the same as failure
rate. Failure rate indicates the number of failures per
unit time. In the case of exponential distribution, the
failure rate is constant. This is expressed as λ.
Failure during constant failure is due to random
causes or chance causes. Hence, it is also called
chance failure.
FAILURE MODE AND EFFECTS
ANALYSIS(FMEA)
Cause
Failure Mode
Effects
FMEA is defined as a systematic group of activities
intended to: (a) Recognize and evaluate the
potential failure of a product/process and the
effects of that failure, (b) Identify actions that could
eliminate or reduce the chance of the occurrence of
potential failure.
Purpose of FMEA
• Enable structured analysis of the design for identifying
potential failure modes
• The FMEA examines the potential failure modes, which
have a high likelihood of occurrence
• Each failure mode is analyzed to find out their cause
• Develop product/process requirements that minimize the
likelihood of those failures
• Ensure that any failure that could occur will not injure or
seriously impact to the user.
• Helps in preparing for unavoidable failures and thus
increase the competitiveness for maintenance of the
product.
Benefits of FMEA
• Minimize late changes and associated costs since FMEA
will be earned out right at the design stage
• Identifies failure modes which will have a significant
impact
• Identifies the causes of failures and minimizes them
• Helps in redesigning to reduce the effect of the failures
• Improves product reliability, maintainability and
availability of the system
• Increase costumer satisfaction
• Prioritize product/process deficiencies for improvement
• Emphasizes problem prevention
• Provides information on the ff:
Maintainability analysis
Safety analysis
Survivability
Vulnerability
Logistics support analysis
Maintenance plan analysis
Risk analysis
Failure detection
Failure isolation
Types of FMEA
• Systems – focuses on global system functions
• Design – focuses on components and subsystems
• Process – focuses on manufacturing and assembly
processes
• Service – focuses on service functions
• Software – focuses on software functions
Design FMEA
is an analytical techniques used by FMEA team
to ensure that to the extent possible, potential
failure mode and their causes/mechanism are
considered and addressed before the design is
frozen.
System
Hierarchy of Systems
FMEA Team
Since FMEA is an advanced technique and also
a complex task, a competent team has to be
constituted to carry out FMEA of each design or
process.
FMEA RISK PRIORITY NUMBER (RPN)
TECHNIQUE
The QS 9000 standards brought out a technique
for FMEA based on RPN number. This is a
quantitative technique. It helps to finding out
the risk and action plan for reducing the risk.
Risk Priority Number (RPN)
RPN = (S) x (O) x (D)
Starting Capacitor
FMEA RPN Procedure
Step 1 Define the product/process and its function
Step 2 Construct the reliability block diagram of the
product/process
Step 3 Complete the header on the FMEA
worksheet
Step 4 List the part along with its functions
Step 5 Identify potential failure modes
Step 6 Potential Effects of Failure
Step 7 Assign severity number for the effect
Step 8 Classification
Step 9 Potential Cause
Step 10 Probability of occurrence
Step 11 Identify current controls (design/process)
Step 12 Determine the likelihood of detection
Step 13 Assign RPN
Step 14 Determine the recommended actions
Step 15 Estimate the new ranks
Process FMEA
Is applied to improving the process in contrast with
the design in DFMEA. The purpose is to ensure that
the potential failure mode and the associated
causes/mechanisms are considered and addressed
in appropriate form. The process FMEA addresses
production operations. The potential
Process FMEA results in the following:
• Identifies the process functions
• Identifies potential product and process-related on the
costumer
• Assesses the effects of the potential failure on the costumer
• Identifies the potential manufacturing or assembly process
failure causes
• Identifies process variables on which to focus process controls
for occurrence reduction or detection of the failure
conditions
• Develops a ranked list of potential failure modes, thus
establishing a priority system for preventive/corrective action
considerations
• Document the RPM of the manufacturing or assembly
process.
FAILURE MODE EFFECTS AND
CRITICALITY ANALYSIS(FMECA)
FMEA RPN is more popular in the automobile
industry. However, FMECA is popular in the
electronics and allied industries. FMECA consists of
two parts as given below:
• Failure Mode Effects Analysis
• Criticality Analysis
In the following, the FMECA as per the international
standards on the subject will be discussed.
Criticality Analysis
When the CA is combined with FMEA, the task is
called Failure Mode Effects and Criticality Analysis.
The FMEA worksheet can be transferred to FMECA
worksheet. CA is quantitative analysis. CA leads us
to calculate what is known as failure mode criticality
number (Cm).
Cm= βα λp t
Where Cm = Failure mode criticality
β = Probability of mission loss or system
not functioning
α = Failure mode ratio
λp = Failure rate of the component or part
in number of failures per hour operation.
t = Duration of applicable mission phase,
i.e. period up to which the system is to operate. It is
expressed in hours or numbers of operating cycles.
Failure mode distribution, namely α may not be available for
specific part number. But the generic failure mode
distribution is available from the following resources:
• Rome Laboratory Study of Part Failure Modes, L.J.
Gubbins
• MIL-HDBK-338. “Electronic Reliability Design Handbook”
• RADC Non-electronic Reliability Notebook
• Naval Avionics Center Standard entitled “FMECA”
• Reliability and Maintainability in Perspective, D.J. Smith
• European Space Agency (ESA) Specification
Probability of Mission Loss(β)
For each failure mode we have to calculate β. It
is defined as the failure effect probability. The β
values are based on the FMECA team’s assessment as
to the conditional probability that the anticipated
loss of mission or failure of system will occur. It is the
conditional probability since we assess the
probability of the loss on the condition that the
failure mode occurs. This subjective assessment of
the FMECA team has to be converted in to β value.
MIL-STD 1629 gives the guidance for β value as given
below:
Failure Mode Probability β
Sure Loss 1.00
Probable Loss > 0.10 to < 1.00
Possible Loss > 0 to 0.10
No Effect 0