M E M O R A N D U M
TO:INTERESTED PARTIESFROM:GLEN BOLGERRE:KEY FINDINGS – WISCONSIN CD 7 SURVEYDATE:OCTOBER 7, 2012
Methodology
NMB Research completed a survey of 400 likely voters in the 7
th
Congressional District of Wisconsin. The survey was completed September 30-October 1, 2012 and include 80 interviewswith cell phone respondents. The survey has a margin of error of +4.9 in 95 out of 100 cases.
Key Findings
1.
Wisconsin’s 7
th
district tilts Republican.
The Republican candidate leads on the generic ballot (47% GOP candidate/42% Demcandidate), the Presidential ballot (49% Romney/Ryan/46% Obama/Biden) and theSenate ballot (50% Thompson/43% Baldwin).2.
Sean Duffy outperforms the statewide candidates and is over 50% on the ballot test.
Duffy leads challenger Pat Kreitlow by a 51%-40% margin. Duffy’s committed vote is41%, which is higher than Kreitlow’s total vote.Duffy leads with key groups, including by nearly two-to-one among Independents and51%-44% among seniors.Even among the 66% who have heard of both candidates, Duffy’s lead remains constant,up 51%-40%.
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