Severe Weather

and Flash
Flooding Threat
Monday Aft/Eve
Decision Support Briefing #2
As of: 6 AM, 6/19

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 Main Points
Hazard Impacts Location Timing
Locally 2-3+ of rain, posing a
risk of flash flooding of urban
areas, several roads, and small
Flooding Rain
streams

Rainfall rates in excess of 1-2/hr

Highest threat across

Scattered storms may produce
Damaging Late this afternoon
winds gusts of 60+ mph, causing
Lower Hudson Valley
Wind localized downed trees and
powerlines, and possibly isolated
Northeastern New Jersey through
structural damage.
Numerous thunderstorms Southwest Connecticut
Lightning expected, producing deadly Around Midnight
cloud-to-ground lighting NYC Metro

Isolated storms may produce 1+ Western Long Island

Large Hail hail, this could injurie anyone
exposed to the hail.

Isolated weak tornados are

Tornado possible

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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Flooding Rain
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Damaging Wind
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme
Note:
Hazard impact level
definitions can be
found on our Lightning
Graphical Hazardous
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme
Weather Outlook
http://www.weather
.gov/okx/ehwo
Large Hail
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Tornado:
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

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 Severe Thunderstorm Hazard And Impacts
Severe Weather Probability
(w/in 25 miles of a point)
Weather Forecast Office
New York, NY
Probability of thunderstorm Probability of 1+ Hail
Winds of 58 + mph (w/in 25 miles of a point)
(w/in 25 miles of a point)
Probability of a Tornado Impacts:
(w/in 25 miles of a point) Isolated to scattered Main Severe
downed trees and Threat
powerlines.
Isolated structural
damage possible.
Injuries from debris or
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 Basin Average Storm Total Rainfall
Flooding Hazard and
Impacts

Flooding Rain Threats:

Locally 2-3+ of rain
Rainfall rates in excess of 1-2/hr

Timing of Peak Activity:

Late this afternoon through this evening
across yellow shaded area

Impacts
Risk of flash flooding of urban areas, several
roads, and small streams

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 Event Summary

Threat for Severe Thunderstorms and Flash Flooding

Timing: This afternoon and evening

Location: Lower Hudson Valley, Northeastern New Jersey,

Southwestern Connecticut, NYC Metro, and Western Long Island

Severe thunderstorms producing winds gusts of 60+ mph, and possibly

1+ hail. There is also a very low chance for isolated weak tornados.

Locally 2-3+ of rain, posing a risk for flash flooding of urban areas,
several roadways, and small streams

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 Contact and Next Briefing Information

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When: By 6 pm 6/19 briefing domain

Briefing Webpage:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/emnew_summer

Web: Facebook:
http://www.weather.gov/okx/ http://www.facebook.com/NWSNewYorkNY

Phone (public): Twitter:

631-924-0517 http://www.twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY

YouTube:
E-mail: https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSNewYor
okx.operations@noaa.gov kNY

Disclaimer: The information contained within this briefing

is time-sensitive, do not use after 6 pm Monday 6/19

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