Offshore Storm Briefing: Decision Support Briefing #3 As Of: 5 PM Oct 09, 2019

Offshore Storm Briefing
Decision Support Briefing #3 Current Hazards

As of: 5 PM Oct 09, 2019
What Has Changed?
Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories in

Effect for Thursday high tides
Wind Advisory in effect for Eastern LI and
SE CT Thu AM into Fri AM
Storm and Gale Warnings in Effect thru
Fri
Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

New York, NY Follow us on Twitter Follow us on Facebook 10/9/2019 5:32 PM
Main Points
Hazard Impacts Location Timing
• Vulnerable coastal
• Minor to Moderate coastal locales along NY/NJ
flooding. Harbor, all of LI, and
Coastal • Inundation of 1 to 2 ft, locally SW CT. Times of High tide Thu Pm
2 to 3 ft, in vulnerable areas, • Greatest threat for through Friday PM
Impacts
• Areas of Dune Erosion and moderate impacts will
localized Overwashes be S and E bays of LI
and the north shore of
LI.
• 20 to 35 MPH with gusts to 50
mph.
Strong • Several Downed Trees and
Winds tree limbs. E LI, and SE CT Thursday
• Scattered Power Outages
• Additional 1 to 2 inches.
Flooding • Minor Flooding of Poor E LI, and SE CT Tonight through Thursday
Drainage Areas.
• Gale to Storm Conditions.

Seas of 10 to 18 ft on the Nearshore Waters Through Friday
Ocean and 4 to 7 ft on LI
Marine Sound.

Summary of Greatest Impacts
Coastal Impacts: Vulnerable locales along NY/NJ,
all of LI , and SW CT.
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme
Strong Winds: E LI, and SE CT

Flooding: E LI, and SE CT

Marine: Nearshore Waters


Coastal Flooding- Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories in Effect
Coastal Flood Hazards and Impacts:
Marine / Coastal Hazards  Moderate coastal flooding along the southern
and eastern bays of LI, low-lying north shore of
LI locations, and barrier beaches of LI.
Inundation of 2 to locally 3 ft above ground in
the most vulnerable locales.
 Minor coastal flooding (inundation 1/2 to 1 ½ ft
above ground) in the most vulnerable coastal
locales of the advisory areas.
 Several waterfront road closures expected with
minor damage to coastal properties possible.
Shoreline Hazards and Impacts:

 5-9’ breaking waves along the oceanfront, 3 to
6’ along the twin forks, 3 to 5’ along northern LI
shoreline, 2 to 3’ along the north facing
shoreline of the bays.
 Areas of Dune Erosion and localized
overwashes along the Atlantic ocean, Orient
Point, and north shore of LI shorefronts during
times of high tide.
Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page  Minor to locally Moderate damage to
for the latest coastal flood forecast and the tools to shoreline/dune structures possible
visualize the coastal impacts.
https://www.weather.gov/okx/coastalflood Timing:
 During times of high tide Thursday Evening
through Friday Evening.
Coastal Flooding – Likely Inundation Areas
Greatest threat areas for Widespread Minor to Moderate inundation during Thursday Night
through Friday Night High Tides. (This inundation mapping product is experimental)
Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page

for the latest coastal flood forecast and the tools to
https://www.weather.gov/okx/coastalflood

Coastal Flooding – Potential Inundation Areas
Areas with potential for minor to locally moderate inundation during Thursday Night
through Friday Night High Tide cycles. (This inundation mapping product is experimental)


Coastal Flooding – Potential Inundation Areas
Areas with potential for minor to locally moderate inundation during Thursday Night
through Friday Night High Tide cycles. (This inundation mapping product is experimental)


Coastal Flooding Defintions

Strong Winds – Wind Advisory in Effect
Hazards:
 Northeast winds of 20 to 35
mph with gusts to 50 mph,
across E LI and extreme SE
CT.
Impacts:
 Several downed trees and tree
Peak Wind Gust Image limbs
 Scattered power outages
 Dangerous travel conditions for
high profile vehicles
Timing:
 Strongest winds from 6am Thu
through 6am Fri

Wind Related Hazards
Wind Advisory … from 6am Thu till 6am Fri

Heavy Rain
Hazards:
 Additional rainfall of 1 to 2 inches across
Eastern Long Island.
 Rainfall rates of less than 1”/hr
 Additional rainfall of ¼ to 1 inch across
western portions of the Tri-State
including NYC/NJ metro.
Impacts:
 Minor Flooding of poor drainage and
Low-lying Roads.
Timing:
 Heaviest rain from late Tonight through
Thursday afternoon.
Uncertainty:
 Swaths of locally heavier rainfall
possible.

Event Summary
 Widespread Minor to Moderate coastal flood and shoreline impacts

Thursday Evening through Friday Evening
 Highest threat for Moderate coastal impacts is along vulnerable
coastal locales along the southern and eastern bays of LI and north
shore of LI.
 Strong Winds across E LI and extreme SE CT Thursday morning into
Friday morning
 Storm conditions on the ocean waters and Gale conditions on
remainder of nearshore waters thru Friday
 Seas of 12-18 ft on the ocean and 4 to 7 ft on LI Sound.


Offshore Storm Briefing: Decision Support Briefing #3 As Of: 5 PM Oct 09, 2019

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Offshore Storm Briefing: Decision Support Briefing #3 As Of: 5 PM Oct 09, 2019

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Copyright:

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Offshore Storm Briefing

Decision Support Briefing #3 Current Hazards

What Has Changed?

Coastal Flood Warnings and Advisories in

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

• Gale to Storm Conditions.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Strong Winds: E LI, and SE CT

Flooding: E LI, and SE CT

Marine: Nearshore Waters

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Shoreline Hazards and Impacts:

Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Please go to the NWS New York, NY Coastal Flooding Page

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Wind Advisory … from 6am Thu till 6am Fri

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

 Widespread Minor to Moderate coastal flood and shoreline impacts

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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