Poetry is art

Art is poetry

Art is the poetry of art and the poetry of arts

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Now, let’s see what this means. The program uses a random number generator to
randomly select a number between 0 and 1. Let’s say our random number for part #1
in iteration #1 is 0.045. The program looks at the distribution we’ve input, as above,
sees that 0.045 falls between 7,000 and 11,000 cycles initiation life, and interpolates
between those two lives with the same ratio as between their respective random
numbers - in this case,

[(0.045 - 0.010) / (0.060 - 0.010)] = [( X - 7000) / (11000 - 7000)]

Solving for X, we get an initiation life of 9,800 cycles.

The set of corresponding lives and random number probabilities is sometimes called
pairwise points.

This process is repeated to calculate an initiation life for each part in the fleet. What
we end up with is a distribution of initiation lives. A similar process is performed for
crack propagation, age at inspection, etc., all based on their respective distributions.
For each individual part, we end up with an assumed initiation life, propagation life,
inspection interval(s), and replacement age. The question of whether that particular
part fails is then simply a matter of looking at whether it is replaced, or its crack is
found, prior to the sum of its initiation and propagation. For example:

Part #1, currently 7,000 cycles old

Crack initiation life 9,800 cycles
Propagation life 2,500 cycles (so, part fractures at 12,300 cycles)
On-wing inspections: 8,000 cycles - no crack found (none there yet)
10,115 cycles - crack not found (based on inspection
reliability distribution)
Shop visit at 12,000 cycles; part replaced - therefore, part does not fail, as it is
scrapped prior to the point at which it fractures.

Part #2, currently 11,254 cycles old

Crack initiation life 7,714 cycles
Propagation life 4,400 cycles (part fractures at 12,114 cycles)
On-wing inspections: 13,000 cycles
Part fails prior to first inspection.

Part #3, currently 6,050 cycles old