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Six Sigma for Excel Regression Analysis avigating to Results

Process: Purpose: Reference: Owner: Date:

Plastic injection molding Predict yield at high temp RGRN Enter Name 1/1/2020

1. Start

2. Identify Variable Relationships

Scatter Plots Matrix Plots Correlation Analysis Vol R e s idua l Plot

3. Select Regression Model W gt R e s idua l Plot

1 Continuous Variable:
2+Continuous Variables:
Nonlinear Relationship:
> Simple Linear Regr'n
> Multiple Regression
> Curvilinear Regression

4. Assess Model Quality & Significance of Input Parameters

Simple Linear Regression Multiple Regression
Coeff of Determination
Correlation Coefficient
Adjusted Coeff of Det'n N or mal Pr ob ab ilit y Plo t

R-square R Adjusted R-square Shippe d R e s i dua l Plot

Remove insignificant input variables (p < 0.05)

5. Test & Validate

Test for Multicolinearity (VIF) Vol Lin e Fit Plot

If VIF > 10 correct the model

Remove invalid variables
D is t R e s idua l Plot

6. Diagnostic Test
Residual Plot Normal Probability Plot
verify constancy of variance Verify normal distribution

7. Results Ship pe d Line Fit Plot

D ist Line Fit Plot

W g t Li n e F i t Pl o t

1. Raw Data 2.1 Summary Output SUMMARY OUTPUT

X Y Regression Statistics 2 X Line Fit Plot (X/Y Scatter Plot)
.
78.4 -9.0 Multiple R 0.1122 RegressionEx: Output-Y (X=58.3; Y=-25.6) ; Predicted Y (X=58.3,
Statistics
7 PredY=-16.5)
89.9 ### R Square 0.0126 Multi 0.11
10.0
.
54.2 ### Adjusted R Square -0.0323 R Sq 0.01
0.0
58.3 ### Standard Error 15.1930 Adjus 0
50.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0
98.3 -1.5 Observations 24 Stand 15
-10.0
57.8 -9.0 Obser 24
Y

66.0 ### 2.2 Analysis of variance (ANOVA) -20.0 f(x) = − 0.116170602497681 x − 9.71527937494423
R² = 0.012592335468503
67.1 ### DF SS MS F SigF ANOVA
-30.0
97.3 ### Regn 1 65 65 0.28 0.6 df SS MS Significance
F F
4
76.5 0.3 Resid 22 ### 231 . Regre
-40.0 1 65 65 0.28 0.6
86.1 ### Total 23 ### Resid 22 ### 231 Y
7. -50.0
63.7 4.1 Total 23 ### Linear
X (Y)
62.7 -8.7 Coeff StdErr t Stat p L95% U95%
81.9 -5.5 Yo -9.7 17 -0.6 0.57 -44 25 new Coefficients
Standard Error
t Stat
P-value
LowerUpper
95%
Lower
95%Upper
95.0%95.0%
88.0 ### X -0.1 0.22 -0.5 0.6 -0.6 0.34 6a X Residual Plot
Inter -9.7 17 -0.6 0.57 -44 25 -44 25
60.9 ### X Ex: Residual
-0.1 0.22 -0.5(X=58.3;
0.6 Res=-9.11);
-0.6 0.34 [Y=-25.6]
-0.6 0.34- [PredY=-16.5] =-
25 9.11
60.7 0.9 2.3 Residual Output2.4 Probability Output RESIDUAL OUTPUT PROBABILITY OUTPUT
Residuals

20
70.1 ### Pred Y Res StdRes %ile Y Observation
Predicted
Residuals
Standard
Y Residuals
PercentileY
15
86.7 -5.8 -19 9.82 0.66 2.08 -44 -19 9.82 0.66 2.08 -44
10
94.4 ### -20 2 0.13 6.25 -40 -20 2 0.13 6.25 -40
5
61.5 ### -16 -17 -1.2 10 -39 0 -16 -17 -1.2 10 -39
-550.0 55.0 60.0 65.0 70.0 75.0 80.0 85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0
-10
 5
0
72.4 ### -16 -9.1 -0.6 15 -38 -550.0 -16 60.0
55.0 -9.1 65.0
-0.6 70.0 75.01580.0-38
85.0 90.0 95.0 100.0
63.9 -3.1 -21 20 1.32 19 -35 -10 -21 20 1.32 19 -35
97.4 ### -16 7.43 0.5 23 -34 -15 -16 7.43 0.5 23 -34
-17 -18 -1.2 27 -34 -20 -17 -18 -1.2 27 -34
-18 -2.8 -0.2 31 -26 -25 -18 -2.8 -0.2 31 -26
-21 -19 -1.3 35 -26 -21 -19 -1.3 X35 -26
-19 19 1.27 40 -20 -19 19 1.27 40 -20
-20 3.62 0.24 44 -20 -20 3.62 0.24 44 -20
-17 21 1.43 48 -18 6b -17 Normal
21 1.43Probability
48 Plot
-18
-17 8.3 0.56 52 -16 -17 Example:
8.3 0.56 marked52point
-16(Percentile=14.5; Y=-38.4)
10
-19 14 0.92 56 -15 -19 14 0.92 56 -15
-20 5 0.34 60 -9 0 -20 5 0.34 60 -9
-17 -3 -0.2 65 -9 0 -17 20 -3 -0.240 65 -9 80
60 100 120
-10
-17 18 1.19 69 -8.7 -17 18 1.19 69 -8.7

Y
-18 -21 -1.4 73 -5.8 -20 -18 -21 -1.4 73 -5.8
-20 14 0.94 77 -5.5 -20 14 0.94 77 -5.5
-30
-21 -13 -0.9 81 -3.1 -21 -13 -0.9 81 -3.1
-17 -22 -1.4 85 -1.5 -40 -17 -22 -1.4 85 -1.5
-18 -8.1 -0.5 90 0.3 -18 -8.1 -0.5 90 0.3
-50
-17 14 0.94 94 0.9 -17 14 0.94 94 0.9
-21 -23 -1.5 98 4.1 -21 -23 -1.5 Sample
98Percentile
4.1