Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • Mes KW Periodo Yt (W) at TT ST

    Uploaded by

    Pablo Torres
    17 views5 pages
    The document appears to be a table containing monthly data on electricity production (KW), period, electricity generated (Yt in W), accumulated total (At), difference from total (Tt), and other related values. It includes data from October 2017 to September 2019 with blank rows for future forecasted periods from October 2019 to December 2020. The bottom section provides formulas and calculations for forecasting future electricity production values (Yt*) over several periods using an exponential smoothing model.

    Original Description:

    EJERCICIO MEDIANTE MEE TODO DE WINTER

    Original Title

    METODO WINTER

    Copyright

    © © All Rights Reserved

    Available Formats

    XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    Report this Document
    The document appears to be a table containing monthly data on electricity production (KW), period, electricity generated (Yt in W), accumulated total (At), difference from total (Tt), and other related values. It includes data from October 2017 to September 2019 with blank rows for future forecasted periods from October 2019 to December 2020. The bottom section provides formulas and calculations for forecasting future electricity production values (Yt*) over several periods using an exponential smoothing model.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    17 views5 pages

    Mes KW Periodo Yt (W) at TT ST

    Uploaded by

    Pablo Torres
    The document appears to be a table containing monthly data on electricity production (KW), period, electricity generated (Yt in W), accumulated total (At), difference from total (Tt), and other related values. It includes data from October 2017 to September 2019 with blank rows for future forecasted periods from October 2019 to December 2020. The bottom section provides formulas and calculations for forecasting future electricity production values (Yt*) over several periods using an exponential smoothing model.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 5

    Mes KW Periodo Yt (W) At Tt St

    -3 1
    -2 1
    -1 1
    0 1
    16-Oct-17 54.00 1 54000 54000 0 1
    16-Nov-17 51.00 2 51000 51039.1117 -2960.88825 0.99923369
    16-Dec-17 46.00 3 46000 46027.0943 -5012.01743 0.99941134
    16-Jan-18 42.00 4 42000 41987.1593 -4039.93501 1.00030582
    16-Feb-18 44.00 5 44000 43921.0885 1933.92914 1.00179667
    16-Mar-18 48.00 6 48000 47972.0353 4050.94688 1.00058294
    16-Apr-18 56.00 7 56000 55990.537 8018.50163 1.00016901
    16-May-18 57.00 8 57000 57124.5143 1133.97732 0.9978203
    16-Jun-18 60.00 9 60000 59959.1908 2834.67655 1.00068062
    16-Jul-18 62.00 10 62000 61900.606 1941.41513 1.0016057
    16-Aug-18 60.00 11 60000 60015.5893 -1885.01668 0.99974025
    16-Sep-18 62.00 12 62000 61939.213 1923.62368 1.0009814
    16-Oct-18 56.00 13 56000 56223.2447 -5715.96822 0.99602932
    16-Nov-18 49.00 14 49000 48986.7578 -7236.48699 1.00027032
    16-Dec-18 44.00 15 44000 43901.0516 -5085.70612 1.0022539
    16-Jan-19 44.00 16 44000 43943.6895 42.6378284 1.00128143
    16-Feb-19 46.00 17 46000 45929.2352 1985.54571 1.00154074
    16-Mar-19 50.00 18 50000 50169.5415 4240.30632 0.99662063
    16-Apr-19 58.00 19 58000 57937.7241 7768.18266 1.00107488
    16-May-19 59.00 20 59000 58956.4756 1018.75146 1.00073825
    16-Jun-19 21
    16-Jul-19 22
    16-Aug-19 23
    16-Sep-19 24
    16-Oct-19 25
    16-Nov-19 26
    16-Dec-19 27
    16-Jan-20 28
    16-Feb-20 29
    16-Mar-20 30 PRONÓSTICO
    16-Apr-20 31
    16-May-20 32
    16-Jun-20 33
    16-Jul-20 34
    16-Aug-20 35
    16-Sep-20 36
    16-Oct-20 37
    16-Nov-20 38
    16-Dec-20 39
    Yt* Error
    L 5
    α 0.98696275 0.3
    β 1 0.5
    γ 1 0.7

    54000 3000
    48078.2235 2078.2235
    41015.0769 984.923111
    37947.2243 6052.7757
    45855.0176 2144.98241
    51983.1165 4016.88349
    63971.359 6971.35902
    58276.3085 1723.69154
    62906.687 906.687024
    63879.237 3879.23696
    58140.3973 3859.60267
    63723.6348 7723.63485
    50541.6526 1541.65257
    41817.3093 2182.69067
    38805.2631 5194.73693
    44029.4954 1970.50461
    47724.5264 2275.47358
    PRONÓSTICO DE WINTER
    54424.556 3575.44397 90000
    65854.001 6854.00104 80000
    60052.0808 70000
    61087.9542
    60000
    61803.166
    50000
    63099.2325
    64097.5178 40000

    65117.0213 30000
    66136.5249 20000
    67156.0284 10000
    68175.532
    0
    69195.0355 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
    70214.5391
    71234.0426
    72253.5462
    73273.0497
    74292.5533
    75312.0568
    76331.5604
    77351.0639
    78370.5675

    Amort. 3522.97388
    0.98696275
    1
    1

    TER

    30 35 40

    You might also like