Taller distribución binomial y de Poisson

a
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑝𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑏𝑎𝑛 8
𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = ( ) 0.82 ∙ 0.26
𝑝 = 0.8 2
𝑞 = 0.2 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 0.0011
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 0.11%

b
𝑦 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑏𝑎𝑛 8
𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = ( ) 0.22 ∙ 0.86
𝑝 = 0.2 2
𝑞 = 0.8 𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = 0.293
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = 30%

c
𝑦 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑏𝑎𝑛 8 8
𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 1 − ( ) 0.20 ∙ 0.88 − ( ) 0.21 ∙ 0.87
𝑝 = 0.2 0 1
𝑞 = 0.8 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 0.4967
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 50%

d
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑎𝑝𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑏𝑎𝑛 8 8
𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 6) = 1 − ( ) 0.87 ∙ 0.21 − ( ) 0.88 ∙ 0.20
𝑝 = 0.8 7 8
𝑞 = 0.2 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 6) = 0.4966
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 6) = 50%

e
𝑦 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑞𝑢𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑝𝑟𝑢𝑒𝑏𝑎𝑛 8
𝑃(𝑦 = 6) = ( ) 0.26 ∙ 0.82
𝑝 = 0.2 6
𝑞 = 0.8 𝑃(𝑦 = 6) = 0.0011
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑦 = 6) = 0.11%
 a
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑜𝑠𝑜𝑠 4
𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = ( ) 0.10 ∙ 0.94
𝑝 = 0.1 0
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 0.6561
𝑛=4 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 66%

b
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑜𝑠𝑜𝑠 4
𝑃(𝑥 = 1) = ( ) 0.11 ∙ 0.93
𝑝 = 0.1 1
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑥 = 1) = 0.2916
𝑛=4 𝑃(𝑥 = 1) = 30%

c
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑚𝑒𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑜𝑠𝑜𝑠 4
𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = ( ) 0.12 ∙ 0.92
𝑝 = 0.1 2
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 0.0486
𝑛=4 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 5%

d
𝑥 = # 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑜𝑠𝑜𝑠 4 4 4
𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = ( ) 0.10 ∙ 0.94 + ( ) 0.11 ∙ 0.93 + ( ) 0.12 ∙ 0.92
𝑝 = 0.1 0 1 2
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = 0.9963
𝑛=4 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = 100%

a
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑒𝑚𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑔𝑜𝑙𝑝𝑒𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = ( ) 0.42 ∙ 0.63
𝑝 = 0.4 2
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 0.3456
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 35%

b
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑒𝑚𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑔𝑜𝑙𝑝𝑒𝑠 5 5
𝑃(𝑥 < 2) = ( ) 0.40 ∙ 0.65 + ( ) 0.41 ∙ 0.64
𝑝 = 0.4 0 1
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 < 2) = 0.3369
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 < 2) = 34%
 a
𝑥 = 𝑛ú𝑒𝑚𝑟𝑜 𝑑𝑒 𝑠𝑎𝑛𝑜𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = ( ) 0.95 ∙ 0.10
𝑝 = 0.9 5
𝑞 = 0.1 𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = 0.5904
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = 60%

b
𝑦 = # 𝑚𝑢𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑜𝑠 5 5 5
𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 1 − ( ) 0.10 ∙ 0.95 − ( ) 0.11 ∙ 0.94 − ( ) 0.12 ∙ 0.93
𝑝 = 0.1 0 1 2
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 0.00856
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 0.9%

c
𝑦 = # 𝑚𝑢𝑒𝑟𝑡𝑜𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑦 = 3) = ( ) 0.13 ∙ 0.92
𝑝 = 0.1 3
𝑞 = 0.9 𝑃(𝑦 = 3) = 0.0081
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑦 = 3) = 0.81%

a
𝑥 = 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = ( ) 0.40 ∙ 0.65
𝑝 = 0.4 0
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 0.0777
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 8%

b
𝑥 = 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑥 = 1) = ( ) 0.41 ∙ 0.64
𝑝 = 0.4 1
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 0.2592
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) = 26%

c
𝑥 = 𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑢𝑑𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑠 5
𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 1) = 1 − ( ) 0.40 ∙ 0.65
𝑝 = 0.4 0
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 1) = 0.9222
 𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 1) = 92%

a
𝑥 = 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 8 8 8
𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = ( ) 0.80 ∙ 0.28 + ( ) 0.81 ∙ 0.27 + ( ) 0.82 ∙ 0.26
𝑝 = 0.8 0 1 2
𝑞 = 0.2 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = 0.0012
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑥 ≤ 2) = 0.012%

b
𝑦 = 𝑛𝑜 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 8 8 8
𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 1 − ( ) 0.20 ∙ 0.88 − ( ) 0.21 ∙ 0.87 − ( ) 0.22 ∙ 0.86
𝑝 = 0.2 0 1 2
𝑞 = 0.8 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 0.203
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 3) = 20%

c
𝑦 = 𝑛𝑜 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 8
𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = ( ) 0.22 ∙ 0.86
𝑝 = 0.2 2
𝑞 = 0.8 𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = 0.2936
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑦 = 2) = 30%

d
𝑥 = 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 8
𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = ( ) 0.82 ∙ 0.26
𝑝 = 0.8 2
𝑞 = 0.2 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) =0.0011
𝑛=8 𝑃(𝑥 = 2) = 0.1%

a
𝑥 = 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 5 5
𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 1 − ( ) 0.40 ∙ 0.65 − ( ) 0.41 ∙ 0.64
𝑝 = 0.4 0 1
𝑞 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 0.6631
𝑛=5 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 66%
 b
5 5
𝑦 = 𝑛𝑜 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 1 − ( ) 0.60 ∙ 0.45 − ( ) 0.61 ∙ 0.44
0 1
𝑝 = 0.6 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 0.9129
𝑞 = 0.4 𝑃(𝑦 ≥ 2) = 91%
𝑛=5

c
𝑦 = 𝑛𝑜 𝑢𝑠𝑎𝑛
𝑝 = 0.6 𝐸 = (2000)(60%)
𝑞 = 0.4 𝐸 = 1200
𝑛=5

a
𝑥 = 𝑑𝑒𝑠𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑜𝑠𝑜 100
𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = ( ) 0.035 ∙ 0.9795
𝑝 = 0.03 5
𝑞 = 0.97 0.1013
𝑛 = 100 𝑃(𝑥 = 5) = 10%

a
𝑥 = 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑖𝑒𝑛 33 ∙ 𝑒 −3 32 ∙ 𝑒 −3 31 ∙ 𝑒 −3 30 ∙ 𝑒 −3
𝑝 = 0.005 P(𝑥 > 3) = 1 − − − −
3! 2! 1! 0!
𝑞 = 0.995 P(𝑥 > 3) = 0.353
𝑛 = 6000 P(𝑥 > 3) = 35%

𝑥 = # 𝑣𝑒ℎí𝑐𝑢𝑙𝑜𝑠 0.41 ∙ 𝑒 −0.4 0.40 ∙ 𝑒 −0.4

𝑝 = 0.0004 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 1 − −
1! 0!
𝑞 = 0.9996 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 0.0615
𝑛 = 1000 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 2) = 6%