NAMA : ANSELMUS KARNO RANTE BUMBUNGAN

NIM : 217 611 240

MATA KULIAH : DATA MINING

Jawab :

Jumlah kelas bermain golf = 7

Jumlah kelas tidak bermain golf = 3
Jadi,
P(Play = Ya)= 7/10 = 0.7
P(Play = TIDAK)= 3/10 = 0.3

ATRIBUT CUACA
P(Cuaca = CERAH |Play = Ya)= 2/7 = 0,286
P(Cuaca = CERAH |Play = TIDAK)= 1/3 = 0.333

ATRIBUT TEMPERATUR
µPlay = YA = (68+64+69+75+75+72+81) / 7 = 72
µPlay = TIDAK = (65+72+71) / 3 = 69,333
2 2 2 2 2 2 2
σplay = YA = ∑ 68−72 + 64−72 + 69−72 + 75−72 + 75−72 + 72−72 + 81−72 = 5,598
√ ( ) ( ) (

2
) ( ) ( ) (

2
) (
7−1
)

2
σplay = TIDAK = ∑ 65−69,333 + 72−69,333 + 71−69,333 = 3,786
√ ( ) (

1
) (
3−1
)

−(68−72)
2

P(temp = 68 | Play = YA ) = 2 (5,598)

2

√ 2 π .5,598 exp
 1 −16
= exp 62,676
2,506 x 5,598
1
= (2,718)−0,255
14,029
= 0,071 x 0,775 = 0,055
1 −(68−69,333)
2

P(temp = 68 | Play = TIDAK ) = 2(3,786)

2

√2 π .3,786 exp
1 −1,777
= exp 28,668
2,506 x 3,786
1
= (2,718)−0,062
9,488
= 0,105 x 0,940 = 0,099
ATRIBUT KELEMBAPAN
µPlay = YA = (90+70+95+80+70+89+75) / 7 = 81,286
µPlay = TIDAK = (80+65+80) / 3 = 75
σplay = YA =
2 2 2 2 2 2 2
∑ ( 90−81,286 ) + ( 70−81,286 ) + ( 95−81,286 ) + ( 80−81,286 ) + ( 70−81,286 ) + ( 89−81,286 ) + (75−81,286 )
√ = 10,161
7−1

2 2 2
σplay = TIDAK = ∑ 80−75 + 65−75 + 80−75 = 8,660
√( ) ( ) (
3−1
1
)

−(40−81,286)
2

P(lembab = 40 | Play = YA ) = 2 (10,161)

2

√ 2 π .10,161 exp
1 −1704,534
= exp 206,492
2,506 x 10,161
1
= (2,718)−8,255
25,463
= 0,0001
1 −(40−75)
2

P(temp = 68 | Play = TIDAK ) = 2

2 (8,660)
√2 π .8,660 exp
1 −1225
= 149,992
2,506 x 8,660 exp
1
= (2,718)−8,167
21,702
= 0,046 x 0,00028 = 0,0001
P(angin = TIDAK | play = YA) = 4/7= 0,571
P(angin = TIDAK | play = TIDAK) = 1/3= 0,333

PERKALIAN SEMUA HASIL SESUAI DENGAN DATA TESTING YANG AKAN DICARI KELASNYA.
P(X |play = YA) = 0,286 x 0,055 x 0,0001 x 0,571
= 0,0000009
P(X |play = TIDAK) = 0,333 x 0,099 x 0,0001 x 0,333
= 0.000001
P(X |play = YA) = 0.0000009 x 0,7 = 0.0000006
P(X |play = TIDAK) = 0,000001 x 0,3 = 0.0000003

Kesimpulannya YA, artinya PLAY.

Jawab :
MENGHITUNG NILAI ENTROPY
6 6 4 4
Entropy Class ( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
10
∗log 2
10
+−
10
∗log 2
10
= (-0,6 * (-0,037))+(-0,4 * (-1,322))
= 0,442 + 0,529
= 0,927

Entropy (Usia = Muda)

1 1 3 3
( 4 4) ( 4 4)
= −( )∗log ( ) + −( )∗log ( )
2 2

= (-0,25 * (-2))+(-0,75 * (-0,415))

= 0,5 + 0,311
= 0,811

Entropy (Usia = Tengah Baya)

 2 2 0 0
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
2
∗log 2
2
+ − ∗log 2
2 2
=0

Entropy (Usia = Tua)

3 3 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,75 * (-0,415))+(-0,25 * (-0,2))
= 0,311 + 0,5
= 0,811

Entropy (Pendapatan = Tinggi)

1 1 2 2
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
= (-0,333 * (-1,585))+(-0,667 * (-0,585))
= 0,528 + 0,390
= 0,918

Entropy (Pendapatan = Sedang)

2 2 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
= (-0,667 * (-0,585))+(-0,333 * (-1,585))
= 0,390 + 0,528
= 0,918

Entropy (Pendapatan = Rendah)

3 3 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,75 * (-0,415))+(-0,25 * (-0,2))
= 0,311 + 0,5
= 0,811

Entropy (Pelajar = Ya)

3 3 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,75 * (-0,415))+(-0,25 * (-0,2))
= 0,311 + 0,5
= 0,811
Entropy (Pelajar = Tidak)
3 3 3 3
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
6
∗log 2
6
+ − ∗log 2
6 6
= (-0,5 * (-1))+(-0,5 * (-1))
= 0,5 + 0,5
=1

Entropy (Pendapatan = Randah)

3 3 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,75 * (-415))+(-0,25 * (-0,2))
= 0,311 + 0,5
= 0,811

Entropy (Kredit = Macet)

5 5 2 2
( ( ) ( ) ) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
7
∗log 2
7
+ − ∗log 2
7 7
= (-0,714 * (-0,485))+(-0,286 * (-1,807))
= 0,346 + 0,517
= 0,863

Entropy (Kredit = Lancar)

1 1 2 2
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
= (-0,333 * (-1,585))+(-0,667 * (-0,585))
= 0,528 + 0,390
= 0,918

Atribut Kategori Jumlah Kasus Beli Tidak Beli Entropy

Class 10 6 4 0,971
Usia
Muda 4 1 3 0,811
Tengah Baya 2 2 0 0
Tua 4 3 4 0,811
Pendapatan
Tinggi 3 1 2 0,918
Sedang 3 2 1 0,918
Rendah 4 3 1 0,811
Pelajar
Ya 4 3 1 0,811
Tidak 6 3 3 1
Kredit
Macet 7 5 2 0,863
Lancar 3 1 2 0,918

MENGHITUNG NILAI GAIN

4 2 4
 Gain (Usia) = 0,971 – (( 10
∗0,811 +
10 )(
∗0 +
10 )(
∗0,811 ))
= 0,971 – (0,324 + 0 + 0,324)
= 0,971 – 0,648
= 0,323

 Gain (Pendapatan) = 0,971 – (( 103 ∗0,918)+( 103 ∗0,918)+( 104 ∗0,811))

= 0,971 – (0,275 + 0,275 + 0,324)
= 0,971 – 0,874
= 0,097

4 6
 Gain (Pelajar) = 0,971 – (( 10
∗0,811 + )(
10
∗1 ))
= 0,971 – (0,324 + 0,6)
= 0,971 – 0,924
= 0,047

 Gain (Kredit) = 0,971 – (( 107 ∗0,863)+( 103 ∗0,918))

= 0,971 – (0,604 + 0,275)
= 0,971 – 0,879
= 0,092

Nilai gain tertinggi terletak pada gain usia dengan nilai 0,323

TENGAH BAYA USIA MUDA

TUA

BELI NODE 1.2

NODE 1.1
MENGHITUNG NODE 1.1 (Usia = Tua)

USIA PENDAPATAN PELAJAR KREDIT BELI/TIDAK BELI

Tua Sedang Tidak Macet Beli
Tua Rendah Ya Macet Beli
Tua Rendah Ya Lancar Tidak Beli
Tua Sedang Ya Macet Beli

Entropy (Usia = Tua)

3 3 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,75 * (-0,415))+(-0,25 * (-0,2))
= 0,311 + 0,5
= 0,811

Entropy (Pendapatan = Sedang)

2 2 0 0
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
2
∗log 2
2
+ − ∗log 2
2 2
=0
Entropy (Pendapatan = Rendah)
1 1 2 2
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
2
∗log 2
2
+ − ∗log 2
2 2
= (-0,5 * (-1))+(-0,5 * (-1))
= 0,5 + 0,5
=1

Entropy (Pendapatan = Tinggi)

2 2 0 0
( 0 0)( 0 0)
= − ( )∗log ( ) + −( )∗log ( )
2 2

=0

Entropy (Pelajar = Ya)

2 2 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
= (-0,667 * (-0,585))+(-0,333 * (-1,585))
= 0,390 + 0,528
 = 0,918

Entropy (Pelajar = Tidak)

1 1 0 0
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
1
∗log 2
1
+ − ∗log 2
1 1
=0

Entropy (Kredit = Macet)

3 3 0 0
( ( ) ( ) ) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
=0

Entropy (Kredit = Lancar)

0 0 1 1
( 1 1)( 1 1)
= −( )∗log ( ) + −( )∗log ( )
2 2

=0

Atribut Kategori Jumlah Kasus Beli Tidak Beli Entropy

Class Tua 4 3 1 0,811
Pendapatan
Tinggi 0 0 0 0
Sedang 2 2 0 0
Rendah 2 1 1 1
Pelajar
Ya 3 2 1 0,918
Tidak 1 1 0 0
Kredit
Macet 3 3 0 0
Lancar 1 0 1 0
 2 2 0
 Gain (Pendapatan) = 0,811 – (( ) ( ) ( ))
4
∗1 + ∗0 + ∗0
4 4
= 0,811 – (0,5 + 0 + 0)
= 0,811 – 0,5
= 0,311
3 1
 Gain (Pelajar) = 0,811 – (( 4 ) ( ))
∗0,918 + ∗0
4
= 0,811 – (0,689 + 0)
= 0,811 – 0,689
= 0,122
3 1
 Gain (Kredit) = 0,811 – (( ) ( ))
4
∗0 + ∗0
4
= 0,811 – (0 + 0)
= 0,811 – 0
= 0,811
Nilai gain tertinggi terletak pada gain kredit dengan nilai 0,811

TENGAH BAYA USIA MUDA

TUA

BELI NODE 1.2

MACET KREDIT

LANCAR

BELI
TIDAK BELI

MENGHITUNG NODE 1.2 (Usia = Muda)

USIA PENDAPATAN PELAJAR KREDIT BELI/TIDAK BELI

Muda Tinggi Tidak Macet Tidak Beli
Muda Tinggi Tidak Lancar Tidak Beli
Muda Sedang Tidak Macet Tidak Beli
Muda Rendah Tidak Macet Beli

Entropy (Usia = Muda)

 1 1 3 3
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,25 * (-2))+(-0,75 * (-0,415))
= 0,5 + 0,311
= 0,811

Entropy (Pendapatan = Tinggi)

0 0 2 2
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
2
∗log 2
2
+ − ∗log 2
2 2
=0

Entropy (Pendapatan = Sedang)

0 0 1 1
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
1
∗log 2
1
+ − ∗log 2
1 1
=0

Entropy (Pendapatan = Rendah)

1 1 0 0
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
1
∗log 2
1
+ − ∗log 2
1 1
=0

Entropy (Pelajar = Ya)

0 0 0 0
( 0 0 ) ( 0 0 ))
= − ( )∗log ( 2) + − ( )∗log ( 2

=0

Entropy (Pelajar = Tidak)

1 1 3 3
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
4
∗log 2
4
+ − ∗log 2
4 4
= (-0,25 * (-2))+(-0,75 * (-0,415))
= 0,5 + 0,311
= 0,811

Entropy (Kredit = Macet)

1 1 2 2
( ( ) ( )) ( ( ) ( ))
= −
3
∗log 2
3
+ − ∗log 2
3 3
= (-0,333 * (-1,585))+(-0,667 * (-0,585))
 = 0,528 + 0,390
= 0,918

Entropy (Kredit = Lancar)

0 0 1 1
( 1 1 ) ( 1 1 ))
= −( )∗log (2 ) + − ( )∗log ( 2

=0

Atribut Kategori Jumlah Kasus Beli Tidak Beli Entropy

Class Muda 4 1 3 0,811
Pendapatan
Tinggi 2 0 2 0
Sedang 1 0 1 0
Rendah 1 1 0 0
Pelajar
Ya 0 0 0 0
Tidak 4 1 3 0,811
Kredit
Macet 3 1 2 0,918
Lancar 1 0 1 0

Hitung Nilai Gain

2 1 1
 Gain (Pendapatan) = 0,811 – (( ) ( ) ( ))
4
∗0 + ∗0 + ∗0
4 4
= 0,811 – (0 + 0 + 0)
= 0,811 – 0
= 0,811
0 4
 Gain (Pelajar) = 0,811 – (( ) (4
∗0 + ∗0,811
4 ))
= 0,811 – (0 + 0,811)
= 0,811 – 0,811
=0
3 1
 Gain (Kredit) = 0,811 – (( 4
∗0,918 + ∗0
4 ) ( ))
= 0,811 – (0,689 + 0)
= 0,811 – 0,689
= 0,122

TENGAH BAYA USIA MUDA

TUA

BELI
KREDIT
 PENDAPATAN
MACET
RENDAH
TINGGI
SEDANG
LANCAR

TIDAK BELI BELI

TIDAK BELI