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Accepted 2011 March 7. Received 2011 February 25; in original form 2009 December 24
SUMMARY
GJI Seismology
the rupture kinematics. We conclude that for tsunami modelling, a complex description of the
fault source model is not absolutely necessary, but some significant parameters such as rupture
kinematics should be taken into account.
Key words: Tsunamis; Earthquake dynamics; Indian Ocean.
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1366 B. Poisson, C. Oliveros and R. Pedreros
In addition, the 2004 Sumatra earthquake involved an excep- Then, the propagation and inundation of tsunami waves are com-
tionally extended fault and the rupture propagated for around 500 s puted with FUNWAVE, a model based on fully nonlinear Boussi-
(e.g. Ishii et al. 2005; Tolstoy & Bohnenstiehl 2005). Some source nesq equations accounting for frequency dispersion (Wei et al.
models thus inverted the rupture velocity together with the slip dis- 1995).
tribution (e.g. Ishii et al. 2005; Vigny et al. 2005; Lambotte et al. The main advantages of using FUNWAVE are the following:
2007; Piatanesi & Lorito 2007; Rhie et al. 2007). However, numer-
(i) FUNWAVE takes into account the frequency dispersion,
ical studies of the tsunami usually do not take the rupture velocity
which can be important in the case of short-wave propagation
into account, or do so only by imposing a time lag between a few
through the deep ocean, as occurred west of the Sumatra–Andaman
large subfaults.
fault during the 2004 event. Grilli et al. (2007) estimated that the
In the light of these observations, some questions emerge.
dispersive effect reduces the maximum water elevation in deep wa-
(i) How can we account for such different models of the same ter by 23 per cent, compared to the results from non-linear shallow
seismic source whereas they all appear to fit some data? If we have water equations (NLSWE) models.
to choose one source model for this event, for example for studying (ii) The non-linearity of equations is crucial to the correct mod-
the regional tsunami hazard, which one should be preferred, and elling of propagation in shallow water and then, of coastal impact.
why? FUNWAVE thus is an appropriate model for simulating tsunami
Table 1. Main characteristics of the five source models tested in this study. The data used for inverting/checking the model may be: [defo], deformation data;
[tsun], tsunami data; [seis], seismological data. For each study, it is indicated if tsunami modelling was performed (for the inversion or checking), and—if
necessary—if it is based upon the (non)linear shallow water equations: (N)LSWE. Whether or not the rupture velocity was inverted or tested in the referred
study is also reported.
Model Reference Data used for inversion Data used for checking Tsunami modelling Rupture velocity
M1 Banerjee et al. [defo] GPS static offsets (near- and - No -
far-field)
M2 Fujii & Satake [tsun] SSHA + tide gauge data - Yes: LSWE a priori values tested
M3 Piatanesi & Lorito [tsun] tide gauge data - Yes: NLSWE inverted
M4 Rhie et al. [defo] GPS static offsets (near-field) - No inverted
[seis] long-period seismic waveforms
M5 Chlieh et al. [defo] GPS static offsets (near- and seismic data + very far-field Yes: NLSWE a priori values tested
far-field) + coral reefs uplift GPS data + SSHA
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distribution from static surface deformation, Banerjee et al. (2007) (i) Many source models have been published for the 2004
did not obtain any indication about the rupture velocity. December 26 earthquake. However, we select models that were
M2: Fujii & Satake (2007) inferred their tsunami source from drawn up long after the event, so that they had the time to incorpo-
12 tide gauge records and the sea surface height anomaly (SSHA) rate validated data for inverting the source.
measured by three satellites (Jason-1, Topex-Poseidon and Envisat). (ii) The selected sources have a similar geometry, derived from
The fault geometry was slightly modified after Hirata et al. (2006) Banerjee et al. (2005), but they clearly show distinct slip distribu-
and several a priori rupture velocities were tested. They divided the tions (see Section 2.3, hereafter, and Fig. 1).
fault area into 22 subfaults for which tsunami waveforms (equiv- (iii) The rupture velocity has been inverted in four of the five
alent to Green’s functions) were computed. As they used linear models, with values ranging from 1 to 2.5 km s−1 , hence covering
shallow-water long-wave equations, they assumed that each tide a good part of the range of plausible velocities for this earthquake
gauge record was a linear combination of subfault waveforms. They (see Section 2.3 hereafter).
obtained one source model for each tested rupture velocity and fi- (iv) All five models were inverted from different data sets of
nally retained the one yielding the largest variance reduction. various origin (seismic, ground deformation and tsunami).
M3: Piatanesi & Lorito (2007) followed a similar approach for
inverting both the slip spatial distribution and the rupture velocity
from 14 tsunami waveforms recorded in the Indian Ocean. They
computed similar Green’s functions as Fujii & Satake (2007), but 2.3 Source parameters used in this study
also took into account the non-linearity of the tsunami propagation The required parameters of the fault geometry in each model are
by computing elementary sources for 10-m slip, considered as the shown in Table 2. The number of subfaults can be lower than in the
mean slip on the whole fault. After this, they inverted the rupture basic model of each study because subfaults with a null inverted
velocity at the same time as the slip distribution, using a non-linear slip were omitted.
inversion technique. The fault geometry in this case was the same The seismic moment corresponding to each model is also re-
as in Banerjee et al. (2005), involving 16 subfaults, just slightly ported. When the chosen rigidity was not specified in the published
different from the fault description by Banerjee et al. (2007). studies, it could be deduced from the given seismic moment and
M4: Rhie et al. (2007) computed a joint inversion of long period the sum of the products of slip on the subfaults and their area. It
seismic waveforms and near-field GPS static offsets. They started must be noted that all authors compare their computed M 0 to seis-
from the fault geometry model by Banerjee et al. (2005) and subdi- mic moments computed from waveforms (Ammon et al. 2005; Park
vided each fault segment so that the total number of subfaults was et al. 2005; Stein & Okal 2005). However, as all models concern
201, significantly higher than in the first three models. the same rupture event and then the same fault zone, it may be
M5: Chlieh et al. (2007) based their study on the work of Subarya interesting to compute their respective seismic moments with the
et al. (2006) who had inverted a coseismic slip distribution from same rigidity, considered as representative for the depth range of
near-field GPS surveys in northern Sumatra and in situ and remote the fault. That is why two seismic moments are indicated: M 0 from
observations of vertical displacements of coral reefs. Chlieh et al. each study, and M ∗0 recomputed with μ = 4.0 × 1010 N m−2 , which
(2007) carried out new inversions after adding near-field GPS data is a value close to the average rigidity in the first 80 km from surface
from the Nicobar-Andaman islands as well as far-field GPS data in the global earth model PREM (Dziewonski & Anderson 1981).
from Thailand and Malaysia. The fault geometry was taken from Through this little calculation, we note that the seismic moment M ∗0
Ammon et al. (2005). The model fault was then subdivided into shows more discrepancy than M 0 . The five studied models actu-
three main segments that were discretized into 661 smaller cells. ally consider more different amounts of released energy than the
displayed moments M 0 suggest.
We chose to test these five source models for the following Only one of the chosen models does not take into account the
reasons. rupture velocity, as it is purely inverted from static offsets (Banerjee
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1368 B. Poisson, C. Oliveros and R. Pedreros
Table 2. Range of the source parameters used for the five tested models of the Sumatra 2004 earthquake. N s is the
number of subfaults with positive slip; the parameter range for all subfaults is reported for the slip (m), dip (◦ ), rake
(◦ ) and depth (m); V r is the rupture velocity (km s−1 ); M 0 is the seismic moment (N m) computed with the rigidity μ
(N m−2 ) imposed by the authors, and M ∗0 is the seismic moment (N m) recomputed with the same assumed rigidity μ =
4.0 × 1010 N m−2 for all models.
Simulation Model Ns Slip Dip Rake Depth Vr M0 μ M ∗0
S1 M1 10 0.5–19.4 11–35 90–139 0–90 - 7.6 5 6.1
S2 M2 16 1.0–24.6 10 85–130 3–37 1.0 6.0 5 4.8
S3 M3 14 4.0–30.0 11–35 90–139 0–50 2 5.7 3 7.6
S4 M4 200 0.2–35.3 11–18 90–138 0–40 2.5 7.1 4 7.1
S5 M5 661 0.1–17 12–17.5 70–150 2.0–54.7 2.2 6.9 6 4.6
et al. 2007). We thus complete the parameters of S1 by imposing Two simulations were carried out for each model: the first takes
a rupture velocity of 2.5 km s−1 , which corresponds to the most the parameters set with the corresponding non-null rupture velocity
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to distinguish the tsunami signal from the large-scale and mesoscale The first (and southernmost) part of Jason-1 data comprises the
ocean variability (Ablain et al. 2006). Here, we choose to consider largest and clearest crest wave (A). This most significant wave
directly the SSHA deduced from Jason-1 measurements (Fig. 3), corresponds to the front wave of the tsunami (Fig. 2), which also
for two reasons: furthermore results from the southern part of the fault where the
slip is the highest in most models (Fig. 1).
(i) a mean sea surface level is already taken into account in the All simulations but S5 lead to fit the presence of this high first
computation of the SSHA (GSFC00.1 model; Koblinsky et al. 1998) crest wave. Its amplitude in data and in simulation results is reported
as it is subtracted from the satellite measured SSH at the same time in Table 3. The half wavelength of this crest is 200 km on Jason-
as atmospheric and tide effects; 1 data and appears to be around 150–200 km in S2 and S4, its
(ii) the tsunami signal obtained in the cited studies is very similar amplitude being fitted by 80–100 per cent in these simulations.
to the SSHA on the main part of the record, where the two main The first wave simulated in S1 and S3 is of smaller amplitude and
waves are observed (parts A, B and C on Fig. 3, Ablain et al. 2006; wavelength.
Gower 2006). In the northern 2000 km of the profile (part D on The second peak is not well reproduced by any model, as it is
Fig. 3), the SSHA appears to be at worst 5–10 cm higher than the not of the same shape as the data (S1, S3), or is too small (S4) or
processed ones, where most models anyway have inadequate results missing (S2).
[see e.g. Sladen & Hébert (2008), for use of Ablain et al. (2006)’s From a temporal point of view, the first peak is matched in S1,
processed SSHA]. S3 and S4, but is late in S2.
When looking at snapshots of the tsunami propagation at the time In S5, the first crest appears to have a half wavelength of 400 km
of Jason-1’s passage (Fig. 2), wave patterns along this track seem to that is longer than the two first peaks together in the data. Besides,
be somewhat different according to the simulated source. The SSE its amplitude does not exceed a third of the observed crests.
profiles of the M K simulated tsunamis along the Jason-1 track are The following trough (B) is rather well reproduced in S4,
shown on Fig. 3 as red curves. but is badly reproduced in the other simulations. The rise of an
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1370 B. Poisson, C. Oliveros and R. Pedreros
Figure 3. Sea surface elevation profiles along the Jason-1 track, for all tested models. Black points are Jason-1 data, red profiles are for M K and blue ones for
M I simulations. Grey letters designate profile segments that are referred to in the text.
intermediate small crest is also visible in S1 and matches the data of this variability, most of the simulations results in this segment
in S4. are in the same range as the data. However, the best average fit is
The second rise (C) involves a high frequency signal with 0.2 obtained for S4, as the others show anomalous trends northwards,
m amplitude, the SSHA then extending from 0 to 0.4 m. Because with regard to the data.
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Table 3. Comparison between: observed and simulated amplitude of the All models, except S5, show a strong impact on the northern tip
first crest wave on Jason-1 track profile; simulated zmax in the most impacted of Sumatra. Actually, the observed runups in the Aceh province are
places and maximum observed tsunami heights (in metres). the highest reported in the observations, reaching 20–30 m (Borrero
Data S1 S2 S3 S4 S5 et al. 2006; Jaffe et al. 2006).
Eastwards, the coast of Thailand is impacted in all simulations
Amplitude of first wave 0.59 0.42 0.59 0.34 0.46 0.20
on J-1 profile
but S2. The strongest impact there is computed in S1, where the
Indonesia (Aceh) 20–30 9.8 5.7 8.7 13 6.9 computed tsunami height reaches 5–6 m at some points, whereas
Thailand 5–15 6.7 3.6 6.4 6.2 6.3 the observations show that the highest tsunami heights ranged from
Myanmar (south) 2–3 2.6 1.0 3.3 1.9 2.9 5 to 15 m (Tsuji et al. 2006).
Myanmar (Ayeyarwaddy) 1.5–2 1.8 0.8 3.8 1.3 1.9 Northwards, on the Myanmar coast, the tsunami’s impact differs
India (Tamil Nadu) 3–5 3.4 1.7 3.5 3.4 3.1 according to the source model. In S2, no impact is observed, whereas
Sri Lanka (east) 5–7 7.1 2.0 4.9 5.5 5.2 in S3 the whole coast is hit by 3–4 m high waves. In the other cases,
the affected zones are the southern coastal areas that were actually
reached by 2–3 m high waves, and the Ayeyarwaddy Delta (northeast
The last part of profile (D) shows three successive bulges of
of our computation domain), where the observed tsunami heights
0.2–0.3 m amplitude that are not artefacts because they can also be
reached 1.5–2 m (Satake et al. 2006; Swe et al. 2006).
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1372 B. Poisson, C. Oliveros and R. Pedreros
and S3, reaching 50 per cent in S2 and S5 where zmax appears to Poisson et al. (2009) showed that the zmax computation on a
be quite low. 1600-m resolution grid around Sri Lanka represented on average 88
In S1, S4 and S5, δ zmax is positive towards Sri Lanka and per cent of actual tsunami heights with a standard deviation of 30
southern India (0.1–1 m), a slightly negative area being observed per cent. This leads to examine the zmax results on the Sri Lankan
further south. In S2, δ zmax is positive almost everywhere west of coast not only qualitatively but also quantitatively, as they should
the fault. In S3, δ zmax appears to be positive only towards India, not be much smaller than the actual tsunami heights.
north of Sri Lanka. East of the fault, δ zmax is lower but reaches
0.5 m in absolute value at some places. It is rather negative on the
coast of Thailand, and positive along Myanmar. On the northern tip 3.3.1 Influence of the seismic source
of Sumatra, δ zmax is slightly negative in S1, S4 and S5, except
The zmax maps obtained with the M K model on the eastern coast of
in some points of the coast. In S2 and S3, it is more heteroge-
Sri Lanka show a clear discrepancy between the outputs of the five
neous, and, when compared to zmax (8–10 m), can be considered as
simulations (Fig. 6). Letters a to f help to distinguish areas with
negligible.
distinct observations.
On the whole, S1 exhibits a much higher zmax at all annotated
points, whereas S2 leads to the lowest zmax values. At first sight, S3,
3.3 Focus on Sri Lanka
S4 and S5 produce the same zmax patterns intermediate between
As Sri Lanka lay squarely in the tsunami path, it was severely hit those of S1 and S2, but they differ in detail. S4 gives some higher
by the tsunami waves. For this reason, it is interesting to analyse estimations of zmax, especially in the southern part of the area
the simulated tsunami impact in this zone. Here we consider the where they are 1–2 m higher than in S3 and S5 (‘e’ and ‘f’). S3 and
results of the simulations on the eastern coast of Sri Lanka only, S5 differ locally, but with a discrepancy lower than 1 m. Almost
because of the presence of the western absorbing boundary of the everywhere along the coast, the S1 results are 2–3 m higher than
computational grid near the western coast. the S3 and S5 ones, whereas the S2 results are 2–3 m lower.
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Figure 6. Maximum sea surface elevation (in metres) computed on the eastern coast of Sri Lanka through the kinematic model with the five tested parameter
sets. The letters refer to areas mentioned in the text.
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To make a quantitative assessment of the simulations results, we the models lies in the spatial slip distribution. As the patches of
compare zmax at the coastline of Sri Lanka to published tsunami high slip are not located on the same fault segments, the high zmax
height data (Liu et al. 2005; Wijetunge 2006). More than 70 per patterns do not appear at the same places in all simulations.
cent of the measured tsunami heights on the eastern coast were The comparison of simulation results with the Jason-1 record in
comprised in the 3–6 m range. On the southern coast, the same ratio the deep ocean allows a first analysis of the discrepancy between
of reported measurements reached 5–10 m. models (Fig. 3). The most remarkable point is the first wave de-
The tsunami heights on the eastern coast were mostly comprised tected on the Jason-1 track. The fit with the first crest seems to be
in the 4–6 m range. On the southern coast, they rather reached closely related to the presence of a high slip patch in a not too deep
5–10 m. The two simulations that appear to be the more consistent southern segment of the fault (as in M2 and M4). If the high slip
with these data are S1 and S4, which lead to zmax ranging from is too moderate (M1) or too deep (M3), the first generated tsunami
4 to 7 m along the southeastern coast, whereas the others clearly wave appears to be notably smaller than the observed one, both in
underestimate the tsunami impact in this region. wavelength and amplitude.
However the discrepancy between models is only partly visible
through the comparison with Jason-1 data. For example, the S1 and
3.3.2 Influence of the rupture velocity S3 profiles along the Jason-1 track look alike but lead to clearly
The influence of the rupture velocity is illustrated in Fig. 7 which distinct zmax maps (Fig. 4). At the ocean scale, zmax patterns are
represents δ zmax in the same manner as Fig. 5. also closely related to the spatial slip distribution. When looking
δ zmax appears to be higher in the case of the S1, where zmax at the coastal impact of the simulated tsunami on the Sri Lanka,
was also higher than in the other cases. It reaches 1–2 m on the main however, the differences between simulations are less expectable.
part of the eastern coastline in S1, but is less significant in the other
cases, where a 1-m discrepancy appears in some spots (c and e in S3
4.2 Fault models involving tsunami modelling
to S5, f in S3 and d in S5). Taking into account the range of zmax,
the ratio of δ zmax to zmax amounts to 20–30 per cent at points Among the five tested earthquake source models, three are inverted
c, e and f in S3, as in S2. The S5 δ zmax map distinguishes itself or validated by their authors through tsunami modelling:
from the others as it shows a 0.5–1 m discrepancy over a more than
50-km-wide area before reaching the coast from a to e. However, M2: Fujii & Satake (2007) inverted the source with a linear
the resulting δ zmax at the coastline is lower than in the case of S1. tsunami model (Satake 1995);
The only case where δ zmax appears to be slightly negative M3: Piatanesi & Lorito (2007) used a NLSWE tsunami model for
(meaning that the M K model underestimates zmax in comparison computing elementary tsunami waveforms that were then linearly
to M I ) is S3, over a 150-km-long area in the middle of the coast. combined to invert the seismic source; and
M5: Chlieh et al. (2007) checked their slip model by simulating
the tsunami with a model based on a shallow-water approximation,
4 DISCUSSION without specifying if it is linear or not (both are referred: Hbert
et al. 2001; Sladen & Hbert 2005).
Here, we discuss the potential reasons for the observed discrepancy
between the different models, and between the model results and These three tsunami models not only differed among each other,
the tsunami data. but were also distinct from ours.
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of coseismic horizontal displacement in region of steep bathymetric diffracted waves along the southwestern coast. Specific configura-
slopes (Tanioka & Satake 1996), but the calculation of this correc- tions at these particular places may have induced site effects that
tion shows that it induces a change in the seafloor deformation of in turn might have generated specific tsunami characteristics that
3 per cent on average. Thus, the computation of the tsunami gen- would have biased the global behaviour.
eration cannot explain the observed divergences between the tested Moreover, some of the referred tide gauge stations are common
models and ours. to both, but the corresponding waveforms seem to differ from one
description to the other. We may presume that it is due to the re-
moving of the tidal component in the tsunami signals in M2, as M3
4.2.2 Frequency dispersion does not seem to consider the ocean tide effect. In any case, the
difference in the tide gauge data used by M2 and M3 compounds
The frequency dispersion appears to be obvious in Jason-1 data, as the differences of the tsunami models; M2 and M3 necessarily lead
high-frequency waves are clearly visible (see Figs 2 and 3, Kulikov to different slip distributions, and S2 and S3 are then expected to
et al. 2005). This observation confirms the importance of taking lead to different results.
this phenomenon into account in tsunami modelling, as it is done
in FUNWAVE. We observe that only S2 and S4 reproduce a high-
frequency component that is fairly similar in frequency to Jason-1 4.3 Seismic moments
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All models but M5 lack a comparison with data that were not of each subfault. This difference may have induced a difference
taken into account in the inversion. Concerning the validation of between Piatanesi & Lorito (2007)’s results and our S3 results.
M5 on Jason-1 data, the first crest was already not reproduced in Hirata (2009) used the same approach as Piatanesi & Lorito
their tsunami simulation. However, the discrepancy with data was (2007) for demonstrating the importance of taking the rupture ve-
not so significant that here in S5 (M I , to conform to the choice in M5 locity into account in tsunami modelling. Our study, by refining the
not to take into account the rupture kinematics), as the amplitude discretization and by testing several slip distribution models, con-
of the second crest and the timing appeared to be consistent. This firms that the impact on Sri Lanka and eastern India can be notably
may be due to the difference of the tsunami models used. underestimated by neglecting the rupture kinematics.
In our study, the simulations that best reproduce the SSHA profile The 2004 December Sumatra tsunami was simulated with the
and the impact on Sri Lanka are S4 followed by S1. The related tsunami code Geowave, as induced by five different published mod-
models were not actually validated on independent data, but both els of the seismic source and with or without taking into account
were based on the inversion of only geodetic and/or seismic data. the rupture velocity.
C 2011 The Authors, GJI, 185, 1365–1378
non-infinite rupture velocity and the potential spatial heterogeneity Hbert, H., Heinrich, P., Schindel, F. & Piatanesi, A., 2001. Far-field sim-
of slip through several slip distributions. In fact, these parameters ulation of tsunami propagation in the Pacific Ocean: impact on the
could modify significantly the estimation of tsunami potential max- Marquesas Islands (French Polynesia), J. geophys. Res., 106, 9161–
imal amplitudes and arrival times. 9177.
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