Professional Documents
Culture Documents
ON
BACHELOR OF COMMERCE
FINANCIAL MARKETS
SEMESTER-VI
ACADEMIC YEAR 2019-20
SUBMITED
IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE
REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF DEGREE
OF BACHELOR OF COMMERCE- FINANCIAL MARKETS
BY
MR: RAHUL JANYANI
UNDER THE GUIDANCE OF
PROF: EVELYN CORREIA
SEAT NO: 24
I MR. RAHUL JANYANI Student of BCOM FINANCIAL MARKETS hereby declare that the
project for the OVERPOPULATION CRISIS titled. Submitted by me for Semester-VI during the
academic year 2019-2020, is based on actual work carried out by me under the supervision of
I further state that this work is original and not submitted anywhere else for any examination.
Signature of student
JAI HIND COLLEGE
‘A’ ROAD, CHURCHGATE, MUMBAI 400020
EVALUATION CERTIFICATE
This is to certify that the undersigned have assessed and evaluated the project on,
“POPULATION CRISIS”
This project is original to the best of our knowledge and has been accepted for
Assessment
________________ ______________________
________________ ______________________
______________________
College seal
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
The successful completion of project involved the contribution of time and efforts.
The project would never have been completed without the valuable help extended to
I would also like to thank all my friends to help me in this project work and
Last but not the least I would like to thank our parents for making us capable in
doing this project and giving their continuous support and guidance.
CONTENTS
Sr No. Particulars Page No.
1 BACKGROUND OF STUDY 8
2 STATEMENT OF PROBLEM 9
3 OBJECTIVE OF STUDY 10
6 CASE STUDY
7 Recommendations 34
8 Conclusion 35-37
There are two types of objectives. One is general objectives and other in
specific objectives. Now both objectives of this study are given below.
General objectives
1. Find out the problems which are eased by the population.
2. Analysis the factors for which people are suffering for food due to over
population.
Specific objective
1. Find out reasons which are responsible for population
Problem.
2. Find out the social and financial effects due to this problem.
4. Find out the conditions of the basic needs of people after the population
problem.
5. Besides finding out the effects and reasons find out the ways of getting
solution of this problem.
6. Find out the main steps which play a vital role to stop this problem as early as
possible.
Literature Review:
Population is fundamental and the most important element of a
state. But over population is a great challenge for a country.
London has said, "Humans are 10,000 times more common than we should be,
according to the rules of the animal kingdom, and we have agriculture to thank
for that. Without farming, the world population would probably have reached
half a million by now."
Over population does not depend only on the size or density of the
population, but on the ratio of population to available sustainable resources. It
also depends on the way resources are used and distributed throughout the
population. Over population can result from an increase in births, a decline in
mortality rates due to medical advances, from an increase in immigration, or
from an unsustainable biome and depletion of resources.
Population projections
A more important question is what the future population growth will be. Until
the United Nations Population Division (UN PD) released the 2004 revision of
population projections for all the countries of the world, there was a general
agreement that Bangladesh would reach 218 million by 2050 and finally
stabilize at around 260 million in mid-next century. However, the 2004 revision
by the UN PD proposes a pessimistic upgrading of the 2050 figure to 243
million as a consequence of the decade-long fertility plateau (1993–2002). This
seems excessively high. The PRB estimate is 231 million for mid-century,
which is more realistic, although a new set of Bangladesh population
projections should be produced, taking into account the recent demographic
events. Whatever the details, it can be seen in that Bangladesh is only halfway
along the S-curve of the ‘demographic transition’ from a historically-stable
population size of around 25 million to a final size of 10-fold larger.
Fig. 1
Population of Bangladesh: 10-fold growth in two centuries
Key messages
The density of the Bangladesh population is much higher than any other
mega country.
In 2007, Bangladesh was only halfway up the population growth curve
and will reach more than 250 million later this century.
Most of the increased population will be urban, and much of Bangladesh
will essentially become a city state.
The year that Bangladesh reaches replacement fertility is not as critical
lowering fertility to less than replacement. Other Asian countries have
accomplished this.
The number of children born each year is now stabilized at slightly less
than 4 million.
Age of marriage has not increased in Bangladesh as it has in other Asian
countries.
The elderly (>60 years) will grow in population from 7 to 65 million this
century, and this will make many demands and different demands on the
health system.
There has been a major reduction in overall numbers of child deaths over
the last three decades. Part of this reduction is due to reduced fertility,
and part is due to child-survival interventions.
The UN projection would require an average annual growth rate of 1.29% from
today to 2050. As the CDR will not fall below 8/1,000, the CBR would have to
remain, on average, at least 21/1,000 [The population growth rate (natural
increase, not including international migration) is the difference between CBR
and CDR, expressed as a percentage, not per 1,000]. This is unlikely as even if
the TFR remains at a plateau at replacement level through 2050, the population-
ageing process will bring the CBR down below 20 within a decade or so.
Simultaneously, the population-ageing process will start to push the CDR
beyond 8/1,000 from around 2020, which will further reduce the population
growth rate.
Replacement fertility
It is worth noting that the exact year in which replacement fertility is achieved is
not of great importance. What is potentially of much greater importance is
whether or not fertility can be brought below replacement fertility. For example,
if fertility stops declining on attaining replacement level, the final population
will continue to increase for another century and add at least 100 million.
However, if fertility declined through replacement (i.e. TFR around 2.2) to the
current level of Thailand (TFR around 1.8), the final population could stop
growing at 205-210 million, some 50-55 million lower than otherwise will be
the case.
Fig. 5
Korail slum in Dhaka
Since slums tend to be in low-lying areas, where the better-off do not want to
live, they are subject to flooding (26.5% fully flooded, 27.4% partly flooded,
46.1% flood-free), with over half of the area being poorly drained (52.7%, plus
37.0% moderately drained). More than half (55.7%) have no fixed place for the
disposal of garbage. More than half (52.8%) of the population use a pit latrine
for sanitation, and in many households, these must be shared—in one in eight
slums, one latrine was shared, on average, by 11 or more families.
What are the prospects for this situation with future rapid urban growth? Water
is likely to be a limiting factor. At present, the people of Dhaka city need 2.1
billion liter of water a day (L/day). Dhaka WASA provides 1.45 billion L/day,
mostly from groundwater through its 400 deep tube wells, and the remainder is
from the Shitalakshya River, which is becoming increasingly polluted. Many
additional deep tube wells are serving the mushrooming numbers of high-rise
buildings, and the overall impact of extraction of this underground water at a
rate exceeding the capacity to recharge the aquifer is a drawdown of the Dhaka
water table at an unsustainable rate. The water table is presently over 60 metres
below the surface [One positive aspect of this low water table is that it is below
the level of arsenic contamination of the shallow aquifer, down to 30 metres],
some 20 metres lower than eight years ago, and 35 metres lower than in the
mid-1970s. Surface water should be a viable alternative [There is a proposal to
import relatively clean surface water from areas to the south-west of Dhaka city,
as the Shitalakshya River has reached its extraction limit due to pollution and
siltation]. However, surface water is contaminated by industrial wastes (mostly
toxic chemical dyes, heavy metals, etc.) and domestic wastes due to the
inadequate sewerage system.
Only Chittagong and Dhaka are the two cities with any piped, water-based
sewerage system, but it is very old and poorly maintained. Only 30% of city
residents live in areas served by the sewerage system, another 30% have septic
tanks, and the rest lack even basic sanitation, further exacerbating the pollution
of surface water.
While the recommended allowance of water is around 200 L/day per person (for
all purposes), many slum-dwellers manage with less than 10 L/day. With the
Dhaka population increasing by over 300,000 persons each year, theoretically
needing six million additional litre per day, the numbers limited to this
inadequate amount or less, will undoubtedly increase, unless something drastic
is done.
The health implications must be clear, where populations are growing, water is
becoming increasingly scarce, and sanitation is poor and not improving,
waterborne diseases are very likely to become a serious problem again.
In addition, air-borne diseases, such as influenza, pneumonia, and TB, which
tend to be exacerbated by crowding, are obviously also likely to increase under
these pressured conditions.
Unless major changes are made in access to water sources for irrigation in the
dry season, agricultural production will not increase significantly. The
optimistic view is that food production will keep pace with the growing
population at least until 2010, when requirements of food-grains will be 31
million metric tonnes (mt), and production will be about 30 million mt. These
national averages may conceal household-level variations. For example,
assuming a daily per-capita requirement of 454 g of food-grains, an average
family of five would need 825 kg annually. With average agricultural land-
holding at 0.2 acres and average production at 4 mt per acre, the typical
agricultural family can currently produce almost exactly their intake
requirements of 0.8 mt (800 kg). However, this leaves no excess for sale and for
supporting the population in non-agricultural households in the country.
The National Water Management Plan may contribute to changes in patterns of
water extraction that may alleviate some of this problem, but if agricultural
production does not increase, what will be the trend for agricultural
employment?
The latest figures suggest that, compared to the mid-1990s, the numbers
working in agriculture are about 17.2 million males and 5.8 million females and
are stagnating or declining. Figures on small or zero land-holdings by farming
households are elusive. The 1996 agricultural census indicates that 10.2% of
farm households owned no land at all, followed by 79.87% holding between
0.05 and 2.49 acres (0.02-1 ha) . This range is not useful as it covers impossibly
small areas to reasonably large areas, but includes most farm households. What
are clear are that farm in all size categories have declined between the 1983–
1984 and the 1996 agricultural census, and the overall average farm size has
fallen by one-quarter from 2.26 acres to 1.69 acres. Measures of landlessness
are complicated, but it appears that, from the early 1980s to the mid-1990s,
landlessness fell from 56% to 50%; however, micro-level evidence suggests that
the “rate might have slowed down in recent times in part as a consequence of
the escalation in the pace or rural-urban migration”.
These trends suggest that agriculture will not absorb the continuing growth of
population into the economically-productive labour force. Thus, the continuing
short-term growth in the rural areas of around two million annually will have to
find other sources of employment, of which there are a few, or they will be
driven into the cities looking for work. The latter is the most likely scenario. By
2025, when rural populations are expected to stop growing, migration to urban
areas will then balance the annual natural increase of 1.3 million.
It is worthwhile to point out that the area of cultivable land is not static. It is
constantly under threat from the need for land for other uses. Between 1983–
1984 and 1997, the area of cultivable crop-land declined by almost 14% while
the area for homestead increased by 20%; adjacent ponds and other residential
uses increased by another 20%, consuming over 300,000 acres of crop-land.
The growth of district-level small cities and towns is now having a noticeable
impact: “urbanization offers the greatest substantive threat to total land
available for agricultural use”.
Another aspect of the ‘water paradox’ is that global trends in climate change
pose threats of rising sea-levels which may inundate coastal areas and further
reduce available agricultural land by both direct flooding and salination of the
aquifer, as is already occurring in Barisal. This prospect is discussed further
below.
Finally, in this brief overview, the potential catastrophic impact of the proposed
plans to divert many major rivers passing through India will not be discussed.
Obviously, if this had occurred, Bangladesh would be deprived of currently-
available transboundary surface water. The only positive aspect of such a
scheme might be a reduction in numbers of people rendered homeless by the
perennial problem of river erosion.
River erosion is believed to swallow nearly 25,000 acres (10,000 ha) each year,
leaving some 60,000 people homeless. It is predicted to consume 3,575 sq. km
by 2025. The Brahmaputra and Jamuna rivers alone are said to have contributed
to one million rural inhabitants being driven into poverty, and forced to relocate,
with the trend in recent decades of moving to the cities in search of work.
According to Oxfam, up to 90% of trafficked women and children are victims
of river erosion, forced to migrate from their rural homes.
Natural Factors
Social Factors
Economic Factors:
Poverty: Large numbers of people in Bangladesh are living under poverty
line. They are deprived from many opportunities of life. They have need for
money. They believe, “more children earn more money”. So they procreate
more children in their married life.
EFFECTS OF OVERPOPULATION
Economic Growth, Environment and Sustainability
Economic pursuits of human beings are dependent on the natural environment
as nature is the provider of raw materials for the production of different goods.
Natural environment provides us two types of resources. Natural or material
resources− mineral and fossilized energy which are extracted from the natural
state at some cost to the economic agent who is involved in the extraction of the
resource as well as environmental resources− clean air, water, rivers, natural
beauty, oceans etc. the use of these does not involve any payment as there is no
market for natural goods. Besides, natural environment works as a waste
assimilator as the wastes are Natural/ Anthropogenic Environment Population
Poverty discharged into the natural environment without anybody having to pay
for it. On the other hand, modern technology increases the use of resources and
also enables us to affect the environment in many ways. Before the invention of
CFC‟s, used as propellants in spray cans and as coolants in refrigerators and air
conditions, we were not causing depletion. Economic activities of human being
and their impacts on environment are given below:
We can consider the use of energy resource such as coal in the generation of
power. The combustion of coal produces heat that generates power and the
wastes such as carbon dioxide is released into the atmosphere and the solid
wastes are disposed of on land. The environment has the capability of
transforming some of these wastes into useful products – tree converts carbon
dioxide into carbohydrates through photosynthesis. The wastes may also be
harmless through biogeochemical processes. These reflect the waste
assimilative capacity of the environment. As a result, economic activities do not
overload the assimilative capacity of environment. However, when too many
wastes are discharged into a specific environment, it cannot assimilate all these
and there is environmental pollution. Pollution induces the negative externality7
which is unsustainable to society, economy and environment.
It is common that, agricultural production increases arithmetically and
population increases geometrically. Increasing population growth at first rate
mainly in the developing countries has put enormous pressure on forested land
because it becomes necessarily to clear the virgin forest covers and convert
them into agricultural land so that agricultural production may be significantly
increased and food may be provided to hungry human population. This trend
has resulted into large scale destruction of savanna vegetation in the subtropical
region, rich and extensive grasslands of Russian „steppes‟, South American
pampas, Newzelandean native forests, has been extensively converted to
agricultural firms and these areas have now become major granaries of the
world. We can compare the different countries status in terms of environmental
security, economic growth and sustainability.
It took roughly the first three-quarters of the Christian era for the human
Race to double in numbers. The next doubling took 200 years, from the time of
the Lord Protector to that of the Great Exhibition in the mid-19 th century. Yet
the next two doublings have together spanned a mere 125 years, and the present
doubling time is little more than a third of a century. This is the equivalent of an
annual rate of growth of 2%, which may not sound too alarming until we
translate it into an increment of three billion over three decades. Even if
population increase were to be halved to a figure of some 1% annually, it is
clear from Text-fig. 1 that this would give little more than an extra 150 years
before there was one inhabitant per square metre. At the present rate, this
‘impossible’ state of affairs would be reached by approximately the beginning
of the 23rd century; at the 1% rate, by the middle of the 25th century.
But this, of course, is simply playing a numbers game and demonstrating the
well-known terror of compound interest (or, as Malthus might have put it,
Geometrical progression). What we have to consider is the reliability of such
automatic extrapolations, and the likelihood of a demographic transition
occurring in the poor world. More specifically, the question is not so much
whether such a transition will eventually materialize, but how rapidly and
effectively it will happen. And here, it must be admitted, our techniques of long-
term forecasting are about as reliable as the use of tea-leaves to prophesy the
arrival of strangers.
The basic problem is to assess the time-lag between death control and birth
control, and this will clearly depend upon a host of mutually related factors
ranging from educational advance and family motivation to contraceptive
devices and economic stimuli. Such factors may be transformed by unforeseen
and strictly unforeseeable changes, and it would be hazardous to peer very far
into the future. Nevertheless, in the short-term, which means during the
remainder of this century, it is possible to project population figures with
reasonable confidence, if only because most of the potential parents of this
century have already been born and enumerated. The spreading bases of the
population pyramids for the poor countries, which mark the consequences of
falling infant and maternal mortality, will inexorably move up the pyramid as
the years go by. This will mean a substantially larger cohort of potential parents
a generation hence than in the corresponding age range of today, and, unless
family size is very sharply reduced from its present level, the next parental
generation will in turn send a demographic impulse—through its own offspring
—a further 30 years ahead into the 21st century.
UNEMPLOYMENT
Again, in contrast to the experience of the present ‘rich’ world, the urbanization
process in the poor world is only tenuously related to successful transition to
industrial economy. As shown in Table 3, which is based on United Nations
(1969) data, there has been a spectacular increase in the number of major urban
concentrations in the poor world during the middle decades of this century; yet
many of these cities are little more than aggregations of the unwanted. As
agriculture proves incapable of sustaining the growing peasant masses, they
move to the town where they huddle in squalor, poverty and idleness. The
shanty towns and the favellas are the symptoms of a quasi-urbanizing process
The lack of employment, in turn, curtails the domestic market and discourages
investment by both local and external entrepreneurs. Investment instead tends to
focus on the ‘bonanza’ areas of rich mineral strikes, where high profits and
capital-intensive extraction are the norm. Nevertheless, however poverty
stricken the urban masses are, and however unproductive, they continue in
aggregate to consume the resources of the poor country. As their numbers swell,
so the already slender economic surplus is eroded further. Against this summary
background of the predicament of the developing world, it is increasingly
difficult to avoid the sense of a looming catastrophe as the century draws
towards its close.
This plea, however, is now very much the conventional wisdom, and it has been
reiterated only to remind us that wisdom without appropriate action becomes
folly. And it is still the case that few of the influential decision-makers in the
affluent world have grasped the magnitude of the population crisis which is
inevitably bound to deepen in the immediate future. As Dr Malcolm Potts
shows in his account of the work of the IPPF (p. 475) the priority given to
family limitation internationally is lamentably low and, as we know, the Roman
Catholic Church is still (officially) hostile to contraception.
DEPENDENCY
This is not, of course, to argue that people should not be allowed to live out
their full term—but it does raise the question whether the human race is well
advised to strive to extend its personal life-span. Human clustering in Britain
has produced exceptionally dense urban populations, particularly in the ‘axial
belt’ which straddles England from the Thames to the Mersey. Within this area
of dense population, accentuated by inward migration and (more recently) by
substantial growth in situ, we have seen the motor vehicle ‘activate’ the
residents in a way which has worsened the man/land relationship. It is
instructive, in this matter of crowding, to compare England and Wales as a
whole—and not simply the axial belt—with the famous ‘Megalopolis’ defined
in the north-eastern U.S.A. As Table 5 shows, the entire area south of Hadrian’s
Wall is already broadly comparable with the American region; on this basis, the
axial belt deserves a term all to itself.
Mirrored the wider regional sifting which led to marked economic disparities
and social gulfs within the British Isles as a whole. As the towns explode across
the former countryside, the inner areas are left as ghettos of the socially and
economically—which often means mentally inadequate. For such ghetto
denizens, the economy of affluent meritocratic man can find little use, except in
menial and poorly paid jobs; in effect, the favela mentality takes root in the
decaying cores, rather than in the outskirts, and the experience of the United
States shows how grave this sifting can become when allied to racial
differences.
CASE STUDY
Rohingya crisis
In 1990, the term “ethnic cleansing” came into wider usage, to explicate
and describe the situation suffered by particular ethnic groups during
conflicts that erupted after the disintegration of the former Yugoslavia.
Ethnic cleansing has been defined as the attempt to get rid of (through
deportation, displacement or even mass killing) members of an unwanted
ethnic group in order to establish an ethnically homogeneous geographic
area.
The term ethnic cleansing has been reserved for some of the worst
atrocities in history. The UN defines it as a purposeful policy, designed by
one ethnic or religious group to remove, by violent and terror-inspiring
means, the civilian population of another ethnic or religious group from
certain geographic areas.
The International Criminal Court (ICC) has linked ethnic cleansing more
specifically to genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes, stating
that ethnic cleansing could constitute all three of those other offenses. In
this way, despite controversy over its exact definition, ethnic cleansing is
now clearly covered under international law, though efforts to prevent and
punish acts of ethnic cleansing are still in development.
Since the August attack, 210 villages have been burned to the ground. The
violent campaign has triggered the fastest growing humanitarian crisis in
recent years, but Myanmar's de facto leader and Nobel Peace Prize winner
Aung San Suu Kyi has barely acknowledged the attacks.
Recent reports claimed that the military has planted land mines along the
Bangladesh border to prevent the Rohingya from returning. Myanmar's
government has systematically stripped their citizenship, terrorized them,
and destroyed their homes, and now it wants to keep them from ever
coming back.
ASEAN’s only response to the crisis so far has been a bland statement --
almost a month after the atrocities in Rakhine -- expressing “concern”
about the situation, and failing to even mention the word Rohingya.
Amnesty International has criticized the organization, alleging it has
“failed” the refugees.
Hence, the world’s largest democracy, the biggest communist state, and a
powerful Eurasian country, all have lined up with Myanmar, turning a
blind eye to the “textbook case of ethnic cleansing” as aptly stated by the
United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights, while Bangladesh
is taking the burden of all the Rohingya refugees with its limited capacity.
The End Story So far, there is no notable improvement of the solution. The
international sides have not yet shown any serious interest to come to a unified
agreement regarding Rohingya. The aids and human rights organizations only
working with the government of Bangladesh in providing food, clothes and
other necessities. But, the real solution lies on the returning of these people
either to go back to Myanmar with all basic citizen rights or arrangement of
permanent shelter in some other countries as refugees recognized by those
governments. Bangladesh government is almost fighting this battle alone from
1980s to manage all these helpless people for humanitarian reason. Without a
permanent solution for this problem, these people can be involved with some
terrorist organizations for money as they are in a vulnerable state. In that case,
the whole South-east Asian region will be in grave danger. Therefore, urgent
and solid solution to necessary that van only be possible with an unified
agreement between Myanmar, Bangladesh and the international negotiators.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
The population problem is a great malady for Bangladesh. But this can be
soled if the government and the people are firmly determined to control
birth rate and grow more food at the same time. No improvement is
possible unless this problem is solved. Therefore, all the people of
Bangladesh and the government should join hands to meet the crisis right at
this moment before it is too late.
Conclusion
Personal evaluation:
Shelter problem: the area of Bangladesh is too small to arrange shelter for
the large number of population.
Health problem: “health is wealth” but our people are suffering from
many diseases, many children of our country are blind because they do not
get enough nutrition. Our children often suffer in diarrhea.
Medical & medicine problem: the large number of population creates the
treatment problem too. There is only one qualified doctor for every 25000
village people on the average.
Environmental problem: The increasing people pollute our environmental
by making latrine on the bank of rivers and canals. Human waste pollutes our
environments. The vast population also produces so much carbon dioxide
which is danger for the environment.
1. Family planning: Each family must not have more than two children.
Then each Family will be planned. They should be made aware of
gravity of problem.
//http.www.wikipedia.com/bangladeshoverpopulation.bd
oxford international Dictionary
www.dandebat.dk/eng-demografi.htm
www.bced.gov.bc.ca/exams...aterials/ss11_papers06.pdf
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc
BEA-BRD.ORG